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This study examined the link between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) and mortality in patients with colon cancer. Using a clinical database from the University of California, serum 25(OH)D measures were averaged for the time following diagnosis until either the time of death or 5 years had elapsed. Analytical methods included the use of Generalized Additive Models (GAM), logistic regression, and Cox proportional hazards models to examine non-linear relationships and the impact of 25(OH)D on 5-year mortality. This study assessed 1,602 patients with colon cancer having a median 25(OH)D of 31.8 ng/mL and a 5-year mortality rate of 22.7%. A significant association between higher post-diagnosis vitamin D levels and decreased 5-year mortality was observed. This association persisted after adjusting for disease severity and significant demographic confounders, in both a logistic regression model for 5-year mortality (OR = 0.79, 95% CI: 0.66-0.92, p < 0.001) and a cox proportional hazards model for survival (HR = 0.94, CI: 0.88-0.99, p = 0.048). GAM illustrated a steep increase in survival probability up to a plateau, suggesting a threshold effect beyond roughly 50.0 ng/mL. This study found a potential protective role of vitamin D in the survival of colon cancer patients, supporting the correction of levels below 25 ng/mL but ideally above 50 ng/mL.
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This retrospective cohort study explores the relationship between vitamin D levels and 5-year mortality risk among 1,549 colon cancer patients seen at University of California health centers between 2012 and 2019, with a particular focus on the mediating role of comorbidities. Methods leveraged structural equation modeling to assess both direct and indirect pathways linking vitamin D to mortality risk. This analysis revealed a protective direct effect of higher vitamin D levels against mortality risk. Additionally, this study uncovered an indirect pathway, demonstrating that vitamin D lowers mortality risk by mitigating comorbidity, which subsequently influence mortality risk. Study results indicate that approximately 9.2% of the beneficial effect of vitamin D on mortality risk is attributable to its capacity to reduce comorbidity burden. In disaggregated and confounder-adjusted structural modeling, there were significant indirect effects for 25(OH)D on mortality risk through its effects on depression and obesity but not on anxiety, diabetes, or chronic kidney disease. These results suggest that the protective effects of vitamin D in colon cancer etiology appear to be through direct action on cancer progression, though patients who also suffer from depression and obesity would especially benefit from achieving adequate levels of serum vitamin D.
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INTRODUCTION: Unregulated and potentially illegal sales of tobacco, nicotine, and cannabis products have been detected on various social media platforms, e-commerce sites, online retailers, and the dark web. New end-to-end encrypted messaging services are popular among online users and present opportunities for marketing, trading, and selling of these products. The purpose of this study was to identify and characterize tobacco, nicotine, and cannabis selling activity on the messaging platform Telegram. METHODS: The study was conducted in three phases: (1) identifying keywords related to tobacco, nicotine, and cannabis products for purposes of detecting Telegram groups and channel messages; (2) automated data collection from public Telegram groups; and (3) manual annotation and classification of messages engaged in marketing and selling products to consumers. RESULTS: Four keywords were identified ("Nicotine," "Vape," "Cannabis," and "Smoke") that yielded 20 Telegram groups with 262 506 active subscribers. Total volume of channel messages was 43 963 unique messages that included 3094 (7.04%) marketing/selling messages. The most commonly sold products in these groups were cannabis-derived products (83.25%, nâ =â 2576), followed by tobacco/nicotine-derived products (6.46%, nâ =â 200), and other illicit drugs (0.77%, nâ =â 24). A variety of marketing tactics and a mix of seller accounts were observed, though most appeared to be individual suppliers. CONCLUSIONS: Telegram is an online messaging application that allows for custom group creation and global connectivity, but also includes unregulated activities associated with the sale of cannabis and nicotine delivery products. Greater attention is needed to conduct monitoring and enforcement on these emerging platforms for unregulated and potentially illegal cannabis and nicotine product sales direct-to-consumer. IMPLICATIONS: Based on study results, Telegram represents an emerging platform that enables a robust cannabis and nicotine-selling marketplace. As local, state, and national tobacco control regulations continue to advance sales restrictions and bans at the retail level, easily accessible and unregulated Internet-based channels must be further assessed to ensure that they do not act as conduits for exposure and access to unregulated or illegal cannabis and nicotine products.
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Cannabis , Comércio , Marketing , Mídias Sociais , Humanos , Comércio/legislação & jurisprudência , Marketing/métodos , Marketing/legislação & jurisprudência , Mídias Sociais/estatística & dados numéricos , Nicotina , Sistemas Eletrônicos de Liberação de Nicotina/economia , Produtos do Tabaco/legislação & jurisprudência , Produtos do Tabaco/economia , Internet , VapingRESUMO
BACKGROUND: E-cigarettes have emerged as popular products, especially for younger populations. However, concerns regarding health effects exist and there is a notable gap in understanding the prevalence and nature of adverse events. This study aims to examine the rate of adverse events in individuals who use e-cigarettes in a large sample. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey was conducted with a sample of 4695 current and former e-cigarette users with a median age of 34 years. The survey collected data on e-cigarette use, adverse events experienced, product characteristics, related behaviors, sociodemographic factors and presence of medical comorbidities. Statistical analyses were conducted using Pearson's chi-squared tests and logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 78.9% of respondents reported experiencing an adverse event within 6 h of using a vaping device, with the most common events being headache, anxiety and coughing. Product characteristics and related behaviors significantly influenced the risk of adverse events. There were also sociodemographic disparities, with Hispanic respondents and those with at least college-level education reporting higher rates of adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: Our study found a high rate of adverse events among e-cigarette users. We identified that certain e-cigarette product characteristics, behaviors and medical comorbidities significantly increased the risk of these events.
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Sistemas Eletrônicos de Liberação de Nicotina , Vaping , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Estudos Transversais , Adulto , Vaping/efeitos adversos , Vaping/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto Jovem , Sistemas Eletrônicos de Liberação de Nicotina/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Inquéritos e Questionários , IdosoRESUMO
Background: Illicit substance sales facilitated by social media platforms are a growing public health issue given recent increases in overdose deaths, including an alarming rise in cases of fentanyl poisoning. However, little is known about how online users evaluate what features of social media posts convey safety, which can influence their intent to source illicit substances. Objectives: This study adapts conjoint analysis which assessed how attributes of social media posts (i.e., features) influence safety evaluations of mock posts selling illicit substances. 440 participants were recruited online for self-reporting use or purchase of controlled substances or prescription medicines recreationally. The following attributes were tested: drug packaging, drug offerings, profile photo of seller, payment info provided, and use of emojis. Results: Packaging was ranked the most important attribute (Average Importance =43.68, Offering=14.94, Profile=13.86, Payment=14.11, Emoji=13.41), with posts that displayed drugs in pill bottles assessed as the most safe. Attribute levels for advertising multiple drugs, having a blank profile photo, including payment information, and including emojis also ranked higher in perceived safety. Rankings were consistent across tested demographic factors (i.e., gender, age, and income). Survey results show that online pharmacies were most likely to be perceived as safe for purchasing drugs and medications. Additionally, those who were younger in age, had higher income, and identified as female were more likely to purchase from a greater number of platforms. Conclusions: These findings can assist in developing more precise content moderation for platforms seeking to address this ongoing threat to public safety.
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Drogas Ilícitas , Mídias Sociais , Humanos , Feminino , Comércio , Substâncias Controladas , PublicidadeRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: This study examines abortion-related discourse on Twitter (X) pre-and post-Dobbs v. Jackson ruling, which eliminated the constitutional right to abortion. STUDY DESIGN: We used a custom data collection tool to collect tweets directly from Twitter using abortion-related keywords. We used the BERTopic language model and examined the top 30 retweeted and top 30 textually similar tweets from relevant topic clusters using an inductive coding approach. We also conducted statistical testing to assess potential associations between abortion themes. RESULTS: 166,799 unique tweets were collected from December 2020-December 2022. 464 unique tweets were coded for abortion-related themes with 154 identified as relevant. Of these, 66 tweets marketed abortion pills, 17 tweets were identified as offering consultations, and 91 tweets were relevant to self-managed abortion. All marketing and consultation tweets were posted post-Dobbs decision and 7 (7.69%) of self-managed tweets were posted pre-Dobbs versus 84 (92.30%) posted post-Dobbs. A positive association was found between tweets offering a medical consultation with tweets marketing abortion pills and discussing self-managed abortion. CONCLUSION: This study detected online marketing of abortion pills, consultations and discussions about self-managed abortion following the Dobbs v. Jackson ruling. These results provide more context to the type of abortion-related information that is available online.
This study examined tweets occurring both pre and post Dobbs decision and identified relevant discussions about self-managed abortion services, marketing and sale of abortion pills, and offering purported medical consultations. These findings indicate that abortion-related tweets, particularly those marketing abortion medications, increased after the Dobbs v. Jackson ruling. These findings highlight the evolving abortion information environment in the United States on Twitter, which represents a platform where health and politicised issues are commonly discussed.
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Aborto Induzido , Mídias Sociais , Humanos , Mídias Sociais/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Gravidez , Aborto Induzido/legislação & jurisprudência , Aborto Induzido/psicologia , Marketing/legislação & jurisprudência , Decisões da Suprema Corte , Estados UnidosRESUMO
A case-control study was conducted between 1 December 2021 and 31 January 2022 to identify factors, which increase risk for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) among athletes in the National Basketball Association (NBA). Behavioral factors and stadium attendance significantly decreased time to COVID-19 infection, but local COVID-19 rates were not associated in a multivariable model.
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Basquetebol , COVID-19 , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estudos de Casos e Controles , AtletasRESUMO
I employed a Markov model to simulate outcomes for a cohort of 1,000 hypothetical patients, comparing improvements in early detection, side effect management, and palliative care over a ten-year period. This model showed benefits in early detection and proactive health management, improving disease stability and reducing mortality rates. This protocol resulted in an 85.8% five-year survival rate, compared to 69.5% under standard protocol. Cost-effectiveness analysis showed significantly reduced costs and improved quality-adjusted life years. Our findings underscore the importance of comprehensive cancer care. These improvements not only reduce simulated healthcare costs but also significantly improve patient outcomes.
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Neoplasias , Cuidados Paliativos , Humanos , Cuidados Paliativos/métodos , Neoplasias/diagnóstico , Neoplasias/terapiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Cancer patients often face multiple comorbidities and are at risk for various mental health conditions and substance use disorders. Tobacco/nicotine dependence (TND) is a known risk factor for poor health outcomes and has been associated with psychiatric disorders including substance use disorder. However, the specific relationship between TND and the risk of substance use disorder and mental health conditions among cancer patients remains underexplored. This study aimed to assess the association between TND and the risk of comorbid conditions among cancer patients. METHODS: Data were obtained from a database of electronic health records for patients from the University of California health system. The odds for every condition among cancer patients with TND were calculated and compared with those for cancer patients without TND. ORs were adjusted for gender, ethnicity, and race. RESULTS: Three thousand seven hundred and ninety-one cancer patients with TND had 252,619 total conditions, and 51,711 cancer patients without TND had 2,310,880 conditions. After adjusting for confounders, the condition for which TND most exacerbated risk was psychoactive substance-induced organic anxiety disorder (OR = 16.3, p < 0.001). This appeared consistent with the second, third, and fifth most-exacerbated conditions: stimulant use disorder (OR = 12.8, p < 0.001), cocaine induced mental disorder (OR = 11.0, p < 0.001), and cocaine use disorder (OR = 11.0, p < 0.001). Different conditions exacerbated by TND include acute alcoholic intoxication (OR = 11.4, p < 0.001), opioid use disorder (OR = 7.6, p < 0.001), schizoaffective disorder (OR = 7.4, p < 0.001), and cannabis use disorder (OR = 6.3, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings reveal a strong association between TND and an increased risk of substance use disorder and mental health conditions among cancer patients. Specifically, cancer patients with TND were at an elevated risk for psychoactive substance-induced organic anxiety disorder, stimulant use disorder, and cocaine-related disorders. Additionally, TND was associated with an increased risk of acute alcoholic intoxication, opioid use disorder, schizoaffective disorder, and cannabis use disorder. These findings underscore the need for comprehensive screening and interventions to address TND and comorbid conditions among cancer patients.
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Intoxicação Alcoólica , Alcoolismo , Cocaína , Abuso de Maconha , Transtornos Mentais , Neoplasias , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias , Tabagismo , Humanos , Tabagismo/epidemiologia , Tabagismo/diagnóstico , Tabagismo/psicologia , Saúde Mental , Abuso de Maconha/complicações , Abuso de Maconha/diagnóstico , Abuso de Maconha/epidemiologia , Nicotina , Intoxicação Alcoólica/complicações , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias/epidemiologia , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias/psicologia , Transtornos Mentais/psicologia , Comorbidade , Alcoolismo/complicações , Alcoolismo/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Neoplasias/complicaçõesRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: There has been a rapid proliferation of synthetic nicotine products in recent years, despite newly established regulatory authority and limited research into its health risks. Previous research has implicated social media platforms as an avenue for nicotine product unregulated sales. Yet, little is known about synthetic nicotine product content on social media. We utilized natural language processing to characterize the sales of synthetic nicotine products on Instagram. METHODS: We collected Instagram posts by querying Instagram hashtags (e.g., "#tobaccofreenicotine) related to synthetic nicotine. Using BERT, collected posts were categorized into thematically related topic clusters. Posts within topic clusters relevant to study aims were then manually annotated for variables related to promotion and selling (e.g., cost discussion, contact information for offline sales). RESULTS: A total of 7,425 unique posts were collected with 2,219 posts identified as related to promotion and selling of synthetic nicotine products. Nicotine pouches (52.9%, n=1174), ENDS (30.6%, n=679), and flavored e-liquids (14.1%, n=313) were most commonly promoted. 16.1% (n=345) of posts contained embedded hyperlinks and 5.8% (n=129) provided contact information for purported offline transactions. Only 17.6% (n=391) of posts contained synthetic nicotine specific health warnings. CONCLUSIONS: In the United States, synthetic nicotine products can only be legally marketed if they have received premarket authorization from the FDA. Despite these prohibitions, Instagram appears to be a hub for potentially unregulated sales of synthetic and "tobacco-free" products. Efforts are needed by platforms and regulators to enhance content moderation and prevent unregulated online sales of existing and emerging synthetic nicotine products. IMPLICATIONS: There is limited clinical understanding of synthetic nicotine's unique health risks and how these novel products are changing over time due to regulatory oversight. Despite synthetic nicotine specific regulatory measures, such as the requirement for premarket authorization and FDA warning letters issued to unauthorized sellers, access to and promotion of synthetic nicotine is widely occurring on Instagram, a platform with over 2 billion users and one that is popular among youth and young adults. Activities include direct-to-consumer sales from questionable sources, inadequate health warning disclosure, and exposure with limited age restrictions, all conditions necessary for the sale of various tobacco products. Notably, the number of these Instagram posts increased in response to the announcement of new FDA regulations. In response, more robust online monitoring, content moderation, and proactive enforcement is needed from platforms who should work collaboratively with regulators to identify, report, and remove content in clear violation of platform policies and federal laws. Regulatory implementation and enforcement should prioritize digital platforms as conduits for unregulated access to synthetic nicotine products and other future novel and emerging tobacco products.
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BACKGROUND: Increased public health and regulatory scrutiny concerning the youth vaping epidemic has led to greater attention to promotion and sales of vaping products on social media platforms. OBJECTIVES: We used unsupervised machine learning to identify and characterise sale offers of electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS) and associated products on Instagram. We examined types of sellers, geographic ENDS location and use of age verification. METHODS: Our methodology was composed of three phases: data collection, topic modelling and content analysis. We used data mining approaches to query hashtags related to ENDS product use among young adults to collect Instagram posts. For topic modelling, we applied an unsupervised machine learning approach to thematically categorise and identify topic clusters associated with selling activity. Content analysis was then used to characterise offers for sale of ENDS products. RESULTS: From 70 725 posts, we identified 3331 engaged in sale of ENDS products. Posts originated from 20 different countries and were roughly split between individual (46.3%) and retail sellers (43.4%), with linked online sellers (8.8%) representing a smaller volume. ENDS products most frequently offered for sale were flavoured e-liquids (53.0%) and vaping devices (20.5%). Online sellers offering flavoured e-liquids were less likely to use age verification at point of purchase (29% vs 64%) compared with other products. CONCLUSIONS: Instagram is a global venue for unregulated ENDS sales, including flavoured products, and access to websites lacking age verification. Such posts may violate Instagram's policies and US federal and state law, necessitating more robust review and enforcement to prevent ENDS uptake and access.
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Sistemas Eletrônicos de Liberação de Nicotina , Mídias Sociais , Produtos do Tabaco , Vaping , Adulto Jovem , Adolescente , Humanos , Comércio , MarketingRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) incidence has continued to rise and is recognized as a major risk factor for kidney disease progression and cardiovascular complications. Early recognition of factors associated with post-AKI complications is fundamental to stratifying patients that could benefit from closer follow-up and management after an episode of AKI. Recent studies have shown that proteinuria is a prevalent sequela after AKI and a strong predictor of complications post-AKI. This study aims to evaluate the frequency and timing of the development of de-novo proteinuria after an AKI episode in patients with known kidney function and no prior history of proteinuria. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed data from adult AKI patients with pre- and post-kidney function information between Jan 2014 and March 2019. The presence of proteinuria determined before and after index AKI encounter was based on ICD-10 code and/or urine dipstick and UPCR during the follow-up period. RESULTS: Of 9697 admissions with AKI diagnoses between Jan 2014 and March 2019, 2120 eligible patients with at least one assessment of Scr and proteinuria before AKI index admission were included in the analysis. The median age was 64 (IQR 54-75) years, and 57% were male. 58% (n-1712) patients had stage 1 AKI, 19% (n = 567) stage 2 AKI, and 22% (n = 650) developed stage 3 AKI. De novo proteinúria was found in 62% (n = 472) of patients and was already present by 90 days post-AKI in 59% (209/354). After adjusting for age and comorbidities, severe AKI (stage 2/3 AKI) and diabetes, were independently associated with increased risk for De novo proteinuria. CONCLUSION: Severe AKI is an independent risk factor for subsequent de novo proteinuria post-hospitalization. Further prospective studies are needed to determine whether strategies to detect AKI patients at risk of proteinuria and early therapeutics to modify proteinuria can delay the progression of kidney disease.
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Injúria Renal Aguda , Proteinúria , Adulto , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular , Proteinúria/diagnóstico , Injúria Renal Aguda/diagnóstico , Injúria Renal Aguda/epidemiologia , Injúria Renal Aguda/etiologia , Hospitalização , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
Objectives: Prior research has not adequately examined the relationship between international migration and colorectal cancer (CRC) by cultural regions in the US. The purpose of this exploratory study was to determine how annual CRC incidence varied with US annual international migrant inflow in ten different regions, corresponding to dominant ancestry group.Design: County-level international migrant inflow and dominant ancestry type were obtained from the American Community Survey, and age-adjusted CRC incidence was obtained from the National Cancer Institute. A linear regression model was tested for each ancestry region to assess the relationship between migrant inflow and CRC incidence.Results: Higher international migrant inflow was associated with lower CRC incidence among counties where the dominant ancestry group was African American (p = 0.0207), British (p = 0.0212), Hispanic (p = 0.0001), and Native American (p = 0.0056).Conclusions: These findings suggest that US residents in certain ancestry groups are at higher risk for CRC.
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Neoplasias Colorretais , Emigração e Imigração , Negro ou Afro-Americano , Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Hispânico ou Latino , Humanos , Incidência , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , População BrancaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: TikTok is a microvideo social media platform currently experiencing rapid growth and with 60% of its monthly users between the ages of 16 and 24 years. Increased exposure to e-cigarette content on social media may influence patterns of use, including the risk of overconsumption and possible nicotine poisoning, when users engage in trending challenges online. However, there is limited research assessing the characteristics of nicotine poisoning-related content posted on social media. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to assess the characteristics of content on TikTok that is associated with a popular nicotine poisoning-related hashtag. METHODS: We collected TikTok posts associated with the hashtag #nicsick, using a Python programming package (Selenium) and used an inductive coding approach to analyze video content and characteristics of interest. Videos were manually annotated to generate a codebook of the nicotine sickness-related themes. Statistical analysis was used to compare user engagement characteristics and video length in content with and without active nicotine sickness TikTok topics. RESULTS: A total of 132 TikTok videos associated with the hashtag #nicsick were manually coded, with 52.3% (69/132) identified as discussing firsthand and secondhand reports of suspected nicotine poisoning symptoms and experiences. More than one-third of nicotine poisoning-related content (26/69, 37.68%) portrayed active vaping by users, which included content with vaping behavior such as vaping tricks and overconsumption, and 43% (30/69) of recorded users self-reported experiencing nicotine sickness, poisoning, or adverse events such as vomiting following nicotine consumption. The average follower count of users posting content related to nicotine sickness was significantly higher than that for users posting content unrelated to nicotine sickness (W=2350.5, P=.03). CONCLUSIONS: TikTok users openly discuss experiences, both firsthand and secondhand, with nicotine adverse events via the #nicsick hashtag including reports of overconsumption resulting in sickness. These study results suggest that there is a need to assess the utility of digital surveillance on emerging social media platforms for vaping adverse events, particularly on sites popular among youth and young adults. As vaping product use-patterns continue to evolve, digital adverse event detection likely represents an important tool to supplement traditional methods of public health surveillance (such as poison control center prevalence numbers).
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Sistemas Eletrônicos de Liberação de Nicotina , Mídias Sociais , Adolescente , Adulto , Humanos , Infodemiologia , Nicotina/intoxicação , Estudos Retrospectivos , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The opioid epidemic has had a devastating impact on youth from American Indian and Alaska Native (AI/AN) Tribes and Villages, which also experience disparate suicide rates. The use of publicly available social media data originating from AI/AN communities may enhance public health response time to substance use disorder (SUD)-related overdose and augment Tribal public health surveillance systems, but these concepts have yet to be adequately explored. The goal of this exploratory analysis was to identify primary and secondary accounts of overdose and characterize relevant contextual factors in the AI/AN population on social media. METHODS: The Twitter application programming interface was queried for all Tweets containing geocoded data between March 2014 and June 2020 and filtered for the keyword ['overdose']. This sample of Tweets (n = 146,236) was then restricted to those geolocated from US Tribal lands (n = 619). Tweets were manually annotated for primary or secondary accounts of overdose as well as suicidal ideation, substance(s) used, stigma of drug use, and community-wide incidents. RESULTS: We collected a total of 146,235 tweets that were geocoded and contained the word 'overdose,' of which 9.5% were posted on Tribal lands (n = 619). 9.4% of these tweets (n = 58) met our study inclusion criteria and were mainly posted from Oklahoma (n = 26, 45%) and North Carolina (n = 13, 22.4%). Most Tweets (n = 41, 71%) described a primary account of an overdose and were mostly posted from 2014 to 2015. Less than half of the Tweets (n = 27, 46.5%) referenced a specific substance. Those substances mentioned included alcohol, marijuana, methamphetamine, heroin, laundry softener, cocaine, K2-Spice (synthetic cannabinoid), codeine, morphine, Nyquil, and Xanax. DISCUSSION: Though exploratory, our study identified SUD-related content self-reported by AI/AN communities on Twitter, especially in Oklahoma and North Carolina. These results may assist in the future design and detection of infodemiology trends and early warning signs that can better facilitate intervention specific to the ongoing Tribal opioid epidemic. While all data were collected from the public domain, additional care should be given to individual and community privacy.
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Overdose de Drogas , Mídias Sociais , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias , Adolescente , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Indígena Americano ou Nativo do Alasca , Infodemiologia , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias/epidemiologia , Overdose de Drogas/epidemiologia , Analgésicos OpioidesRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Early reports of COVID-19 cases and deaths may not accurately convey community-level concern about the pandemic during early stages, particularly in the United States where testing capacity was initially limited. Social media interaction may elucidate public reaction and communication dynamics about COVID-19 in this critical period, during which communities may have formulated initial conceptions about the perceived severity of the pandemic. METHODS: Tweets were collected from the Twitter public API stream filtered for keywords related to COVID-19. Using a pre-existing training set, a support vector machine (SVM) classifier was used to obtain a larger set of geocoded tweets with characteristics of user self-reporting COVID-19 symptoms, concerns, and experiences. We then assessed the longitudinal relationship between identified tweets and the number of officially reported COVID-19 cases using linear and exponential regression at the U.S. county level. Changes in tweets that included geospatial clustering were also assessed for the top five most populous U.S. cities. RESULTS: From an initial dataset of 60 million tweets, we analyzed 459,937 tweets that contained COVID-19-related keywords that were also geolocated to U.S. counties. We observed an increasing number of tweets throughout the study period, although there was variation between city centers and residential areas. Tweets identified as COVID-19 symptoms or concerns appeared to be more predictive of active COVID-19 cases as temporal distance increased. CONCLUSION: Results from this study suggest that social media communication dynamics during the early stages of a global pandemic may exhibit a number of geospatial-specific variations among different communities and that targeted pandemic communication is warranted. User engagement on COVID-19 topics may also be predictive of future confirmed case counts, though further studies to validate these findings are needed.
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COVID-19 , Mídias Sociais , Surtos de Doenças , Humanos , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2 , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Vitamin D has been identified as a potential protective factor in the development of colorectal cancer (CRC). We expect to see a stronger association of ultraviolet B (UVB) exposure and CRC crude rates with increasing age since chronic vitamin D deficiency leads to sustained molecular changes that increase cancer risk. The DINOMIT (disjunction, initiation, natural selection, overgrowth, metastasis, involution, and transition) model postulates various stages of cancer development due to vitamin D deficiency and the associated latency period. The purpose of this study is to examine this age-dependent inverse relationship globally. METHODS: In this ecological study, a series of linear and polynomial regression tests were performed between country-specific UVB estimates adjusted for cloud cover and crude incidence rates of CRC for different age groups. Multiple linear regression was used to investigate the association between crude incidence rates of colorectal cancer and UVB estimate adjusting for urbanization, skin pigmentation, smoking, animal consumption, per capita GDP, and life expectancy. Statistical analysis was followed by geospatial visualization by producing choropleth maps. RESULTS: The inverse relationship between UVB exposure and CRC crude rates was stronger in older age groups at the country level. Quadratic curve fitting was preferred, and these models were statistically significant for all age groups. The inverse association between crude incidence rates of CRC and UVB exposure was statistically significant for age groups above 45 years, after controlling for covariates. CONCLUSION: The age-dependent inverse association between UVB exposure and incidence of colorectal cancer exhibits a greater effect size among older age groups in global analyses. Studying the effect of chronic vitamin D deficiency on colorectal cancer etiology will help in understanding the necessity for population-wide screening programs for vitamin D deficiency, especially in regions with inadequate UVB exposure. Further studies are required to assess the need for adequate public health programs such as selective supplementation and food fortification.
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Neoplasias Colorretais , Deficiência de Vitamina D , Idoso , Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Humanos , Incidência , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Raios Ultravioleta/efeitos adversos , Vitamina DRESUMO
BACKGROUND: In 2016, the "Act on Support for Overseas Expansion of Healthcare System and Attraction of International Patients" was enacted by the South Korean government in an attempt to accelerate growth of its medical tourism industry. However, only a few years after its implementation, the benefits are not well understood, nor have the positive or negative impacts of expanding Korea's medical tourism sector been properly evaluated. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to systematically review and summarize existing literature describing South Korea's medical tourism policy and legislative history, while also assessing the impact of this domestic policy approach on the country's public health systems. METHODS: A bilingual systematic literature review was conducted per PRISMA guidelines for all South Korean medical tourism legislative and policy literature using MeSH terms and other related keywords in two academic databases, PubMed and JSTOR. Published studies were included if they directly addressed South Korean medical tourism policy. To supplement results from the peer-review, the grey literature was also searched using Google search engine for relevant policy documents, information from government websites, and national statistics on medical tourism-related data. RESULTS: This review included 14 peer-reviewed journal articles and 9 websites. The majority of literature focused on the legislative history of South Korea's pro-medical tourism policy, economic considerations associated with industry growth, and the specific experiences of medical tourists. There was a lack of studies, analytical or commentary-based, conducting in-depth analysis of the healthcare impact of these policies or comparing benefits and costs compared to other medical tourism destinations. Proponents of medical tourism continue to advocate the government for increased deregulation and investment in the sector. CONCLUSION: This systematic review suggests that policy decisions may prioritize economic growth offered by medical tourism over negative effects on the healthcare workforce, access and equity, and its potential to undermine Universal Health Coverage. South Korea continues to examine ways to further amend the Act and grow this sector, but these actions should be taken with caution by critically examining how other countries have adapted their policymaking based on the real-world costs associated with medical tourism.
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Turismo Médico , Humanos , Políticas , Saúde Pública , República da Coreia , TurismoRESUMO
PURPOSE: Restorative proctocolectomy (RPC) is performed for patients with refractory ulcerative colitis (UC). This operation is performed in 2 or 3 stages and involves forming a diverting loop ileostomy thought to protect patients from complications related to anastomotic leak. However, some advocate for a modified 2-stage approach, consisting of subtotal colectomy followed by completion proctectomy and ileal pouch anal anastomosis without diverting ileostomy. We present a systematic review and meta-analysis comparing postoperative complication rates between modified 2-stage and traditional RPC with ileal pouch anal anastomosis. METHODS: Records were sourced from PubMed/Embase databases. Studies comparing postoperative complications following RPC for ulcerative colitis (UC) were selected according to PRISMA guidelines comparing modified 2-stage (exposure), classic 2-stage, and 3-stage approaches (comparators). The primary outcome measure was safety as measured by postoperative complication rates. We employed random effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: We included ten observational studies including 1727 patients (38% modified 2-stage). Among pediatric patients, modified 2-stage approaches had higher rates of anastomotic leak than 3-stage approaches (p = 0.03). Among adult cohorts with lower preoperative biologic use rates, modified 2-stage approaches had lower leak rates than classic 2-stage approaches (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The modified 2-stage approach may be safe for adult patients who otherwise require a 3-stage approach while reducing costs and length of stay. Pediatric patients may benefit from lower leak rates when receiving 3-stage compared with modified 2-stage approaches, especially when on biologics. The modified 2-stage approach may be safer than the classic 2-stage approach for adult patients with lower biologic exposure.
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Colite Ulcerativa , Bolsas Cólicas , Proctocolectomia Restauradora , Adulto , Anastomose Cirúrgica , Criança , Colite Ulcerativa/cirurgia , Bolsas Cólicas/efeitos adversos , Humanos , Ileostomia/efeitos adversos , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Proctocolectomia Restauradora/efeitos adversos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Accessibility to essential cancer medications in low- and middle-income countries is threatened by insufficient availability and affordability. The objective of this study is to characterize variation in transactional prices for essential cancer medications across geographies, medication type, and time. METHODS: Drug purchase prices for 19 national and international buyers (representing 29 total countries) between 2010 and 2014 were obtained from Management Sciences for Health. Median values for drug pricing were computed, to address outliers in the data. For comparing purchase prices across geographic units, medications, and over time; Mann-Whitney U tests were used to compare two groups, Kruskal Wallis H tests were used to compare more than two groups, and linear regression was used to compare across continuous independent variables. RESULTS: During the five-year data period examined, the median price paid for a package of essential cancer medication was $12.63. No significant differences in prices were found based on country-level wealth, country-level disease burden, drug formulation, or year when medication was purchased. Statistical tests found significant differences in prices paid across countries, regions, individual medications, and medication categories. Specifically, countries in the Africa region appeared to pay more for a package of essential cancer medication than countries in the Latin America region, and cancer medications tended to be more expensive than anti-infective medications and cardiovascular medications. CONCLUSIONS: Though preliminary, our study found evidence of variation in prices paid by health systems to acquire essential cancer medications. Primarily, variations in pricing based on geographic location and cancer medication type (including when comparing to essential medicines that treat cardiovascular and infectious diseases) indicate that these factors may impact availability, affordability and access to essential cancer drugs. These factors should be taken into consideration when countries assess formulary decisions, negotiate drug procurement terms, and when formulating health and cancer policy.