Biomarker-enhanced cardiovascular risk prediction in patients with cancer: a prospective cohort study.
J Thromb Haemost
; 2024 Aug 29.
Article
in En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-39223063
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND:
Continuously improving cancer-specific survival puts a growing proportion of cancer patients at risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), but tailored tools for cardiovascular risk prediction remain unavailable.OBJECTIVES:
To assess a broad panel of cardiovascular biomarkers and risk factors for the prediction of MACE and cardiovascular death in cancer patients.METHODS:
In total, 2192 patients with newly diagnosed or recurrent cancer were followed prospectively for the occurrence of 2-year MACE and 5-year cardiovascular death. Univariable and multivariable risk models were fit to assess independent associations of cardiovascular risk factors and biomarkers with adverse outcomes, and a risk score was developed.RESULTS:
Traditional cardiovascular risk factors and selected cancer types were linked to higher MACE risk. While levels of Lp(a), CRP, and GDF-15 did not associate with MACE, levels of ICAM-1, P-/E-/L-selectins, and NT-proBNP were independently linked to 2-year MACE risk. A clinical risk score was derived, assigning +1 point for male sex, smoking, and age of ≥60 years and +2 points for atherosclerotic disease, yielding a bootstrapped C-statistic of 0.76 (95% CI 0.71-0.81) for the prediction of 2-year MACE. Implementation of biomarker data conferred improved performance (0.83, 95% CI 0.78-0.88), with a simplified model showing similar performance (0.80, 95% CI 0.74-0.86). The biomarker-enhanced and simplified prediction models achieved a C-statistic of 0.82 (95% CI 0.71-0.93) and 0.74 (95% CI 0.64-0.83) for the prediction of 5-year cardiovascular death.CONCLUSION:
Biomarker-enhanced risk prediction strategies allow the identification of cancer patients at high risk of MACE and cardiovascular death. While external validation studies are ongoing, this first-of-its-kind risk score may provide the basis for personalized cardiovascular risk assessment across cancer entities.
Full text:
1
Collection:
01-internacional
Database:
MEDLINE
Language:
En
Journal:
J Thromb Haemost
/
J. thromb. haemost
/
Journal of thrombosis and haemostasis
Journal subject:
HEMATOLOGIA
Year:
2024
Document type:
Article
Country of publication: