Estimated effects of climate variables on transmission of malaria, dengue and leptospirosis within Georgetown, Guyana
West Indian med. j
; 65(Supp. 3): [43], 2016.
Artigo
em Inglês
| MedCarib
| ID: med-18124
Biblioteca responsável:
TT2.1
Localização: TT5; W1, WE389
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE:
To analyse meteorological data (temperature, rainfall and relative humidity) and vector-borne diseases (malaria, dengue and leptospirosis) to determine trends that may exist between and among variables within the Georgetown area. SUBJECTS ANDMETHODS:
This study took on a retrospective approach which used data from the Ministry of Health and Ministry of Agriculture, Hydro-meteorological Department, to assess the true nature of the relationship between climate and vector-borne diseases (malaria, dengue and leptospirosis) within the Georgetown area. Correlation and regression analysis was done using SPSS version 13.RESULTS:
The results yielded weak positive correlation between climate variables and vector-borne disease withstrongest correlation between P falciparum and Pmalariae. Leptospirosis showed positive correlation withhumidity and dengue showed positive correlation with all three climate variables measured. Projections showed that with a 1 increase in temperature, 1% increase in relative humidity and 50 mm increase in rainfall, there would be significant increases in malaria and leptospirosis.CONCLUSIONS:
There have been theories that suggest a connection between climate variables and vector-borne disease but conclusive evidence does not exist. In this present study, the need for research that yields more unwavering results is highlighted. There is no doubt that climate variables influence vector-borne diseases. Therefore, it is recommended that an interdisciplinary approach be taken to ensure reliability and foster a better understanding between climate variables and vector-borne diseases.
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Coleções:
Bases de dados internacionais
Contexto em Saúde:
Doenças Negligenciadas
Problema de saúde:
Dengue
/
Malária
/
Doenças Negligenciadas
Base de dados:
MedCarib
Assunto principal:
Clima
/
Dengue
/
Guiana
/
Leptospirose
/
Malária
Limite:
Humanos
País/Região como assunto:
América do Sul
/
Caribe Inglês
/
Guiana
Idioma:
Inglês
Revista:
West Indian med. j
Ano de publicação:
2016
Tipo de documento:
Artigo
/
Congresso e conferência
Instituição/País de afiliação:
University of Guyana Kurup, R/Guyana
/
University of GuyanaC Boston, C/Guyana