Associations between alcohol and cigarette use and type 1 and 2 myocardial infarction among people with HIV.

OBJECTIVES: People with HIV have a higher risk of myocardial infarction (MI) than the general population, with a greater proportion of type 2 MI (T2MI) due to oxygen demand-supply mismatch compared with type 1 (T1MI) resulting from atherothrombotic plaque disruption. People living with HIV report a greater prevalence of cigarette and alcohol use than do the general population. Alcohol use and smoking as risk factors for MI by type are not well studied among people living with HIV. We examined longitudinal associations between smoking and alcohol use patterns and MI by type among people living with HIV. DESIGN AND METHODS: Using longitudinal data from the Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems cohort, we conducted time-updated Cox proportional hazards models to determine the impact of smoking and alcohol consumption on adjudicated T1MI and T2MI. RESULTS: Among 13 506 people living with HIV, with a median 4 years of follow-up, we observed 177 T1MI and 141 T2MI. Current smoking was associated with a 60% increase in risk of both T1MI and T2MI. In addition, every cigarette smoked per day was associated with a 4% increase in risk of T1MI, with a suggestive, but not significant, 2% increase for T2MI. Cigarette use had a greater impact on T1MI for men than for women and on T2MI for women than for men. Increasing alcohol use was associated with a lower risk of T1MI but not T2MI. Frequency of heavy episodic alcohol use was not associated with MI. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings reinforce the prioritization of smoking reduction, even without cessation, and cessation among people living with HIV for MI prevention and highlight the different impacts on MI type by gender.

Tobacco smoking and binge alcohol use are associated with incident venous thromboembolism in an HIV cohort.

BACKGROUND: People with HIV (PWH) are at increased risk of cardiovascular comorbidities and substance use is a potential predisposing factor. We evaluated associations of tobacco smoking and alcohol use with venous thromboembolism (VTE) in PWH. METHODS: We assessed incident, centrally adjudicated VTE among 12 957 PWH within the Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems (CNICS) cohort between January 2009 and December 2018. Using separate Cox proportional hazards models, we evaluated associations of time-updated alcohol and cigarette use with VTE, adjusting for demographic and clinical characteristics. Smoking was evaluated as pack-years and never, former, or current use with current cigarettes per day. Alcohol use was parameterized using categorical and continuous alcohol use score, frequency of use, and binge frequency. RESULTS: During a median of 3.6 years of follow-up, 213 PWH developed a VTE. One-third of PWH reported binge drinking and 40% reported currently smoking. In adjusted analyses, risk of VTE was increased among both current (HR: 1.44, 95% CI: 1.02-2.03) and former (HR: 1.44, 95% CI: 0.99-2.07) smokers compared to PWH who never smoked. Additionally, total pack-years among ever-smokers (HR: 1.10 per 5 pack-years; 95% CI: 1.03-1.18) was associated with incident VTE in a dose-dependent manner. Frequency of binge drinking was associated with incident VTE (HR: 1.30 per 7 days/month, 95% CI: 1.11-1.52); however, alcohol use frequency was not. Severity of alcohol use was not significantly associated with VTE. CONCLUSIONS: Current smoking and pack-year smoking history were dose-dependently associated with incident VTE among PWH in CNICS. Binge drinking was also associated with VTE. Interventions for smoking and binge drinking may decrease VTE risk among PWH.

The role of venues in structuring HIV, sexually transmitted infections, and risk networks among men who have sex with men.

BACKGROUND: Venues form part of the sampling frame for time-location sampling, an approach often used for HIV surveillance. While sampling location is often regarded as a nuisance factor, venues may play a central role in structuring risk networks. We investigated individual reports of risk behaviors and infections among men who have sex with men (MSM) attending different venues to examine structuring of HIV risk behaviors. However, teasing apart 'risky people' from 'risky places' is difficult, as individuals cannot be randomized to attend different venues. However, we can emulate this statistically using marginal structural models, which inversely weight individuals according to their estimated probability of attending the venue. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional survey of 609 MSM patrons of 14 bars in San Diego, California, recruited using the Priorities for Local AIDS Control Efforts (PLACE) methodology, which consists of a multi-level identification and assessment of venues for HIV risk through population surveys. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: Venues differed by many factors, including participants' reported age, ethnicity, number of lifetime male partners, past sexually transmitted infection (STI), and HIV status. In multivariable marginal structural models, venues demonstrated structuring of HIV+ status, past STI, and methamphetamine use, independently of individual-level characteristics. CONCLUSIONS: Studies using time-location sampling should consider venue as an important covariate, and the use of marginal structural models may help to identify risky venues. This may assist in widespread, economically feasible and sustainable targeted surveillance and prevention. A more mechanistic understanding of how 'risky venues' emerge and structure risk is needed.

A needs assessment study for optimising prescribing practice in secondary care junior doctors: the Antibiotic Prescribing Education among Doctors (APED).

BACKGROUND: Appropriate antimicrobial prescribing is essential for patient care, yet up to half of antimicrobial prescriptions written in the UK are sub-optimal. Improving prescriber education has recently been promoted as a mechanism to optimise antimicrobial use, but identification of key learning objectives to facilitate this is so far lacking. Using qualitative methods we investigated junior doctor knowledge, attitudes, and behaviours around antimicrobial prescribing to identify key areas to address in future educational programmes. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey of qualified doctors in training in West London was undertaken exploring antimicrobial prescribing practices and educational needs. RESULTS: Among 140 junior doctors from 5 London hospitals, a third (34 %) reported prescribing primarily unsupervised, and two thirds (67 %) reported difficulties obtaining prescribing support outside of hours. 20 % stated not feeling confident in writing an antimicrobial prescription, but confidence was increased through having confirmatory diagnostic results (24) and obtaining advice from a senior doctor (26 %); whether this senior was from their own specialty, or an infection-specialist, varied significantly (p < 0.01) by experience. Only a small percentage (5-13 %; depending on number of years post-qualification) of participants stated their previous antimicrobial education was effective. 60 % of those in their first year post qualification reported wanting further education in antimicrobial prescribing, rising to 74 % among more experienced junior doctors. Specific areas of educational need identified were (i) principles of antimicrobial prescribing, (ii) diagnosis of infections, (iii) clinical review of patients with infections, (iv) prescribing in the context of antimicrobial resistance, and (v) laboratory testing and test results. CONCLUSIONS: A significant proportion of junior doctors report lone prescribing of antimicrobials in the context of low self-perceived confidence and knowledge in this field, and frequent difficulty in accessing help when necessary. Innovative training, targeting five specific areas identified through this needs assessment, is urgently needed by junior doctors practising in secondary care.

Antimicrobial therapy in obesity: a multicentre cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVES: Evidence indicates a relationship between obesity and infection. We assessed the prevalence of obesity in hospitalized patients and evaluated its impact on antimicrobial management. METHODS: Three National Health Service hospitals in London in 2011-12 were included in a cross-sectional study. Data from all adult admissions units and medical and surgical wards were collected. Patient data were collected from the medication charts and nursing and medical notes. Antimicrobial therapy was defined as 'complicated' if the patient's therapy met two or more of the following criteria: (i) second- or third-line therapy according to local policy; (ii) intravenous therapy where an alternative oral therapy was appropriate; (iii) longer than the recommended duration of therapy as per local policy recommendations; (iv) repeated courses of therapy to treat the same infection; and (v) specialist advice on antimicrobial therapy provided by the medical microbiology or infectious diseases teams. RESULTS: Of the 1014 patients included in this study, 22% (225) were obese, 69% (696) were normal/overweight and 9% (93) were underweight. Obese patients were significantly more likely to have more complicated antimicrobial therapy than normal/overweight and underweight patients (36% versus 19% and 23%, respectively, P = 0.002). After adjustment for hospital, age group, comorbidities and the type of infection, obese patients remained at significantly increased odds of receiving complicated antimicrobial therapy compared with normal/overweight patients (OR = 2.01, 95% CI 1.75-3.45). CONCLUSIONS: One in five hospitalized patients is obese. Compared with the underweight and normal/overweight, the antimicrobial management in the obese is significantly more complicated.

Assessing the use of hospital staff influenza-like absence (ILA) for enhancing hospital preparedness and national surveillance.

BACKGROUND: Early warning and robust estimation of influenza burden are critical to inform hospital preparedness and operational, treatment, and vaccination policies. Methods to enhance influenza-like illness (ILI) surveillance are regularly reviewed. We investigated the use of hospital staff 'influenza-like absences' (hospital staff-ILA), i.e. absence attributed to colds and influenza, to improve capture of influenza dynamics and provide resilience for hospitals. METHODS: Numbers and rates of hospital staff-ILA were compared to regional surveillance data on ILI primary-care presentations (15-64 years) and to counts of laboratory confirmed cases among hospitalised patients from April 2008 to April 2013 inclusive. Analyses were used to determine comparability of the ILI and hospital-ILA and how systems compared in early warning and estimating the burden of disease. RESULTS: Among 20,021 reported hospital-ILA and 4661 community ILI cases, correlations in counts were high and consistency in illness measurements was observed. In time series analyses, both hospital-ILA and ILI showed similar timing of the seasonal component. Hospital-ILA data often commenced and peaked earlier than ILI according to a Bayesian prospective alarm algorithm. Hospital-ILA rates were more comparable to model-based estimates of 'true' influenza burden than ILI. CONCLUSIONS: Hospital-ILA appears to have the potential to be a robust, yet simple syndromic surveillance method that could be used to enhance estimates of disease burden and early warning, and assist with local hospital preparedness.

Internalized HIV stigma and viral suppression: examining the mediating and moderating roles of substance use and social support.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the effects of internalized HIV stigma on viral non-suppression via depressive symptoms, alcohol use, illicit drug use, and medication adherence and investigate whether social support moderates these effects. DESIGN: Longitudinal observational clinical cohort of patients in HIV care in the US.Methods: Data from the CFAR Network for Integrated Clinical Systems (2016-2019) were used to conduct structural equation models (SEM) to test the indirect effects of internalized HIV stigma on viral non-suppression through depressive symptoms, illicit drug use, alcohol use, and medication adherence. Moderated mediation with an interaction between social support and internalized HIV stigma was examined. RESULTS: Among 9,574 individuals included in the study sample, 81.1% were male and 41.4% were Black, non-Hispanic. The model demonstrated good fit (root mean square error of approximation = 0.028; standardized root means square residual = 0.067). The overall indirect effect was significant (b = 0.058; se  = 0.020; ß = 0.048; 95%CI = .019-.098), indicating that internalized HIV stigma's impact on viral non-suppression was mediated by depressive symptoms, illicit drug use, and medication adherence. An interaction was observed between internalized HIV stigma and social support on alcohol use, however, there was no moderated mediation for any of the mediators. CONCLUSIONS: Internalized HIV stigma indirectly impacts viral non-suppression through its effects on depressive symptoms, illicit drug use, and medication adherence. Social support may buffer the impact, but more research is needed. Understanding the pathways through which internalized stigma impacts viral suppression is key to improving health of people with HIV.

Weight loss associated with semaglutide treatment among people with HIV.

OBJECTIVE: There is limited real-world evidence about the effectiveness of semaglutide for weight loss among people with HIV (PWH). We aimed to investigate weight change in a US cohort of PWH who initiated semaglutide treatment. DESIGN: Observational study using the Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems (CNICS) cohort. METHODS: We identified adult PWH who initiated semaglutide between 2018 and 2022 and with at least two weight measurements. The primary outcome was within-person bodyweight change in kilograms at 1 year. The secondary outcome was within-person Hemoglobin A1c percentage (HbA1c) change. Both outcomes were estimated using multivariable linear mixed model. RESULTS: In total, 222 new users of semaglutide met inclusion criteria. Mean follow-up was 1.1 years. Approximately 75% of new semaglutide users were men, and at baseline, mean age was 53 years [standard deviation (SD): 10], average weight was 108 kg (SD: 23), mean BMI was 35.5 kg/m 2 , mean HbA1c was 7.7% and 77% had clinically recognized diabetes. At baseline, 97% were on ART and 89% were virally suppressed (viral load < 50 copies/ml). In the adjusted mixed model analysis, treatment with semaglutide was associated with an average weight loss of 6.47 kg at 1 year (95% CI -7.67 to -5.18) and with a reduction in HbA1c of 1.07% at 1 year (95% CI -1.64 to -0.50) among the 157 PWH with a postindex HbA1c value. CONCLUSION: Semaglutide was associated with significant weight loss and HbA1c reduction among PWH, comparable to results of previous studies from the general population.

Differences in internalized HIV stigma across subpopulations of people with HIV in care across the United States.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have examined which subgroups of people with HIV (PWH) carry the greatest burden of internalized HIV stigma (IHS), which may be important to care provision and interventions. METHODS: PWH in the CFAR Network of Integrated Clinical Systems (CNICS) longitudinal, US-based, multisite, clinical care cohort completed tablet-based assessments during clinic visits including a four-item, Likert scale (low 1-5 high), IHS instrument. Associations between sociodemographic characteristics and IHS scores were assessed in adjusted linear regression models. RESULTS: Twelve thousand six hundred and fifty-six PWH completed the IHS assessment at least once from February 2016 to November 2022, providing 28 559 IHS assessments. At baseline IHS assessment, the mean age was 49 years, 41% reported White, 38% Black/African American, and 16% Latine race/ethnicity, and 80% were cisgender men. The mean IHS score was 2.04, with all subgroups represented among those endorsing IHS. In regression analyses, younger PWH and those in care fewer years had higher IHS scores. In addition, cisgender women vs. cisgender men, PWH residing in the West vs. the Southeast, and those with sexual identities other than gay/lesbian had higher IHS scores. Compared with White-identifying PWH, those who identified with Black/African American or Latine race/ethnicity had lower IHS scores. Age stratification revealed patterns related to age category, including specific age-related differences by gender, geographic region and race/ethnicity. DISCUSSION: IHS is prevalent among PWH, with differential burden by subgroups of PWH. These findings highlight the benefits of routine screening for IHS and suggest the need for targeting/tailoring interventions to reduce IHS among PWH.

Behavioral and Health Outcome Differences by Heroin or Methamphetamine Preference Among People in Rural US Communities Who Use Both Substances.

Background: The United States' (US) opioid overdose epidemic has evolved into a combined stimulant/opioid epidemic, a pattern driven in part by mitigating opioid overdose risk, variable substance availability, and personal preferences. This study aimed to investigate the association between self-reported substance preference (heroin or methamphetamine) and behavioral/health outcomes among individuals who used both heroin and methamphetamine in the rural US. Methods: The Rural Opioid Initiative is a consortium of 8 research cohorts from 10 states and 65 rural counties that recruited individuals reporting past 30-day injection of any substance or opioid substance use by any route from 1/2018 to 3/2020. Analyses were restricted to participants ⩾18 years, who self-reported either heroin or methamphetamine as their preferred substance and past 30-day use of both heroin and methamphetamine. We examined cross-sectional associations between preferred substance (heroin versus methamphetamine) and behavioral and health outcomes using random effects meta-analysis with adjusted regression models. Results: Among 1239 participants, 61% (n = 752) reported heroin as their preferred substance. Adjusting for age, sex, and race/ethnicity, methamphetamine preference was associated with lower prevalence ratios for current naloxone possession (adjusted prevalence ratio [aPR] = 0.68; 95% Confidence Interval [95% CI] = 0.59-0.78; P-value ⩽ .001), of ever being told they had the hepatitis C virus (HCV; aPR = 0.72; 95% CI: 0.61-0.85; P-value ⩽ .001) and a personal history of overdose (aPR = 0.81; 95% CI = 0.73-0.90; P-value ⩽ .001). Conclusion: In our study analyzing associations between preferred substance and various behavioral and health outcomes amongst people who use both heroin and methamphetamine, a majority of participants preferred heroin. Methamphetamine preference was associated with lower prevalence of naloxone possession, ever being told they had HCV, and prior history of an overdose. This study underscores the need for targeted harm reduction services for people who prefer methamphetamine in rural areas.

Venous Thromboembolism Among People With HIV: Design, Implementation, and Findings of a Centralized Adjudication System in Clinical Care Sites Across the United States.

BACKGROUND: People with HIV (PWH) are at increased risk for venous thromboembolism (VTE). We conducted this study to characterize VTE including provoking factors among PWH in the current treatment era. METHODS: We included PWH with VTE between 2010 and 2020 at 6 sites in the CFAR Network of Integrated Clinical Systems cohort. We ascertained for possible VTE using diagnosis, VTE-related imaging, and VTE-related procedure codes, followed by centralized adjudication of primary data by expert physician reviewers. We evaluated sensitivity and positive predictive value of VTE ascertainment approaches. VTEs were classified by type and anatomic location. Reviewers identified provoking factors such as hospitalizations, infections, and other potential predisposing factors such as smoking. RESULTS: We identified 557 PWH with adjudicated VTE: 239 (43%) had pulmonary embolism with or without deep venous thrombosis, and 318 (57%) had deep venous thrombosis alone. Ascertainment with clinical diagnoses alone missed 6% of VTEs identified with multiple ascertainment approaches. DVTs not associated with intravenous lines were most often in the proximal lower extremities. Among PWH with VTE, common provoking factors included recent hospitalization (n = 134, 42%), infection (n = 133, 42%), and immobilization/bed rest (n = 78, 25%). Only 57 (10%) PWH had no provoking factor identified. Smoking (46%), HIV viremia (27%), and injection drug use (22%) were also common. CONCLUSIONS: We conducted a robust adjudication process that demonstrated the benefits of multiple ascertainment approaches followed by adjudication. Provoked VTEs were more common than unprovoked events. Nontraditional and modifiable potential predisposing factors such as viremia and smoking were common.

Evaluating the Sick Quitting Hypothesis for Frailty Status and Reducing Alcohol Use Among People With HIV in a Longitudinal Clinical Cohort Study.

ABSTRACT: "Sick quitting," a phenomenon describing reductions in alcohol consumption following poor health, may explain observations that alcohol appears protective for frailty risk. We examined associations between frailty and reductions in drinking frequency among people with HIV (PWH). At six Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems (CNICS) sites between January 2012 and August 2021, we assessed whether frailty, measured through validated modified frailty phenotype, precedes reductions in drinking frequency. We associated time-updated frailty with quitting and reducing frequency of any drinking and heavy episodic drinking (HED), adjusted for demographic and clinical characteristics in Cox models. Among 5,654 PWH reporting drinking, 60% reported >monthly drinking and 18% reported ≥monthly HED. Over an average of 5.4 years, frail PWH had greater probabilities of quitting (HR: 1.56, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] [1.13-2.15]) and reducing (HR: 1.35, 95% CI [1.13-1.62]) drinking frequency, as well as reducing HED frequency (HR: 1.58, 95% CI [1.20-2.09]) versus robust PWH. Sick quitting likely confounds the association between alcohol use and frailty risk, requiring investigation for control.

Smoking and Type 1 Versus Type 2 Myocardial Infarction Among People With HIV in the United States.

ABSTRACT: Smoking is a myocardial infarction (MI) risk factor among people with HIV (PWH). Questions persist regarding the role of smoking behaviors and measurements (e.g., intensity, duration) on MI risk. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to compare the association of smoking parameterization with incidents of type 1 and type 2 MI and whether smoking intensity or duration improves MI risk prediction among PWH. Among 11,637 PWH, 37% reported currently smoking, and there were 346 MIs. Current smoking was associated with type 1 (84% increased risk) but not type 2 MI in adjusted analyses. The type 1 MI model with pack years had the best goodness of fit compared with other smoking parameterizations. Ever or never parameterization and smoking diagnosis data had significantly poorer model fit. These results highlight the importance of differentiating MI types and performing patient-based smoking assessments to improve HIV care and research rather than relying on smoking status from diagnoses.

Feasibility and utility of Point-of-Care electronic clinical data capture in Uganda's healthcare system: a qualitative study.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess Uganda's readiness for implementing a national Point-of-Care (PoC) electronic clinical data capture platform that can function in near real-time. METHODS: A qualitative, cross-sectional design was adopted to obtain a snapshot of Uganda's eHealth system landscape with an aim to assess the readiness for implementing PoC platform. A purposive sampling strategy was used to select the study districts per region, health facilities per district, and participants per facility or district. RESULTS: Nine facilitators were identified, including health worker motivation to serve the community, affirmative action on eHealth financing, improved integrating information and communication technology (ICT) infrastructure, Internet and electricity power connectivity, improved human resource skills and knowledge, the culture of sensitizing and training of stakeholders on eHealth interventions, the perceived value of the platform, health workers' motivation to improve health data quality, interest to improve data use, and continuous improvement in the eHealth regulatory environment. Other suggestions entailed several requirements that must be met, including infrastructure, eHealth governance, human resources, as well as functional and data requirements. DISCUSSION: Uganda, like other low-income countries, has adopted ICT to help solve some of its health system challenges. Although several challenges face eHealth implementations in Uganda, this study revealed facilitators that can be leveraged and requirements that, if met, would facilitate the successful implementation of a near real-time data capture platform capable of improving the country's health outcomes. CONCLUSION: Other countries with eHealth implementations similar to those faced in Uganda can also leverage identified facilitators and address the stakeholders' requirements.

Critical risk and success factors for sustainability of an electronic health data capture, processing and dissemination platform for Uganda.

Several studies have investigated challenges that have marred success or even caused the failure of eHealth implementations in Uganda; however, none has focused on the risks and success factors of their sustainability. This study explored critical risk and success factors for the sustainability of an electronic health data capture, processing and dissemination platform for Uganda. A mixed-method research design was followed involving collecting empirical data from all four regions of Uganda. A purposive sampling strategy was used to select the study districts per region, health facilities per district, and respondents/participants per facility or district. Findings revealed several risks and success factors for sustainability, including; bad leadership, corruption, lack of sustainable maintenance programs, lack of suitable sustainability plans, lack of ICT infrastructure investment, poor management systems, funds, stakeholder buy-ins, data sharing and access rights. The success factors included reinvestments as a partial sustainability plan for ICT infrastructure. These factors can be leveraged to ensure the continued operation of eHealth implementations in Uganda. Every electronic health project aiming at success should always make due consideration/sustainability plan at the onset of project conceptualisation; as lack of such a plan has often resulted in failed projects after the initial funds have been withdrawn.

Vaporized Nicotine (E-Cigarette) and Tobacco Smoking Among People With HIV: Use Patterns and Associations With Depression and Panic Symptoms.

BACKGROUND: Vaporized nicotine (VN) use is increasing among people with HIV (PWH). We examined demographics, patterns of use, depression, and panic symptoms associated with VN and combustible cigarette (CC) use among PWH. METHODS: We analyzed VN use among PWH in care at 7 US sites. PWH completed a set of patient-reported outcomes, including substance use and mental health. We categorized VN use as never vs. ever with the frequency of use (days/month) and CC use as never, former, or current. We used relative risk regression to associate VN and CC use, depression, and panic symptoms. Linear regression estimated each relationship with VN frequency. Models were adjusted for demographics. RESULTS: Among 7431 PWH, 812 (11%) reported ever-using VN, and 264 (4%) reported daily use. Half (51%) of VN users concurrently used CC. VN users were more likely than those without use to be younger, to be White, and to report ever-using CC. PWH reporting former CC use reported ≥8.5 more days per month of VN use compared with never CC use [95% confidence interval (95% CI): 5.5 to 11.5 days/month] or current CC use (95% CI: 6.6 to 10.5 days/month). Depression (relative risk: 1.20 [95% CI: 1.02 to 1.42]) and panic disorder (1.71 [95% CI: 1.43 to 2.05]) were more common among PWH ever-using VN. Depression was common among PWH using VN (27%) and CC (22%), as was panic disorder (21% for VN and 16% for CC). CONCLUSION: Our study elucidated demographic associations with VN use among PWH, revealed the overlap of VN and CC use, and associations with depression/panic symptoms, suggesting roles of VN in self-medication and CC substitution, warranting further longitudinal/qualitative research.

Tobacco Smoking and Pack-Years Are Associated With Frailty Among People With HIV.

BACKGROUND: Tobacco smoking increases frailty risk among the general population and is common among people with HIV (PWH) who experience higher rates of frailty at younger ages than the general population. METHODS: We identified 8608 PWH across 6 Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems sites who completed ≥2 patient-reported outcome assessments, including a frailty phenotype measuring unintentional weight loss, poor mobility, fatigue, and inactivity, and scored 0-4. Smoking was measured as baseline pack-years and time-updated never, former, or current use with cigarettes/day. We used Cox models to associate smoking with risk of incident frailty (score ≥3) and deterioration (frailty score increase by ≥2 points), adjusted for demographics, antiretroviral medication, and time-updated CD4 count. RESULTS: The mean follow-up of PWH was 5.3 years (median: 5.0), the mean age at baseline was 45 years, 15% were female, and 52% were non-White. At baseline, 60% reported current or former smoking. Current (HR: 1.79; 95% confidence interval: 1.54 to 2.08) and former (HR: 1.31; 95% confidence interval: 1.12 to 1.53) smoking were associated with higher incident frailty risk, as were higher pack-years. Current smoking (among younger PWH) and pack-years, but not former smoking, were associated with higher risk of deterioration. CONCLUSIONS: Among PWH, smoking status and duration are associated with incident and worsening frailty.

Development of Frail RISC-HIV: a Risk Score for Predicting Frailty Risk in the Short-term for Care of People with HIV.

OBJECTIVE: Frailty is common among people with HIV (PWH), so we developed frail risk in the short-term for care (RISC)-HIV, a frailty prediction risk score for HIV clinical decision-making. DESIGN: We followed PWH for up to 2 years to identify short-term predictors of becoming frail. METHODS: We predicted frailty risk among PWH at seven HIV clinics across the United States. A modified self-reported Fried Phenotype captured frailty, including fatigue, weight loss, inactivity, and poor mobility. PWH without frailty were separated into training and validation sets and followed until becoming frail or 2 years. Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) and five-fold-cross-validation Lasso regression selected predictors of frailty. Predictors were selected by BMA if they had a greater than 45% probability of being in the best model and by Lasso if they minimized mean squared error. We included age, sex, and variables selected by both BMA and Lasso in Frail RISC-HIV by associating incident frailty with each selected variable in Cox models. Frail RISC-HIV performance was assessed in the validation set by Harrell's C and lift plots. RESULTS: Among 3170 PWH (training set), 7% developed frailty, whereas among 1510 PWH (validation set), 12% developed frailty. BMA and Lasso selected baseline frailty score, prescribed antidepressants, prescribed antiretroviral therapy, depressive symptomology, and current marijuana and illicit opioid use. Discrimination was acceptable in the validation set, with Harrell's C of 0.76 (95% confidence interval: 0.73-0.79) and sensitivity of 80% and specificity of 61% at a 5% frailty risk cutoff. CONCLUSIONS: Frail RISC-HIV is a simple, easily implemented tool to assist in classifying PWH at risk for frailty in clinics.

Validity Properties of a Self-reported Modified Frailty Phenotype Among People With HIV in Clinical Care in the United States.

ABSTRACT: Modifications to Fried's frailty phenotype (FFP) are common. We evaluated a self-reported modified frailty phenotype (Mod-FP) used among people with HIV (PWH). Among 522 PWH engaged in two longitudinal studies, we assessed validity of the four-item Mod-FP compared with the five-item FFP. We compared the phenotypes via receiver operator characteristic curves, agreement in classifying frailty, and criterion validity via association with having experienced falls. Mod-FP classified 8% of PWH as frail, whereas FFP classified 9%. The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve for Mod-FP classifying frailty was 0.93 (95% CI = 0.91-0.96). We observed kappa ranging from 0.64 (unweighted) to 0.75 (weighted) for categorizing frailty status. Both definitions found frailty associated with a greater odds of experiencing a fall; FFP estimated a slightly greater magnitude (i.e., OR) for the association than Mod-FP. The Mod-FP has good performance in measuring frailty among PWH and is reasonable to use when the gold standards of observed assessments (i.e., weakness and slowness) are not feasible.