Expression levels of serum high-mobility group box 1， soluble CD163， and prostaglandin E2 in patients with hepatitis B virus-related chronic-on-acute liver failure and their value in predicting prognosis / 临床肝胆病杂志

ABSTRACT

ObjectiveTo investigate the expression levels of serum high-mobility group box 1 （HMGB1）， soluble CD163 （sCD163）， and prostaglandin E2 （PGE2） in patients with hepatitis B virus-related chronic-on-acute liver failure （HBV-ACLF）， and to evaluate the value of the three indicators used alone or in combination in predicting prognosis. MethodsA total of 76 patients with HBV-ACLF who were hospitalized in Department of Infectious Diseases， The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University， from July 1， 2022 to September 30， 2023 were enrolled， and according to the 28-day prognosis， they were divided into survival group with 48 patients and death group with 28 patients. General data were collected， Model for End-Stage Liver Disease （MELD） score was calculated， and ELISA was used to measure the serum levels of HMGB1， sCD163， and PGE2. The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups， and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups； the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. The Spearman rank correlation test was used to analyze the correlation of HMGB1， sCD163， and PGE2 with MELD score； the receiver operating characteristic （ROC） curve was used to analyze the value of HMGB1， sCD163， and PGE2 used alone or in combination in predicting the prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients. ResultsThere were significant differences between the two groups in total bilirubin， white blood cell count， the percentage of neutrophils， procalcitonin， serum amyloid A， interleukin-6， serum sodium， and serum creatinine （all P<0.05）. Compared with the survival group， the death group had significantly higher serum levels of HMGB1 （Z=-2.997， P=0.003） and sCD163 （Z=-2.972， P=0.003）， a significantly higher MELD score （t=-6.997， P<0.001）， and a significantly lower serum level of PGE2 （Z=-4.909， P<0.001）. The Spearman rank correlation test showed that HMGB1 and sCD163 were positively correlated with MELD score （r=0.431 and 0.319， both P<0.05）， while PGE2 was negatively correlated with MELD score （r=-0.412， P<0.05）. The ROC curve analysis showed that HMGB1， sCD163， and PGE2 used alone had an area under the ROC curve （AUC） of 0.717， 0.716， and 0.856， respectively， while the combination of the three indicators had the highest predictive value， with an AUC of 0.930， a sensitivity of 0.778， and a specificity of 0.920. ConclusionSerum HMGB1， sCD163， and PGE2 used alone or in combination have a good reference value in predicting the prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients， and the combination of the three indicators has the highest predictive value， which holds promise for further observation and research.