A rule induction framework for the determination of representative learning design in skilled performance.

Representative learning design provides a framework for the extent to which practice simulates key elements of a performance setting. Improving both the measurement and analysis of representative learning design would allow for the refinement of sports training environments that seek to replicate competition conditions and provide additional context to the evaluation of athlete performance. Using rule induction, this study aimed to develop working models for the determination of high frequency, representative events in Australian Rules football kicking. A sample of 9005 kicks from the 2015 Australian Football League season were categorised and analysed according to the following constraints: type of pressure, kick distance, possession source, time in possession, velocity and kick target. The Apriori algorithm was used to develop two models. The first consisted of 10 rules containing the most commonly occurring constraint sets occurring during the kick in AF, with support values ranging from 0.15 to 0.22. None of the rules contained more than three constraints and confidence values ranged from 0.63 to 0.84. The second model considered ineffective and effective kick outcomes and displayed 70% classification accuracy. This research provides a measurement approach to determine the degree of representativeness of sports practice and is directly applicable to various team sports.

Explaining match outcome in elite Australian Rules football using team performance indicators.

The relationships between team performance indicators and match outcome have been examined in many team sports, however are limited in Australian Rules football. Using data from the 2013 and 2014 Australian Football League (AFL) regular seasons, this study assessed the ability of commonly reported discrete team performance indicators presented in their relative form (standardised against their opposition for a given match) to explain match outcome (Win/Loss). Logistic regression and decision tree (chi-squared automatic interaction detection (CHAID)) analyses both revealed relative differences between opposing teams for "kicks" and "goal conversion" as the most influential in explaining match outcome, with two models achieving 88.3% and 89.8% classification accuracies, respectively. Models incorporating a smaller performance indicator set displayed a slightly reduced ability to explain match outcome (81.0% and 81.5% for logistic regression and CHAID, respectively). However, both were fit to 2014 data with reduced error in comparison to the full models. Despite performance similarities across the two analysis approaches, the CHAID model revealed multiple winning performance indicator profiles, thereby increasing its comparative feasibility for use in the field. Coaches and analysts may find these results useful in informing strategy and game plan development in Australian Rules football, with the development of team-specific models recommended in future.

Translational HIV-1 research: from routine diagnostics to new virology insights in Amsterdam, the Netherlands during 1983-2013.

An HIV-1 diagnostic laboratory was established in the Academic Medical Center (AMC) of the University of Amsterdam after the discovery of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) as the cause of the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). The first AIDS patients were diagnosed here in 1981 and since 1983 we have tested the samples of 50992 patients using a variety of assays that greatly improved over the years. We will describe some of the basic results from this diagnostic laboratory and then focus on the spin-off in terms of the development of novel virus assays to detect super-infections and ultra-sensitive assays to measure the intracellular HIV-1 RNA load. We also review several original research findings in the field of HIV-1 virology that stem from initial observations made in the diagnostic unit. This includes the study of genetic defects in the HIV-1 genome and time trends of the replication fitness over 30 years of viral evolution, but also the description of novel HIV-1 variants in difficult-to-diagnose clinical specimen.

High prevalence of hepatitis B virus dual infection with genotypes A and G in HIV-1 infected men in Amsterdam, the Netherlands, during 2000-2011.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is divided into 8 definite (A-H) and 2 putative (I, J) genotypes that show a geographical distribution. HBV genotype G, however, is an aberrant genotype of unknown origin that demonstrates severe replication deficiencies and very little genetic variation. It is often found in co-infections with another HBV genotype and infection has been associated with certain risk groups such as intravenous drug users and men having sex with men (MSM). We aimed to estimate the prevalence of HBV-G in the Netherlands by analysing samples from HBV-positive patients visiting the Academic Medical Center in Amsterdam. METHODS: Ninety-six HBV-infected patients, genotyped as HBV-A or HBV-G infected, were retrieved from the clinical database. Blood plasma samples were analysed with a newly-developed real-time PCR assay that detects HBV-A and HBV-G. For three patients, the HBV plasma viral load (pVL) of both genotypes was followed longitudinally. In addition, three complete genomes of HBV-G were sequenced to determine their relationship to global HBV-G strains. RESULTS: Ten HBV-G infections were found in the selected Dutch patients. All concerned HIV-1 infected males with HBV-A co-infection. Dutch HBV-G strains were phylogenetically closely related to reference HBV-G strains. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, HBV-G infection in the Netherlands is found exclusively in HIV-1 infected men as co-infection with HBV-A. A considerable percentage (37%) of men infected with HBV and HIV-1 are actually co- infected with two HBV genotypes.

Identifiable grief responses in persons with Alzheimer's disease.

Various dementias alter many aspects of the life and interactions between older adults and their families. This is particularly true even in a context in which the emotion is one that is expected. One such experience is the grief related to the loss of a family member. Physicians, nurses, and family members in long-term care report that they frequently have residents for whom a primary loved one, such as a spouse, has died. Questions quickly surface as to whether or not to tell the senior with dementia, how to tell the person, and how that person's response will impact the family. In two separate focus groups these questions were discussed with a group of family members and an interdisciplinary group of physicians, nurses, nurse aides, and social workers connected to long-term care facilities in one mid-sized community. Three patterns of resident response were identified. "Self-threat" describes situations in which the individual responds to the announcement of the death by questioning who will take care of them now; substitution refers to the individual's inability to remember who has died and substitution with a relative who died years ago; and metaphone, substitution of an object or unrelated item for the loss of a loved one. The authors suggest that persons with dementia should be told in most circumstances that their loved one has died, but that behavioral interventions need to be designed to address the confusion that this announcement can initiate. Families need to be prepared that the senior may not respond in the ways they once would have to this loss.

Incidence of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 dual infections in Amsterdam, The Netherlands, during 2003-2007.

BACKGROUND: The occurrence of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) dual infections in Amsterdam, The Netherlands, was examined during 2003-2007 to investigate whether the number of HIV-1 dual infections increased as the number of HIV-1 infected individuals increased during the same period. METHODS: All first HIV-1 genotyping sequences obtained from 2003 through 2007 were retrieved and examined for the number of degenerate base codes in the reverse-transcriptase fragment. A total of 72 patients had >or=34 degenerate base codes; for these patients, a fragment of the V3-V4 region of the env gene was amplified, cloned, and sequenced to verify the presence of an HIV-1 dual infection. The number of dual infections were counted for each year investigated. RESULTS: No significant change in the incidence of dual infections was observed in our population of patients, who were selected on the basis of the number of degenerate base codes in each patient's first HIV-1 sequence obtained from 2003 through 2007. The frequency of HIV-1 dual infections varied between 1.0% and 2.4% each year, with no significant trend over time (P = .49). Patients with HIV-1 dual infections were similar to patients with single HIV-1 infections in The Netherlands with regard to distribution of risk group, sex, and HIV subtype. CONCLUSION: The proportion of HIV-1 dual infections in The Netherlands did not increase from 2003 through 2007, although the HIV-1-infected population expanded in this period.

Routine HIV-1 genotyping as a tool to identify dual infections.

OBJECTIVES: The incidence of HIV-1 dual infections is generally thought to be low, but as dual infections have been associated with accelerated disease progression, its recognition is clinically important. Methods to identify HIV-1 dual infections are time consuming and are not routinely performed. DESIGN: Genotyping of the HIV-1 protease and reverse transcriptase (prot/RT) genes is commonly performed in the western world to detect drug-resistance mutations in clinical isolates. In our hospital, prot/RT baseline sequencing is part of the patient care for all newly infected patients in the Amsterdam region since 2003. We reasoned that degenerate base codes in this sequence could indicate either extensive viral evolution or infection with multiple HIV-1 strains. METHODS: We amplified, cloned and sequenced multiple HIV-1 envelope (env)-V3 and gag sequences from patients with 34 or more (range 34-99) degenerate base codes in the ViroSeq genotyping RT sequence (37 out of 1661 available records) to estimate the number of HIV-1 dual infections in this group. RESULTS: Of the 37 patients included in this study, 16 (43.2%, equal to 1% of the 1661 total records) had an HIV-1 dual infection based on phylogenetic analysis of env-V3/gag sequences. If only sequences with 45 or more degenerate base codes were taken into account, 73.3% of patients showed evidence of a dual infection. CONCLUSION: We describe an additional use of routinely performed HIV-1 genotyping. In patients with a high number of degenerate bases (> or = 34) in RT it is important to consider the possibility of a dual HIV-1 infection.

Characterization of an HIV-1 group M variant that is distinct from the known subtypes.

We identified an HIV-1 variant that belongs to the M group, with limited similarity of short genetic regions (100-200 nt) to subtype K, but the remainder of the genome is unrelated to any established HIV-1 subtype. The isolate was obtained from an HIV-1-positive male, living in the Netherlands, who encountered the virus before 1989, most probably via heterosexual contact in Africa. We describe the full-length genome sequence of four biological clones that were obtained from two samples collected 5 years apart. At both time points all open reading frames were intact. Within the 5-year interval, the person received antiretroviral therapy with zalcitabine and zidovudine for almost 4 years. Evolution of drug-resistant variants is likely given the increase in viral RNA load to +/-10,000 copies/ml during the last year of treatment. Surprisingly, the only regular RT mutation acquired during this period was K70R, which suggests that the genetic background of this variant is perhaps not suitable for the generation of the standard 41L, 67N, and 215Y/F mutations that typically arise during prolonged, nonsuccessful, zidovudine treatment. Awaiting the discovery of at least two additional, epidemiologically unrelated patients with a phylogenetically related HIV-1 variant, we can designate this variant a new HIV-1 subtype, or a distinct branch of subtype K.

Identification of alternative amino acid substitutions in drug-resistant variants of the HIV-1 reverse transcriptase.

OBJECTIVE/DESIGN: To identify new drug-resistance-associated mutations in the HIV-1 reverse transcriptase (RT) protein, we screened the RT sequence database of our hospital for alternative amino acid substitutions at known RT drug-resistance positions. METHOD: The genotypic database used for this analysis contained 1322 RT sequences from 1015 patients. We analysed this RT database with a focus on alternative mutations at RT positions known to be involved in drug resistance. The patterns of drug resistance associated with these alternative mutations were investigated in a separate database containing genotype and drug-susceptibility results. RESULTS: We identified multiple alternative resistance-associated mutations at amino acid positions 44, 62, 67, 69, 70, 74, 75, 103, 181, 190, 210, and 219 in RT. Phenotypic analysis indicated that drug-resistance properties of the alternative Y181V and L74I mutants are similar, but not identical, to that of the well-known Y181C and L74V mutations. CONCLUSION: This initial survey indicates that many resistance-associated phenomena can be distilled from existing data. These findings endorse a more extensive analysis by computerized methods.

Evolution of transmitted HIV-1 with drug-resistance mutations in the absence of therapy: effects on CD4+ T-cell count and HIV-1 RNA load.

Sequence analysis of HIV-1 from 440 therapy-naive individuals included within the CASCADE study, who seroconverted within 18 months of the last negative test, identified 65 persons infected with a strain carrying resistance-associated mutations. Population-based sequencing was performed for 20 of these individuals during the therapy-free follow-up period. The median time of follow-up was 15 months (interquartile range from 10 to 23 months). Of these individuals, 12 showed subsequent evolution at the resistance positions, whereas the virus of 8 people was stable during this period. In the reverse transcriptase (RT) gene, the drug-resistant 215Y or 215F codons evolved to alternative codons in all six cases, 70R reverted to the wild-type 70K in 3 of the 4 individuals, 67N evolved only in 1 of 4 patients to a wild-type 67D, 215S evolved to wild-type 215T in 1 of 3 patients, 219N evolved to 219K in 1 of 2 patients, and one patient with 184V reversed to the wild-type 184M. The 181C variant evolved to the wild-type 181Y in 1 of 2 individuals. These codon changes were caused by single nucleotide mutations. No evolution was observed for other RT mutations: 41L, 69D, 69N, 190S, 210W, 215L, 215C, 215E and 219Q. In the protease gene, resistance mutations 84V and 90M were stable in 2 individuals. Comparing the CD4+ T-cell count of the 12 evolving versus the 8 stable cases revealed no statistically significant difference at the date of the first sequence following seroconversion. Interestingly, a lower CD4+ T-cell count was observed in the group without evolution at the second sequence time point (P = 0.043). No difference in HIV-1 RNA load was observed. These results, together with the apparent pressure to mutate at the resistance-associated positions exemplify the decreased fitness of viruses carrying 21 5Y/F, 70R or 184V.

Declining trend in transmission of drug-resistant HIV-1 in Amsterdam.

OBJECTIVE: Symptomatic primary HIV infections are over-represented in the mainly hospital-based studies on transmission of resistant HIV-1. We examined a more general population for the prevalence of resistant HIV-1 strains among primary infections. DESIGN: From 1994 to 2002 primary infections were identified within the Amsterdam Cohort Studies (ACS) among homosexual men and drug users, and at the Academic Medical Center (AMC). Whereas primary HIV-1-infected AMC patients, often presented with symptoms of acute retroviral syndrome, ACS participants largely seroconverted during follow-up and thus brought also asymptomatic primary infections to our study. METHODS: Reverse transcriptase (RT) and protease sequences were obtained by population-based nucleotide sequence analysis of the first HIV RNA-positive sample available. Subtypes were identified by phylogenetic analysis. Mutations were identified based on the IAS-USA resistance table. RESULTS: A total of 100 primary HIV-1 infections were identified (32 AMC and 68 ACS). Transmission of drug-resistant strains decreased over calendar time, with 20% [95% confidence interval (CI), 10-34%] of infections bearing drug-resistant mutations before 1998 versus only 6% (95% CI, 1-17%) after 1998. No multi-drug resistance pattern was observed. The median plasma HIV-1 RNA level of the first RNA positive sample was significantly lower for the individuals infected with a resistant strain versus those infected with wild-type, suggesting a fitness-cost to resistance. Four of seven non-B subtypes corresponded with the prevalent subtype in the presumed country of infection, and none showed resistance mutations. CONCLUSIONS: The transmission of drug-resistant HIV-1 strains in Amsterdam has decreased over time. Monitoring should be continued as this trend might change.

Ten years of HIV testing with fourth generation assays: the Amsterdam experience.

Serological HIV assays combining detection of HIV antigen and antibodies are referred to as fourth generation assays. Fourth generation assays were implemented in Europe for routine patient testing about 10 years ago. The Academic Medical Center is one of the main HIV treatment centers in the Netherlands and has now 10 years experience with fourth generation testing, which is summarized here.

Multi-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor resistant HIV type-1 in a patient from Sierra Leone failing stavudine, lamivudine and nevirapine.

We report a 33-year-old HIV type-1 (HIV-1)-infected male from Sierra Leone who harboured extensive drug resistance mutations to all nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs) and non-NRTIs, including the multi-NRTI-resistance Q151M complex, K65R, M184I and Y181I, after using standard first-line generic fixed-dose stavudine, lamivudine and nevirapine (Triomune™) for 36 months. In the context of non-B subtypes in resource-limited countries, first-line stavudine-containing regimens have been associated with more extensive and complex mutation patterns, compared with subtype B viruses. Whether the extensive and complex NRTI resistance patterns found among African patients failing first-line antiretroviral therapy is explained by viral genetic diversity or by different patient monitoring strategies remains to be elucidated. Emerging multi-NRTI resistance in sub-Saharan Africa would not only compromise second-line treatment options and the success of antiretroviral rollout, but could also contribute to the spread of drug-resistant variants worldwide.

Selection of an M184V mutation in the cerebrospinal fluid of a treatment-naive HIV-infected individual starting darunavir-based therapy.

Here, we describe a newly diagnosed HIV-1-infected patient, in whom shortly after the initiation of a darunavir-based regimen, the HIV-1 virus exclusively mutated in the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), leading to an increase in CSF HIV-1 RNA load and neurological complaints.

Unusual cluster of HIV type 1 dual infections in Groningen, The Netherlands.

In 2007, 14 Dutch men having sex with men (MSM) filed a criminal case against three other men, accusing them of administering sedative drugs, sexual abuse, and deliberate subcutaneous injections with HIV-1-infected blood. Medical files showed that 9 of 17 men presented with an acute HIV-1 infection syndrome during 2006-2007. Two men were not infected with HIV. Analysis of viral strains in the 12 MSM and the three alleged donors showed that one donor and six recipients were double infected with two distinct HIV-1 subtype B strains, while another five recipients and one donor were single infected with either strain. Two men were infected with unrelated strains. The finding of multiple double infections with very similar HIV-1 strains is without precedent.

Transmission networks of HIV-1 among men having sex with men in the Netherlands.

OBJECTIVE: To obtain insight in the HIV-1 transmission networks among men having sex with men (MSM) in the Netherlands. DESIGN: A phylogenetic tree was constructed from polymerase sequences isolated from 2877 HIV-1 subtype B-infected patients monitored as part of the AIDS Therapy Evaluation in the Netherlands (ATHENA) nationwide observational cohort. METHODS: For MSM with a known date of infection, the most similar sequences were selected as potential transmission pairs when they clustered with bootstrap value of at least 99%. Time from infection to onward transmission was estimated as the median time between dates of infection for each transmission pair. The source of infections with a resistant strain was traced using the entire phylogenetic tree. RESULTS: Of sequences from 403 MSM with a known date of infection between 1987 and 2007, 175 (43%) formed 63 clusters. Median time to onward transmission was 1.4 years (interquartile range 0.6-2.7). Twenty-four (6%) MSM carried a virus with resistance-related mutations, 13 of these were in eight clusters together with sequences from 28 other patients in the entire phylogenetic tree. Six clusters contained sequences obtained from 29 men all presenting the same resistance-related mutations. CONCLUSION: From our selection of likely transmission pairs, we conclude that onward transmission of HIV-1 from infected MSM in the Netherlands happens both during and after primary infection. Transmission of resistant strains from the antiretroviral therapy-treated population is limited, but strains with resistance-related mutations have formed subepidemics.

Multiple transmissions of a stable human leucocyte antigen-B27 cytotoxic T-cell-escape strain of HIV-1 in The Netherlands.

OBJECTIVE: The evolution of HIV-1 is largely shaped by the cytotoxic T-cell (CTL) response of the host as encoded by the human leucocyte antigen (HLA) genes. Certain HLA-B alleles can delay disease progression, but it is uncertain whether this protection will sustain or whether the virus is in the process of adaptation. In The Netherlands, HLA-B27 is moderately prevalent (approximately 8-16% of HLA-B alleles). If adaptation to HLA-B alleles is in progress, virus strains carrying escape mutations to HLA-B27 should appear in the epidemic by now. DESIGN: A subtype B HIV-1 strain carrying a HLA-B27 CTL-escape mutation in the main Gag-p24 KK10 epitope, R264G, together with a compensatory mutation outside this epitope, E260D, was detected in four patients from Amsterdam, The Netherlands, by sequence analysis of the gag gene. The patients were a drug user and three men who have sex with men, and were infected with HIV-1 between 2002 and 2008. METHODS: Characterization and evolutionary analysis of the HIV-1 CTL-escape strain was done by sequence analysis of serial blood plasma samples. RESULTS: The mutations involved were stable during follow-up and after transmission, also in two individuals lacking HLA-B27. CONCLUSION: The finding that a stable HLA-B27 CTL-escape strain is circulating in The Netherlands has important implications for the understanding of virus-host interactions and vaccine design alike. Vaccines targeted at inducing a CTL response might easily be circumvented by the virus. Also, patients carrying protective HLA alleles might not be protected anymore from disease progression in the future.

Phylogenetic reconstruction of transmission events from individuals with acute HIV infection: toward more-rigorous epidemiological definitions.

Phylogenetic reconstructions of transmission events from individuals with acute human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection are conducted to illustrate this group's heightened infectivity. Varied definitions of acute infection and assumptions about observed phylogenetic clusters may produce misleading results. We conducted a phylogenetic analysis of HIV pol sequences from 165 European patients with estimated infection dates and calculated the difference between dates within clusters. Nine phylogenetic clusters were observed. Comparison of dates within clusters revealed that only 2 could have been generated during acute infection. Previous analyses may have incorrectly assigned transmission events to the acutely HIV infected when they were more likely to have occurred during chronic infection.

Survey of the temporal changes in HIV-1 replicative fitness in the Amsterdam Cohort.

Changes in virulence and fitness during an epidemic are common among pathogens. Several studies have shown that HIV fitness increases within a patient during disease progression, while bottlenecks, such as sexual transmission, immune pressure and drug treatment can reduce fitness. In this study, we analyzed how these opposing forces have shaped HIV-1 fitness over time. Therefore, we compared the replicative fitness of HIV-1 isolates from newly infected untreated individuals, diagnosed for HIV-1 infection early in the AIDS epidemic in Amsterdam, the Netherlands, with more recent isolates. Twenty-five early and late HIV-1 isolates, carefully matched for seroconversion time, were competed head-to-head in a dual infection/competition assay, employing peripheral blood mononuclear cells. In contrast with previous studies, we observed a trend of increasing fitness over time in the HIV epidemic of Amsterdam. Apparently, the bottleneck, occurring with each transmission event, does not completely reset the fitness increase acquired during disease progression.