Predictors of serious adverse events and non-response in cirrhotic patients with primary biliary cholangitis treated with obeticholic acid.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Obeticholic acid (OCA) has recently been restricted in patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) with "advanced cirrhosis" because of its narrow therapeutic index. We aimed to better define the predicting factors of hepatic serious adverse events (SAEs) and non-response in cirrhotic patients undergoing OCA therapy. METHODS: Safety and efficacy of treatment were evaluated in a cohort of consecutive PBC cirrhotic patients started with OCA. OCA response was evaluated according to the Poise criteria. Risk factors for hepatic SAEs and non-response were reported as risk ratios (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: One hundred PBC cirrhotics were included, 97 Child-Pugh class A and 3 class B. Thirty-one had oesophageal varices and 5 had a history of ascites. Thirty-three per cent and 32% of patients achieved a biochemical response at 6 and 12 months respectively. Male sex (adjusted-RR 1.75, 95%CI 1.42-2.12), INR (1.37, 1.00-1.87), Child-Pugh score (1.79, 1.28-2.50), MELD (1.17, 1.04-1.30) and bilirubin (1.83, 1.11-3.01) were independently associated with non-response to OCA. Twenty-two patients discontinued OCA within 12 months: 10 for pruritus, 9 for hepatic SAEs (5 for jaundice and/or ascitic decompensation; 4 for upper digestive bleeding). INR (adjusted-RR 1.91, 95%CI 1.10-3.36), lower albumin levels (0.18, 0.06-0.51), Child-Pugh score (2.43, 1.50-4.04), history of ascites (3.5, 1.85-6.5) and bilirubin (1.30, 1.05-1.56), were associated with hepatic SAEs. A total bilirubin≥1.4 mg/dl at baseline was the most accurate biochemical predictor of hepatic SAEs under OCA. CONCLUSIONS: An accurate baseline assessment is crucial to select cirrhotic patients who can benefit from OCA. Although OCA is effective in one third of cirrhotics, bilirubin level ≥1.4 mg/dl should discourage from its use.

Risk Factors for Liver Decompensation and HCC in HCV-Cirrhotic Patients after DAAs: A Multicenter Prospective Study.

BACKGROUND: Prospective studies on predictors of liver-related events in cirrhotic subjects achieving SVR after DAAs are lacking. METHODS: We prospectively enrolled HCV cirrhotic patients in four Italian centers between November 2015 and October 2017. SVR and no-SVR cases were compared according to the presence or absence of liver-related events during a 24-month follow-up. Independent predictors of liver-related events were evaluated by Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 706 subjects started DAAs therapy. SVR was confirmed in 687 (97.3%). A total of 61 subjects (8.9%) in the SVR group and 5 (26.3%) in the no-SVR group had liver-related events (p < 0.03). The incidence rate x 100 p/y was 1.6 for HCC, 1.7 for any liver decompensation, and 0.5 for hepatic death. Baseline liver stiffness (LSM) ≥ 20 kPa (HR 4.0; 95% CI 1.1-14.1) and genotype different from 1 (HR 7.5; 95% CI 2.1-27.3) were both independent predictors of liver decompensation. Baseline LSM > 20 KPa (HR 7.2; 95% CI 1.9-26.7) was the sole independent predictor of HCC. A decrease in liver stiffness (Delta LSM) by at least 20% at the end of follow-up was not associated with a decreased risk of liver-related events. CONCLUSION: Baseline LSM ≥ 20 kPa identifies HCV cirrhotic subjects at higher risk of liver-related events after SVR.

Arterial stiffness is increased in patients with inflammatory bowel disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Recent studies have reported early atherosclerosis in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). In these patients, the chronic low-grade inflammation may predispose to vascular remodelling and arterial stiffening. We aimed at studying arterial stiffness in IBD patients. METHODS: Thirty-two IBD patients without cardiovascular risk factors and 32 matched controls were enrolled (age 19-49 years). SphygmoCor device (AtCor Medical, Sydney, Australia) was used to measure carotid-femoral and carotid-radial (muscular artery) pulse wave velocity (PWV), augmentation index and central blood pressure. RESULTS: Carotid-femoral PWV was higher in IBD patients than in controls (6.6 ±â€Š1.4 vs. 6.0 ±â€Š0.8 m/s, respectively, P < 0.05), as well as carotid-radial PWV (8.5 ±â€Š1.2 vs. 7.2 ±â€Š1.0 m/s, P < 0.001). Central pulse pressure was higher in IBD than in controls (32 ±â€Š6 vs. 28 ±â€Š7 mmHg, P < 0.05). Aging was an important determinant of carotid-femoral PWV in both groups and carotid-radial PWV only in IBD patients. In fully adjusted model performed in both groups of patients considered as a whole, age was positively associated with carotid-femoral PWV [R(2) = 0.10; +0.05 m/s per 1 year of aging, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.01-0.08 m/s, P < 0.05], as well as IBD (R(2) = 0.10; +0.72 m/s if IBD present, 95% CI 0.19-1.26 m/s, P < 0.05). In IBD patients, carotid-radial PWV was positively associated with the disease duration (R(2) = 0.20; +0.11 m/s per 1 year of aging, 95% CI 0.03-0.19 m/s, P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Arterial stiffness is increased in patients with IBD independently of conventional cardiovascular risk factors.