Electrical surrogate for detection of severe left ventricular systolic dysfunction.

BACKGROUND: Early diagnosis and therapy improves outcomes in heart failure with severely reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF ≤35%), but some patients may remain undiagnosed. We hypothesized that a combination of electrocardiogram (ECG) markers may identify individuals with severely reduced LVEF. METHODS: From a community-based study in the Northwest US (the Oregon Sudden Unexpected Death Study), we evaluated the prevalence of conventional ECG markers by LVEF. We then evaluated the association of nine additional ECG markers and LVEF. We validated the correlation of these ECG markers and LVEF in a separate, large health system in Los Angeles, California. RESULTS: In the discovery population (n = 1,047), patients with LVEF ≤35% were twice as likely as those with LVEF >35% to have ≥1 conventional ECG abnormality. In the subset without conventional ECG abnormalities, ≥4 abnormal ECG markers from the expanded panel were found in 12% vs. 1% of patients with LVEF ≤35% and >35%, respectively. In the validation population (n = 9,742), 44% with LVEF ≤35% and 17% with LVEF >35% had ≥1 conventional ECG abnormality. In patients without conventional ECG abnormalities (n = 7,601), 40% with LVEF ≤35% and 5% with LVEF >35% had ≥4 abnormal ECG markers from the expanded panel. Each additional abnormal ECG marker from the expanded panel (range 0 to ≥4) more than doubled the odds of LVEF ≤35%. CONCLUSIONS: An expanded panel of easily obtained ECG markers correlated strongly with severely reduced LVEF in two separate populations. This electrical surrogate score could facilitate diagnosis of severely reduced LVEF, and warrants prospective evaluation.

Sudden Cardiac Arrest During Sports Activity in Older Adults.

BACKGROUND: Sports activity among older adults is rising, but there is a lack of community-based data on sports-related sudden cardiac arrest (SrSCA) in the elderly. OBJECTIVES: In this study, the authors investigated the prevalence and characteristics of SrSCA among subjects ≥65 years of age in a large U.S. METHODS: All out-of-hospital sudden cardiac arrests (SCAs) were prospectively ascertained in the Portland, Oregon, USA, metro area (2002-2017), and Ventura County, California, USA (2015-2021) (catchment population ∼1.85 million). Detailed information was obtained for SCA warning symptoms, circumstances, and lifetime clinical history. Subjects with SCA during or within 1 hour of cessation of sports activity were categorized as SrSCA. RESULTS: Of 4,078 SCAs among subjects ≥65 years of age, 77 were SrSCA (1.9%; 91% men). The crude annual SrSCA incidence among age ≥65 years was 3.29/100,000 in Portland and 2.10/100,000 in Ventura. The most common associated activities were cycling, gym activity, and running. SrSCA cases had lower burden of cardiovascular risk factors (P = 0.03) as well as comorbidities (P < 0.005) compared with non-SrSCA. Based on conservative estimates of community residents ≥65 years of age who participate in sports activity, the SrSCA incidence was 28.9/100,000 sport participation years and 18.4/100,000 sport participation years in Portland and Ventura, respectively. Crude survival to hospital discharge rate was higher in SrSCA, but the difference was nonsignificant after adjustment for confounding factors. CONCLUSIONS: Among free-living community residents age ≥65 years, SrSCA is uncommon, predominantly occurs in men, and is associated with lower disease burden than non-SrSCA. These results suggest that the risk of SrSCA is low, and probably outweighed by the high benefit of exercise.

Sudden cardiac arrest during the COVID-19 pandemic: A two-year prospective evaluation in a North American community.

BACKGROUND: Early during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, higher sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) incidence and lower survival rates were reported. However, ongoing effects on SCA during the evolving pandemic have not been evaluated. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to assess the impact of COVID-19 on SCA during 2 years of the pandemic. METHODS: In a prospective study of Ventura County, California (2020 population 843,843; 44.1% Hispanic), we compared SCA incidence and outcomes during the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic to the prior 4 years. RESULTS: Of 2222 out-of-hospital SCA cases identified, 907 occurred during the pandemic (March 2020 to February 2022) and 1315 occurred prepandemic (March 2016 to February 2020). Overall age-standardized annual SCA incidence increased from 39 per 100,000 (95% confidence [CI] 37-41) prepandemic to 54 per 100,000 (95% CI 50-57; P <.001) during the pandemic. Among Hispanics, incidence increased by 77%, from 38 per 100,000 (95% CI 34-43) to 68 per 100,000 (95% CI 60-76; P <.001). Among non-Hispanics, incidence increased by 26%, from 39 per 100,000 (95% CI 37-42; P <.001) to 50 per 100,000 (95% CI 46-54). SCA incidence rates closely tracked COVID-19 infection rates. During the pandemic, SCA survival was significantly reduced (15% to 10%; P <.001), and Hispanics were less likely than non-Hispanics to receive bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (45% vs 55%; P = .005) and to present with shockable rhythm (15% vs 24%; P = .003). CONCLUSION: Overall SCA rates remained consistently higher and survival outcomes consistently lower, with exaggerated effects during COVID infection peaks. This longer evaluation uncovered higher increases in SCA incidence among Hispanics, with worse resuscitation profiles. Potential ethnicity-specific barriers to acute SCA care warrant urgent evaluation and intervention.

Risk Factors for Sudden Cardiac Arrest Among Hispanic or Latino Adults in Southern California: Ventura PRESTO and HCHS/SOL.

Background Out-of-hospital sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) is a leading cause of mortality, making prevention of SCA a public health priority. No studies have evaluated predictors of SCA risk among Hispanic or Latino individuals in the United States. Methods and Results In this case-control study, adult SCA cases ages 18-85 (n=1,468) were ascertained in the ongoing Ventura Prediction of Sudden Death in Multi-Ethnic Communities (PRESTO) study (2015-2021) in Ventura County, California. Control subjects were selected from 3033 Hispanic or Latino participants who completed Visit 2 examinations (2014-2017) at the San Diego site of the HCHS/SOL (Hispanic Community Health Survey/Study of Latinos). We used logistic regression to evaluate the association of clinical factors with SCA. Among Hispanic or Latino SCA cases (n=295) and frequency-matched HCHS/SOL controls (n=590) (70.2% men with mean age 63.4 and 61.2 years, respectively), the following clinical variables were associated with SCA in models adjusted for age, sex, and other clinical variables: chronic kidney disease (odds ratio [OR], 7.3 [95% CI, 3.8-14.3]), heavy drinking (OR, 4.5 [95% CI, 2.3-9.0]), stroke (OR, 3.1 [95% CI, 1.2-8.0]), atrial fibrillation (OR, 3.7 [95% CI, 1.7-7.9]), coronary artery disease (OR, 2.9 [95% CI, 1.5-5.9]), heart failure (OR, 2.5 [95% CI, 1.2-5.1]), and diabetes (OR, 1.5 [95% CI, 1.0-2.3]). Conclusions In this first population-based study, to our knowledge, of SCA risk predictors among Hispanic or Latino adults, chronic kidney disease was the strongest risk factor for SCA, and established cardiovascular disease was also important. Early identification and management of chronic kidney disease may reduce SCA risk among Hispanic or Latino individuals, in addition to prevention and treatment of cardiovascular disease.

Prediction of Sudden Cardiac Death Manifesting With Documented Ventricular Fibrillation or Pulseless Ventricular Tachycardia.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to develop a novel clinical prediction algorithm for avertable sudden cardiac death. BACKGROUND: Sudden cardiac death manifests as ventricular fibrillation (VF)/ ventricular tachycardia (VT) potentially treatable with defibrillation, or nonshockable rhythms (pulseless electrical activity/asystole) with low likelihood of survival. There are no available clinical risk scores for targeted prediction of VF/VT. METHODS: Subjects with out-of-hospital sudden cardiac arrest presenting with documented VF or pulseless VT (33% of total cases) were ascertained prospectively from the Portland, Oregon, metro area with population ≈1 million residents (n = 1,374, 2002-2019). Comparisons of lifetime clinical records were conducted with a control group (n = 1,600) with ≈70% coronary disease prevalence. Prediction models were constructed from a training dataset using backwards stepwise logistic regression and applied to an internal validation dataset. Receiver operating characteristic curves (C statistic) were used to evaluate model discrimination. External validation was performed in a separate, geographically distinct population (Ventura County, California, population ≈850,000, 2015-2020). RESULTS: A clinical algorithm (VFRisk) constructed with 13 clinical, electrocardiogram, and echocardiographic variables had very good discrimination in the training dataset (C statistic = 0.808; [95% CI: 0.774-0.842]) and was successfully validated in internal (C statistic = 0.776 [95% CI: 0.725-0.827]) and external (C statistic = 0.782 [95% CI: 0.718-0.846]) datasets. The algorithm substantially outperformed the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤35% (C statistic = 0.638) and performed well across the LVEF spectrum. CONCLUSIONS: An algorithm for prediction of sudden cardiac arrest manifesting with VF/VT was successfully constructed using widely available clinical and noninvasive markers. These findings have potential to enhance primary prevention, especially in patients with mid-range or preserved LVEF.

Ethnicity-Specific Effects on Cardiac Arrest During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Two-Year Prospective Evaluation in a North American Community.

Background: Out-of-hospital sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) is a major public health problem with mortality >90%, and incidence has increased during the COVID-19 pandemic. Information regarding ethnicity-specific effects on SCA incidence and survival is lacking. Methods: In a prospective, population-based study of Ventura County, CA residents (2020 Pop. 843,843; 44.1% Hispanic), we compared SCA incidence and outcomes during the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic to the prior four years, overall and by ethnicity (Hispanic vs non-Hispanic). Findings: Of 2,222 OHCA cases identified, 907 occurred during the pandemic (March 2020 - Feb 2022) and 1315 occurred pre-pandemic (March 2016 - Feb 2020). Overall age-standardized annual SCA incidence increased from 38.9/100,000 [95% CI 36.8-41.0] pre-pandemic to 53.8/100,00 [95% CI 50.3 - 57.3, p<0.001] during the pandemic. Among Hispanics, incidence increased by 77%, from 38.2/100,00 [95% CI 33.8-42.5] to 67.7/100,00 [95% CI 59.5- 75.8, p<0.001]. Among non-Hispanics, incidence increased by 26% from 39.4/100,000 [95% CI 36.9-41.9, p<0.001] to 49.8/100,00 [95% CI 45.8-53.8]. SCA incidence rates closely tracked COVID-19 infection rates. During the pandemic, SCA survival was significantly reduced (15.3% to 10.0%, p<0.001) and Hispanics were less likely than non-Hispanics to have bystander CPR (44.6% vs. 54.7%, p=0.005) and shockable rhythm (15.3% vs. 24.1%, p=0.003). Interpretation: Hispanic residents experienced higher SCA rates during the pandemic with less favorable resuscitation profiles. These findings implicate potential ethnicity-specific barriers to acute care and represent an urgent call to action at the community and health-system levels. Funding: National Heart Lung and Blood Institute Grants R01HL145675 and R01HL147358.

Sudden cardiac death during nighttime hours.

BACKGROUND: In the absence of apparent triggers, sudden cardiac death (SCD) during nighttime hours is a perplexing and devastating phenomenon. There are few published reports in the general population, with insufficient numbers to perform sex-specific analyses. Smaller studies of rare nocturnal SCD syndromes suggest a male predominance and implicate sleep-disordered breathing. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to identify mechanisms of nighttime SCD in the general population. METHODS: From the population-based Oregon Sudden Unexpected Death Study, we evaluated SCD cases that occurred in the community between 10 PM and 6 AM (nighttime) and compared them with daytime cases. Univariate comparisons were evaluated using Pearson χ2 tests and independent samples t tests. Logistic regression was used to further assess independent SCD risk. RESULTS: A total of 4126 SCD cases (66.2% male, 33.8% female) met criteria for analysis and 22.3% (n = 918) occurred during nighttime hours. Women were more likely to present with nighttime SCD than men (25.4% vs 20.6%; P < .001). In a multivariate regression model, female sex (odds ratio [OR] 1.3 [confidence interval (CI) 1.1-1.5]; P = .001), medications associated with somnolence/respiratory depression (OR 1.2 [CI 1.1-1.4]; P = .008) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease/asthma (OR 1.4 [CI 1.1-1.6]; P < .001) were independently associated with nighttime SCD. Women were taking more central nervous system-affecting medications than men (1.9 ± 1.7 vs 1.4 ± 1.4; P = .001). CONCLUSION: In the general population, women were more likely than men to suffer SCD during nighttime hours and female sex was an independent predictor of nighttime events. Respiratory suppression is a concern, and caution is advisable when prescribing central nervous system-affecting medications to patients at an increased risk of SCD, especially women.

Evaluation of Sudden Cardiac Arrest by Race/Ethnicity Among Residents of Ventura County, California, 2015-2020.

Importance: Sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) is a major public health problem. Owing to a lack of population-based studies in multiracial/multiethnic communities, little information is available regarding race/ethnicity-specific epidemiologic factors of SCA. Objective: To evaluate the association of race/ethnicity with burden, outcomes, and clinical profile of individuals experiencing SCA. Design, Setting, and Participants: A 5-year prospective, population-based cohort study of out-of-hospital SCA was conducted from February 1, 2015, to January 31, 2020, among residents of Ventura County, California (2018 population, 848 112: non-Hispanic White [White], 45.8%; Hispanic/Latino [Hispanic], 42.4%; Asian, 7.3%; and Black, 1.7% individuals). All individuals with out-of-hospital SCA of likely cardiac cause and resuscitation attempted by emergency medical services were included. Exposures: Data on circumstances and outcomes of SCA from prehospital emergency medical services records and data on demographics and pre-SCA clinical history from detailed archived medical records, death certificates, and autopsies. Main Outcomes and Measures: Annual age-adjusted SCA incidence by race and ethnicity and SCA circumstances and outcomes by ethnicity. Clinical profile (cardiovascular risk factors, comorbidity burden, and cardiac history) by ethnicity, overall, and stratified by sex. Results: A total of 1624 patients with SCA were identified (1059 [65.2%] men; mean [SD] age, 70.9 [16.1] years). Race/ethnicity data were available for 1542 (95.0%) individuals, of whom 1022 (66.3%) were White, 381 (24.7%) were Hispanic, 86 (5.6%) were Asian, 31 (2.0%) were Black, and 22 (1.4%) were other race/ethnicity. Annual age-adjusted SCA rates per 100 000 residents of Ventura County were similar in White (37.5; 95% CI, 35.2-39.9), Hispanic (37.6; 95% CI, 33.7-41.5; P = .97 vs White), and Black (48.0; 95% CI, 30.8-65.2; P = .18 vs White) individuals, and lower in the Asian population (25.5; 95% CI, 20.1-30.9; P = .006 vs White). Survival to hospital discharge following SCA was similar in the Asian (11.8%), Hispanic (13.9%), and non-Hispanic White (13.0%) (P = .69) populations. Compared with White individuals, Hispanic and Asian individuals were more likely to have hypertension (White, 614 [76.3%]; Hispanic, 239 [79.1%]; Asian, 57 [89.1%]), diabetes (White, 287 [35.7%]; Hispanic, 178 [58.9%]; Asian, 37 [57.8%]), and chronic kidney disease (White, 231 [29.0%]; Hispanic, 123 [40.7%]; Asian, 33 [51.6%]) before SCA. Hispanic individuals were also more likely than White individuals to have hyperlipidemia (White, 380 [47.2%]; Hispanic, 165 [54.6%]) and history of stroke (White, 107 [13.3%]; Hispanic, 55 [18.2%]), but less likely to have a history of atrial fibrillation (White, 251 [31.2%]; Hispanic, 59 [19.5%]). Conclusions and Relevance: The results of this study suggest that the burden of SCA was similar in Hispanic and White individuals and lower in Asian individuals. The Asian and Hispanic populations had shared SCA risk factors, which were different from those of the White population. These findings underscore the need for an improved understanding of race/ethnicity-specific differences in SCA risk.

Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Response and Outcomes During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the potential impact of the coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) responses and outcomes in 2 U.S. communities with relatively low infection rates. BACKGROUND: Studies in areas with high COVID-19 infection rates indicate that the pandemic has had direct and indirect effects on community responses to OHCA and negative impacts on survival. Data from areas with lower infection rates are lacking. METHODS: Cases of OHCA in Multnomah County, Oregon, and Ventura County, California, with attempted resuscitation by emergency medical services (EMS) from March 1 to May 31, 2020, and from March 1 to May 31, 2019, were evaluated. RESULTS: In a comparison of 231 OHCA in 2019 to 278 in 2020, the proportion of cases receiving bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) was lower in 2020 (61% to 51%, respectively; p = 0.02), and bystander use of automated external defibrillators (AEDs) declined (5% to 1%, respectively; p = 0.02). EMS response time increased (6.6 ± 2.0 min to 7.6 ± 3.0 min, respectively; p < 0.001), and fewer OHCA cases survived to hospital discharge (14.7% to 7.9%, respectively; p = 0.02). Incidence rates did not change significantly (p > 0.07), and coronavirus infection rates were low (Multnomah County, 143/100,000; Ventura County, 127/100,000 as of May 31) compared to rates of ∼1,600 to 3,000/100,000 in the New York City region at that time. CONCLUSIONS: The community response to OHCA was altered from March to May 2020, with less bystander CPR, delays in EMS response time, and reduced survival from OHCA. These results highlight the pandemic's indirect negative impact on OHCA, even in communities with relatively low incidence of COVID-19 infection, and point to potential opportunities for countering the impact.

Remodeling of the 12-lead electrocardiogram in immediate survivors of sudden cardiac arrest.

BACKGROUND: The ECG is a critical diagnostic tool for the management of immediate sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) survivors, but can be altered as a consequence of the SCA event. A limited number of studies report that electrical remodeling post SCA is due to prolonged myocardial repolarization, but a better understanding of this phenomenon is needed. AIM: To identify specific ECG abnormalities that follow SCA in immediate survivors. METHODS: SCA survivors with a pre-arrest ECG and an ECG obtained within 48 h post-SCA were prospectively collected in the Oregon Sudden Unexpected Death Study (Portland metro region) from 2002-2015. Ventricular depolarization and repolarization measurements were compared between pre-arrest and post-arrest ECGs using paired t-tests and assessed for association with survival using unpaired t-tests and Pearson's chi-square tests. RESULTS: A pre-arrest ECG and post-arrest ECG were available for 297 SCA cases (67.8 ±â€¯13.4 years; 65.3% male). From the pre- to post-arrest setting, there was a significant mean increase in QRS (21 ms, p < 0.001) and QTc (35 ms, p < 0.001) in each SCA case, while there was no significant change in the JTc (4 ms, p = 0.361). Post-arrest QRS duration was significantly shorter in cases who survived to hospital discharge compared with those who did not survive (mean QRSD 115 ±â€¯29 ms vs 127 ±â€¯34 ms; p = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: Contrary to expectations, electrical remodeling of the ECG due to SCA occurs due to prolongation of ventricular depolarization (QRSD), and not repolarization (JTc). Prolonged QRSD may also assist with prognostication and warrants further evaluation.