On the Selection of Item Scores or Composite Scores for Clinical Prediction.

Recent shifts to prioritize prediction, rather than explanation, in psychological science have increased applications of predictive modeling methods. However, composite predictors, such as sum scores, are still commonly used in practice. The motivations behind composite test scores are largely intertwined with reducing the influence of measurement error in answering explanatory questions. But this may be detrimental for predictive aims. The present paper examines the impact of utilizing composite or item-level predictors in linear regression. A mathematical examination of the bias-variance decomposition of prediction error in the presence of measurement error is provided. It is shown that prediction bias, which may be exacerbated by composite scoring, drives prediction error for linear regression. This may be particularly salient when composite scores are comprised of heterogeneous items such as in clinical scales where items correspond to symptoms. With sufficiently large training samples, the increased prediction variance associated with item scores becomes negligible even when composite scores are sufficient. Practical implications of predictor scoring are examined in an empirical example predicting suicidal ideation from various depression scales. Results show that item scores can markedly improve prediction particularly for symptom-based scales. Cross-validation methods can be used to empirically justify predictor scoring decisions.

Examining missingness at the momentary level in clinical research using ecological momentary assessment: Implications for suicide research.

The use of intensive time sampling methods, such as ecological momentary assessment (EMA), has increased in clinical, and specifically suicide, research during the past decade. While EMA can capture dynamic intraindividual processes, repeated assessments increase participant burden, potentially resulting in low compliance. This study aimed to shed light on study-level and psychological variables, including suicidal ideation (SI), that may predict momentary prompt (i.e., prompt-to-prompt) completion. We combined data from three EMA studies examining mental health difficulties (N = 103; 10,656 prompts; 7144 completed), using multilevel models and machine learning to determine how well we can predict prompt-to-prompt completion and which variables are most important. The two most important variables in prompt-to-prompt completion were hours since the last prompt and time in study. Psychological variables added little predictive validity; similarly, trait-level SI demonstrated a small effect on prompt-to-prompt completion. Our study showed how study-level characteristics can be used to explain prompt-to-prompt compliance rates in EMA research, highlighting the potential for developing adaptive assessment schedules to improve compliance.

The role of depressive symptoms and social support in the association of internet addiction with non-suicidal self-injury among adolescents: a cohort study in China.

BACKGROUND: Both internet addiction (IA) and non-suicidal self-injury (NSSI) are major public health concerns among adolescents, however, the association between IA and NSSI was not well understood. We aimed to investigate the association between IA and NSSI within a cohort study, and explore the mediated effect of depressive symptoms and the moderating effect of social support in the association. METHODS: A total of 1530 adolescents aged 11-14 years who completed both the baseline (T1) and 14-month follow-up (T2) survey of the Chinese Adolescent Health Growth Cohort were included for the current analysis. IA, NSSI, depressive symptoms and social support were measured at T1; depressive symptoms and NSSI were measured again at T2. Structural equation models were employed to estimate the mediated effect of depressive symptoms and the moderating effect of social support in the association between IA and NSSI at T2. RESULTS: IA was independently associated with an increased risk of NSSI at T2, with the total effect of 0.113 (95%CI 0.055-0.174). Depressive symptoms mediated the association between IA and NSSI at T2, and social support moderated the indirect but not the direct effect of IA on NSSI at T2. Sex differences were found on the mediated effect of depressive symptoms and the moderated mediation effect of social support. CONCLUSIONS: Interventions that target adolescents' NSSI who also struggle with IA may need to focus on reducing depressive symptoms and elevating social support.

Negative Beliefs About Suicide Disclosure: Implications for US Veterans.

ABSTRACT: This study examined the differences in negative beliefs about disclosing suicidal thoughts and behaviors (STBs) between US Veterans and non-Veterans, and between Veterans who are and are not enrolled in Veterans Health Administration (VHA) care. Participants included 495 adults with a history of suicide ideation who completed an online self-report questionnaire inquiring about history of STBs, STB disclosure, and beliefs about STB disclosures. Group differences in STB disclosure beliefs were analyzed. Results showed that Veterans (vs. non-Veterans) more strongly believed that STB disclosure would result in firearm confiscation. VHA-enrolled (vs. non-VHA enrolled) Veterans reported stronger beliefs that STB disclosures result in involuntary hospitalization. Among VHA-enrolled Veterans, stronger beliefs regarding providers' interest regarding true STB experiences and others' comfort with STB disclosures were associated with lower STB disclosure likelihood. Findings highlight that educating Veterans on the benefits of STB disclosure and limiting misinformation regarding its consequences is paramount, specifically through improved suicide-related communication within the VHA and stigma reduction campaigns.

Suicide Ideation, Distress, and Peer Perceptions as Predictors of Substance Use.

BACKGROUND: Substance use and suicide ideation are common behaviors that often overlap among college students. However, clues about their temporal relationship, as well as moderating factors (e.g., distress, peer perceptions of substance use), are understudied. Indeed, those with a history of suicide ideation may use avoidance coping (including substance use) to manage distress, underscoring the possibility of substance use as a response to suicide ideation, an oft-stressful experience in and of itself. Further, as a low sense of belongingness confers risk for suicide ideation, distress may increase compliance with perceived cultural norms, thus increasing substance use behavior. This study examined the effect of the suicide ideation-distress-peer perception interaction on substance use. METHOD: Participants were 3,608 undergraduate students across eleven college campuses. Measures of past month substance use frequency, general distress, peer perceptions of substance use, and past year suicide ideation were utilized. RESULTS: Suicidal ideation was associated with e-cigarette, marijuana, and illicit drug use. There were main effects of suicide ideation (on e-cigarette and marijuana use) and peer perceptions of substance use (on tobacco, alcohol, e-cigarette, and marijuana use), but not distress, on past 30-day substance use. Further, the three-way interaction of suicide ideation, distress, and peer perceptions of substance use predicted frequency of past month tobacco and illicit drug use. CONCLUSIONS: Suicide ideation may be temporally linked to use of specific substances. Peer perception and distress may strengthen the suicide ideation-substance use relationship. These factors should be carefully considered when treating individuals with substance use.

COVID-19-Specific Suicidal Thoughts and Behaviors in Psychiatrically Hospitalized Adolescents.

This study examined the presence and correlates of COVID-specific suicidal thoughts and behaviors (i.e., thoughts of or engaging in intentional COVID-19 exposure with associated suicidal intent) among psychiatrically hospitalized adolescents. Adolescents (N = 143) completed study measures as part of the standard intake process between March 13th and August 14th, 2020. Participants answered questionnaires assessing COVID-specific passive and active suicidal ideation (SI) and suicidal behavior, as well as COVID-related stressors and emotions, and public health guidance compliance. Findings highlights that COVID-specific SI is common in high-risk youth. COVID-specific SI was associated with COVID-19-related negative emotions, elevated stress, and decreased public health guidance compliance. Results suggest that COVID-specific suicidal thoughts and behaviors, and risk correlates, should be assessed within high-risk populations to facilitate prevention of risky behavior associated with intentional COVID-19 exposure.

Disclosure of suicidal thoughts and behaviors: The impact of suicide event type.

OBJECTIVES: Despite its importance, limited work has investigated the nuances of suicidal thoughts and behavior self-disclosure. The present study aimed to examine potential differences in self-disclosure based on whether an individual has disclosed suicidal thinking versus behavior. METHODS: Two hundred and four participants having disclosed their suicidal thoughts or behaviors completed a battery of online questionnaires assessing several key aspects of disclosure (i.e., disclosure recipient, perceived helpfulness of disclosure, impact on treatment seeking), as it pertained to both one's first and overall disclosure experiences. RESULTS: Individuals who disclosed a suicide attempt, versus ideation, were more likely to have disclosed to a formal support (i.e., health professional) and to seek professional help following disclosure. No significant group differences in perceived helpfulness of experiences were found. CONCLUSION: It may be beneficial to increase opportunities for disclosure of suicidal thinking. Overall, disclosures were perceived as helpful and may not impede future help-seeking behavior.

Characterizing Veterans Crisis Line callers and regional follow-up efforts.

The Veterans Crisis Line (VCL) is a national resource offering Veterans 24/7 access to crisis responders and follow-up by a licensed mental health clinician at a Veterans Affairs medical center. This quality improvement project aimed to improve local suicide prevention efforts at the VA Puget Sound Health Care System by characterizing 344 VCL calls and outcomes. Data was extracted from documentation by national VCL responders and local Suicide Prevention Team members. Overall, most callers were assessed at low-to-moderate risk. VCL responders were more likely to assess callers reporting suicidal ideation (SI) as high-risk, but less likely to assess those reporting financial issues as high-risk. VCL calls about SI, about physical health, or that occurred on weekends were more likely to end with immediate evaluation (i.e., emergency room, evaluated by first-responders) compared to their respective comparison groups. VCL calls assessed as high-risk were more likely to report SI during local follow-up contact, whereas VCL calls ending in immediate evaluation (i.e., emergency room, evaluated by first-responders) were less likely to report SI during follow-up with the local VA clinician; 17% of VCL calls without SI reported SI at follow-up. Training of local Suicide Prevention Team members should include that SI can change rapidly and requires assessment regardless of SI during the VCL call.

How we ask matters: The impact of question wording in single-item measurement of suicidal thoughts and behaviors.

The present study aimed to extend prior literature on single-item assessment by examining response consistency (1) between several commonly used single-item assessments of suicidal ideation, planning, and attempts, and (2) across three timeframes (past month, past year, and lifetime) commonly employed in the literature. Participants (N = 613) were recruited from an online community, Amazon Mechanical Turk (mTurk). Participants were administered three sets of four distinct single-items assessing suicidal ideation, suicidal planning, and suicide attempt history, respecitvely. Items were drawn from well-known large-scale studies (e.g., National Comorbidity Survey; World Health Organization Mental Health Survey Initiative, Youth Risk Behavior Survey) and commonly used suicide risk assessments (i.e., Self-Injurious Thoughts and Behaviors Interview). Through examinations of intraclass correlations and confirmatory factor analyses, findings suggested mixed response agreement across most outcomes and timeframes. Response inconsistency among items assessing suicidal ideation and among items assessing suicidal planning were partly attributed to minor, yet important, language differences. Given findings that even minor language changes in suicidal ideation and planning items may inflate or restrict prevalence estimates in a meaningful way, it will be important for researchers and clinicians alike to pay close attention to the wording of single items in designing research studies, interpreting findings, and assessing patient risk.

The social context of nonsuicidal self-injury: Links to severity, suicide risk, and social factors.

OBJECTIVES: Though nonsuicidal self-injury (NSSI) is generally considered to be a private act, 21%-52% of individuals who engage in NSSI do so around others. Those who engage in NSSI alone often demonstrate severe behavior. However, little is known about the distinction between those who only sometimes versus always engage in NSSI when they are around others. Three groups of individuals who engage in NSSI were examined: Always, sometimes, and never alone. METHOD: Participants (N = 861; 84.2% female; M age = 20.06) were undergraduates who answered online questionnaires. Severity of NSSI, suicide risk, and social risk factors were used to predict group membership. RESULTS: Engaging in NSSI around others aligned with less severe NSSI behavior, lower suicide risk, and fewer interpersonal difficulties versus those who engage in NSSI alone. CONCLUSIONS: NSSI's social context may indicate clinical severity. This information is useful for clinicians who work with individuals with a history of NSSI.

Characterizing the choice to disclose nonsuicidal self-injury.

OBJECTIVE: Despite nonsuicidal self-injury (NSSI) being a prevalent and problematic behavior, only approximately half of those who engage in NSSI disclose their behavior. Yet, limited research has explored the choice to disclose. This study sought to identify if NSSI characteristics, emotional distress, and perceived interpersonal obstacles discriminated between NSSI disclosure status. Exploratory aims also investigated reasons for one's disclosure decision and disclosure contextual factors. METHOD: Participants included 977 undergraduate students (83% female) with a lifetime history of NSSI. RESULTS: Greater NSSI intrapersonal functions, suicide risk, and significant other support, and lower depression symptoms were associated with NSSI disclosure. Exploratory results highlight perceptions of one's NSSI severity and desire to receive support in disclosure choice; intrapersonal functions and peer support were associated with the timing of disclosure. CONCLUSIONS: Findings underscore the potential importance of individual attitudes toward NSSI, in addition to traditionally measured risk factors, as potential drivers in NSSI disclosure.

Reconsidering important outcomes of the nonsuicidal self-injury disorder diagnostic criterion A.

OBJECTIVE: The nonsuicidal self-injury (NSSI) disorder diagnostic criteria have been the focus of empirical study. However, Criterion A (i.e., required frequency and timeframe) has received relatively limited attention. The current study aimed to examine the relationship between past 12-month NSSI frequency and eight NSSI behavior features among individuals with past 12-month and 1-month NSSI. METHOD: Participants were 723 undergraduate students reporting at least 1 past 12-month NSSI act and completed online questionnaires. Decision trees and structural equation model trees were utilized to examine the relationship between NSSI frequency and behavior features. RESULTS: Results highlight several potential subgroups: high (i.e., greater than 49 acts), moderate-to-high (i.e., 19-48 acts), low-to-moderate (i.e., 7-18 acts), and low (i.e., fewer than 6 acts) frequency subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: Findings suggest that increasing the NSSI disorder criterion A frequency cutoff or requiring at least one past month NSSI act may better demarcate individuals with more severe NSSI behavior.

Risk-Taking Behavior and Suicidality: The Unique Role of Adolescent Drug Use.

Research has supported an association between suicidal thoughts/behaviors and risk taking, which may be particularly strong during adolescence when risk taking is known to increase. However, extant research has focused on individual risk-taking behaviors (e.g., alcohol use), limiting our ability to evaluate the unique association between different risk-taking behaviors and suicidal thoughts/behaviors. The current study aimed to fill this gap by examining the simultaneous influence of multiple risk-taking behaviors (i.e., risky sexual behavior, tobacco/alcohol use, illicit drug use, delinquent behavior, violent behavior) on adolescent suicidal thoughts/behaviors. Data from the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health was utilized. The sample consisted of 4,834 adolescents who completed home interviews at two time points. At the first time point, participants' mean age was 15.15, with 48% (n = 2,315) identifying as male. Participants provided information about suicidal thoughts/behaviors and multiple risk-taking behaviors at an initial interview and at a second interview, approximately 11 months later. When independently examined, nearly all assessed risk-taking behaviors were independently associated with suicidal ideation concurrently and prospectively, and with suicide attempts concurrently. When all risk-taking behaviors were examined simultaneously, illicit drug use was the only significant concurrent and significant prospective, albeit negative, predictor of suicidal thoughts and only concurrent predictor of suicidal behavior. The current findings suggest that illicit drug use may have a stronger association with suicidal thoughts and behaviors than other risk-taking behavior. These findings have implications for prevention and intervention programs for adolescents.

Exploratory analysis of mediators of the relationship between childhood maltreatment and suicidal behavior.

INTRODUCTION: Suicide is a major public health concern. One consistently cited risk factor for suicide is childhood maltreatment, which also may play a role in the transition from suicidal ideation to suicidal behavior. METHOD: The current study aimed to examine the relationship between childhood maltreatment and suicide attempts during adolescence (N = 4834; 52.1% female; 67.5% Caucasian). Data from the U.S. National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health were utilized. Forty-six theoretically-relevant risk factors were explored as potential mediators of this relationship using an exploratory mediation data analytic method. RESULTS: Results demonstrated a significant childhood maltreatment - suicide attempt relationship only among females. After considering demographics and suicidal ideation, having received counseling in the previous 12 months was the most influential mediator, followed by having a friend attempt suicide in the previous 12 months. CONCLUSIONS: These findings highlight potential gender differences in the relationship between childhood maltreatment and later suicide attempts, and, moreover, the importance of assessing for recent exposure to peer suicidal behavior in suicide risk assessments.

The Mediating Role of Self-Criticism in the Relationship between Parental Expressed Emotion and NSSI.

Nonsuicidal self-injury (NSSI) is found at high rates among adolescents and young adults and is associated with many negative consequences, warranting additional research. Two factors that may contribute to NSSI during this time period are one's levels of self-criticism and perceptions of their parental relationships; however, these relationships have received limited attention. The purpose of this current study was to address this gap in the literature. Adolescents and young adults (n=294) completed measures of perceived parental expressed emotion, self-criticism, and NSSI. Participants with a history of NSSI reported perceiving their parents as providing less emotional support, inducing more irritation, being more intrusive, and expressing more criticism compared to those without a history of NSSI. These individuals also endorsed greater self-criticism. Further, self-criticism mediated the relationship between perceived parental expressed emotion and NSSI occurrence, such that those with higher reported self-criticism and greater perceived parental expressed emotion were more likely to engage in NSSI.

Forms of non-suicidal self-injury as a function of trait aggression.

To date, the considerable body of research on predictors of non-suicidal self-injury (NSSI) has conceptualized NSSI as a unitary construct despite the fact that NSSI can exist in many forms (e.g., hitting, cutting, burning). The goal of the present study is to examine differential prediction of forms of NSSI. Specifically, we examined trait aggression as a predictor of more aggressive forms of NSSI (i.e., hitting). We hypothesized that higher trait aggression would differentiate those who engaged in hitting forms of NSSI from those who did not, whereas other factors (i.e., emotion regulation and trait anger) would serve as a non-specific predictor of NSSI. We also hypothesized that higher trait aggression would be related to lifetime frequency of hitting NSSI, but not other forms of NSSI, whereas emotion regulation and anger would act as predictors of other forms of NSSI. To test these hypotheses, a large sample of young adults completed measures of trait aggression, trait anger, emotion regulation, and NSSI behaviors. Results were generally in line with our hypotheses. Higher levels of trait aggression differentiated those who engaged in hitting NSSI from those who did not and was also associated with greater frequency of hitting NSSI. These results imply that different factors predict different forms of NSSI and that NSSI may be best examined as a multi-faceted construct.

Characteristics and Functions of Non-Suicidal Self-Injury That Inform Suicide Risk.

OBJECTIVE: Although non-suicidal self-injury (i.e., NSSI) has been suggested as a robust risk factor of suicide, NSSI related information that is most related to suicide risk remains unclear. Commonly studied NSSI characteristics are its frequency and the number of methods endorsed. However, it may not be merely how frequent or how many different methods that matters, but "why," which alludes to the importance of NSSI functions (or why individuals engage in NSSI). Thus, this study examined how the interactions between NSSI characteristics and functions are associated with suicide risk. METHODS: Undergraduate students (n = 820) with a lifetime history of NSSI, filled out self-report measures on NSSI and suicide risk. A hierarchical regression analysis was conducted to examine the moderation effects between four 2-way interactions (i.e., method X intrapersonal; method X interpersonal; frequency X intrapersonal; frequency X interpersonal) on suicide risk. RESULTS: Main effects of all four independent variables were statistically significant. In terms of interactions, the intrapersonal function moderated both the effects of NSSI frequency and methods on suicide risk, whereas the interpersonal function moderated the effects of NSSI frequency on suicide risk. CONCLUSION: Our results highlight that some NSSI related information than others are more indicative of suicide risk. In particular, the combination of NSSI functions, along with its frequency and number of methods, holds promise when assessing for current and lifetime suicidal thoughts and behaviors.

Development and validation of the self-injury stigma scale.

Non-suicidal self-injury is a prevalent and concerning behavior. Negative beliefs and stereotypes about NSSI are associated with negative outcomes, and negative, self-referential beliefs (e.g., self-stigmatizing beliefs) related to engagement in NSSI may be particularly harmful. Despite this, there is no validated measure specifically designed to assess for NSSI self-stigma. As this significantly hinders the ability to understand and quantify the effect of NSSI self-stigma, this study sought to validate the newly developed Self-Injury Stigma Scale (SISS). It was hypothesized the SISS would follow a four-factor structure that parallels a widely cited theoretical model of stigma. It was also hypothesized measures of shame and help-seeking self-stigma would be moderately, negatively, correlated with the SISS subscales, supporting the measure's validity. Participants from Study 1 were college students (n = 264, 65.8% female) with at least one lifetime NSSI act. A series of factor analytic models revealed a one-factor structure for the Application of Stigma subscale (i.e., third step of the four-step model). As this was the only SISS subscale to achieve an appropriate model fit, this scale alone was retained as the final SISS. The factor structure was tested via confirmatory factor analysis on a second sample (i.e., community participants with at least one past month of NSSI act; n = 240, 41.3% female). An acceptable fit on most, but not all, indices was reached. Convergent and discriminant validity were supported. The SISS retrospectively predicted past 3 month NSSI frequency and method versatility, and lifetime NSSI versatility, but not lifetime NSSI frequency or disclosure. Thus, the clinical utility of the SISS was partially supported. Findings offering evidence in favor of the SISS's appropriateness and utility as a measure of self-stigma of NSSI. Future work using this measure has the potential to clarify the risk associated with NSSI self-stigma and inform behavioral interventions.

Momentary Associations Between Positive Coping and Nonsuicidal Self-Injury Risk Among Individuals With Problematic Alcohol Use.

Background: The use of positive coping skills has demonstrated protective effects with regard to Nonsuicidal Self-Injury (NSSI) engagement; however, cross-sectional evidence suggests that the presence of comorbid conditions, such as alcohol use disorders, may negate these benefits. Aims: The current study leverages ecological momentary assessment (EMA) to examine the between-person and within-person relationships between positive coping strategies and NSSI risk among individuals with problematic alcohol use. Method: Undergraduate students (n = 56) completed a 21-day EMA protocol, in which they completed four surveys per day asking about their use of several positive coping strategies and NSSI risk. Results: Socializing was the only coping strategy to demonstrate a protective effect on NSSI risk. Alternatively, the coping strategies of finding perspective, positive thinking, and sitting with feelings until they pass all increased risk for NSSI. Limitations: The current study was underpowered to disentangle relationships with urges to engage in NSSI and NSSI behaviors. Conclusion: The results suggest that using coping skills that may present physical barriers to engaging in NSSI may be effective for reducing momentary NSSI risk.

The impact of social connection on near-term suicidal ideation.

While predominant suicide theories emphasize the role of social connectedness in suicidal thinking, there is a need to better understand (a) how specific aspects of social connection relate to suicidal ideation and (b) the timeframe over which these relationships persist. The current study examined ecological momentary assessment data over a 30-day period from 35 participants with past-year suicidal thoughts or behaviors (mean age = 25.88; 62.9% women; 68.6% White) to address these questions. Results demonstrated that absence of social contact was associated with next timepoint suicidal ideation, even after considering the suicidal ideation autoregressive effect (i.e., concurrent), with effects strongest in the short-term. Findings provide preliminary evidence of the need to assess for the presence of social contact, and for assessments to occur in close proximity (i.e., a few hours), to capture the true dynamics of risk for suicidal ideation. Although needing replication, results suggest importance of just-in-time interventions targeting suicidal ideation.