Combining National Early Warning Score With Soluble Urokinase Plasminogen Activator Receptor (suPAR) Improves Risk Prediction in Acute Medical Patients: A Registry-Based Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor is a prognostic biomarker associated with critical illness, disease progression, and risk of mortality. We aimed to evaluate whether soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor adds prognostic value to a vital sign-based score for clinical monitoring of patient risk (National Early Warning Score) in acute medical patients. DESIGN: Registry-based observational cohort study of consecutively admitted acute medical patients. SETTING: The Acute Medical Unit, Copenhagen University Hospital Amager and Hvidovre, Hvidovre, Denmark. PATIENTS: Acute medical patients admitted between November 18, 2013, and September 30, 2015. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Of 17,312 included patients, admission National Early Warning Score was available for 16,244 (93.8%). During follow-up, 587 patients (3.4%) died in-hospital, 859 (5.0%) within 30 days, and 1,367 (7.9%) within 90 days. High soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor was significantly associated with in-hospital-, 30-day-, and 90-day mortality within all National Early Warning Score groups, in particular in patients with a low National Early Warning Score; for 30-day mortality, mortality rate ratios ranged from 3.45 (95% CI, 2.91-4.10) for patients with National Early Warning Score 0-1, to 1.86 (95% CI, 1.47-2.34) for patients with National Early Warning Score greater than or equal to 9 for every doubling in soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (log2-transformed). Combining National Early Warning Score, age, and sex with soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor improved prediction of in-hospital-, 30-day-, and 90-day mortality, increasing the area under the curve (95% CI) for 30-day mortality from 0.86 (0.85-0.87) to 0.90 (0.89-0.91), p value of less than 0.0001, with a negative predictive value of 99.0%. CONCLUSIONS: The addition of soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor to National Early Warning Score significantly improved risk prediction of both low- and high-risk acute medical patients. Patients with low National Early Warning Score but elevated soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor had mortality risks comparable to that of patients with higher National Early Warning Score.

Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) in acute care: a strong marker of disease presence and severity, readmission and mortality. A retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) is an inflammatory biomarker associated with presence and progression of disease and with increased risk of mortality. We aimed to evaluate the unspecific biomarker suPAR as a prognostic marker in patients admitted to acute care. METHODS: This registry-based retrospective cohort study included 4343 consecutively admitted patients from the Acute Medical Unit at a large Danish university hospital. Time to readmission and death were analysed by multiple Cox regression. Results were reported as HRs for 30-day and 90-day follow-up. RESULTS: During 30-day follow-up, 782 patients (18.0%) were readmitted and 224 patients (5.2%) died. Comparing 30-day readmission and mortality between patients in the highest and lowest suPAR quartiles yielded HRs of 2.11 (95% CI 1.70 to 2.62) and 4.11 (95% CI 2.46 to 6.85), respectively, when adjusting for age, sex, Charlson score and C reactive protein. Area under the curve for receiver operating characteristics curve analysis of suPAR for 30-day mortality was 0.84 (95% CI 0.81 to 0.86). Furthermore, in the entire cohort, women had slightly higher suPAR compared with men, and suPAR was associated with age, admission time, admission to intensive care unit and Charlson score. CONCLUSIONS: In this large unselected population of acute medical patients, suPAR is strongly associated with disease severity, readmission and mortality after adjusting for all other risk factors, indicating that suPAR adds information to established prognostic indicators. While patients with low suPAR levels have low risk of readmission and mortality, patients with high suPAR levels have a high risk of adverse events.

Plasma suPAR levels are associated with mortality, admission time, and Charlson Comorbidity Index in the acutely admitted medical patient: a prospective observational study.

INTRODUCTION: Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) is the soluble form of the membrane-bound receptor (uPAR) expressed predominantly on various immune cells. Elevated plasma suPAR concentration is associated with increased mortality in various patient groups, and it is speculated that suPAR is a low-grade inflammation marker reflecting on disease severity. The aim of this prospective observational study was to determine if the plasma concentration of suPAR is associated with admission time, re-admission, disease severity/Charlson Comorbidity Index Score, and mortality. METHODS: We included 543 patients with various diseases from a Danish Acute Medical Unit during a two month period. A triage unit ensured that only medical patients were admitted to the Acute Medical Unit. SuPAR was measured on plasma samples drawn upon admission. Patients were followed-up for three months after inclusion by their unique civil registry number and using Danish registries to determine admission times, readmissions, International Classification of Diseases, 10th Edition (ICD-10) diagnoses, and mortality. Statistical analysis was used to determine suPAR's association with these endpoints. RESULTS: Increased suPAR was significantly associated with 90-day mortality (4.87 ng/ml in survivors versus 7.29 ng/ml in non-survivors, P < 0.0001), higher Charlson Score (P < 0.0001), and longer admission time (P < 0.0001), but not with readmissions. The association with mortality remained when adjusting for age, sex, C-reactive protein (CRP), and Charlson Score. Furthermore, among the various Charlson Score disease groups, suPAR was significantly higher in those with diabetes, cancer, cardiovascular disease, and liver disease compared to those without comorbidities. CONCLUSIONS: SuPAR is a marker of disease severity, admission time, and risk of mortality in a heterogeneous cohort of patients with a variety of diseases. The independent value of suPAR suggests it could be of value in prognostic algorithms.

[Analysis of medical short-term admissions of elderly patients with focus on alternatives to hospitalization]. / Analyse af medicinske korttidsindlæggelser af ældre patienter med fokus på alternative løsninger

By a retrospective medical record review it is studied if 334 admissions of acute short-term hospitalization (< 24 hours) of elderly medical patients could have been substituted by alternative solutions. 27% of these admissions were evaluated as substitutable. This study cannot confirm that the number of medical short-term admissions of elderly patients could be reduced by one or more specific interventions, nor that the medical short-term hospitalization generally is inappropriate.