Seismic hazard and long term earthquake prediction in Greece

ABSTRACT

brief review of the research work on seismic hazard and long - term earthquake prediction in the area of Greece is attempted. Furthermore, repeat time, T, of large main shocks in seven very active seismogenic sources of this area are investigated. It is observed that the repeat times depend on the magnitude, Mp, of the preceding main shock, that is, the time predictable model and not the slip - predictable models hols for these seismogenic sources. A relation of the form logT = cMp + a fits the data with a value for c equal to 0.28 when T is measured in years and Mp is the surface wave magnitude of the preceding main earthquake (AU)