Risk of Kidney Failure in Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease Undergoing Colectomy: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is frequently accompanied by kidney complications. Potential triggers or subpopulations at high-risk of kidney problems are not well-elucidated. We hypothesized that surgical interventions, specifically colectomy, might in part explain this risk. METHODS: This study was a nationwide Swedish cohort study comprising 82,051 individuals with biopsy-proven IBD diagnosed during 1965 to 2017, with follow-up until 2019. We investigated the association between incident colectomy (time-varying exposure) and future risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) and kidney failure (diagnosis of end-stage kidney disease or death due to chronic kidney disease) using Cox proportional hazard models. We also examined the impact of partial vs total colectomy and the presence/duration of a stoma. Covariates included demographics, education level, and selected comorbidities. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 14 years, 16,479 individuals underwent colectomy, and 2556 AKI and 1146 kidney failure events occurred. Colectomy was associated with an increased relative risk of both AKI (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.37; 95% confidence interval, 2.17-2.58) and kidney failure (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.54; 95% confidence interval, 1.34-1.76). Compared with pre-colectomy periods, undergoing total colectomy and colectomy with prolonged stoma showed higher risks of both kidney outcomes versus partial colectomy or colectomy with a temporary stoma, respectively. Subgroup analyses suggested higher risks in patients with ulcerative colitis. CONCLUSIONS: In people with IBD, rates of AKI and kidney failure are higher among those undergoing colectomy, particularly among those following total colectomy, or colectomy with a prolonged stoma. This study identifies a high-risk population that may benefit from established protocols for kidney function monitoring/surveillance and referral to nephrologist care.

Absolute and Relative Risks of Kidney and Urological Complications in Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease.

INTRODUCTION: The burden of kidney and urological complications in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) remains poorly characterized. METHODS: We analyzed association between developing IBD (as a time-varying exposure) and relative risks of receiving diagnoses of chronic kidney disease (CKD), acute kidney injury (AKI), or kidney stones, and experiencing a clinically-relevant decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (CKD progression; composite of kidney failure or an eGFR decline ≥30%) in 1,682,795 individuals seeking healthcare in Stockholm, Sweden, during 2006-2018. We quantified 5- and 10-year absolute risks of these complications in a parallel matched cohort of IBD cases and random controls matched (1:5) on sex, age, and eGFR. RESULTS: During median 9 years, 10,117 participants developed IBD. Incident IBD was associated with higher risks of kidney-related complications compared with non-IBD periods: hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval) was 1.24 (1.10-1.40) for receiving a CKD diagnosis and 1.11 (1.00-1.24) for CKD progression. For absolute risks, 11.8% IBD cases had a CKD event within 10-year. Of these, 6.4% received a CKD diagnosis, and 7.9% reached CKD progression. The risks of AKI (HR 1.97 [1.70-2.29]; 10-year absolute risk 3.6%) and kidney stones (HR 1.69 [1.48-1.93]; 10-year absolute risk 5.6%) were also elevated. Risks were similar in Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis. DISCUSSION: More than 10% of patients with IBD developed CKD within 10-year from diagnosis, with many not being identified through diagnostic codes. This, together with their elevated AKI and kidney stone risks, highlights the need of established protocols for kidney function monitoring and referral to nephrological/urological care for patients with IBD.

The Kidney Failure Risk Equation: Evaluation of Novel Input Variables including eGFR Estimated Using the CKD-EPI 2021 Equation in 59 Cohorts.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: The kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) uses age, sex, GFR, and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) to predict 2- and 5-year risk of kidney failure in populations with eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 . However, the CKD-EPI 2021 creatinine equation for eGFR is now recommended for use but has not been fully tested in the context of KFRE. In 59 cohorts comprising 312,424 patients with CKD, the authors assessed the predictive performance and calibration associated with the use of the CKD-EPI 2021 equation and whether additional variables and accounting for the competing risk of death improves the KFRE's performance. The KFRE generally performed well using the CKD-EPI 2021 eGFR in populations with eGFR <45 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 and was not improved by adding the 2-year prior eGFR slope and cardiovascular comorbidities. BACKGROUND: The kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) uses age, sex, GFR, and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) to predict kidney failure risk in people with GFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 . METHODS: Using 59 cohorts with 312,424 patients with CKD, we tested several modifications to the KFRE for their potential to improve the KFRE: using the CKD-EPI 2021 creatinine equation for eGFR, substituting 1-year average ACR for single-measure ACR and 1-year average eGFR in participants with high eGFR variability, and adding 2-year prior eGFR slope and cardiovascular comorbidities. We also assessed calibration of the KFRE in subgroups of eGFR and age before and after accounting for the competing risk of death. RESULTS: The KFRE remained accurate and well calibrated overall using the CKD-EPI 2021 eGFR equation. The other modifications did not improve KFRE performance. In subgroups of eGFR 45-59 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 and in older adults using the 5-year time horizon, the KFRE demonstrated systematic underprediction and overprediction, respectively. We developed and tested a new model with a spline term in eGFR and incorporating the competing risk of mortality, resulting in more accurate calibration in those specific subgroups but not overall. CONCLUSIONS: The original KFRE is generally accurate for eGFR <45 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 when using the CKD-EPI 2021 equation. Incorporating competing risk methodology and splines for eGFR may improve calibration in low-risk settings with longer time horizons. Including historical averages, eGFR slopes, or a competing risk design did not meaningfully alter KFRE performance in most circumstances.

Major cardiovascular events and subsequent risk of kidney failure with replacement therapy: a CKD Prognosis Consortium study.

AIMS: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) increases risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Less is known about how CVD associates with future risk of kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT). METHODS AND RESULTS: The study included 25 903 761 individuals from the CKD Prognosis Consortium with known baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and evaluated the impact of prevalent and incident coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, heart failure (HF), and atrial fibrillation (AF) events as time-varying exposures on KFRT outcomes. Mean age was 53 (standard deviation 17) years and mean eGFR was 89 mL/min/1.73 m2, 15% had diabetes and 8.4% had urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) available (median 13 mg/g); 9.5% had prevalent CHD, 3.2% prior stroke, 3.3% HF, and 4.4% prior AF. During follow-up, there were 269 142 CHD, 311 021 stroke, 712 556 HF, and 605 596 AF incident events and 101 044 (0.4%) patients experienced KFRT. Both prevalent and incident CVD were associated with subsequent KFRT with adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of 3.1 [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.9-3.3], 2.0 (1.9-2.1), 4.5 (4.2-4.9), 2.8 (2.7-3.1) after incident CHD, stroke, HF and AF, respectively. HRs were highest in first 3 months post-CVD incidence declining to baseline after 3 years. Incident HF hospitalizations showed the strongest association with KFRT [HR 46 (95% CI: 43-50) within 3 months] after adjustment for other CVD subtype incidence. CONCLUSION: Incident CVD events strongly and independently associate with future KFRT risk, most notably after HF, then CHD, stroke, and AF. Optimal strategies for addressing the dramatic risk of KFRT following CVD events are needed.

Removing race from the CKD-EPI equation and its impact on prognosis in a predominantly White European population.

BACKGROUND: While American nephrology societies recommend using the 2021 Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) equation without a Black race coefficient, it is unknown how this would impact disease distribution, prognosis and kidney failure risk prediction in predominantly White non-US populations. METHODS: We studied 1.6 million Stockholm adults with serum/plasma creatinine measurements between 2007 and 2019. We calculated changes in eGFR and reclassification across KDIGO GFR categories when changing from the 2009 to 2021 CKD-EPI equation; estimated associations between eGFR and the clinical outcomes kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT), (cardiovascular) mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events using Cox regression; and investigated prognostic accuracy (discrimination and calibration) of both equations within the Kidney Failure Risk Equation. RESULTS: Compared with the 2009 equation, the 2021 equation yielded a higher eGFR by a median [interquartile range (IQR)] of 3.9 (2.9-4.8) mL/min/1.73 m2, which was larger at older age and for men. Consequently, 9.9% of the total population and 36.2% of the population with CKD G3a-G5 was reclassified to a higher eGFR category. Reclassified individuals exhibited a lower risk of KFRT, but higher risks of all-cause/cardiovascular death and major adverse cardiovascular events, compared with non-reclassified participants of similar eGFR. eGFR by both equations strongly predicted study outcomes, with equal discrimination and calibration for the Kidney Failure Risk Equation. CONCLUSIONS: Implementing the 2021 CKD-EPI equation in predominantly White European populations would raise eGFR by a modest amount (larger at older age and in men) and shift a major proportion of CKD patients to a higher eGFR category. eGFR by both equations strongly predicted outcomes.

Sex Differences in the Recognition, Monitoring, and Management of CKD in Health Care: An Observational Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: Reported sex differences in the etiology, population prevalence, progression rates, and health outcomes of people with CKD may be explained by differences in health care. METHODS: We evaluated sex as the variable of interest in a health care-based study of adults (n=227,847) with at least one outpatient eGFR<60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 measurement denoting probable CKD in Stockholm from 2009 to 2017. We calculated the odds ratios for diagnosis of CKD and provision of RASi and statins at inclusion, and hazard ratios for CKD diagnosis, visiting a nephrologist, or monitoring creatinine and albuminuria during follow-up. RESULTS: We identified 227,847 subjects, of whom 126,289 were women (55%). At inclusion, women had lower odds of having received a diagnostic code for CKD and were less likely to have received RASi and statins, despite having guideline-recommended indications. In time-to-event analyses, women were less likely to have received a CKD diagnosis (HR, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.42 to 0.45) and visited a nephrologist (HR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.43 to 0.48) regardless of disease severity, presence of albuminuria, or criteria for referral. Women were also less likely to undergo monitoring of creatinine or albuminuria, including those with diabetes or hypertension. These differences remained after adjustment for comorbidities, albuminuria, and highest educational achievement, and among subjects with confirmed CKD at retesting. Although in absolute terms all nephrology-care indicators gradually improved over time, the observed sex gap persisted. CONCLUSIONS: There were profound sex differences in the detection, recognition, monitoring, referrals, and management of CKD. The disparity was also observed in people at high risk and among those who had guideline-recommended indications. PODCAST: This article contains a podcast at https://www.asn-online.org/media/podcast/JASN/2022_10_11_JASN2022030373.mp3.

Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate, Albuminuria, and Adverse Outcomes: An Individual-Participant Data Meta-Analysis.

Importance: Chronic kidney disease (low estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] or albuminuria) affects approximately 14% of adults in the US. Objective: To evaluate associations of lower eGFR based on creatinine alone, lower eGFR based on creatinine combined with cystatin C, and more severe albuminuria with adverse kidney outcomes, cardiovascular outcomes, and other health outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants: Individual-participant data meta-analysis of 27 503 140 individuals from 114 global cohorts (eGFR based on creatinine alone) and 720 736 individuals from 20 cohorts (eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C) and 9 067 753 individuals from 114 cohorts (albuminuria) from 1980 to 2021. Exposures: The Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration 2021 equations for eGFR based on creatinine alone and eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C; and albuminuria estimated as urine albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR). Main Outcomes and Measures: The risk of kidney failure requiring replacement therapy, all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, acute kidney injury, any hospitalization, coronary heart disease, stroke, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and peripheral artery disease. The analyses were performed within each cohort and summarized with random-effects meta-analyses. Results: Within the population using eGFR based on creatinine alone (mean age, 54 years [SD, 17 years]; 51% were women; mean follow-up time, 4.8 years [SD, 3.3 years]), the mean eGFR was 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 (SD, 22 mL/min/1.73 m2) and the median UACR was 11 mg/g (IQR, 8-16 mg/g). Within the population using eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C (mean age, 59 years [SD, 12 years]; 53% were women; mean follow-up time, 10.8 years [SD, 4.1 years]), the mean eGFR was 88 mL/min/1.73 m2 (SD, 22 mL/min/1.73 m2) and the median UACR was 9 mg/g (IQR, 6-18 mg/g). Lower eGFR (whether based on creatinine alone or based on creatinine and cystatin C) and higher UACR were each significantly associated with higher risk for each of the 10 adverse outcomes, including those in the mildest categories of chronic kidney disease. For example, among people with a UACR less than 10 mg/g, an eGFR of 45 to 59 mL/min/1.73 m2 based on creatinine alone was associated with significantly higher hospitalization rates compared with an eGFR of 90 to 104 mL/min/1.73 m2 (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.3 [95% CI, 1.2-1.3]; 161 vs 79 events per 1000 person-years; excess absolute risk, 22 events per 1000 person-years [95% CI, 19-25 events per 1000 person-years]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this retrospective analysis of 114 cohorts, lower eGFR based on creatinine alone, lower eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C, and more severe UACR were each associated with increased rates of 10 adverse outcomes, including adverse kidney outcomes, cardiovascular diseases, and hospitalizations.

GLP-1 receptor agonist versus DPP-4 inhibitor and kidney and cardiovascular outcomes in clinical practice in type-2 diabetes.

Whether glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP1-RA) reduce detrimental kidney outcomes is uncertain. In secondary analyses, trials have shown consistent reductions in macroalbuminuria, but inconclusive results about kidney function decline. To help clarify this, we conducted a cohort study to compare kidney and cardiovascular outcomes in individuals who started GLP1-RA or dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4i) (reduces degradation of endogenous GLP1). The primary outcome was a composite of sustained doubling of creatinine, kidney failure or kidney death. The secondary outcomes were three-point major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and its individual components. Propensity score weighted Cox regression was used to balance 53 confounders. A total of 19,766 individuals were included, of whom 5,699 initiated GLP1-RA, and were followed for a median 2.9 years. Mean age was 63 years, 26.2% had atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and 16.0% had an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) under 60 ml/min/1.73m2. The adjusted hazard ratio for GLP1-RA vs. DPP4i was 0.72 (95% confidence interval 0.53-0.98) for the composite kidney outcome and 0.85 (0.73-0.99) for MACE, with absolute five-year risk reductions of 0.8% (0.1%-1.5%) and 1.6% (0.2%-2.9%), respectively. Hazard ratios were 0.79 (0.60-1.05) for cardiovascular death, 0.86 (0.68-1.09) for myocardial infarction and 0.74 (0.59-0.93) for stroke. Results were consistent within subgroups, including age, sex, eGFR and baseline metformin use. Thus, in our analysis of patients from routine clinical practice, the use of GLP1-RA was associated with a lower risk of kidney outcomes compared with DPP4i. Reductions in both kidney outcomes and MACE were similar in magnitude to those reported in large cardiovascular outcome trials.

Comprehensive comparison of stroke risk score performance: a systematic review and meta-analysis among 6 267 728 patients with atrial fibrillation.

AIMS: Multiple risk scores to predict ischaemic stroke (IS) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) have been developed. This study aims to systematically review these scores, their validations and updates, assess their methodological quality, and calculate pooled estimates of the predictive performance. METHODS AND RESULTS: We searched PubMed and Web of Science for studies developing, validating, or updating risk scores for IS in AF patients. Methodological quality was assessed using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST). To assess discrimination, pooled c-statistics were calculated using random-effects meta-analysis. We identified 19 scores, which were validated and updated once or more in 70 and 40 studies, respectively, including 329 validations and 76 updates-nearly all on the CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2. Pooled c-statistics were calculated among 6 267 728 patients and 359 373 events of IS. For the CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2, pooled c-statistics were 0.644 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.635-0.653] and 0.658 (0.644-0.672), respectively. Better discriminatory abilities were found in the newer risk scores, with the modified-CHADS2 demonstrating the best discrimination [c-statistic 0.715 (0.674-0.754)]. Updates were found for the CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2 only, showing improved discrimination. Calibration was reasonable but available for only 17 studies. The PROBAST indicated a risk of methodological bias in all studies. CONCLUSION: Nineteen risk scores and 76 updates are available to predict IS in patients with AF. The guideline-endorsed CHA2DS2-VASc shows inferior discriminative abilities compared with newer scores. Additional external validations and data on calibration are required before considering the newer scores in clinical practice. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ID CRD4202161247 (PROSPERO).

Stopping Renin-Angiotensin System Inhibitors in Patients with Advanced CKD and Risk of Adverse Outcomes: A Nationwide Study.

BACKGROUND: It is unknown whether stopping renin-angiotensin system (RAS) inhibitor therapy in patients with advanced CKD affects outcomes. METHODS: We studied patients referred to nephrologist care, listed on the Swedish Renal Registry during 2007-2017, who developed advanced CKD (eGFR<30 ml/min per 1.73 m2) while on RAS inhibitor therapy. Using target trial emulation techniques on the basis of cloning, censoring, and weighting, we compared the risks of stopping within 6 months and remaining off treatment versus continuing RAS inhibitor therapy. These included risks of subsequent 5-year all-cause mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events, and initiation of kidney replacement therapy (KRT). RESULTS: Of 10,254 prevalent RAS inhibitor users (median age 72 years, 36% female) with new-onset eGFR <30 ml/min per 1.73 m2, 1553 (15%) stopped RAS inhibitor therapy within 6 months. Median eGFR was 23 ml/min per 1.73 m2. Compared with continuing RAS inhibition, stopping this therapy was associated with a higher absolute 5-year risk of death (40.9% versus 54.5%) and major adverse cardiovascular events (47.6% versus 59.5%), but with a lower risk of KRT (36.1% versus 27.9%); these corresponded to absolute risk differences of 13.6 events per 100 patients, 11.9 events per 100 patients, and -8.3 events per 100 patients, respectively. Results were consistent whether patients stopped RAS inhibition at higher or lower eGFR, across prespecified subgroups, after adjustment and stratification for albuminuria and potassium, and when modeling RAS inhibition as a time-dependent exposure using a marginal structural model. CONCLUSIONS: In this nationwide observational study of people with advanced CKD, stopping RAS inhibition was associated with higher absolute risks of mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events, but also with a lower absolute risk of initiating KRT.

Validation of risk scores for ischaemic stroke in atrial fibrillation across the spectrum of kidney function.

AIMS: The increasing prevalence of ischaemic stroke (IS) can partly be explained by the likewise growing number of patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Risk scores have been developed to identify high-risk patients, allowing for personalized anticoagulation therapy. However, predictive performance in CKD is unclear. The aim of this study is to validate six commonly used risk scores for IS in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients across the spectrum of kidney function. METHODS AND RESULTS: Overall, 36 004 subjects with newly diagnosed AF from SCREAM (Stockholm CREAtinine Measurements), a healthcare utilization cohort of Stockholm residents, were included. Predictive performance of the AFI, CHADS2, Modified CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, ATRIA, and GARFIELD-AF risk scores was evaluated across three strata of kidney function: normal kidney function [estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) >60 mL/min/1.73 m2], mild CKD (eGFR 30-60 mL/min/1.73 m2), and advanced CKD (eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2). Predictive performance was assessed by discrimination and calibration. During 1.9 years, 3069 (8.5%) patients suffered an IS. Discrimination was dependent on eGFR: the median c-statistic in normal eGFR was 0.75 (range 0.68-0.78), but decreased to 0.68 (0.58-0.73) and 0.68 (0.55-0.74) for mild and advanced CKD, respectively. Calibration was reasonable and largely independent of eGFR. The Modified CHADS2 score showed good performance across kidney function strata, both for discrimination [c-statistic: 0.78 (95% confidence interval 0.77-0.79), 0.73 (0.71-0.74) and 0.74 (0.69-0.79), respectively] and calibration. CONCLUSION: In the most clinically relevant stages of CKD, predictive performance of the majority of risk scores was poor, increasing the risk of misclassification and thus of over- or undertreatment. The Modified CHADS2 score performed good and consistently across all kidney function strata, and should therefore be preferred for risk estimation in AF patients.

Global, Regional, and National Burden of Calcific Aortic Valve and Degenerative Mitral Valve Diseases, 1990-2017.

BACKGROUND: Nonrheumatic valvular diseases are common; however, no studies have estimated their global or national burden. As part of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017, mortality, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for calcific aortic valve disease (CAVD), degenerative mitral valve disease, and other nonrheumatic valvular diseases were estimated for 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2017. METHODS: Vital registration data, epidemiologic survey data, and administrative hospital data were used to estimate disease burden using the Global Burden of Disease Study modeling framework, which ensures comparability across locations. Geospatial statistical methods were used to estimate disease for all countries, because data on nonrheumatic valvular diseases are extremely limited for some regions of the world, such as Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. Results accounted for estimated level of disease severity as well as the estimated availability of valve repair or replacement procedures. DALYs and other measures of health-related burden were generated for both sexes and each 5-year age group, location, and year from 1990 to 2017. RESULTS: Globally, CAVD and degenerative mitral valve disease caused 102 700 (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 82 700-107 900) and 35 700 (95% UI, 30 500-42 500) deaths, and 12.6 million (95% UI, 11.4 million-13.8 million) and 18.1 million (95% UI, 17.6 million-18.6 million) prevalent cases existed in 2017, respectively. A total of 2.5 million (95% UI, 2.3 million-2.8 million) DALYs were estimated as caused by nonrheumatic valvular diseases globally, representing 0.10% (95% UI, 0.09%-0.11%) of total lost health from all diseases in 2017. The number of DALYs increased for CAVD and degenerative mitral valve disease between 1990 and 2017 by 101% (95% UI, 79%-117%) and 35% (95% UI, 23%-47%), respectively. There is significant geographic variation in the prevalence, mortality rate, and overall burden of these diseases, with highest age-standardized DALY rates of CAVD estimated for high-income countries. CONCLUSIONS: These global and national estimates demonstrate that CAVD and degenerative mitral valve disease are important causes of disease burden among older adults. Efforts to clarify modifiable risk factors and improve access to valve interventions are necessary if progress is to be made toward reducing, and eventually eliminating, the burden of these highly treatable diseases.

Evolution of body composition and wasting indicators by time of day of haemodialysis.

BACKGROUND: It has been a long-standing clinical concern that haemodialysis (HD) patients on afternoon shifts (ASs) are more prone to protein-energy wasting (PEW) than those on morning shifts (MSs), as their dialysis scheme and post-dialysis symptoms may interfere with meal intake. We evaluated the effect of time of day of HD on the evolution of body composition changes and PEW surrogates. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study among 9.963 incident HD patients treated in NephroCare centres (2011-16); data were routinely collected in the European Clinical Database. The course of multi-frequency bioimpedance determined lean and fat tissue indices (LTI and FTI) between patients in MSs/ASs over 2 years were compared with linear mixed models. Secondary PEW indicators were body mass index, albumin, creatinine index and normalized protein catabolic rate. Models included fixed (age, sex, vascular access and diabetes mellitus) and random effects (country and patient). RESULTS: Mean baseline LTI and FTI were comparable between MSs (LTI: 12.5 ± 2.9 kg/m2 and FTI: 13.7 ± 6.0 kg/m2) and ASs (LTI: 12.4 ± 2.9 kg/m2 and FTI: 13.2 ± 6.1 kg/m2). During follow-up, LTI decreased and FTI increased similarly, with a mean absolute change (baseline to 24 months) of -0.3 kg/m2 for LTI and +1.0 kg/m2 for FTI. The course of these malnutrition indicators did not differ between dialysis shifts (P for interaction ≥0.10). We also did not observe differences between groups for secondary PEW indicators. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that a dialysis shift in the morning or in the afternoon does not impact the long-term nutritional status of HD patients. Regardless of time of day of HD, patients progressively lose muscle mass and increase body fat.

Effects of a resistance training program in kidney transplant recipients: A randomized controlled trial.

Kidney transplant recipients are at risk of developing important adverse effects after transplantation. The objective of this study was to investigate the effects of a 10-week supervised resistance exercise-based intervention in kidney transplant recipients. Sixteen participants were randomized to a training (n = 8, 49.7 ± 9.6 years) or control group (n = 8, 48.6 ± 10.6 years). The primary endpoint was health-related quality of life evaluated through the Kidney Disease Quality of Life-Short Form (KDQOL-SF), which includes the 36-Item Short Form Survey (SF-36), and secondary endpoints included physical performance (6-minute walk distance [6-MWD], 60-second sit to stand test [60-STS], 8-foot up and go test, and handgrip and lower limb muscle strength), muscle mass, and biochemical parameters. Endpoints were assessed at baseline and after 10 weeks. Resistance exercise significantly increased (P < .05) some SF-36 domains and tended to induce improvements in one specific KDQOL-SF domain (P = .050). Further, exercise benefits were observed for 6-MWD (9% and 1% for the training and control groups, respectively; P < .001), handgrip strength (7% and -1%; P = .005), 60-STS repetitions (18% and -7%; P < .001), and 8-foot up and go test performance time (-5% and 6%; P = .010). No between-group differences (P > .05) were found for the remaining endpoints. There were no adverse events, musculoskeletal injuries, hypoglycemic episodes, cardiovascular events, or hospitalizations related to the intervention. In conclusion, 10 weeks of supervised resistance training is enough to improve quality of life and physical performance without side effects such as musculoskeletal injuries, hypoglycemic episodes, cardiovascular events, or hospitalizations related to the intervention in kidney transplant recipients.

Muscle Mass Assessed by Computed Tomography at the Third Lumbar Vertebra Predicts Patient Survival in Chronic Kidney Disease.

OBJECTIVE: Muscle mass is a key element for the evaluation of nutritional disturbances in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Low muscle mass is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. The assessment of muscle mass by computed tomography at the third lumbar vertebra region (CTMM-L3) is an accurate method not subject to errors from fluctuation in the hydration status. Therefore, we aimed at investigating whether CTMM-L3 was able to predict mortality in nondialyzed CKD 3-5 patients. METHODS: This is a prospective observational cohort study. We evaluated 223 nondialyzed CKD patients (60.3 ± 10.6 years; 64% men; 50% diabetics; glomerular filtration rate 20.7 ± 9.6 mLmin1.73 m2). Muscle mass was measured by CTMM-L3 using the Slice-O-Matic software and analyzed according to percentile adjusted by gender. Nutritional parameters, laboratory data, and comorbidities were evaluated, and mortality was followed up for 4 years. RESULTS: During the study period, 63 patients died, and the main cause of death was cardiovascular disease. Patients who died were older, had lower hemoglobin and albumin, as well as lower muscle markers. CTMM-L3 below the 25th percentile was associated with higher mortality according to the Kaplan-Meier curve (P = .017) and in Cox regression analysis (crude hazard ratio, 1.87 [95% confidence interval, 1.11-3.16]), also when adjusting for potential confounders (hazard ratio 1.83 [95% confidence interval 1.02-3.30]). CONCLUSION: Low muscle mass measured by computed tomography at the third lumbar vertebra region is an independent predictor of increased mortality in nondialyzed CKD patients.

Health Effects of Overweight and Obesity in 195 Countries over 25 Years.

BACKGROUND: Although the rising pandemic of obesity has received major attention in many countries, the effects of this attention on trends and the disease burden of obesity remain uncertain. METHODS: We analyzed data from 68.5 million persons to assess the trends in the prevalence of overweight and obesity among children and adults between 1980 and 2015. Using the Global Burden of Disease study data and methods, we also quantified the burden of disease related to high body-mass index (BMI), according to age, sex, cause, and BMI in 195 countries between 1990 and 2015. RESULTS: In 2015, a total of 107.7 million children and 603.7 million adults were obese. Since 1980, the prevalence of obesity has doubled in more than 70 countries and has continuously increased in most other countries. Although the prevalence of obesity among children has been lower than that among adults, the rate of increase in childhood obesity in many countries has been greater than the rate of increase in adult obesity. High BMI accounted for 4.0 million deaths globally, nearly 40% of which occurred in persons who were not obese. More than two thirds of deaths related to high BMI were due to cardiovascular disease. The disease burden related to high BMI has increased since 1990; however, the rate of this increase has been attenuated owing to decreases in underlying rates of death from cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSIONS: The rapid increase in the prevalence and disease burden of elevated BMI highlights the need for continued focus on surveillance of BMI and identification, implementation, and evaluation of evidence-based interventions to address this problem. (Funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.).

Initiation of sodium polystyrene sulphonate and the risk of gastrointestinal adverse events in advanced chronic kidney disease: a nationwide study.

BACKGROUND: Despite long-standing clinical use of sodium polystyrene sulphonate (SPS) for hyperkalaemia management in chronic kidney disease (CKD), its safety profile remains poorly investigated. METHODS: We undertook an observational analysis of nephrology-referred adults with incident CKD Stage 4+ in Sweden during 2006-16 and with no previous SPS use. We studied patterns of use and adverse events associated to SPS initiation during follow-up. Patterns of SPS use were defined by chronicity of treatment and by prescribed dose. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) associated with SPS initiation (time-varying exposure) for the risk of severe (intestinal ischaemia, thrombosis or ulceration/perforation) and minor (de novo dispensation of laxatives or anti-diarrheal drugs) gastrointestinal (GI) events. RESULTS: Of 19 530 SPS-naïve patients with CKD, 3690 initiated SPS during follow-up. A total of 59% took SPS chronically, with an average of three dispensations/year. The majority (85%) were prescribed lower dosages than specified on the product label. During follow-up, 202 severe and 1149 minor GI events were recorded. SPS initiation was associated with a higher incidence of severe adverse events [adjusted HR 1.25 95% CI 1.05-1.49)], particularly in those receiving per label doses [1.54 (1.09-2.17)] and mainly attributed to ulcers and perforations. SPS initiation was also associated with higher incidence of minor GI events [adjusted HR 1.11 (95% CI 1.03-1.19)], regardless of dose, and mainly accounted for by de novo dispensation of laxatives. CONCLUSIONS: Initiation of SPS in patients with advanced CKD is associated with a higher risk of severe GI complications as well as the initiation of GI-related medications, particularly when prescribed at per label doses.

Association between reduced kidney function and incident hypoglycaemia in people with diabetes: The Stockholm Creatinine Measurements (SCREAM) project.

AIM: To evaluate possible associations between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and hypoglycaemia in adults with diabetes. METHODS: We conducted an observational study in adults with diabetes from the Stockholm Creatinine Measurement (SCREAM) project, a Swedish healthcare utilization cohort during 2007 to 2011. We evaluated diagnoses and outpatient glucose tests for incidence rate ratios (IRRs) of hypoglycaemia (overall and by severity) in outpatient care by eGFR strata using zero-inflated negative binomial regression. We identified clinical predictors through ordinal logistic regression and assessed 7-day and 30-day mortality from hypoglycaemia in relation to eGFR with Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: We identified 29 434 people with diabetes (13% with type 1 diabetes). Their mean age was 66 years, 43% were women and the median eGFR was 80 mL/min/1.73 m2 . During 2 years of follow-up, 1812 patients (6.2%) had hypoglycaemia registered at least once. The risk of hypoglycaemia increased linearly with lower eGFR, with an IRR of 1.2 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.0-1.4) for eGFR 60-89 mL/min/1.73 m2 and 5.8 (95% CI 3.8-9.0) for eGFR <15 mL/min/1.73 m2 compared to eGFR 90 to 104 mL/min/1.73 m2 . This trend was observed for both mild and severe hypoglycaemia. Both 7-day and 30-day post-hypoglycaemia mortality increased with lower eGFR, peaking in those with eGFR <15 mL/min/1.73 m2 (hazard ratio 21.2, 95% CI 5.1-87.9) as compared to those with eGFR 90 to 104 mL/min/1.73 m2 . Lower eGFR categories, type 1 diabetes, previous hypoglycaemia, liver disease, presence of diabetic complications and use of insulin and sulphonylureas increased the odds of hypoglycaemia. CONCLUSION: In this large, observational study, low eGFR was strongly associated with the occurrence, severity and fatality of hypoglycaemia in people with diabetes.

Falls in older aged adults in 22 European countries: incidence, mortality and burden of disease from 1990 to 2017.

INTRODUCTION: Falls in older aged adults are an important public health problem. Insight into differences in fall-related injury rates between countries can serve as important input for identifying and evaluating prevention strategies. The objectives of this study were to compare Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 estimates on incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to fall-related injury in older adults across 22 countries in the Western European region and to examine changes over a 28-year period. METHODS: We performed a secondary database descriptive study using the GBD 2017 results on age-standardised fall-related injury in older adults aged 70 years and older in 22 countries from 1990 to 2017. RESULTS: In 2017, in the Western European region, 13 840 per 100 000 (uncertainty interval (UI) 11 837-16 113) older adults sought medical treatment for fall-related injury, ranging from 7594 per 100 000 (UI 6326-9032) in Greece to 19 796 per 100 000 (UI 15 536-24 233) in Norway. Since 1990, fall-related injury DALY rates showed little change for the whole region, but patterns varied widely between countries. Some countries (eg, Belgium and Netherlands) have lost their favourable positions due to an increasing fall-related injury burden of disease since 1990. CONCLUSIONS: From 1990 to 2017, there was considerable variation in fall-related injury incidence, mortality, DALY rates and its composites in the 22 countries in the Western European region. It may be useful to assess which fall prevention measures have been taken in countries that showed continuous low or decreasing incidence, death and DALY rates despite ageing of the population.

Serum phosphate optimal timing and range associated with patients survival in haemodialysis: the COSMOS study.

BACKGROUND: Serum phosphate is a key parameter in the management of chronic kidney disease-mineral and bone disorder (CKD-MBD). The timing of phosphate measurement is not standardized in the current guidelines. Since the optimal range of these biomarkers may vary depending on the duration of the interdialytic interval, in this analysis of the Current management of secondary hyperparathyroidism: a multicentre observational study (COSMOS), we assessed the influence of a 2- (midweek) or 3-day (post-weekend) dialysis interval for blood withdrawal on serum levels of CKD-MBD biomarkers and their association with mortality risk. METHODS: The COSMOS cohort (6797 patients, CKD Stage 5D) was divided into two groups depending upon midweek or post-weekend blood collection. Univariate and multivariate Cox's models adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) by demographics and comorbidities, treatments and biochemical parameters from a patient/centre database collected at baseline and every 6 months for 3 years. RESULTS: There were no differences in serum calcium or parathyroid hormone levels between midweek and post-weekend patients. However, in post-weekend patients, the mean serum phosphate levels were higher compared with midweek patients (5.5 ± 1.4 versus 5.2 ± 1.4 mg/dL, P < 0.001). Also, the range of serum phosphate with the lowest mortality risk [HR ≤ 1.1; midweek: 3.5-4.9 mg/dL (95% confidence interval, CI: 2.9-5.2 mg/dL); post-weekend: 3.8-5.7 mg/dL (95% CI: 3.0-6.4 mg/dL)] showed significant differences in the upper limit (P = 0.021). CONCLUSION: Midweek and post-weekend serum phosphate levels and their target ranges associated with the lowest mortality risk differ. Thus, clinical guidelines should consider the timing of blood withdrawal when recommending optimal target ranges for serum phosphate and therapeutic strategies for phosphate control.