Analgesic regimens administered to older adults receiving skilled nursing facility care following hip fracture: a proof-of-concept federated analysis.

BACKGROUND: Although a majority of patients in the U.S. receive post-acute care in skilled nursing facilities (SNFs) following hip fracture, large-sample observational studies of analgesic prescribing and use in SNFs have not been possible due to limitations in available data sources. We conducted a proof-of-concept federated analysis of electronic health records (EHRs) from 11 SNF chains to describe analgesic use during hip fracture post-acute care. METHODS: We included residents with a diagnosis of hip fracture between January 1, 2018 and June 30, 2021 who had at least one administration of an analgesic. Use of analgesics was ascertained from EHR medication orders and medication administration records. We quantified the proportion of residents receiving analgesic regimens based on the medications that were administered up to 100 days after hip fracture diagnosis. Plots visualizing trends in analgesic use were stratified by multiple resident characteristics including age and Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias (ADRD) diagnosis. RESULTS: The study included 23,706 residents (mean age 80.5 years, 68.6% female, 87.7% White). Most (~ 60%) residents received opioids + APAP. Monotherapy with APAP or opioids was also common. The most prevalent regimens were oxycodone + APAP (20.1%), hydrocodone + APAP (15.8%), APAP only (15.1%), tramadol + APAP (10.4%), and oxycodone only (4.3%). During the study period, use of APAP-only increased, opioids-only decreased, and opioids + APAP remained stable. Use of APAP-only appeared to be more prevalent among individuals aged > 75 years (versus ≤ 75 years) and those with ADRD (versus without). CONCLUSIONS: We successfully leveraged federated SNF EHR data to describe analgesic use among residents receiving hip fracture post-acute care.

Long-Term Care Pharmacy Market Shares and Differences in Skilled Nursing Facilities Served.

Medications and pharmacy services are critical to post-acute care (PAC) in skilled nursing facilities (SNFs), yet little is known about the long-term care (LTC) pharmacies that provide them. We estimated the market shares of LTC pharmacies and how SNFs differed between pharmacies. This cross-sectional study used data from SNFs that provided PAC services in Rhode Island (RI) in 2019. We applied the parametric g-formula to compare SNF pharmacy-related deficiencies and medication use measures between LTC pharmacies while standardizing for SNF membership in a chain and number of beds. Among 75 SNFs, 68 (91%) were served by either Omnicare (n = 32, 43%) or PharMerica (n = 36, 48%), and 7 (9%) by other LTC pharmacies. After covariate adjustment, PharMerica SNFs had the lowest prevalences of any pharmacy-related deficiency (PharMerica, 63.2%; Omnicare, 80.2%; other LTC pharmacy, 69.1%) and antianxiety medication use (PharMerica, 9.7%; Omnicare, 13.6%; other LTC pharmacy, 13.5%), but estimates were imprecise. The RI market is highly concentrated between LTC pharmacies. If similarly high LTC pharmacy market concentration exists nationally, there is enormous promise for efficiently delivering interventions to improve medication management in SNFs. However, it may also present a risk of harm if policies do not maintain sufficient competition and innovation is stifled.

Little is known about long-term care pharmacies serving skilled nursing facilitiesThese pharmacies may have a strong influence on quality of care and outcomesTwo pharmacies dominate 91% of the Rhode Island skilled nursing facility marketSkilled beds, pharmacy deficiencies, and medication use may differ by pharmacyPharmacy market concentration creates opportunities for both big benefits and harms.

Evaluation of post-acute care and one-year outcomes among Medicare beneficiaries with hip fractures: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Post-acute care (PAC) services after hospitalization for hip fracture are typically provided in skilled nursing facilities (SNFs), inpatient rehabilitation facilities (IRFs), or at home via home health care (HHC). Little is known about the clinical course following PAC for hip fracture. We examined the nationwide burden of adverse outcomes by PAC setting in the year following discharge from PAC for hip fracture. METHODS: This retrospective cohort included Medicare Fee-for-Service beneficiaries > 65 years who received PAC services in U.S. SNFs, IRFs, or HHC following hip fracture hospitalization between 2012 and 2018. Individuals who had a fall-related injury (FRI) during PAC or received PAC services in multiple settings were excluded. Primary outcomes included FRIs, all-cause hospital readmissions, and death in the year following discharge from PAC. Cumulative incidences and incidence rates for adverse outcomes were reported by PAC setting. Exploratory analyses examined risk ratios and hazard ratios between settings before and after inverse-probability-of-treatment-weighting, which accounted for 43 covariates. RESULTS: Among 624,631 participants (SNF, 67.78%; IRF, 16.08%; HHC, 16.15%), the mean (standard deviation) age was 82.70 (8.26) years, 74.96% were female, and 91.30% were non-Hispanic White. Crude incidence rates (95%CLs) per 1000 person-years were highest among individuals receiving SNF care for FRIs (SNF, 123 [121, 123]; IRF, 105 [102, 107]; HHC, 89 [87, 91]), hospital readmission (SNF, 623 [619, 626]; IRF, 538 [532, 544]; HHC, 418 [414, 423]), and death (SNF, 167 [165, 169]; IRF, 47 [46, 49]; HHC, 55 [53, 56]). Overall, rates of adverse outcomes generally remained higher among SNF care recipients after covariate adjustment. However, inferences about the group with greater adverse outcomes differed for FRIs and hospital readmissions based on risk ratio or hazard ratio estimates. CONCLUSIONS: In this retrospective cohort study of individuals hospitalized for hip fracture, rates of adverse outcomes in the year following PAC were common, especially among SNF care recipients. Understanding risks and rates of adverse events can inform future efforts to improve outcomes for older adults receiving PAC for hip fracture. Future work should consider calculating risk and rate measures to assess the influence of differential time under observation across PAC groups.

Building referral mechanisms for neonatal care in humanitarian emergency settings: A systematic review.

AIM: During humanitarian emergencies, women and children are particularly vulnerable to health complications and neonatal mortality rates have been shown to rise. Additionally, health cluster partners face challenges in coordinating referrals, both between communities and camps to health facilities and across different levels of health facilities. The purpose of this review was to identify the primary referral needs of neonates during humanitarian emergencies, current gaps and barriers, and effective mechanisms for overcoming these barriers. METHODS: A systematic review was performed using four electronic databases (CINAHL, EMBASE, Medline, and Scopus) between June and August 2019 (PROSPERO registration number CRD42019127705). Title, abstract, and full text screening were conducted following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses. The target population was neonates born during humanitarian emergencies. Studies from high-income countries and prior to 1991 were excluded. The STROBE checklist was used to assess for risk of bias. RESULTS: A total of 11 articles were included in the analysis; these were mainly cross-sectional, field-based studies. The primary needs identified were referrals from homes to health facilities before and during labour, and inter-facility referrals after labour to more specialised services. Some of the main barriers included a lack of roads and infrastructure for transport, staff shortages-especially among more specialised services, and a lack of knowledge among patients for self-referral. Mechanisms for addressing these needs and gaps included providing training for community healthcare workers (CHWs) or traditional birth attendants to identify and address antenatal and post-natal complications; education programmes for pregnant women during the antenatal period; and establishing ambulance services in partnership with local Non-Governmental Organizations. CONCLUSION: This review benefited from a strong consensus among selected studies but was limited in the quality of data and types of data that were reported. Based on the above findings, the following recommendations were compiled: Focus on local capacity-building programmes to address programmes acutely. Recruit CHWs to raise awareness of neonatal complications among pregnant women. Upskill CHWs to provide timely, appropriate and quality care during humanitarian emergencies.

'Birthing a Better Future': A mixed-methods evaluation of an exhibition on the early years of life.

BACKGROUND: Our study aimed to evaluate to what extent Zero2 Expo's 'Birthing a Better Future', a co-created multimedia exhibition, was effective in raising awareness on the importance of the first 1001 days of life and explore what refinements would help to optimize the impact of future exhibitions. METHODS: We conducted a mixed-methods evaluation of the exhibition delivered in the John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford. Through convenience sampling, 14 participants were selected to participate in 12 structured interviews and 19 participants completed a questionnaire. Interviews were thematically analysed alongside quantitative analysis of questionnaire responses through Likert scales. RESULTS: The majority (78.6%, n = 11/14) of participants who completed the questionnaire either agreed or strongly agreed that the exhibition raised their awareness about the first 1001 days of life. This was supported by the analysis of interviews. The use of art was found to provoke an emotional engagement from participants. Participants felt that the length of the written pieces and location of the exhibition were important factors for designers to consider in future exhibitions. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated that multimedia exhibitions, combining science with art, may be an effective way to raise awareness of public health messages. Engaging with key stakeholders will be an essential step in order to improve future public health exhibitions. PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION: When designing the study, the public reviewed the study tools, which were refined based on their feedback. At every phase of the study, members of the public who are artists co-created the exhibition content.

The identification of established modifiable mid-life risk factors for cardiovascular disease which contribute to cognitive decline: Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging (KLoSA).

INTRODUCTION: We explored how different chronic diseases, risk factors, and protective factors highly associated with cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are associated with dementia or Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI) in Korean elders, with a focus on those that manifest in mid-life. METHODS: A CVD-free cohort (n = 4289) from the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging was selected to perform Cox mixed-effects proportional hazard regressions. Eighteen control variables with strong associations to CVD were chosen as explanatory variables, and Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score cut-off for dementia and MCI were used as outcome variables. RESULTS: The statistically significant (P < 0.05) adverse factors that contribute in developing dementia were age (aHR 1.07, 1.05-1.09), Centre for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale (CESD-10) (aHR 1.17, 1.12-1.23), diagnosis with cerebrovascular disease (aHR 3.73, 1.81-7.66), living with diabetes (aHR 2.30, 1.22-4.35), and living with high blood pressure (HBP) (aHR 2.05, 1.09-3.87). In contrast, the statistically significant protective factors against developing dementia were current alcohol consumption (aHR 0.67, 0.46-0.99), higher educational attainment (aHR 0.36, 0.26-0.56), and regular exercise (aHR 0.37, 0.26-0.51). The factors with a statistically significant adverse association with progression to MCI were age (aHR 1.02, 1.01-1.03) and CESD-10 (aHR 1.17, 1.14-1.19). In contrast, the statistically significant protective factors against developing MCI were BMI (aHR 0.96, 0.94-0.98), higher educational attainment (aHR 0.33, 0.26-0.43), and regular exercise (aHR 0.83, 0.74-0.92). CONCLUSION: In lieu of the protective factor of MCI and dementia, implementing regular exercise routine well before mid-life and cognitive decline is significant, with adjustments made for those suffering from health conditions, so they can continue exercising despite their morbidity. Further attention in diabetes care and management is needed for patients who already show decline in cognitive ability as it is likely that their MCI impacts their ability to manage their existing chronic conditions, which may adversely affect their cognitive ability furthermore.

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and cancer prognosis: an umbrella review of systematic reviews and meta-analyses of observational studies.

BACKGROUND: Although neutrophils have been linked to the progression of cancer, uncertainty exists around their association with cancer outcomes, depending on the site, outcome and treatments considered. We aimed to evaluate the strength and validity of evidence on the association between either the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) or tumour-associated neutrophils (TAN) and cancer prognosis. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, Embase and Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews from inception to 29 May 2020 for systematic reviews and meta-analyses of observational studies on neutrophil counts (here NLR or TAN) and specific cancer outcomes related to disease progression or survival. The available evidence was graded as strong, highly suggestive, suggestive, weak or uncertain through the application of pre-set GRADE criteria. RESULTS: A total of 204 meta-analyses from 86 studies investigating the association between either NLR or TAN and cancer outcomes met the criteria for inclusion. All but one meta-analyses found a hazard ratio (HR) which increased risk (HR > 1). We did not find sufficient meta-analyses to evaluate TAN and cancer outcomes (N = 9). When assessed for magnitude of effect, significance and bias related to heterogeneity and small study effects, 18 (9%) associations between NLR and outcomes in composite cancer endpoints (combined analysis), cancers treated with immunotherapy and some site specific cancers (urinary, nasopharyngeal, gastric, breast, endometrial, soft tissue sarcoma and hepatocellular cancers) were supported by strong evidence. CONCLUSION: In total, 60 (29%) meta-analyses presented strong or highly suggestive evidence. Although the NLR and TAN hold clinical promise in their association with poor cancer prognosis, further research is required to provide robust evidence, assess causality and test clinical utility. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO CRD42017069131 .

Differences in opioid prescriptions by race among U.S. older adults with a hip fracture transitioning to community care.

BACKGROUND: Appropriate pain management can facilitate rehabilitation after a hip fracture as patients transition back to the community setting. Differences in opioid prescribing by race may exist during this critical transition period. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of older adult U.S. Medicare beneficiaries with a hip fracture to examine whether the receipt and dose of opioids differs between Black and White patients as they transitioned back to the community setting. We stratified beneficiaries by whether they received institutional post-acute care (PAC). Outcomes were (1) receipt of an opioid and (2) opioid doses in the first 90 days in the community in milligram morphine equivalents (MMEs; also presented in mg oxycodone). We estimated relative rates and risk differences of opioid receipt and dose differences using Poisson and linear regression models, respectively, using the parametric g-formula to standardize for age and sex. RESULTS: We identified 164,170 older adults with hip fracture (mean age = 82.7 years; 75% female; 72% with PAC; 46% with opioid use after fracture). Overall use of opioids in the community was similar between Black and white beneficiaries. Black beneficiaries had lower average doses in their first 90 days in both total cumulative doses (PAC group: 165 [95% CI -264 to -69] fewer MMEs [-248 mg oxycodone]; no PAC: 167 [95% CI -274 to -62] fewer MMEs [-251 mg oxycodone]) and average MME per days' supply of medication (PAC: -3.0 [-4.6 to -1.4] fewer MMEs per day [-4.5 mg oxycodone]; no PAC: -4.7 [-4.6 to -1.4] fewer MMEs per day [-7.1 mg oxycodone]). In secondary analyses, Asian beneficiaries experienced the greatest differences (e.g., 617-653 fewer cumulative mg oxycodone). CONCLUSION: Racial differences exist in pain management for Medicare beneficiaries after a hip fracture. Future work should examine whether these differences result in disparities in short- and long-term health outcomes.

Cholinesterase Inhibitor Initiation Does Not Increase the Risk of Fall-Related Injury in Older Adults Treated With Beta-Blockers: A Self-Controlled Case Series Design.

BACKGROUND: Prescribing cholinesterase inhibitors (ChEIs) concurrently with beta-blockers might cause syncope that increases the risk of fall-related injuries (FRIs). This self-controlled case series study assesses the risk of FRIs associated with initiating ChEIs while receiving beta-blockers among Medicare fee-for-service-insured nursing home (NH) residents in the United States. METHODS: We identified individuals at their first dispensing of a beta-blocker between 2016 and 2019 after at least 45 days of long-stay NH residency. Individuals were followed from the first day of beta-blocker use until beta-blocker discontinuation, Medicare disenrollment, death, or study end. ChEI initiation was classified as the first 60 days of new ChEI dispensing after 45 days of no ChEI exposure. FRIs were assessed during beta-blocker use periods, and age-adjusted incidence rate ratios (IRR) for ChEI-initiation days versus other days were calculated using conditional Poisson regression models. Analyses were weighted for event-dependent observation periods due to the high risk of mortality after an FRI in this population. Subgroup analyses were conducted for several key time-fixed variables, including sex, age, ChEI type, ChEI dose, beta-blocker selectivity, and beta-blocker dose. RESULTS: The FRI risk after ChEI initiation was not elevated among 837 residents who experienced an FRI while using beta-blockers (IRR=0.90 [95%CLs 0.71, 1.15]). Analyses of ChEI initiation in several subgroups yielded similar results. CONCLUSIONS: There was no substantial difference in FRI risk when initiating ChEIs among older NH residents receiving beta-blocker therapy versus periods without ChEI initiation, suggesting that there is no clinically significant pharmacodynamic drug-drug interaction between beta-blockers and ChEIs.

Post-Acute Care Setting After Hip Fracture Hospitalization and Subsequent Opioid Use in Older Adults.

OBJECTIVE: Pain management in post-acute care (PAC) requires careful balance, with both opioid use and inadequate pain treatment linked to poor outcomes. We describe opioid use among older adults following discharge from PAC for hip fracture in skilled nursing facilities (SNFs) and inpatient rehabilitation facilities (IRFs). DESIGN: Retrospective cohort. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Medicare beneficiaries with Medicare Provider Analysis (MedPAR) claims, aged 66 years and older with a hip fracture hospitalization between 2012 and 2018 followed by PAC in SNFs or IRFs and then discharge to the community. METHODS: Individuals were followed from PAC discharge for up to 1 year to assess opioid use. Covariate-standardized risk ratios (RR) and risk differences (RD) for opioid use within 7 days of PAC discharge were estimated via parametric g-formula with modified Poisson regression, and hazard ratios (HRs) for any post-PAC opioid use and long-term opioid use via Fine-Gray sub-distribution hazards regression. RESULTS: Of 101,021 individuals, 80% (n = 80,495) were discharged from SNFs and 20% (n = 20,526) from IRFs. Opioids were dispensed to 50,433 patients (50%) overall and the 1-year cumulative incidence was notably higher in IRF (68%) than SNF (46%) patients. The adjusted risk of discharge from PAC with an opioid was 41% lower after SNFs versus IRFs [RR: 0.59; 95% confidence limits (CLs): 0.57-0.61; and RD: -0.16; 95% CLs: -0.17 to -0.15]. The adjusted rate of any opioid use in the year after PAC discharge was 44% lower (HR: 0.56; 95% CLs: 0.54-0.57) and of long-term opioid use was 17% lower (HR: 0.83; 95% CLs: 0.80-0.87) after SNFs versus IRFs. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Opioid use is highly prevalent upon discharge from PAC after hip fracture, with lower use after SNF versus IRF care. Future research should assess the benefits and harms of post-PAC opioid prescribing and whether care practices during PAC can be improved to optimize long-term opioid use.

Trends in COVID-19-Related Medication Use in US Nursing Homes, 2018-2022.

OBJECTIVES: Little is known about how COVID-19 treatment patterns have evolved over time in nursing homes (NHs) despite the devastating effects of COVID-19 in this setting. The aim was to describe changes in COVID-19-related medication use over time among NH residents in the United States. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: This study used electronic health records (EHR) from 11 different US NH corporations between January 1, 2018, and March 31, 2022. METHODS: The use of medications approved for COVID-19-related conditions or known to be used off-label for COVID-19 during the study period is identified. We described trends in the use of each drug and combined use per 1000 NH residents over calendar time [quarters (Q)]. RESULTS: A total of 59,022 unique residents with the use of an eligible medication were identified. Hydroxychloroquine use sharply increased from 9.8 in 2020Q1 to 30.2 orders per 1000 individuals in 2020Q2. Dexamethasone use increased sharply from 14.8 in 2020Q2 to a peak of 121.9 orders per 1000 individuals in 2020Q4. Azithromycin use increased from 44.1 in 2019Q3 to a peak of 99.9 orders per 1000 individuals in 2020Q4, with a drop in 2020Q3 of 51.3 per 1000 individuals in 2020Q3. Concurrent use of azithromycin and hydroxychloroquine increased sharply from 0.3 in 2020Q1 to 10.6 orders per 1000 residents in 2020Q2 and then drastically decreased to 0.6 per 1000 residents in 2020Q3. Concurrent use of dexamethasone and azithromycin rose considerably from 0.7 in 2020Q2 to 28.2 orders per 1000 residents in 2020Q4. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: As in other settings, COVID-19-related medication use in NHs appears to have changed in response to the shifting evidence base and availability of medications during the pandemic. Providers should continue to diligently modify their prescribing as new evidence accrues.

What are the determinants of childhood infections in India's peri-urban slums? A case study of eight cities.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory Tract Infections (RTIs) and Gastro-Intestinal (GI) infections are the leading causes of child mortality and morbidity. This study investigates the associations between the individual, household and slum-level determinants of children's health and vulnerability to RTIs and GI infections in peri-urban slums in India; an area of research interest at the Childhood Infections and Pollution Consortium. METHODS: The 2015-16 Indian National Family Health Survey was used for data analysis on children aged 0-5 years. NFHS-4 includes data on slums in eight Indian cities, including Delhi, Meerut, Kolkata, Indore, Mumbai, Nagpur, Hyderabad, Chennai. The outcome variables, having fever and cough (FeCo) and diarrhoea in the last two weeks, were used to define the phenotype of infections; for this analysis fever and cough were measures of RTIs and diarrhoea was used to measure GI infections. Exposures considered in this study include variables at the individual, household and slum level and were all informed by existing literature. Multilevel models were used to estimate the association between exposures and outcomes variables; a prior of Cauchy distribution with a scale of 2.5 was selected when building the multilevel logistic models. RESULTS: The total sample size of the number of children included in the analysis was n = 1,424. Data was imputed to account for missingness, and the original and imputed sample showing similar distributions. Results showed that diarrhoea and FeCo were both found to be more present in younger children than older children by a few months. In fixed effects, the odds of developing FeCo were higher if the mother perceives the child was born smaller than average (AOR 4.41, 1.13-17.17, P<0.05) at individual level. On the other hand, the odds of the diarrhoea outcome were lower if the child was older (AOR 0.97, 0.96-0.98, P<0.05) at individual level, and household's water source was public tap or standpipe (AOR 0.54, 0.31-0.96, P<0.05) at household level. CONCLUSION: The determinants of health, both social and related to health care, at all levels demonstrated linkages to child morbidity in RTIs and GI infections. The empirical evidence highlights the need for contextualised ideas at each level, including one health approach when designing interventions to improve child health.

Effect of antibiotics in preventing hospitalizations from respiratory tract infections in children with Down syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Children with Down syndrome (DS) are at high risk of respiratory tract infections (RTIs) due to anatomical variations, comorbidities, and immune system immaturity. Evidence on interventions to reduce this risk is incomplete. This study aims to quantify the effect of antibiotics prescribed for RTIs in primary care on the subsequent risk of RTI-related hospitalization for children with DS versus controls. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 992 children with DS and 4874 controls managed by UK National Health Service General Practitioners (GPs) and hospitals as identified in CALIBER (Clinical disease research using LInked Bespoke studies and Electronic health Records), 1997-2010. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were undertaken. RESULTS: In children with DS, the prescription of antibiotics following an RTI-related GP consultation did not significantly reduce the risk of RTI-related hospitalization in the subsequent 28 days (risk with antibiotics, 1.8%; without, 2.5%; risk ratio, 0.699; 95% confidence interval, 0.471-1.036). Subgroup analyses showed a risk reduction only in infants with DS, after adjustment for covariates. There was no reduction in risk for controls, overall or across subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, while prescription of antibiotics following RTI-related GP consultations were effective for infants with DS in reducing subsequent RTI-related hospitalization, this was not the case for older children with DS. We would encourage further high-quality cohort and randomized controlled trials to interrogate this finding, and to examine the impact of antibiotics on other endpoints, including symptom duration.

Exploring perceptions of consanguineous unions with women from an East London community: analysis of discussion groups.

Consanguineous unions are relationships between blood relatives. This study explores the perceptions of consanguineous unions and risk of childhood disability and illness through the reported views and experiences of women in an ethnically diverse London community. This qualitative study utilised group discussions to elicit women's views and experiences. Field notes were recorded by independent note-takers in four group discussions. Field notes were coded manually and independently by two researchers who identified common themes for thematic analysis. Thirty-six women attended, of whom 20 identified as Asian Pakistani. Identified themes included variation in participants' views of consanguineous unions and associated health risks, the value of informed decisions and preferences for information distribution. Although participants had diverse opinions and experiences, they considered risk awareness to be vital for encouraging informed decisions in younger generations. This study highlights the importance of involving the community in efforts to increase awareness around consanguineous unions and genetic risk, emphasising the need for enabling educated choices and the value of co-developing educational efforts with the community.

Importance of vitamin D in acute and critically ill children with subgroup analyses of sepsis and respiratory tract infections: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the prevalence of 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) deficiency and investigate its association with mortality in children with acute or critical conditions. DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies. DATA SOURCES: PubMed, OVID, Google Scholar and the Cochrane Library searched until 21 December 2018. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Studies of children hospitalised with acute or critical conditions who had blood 25(OH)D levels measured. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: We obtained pooled prevalence estimates of 25(OH)D deficiency and ORs for mortality. We calculated 95% CI and prediction intervals and investigated heterogeneity and evidence of small-study effects. RESULTS: Fifty-two studies were included. Of 7434 children, 3473 (47.0%) were 25(OH)D deficient (<50 nmol/L). The pooled prevalence estimate of 25(OH)D deficiency was 54.6% (95% CI 48.5% to 60.6%, I2=95.3%, p<0.0001). Prevalence was similar after excluding smaller studies (51.5%). In children with sepsis (18 studies, 889 total individuals) prevalence was 64.0% (95% CI 52.0% to 74.4%, I2=89.3%, p<0.0001) and 48.7% (95% CI 38.2% to 59.3%; I2=94.3%, p<0.0001) in those with respiratory tract infections (RTI) (25 studies, 2699 total individuals). Overall, meta-analysis of mortality (18 cohort studies, 2463 total individuals) showed increased risk of death in 25(OH)D deficient children (OR 1.81, 95% CI 1.24 to 2.64, p=0.002, I2=25.7%, p=0.153). Four (22.0%) of the 18 studies statistically adjusted for confounders. There were insufficient studies to meta-analyse sepsis and RTI-related mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that 25(OH)D deficiency in acute and critically ill children is high and associated with increased mortality. Small-study effects, reverse causation and other biases may have confounded results. Larger, carefully designed studies in homogeneous populations with confounder adjustment are needed to clarify the association between 25(OH)D levels with mortality and other outcomes. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42016050638.