Disentangling the link between social determinants of health and child survival in Nigeria during the Sustainable Development Goals era: a hierarchical path analysis of time-to-event outcome.

While social determinants of health have been perennially linked to child survival in resource-limited countries, the precise and tested pathways to effect are not clearly understood. The objective of this study was therefore to identify the critical pathways as posited a priori in a model through which social factors (at maternal, household, and community levels) determine neonatal, infant, and under-five mortalities in Nigeria. Using a novel analytic approach (hierarchical path modelling for predicting accelerated failure time) to estimate (in)direct and total effects of social determinants of child survival, we analysed 30,960 live births (weighted data for representativeness), obtained from the 2016/2017 Nigeria Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey. There were three outcome variables: time until occurrence of neonatal, infant, and under-five mortalities. The independent variables were layered factors related to child, maternal, household and community. Geographical region, rurality of residence, infrastructural development, maternal education, contraceptive use, marital status, and maternal age at birth were found to operate more indirectly on neonatal, infant, and under-five survival. Child survival is due to direct effects of child's sex (female), gestational type (singleton), birth spacing (children whose mothers delivered at least two years apart), and maternal age at delivery (20-34 years). According to the path coefficients, the indirect effects of geographical regions are the most influential determinants of child survival, accounting for 30% (neonatal), 37.1% (infant) and 39.9% (under-five) of the total effects. This study offers comprehensive set of factors, and linked pathways, at the maternal, household, and community levels that are associated with child survival in Nigeria. To accelerate progress towards Sustainable Development Goal targets for child survival and reduce geographical inequities, stakeholders should implement more impactful policies that promote maternal education, contraceptive use and improve living conditions of women (especially in rural areas of northern Nigeria). Future research should focus on identifying the most effective interventions for addressing these social determinants of child survival in Nigeria.

Geographic inequities in neonatal survival in Nigeria: a cross-sectional evidence from spatial and artificial neural network analyses.

This study was conducted to provide empirical evidence of geographical variations of neonatal mortality and its associated social determinants with a view to improving neonatal survival at the subnational level in Nigeria. With a combination of spatial analysis and artificial intelligence techniques, this study analysed data from the 2016/2017 Nigeria Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey. The analysis focused on the neonatal period of a weighted national representative population of 30,924 live births delivered five years before the survey commencement. Global Moran's I index and local indicator of spatial autocorrelation cluster maps were used to determine hot and cold spots. A multilayer perceptron neural network was used to identify the key determinants of neonatal mortality across the states and geopolitical zones in Nigeria. The overall neonatal mortality rate was 38 deaths per 1000 live births. There is evidence of geographic clustering of neonatal mortality across Nigeria (worse in the North-Central and North-West zones), majorly driven by poor maternal access to mass media (which plays a critical role in promoting positive health behaviours), short birth interval, a higher position in a family birth order, and young maternal age at child's birth. This study highlights the need for a policy shift towards implementing state and region-specific strategies in Nigeria. Gender-responsive, culturally, and regionally appropriate reproductive, maternal, and child health-targeted interventions may address geographical inequity in neonatal survival.

Geographic variation in missed opportunities for the prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV among women receiving antenatal care in Nigeria.

There are missed opportunities for the prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV (PMTCT) in Nigeria. However, little is known about the geographic variation. We examined the geographic pattern in the missed opportunities for HIV testing among antenatal care (ANC) attendees and initiation t on antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Nigeria. This study was an analysis of aggregated state-level data on 2,875,370 ANC attendees from the 2019 national HIV/AIDS health sector data. We performed descriptive statistics and explanatory spatial data analysis. Overall, the missed opportunity for HIV testing was 9.3%, ranging from 1.8% in the South South to 14.5% in the North West. The missed opportunity for HIV testing ranged from 0.2% in Imo State to 25.2% in Kaduna State. The local indicator of spatial association cluster map showed a concentration of cold spots in the South and hot spots in the North. The overall missed opportunity for ART was 9.5%, ranging from 7.4% in the South West to 11.1% in the NorthCentral. It was lowest in Adamawa State (0%), while Enugu State had the highest (32.2%). Missed opportunities for PMTCT among women attending ANC in Nigeria occur at varying degrees across the states, with higher levels in the northern region.

Prevalence and factors associated with suicidal ideation, cannabis, and alcohol use during the COVID-19 pandemic in Saskatchewan: findings from a joint-effect modeling.

BACKGROUND: Generally, pandemics such as COVID-19 take an enormous toll on people's lives. As the pandemic now turns to an endemic state, growing attention has been paid to the multiple adverse mental health and behavioral issues, such as suicidal ideation and substance use. However, the interplay of suicidality and substance misuse during the pandemic has been limited. We aimed to investigate the prevalence of co-occurrence of suicide ideation, alcohol and cannabis misuse, and the factors that are associated with these co-occurrences in the province of Saskatchewan during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: We performed a multivariable trivariate probit regression on a sample of 666 Saskatchewan adolescents and adults (16 years or older), drawn from the cycle 10 data collection (March 2022) of the Mental Health Commission of Canada, and Canadian Centre on Substance Use and Addiction (MHCC-CCSA) dataset. RESULTS: The prevalence of suicidal ideation was higher among respondents who reported both problematic cannabis and alcohol use (25.8%) than single users of alcohol (23.2%) and cannabis (18.7%). Younger respondents (16-34 years) and those who reported recent changes in other substance use were independent factors that were associated with the common experience of suicide ideation, problematic cannabis, and alcohol use. Having a diagnosis of mental health disorders either before or during the pandemic, and the perceived inability to bounce back after the pandemic (low resilience) are strong correlates of suicidal ideation. Those who lived alone, between 35 and 55 years of age were more likely to report problematic alcohol use. Those who reported changes in alternative activities, who reported pandemic stress, and declared a LGBTQIA2S + identity had higher probability of problematic cannabis use. CONCLUSIONS: As the pandemic persists, improving access to suicide and substance use interventions for the vulnerable groups identified in this study may be impactful.

Mapping age- and sex-specific HIV prevalence in adults in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000-2018.

BACKGROUND: Human immunodeficiency virus and acquired immune deficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS) is still among the leading causes of disease burden and mortality in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), and the world is not on track to meet targets set for ending the epidemic by the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) and the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Precise HIV burden information is critical for effective geographic and epidemiological targeting of prevention and treatment interventions. Age- and sex-specific HIV prevalence estimates are widely available at the national level, and region-wide local estimates were recently published for adults overall. We add further dimensionality to previous analyses by estimating HIV prevalence at local scales, stratified into sex-specific 5-year age groups for adults ages 15-59 years across SSA. METHODS: We analyzed data from 91 seroprevalence surveys and sentinel surveillance among antenatal care clinic (ANC) attendees using model-based geostatistical methods to produce estimates of HIV prevalence across 43 countries in SSA, from years 2000 to 2018, at a 5 × 5-km resolution and presented among second administrative level (typically districts or counties) units. RESULTS: We found substantial variation in HIV prevalence across localities, ages, and sexes that have been masked in earlier analyses. Within-country variation in prevalence in 2018 was a median 3.5 times greater across ages and sexes, compared to for all adults combined. We note large within-district prevalence differences between age groups: for men, 50% of districts displayed at least a 14-fold difference between age groups with the highest and lowest prevalence, and at least a 9-fold difference for women. Prevalence trends also varied over time; between 2000 and 2018, 70% of all districts saw a reduction in prevalence greater than five percentage points in at least one sex and age group. Meanwhile, over 30% of all districts saw at least a five percentage point prevalence increase in one or more sex and age group. CONCLUSIONS: As the HIV epidemic persists and evolves in SSA, geographic and demographic shifts in prevention and treatment efforts are necessary. These estimates offer epidemiologically informative detail to better guide more targeted interventions, vital for combating HIV in SSA.

Spatial analysis of HIV infection and the associated correlates among transgender persons in the United States.

Identifying the geographic hotspots of HIV infection among high-risk populations such as transgender people is critical to ending the HIV epidemic in the United States (U.S.). This study examined the spatial pattern of HIV positivity rate and the associated correlates among transgender persons in the 48 contiguous states and the District of Columbia in the U.S. The data source was the 2015 U.S. Transgender Survey (n = 27,715). We conducted spatial analyses, with state as the unit of analysis. We fitted a spatial lag regression model to assess demographic, social, and behavioral risk variables associated with HIV. The HIV positivity rate ranged by state from 0.5% to 17.1%, with a mean of 2.9%. There was a significant positive global spatial autocorrelation (global Moran's I = 0.42, p = 0.001). The identified spatial clusters of high values (hot spots i.e., states with high HIV positivity rates surrounded by states with similarly high rates) included five neighboring states (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Tennessee) in the Southern region. HIV positivity rate was positively associated with the percentage of transgender persons who were non-Hispanic Black, had no high school education, living in poverty, and engaged in sex work. Structural interventions are needed to address education, poverty, racial discrimination, and sex work that predispose transgender persons to HIV.

Spatial variations in family planning demand to limit childbearing and the demand satisfied with modern methods in sub-Saharan Africa.

BACKGROUND: There is an increasing demand for family planning to limit childbearing in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). However, limited studies have quantified the spatial variations. This study examined: (i) the spatial patterns in the demand for family planning to limit childbearing and satisfied with modern methods, and (ii) the correlates of the demand for family planning to limit childbearing satisfied with modern methods in SSA. METHODS: This study analyzed secondary data on 306,080 married/in-union women obtained from Demographic Health Surveys conducted between 2010 and 2019 in 33 sub-Saharan African countries. We conducted exploratory spatial data analysis, with countries as the unit of analysis. We also performed regression analysis to determine the factors associated with demand for family planning to limit childbearing satisfied with modern methods in SSA. RESULTS: The mean percentage of women who demanded for family planning to limit childbearing by country was 20.5% while the mean prevalence of demand for family planning to limit childbearing satisfied with modern methods by country was 46.5%. There was a significant positive global spatial autocorrelation in the demand for family planning to limit childbearing (global Moran's I = 0.3, p = 0.001). The cluster map showed the concentration of cold spots (low-low clusters) in western and central Africa (WCA), while hot spots (high-high clusters) were concentrated in eastern and southern Africa (ESA). Also, the demand for family planning to limit childbearing satisfied with modern methods showed significant positive global spatial autocorrelation (global Moran's I = 0.2, p = 0.004) and concentration of cold spots in WCA. In the final multivariable regression model the joint family planning decision making (ß = 0.34, p < 0.001), and antenatal care (ß = 13.98, p < 0.001) were the significant factors associated with the demand for family planning to limit childbearing satisfied by modern methods. CONCLUSIONS: There are significant spatial variations in the demand for family planning to limit childbearing and the demand satisfied by modern methods, with cold spots concentrated in WCA. Promoting joint decision making by partners and increasing uptake of antenatal care may improve the demand for family planning to limit childbearing satisfied with modern methods.

In sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), studies have shown that the proportion of married women who want to stop having children has been increasing as well as the proportion using modern contraceptive methods among them. These studies also indicated that this proportion of women are higher in certain regions of Africa than the others. To extend these previous findings, we performed geographical analysis to assess how the proportion of married/in-union women who want to stop having children and the ones using modern methods among them differ geographically. Our findings indicated that neighboring countries where the proportion of married/in-union women who want to stop having children was higher than the overall average were concentrated in eastern and southern Africa (ESA), while neighboring countries in which the proportion of married/in-union women who want to stop having children was lower than the overall average were concentrated in western and central Africa (WCA). Similarly, the results also showed that neighboring countries where the proportion of married/in-union women using modern contraceptive methods among those who want to stop having children was lower than the overall average were concentrated in WCA. Our findings suggest that increasing joint decision making on family planning and uptake of antenatal care in SSA may improve the use of modern contraceptive methods among married/in-union women who want to stop childbearing.

Integration of family planning services into HIV services in Nigeria: Evidence from the Performance Monitoring and Accountability 2020 survey in seven states.

Despite global calls for stronger linkages between family planning and HIV, a growing body of evidence in sub-Saharan Africa suggests that the integration of family planning and HIV service delivery is suboptimal in some countries. In this study, we assess the integration and quality of family planning services in health facilities that provide HIV-related services in Nigeria. This study analysed secondary data from the Performance Monitoring and Accountability 2020 cross-sectional survey conducted between May and July 2016 in seven states in Nigeria. Our study sample was restricted to 290 health facilities providing HIV services. We performed descriptive statistics and binary logistic regression analyses. Ninety-five per cent of the health facilities reported offering family planning counselling, provision of family planning methods, and/or referral for family planning methods to clients accessing HIV services. About 84% of these health facilities with integrated family planning and HIV services reported that they discussed the preferred method, dual methods, instructions and side effects of the chosen method, and the reproductive intentions with clients during an HIV consultation. None of the health facilities' characteristics was significantly associated with the integration of family planning services into HIV services. Private health facilities (aOR 0.3, 95% CI 0.07-0.92), urban health facilities (aOR 3.8, 95% CI 1.64-8.76), and provision of postnatal care (aOR 3.9, 95% CI 1.10-13.74) were statistically associated with the quality of family planning services provided to clients accessing HIV services. Family planning services were integrated into HIV services in a majority of the health facilities in our study. However, our findings indicate the need for improvement in the quality of family planning services provided to clients accessing HIV services.

Equity dimensions of the decline in under-five mortality in Ghana: a joinpoint regression analysis.

BACKGROUND: There has been a global rise in interest and efforts to improve under-five mortality rates, especially in low- and middle-income countries. Ghana has made some progress in improving this outcome; however, the extent of such progress and its equity implications remains understudied. METHODS: This study used a joinpoint regression analysis to assess the significance of changes in trends of under-five mortality rates in Ghana between 1988 and 2017 using data from seven rounds of the Ghana Demographic and Health Survey. Annual percentage change (APC) was estimated. The APCs of different dimensions of equity (residence, administrative region, maternal education and wealth quintile) were compared by coincidence test - to determine similarity in joinpoint regression functions via 10 000 Monte Carlo resampling. RESULTS: There has been progress in reduction of under-five mortality in Ghana between 1988 and 2017 with an annual percentage change of -3.49%. Disaggregation of the trends showed that the most rapid improvement in under-five mortality rates occurred in the Upper East Region (APC = -5.0%). The closing of under-five mortality equity gaps in the study period has been uneven in the country. The gap between rural and urban rates has closed the most, followed by regional gaps (between Upper East and Ashanti Region), while the most persistent gaps remain in maternal education and wealth quintile. CONCLUSION: The findings suggest that programmatic interventions have been more successful in reducing geographic (rural-urban and by administrative region) than non-geographic (maternal education and wealth quintile) inequities in under-five mortality in Ghana. To accelerate reduction and bridge the inequities in under-five mortality, Ghana may need to pursue more social policies aimed at redistribution.

CONTEXTE: Il y a eu une augmentation mondiale de l'intérêt et des efforts pour améliorer les taux de mortalité des moins de cinq ans, en particulier dans les pays à revenu faible et intermédiaire. Le Ghana a fait quelques progrès dans l'amélioration de ce résultat; cependant, l'ampleur de ces progrès et ses implications en termes d'équité restent sous-étudiées. MÉTHODES: Cette étude a utilisé une analyse de régression à point de jonction pour évaluer l'importance des changements dans les tendances des taux de mortalité des moins de cinq ans au Ghana entre 1988 et 2017 en utilisant les données de sept cycles de l'enquête démographique et de santé du Ghana. La variation annuelle en pourcentage (VAP) a été estimée. Les VAP des différentes dimensions d'équité (résidence, région administrative, éducation de la mère et quintile de richesse) ont été comparées par test de coïncidence, pour déterminer la similarité des fonctions de régression à point de jonction via 10000 rééchantillonnage de Monte Carlo. RÉSULTATS: Des progrès ont été atteints dans la réduction de la mortalité des moins de cinq ans au Ghana entre 1988 et 2017 avec une VAP de -3,49%. La désagrégation des tendances a montré que l'amélioration la plus rapide des taux de mortalité des moins de cinq ans s'est produite dans la région du Haut-Est (VAP = -5,0%). La réduction des écarts d'équité en matière de mortalité des moins de cinq ans au cours de la période d'étude a été inégale dans le pays. L'écart entre les taux ruraux et urbains s'est le plus resserré, suivi des écarts régionaux (entre le Haut-Est et la région Ashanti), tandis que les écarts les plus persistants restent dans l'éducation des mères et le quintile de richesse. CONCLUSION: Les résultats suggèrent que les interventions programmatiques ont mieux réussi à réduire les inégalités géographiques (rurales-urbaines et par région administrative) que les inégalités non géographiques (éducation des mères et quintile de richesse) dans la mortalité des moins de cinq ans au Ghana. Pour accélérer la réduction et combler les inégalités en matière de mortalité des moins de cinq ans, le Ghana pourrait avoir besoin de poursuivre davantage de politiques sociales visant à la redistribution.

Time series prediction of under-five mortality rates for Nigeria: comparative analysis of artificial neural networks, Holt-Winters exponential smoothing and autoregressive integrated moving average models.

BACKGROUND: Accurate forecasting model for under-five mortality rate (U5MR) is essential for policy actions and planning. While studies have used traditional time series modeling techniques (e.g., autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and Holt-Winters smoothing exponential methods), their appropriateness to predict noisy and non-linear data (such as childhood mortality) has been debated. The objective of this study was to model long-term U5MR with group method of data handling (GMDH)-type artificial neural network (ANN), and compare the forecasts with the commonly used conventional statistical methods-ARIMA regression and Holt-Winters exponential smoothing models. METHODS: The historical dataset of annual U5MR in Nigeria from 1964 to 2017 was obtained from the official website of World Bank. The optimal models for each forecasting methods were used for forecasting mortality rates to 2030 (ending of Sustainable Development Goal era). The predictive performances of the three methods were evaluated, based on root mean squared errors (RMSE), root mean absolute error (RMAE) and modified Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) coefficient. Statistically significant differences in loss function between forecasts of GMDH-type ANN model compared to each of the ARIMA and Holt-Winters models were assessed with Diebold-Mariano (DM) test and Deming regression. RESULTS: The modified NSE coefficient was slightly lower for Holt-Winters methods (96.7%), compared to GMDH-type ANN (99.8%) and ARIMA (99.6%). The RMSE of GMDH-type ANN (0.09) was lower than ARIMA (0.23) and Holt-Winters (2.87). Similarly, RMAE was lowest for GMDH-type ANN (0.25), compared with ARIMA (0.41) and Holt-Winters (1.20). From the DM test, the mean absolute error (MAE) was significantly lower for GMDH-type ANN, compared with ARIMA (difference = 0.11, p-value = 0.0003), and Holt-Winters model (difference = 0.62, p-value< 0.001). Based on the intercepts from Deming regression, the predictions from GMDH-type ANN were more accurate (ß0 = 0.004 ± standard error: 0.06; 95% confidence interval: - 0.113 to 0.122). CONCLUSIONS: GMDH-type neural network performed better in predicting and forecasting of under-five mortality rates for Nigeria, compared to the ARIMA and Holt-Winters models. Therefore, GMDH-type ANN might be more suitable for data with non-linear or unknown distribution, such as childhood mortality. GMDH-type ANN increases forecasting accuracy of childhood mortalities in order to inform policy actions in Nigeria.

HIV testing among men in Nigeria: a comparative analysis between young people and adults.

HIV testing among men is critical to ending the HIV epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa. Using the Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey, 2016/2017, we examined the uptake and determinants of HIV testing among sexually active men in Nigeria. A total of 1254 young people (15-24 years) and 7866 adults (25-49 years) were included in the analysis. We conducted binary logistic regression analyses to estimate the odds ratio (OR) and adjusted OR for testing for HIV in the last 12 months preceding the survey. Approximately 18.7% of men had tested for HIV (young people [17%] vs. adult [19%], p=0.125). The overall adjusted model showed that the likelihood of HIV testing was significantly higher among those with at least primary education, currently married, who used condom at last sexual intercourse, who drank alcohol one month preceding the survey, with no discriminatory attitudes towards people living with HIV (PLHIV), exposed to media, in the rich and richest quintiles, and in the North Central Zone. Education, geopolitical zone, and discriminatory attitudes towards PLHIV were the significant factors common to both age groups. Our results suggest that HIV testing among sexually active men in Nigeria is low, and the determinants vary between young people and adults.

Inequities in child survival in Nigerian communities during the Sustainable Development Goal era: insights from analysis of 2016/2017 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey.

BACKGROUND: Child survival is a major concern in Nigeria, as it contributes 13% of the global under-five mortalities. Although studies have examined the determinants of under-five mortality in Nigeria, the comparative roles of social determinants of health at the different stages of early childhood development have not been concurrently investigated. This study, therefore, aimed to identify the social determinants of age-specific childhood (0-59 months) mortalities, which are disaggregated into neonatal mortality (0-27 days), post-neonatal mortality (1-11 months) and child mortality (12-59 months), and estimate the within-and between-community variations of mortality among under-five children in Nigeria. This study provides evidence to guide stakeholders in planning for effective child survival strategies in the Nigerian communities during the Sustainable Development Goals era. METHODS: Using the 2016/2017 Nigeria Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey, we performed multilevel multinomial logistic regression analysis on data of a nationally representative sample of 29,786 (weighted = 30,960) live births delivered 5 years before the survey to 18,497 women aged 15-49 years and nested within 16,151 households and 2227 communities. RESULTS: Determinants of under-five mortality differ across the neonatal, post-neonatal and toddler/pre-school stages in Nigeria. Unexpectedly, attendance of skilled health providers during delivery was associated with an increased neonatal mortality risk, although its effect disappeared during post-neonatal and toddler/pre-school stages. Also, our study found maternal-level factors such as maternal education, contraceptive use, maternal wealth index, parity, death of previous children, and quality of perinatal care accounted for high variation (39%) in childhood mortalities across the communities. The inclusion of other compositional and contextual factors had no significant additional effect on childhood mortality risks across the communities. CONCLUSION: This study reinforces the importance of maternal-level factors in reducing childhood mortality, independent of the child, household, and community-level characteristics in the Nigerian communities. To tackle childhood mortalities in the communities, government-led strategies should prioritize implementation of community-based and community-specific interventions aimed at improving socioeconomic conditions of women. Training and continuous mentoring with adequate supervision of skilled health workers must be ensured to improve the quality of perinatal care in Nigeria.

Correlates of antiretroviral coverage for prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV in sub-Saharan Africa.

Antiretroviral (ARV) drugs are effective in the prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV (PMTCT), however many sub-Saharan African countries are yet to achieve universal ARV coverage among pregnant women living with HIV. This study examined factors associated with ARV coverage for PMTCT in 41 sub-Saharan Africa countries. Country-level aggregated data were obtained from the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS, World Health Organization, and United Nations Children's Fund. Using Spearman's rho and point-biserial correlation, we conducted bivariate analyses between ARV coverage for PMTCT and the following variables: stigma, antenatal care (ANC) uptake, institutional delivery, community delivery of ARV drugs, number of HIV testing and counselling (HTC) facilities, and density of skilled health workers. We also performed a multivariate median regression with the significant correlates. P < .05 was considered statistically significant for all the tests. The median ARV coverage for PMTCT was 76% (IQR: 55-85%). ARV coverage for PMTCT was significantly associated with HTC facilities (r = 0.46, p = .004), institutional delivery (r = 0.48, p = .002), ANC uptake: at least one visit (r = 0.54, p = .001), and stigma (r=-0.52, p = .003). In the multivariate analysis, only stigma remained statistically significant (ß = -0.6, 95% CI = -1.13, -0.07, p = .03). To eliminate perinatal transmission of HIV in sub-Saharan Africa, interventions that will address stigma-related barriers to uptake of PMTCT services are needed. More research on country-specific population-level correlates of ARV coverage for PMTCT is recommended.

Elimination of mother-to-child transmission of syphilis: Is it a reality in Nigeria by 2020?

BACKGROUND: Congenital syphilis is a global health problem, yet it has received little attention in recent years. Despite cost-effective syphilis screening and treatment, it continues to contribute hugely to perinatal morbidity and mortality worldwide. AIMS: To determine the prevalence and treatment coverage trend for syphilis among pregnant women in the national prevention of mother-to-child transmission programme in Nigeria and to evaluate progress towards the elimination of congenital syphilis in the country. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of validated national health sector performance data on pregnant women attending antenatal care at prevention of mother-to-child transmission clinics from 2013 to 2016 in Nigeria. RESULTS: The proportion of new antenatal care attendees who annually received serological testing for syphilis increased from 12.2% in 2013 to 16.3% in 2016 (p-trend<0.0001). Although the prevalence of maternal syphilis decreased from 3.2% in 2013 to 1.4% in 2016 (p-trend<0.0001), the syphilis treatment coverage during pregnancy has decreased from 71.3% in 2013 to 54.9% in 2016 (p-trend<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Maternal syphilis screening and treatment in Nigeria are inadequate to meet the elimination aspirations. A rapid scale-up of antenatal care syphilis screening and treatment are crucial to averting an epidemic in Nigeria by 2020.

The management of the faeces passed by under five children: an exploratory, cross-sectional research in an urban community in Southwest Nigeria.

BACKGROUND: Safe management of faeces (SMoF) and environmental contamination by faecal pathogens have been extensively researched although the SMoF in under-five children has been perennially neglected perhaps due to the misconception that it is harmless. This research, therefore, studied the situation, to determine the magnitude and dimensions of the problem aimed at making policy level stakeholders aware of child faeces management systems and so, inform evidence-based implementation of child and health-related programmes in Nigeria. METHODS: The study utilized an exploratory cross-sectional design and a multi-stage sampling technique to identify 300 respondents from 12 randomly selected streets from 4 wards in Ife central local government area. The study collected data with a pretested questionnaire which included direct observations of child defecation practices and existing toilet facilities. Cleaned data were analyzed by IBM-SPSS version 20 with child faeces management outcomes as the dependent variable. RESULTS: The mean age of respondents' and monthly income (mode) were 30.8 ± 7.5 years and ₦10,000.00 ($28.60). Most respondents were mothers to the under five children (84.7%), had a secondary education (72.0%) and were semi-skilled (57.0%). The caregivers had access to improved water sources (93.7%), improved toilets (64.3%), with 64% and 53.7% having above average scores in knowledge and attitudes, respectively. In the study, 19.7% and 69.0% of caregivers practiced safe disposal of faeces passed by the under five child during the day and at night respectively, though most caregivers (94.3%) omitted steps in the safe management of child faeces chain. The under five diarrhoea prevalence rate was 13.7% and unsanitary passage of child faeces is associated with four folds likelihood of having diarrhoea (p = 0.001). The caregivers whose under five children practiced safe sanitation were rich (p = 0.009) and knowledge was significantly associated with ownership of household toilet (P = 0.037), night faeces management chain practice (P < 0.001) and disposal of anal cleaning materials (P = 0.002). Handwashing was significantly associated with household toilet (P < 0.001), wealth (P < 0.001), under five child defecation preferences during the day (P < 0.001) and at night (P = 0.008). CONCLUSION: The high knowledge and positive attitudes exhibited by the caregivers were at variance with practice. Where under five children defecate during the day were influenced by the disposal of their anal cleaning materials, distance to the toilet and caregivers' education. The findings highlight the dangers of unsanitary disposal of child faeces and the need to strengthen the related policies that can increase caregivers awareness and practice at all levels and in all livelihood domains.

Understanding the Influence of Socioeconomic Environment on Paediatric Antiretroviral Treatment Coverage: Towards Closing Treatment Gaps in Sub-Saharan Africa.

OBJECTIVE: Many sub-Saharan African countries have massively scaled-up their antiretroviral treatment (ART) programmes, but many national programmes still show large gaps in paediatric ART coverage making it challenging to reduce AIDS-related deaths among HIV-infected children. We sought to identify enablers of paediatric ART coverage in Africa by examining the relationship between paediatric ART coverage and socioeconomic parameters measured at the population level so as to accelerate reaching the 90-90-90 targets. METHODS: Ecological analyses of paediatric ART coverage and socioeconomic indicators were performed. The data were obtained from the United Nations agencies and Forum for a new World Governance reports for the 21 Global Plan priority countries in Africa with highest burden of mother-to-child HIV transmission. Spearman's correlation and median regression were utilized to explore possible enablers of paediatric ART coverage. RESULTS: Factors associated with paediatric ART coverage included adult literacy (r=0.6, p=0.004), effective governance (r=0.6, p=0.003), virology testing by 2 months of age (r=0.9, p=0.001), density of healthcare workers per 10,000 population (r=0.6, p=0.007), and government expenditure on health (r=0.5, p=0.046). The paediatric ART coverage had a significant inverse relationship with the national mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) rate (r=-0.9, p<0.001) and gender inequality index (r=-0.6, p=0.006). Paediatric ART coverage had no relationship with poverty and HIV stigma indices. CONCLUSIONS: Low paediatric ART coverage continues to hamper progress towards eliminating AIDS-related deaths in HIV-infected children. Achieving this requires full commitment to a broad range of socioeconomic development goals.

Caregiver satisfaction with paediatric HIV treatment and care in Nigeria and equity implications for children living with HIV.

Caregiver satisfaction has the potential to promote equity for children living with HIV, by influencing health-seeking behaviour. We measured dimensions of caregiver satisfaction with paediatric HIV treatment in Nigeria, and discuss its implications for equity by conducting facility-based exit interviews for caregivers of children receiving antiretroviral therapy in 20 purposively selected facilities within 5 geopolitical zones. Descriptive analysis and factor analysis were performed. Due to the hierarchical nature of the data, multilevel regression modelling was performed to investigate relationships between satisfaction factors and socio-demographic variables. Of 1550 caregivers interviewed, 63% (95% CI: 60.6-65.4) reported being very satisfied overall; however, satisfaction varied in some dimensions: only 55.6% (53.1-58.1) of caregivers could talk privately with health workers, 56.9% (54.4-59.3) reported that queues to see health workers were too long, and 89.9% (88.4-91.4) said that some health workers did not treat patients living with HIV with sufficient respect. Based on factor analysis, two underlying factors, labelled Availability and Attitude, were identified. In multilevel regression, the satisfaction with availability of services correlated with formal employment status (p < .01), whereas caregivers receiving care in private facilities were less likely satisfied with both availability (p < .01) and attitude of health workers (p < .05). State and facility levels influenced attitudes of the health workers (p < .01), but not availability of services. We conclude that high levels of overall satisfaction among caregivers masked dissatisfaction with some aspects of services. The two underlying satisfaction factors are part of access typology critical for closing equity gaps in access to HIV treatment between adults and children, and across socio-economic groups.

Prevalence and correlates of prenatal HIV testing among female sex workers in Nigeria.

BACKGROUND: Female sex workers (FSWs) face a significant and persistent risk of contracting HIV. While evidence indicates high rates of pregnancy among FSWs in sub-Saharan Africa, studies on the coverage of HIV testing during pregnancy among them are sparse. The objective of this study was to estimate the prevalence of prenatal HIV testing and determine the associated factors among FSWs in Nigeria. METHODS: This study was a secondary data analysis of the 2020 Integrated Biological & Behavioural Surveillance Survey (IBBSS) among key populations in Nigeria. We performed weighted descriptive statistics and multivariable binary logistic regression to assess the associations between prenatal HIV testing and sociodemographic characteristics, risk behaviours, HIV knowledge and risk awareness, stigma, and access to healthcare. RESULTS: Of the 1598 FSWs included in the study, 71.0% (95%CI = 68.7%-73.1%) had HIV testing during their last pregnancy. In the regression model, tertiary education (aOR = 2.98, 95%CI = 1.48-6.01), consistent condom use (aOR = 1.95, 95%CI = 1.39-2.75), and receipt of antenatal care (aOR = 35.52, 95%CI = 23.40-53.92) were associated with higher odds of prenatal HIV testing. Compared with the South South geopolitical zone, FSW residing in South East (aOR = 3.38, 95%CI = 1.80-6.35), South West (aOR = 2.97, 95%CI = 1.88-4.68), North Central (aOR = 4.43, 95%CI = 2.80-7.01), North East (aOR = 4.22, 95%CI = 1.64-10.34), North West (aOR = 4.40, 95%CI = 2.59-7.48) had higher odds of reporting prenatal HIV testing. However, being a non-brothel-based FSW (aOR = 0.66, 95%CI = 0.47-0.92), and engaging in sex work during pregnancy (aOR = 0.45, 95%CI = 0.31-0.66) were significantly associated with lower odds of prenatal HIV testing. CONCLUSIONS: The prenatal HIV testing among FSWs in this study was suboptimal. The results highlight the need to improve access to antenatal care and implement regional and typology-specific interventions to bridge the gap in prenatal HIV testing among FSWs.

Immune response to hepatitis B vaccine among children under 5 years in Africa: a meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in Africa is mostly acquired before the age of 5 years through vertical or horizontal routes. While all the countries in the World Health Organization African region have introduced HBV vaccination into their national immunization programs, the rate of protective immune response to HBV vaccine among children in Africa has not been systematically synthesized. In this study, we estimated the HBV vaccine seroprotection rate (defined as anti-HBs titer ≥ 10 IU/L) and the associated factors among under-five children who completed a primary series of HBV vaccination in Africa. METHODS: We systematically searched PubMed, Web Science, and Scopus databases from inception to May 2022 for potentially eligible studies. The pooled seroprotection rate was estimated using a random-effects model with Freeman-Tukey double arcsine transformation and the associated factors were examined using odds ratio estimated by the DerSimonian and Laird method. RESULTS: From the 1063 records identified, 29 studies with a total sample size of 9167 under-five children were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled seroprotection rate was 89.23% (95% CI 85.68-92.33%, I2 = 95.96%, p < 0.001). In the subgroup analyses, there was a significant difference in the rate by the assay method, vaccine dose, and vaccine combination. HIV-positive children had lower odds of achieving seroprotection when compared with HIV-negative children (OR = 0.22, 95%CI 0.12-0.40). CONCLUSIONS: The majority of under-five children in Africa achieved seroprotection after completing three or four doses of HBV vaccine. However, the rate was lower among children living with HIV. This calls for interventions to timely identify and address nonresponse to HBV vaccine, particularly among immunosuppressed children.