Fall risk classification with posturographic parameters in community-dwelling older adults: a machine learning and explainable artificial intelligence approach.

BACKGROUND: Computerized posturography obtained in standing conditions has been applied to classify fall risk for older adults or disease groups. Combining machine learning (ML) approaches is superior to traditional regression analysis for its ability to handle complex data regarding its characteristics of being high-dimensional, non-linear, and highly correlated. The study goal was to use ML algorithms to classify fall risks in community-dwelling older adults with the aid of an explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) approach to increase interpretability. METHODS: A total of 215 participants were included for analysis. The input information included personal metrics and posturographic parameters obtained from a tracker-based posturography of four standing postures. Two classification criteria were used: with a previous history of falls and the timed-up-and-go (TUG) test. We used three meta-heuristic methods for feature selection to handle the large numbers of parameters and improve efficacy, and the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was used to display the weights of the selected features on the model. RESULTS: The results showed that posturographic parameters could classify the participants with TUG scores higher or lower than 10 s but were less effective in classifying fall risk according to previous fall history. Feature selections improved the accuracy with the TUG as the classification label, and the Slime Mould Algorithm had the best performance (accuracy: 0.72 to 0.77, area under the curve: 0.80 to 0.90). In contrast, feature selection did not improve the model performance significantly with the previous fall history as a classification label. The SHAP values also helped to display the importance of different features in the model. CONCLUSION: Posturographic parameters in standing can be used to classify fall risks with high accuracy based on the TUG scores in community-dwelling older adults. Using feature selection improves the model's performance. The results highlight the potential utility of ML algorithms and XAI to provide guidance for developing more robust and accurate fall classification models. Trial registration Not applicable.

Morbidity and Mortality of Unintentional Carbon Monoxide Poisoning: United States 2005 to 2018.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention conducts case surveillance through the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS). This study aimed to provide surveillance report of unintentional carbon monoxide poisoning across multiple data sources to provide baseline data for the new NNDSS carbon monoxide poisoning surveillance. METHODS: For the period 2005 to 2018, we used 4 data sources to describe unintentional carbon monoxide poisoning: exposures reported by poison centers, emergency department (ED) visits, hospitalizations, and deaths. We conducted descriptive analyses by the cause of exposure (fire, nonfire, or unknown), age, sex, season, and US census region. Additional analyses were conducted using poison center exposure case data focusing on the reported signs and symptoms, management site, and medical outcome. RESULTS: Annually, we observed 39.5 poison center exposure calls (per 1 million, nationally), 56.5 ED visits (per 1 million, across 17 states), 7.3 hospitalizations (per 1 million, in 26 states), and 3.3 deaths (per 1 million, nationally) due to unintentional carbon monoxide poisoning. For 2005 to 2018, there was a decrease in the crude rate for non-fire-related carbon monoxide poisonings from hospital, and death data. Non-fire-related cases comprised 74.0% of ED visits data, 60.1% of hospitalizations, and 40.9% of deaths compared with other unintentional causes. Across all data sources, unintentional carbon monoxide poisonings were most often reported during the winter season, notably in January and December. Children aged 0 to 9 years had the highest reported rates in poison center exposure case data and ED visits (54.1 and 70.5 per 1 million, respectively); adults older than 80 years had the highest rates of hospitalization and deaths (20.2 and 9.9 per 1 million, respectively); and deaths occurred more often among men and in the Midwest region. Poison center exposure call data revealed that 45.9% of persons were treated at a health care facility. Headaches, nausea, and dizziness/vertigo were the most reported symptoms. CONCLUSION: The crude rates in non-fire-related carbon monoxide poisonings from hospitalizations, and mortality significantly decreased over the study period (ie, 2005 to 2018). This surveillance report provides trends and characteristics of unintentional carbon monoxide poisoning and the baseline morbidities and mortality data for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention national surveillance system of carbon monoxide poisoning.

Assessment of a novel ophthalmology tele-triage system during the COVID-19 pandemic.

BACKGROUND: In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, a web-based tele-triage system was created to prioritize in-person clinic visits and ensure safety at the University of Illinois at Chicago Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences during a statewide shelter-in-place order. The aim of this study is to evaluate the impact of the tele-triage system on urgent visit volume and explore the characteristics of acute visit requests at a tertiary referral eye center. METHODS: This retrospective study analyzed acute visit requests between April 6, 2020 and June 6, 2020. Descriptive statistics, chi-square tests, ANOVA, and bivariate logistic regression were used to compare variables with a p-value of 0.05. RESULTS: Three hundred fifty-eight surveys were completed. Mean age was 49.7 ± 18.8 years (range 2-91). The majority of requests were determined as urgent (63.0%) or emergent (0.8%). Forty-nine patients had recent eye trauma (13.7%), and the most common reported symptoms were new onset eye pain (25.7%) and photophobia (22.9%). Most patients were self-referred (63.7%), though provider referral was more common in patients with symptoms of new onset lid swelling (p < 0.01), diplopia (p < 0.01), flashing lights (p = 0.02), or droopy eyelid (p < 0.01). Patients presenting with symptom onset within 48 h tended to be younger (45.8 years) versus those with symptom duration of 48 h to 1 week (49.6 years), or more than 1 week (52.6 years; p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: This novel tele-triage system screened out one-third of acute visit requests as non-urgent, which limited in-person visits during the initial shelter-in-place period of the pandemic. Tele-triage systems should be implemented in eye care practices for future emergency preparedness.

COVID-19 associated Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) guidelines; revisiting the Western New York approach as the pandemic evolves.

Multisystem inflammatory syndrome of children (MIS-C) continues to be a highly concerning diagnosis in those recently infected with SARS-CoV-2. The diagnosis of MIS-C cases will likely become even more challenging as vaccine uptake and natural immunity in previously infected persons leads to lower circulating rates of SARS-CoV-2 infection and will make cases sporadic. Febrile children presenting with cardiac dysfunction, symptoms overlapping Kawasaki disease or significant gastrointestinal complaints warrant a thorough screen in emergency departments, urgent care centers, and outpatient pediatric or family medicine practices. An increased index of suspicion and discussion regarding higher level of care (transferring to pediatric tertiary care centers or to intensive care) continues to be recommended. Herein we outline a broad approach with a multidisciplinary team for those meeting the case definition and believe such an approach is crucial for successful outcomes.

Identifying Incidents of Public Health Significance Using the National Poison Data System, 2013-2018.

Data System. The American Association of Poison Control Centers (AAPCC) and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) jointly monitor the National Poison Data System (NPDS) for incidents of public health significance (IPHSs).Data Collection/Processing. NPDS is the data repository for US poison centers, which together cover all 50 states, the District of Columbia, and multiple territories. Information from calls to poison centers is uploaded to NPDS in near real time and continuously monitored for specific exposures and anomalies relative to historic data.Data Analysis/Dissemination. AAPCC and CDC toxicologists analyze NPDS-generated anomalies for evidence of public health significance. Presumptive results are confirmed with the receiving poison center to correctly identify IPHSs. Once verified, CDC notifies the state public health department.Implications. During 2013 to 2018, 3.7% of all NPDS-generated anomalies represented IPHSs. NPDS surveillance findings may be the first alert to state epidemiologists of IPHSs. Data are used locally and nationally to enhance situational awareness during a suspected or known public health threat. NPDS improves CDC's national surveillance capacity by identifying early markers of IPHSs.

Serious Adverse Health Events, Including Death, Associated with Ingesting Alcohol-Based Hand Sanitizers Containing Methanol - Arizona and New Mexico, May-June 2020.

Alcohol-based hand sanitizer is a liquid, gel, or foam that contains ethanol or isopropanol used to disinfect hands. Hand hygiene is an important component of the U.S. response to the emergence of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). If soap and water are not readily available, CDC recommends the use of alcohol-based hand sanitizer products that contain at least 60% ethyl alcohol (ethanol) or 70% isopropyl alcohol (isopropanol) in community settings (1); in health care settings, CDC recommendations specify that alcohol-based hand sanitizer products should contain 60%-95% alcohol (≥60% ethanol or ≥70% isopropanol) (2). According to the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), which regulates alcohol-based hand sanitizers as an over-the-counter drug, methanol (methyl alcohol) is not an acceptable ingredient. Cases of ethanol toxicity following ingestion of alcohol-based hand sanitizer products have been reported in persons with alcohol use disorder (3,4). On June 30, 2020, CDC received notification from public health partners in Arizona and New Mexico of cases of methanol poisoning associated with ingestion of alcohol-based hand sanitizers. The case reports followed an FDA consumer alert issued on June 19, 2020, warning about specific hand sanitizers that contain methanol. Whereas early clinical effects of methanol and ethanol poisoning are similar (e.g., headache, blurred vision, nausea, vomiting, abdominal pain, loss of coordination, and decreased level of consciousness), persons with methanol poisoning might develop severe anion-gap metabolic acidosis, seizures, and blindness. If left untreated methanol poisoning can be fatal (5). Survivors of methanol poisoning might have permanent visual impairment, including complete vision loss; data suggest that vision loss results from the direct toxic effect of formate, a toxic anion metabolite of methanol, on the optic nerve (6). CDC and state partners established a case definition of alcohol-based hand sanitizer-associated methanol poisoning and reviewed 62 poison center call records from May 1 through June 30, 2020, to characterize reported cases. Medical records were reviewed to abstract details missing from poison center call records. During this period, 15 adult patients met the case definition, including persons who were American Indian/Alaska Native (AI/AN). All had ingested an alcohol-based hand sanitizer and were subsequently admitted to a hospital. Four patients died and three were discharged with vision impairment. Persons should never ingest alcohol-based hand sanitizer, avoid use of specific imported products found to contain methanol, and continue to monitor FDA guidance (7). Clinicians should maintain a high index of suspicion for methanol poisoning when evaluating adult or pediatric patients with reported swallowing of an alcohol-based hand sanitizer product or with symptoms, signs, and laboratory findings (e.g., elevated anion-gap metabolic acidosis) compatible with methanol poisoning. Treatment of methanol poisoning includes supportive care, correction of acidosis, administration of an alcohol dehydrogenase inhibitor (e.g., fomepizole), and frequently, hemodialysis.

Cleaning and Disinfectant Chemical Exposures and Temporal Associations with COVID-19 - National Poison Data System, United States, January 1, 2020-March 31, 2020.

On January 19, 2020, the state of Washington reported the first U.S. laboratory-confirmed case of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by infection with SARS-CoV-2 (1). As of April 19, a total of 720,630 COVID-19 cases and 37,202 associated deaths* had been reported to CDC from all 50 states, the District of Columbia, and four U.S. territories (2). CDC recommends, with precautions, the proper cleaning and disinfection of high-touch surfaces to help mitigate the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 (3). To assess whether there might be a possible association between COVID-19 cleaning recommendations from public health agencies and the media and the number of chemical exposures reported to the National Poison Data System (NPDS), CDC and the American Association of Poison Control Centers surveillance team compared the number of exposures reported for the period January-March 2020 with the number of reports during the same 3-month period in 2018 and 2019. Fifty-five poison centers in the United States provide free, 24-hour professional advice and medical management information regarding exposures to poisons, chemicals, drugs, and medications. Call data from poison centers are uploaded in near real-time to NPDS. During January-March 2020, poison centers received 45,550 exposure calls related to cleaners (28,158) and disinfectants (17,392), representing overall increases of 20.4% and 16.4% from January-March 2019 (37,822) and January-March 2018 (39,122), respectively. Although NPDS data do not provide information showing a definite link between exposures and COVID-19 cleaning efforts, there appears to be a clear temporal association with increased use of these products.

Characteristics of Tianeptine Exposures Reported to the National Poison Data System - United States, 2000-2017.

Tianeptine (marketed as Coaxil or Stablon) is an atypical tricyclic drug used as an antidepressant in Europe, Asia, and Latin America. In the United States, tianeptine is not approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for medical use and is an unscheduled pharmaceutical agent* (1). Animal and human studies show that tianeptine is an opioid receptor agonist (2). Several case studies have reported severe adverse effects and even death from recreational abuse of tianeptine (3-5). To characterize tianeptine exposures in the United States, CDC analyzed all exposure calls related to tianeptine reported by poison control centers to the National Poison Data System (NPDS)† during 2000-2017. Tianeptine exposure calls, including those for intentional abuse or misuse, increased across the United States during 2014-2017, suggesting a possible emerging public health risk. Most tianeptine exposures occurred among persons aged 21-40 years and resulted in moderate outcomes. Neurologic, cardiovascular, and gastrointestinal signs and symptoms were the most commonly reported health effects, with some effects mimicking opioid toxicity. A substantial number of tianeptine exposure calls also reported clinical effects of withdrawal. Among 83 tianeptine exposures with noted coexposures, the most commonly reported coexposures were to phenibut, ethanol, benzodiazepines, and opioids.

Kawasaki disease and vasculitis associated with immunization.

The etiology and pathogenesis of Kawasaki disease (KD) remain poorly understood. Among the diverse infectious and environmental factors examined to be triggers for, or be associated with, KD, are immunizations. In this report, we first describe the case of a Caucasian girl who presented with classic KD shortly after receiving her routine 4 months vaccination series. Prior published case reports and large epidemiological studies, which explore potential associations between immunization and KD and other vasculitides, are then comprehensively reviewed. The methodologic challenges that complicate analysis in this area are also considered.

Rapid Laboratory Identification of Neisseria meningitidis Serogroup C as the Cause of an Outbreak - Liberia, 2017.

On April 25, 2017, a cluster of unexplained illness and deaths among persons who had attended a funeral during April 21-22 was reported in Sinoe County, Liberia (1). Using a broad initial case definition, 31 cases were identified, including 13 (42%) deaths. Twenty-seven cases were from Sinoe County (1), and two cases each were from Grand Bassa and Monsterrado counties, respectively. On May 5, 2017, initial multipathogen testing of specimens from four fatal cases using the Taqman Array Card (TAC) assay identified Neisseria meningitidis in all specimens. Subsequent testing using direct real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) confirmed N. meningitidis in 14 (58%) of 24 patients with available specimens and identified N. meningitidis serogroup C (NmC) in 13 (54%) patients. N. meningitidis was detected in specimens from 11 of the 13 patients who died; no specimens were available from the other two fatal cases. On May 16, 2017, the National Public Health Institute of Liberia and the Ministry of Health of Liberia issued a press release confirming serogroup C meningococcal disease as the cause of this outbreak in Liberia.

Retrospective Review of Billowing Phenomenon-A Mimic of Endoleak Following Placement of Endologix Covered Stent for the Treatment of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm.

BACKGROUND: Billowing is a unique computed tomography (CT) finding of the Endologix stent graft where a rim of contrast is observed outside the stent's endoskeleton but still contained within the graft cover. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the incidence and clinical outcome of billowing following an Endologix stent-graft placement. METHODS: All patients who underwent abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair with endovascular placement of an Endologix stent graft from January 2002 to September 2013 and who were followed with imaging were included in the study. The images were evaluated for the incidence of billowing. Demographics and clinical outcomes were also analyzed. RESULTS: One hundred twenty-two patients received an Endologix stent graft for AAA repair at our institution. One hundred patients qualified for this study. Eighty-four patients had billowing with the majority (70 patients) having crescentic billowing, and the remaining 14 patients having focal outpouching. Average billowing thickness measured 4.2 mm (range 1-13). Sixty-three patients with billowing had multiple follow-up CT angiograms to allow serial monitoring. Twelve patients had resolution of billowing, 11 patients had reduction in billowing size, 14 patients had no change in billowing size, and 26 patients had increase in billowing size. Patients with billowing had a statistically significant reduction in aneurysm sac size in anteroposterior and transverse dimensions (P = 0.014 and 0.009, respectively). Five cases of billowing were misdiagnosed as endoleak. Nineteen true endoleaks were identified, of which 13 cases were associated with billowing. CONCLUSIONS: Billowing does not seem to be associated with increased morbidity, mortality, increase in aneurysm size, or presence of endoleak. Billowing should be recognized as a common and benign finding of the Endologix stent.

Billowing of Endologix Powerlink Stent Graft in Post Endovascular Repair of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm: Simultaneous Findings on CT and Ultrasound Imaging.

Endoleaks remain a main concern in endovascular aneurysm repair. A potential false positive in the diagnosis of endoleak surveillance includes "billowing," a phenomenon of the polytetrafluoroethylene plastic outer fabric of the stent graft is seen separated from the struts of the metallic endoskeleton. Contrast presents beyond the endoskeleton but is still contained within the graft. This is secondary to intermittent attachment of the graft to the endoskeleton, and is only found in the Endologix Powerlink. The finding of billowing has been previously reported and is a common knowledge by those who deploy the stent graft. We report a case where there is contemporaneous imaging on computed tomography angiography as well as on ultrasound.

Notes from the Field: Increase in Reported Adverse Health Effects Related to Synthetic Cannabinoid Use - United States, January-May 2015.

On April 6, 2015, CDC received notification of an increase in telephone calls to U.S. poison centers related to synthetic cannabinoid use. Monthly calls to all poison centers are tracked by the National Poison Data System, which reported that adverse health effects or concerns about possible adverse health effects related to synthetic cannabinoid use increased 330% from 349 in January 2015 to 1,501 in April 2015. Synthetic cannabinoids include various psychoactive chemicals or a mixture of such chemicals that are sprayed onto plant material, which is then often smoked or ingested to achieve a "high." These products are sold under a variety of names (e.g., synthetic marijuana, spice, K2, black mamba, and crazy clown) and can be sold in retail outlets as herbal products. Law enforcement agencies have regulated a number of these substances; however, manufacturers of synthetic cannabinoids frequently change the formulation to avoid detection and regulation. After the initial notification, CDC analyzed information from the National Poison Data System on reported adverse health effects related to synthetic cannabinoid use for the period January-May 2015.

Perspectives on Childhood Lead Exposure Prevention: Looking Back and Looking Ahead.

Lead's neurotoxic properties and potential harmful effects to humans, particularly young children, have been recognized for decades, influencing public health policies to reduce its admixture in house paint and passenger car gasoline. We signal 3 emergent trends: firearm proliferation, complex international food supply chains, and equally complex product marketing strategies, which have opened opportunities for lead exposure to children from guns and ammunition, and lead contamination in children's food and consumer goods. Readers will also be apprised of Childhood Lead Poisoning Prevention Program and education strategies cultivated and advanced by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and its lead prevention partners. A national governmental policy update is included, as are future considerations.

Seasonal Testing, Results, and Effect of the Pandemic on Coxsackievirus Serum Studies.

Coxsackieviruses (CVs) are common causes of infections and can be life-threatening. Unfortunately, rigorous studies guiding the clinician in interpreting CV serum antibody titer testing is lacking. To explore the epidemiology of circulating CVs and the serological test utility in aiding diagnosis of CV infections in our community, we obtained results of CV immunologic diagnostic tests between 2018 and 2022 from a regional healthcare database. For CV type A, rare individuals had positive CF (complement fixation) tests whereas all 16 individuals with IFA testing showed at least one positive serotype. For CV type B CF testing, 52.2% of 222 patients had at least one serotype positive, with B5 being most common and also the most common with higher titers (14.8% with ≥1:32). We found a significant reduction in seropositivity rate during the pandemic in 2020 compared to 2018, which continued through 2022 (OR: 0.2, 95% CI: 0.08-0.49, p-value < 0.001). During the pandemic, the seasonal pattern of positive tests varied from the pre-pandemic pattern. Testing for CVs was increased after the first year of the pandemic. Overall, the variability by month and seasonal change in our data support that CF testing can be used to identify recent CVB infection.

Decreased Clinical Severity of Pediatric Acute COVID-19 and MIS-C and Increase of Incidental Cases during the Omicron Wave in Comparison to the Delta Wave.

This study describes differences in clinical presentation in hospitalized children with acute COVID-19 and MIS-C between the Delta and Omicron (BA.1.1) waves in a tertiary children's hospital. This retrospective cohort study with case adjudication of hospitalized children with SARS-CoV-2-positive testing or MIS-C diagnosis occurred during the Delta and Omicron waves, from August 2021 until February 2022. There were no differences noted by race, but both waves disproportionally affected black children (24% and 25%). Assigned by a three-person expert panel, incidental diagnoses were higher in the Omicron wave (34% versus 19%). Hospitalization rates of non-incidental cases were higher during Omicron (3.8 versus 5.9 per 1000 PCR-positive community cases). Respiratory-related admissions were prominent during Delta, while Omicron clinical presentations varied, including a high number of cases of croup and seizures. Length of stay and ICU use during Omicron was significantly less than Delta for MIS-C and acute cases. Estimation of vaccination efficacy for preventing hospital admissions was 85.1-91.7% in the early Omicron period. Our estimates suggest that a protective role for vaccination continues into the Omicron wave. The high rate of incidental cases during the Omicron wave should be considered when reviewing more cursory summative data sets. This study emphasizes the need for continued clinical suspicion of COVID-19 even when lower respiratory symptoms are not dominant.

Monitoring trends in lacrimator exposures using the National Poison Data System: 2000-2021.

CONTEXT: Lacrimators are used by individuals for personal defense and by police for crowd control during periods of civil unrest. Increased public awareness about their use has raised concerns about their application and safety. OBJECTIVE: To characterize patterns of lacrimator exposures in the United States, we describe temporal trends of calls to poison centers by demographics, substances, medical outcomes, exposure sites, and scenarios. METHODS: A retrospective data analysis was performed for all single-substance lacrimator exposures in the United States reported to the National Poison Data System between 2000 and 2021. Descriptive analyses were performed to examine demographic characteristics, geographic distribution, product types and medical outcomes associated with lacrimator exposures. RESULTS: A total of 107,149 lacrimator exposure calls were identified. There was an overall decrease in calls per year, from 6,521 calls in 2000 to 2,520 in 2020, followed by an increase to 3,311 calls in 2021. A declining trend was observed independent of total poison center call volume. Oleoresin capsicum was the most commonly reported substance (81,990, 76.5%). Individuals ages 19 years and younger accounted for 62% of calls, but adults ages 20 and over were more likely to develop major clinical effects (odds ratio 3.03; 95% confidence interval 1.91-4.81; P < 0.0001). The most common exposure site was "own residence," followed by schools. School exposures accounted for 15.8% of exposures in children ages 6-12 years and 37.7% in adolescents. Among calls with documented scenarios, 19.7% involved unintentional exposures due to children accessing lacrimators. CONCLUSION: Lacrimator exposure calls to United States poison centers decreased from 2000 to 2021. Most calls pertain to oleoresin capsicum and individuals ages 19 and younger. Improper storage allowing children to have access to these chemicals, is a common scenario. Public safety interventions such as education about safe storage and use of lacrimators, improved product design, or regulatory changes may prevent unintentional exposures.

Applications of mesenchymal stem cells in ocular surface diseases: sources and routes of delivery.

INTRODUCTION: Mesenchymal stem cells (MSCs) are novel, promising agents for treating ocular surface disorders. MSCs can be isolated from several tissues and delivered by local or systemic routes. They produce several trophic factors and cytokines, which affect immunomodulatory, transdifferentiating, angiogenic, and pro-survival pathways in their local microenvironment via paracrine secretion. Moreover, they exert their therapeutic effect through a contact-dependent manner. AREAS COVERED: In this review, we discuss the characteristics, sources, delivery methods, and applications of MSCs in ocular surface disorders. We also explore the potential application of MSCs to inhibit senescence at the ocular surface. EXPERT OPINION: Therapeutic application of MSCs in ocular surface disorders are currently under investigation. One major research area is corneal epitheliopathies, including chemical or thermal burns, limbal stem cell deficiency, neurotrophic keratopathy, and infectious keratitis. MSCs can promote corneal epithelial repair and prevent visually devastating sequelae of non-healing wounds. However, the optimal dosages and delivery routes have yet to be determined and further clinical trials are needed to address these fundamental questions.