Risk factors for loss to follow-up and outcomes after kidney donation in New Caledonian living donors.

AIM: For patients with end-stage kidney disease, living-donor kidney transplantation is the best therapy. There is a duty to ensure that the donor is followed-up after donation on a regular and long-term basis. Conditions may arise, such as hypertension, chronic kidney disease, metabolic conditions, and these should be identified and treated as soon as possible for the donor's own longer term wellbeing. In this retrospective cohort study, we investigated the risk of loss to follow-up after kidney donation for living donors. METHODS: Data were collected from the unique Caledonian nephrology medical record software and a phone survey. We evaluated the association between being lost to follow up and donor recipient relationship, donor socio-demographic characteristics, donation characteristics and care access. We performed a multivariate analysis to identify risk factors of loss to follow-up. RESULTS: Among the the 86 donors included, 38 (44%) had no nephrology consultation for more than 16 months. The rate of donor follow up decreased from 81% at 2 years to 49% at 10 years after donation. In the multivariate analysis, age less than 45 years old at donation increased the risk of loss to follow up to 4.5 (95% CI 2.0-10.3) and not being a spouse increased the risk to 3.9 (95% CI 1.5-11.1). CONCLUSION: To conclude, efforts should be made to improve the rate at which donors are followed up in New Caledonia with special attention to younger donors and donors without a marital link with the recipient.

The Limitations of the Rheumatogenic Concept for Group A Streptococcus: Systematic Review and Genetic Analysis.

BACKGROUND: The concept that a minority of group A streptococcus (GAS) emm types are more "rheumatogenic" than others has been widely disseminated. We aimed to provide a comprehensive list of acute rheumatic fever-associated GAS isolates and assess the presence of associated rheumatogenic motifs. METHODS: Articles reporting GAS emm-type or emm-type-specific antibody responses associated with rheumatic fever were identified from 1 January 1944 to 31 July 2018. The revised Jones criteria were used to define rheumatic fever with a maximum period of 4 weeks between disease onset and microbiological characterization. A database of 175 representative M-protein sequences was used to analyze the protein diversity of rheumatic fever-associated strains in a phylogenetic tree and to identify the presence of 10 previously recognized rheumatogenic motifs. RESULTS: We included 411 cases of rheumatic fever, for which microbiological characterization identified 73 different emm types associated with the disease. The classic rheumatogenic emm types represented only 12.3% of the 73 emm types and were responsible for 31.6% of the 411 clinical cases. Rheumatic fever-associated emm types were disseminated throughout the phylogeny, suggesting they belong to various genetic backgrounds. Rheumatic fever-associated motifs were present in only 15.1% of the rheumatic fever-associated emm types and only 24.8% of clinical cases. CONCLUSIONS: The concept of rheumatogenicity should be extended to include strains other than those classically described. Our results highlight significant knowledge gaps in the understanding of rheumatic fever pathogenesis and suggest that a GAS vaccine candidate should offer broad coverage against a variety of GAS genetic variants in order to protect against this serious sequela.

Estimate of male urethritis incidences in France between 2007 and 2017 with a specific focus on Neisseria gonorrhoeae, Chlamydia trachomatis, and Trichomonas vaginalis infections.

BACKGROUND: In a context of increasing use of Nucleic Acid Amplification Test, diagnoses of Neisseria gonorrhoeae and Chlamydia trachomatis infections among men increased in Europe and USA since 2007. We aimed to describe trends in the incidence of male urethritis in France between 2007 and 2017. METHODS: We analysed male urethritis clinical cases reported by the French GPs' Sentinelles network. RESULTS: GPs reported 1944 cases of male urethritis during the study period. The estimated annual incidence rates in men aged 15 years and older remained stable between 226 cases per 100,000 seen in 2007 and 196 in 2017 (P value = 0.9). A third-generation cephalosporin with macrolide or tetracycline was prescribed in 17.5% of cases in 2009 (27/154) and 32.4% in 2017 (47/145) (P value = 0.0327). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence rates for adult male urethritis diagnosed in primary care have remained stable since 2007 in France in contrast with the increasing trend of Neisseria gonorrhoeae and Chlamydia trachomatis infections based on microbiological surveillance. Using stable clinical definition for male urethritis seems essential to follow correctly epidemiological dynamic.

Secular trends in incidence of acute gastroenteritis in general practice, France, 1991 to 2015.

We analysed 25 years of general practitioner (GP) visits for acute gastroenteritis (AG) surveillance in France, by the GP Sentinelles network. We searched for time trends of acute gastroenteritis incidence during winter periods. Data from emergency departments and drug reimbursement were additional data sources. A time-series analysis was performed using a generalised additive model for all data sources for the winter period. Virological data were incorporated and compared with the three data sources. The cumulative incidence of GP visits for winter AG exhibited an increasing trend from 1991 until 2008, when it reached 6,466 per 100,000 inhabitants. It decreased thereafter to 3,918 per 100,000 inhabitants in 2015. This decreasing trend was observed for all age groups and confirmed by the generalised additive model. For emergency department visits a decreasing trend was observed from 2004. Drug reimbursement data analyses demonstrated a decreasing trend from when data began in 2009. The incidence reported by GPs and emergency departments was lower following the emergence of norovirus GII.4 2012 (p < 0.0001). Winter AG incidences seem to follow long-term rising and decreasing trends that are important to monitor through continuous surveillance to evaluate the impact of prevention strategies, such as future immunisation against acute viral gastroenteritis.

The emm-cluster typing system for Group A Streptococcus identifies epidemiologic similarities across the Pacific region.

BACKGROUND: Group A Streptococcus (GAS)-related disease is responsible for high mortality and morbidity in the Pacific region. The high diversity of circulating strains in this region has hindered vaccine development due to apparently low vaccine coverage of type-specific vaccines. METHOD: Prospective passive surveillance of all GAS isolates in New Caledonia was undertaken in 2012 using emm typing and emm-cluster typing. Molecular data were compared with the results from a prior study undertaken in the same country and with data from 2 other Pacific countries, Fiji and Australia. RESULTS: A high incidence of invasive infection was demonstrated at 43 cases per 100 000 inhabitants (95% confidence interval, 35-52 cases per 100 000 inhabitants). Three hundred eighteen GAS isolates belonging to 47 different emm types were collected. In Noumea, only 30% of the isolates recovered in 2012 belonged to an emm type that was present in the same city in 2006, whereas 69% of the isolates collected in 2012 belonged to an emm cluster present in 2006. When comparing New Caledonian, Australian, and Fijian data, very few common emm types were found, but 79%-86% of the isolates from each country belonged to an emm cluster present in all 3 countries. A vaccine that could protect against the 10 most frequent emm clusters in the Pacific region would potentially provide coverage ranging from 83% to 92%. CONCLUSIONS: This study confirms the high disease burden of GAS infection in New Caledonia and supports the added value of the emm-cluster typing system to analyze GAS epidemiology and to help inform global GAS vaccine formulation.

Prevalence of stages 3-5 chronic kidney disease in New Caledonia / Prévalence de la maladie rénale chronique stades 3-5 en Nouvelle-Calédonie.

New Caledonia is a French territory located in the South Pacific Ocean. The prevalence rate of end-stage renal disease is nearly 3,000 per million inhabitants, making it one of the highest prevalence rates in the world. Preventing chronic kidney disease is a major public health issue. This article presents prevalence rates of chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages 3-5 for New Caledonia defined by a glomerular filtration rate estimated below 60 mL/min/1.73 m2. Estimation was assessed from data collected during two "Adult health barometer" surveys carried out in the general adult population. Therefore, our study assessed two prevalence rates: 7.8% [6.1; 10.1] and 5.3% [3.3; 8.5]. Those prevalence rates were two to four times higher than in mainland France which is consistent with the high prevalence rate of end stage renal disease treated in New Caledonia. Hence, CKD prevention is essential for New Caledonia.

La Nouvelle-Calédonie est une collectivité française dans l'océan Pacifique Sud. Le taux de prévalence de l'insuffisance rénale chronique terminale traitée s'élève à près de 3 000 par million d'habitants, soit un des taux de prévalence parmi les plus élevés au monde. Cet article présente pour la première fois les taux de prévalence de la maladie rénale chronique aux stades 3-5 pour la Nouvelle-Calédonie, définie par un débit de filtration glomérulaire estimé inférieur à 60 mL/min/1,73 m2. Ces résultats ont été estimés à partir des deux enquêtes « Baromètre santé adulte ¼ en population générale adulte. Notre étude a estimé des taux de prévalence de 7,8 % [6,1 ; 10,1] et de 5,3 % [3,3 ; 8,5]. Le taux de prévalence de la maladie rénale chronique serait donc deux à quatre fois plus élevé qu'en France métropolitaine. La prévention de la maladie rénale chronique est primordiale pour la Nouvelle-Calédonie.

What is the relevancy of a surveillance of mumps without a systematic laboratory confirmation in highly immunized populations? Epidemiology of suspected and biologically confirmed mumps cases seen in general practice in France between 2014 and 2020.

BACKGROUND: In France, mumps surveillance is conducted in primary care by the Sentinelles network, the National Reference Centre for Measles, Mumps and Rubella and Santé publique France. AIM: The objective of this study was to estimate the incidence of suspected mumps in general practice, the proportion of laboratory confirmed cases and the factors associated with a virological confirmation. METHODS: General practitioners (GPs) participating in the Sentinelles network should report all patients with suspected mumps according to a clinical definition in case of parotitis and a serological definition in case of clinical expression without parotitis. All suspected mumps cases reported between January 2014 and December 2020 were included. A sample of these cases were tested by real time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) for mumps biological confirmation. RESULTS: A total of 252 individuals with suspected mumps were included in the study. The average annual incidence rate of suspected mumps in general practice in France between 2014 and 2020 was estimated at 11 cases per 100,000 population [CI95%: 6-17]. A mumps confirmation RT-PCR test was performed on 146 cases amongst which 17 (11.5 %) were positive. Age (between 20 and 29 years old), the presence of a clinical complication and an exposure to a suspected mumps case within the 21 days prior the current episode were associated with a mumps biological confirmation. CONCLUSION: If these results confirm the circulation of mumps virus in France, they highlight the limits of a surveillance without a systematic laboratory confirmation in highly immunized populations.

Determinants of poor adherence to secondary antibiotic prophylaxis for rheumatic fever recurrence on Lifou, New Caledonia: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Incidence of acute rheumatic fever (ARF) and prevalence of rheumatic heart disease (RHD) in the Pacific region, including New Caledonia, are amongst the highest in the world. The main priority of long-term management of ARF or RHD is to ensure secondary prophylaxis is adhered to. The objectives of this study were to evaluate rates of adherence in people receiving antibiotic prophylaxis by intramuscular injections of penicillin in Lifou and to determine the factors associated with a poor adherence in this population. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study and we included 70 patients receiving injections of antibiotic prophylaxis to prevent ARF recurrence on the island of Lifou. Patients were classified as "good-adherent" when the rate of adherence was ≥80% of the expected injections and as "poor-adherent" when it was <80%. Statistical analysis to identify factors associated with adherence was performed using a multivariate logistic regression model. RESULTS: Our study showed that 46% of patients from Lifou receiving antibiotic prophylaxis for ARF or RHD had a rate of adherence <80% and were therefore at high risk of recurrence of ARF. Three independent factors were protective against poor adherence: a household with more than five people (odds ratio, 0.25; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.08 to 0.75), a previous medical history of symptomatic ARF (odds ratio, 0.20; 95% CI, 0.04 to 0.98) and an adequate healthcare coverage (odds ratio, 0.21; 95% CI 0.06 to 0.72). CONCLUSIONS: To improve adherence to secondary prophylaxis in Lifou, we therefore propose the following recommendations arising from the results of this study: i) identifying patients receiving antibiotic prophylaxis without medical history of ARF to strengthen their therapeutic education and ii) improving the medical coverage in patients with ARF or RHD. We also recommend that the nurse designated for the ARF prevention program in Lifou coordinate an active recall system based on an updated local register. But the key point to improve adherence among Melanesian patients is probably to give appropriate information regarding the disease and the treatment, taking into account the Melanesian perceptions of the disease.

High prevalence of rheumatic heart disease in schoolchildren detected by echocardiography screening in New Caledonia.

AIM: Despite the well-documented burden of rheumatic heart disease (RHD) in several Pacific countries, the disease is poorly understood in New Caledonia. The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence of RHD detected by echocardiographic screening in school children. METHODS: An annual RHD screening programme is conducted by the Health and Social Agency of New Caledonia for school-aged children in their fourth year of primary school. For the purpose of this study, we used data collected during this echocardiographic screening between 2008 and 2010. RESULTS: Of 12,728 children screened, 50.2% were male and the mean age was 9.6 ± 0.6 years. Between 2008 and 2010, 114 children had RHD, corresponding to a prevalence of 8.9 cases per 1000 (95% confidence interval (CI) (7.3-10.6)). Prevalence of RHD was higher on the main island outside Greater Noumea (13.7 per 1000; 95% CI (9.8-17.5)) and in the outlying island groups (14.6 per 1000; 95% CI (8.4-20.9)) than in Greater Noumea (5.8 per 1000; 95% CI (4.1-7.5)). RHD was more prevalent in Melanesian children (13.5 per 1000; 95% CI (10.9-16.1)) than in European (1.8 per 1000; 95% CI (0.4-3.1)). CONCLUSION: This study documented a high prevalence of RHD in New Caledonia, particularly in districts located outside Noumea and in children of Melanesian heritage. These results uncover a hitherto unknown burden of disease in New Caledonia and underline the importance of delivering secondary prophylaxis to reduce the prevalence of RHD.

[Access to the kidney transplantation waiting list for peritoneal dialysis patients in New-Caledonia and Wallis and Futuna]. / Accès à la liste d'attente de greffe rénale des patients en dialyse péritonéale de Nouvelle-Calédonie et Wallis et Futuna.

INTRODUCTION: Since 2012, a deceased donor kidney transplant program exists for dialysis patients living in New-Caledonia in collaboration with Royal Prince Alfred Hospital in Sydney, Australia. This program has reduced the time spent out-of-territory for a renal transplantation and has reduced the economic burden of end stage renal disease in New-Caledonia. We have realised a photography of kidney transplants evaluation for patients in peritoneal dialysis in New-Caledonia and Wallis and Futuna. The first aim was to describe access to kidney transplants evaluation for dialysis patients. A second aim was to compare patients with a conformed kidney transplant evaluation and patients without transplant evaluation with no obvious reasons identified. METHOD: All patients in peritoneal dialysis in New-Caledonia and Wallis and Futuna at the 2018, 31st july were included. A standardised form was filled by two nephrologists. The computerised shared medical record was used to collect information. A kidney transplant evaluation was adequate for patients registered on transplant waiting list, patients with medical contraindications identified or patients with evaluation exams begun less than 6 months. RESULTS: In total, 61 patients were included. The average age was 62 years old. The chronic kidney disease care average time was 6.7 years and the dialysis average time was 2.0 years. Among them, 11 (18 %) were registered on the waiting list, 26 (43 %) had at least one kidney transplant medical contraindication, 3 (5 %) had begun transplant exam since less than 6 months and 21 (34 %) had no transplant exam begun or transplant exam begun since more than 6 months without medical contraindication identified. Among those 21 patients, the three most common reasons were a faulty programming transplant exam (67 %; n = 14), a remote living place (48 %; n = 10) and an intercurrent health event (29 %; n = 6). Among patients living in Noumea and suburbs, 74 % had a conformed transplant evaluation against 44 % in patients living outside Noumea and suburbs (P = 0.058). Nearly one in two patients not on the waiting list had have no information about kidney graft or the information was not recorded in the medical record. CONCLUSION: This study showed two main factors of a non-conformed transplantation evaluation: living outside Noumea and suburbs and a non-efficient planning of pre-transplant assessment exams. There is also a lack of information to the patient. These risk factors for late registration and non-registration must be considered by the healthcare teams. This study will provide a point of reference to assess the impact of actions to improve access to renal transplantation deployed in New-Caledonia.

Telenephrology and on-site nephrology: Comparable adequate dialysis care to patients living in remote Pacific Islands.

INTRODUCTION: End-stage renal disease is a major public health concern in New Caledonia and in Wallis and Futuna (prevalence value: 2542 per million population in 2017). Spread over the territory, 594 dialysis patients are followed up by nephrologists and partially by telemedicine due to the distance. The aim of our this study was to evaluate the quality of care provided by telemedicine for chronic dialysis patients on Wallis Island, a dialysis unit remote from Noumea (2100 km). METHODS: We compared two populations of haemodialysis patients, one based in Poindimie in New Caledonia and followed by monthly physical consultation, the other based on Wallis Island and followed by monthly teleconsultation and quarterly on-site consultation. RESULTS: From January 2012-December 2017, dialysis adequacy and survival data were recorded for 84 patients: 44 in Poindimie, 40 on Wallis Island. Dialysis adequacy (i.e. clinical, biological parameters) as well as occurrence of vascular access complications were no different regardless of the means of follow-up. During the study, 23 deaths occurred (11 in Poindimie, 12 on Wallis Island; p = 0.464). We did not find any difference in survival at one and six years (p = 0.46) between the two dialysis units. Evaluation for transplantation was lower for Wallisian patients (p = 0.042), without impact on the number of patients being transplanted (p = 0.678). CONCLUSION: Telemedicine is a valuable opportunity for the follow-up of remote chronic haemodialysis patients, allowing them to be treated close to home while ensuring optimal quality of care.

El Niño Southern Oscillation and leptospirosis outbreaks in New Caledonia.

Leptospirosis is an important cause of seasonal outbreaks in New Caledonia and the tropics. Using time series derived from high-quality laboratory-based surveillance from 2000-2012, we evaluated whether climatic factors, including El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and meteorological conditions allow for the prediction of leptospirosis outbreaks in New Caledonia. We found that La Niña periods are associated with high rainfall, and both of these factors were in turn, temporally associated with outbreaks of leptospirosis. The sea surface temperature in El Niño Box 4 allowed forecasting of leptospirosis outbreaks four months into the future, a time lag allowing public health authorities to increase preparedness. To our knowledge, our observations in New Caledonia are the first demonstration that ENSO has a strong association with leptospirosis. This association should be tested in other regions in the South Pacific, Asia or Latin America where ENSO may drive climate variability and the risk for leptospirosis outbreaks.

Prediction of survival benefits from progression-free survival benefits in advanced non-small-cell lung cancer: evidence from a meta-analysis of 2334 patients from 5 randomised trials.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether progression-free survival (PFS) can be considered a surrogate endpoint for overall survival (OS) in advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). DESIGN: Meta-analysis of individual patient data from randomised trials. SETTING: Five randomised controlled trials comparing docetaxel-based chemotherapy with vinorelbine-based chemotherapy for the first-line treatment of NSCLC. PARTICIPANTS: 2331 patients with advanced NSCLC. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Surrogacy of PFS for OS was assessed through the association between these endpoints and between the treatment effects on these endpoints. The surrogate threshold effect was the minimum treatment effect on PFS required to predict a non-zero treatment effect on OS. RESULTS: The median follow-up of patients still alive was 23.4 months. Median OS was 10 months and median PFS was 5.5 months. The treatment effects on PFS and OS were correlated, whether using centres (R²=0.62, 95% CI 0.52 to 0.72) or prognostic strata (R²=0.72, 95% CI 0.60 to 0.84) as units of analysis. The surrogate threshold effect was a PFS hazard ratio (HR) of 0.49 using centres or 0.53 using prognostic strata. CONCLUSIONS: These analyses provide only modest support for considering PFS as an acceptable surrogate for OS in patients with advanced NSCLC. Only treatments that have a major impact on PFS (risk reduction of at least 50%) would be expected to also have a significant effect on OS. Whether these results also apply to targeted therapies is an open question that requires independent evaluation.

Chikungunya virus and the mosquito vector Aedes aegypti in New Caledonia (South Pacific Region).

Chikungunya virus (CHIKV) is transmitted to humans through the bite of Aedes mosquitoes. During the 2005-2006 epidemic that occurred in the Indian Ocean Islands, a viral strain harboring a substitution of an alanine to valine at position 226 (E1-A226V) of the E1 glycoprotein enhanced the transmissibility of CHIKV by Aedes albopictus. In March 2011, autochthonous transmission of CHIKV was reported in New Caledonia (NC), an island located in the southwest Pacific Ocean. This was the first report of local chikungunya (CHIK) transmission in this region of the world. Phylogenetic analysis based on the complete genome demonstrated that the CHIKV-NC strain isolated from the first autochthonous human case belongs to the Asian lineage. This is consistent with the Indonesian origin of CHIK cases previously imported and detected. Thus the CHIKV-NC does not present a valine substitution at position E1-226. In New Caledonia, the putative vector of CHIKV is Aedes aegypti, since no other potential vector has ever been described. For example, A. albopictus is not found in NC. Vector competence experiments showed that A. aegypti from New Caledonia was able to transmit, as early as 3 days post-infection, two CHIKV strains: CHIKV-NC belonging to the Asian lineage, and CHIKV-RE from Reunion Island harboring the E1-A226V mutation. Thus the extrinsic incubation period of both CHIKV strains in this vector species could be considered to be quite short. These results illustrate the threat of the spread of CHIKV in the South Pacific region. From February to June 2011 (the end of the alert), only 33 cases were detected. Implementation of drastic vector control measures and the occurrence of the cold season probably helped to limit the extent of the outbreak, but other factors may have also been involved and are discussed.