Risk of osteoporotic fractures following stroke in older persons.

UNLABELLED: The aim of this study was to explore the increased risk of stroke survivors to different sustained osteoporotic fractures. We used hospital data and data on functional impairment. We found a higher risk in stroke survivors without functional impairment with the risk higher for lower than for upper extremity fractures. INTRODUCTION: Stroke survivors are at high risk of osteoporotic fractures due to frequent falls and an increased risk to develop osteoporosis. Data on their relative risk to sustain other than hip fractures is limited. Furthermore, the role of severe functional impairment on their fracture risk has not been considered yet. The aim of this study was to determine the relative risk of stroke survivors to sustain different osteoporotic fractures with regard to the presence of severe functional impairment. METHODS: Data from 2004 to 2009 of more than 1.2 million individuals aged 65 years or older and insured at a large German health insurance company were used for the analyses. Incident stroke and fractures were obtained from hospital diagnoses. Analyses were stratified by gender and information on severe functional impairment. Persons without preceding incident stroke were used as the reference group. Multistate models were used to estimate hazard ratios. RESULTS: Stroke survivors had a higher risk for fractures. However, a strong effect modification by functional impairment was apparent. Stroke survivors with functional impairment had no significantly increased risk for any fractures site compared to the corresponding reference group with functional impairment. In contrast, stroke survivors without functional impairment had a clearly and significantly increased fracture risk for most fracture sites. In these persons, the relative fracture risk for fractures of the lower extremities was higher than for fractures of the upper extremities. CONCLUSION: To evaluate the relative risk of stroke survivors for osteoporotic fractures, functional status appears to be a relevant parameter.

[Cost of fractures in German hospitals--what role does osteoporosis play?]. / Frakturkosten im deutschen Krankenhaussektor--Welche Rolle spielt die Osteoporose?

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to examine the total and osteoporosis-attributable inpatient costs of 16 fracture types accrued in the German hospital sector in the year 2009. METHODS: To calculate the inpatient fracture costs in the hospital sector we combined data from different official German statistics, i.e., fracture-specific diagnosis data from female and male inpatients in 2009, population data, fracture-specific diagnosis-related groups (DRGs), and per diem capital costs in hospitals. The share of fractures which were attributable to osteoporosis had been estimated by the epidemiological concept of "population attributable risk". Calculation of these risks was based on empirical data obtained from the national and international literature. RESULTS: For the year 2009 the total inpatient costs accrued by the 16 fracture types considered in our analyses amounted to 2.4 billion Euros. Of these, 860 million Euros (36%) were attributable to osteoporosis. The main cost drivers were hip fractures. CONCLUSION: Fractures accrue relevant hospital costs in Germany. In order to use the limited resources of the German health-care system in an efficient way, future measures to reduce the number of incident fractures should be designed and evaluated in terms of cost-effectiveness.

The health burden and costs of incident fractures attributable to osteoporosis from 2010 to 2050 in Germany--a demographic simulation model.

UNLABELLED: To predict the burden of incident osteoporosis attributable fractures (OAF) in Germany, an economic simulation model was built. The burden of OAF will sharply increase until 2050. Future demand for hospital and long-term care can be expected to substantially rise and should be considered in future healthcare planning. INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study was to develop an innovative simulation model to predict the burden of incident OAF occurring in the German population, aged >50, in the time period of 2010 to 2050. METHODS: A Markov state transition model based on five fracture states was developed to estimate costs and loss of quality adjusted life years (QALYs). Demographic change was modelled using individual generation life tables. Direct (inpatient, outpatient, long-term care) and indirect fracture costs attributable to osteoporosis were estimated by comparing Markov cohorts with and without osteoporosis. RESULTS: The number of OAF will rise from 115,248 in 2010 to 273,794 in 2050, cumulating to approximately 8.1 million fractures (78 % women, 22 % men) during the period between 2010 and 2050. Total undiscounted incident OAF costs will increase from around 1.0 billion Euros in 2010 to 6.1 billion Euros in 2050. Discounted (3 %) cumulated costs from 2010 to 2050 will amount to 88.5 billion Euros (168.5 undiscounted), with 76 % being direct and 24 % indirect costs. The discounted (undiscounted) cumulated loss of QALYs will amount to 2.5 (4.9) million. CONCLUSIONS: We found that incident OAF costs will sharply increase until the year 2050. As a consequence, a growing demand for long-term care as well as hospital care can be expected and should be considered in future healthcare planning. To support decision makers in managing the future burden of OAF, our model allows to economically evaluate population- and risk group-based interventions for fracture prevention in Germany.