A composite immune and vascular stress marker in patients newly diagnosed with bipolar disorder and their unaffected first-degree relatives.

AIMS: Substantial evidence emphasizes immune dysregulation in patients with bipolar disorder (BD). However, whether immune dysregulation is present already in the early illness stages of BD or even precedes development of BD is largely unknown. In this study we compared immune and vascular stress markers in patients newly diagnosed with BD, their unaffected first-degree relatives (UR) and healthy control individuals (HC) and investigated the ability a composite immune and vascular stress marker to discriminate between the three groups of participants. METHODS: In a unique sample including 373 patients newly diagnosed with BD, 95 UR and 190 HC, we compared 47 immune and vascular stress markers at the baseline visit in the ongoing longitudinal Bipolar Illness Onset study. For comparison of individual immune and vascular stress markers between groups, we applied linear mixed models, whereas the composite immune and vascular stress marker was investigated using the SuperLearner ensemble-method. RESULTS: Compared with HC, patients newly diagnosed with BD had higher levels of the anti-inflammatory interleukin-1 receptor antagonist (IL-1RA) and IL-10, and of the pro-inflammatory IL-6, eotaxin, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), MCP-4, Macrophage Derived Chemokine (MDC), and Thymus and Activation-Regulated Chemokine (TARC) in analyses adjusted for sex and age ranging from 26 % higher levels of IL-6 (1.26, 95 %CI: [1.12-1.43], p < 0.001, adjusted p = 0.009) and IL-10 (1.26, 95 %CI: [1.09-1.46], p = 0.002, adjusted p = 0.049), respectively, to 9 % higher eotaxin levels (1.09, 95 %CI: [1.04-1.15], p = 0.001, adjusted p = 0.024). Of these, MDC levels were 12 % higher in BD compared with UR (1.12, 95 %CI: [1.02-1.22], p = 0.001, adjusted p = 0.024). For all other markers, UR showed no difference from patients with BD or HC. Based on a data-driven model, a composite marker including all 47 immune and vascular stress markers, sex, age, BMI, smoking status, and alcohol intake, discriminated patients with BD from HC with a with an area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of 0.76 (95 % CI: 0.75-0.77) CONCLUSIONS: Higher levels of pro-inflammatory and anti-inflammatory immune markers are present in patients newly diagnosed with BD but not in UR compared with HC, supporting immune dysregulation playing a role in the pathophysiology of BD.

Liraglutide 3.0 mg once daily for the treatment of overweight and obesity in patients hospitalised at a forensic psychiatric department: A 26-week open-label feasibility study.

INTRODUCTION: Overweight and obesity constitute a major concern among patients treated at forensic psychiatric departments. The present clinical feasibility study aimed at investigating the extent to which glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) treatment with once-daily liraglutide 3.0 mg could be a feasible pharmacological treatment of these conditions in patients with schizophrenia spectrum disorders hospitalised in forensic psychiatry. METHODS: The 26-week, open-label feasibility study included participants aged 18-65 years diagnosed with a severe mental illness and hospitalised at a forensic psychiatric department. At the time of inclusion, all participants fulfilled the indication for using liraglutide as a treatment for overweight and obesity. Participants' baseline examinations were followed by a 26-week treatment period with liraglutide injection once daily according to a fixed uptitration schedule of liraglutide, with a target dose of 3.0 mg. Each participant attended seven visits to evaluate the efficacy and adverse events. The primary endpoint was the number of "completers", with adherence defined as >80% injections obtained in the period, weeks 12-26. Determining whether liraglutide is a feasible treatment was pre-defined to a minimum of 75% completers. RESULTS: Twenty-four participants were included in the study. Sex, male = 19 (79.2%). Mean age: 42.3 [25th and 75th percentiles: 39.1; 48.4] years; body mass index (BMI): 35.7 [31.7; 37.5] kg/m2; glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c): 37 [35; 39] mmol/mol. Eleven out of 24 participants (46%) completed the study. For the completers, the median net body weight loss after 26 weeks of participation was -11.4 kg [-15.4; -5.9]. The net difference in HbA1C and BMI was -2.0 mmol/mol [-4; -1] and -3.6 kg/m2 [-4.7; -1.8], respectively. The weight change and reduction in HbA1c and BMI were all statistically significant from baseline. CONCLUSION: The study did not confirm our hypothesis that liraglutide is a feasible treatment for a minimum of 75% of the patients initiating treatment with liraglutide while hospitalised in a forensic psychiatric department. The high dropout rate may be due to the non-naturalistic setting of the clinical trial. For the proportion of patients compliant with the medication, liraglutide 3.0 mg was an efficient treatment for overweight.

Gestational age at birth and body size from infancy through adolescence: An individual participant data meta-analysis on 253,810 singletons in 16 birth cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: Preterm birth is the leading cause of perinatal morbidity and mortality and is associated with adverse developmental and long-term health outcomes, including several cardiometabolic risk factors and outcomes. However, evidence about the association of preterm birth with later body size derives mainly from studies using birth weight as a proxy of prematurity rather than an actual length of gestation. We investigated the association of gestational age (GA) at birth with body size from infancy through adolescence. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We conducted a two-stage individual participant data (IPD) meta-analysis using data from 253,810 mother-child dyads from 16 general population-based cohort studies in Europe (Denmark, Finland, France, Italy, Norway, Portugal, Spain, the Netherlands, United Kingdom), North America (Canada), and Australasia (Australia) to estimate the association of GA with body mass index (BMI) and overweight (including obesity) adjusted for the following maternal characteristics as potential confounders: education, height, prepregnancy BMI, ethnic background, parity, smoking during pregnancy, age at child's birth, gestational diabetes and hypertension, and preeclampsia. Pregnancy and birth cohort studies from the LifeCycle and the EUCAN-Connect projects were invited and were eligible for inclusion if they had information on GA and minimum one measurement of BMI between infancy and adolescence. Using a federated analytical tool (DataSHIELD), we fitted linear and logistic regression models in each cohort separately with a complete-case approach and combined the regression estimates and standard errors through random-effects study-level meta-analysis providing an overall effect estimate at early infancy (>0.0 to 0.5 years), late infancy (>0.5 to 2.0 years), early childhood (>2.0 to 5.0 years), mid-childhood (>5.0 to 9.0 years), late childhood (>9.0 to 14.0 years), and adolescence (>14.0 to 19.0 years). GA was positively associated with BMI in the first decade of life, with the greatest increase in mean BMI z-score during early infancy (0.02, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.00; 0.05, p < 0.05) per week of increase in GA, while in adolescence, preterm individuals reached similar levels of BMI (0.00, 95% CI: -0.01; 0.01, p 0.9) as term counterparts. The association between GA and overweight revealed a similar pattern of association with an increase in odds ratio (OR) of overweight from late infancy through mid-childhood (OR 1.01 to 1.02) per week increase in GA. By adolescence, however, GA was slightly negatively associated with the risk of overweight (OR 0.98 [95% CI: 0.97; 1.00], p 0.1) per week of increase in GA. Although based on only four cohorts (n = 32,089) that reached the age of adolescence, data suggest that individuals born very preterm may be at increased odds of overweight (OR 1.46 [95% CI: 1.03; 2.08], p < 0.05) compared with term counterparts. Findings were consistent across cohorts and sensitivity analyses despite considerable heterogeneity in cohort characteristics. However, residual confounding may be a limitation in this study, while findings may be less generalisable to settings in low- and middle-income countries. CONCLUSIONS: This study based on data from infancy through adolescence from 16 cohort studies found that GA may be important for body size in infancy, but the strength of association attenuates consistently with age. By adolescence, preterm individuals have on average a similar mean BMI to peers born at term.

Correction: Gestational age at birth and body size from infancy through adolescence: An individual participant data meta-analysis on 253,810 singletons in 16 birth cohort studies.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004036.].

Constructing Causal Life-Course Models: Comparative Study of Data-Driven and Theory-Driven Approaches.

Life-course epidemiology relies on specifying complex (causal) models that describe how variables interplay over time. Traditionally, such models have been constructed by perusing existing theory and previous studies. By comparing data-driven and theory-driven models, we investigated whether data-driven causal discovery algorithms can help in this process. We focused on a longitudinal data set on a cohort of Danish men (the Metropolit Study, 1953-2017). The theory-driven models were constructed by 2 subject-field experts. The data-driven models were constructed by use of the temporal Peter-Clark (TPC) algorithm. The TPC algorithm utilizes the temporal information embedded in life-course data. We found that the data-driven models recovered some, but not all, causal relationships included in the theory-driven expert models. The data-driven method was especially good at identifying direct causal relationships that the experts had high confidence in. Moreover, in a post hoc assessment, we found that most of the direct causal relationships proposed by the data-driven model but not included in the theory-driven model were plausible. Thus, the data-driven model may propose additional meaningful causal hypotheses that are new or have been overlooked by the experts. In conclusion, data-driven methods can aid causal model construction in life-course epidemiology, and combining both data-driven and theory-driven methods can lead to even stronger models.

Ranking of average treatment effects with generalized random forests for time-to-event outcomes.

Linkage between drug claims data and clinical outcome allows a data-driven experimental approach to drug repurposing. We develop an estimation procedure based on generalized random forests for estimation of time-point specific average treatment effects in a time-to-event setting with competing risks. To handle right-censoring, we propose a two-step procedure for estimation, applying inverse probability weighting to construct time-point specific weighted outcomes as input for the generalized random forest. The generalized random forests adaptively handle covariate effects on the treatment assignment by applying a splitting rule that targets a causal parameter. Using simulated data we demonstrate that the method is effective for a causal search through a list of treatments to be ranked according to the magnitude of their effect on clinical outcome. We illustrate the method using the Danish national health registries where it is of interest to discover drugs with an unexpected protective effect against relapse of severe depression.

Effectiveness evaluation of an antenatal care intervention addressing disparities to improve perinatal outcomes in Denmark: A nationwide register-based analysis of a cluster randomised controlled trial (MAMAACT).

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether MAMAACT, an antenatal care (ANC) intervention, aimed at reducing ethnic and social disparities in perinatal mortality, affected perinatal health outcomes. DESIGN: Cluster randomised controlled trial. SETTING: Nineteen of 20 maternity wards in Denmark. POPULATION: All newborn children within a pre-implementation period (2014-2017) or an implementation period (2018-2019) (n = 188 658). INTERVENTION: A 6-h training session for midwives in intercultural communication and cultural competence, two follow-up dialogue meetings, and health education materials for pregnant women on warning signs of pregnancy complications in six languages. METHODS: Nationwide register-based analysis of the MAMAACT cluster randomised controlled trial. Mixed-effects logistic regression models were used to estimate the change in outcomes from pre- to post-implementation in the intervention group relative to the control group. Results were obtained for the overall study population and for children born to immigrants from low- to middle-income countries, separately. Models were adjusted for confounders selected a priori. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: A composite perinatal mortality and morbidity outcome, including stillbirths, neonatal deaths, Apgar score <7, umbilical arterial pH < 7.0, admissions to a neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) >48 h, and NICU admissions for mechanical ventilation. Additional outcomes were the individual measures. RESULTS: The intervention increased the risk of the composite outcome (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.16, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.99-1.34), mainly driven by differences in NICU admission risk (composite outcome excluding NICU, aOR 0.98, 95% CI 0.84-1.14). The intervention slightly increased the risk of low Apgar score and decreased the risk of low arterial pH, reflecting, however, small differences in absolute numbers. Other outcomes were unchanged. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, the MAMAACT intervention did not improve the composite perinatal mortality and morbidity outcome (when excluding NICU admissions). The lack of effects may be due to contextual factors including organisational barriers in ANC hindering the midwives from changing practices.

Effectiveness of a community-based support programme to reduce social inequality in exclusive breastfeeding: study protocol for a cluster-randomised trial.

BACKGROUND: Breastmilk is the ideal nutrition for infants, and breastfeeding protects infants and mothers from a range of adverse health outcomes. In Denmark, most mothers initiate breastfeeding but many cease within the first months resulting in just 14% reaching the World Health Organization recommendation of six months of exclusive breastfeeding. Furthermore, the low breastfeeding proportion at six months is characterised by a marked social inequality. A previous intervention tested in a hospital setting succeeded in increasing the proportion of mothers breastfeeding exclusively at six months. However, most breastfeeding support is provided within the Danish municipality-based health visiting programme. Therefore, the intervention was adapted to fit the health visiting programme and implemented in 21 Danish municipalities. This article reports the study protocol, which will be used to evaluate the adapted intervention. METHODS: The intervention is tested in a cluster-randomised trial at the municipal level. A comprehensive evaluation approach is taken. The effectiveness of the intervention will be evaluated using survey and register data. Primary outcomes are the proportion of women who breastfeed exclusively at four months postpartum and duration of exclusive breastfeeding measured as a continuous outcome. A process evaluation will be completed to evaluate the implementation of the intervention; a realist evaluation will provide an understanding of the mechanisms of change characterising the intervention. Finally, a health economic evaluation will assess the cost-effectiveness and cost-utility of this complex intervention. DISCUSSION: This study protocol reports on the design and evaluation of the Breastfeeding Trial - a cluster-randomised trial implemented within the Danish Municipal Health Visiting Programme from April 2022 to October 2023. The purpose of the programme is to streamline breastfeeding support provided across healthcare sectors. The evaluation approach is comprehensive using a multitude of data to analyse the effect of the intervention and inform future efforts to improve breastfeeding for all. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Prospectively registered with Clinical Trials NCT05311631 https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05311631.

Inflammatory human leucocyte antigen genotypes are not a risk factor in chronic subdural hematoma development.

BACKGROUND: Chronic subdural hematoma (CSDH) pathophysiology has undergone a paradigm shift from being regarded as solely traumatic to be driven mainly by inflammation. Human leucocyte antigen (HLA) is a gene complex involved in antigen processing and presentation to T lymphocytes, thereby mediating the adaptive immune responses. As specific HLA profiles are associated with inflammatory diseases, patients with a specific HLA profile may have a lower threshold for subdural inflammation, and therefore are predisposed for CSDH development. We hypothesized that (1) CSDH patients have a specific HLA profile compared to a Danish background population, and (2) patients with recurrent CSDH have a specific HLA profile compared to CSDH patients without recurrent CSDH. METHODS: Three specific HLA class II haplotypes known to drive inflammatory-mediated diseases were determined in 68 patients with CSDH. The distribution of these three haplotypes in our CSDH population was compared to a Danish population of blood donors using Monte Carlo Pearson's chi-square test. Furthermore, the distribution of the haplotypes was compared between CSDH patients with and without recurrent CSDH. RESULTS: We found no significant association between either of the haplotypes and the risk of CSDH, and neither of the haplotypes were associated with increased risk of CSDH recurrence. CONCLUSION: This study did not show an association between selected HLA class II haplotypes and the risk of CSDH or recurrence of CSDH compared with a healthy background population.

Causal inference for planning randomised critical care trials: Protocol for a scoping review.

BACKGROUND: Randomised clinical trials in critical care are prone to inconclusiveness owing, in part, to undue optimism about effect sizes and suboptimal accounting for heterogeneous treatment effects. Planned predictive enrichment based on secondary critical care data (often very rich with respect to both data types and temporal granularity) and causal inference methods may help overcome these challenges, but no overview exists about their use to this end. METHODS: We will conduct a scoping review to assess the extent and nature of the use of causal inference from secondary data for planned predictive enrichment of randomised clinical trials in critical care. We will systematically search 10 general and specialty journals for reports published on or after 1 January 2018, of randomised clinical trials enrolling adult critically ill patients. We will collect trial metadata (e.g., recruitment period and phase) and, when available, information pertaining to the focus of the review (predictive enrichment based on causal inference estimates from secondary data): causal inference methods, estimation techniques and software used; types of patient populations; data provenance, types and models; and the availability of the data (public or not). The results will be reported in a descriptive manner. DISCUSSION: The outlined scoping review aims to assess the use of causal inference methods and secondary data for planned predictive enrichment in randomised critical care trials. This will help guide methodological improvements to increase the utility, and facilitate the use, of causal inference estimates when planning such trials in the future.

Health literacy responsiveness: a cross-sectional study among pregnant women in Denmark.

Aims: Communication barriers in healthcare encounters contribute to ethnic inequality in health outcomes. This study aimed to examine, in a large national Danish sample of women, whether ethnicity was associated with pregnant women's Active engagement with healthcare providers. Methods: A cross-sectional survey of 1898 pregnant women attending 19 Danish maternity wards. The key variable of interest was maternal ethnicity among ethnic Danish, European, African and Asian immigrant women and their descendants. Syrian immigrant women were studied as a subgroup. The outcome was the health literacy questionnaire domain Ability to engage actively with healthcare providers (five-item domain scored from 'cannot do/always difficult' (1) to 'always easy' (5)) which is a reflection of a respondent's lived experiences of engaging with healthcare providers. Adjusted mixed effect multivariate linear regression was used to compare Active engagement across groups expressed as the mean difference (95% confidence interval). Results: Lower means of Active engagement were reported for immigrant women compared to ethnic Danish women in all models. When adjusting for age, parity, complications and occupation, the difference between ethnic Danish women's Active engagement and other groups was smallest among European -0.15 (-0.26 to -0.05), slightly larger in African -0.19 (-0.40 to 0.02), and largest in Asian immigrant women -0.31 (-0.41 to -0.21). Syrian immigrant women had the largest difference -0.42 (-0.58 to -0.27). Conclusions: Pregnant immigrant women reported lower means of Active engagement than ethnic Danish women did. Increased health literacy responsiveness in maternity care is required to mitigate the potential for differential care and health inequity.

Knowledge About How to Manage Warning Signs of Pregnancy Complications Among Immigrants and Their Descendants Compared to Women of Danish Origin.

OBJECTIVES: Ethnic differences in perinatal morbidity and mortality are starting points for social inequality in health. Increased incidence and severity of some pregnancy complications are found among immigrant women compared to ethnic majority women in high-income settings. However, little is known about immigrant women's assessment and management of warning signs. We aimed to assess women's knowledge about how to manage warning signs of pregnancy complications among immigrants and their descendants compared to women of Danish origin. METHODS: A cross-sectional study including phone-based interviews with 1899 women. Women were interviewed during gestational week 30-37 in one of six languages. Maternal ethnicity was categorized as; immigrants, their descendants and ethnic Danes. The outcomes were yes or no to; do you know what to do if you experience 1) sudden swelling, redness, and heat in one leg 2) severe headache and 3) vaginal bleeding. RESULTS: Immigrant women had lower levels of knowledge about how to manage all three types of warning signs of pregnancy complications compared to women of Danish origin. Adjusted OR for vaginal bleeding for women of European (4.33, 95% CI: 2.24-8.37), Asian (9.26, 95% CI: 5.10-16.83) and African (8.66, 95% CI: 3.26-23.05) origin. CONCLUSIONS FOR PRACTICE: Immigrant women had lower levels of knowledge about how to manage warning signs of pregnancy complications compared to women of Danish origin. Improved needs-based health education in pregnancy complications and body symptoms during antenatal care is needed to address delays in the management of complications and could potentially improve the health of women and children.

Pregnancy and post-partum tuberculosis; a nationwide register-based case-control study, Denmark, 1990 to 2018.

BackgroundPregnancy increases the risk of tuberculosis (TB), however, data on TB epidemiology in pregnant women are limited.AimTo guide possible interventions, we analysed risk factors for TB in pregnant and post-partum women.MethodsWe conducted a nationwide retrospective register-based case-control study from January 1990 to December 2018 in Denmark. Cases were women diagnosed with TB during their pregnancy or in the post-partum period. We selected two control groups: pregnant or post-partum women without TB, and non-pregnant women with TB. Differences were assessed by chi-squared or Fisher's exact test. Risk factors for TB were identified through logistic regression and estimated by odds ratio (OR).ResultsWe identified 392 cases, including 286 pregnant and 106 post-partum women. Most were migrants (n = 366; 93%) with a shorter median time spent in Denmark (2.74 years; interquartile range (IQR): 1.52-4.64) than non-pregnant TB controls (3.98 years; IQR: 1.43-8.51). Cases less likely had a Charlson comorbidity index ≥ 2compared with non-pregnant TB controls (p < 0.0001), and had no increased risk of severe disease (p = 0.847). Migrants from other World Health Organization regions than Europe, especially Africa (OR: 187; 95%CI: 125-281) had persistently higher odds of TB.ConclusionsIn Denmark, the risk of TB in pregnant and post-partum women is increased in migrant women who have stayed in the country a median time of approximately 3 years. We recommend increased focus on TB risk during pregnancy and suggest evaluating targeted TB screening of selected at-risk pregnant women to promote early case finding and prevent TB among mothers and their newborn children.

Data-Driven Model Building for Life-Course Epidemiology.

Life-course epidemiology is useful for describing and analyzing complex etiological mechanisms for disease development, but existing statistical methods are essentially confirmatory, because they rely on a priori model specification. This limits the scope of causal inquiries that can be made, because these methods are suited mostly to examine well-known hypotheses that do not question our established view of health, which could lead to confirmation bias. We propose an exploratory alternative. Instead of specifying a life-course model prior to data analysis, our method infers the life-course model directly from the data. Our proposed method extends the well-known Peter-Clark (PC) algorithm (named after its authors) for causal discovery, and it facilitates including temporal information for inferring a model from observational data. The extended algorithm is called temporal PC. The obtained life-course model can afterward be perused for interesting causal hypotheses. Our method complements classical confirmatory methods and guides researchers in expanding their models in new directions. We showcase the method using a data set encompassing almost 3,000 Danish men followed from birth until age 65 years. Using this data set, we inferred life-course models for the role of socioeconomic and health-related factors on development of depression.

The role of parental education on the relationship between gestational age and school outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Individuals born preterm may experience difficulties beyond the neonatal period, such as poorer school outcomes. However, whether these outcomes are modified by family factors is less well-known. OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether parental educational level modify the relationship of gestational age with completion of final examinations and grade point average in compulsory education. METHODS: This nationwide register-based cohort study included singletons born in Denmark during 1995-2001. We investigated the differences in the associations between gestational age (24-44 weeks) and two school outcomes at 16 years according to parental educational level (lower (≤10 years), intermediate (11-13 years), and higher (>13 years)). Mixed-effect logistic regression and mixed-effect linear regression were used to model completion of final examination and grade point average, respectively. RESULTS: Of the 425 101 singletons, 4.7% were born before 37 weeks. The risk of not completing final examination increased with shorter gestational age and lower parental educational level. For instance, among adolescents whose parents had a lower educational level, the risk increased from 23.9% (95% CI, 23.1, 24.6) for those born in week 40 to 36.6% (95% CI, 31.5, 42.1) for those born in week 28. For adolescents whose parents had a higher educational level, the corresponding risk increase was 5.9% (95% CI, 5.7, 6.1) to 10.5% (95% CI, 8.6, 12.8), respectively. Grade point average decreased with shorter gestational age in adolescents born before 30 weeks and with lower parental educational level. The associations between gestational age and grade point average were similar across parental educational levels. For completions of final examination, the associations with gestational age were weaker with higher parental educational level. CONCLUSIONS: Shorter gestational age and lower parental educational level were associated with poorer school outcomes. Our findings suggest that parental educational level mitigates the adverse effects of shorter gestational age on some school outcomes.

Effect of familial diabetes status and age at diagnosis on type 2 diabetes risk: a nation-wide register-based study from Denmark.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: We assessed whether the risk of developing type 2 diabetes and the age of onset varied with the age at diabetes diagnosis of affected family members. METHODS: We performed a national register-based open cohort study of individuals living in Denmark between 1995 and 2012. The population under study consisted of all individuals aged 30 years or older without diagnosed diabetes at the start date of the cohort (1 January 1995) and who had information about their parents' identity. Individuals who turned 30 years of age during the observation period and had available parental identity information were also added to the cohort from that date (open cohort design). These criteria restricted the study population mostly to people born between 1960 and 1982. Multivariable Poisson regression models adjusted for current age and highest educational attainment were used to estimate incidence rate ratios (IRRs) of type 2 diabetes. RESULTS: We followed 2,000,552 individuals for a median of 14 years (24,034,059 person-years) and observed 76,633 new cases of type 2 diabetes. Compared with individuals of the same age and sex who did not have a parent or full sibling with diabetes, the highest risk of developing type 2 diabetes was observed in individuals with family members diagnosed at an early age. The IRR was progressively lower with a higher age at diabetes diagnosis in family members: 3.9 vs 1.4 for those with a parental age at diagnosis of 50 or 80 years, respectively; and 3.3 vs 2.0 for those with a full sibling's age at diagnosis of 30 or 60 years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: People with a family member diagnosed with diabetes at an earlier age are more likely to develop diabetes and also to develop it at an earlier age than those with a family member diagnosed in later life. This finding highlights the importance of expanding our understanding of the interplay between genetic diabetes determinants and the social, behavioural and environmental diabetes determinants that track in families across generations. Accurate registration of age at diagnosis should form an integral part of recording a diabetes family history, as it provides easily obtainable and highly relevant detail that may improve identification of individuals at increased risk of younger onset of type 2 diabetes. In particular, these individuals may benefit from closer risk factor assessment and follow-up, as well as prevention strategies that may involve the family.

Sequential rank agreement methods for comparison of ranked lists.

The comparison of alternative rankings of a set of items is a general and common task in applied statistics. Predictor variables are ranked according to magnitude of association with an outcome, prediction models rank subjects according to the personalized risk of an event, and genetic studies rank genes according to their difference in gene expression levels. We propose a sequential rank agreement measure to quantify the rank agreement among two or more ordered lists. This measure has an intuitive interpretation, it can be applied to any number of lists even if some are partially incomplete, and it provides information about the agreement along the lists. The sequential rank agreement can be evaluated analytically or be compared graphically to a permutation based reference set in order to identify changes in the list agreements. The usefulness of this measure is illustrated using gene rankings, and using data from two Danish ovarian cancer studies where we assess the within and between agreement of different statistical classification methods.

Structured exercise alters the gut microbiota in humans with overweight and obesity-A randomized controlled trial.

OBJECTIVES: Studies suggest that exercise affects the composition and function of the human gut microbiota, yet this has not been investigated in a randomized controlled trial. The primary aim of this study was to assess if exercise alters the diversity, composition and functional potential of the gut microbiota in free-living humans. A secondary aim was to test whether alpha diversity was associated with phenotypical outcomes. METHODS: Eighty eight participants with overweight or obesity completed a 6-month randomized controlled trial with 4 arms; habitual living (CON), active commuting by bike (BIKE) and leisure-time exercise of moderate (MOD) or vigorous intensity (VIG). Faecal samples for 16 s rRNA gene amplicon sequencing were collected prior to randomization and again after 3 and 6 months, with simultaneous registration of phenotypical outcomes and diet. RESULTS: Shannon's diversity index increased by 5% in VIG (CI95 1-9%, P = 0.012) at 3 months compared with CON. No associations were observed between alpha diversity and phenotypical outcomes. Beta diversity changed in all exercise groups compared with CON, particularly the participants in VIG showed decreased heterogeneity. No genera changed significantly. The inferred functional potential of the microbiota in the exercise groups was increased, primarily at 3 months and in MOD. CONCLUSION: Structured exercise induced subtle changes to the human gut microbiota. Cardiorespiratory fitness and fat mass were not associated with alpha diversity.

Whole grain-rich diet reduces body weight and systemic low-grade inflammation without inducing major changes of the gut microbiome: a randomised cross-over trial.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether a whole grain diet alters the gut microbiome and insulin sensitivity, as well as biomarkers of metabolic health and gut functionality. DESIGN: 60 Danish adults at risk of developing metabolic syndrome were included in a randomised cross-over trial with two 8-week dietary intervention periods comprising whole grain diet and refined grain diet, separated by a washout period of ≥6 weeks. The response to the interventions on the gut microbiome composition and insulin sensitivity as well on measures of glucose and lipid metabolism, gut functionality, inflammatory markers, anthropometry and urine metabolomics were assessed. RESULTS: 50 participants completed both periods with a whole grain intake of 179±50 g/day and 13±10 g/day in the whole grain and refined grain period, respectively. Compliance was confirmed by a difference in plasma alkylresorcinols (p<0.0001). Compared with refined grain, whole grain did not significantly alter glucose homeostasis and did not induce major changes in the faecal microbiome. Also, breath hydrogen levels, plasma short-chain fatty acids, intestinal integrity and intestinal transit time were not affected. The whole grain diet did, however, compared with the refined grain diet, decrease body weight (p<0.0001), serum inflammatory markers, interleukin (IL)-6 (p=0.009) and C-reactive protein (p=0.003). The reduction in body weight was consistent with a reduction in energy intake, and IL-6 reduction was associated with the amount of whole grain consumed, in particular with intake of rye. CONCLUSION: Compared with refined grain diet, whole grain diet did not alter insulin sensitivity and gut microbiome but reduced body weight and systemic low-grade inflammation. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT01731366; Results.