RESUMO
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is considered as the second cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. Genetic variations are associated with HCC risk, an issue that has been the subject of several meta-analyses. However, meta-analyses have an important limitation on the likelihood of false positive data. Henceforth, this study aimed to assess the level of noteworthiness in the meta-analyses by means of a Bayesian approach. A systematic search was performed for meta-analyses with associations between gene polymorphisms and HCC. The calculations for the False-Positive Rate Probability (FPRP) and the Bayesian False Discovery Probability (BFDP) were performed to assess the noteworthiness with a statistical power of 1.2 and 1.5 of Odds Ratio at a prior probability of 10-3 and 10-5. The quality of studies was evaluated by the Venice criteria. As additional analyses, the gene-gene and protein-protein networks were designed for these genes and products. As results, we found 33 meta-analytic studies on 45 polymorphisms occurring in 35 genes. A total of 1,280 values for FPRP and BFDP were obtained. Seventy-five for FPRP (5.86%) and 95 for BFDP (14.79%) were noteworthy. In conclusion, the polymorphisms in CCND1, CTLA4, EGF, IL6, IL12A, KIF1B, MDM2, MICA, miR-499, MTHFR, PNPLA3, STAT4, TM6SF2, and XPD genes were considered as noteworthy biomarkers for HCC risk.