Predictors of critical care, mechanical ventilation, and mortality among hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in an electronic health record database.

BACKGROUND: There are limited data on risk factors for serious outcomes and death from COVID-19 among patients representative of the U.S. POPULATION: The objective of this study was to determine risk factors for critical care, ventilation, and death among hospitalized patients with COVID-19. METHODS: This was a cohort study using data from Optum's longitudinal COVID-19 electronic health record database derived from a network of healthcare provider organizations across the US. The study included patients with confirmed COVID-19 (presence of ICD-10-CM code U07.1 and/or positive SARS-CoV-2 test) between January 2020 and November 2020. Patient characteristics and clinical variables at start of hospitalization were evaluated for their association with subsequent serious outcomes (critical care, mechanical ventilation, and death) using odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) from logistic regression, adjusted for demographic variables. RESULTS: Among 56,996 hospitalized COVID-19 patients (49.5% male and 72.4% ≥ 50 years), 11,967 received critical care, 9136 received mechanical ventilation, and 8526 died. The median duration of hospitalization was 6 days (IQR: 4, 11), and this was longer among patients that experienced an outcome: 11 days (IQR: 6, 19) for critical care, 15 days (IQR: 8, 24) for mechanical ventilation, and 10 days (IQR: 5, 17) for death. Dyspnea and hypoxemia were the most prevalent symptoms and both were associated with serious outcomes in adjusted models. Additionally, temperature, C-reactive protein, ferritin, lactate dehydrogenase, D-dimer, and oxygen saturation measured during hospitalization were predictors of serious outcomes as were several in-hospital diagnoses. The strongest associations were observed for acute respiratory failure (critical care: OR, 6.30; 95% CI, 5.99-6.63; ventilation: OR, 8.55; 95% CI, 8.02-9.11; death: OR, 3.36; 95% CI, 3.17-3.55) and sepsis (critical care: OR, 4.59; 95% CI, 4.39-4.81; ventilation: OR, 5.26; 95% CI, 5.00-5.53; death: OR, 4.14; 95% CI, 3.92-4.38). Treatment with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers during hospitalization were inversely associated with death (OR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.54-0.61). CONCLUSIONS: We identified several clinical characteristics associated with receipt of critical care, mechanical ventilation, and death among COVID-19 patients. Future studies into the mechanisms that lead to severe COVID-19 disease are warranted.

Method used to identify adenomyosis and potentially undiagnosed adenomyosis in a large, U.S. electronic health record database.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of adenomyosis is underestimated due to lack of a specific diagnostic code and diagnostic delays given most diagnoses occur at hysterectomy. OBJECTIVES: To identify women with adenomyosis using indicators derived from natural language processing (NLP) of clinical notes in the Optum Electronic Health Record database (2014-2018), and to estimate the prevalence of potentially undiagnosed adenomyosis. METHODS: An NLP algorithm identified mentions of adenomyosis in clinical notes that were highly likely to represent a diagnosis. The anchor date was date of first affirmed adenomyosis mention; baseline characteristics were assessed in the 12 months prior to this date. Characteristics common to adenomyosis cases were used to select a suitable pool of women from the underlying population, among whom undiagnosed adenomyosis might exist. A random sample of this pool was selected to form the comparator cohort. Logistic regression was used to compare adenomyosis cases to comparators; the predictive probability (PP) of being an adenomyosis case was assessed. Comparators having a PP ≥ 0.1 were considered potentially undiagnosed adenomyosis and were used to calculate the prevalence of potentially undiagnosed adenomyosis in the underlying population. RESULTS: Among 11 456 347 women aged 18-55 years in the underlying population, 19 503 were adenomyosis cases. Among 332 583 comparators, 22 696 women were potentially undiagnosed adenomyosis cases. The prevalence of adenomyosis and potentially undiagnosed adenomyosis was 1.70 and 19.1 per 1000 women aged 18-55 years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Considering potentially undiagnosed adenomyosis, the prevalence of adenomyosis may be 10x higher than prior estimates based on histologically confirmed adenomyosis cases only.

Outcomes in patients with lung cancer treated with crizotinib and erlotinib in routine clinical practice: A post-authorization safety cohort study conducted in Europe and in the United States.

PURPOSE: We examined safety outcomes of interest (SOI) and overall survival (OS) among lung cancer patients initiating crizotinib and erlotinib in routine clinical practice. METHODS: This descriptive cohort study used routinely collected health data in Denmark, Finland, Sweden, the Netherlands, and the United States (US) during 2011-2017, following crizotinib commercial availability in each country. Among crizotinib or erlotinib initiators, we reported baseline characteristics and incidence rates and cumulative incidences of the SOI - hepatotoxicity, pneumonitis/interstitial lung disease, QT interval prolongation-related events, bradycardia, vision disorders, renal cysts, edema, leukopenia, neuropathy, photosensitivity, malignant melanoma, gastrointestinal perforation, cardiac failure and OS. Results from the European Union (EU) countries were combined using meta-analysis; results from the US were reported separately. RESULTS: There were 456 patients in the crizotinib cohort and 2957 patients in the erlotinib cohort. Rates of the SOI per 1000 person-years in the crizotinib cohort ranged from 0 to 65 in the EU and from 0 to 374 in the US. Rates of the SOI per 1000 person-years in the erlotinib cohort ranged from 0 to 91 in the EU and from 3 to 394 in the US. In the crizotinib cohort, 2-year OS was ~50% in both EU and US. In the erlotinib cohort, 2-year OS was 21% in the EU and 35% in the US. CONCLUSIONS: This study describes clinical outcomes among lung cancer patients initiating crizotinib or erlotinib in routine clinical practice. Differences between SOI rates in EU and US may be partially attributable to differences in the underlying databases.

Characterizing Health Outcomes in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis using US Health Claims Data.

BACKGROUND: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a life-threatening interstitial lung disease (ILD). Characterizing health outcomes of IPF patients is challenging due to disease rarity. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to identify the burden of disease in patients newly diagnosed with IPF. METHODS: Patients with ≥1 claim with an IPF diagnosis were identified from a United States healthcare insurer's database (2000-2013). Patients with other known causes of ILD or aged <40 years were excluded. Subgroups were compared based on the 2011 change in International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision (ICD-9) definition of IPF and occurrence of IPF testing. The prevalence and incidence of preselected health conditions of clinical interest were estimated. RESULTS: Median age of newly diagnosed patients (n = 7,298) was 62 years (54.0% male). Restricting to patients with IPF diagnostic testing did not substantially affect cohort characteristics, nor did ICD-9 IPF coding change. Mean follow-up was 1.7 years; 16.8% of patients died; and a substantial proportion of patients were censored due to end of health plan enrollment (50.7%) and other causes of ILD (19.6%). The incidence of pulmonary hypertension, lung cancer, and claims-based algorithm proxy for acute respiratory worsening of unknown cause was 22.5, 17.6, and 12.6 per 1,000 person-years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with IPF had a high disease burden with a variety of health outcomes observed, including a high rate of mortality. Database censoring due to changes in enrollment or other ILD diagnoses limited follow-up. Altering cohort entry definitions, including IPF testing or ICD-9 IPF coding change, had little impact on cohort baseline characteristics.

A Survey of Patients' Perceptions of Pill Appearance and Responses to Changes in Appearance for Four Chronic Disease Medications.

BACKGROUND: Generic versions of a drug can vary in appearance, which can impact adherence. OBJECTIVE: To assess the preferences, perceptions, and responses of patients who experienced a change in the appearance of a generic medication. DESIGN: Cross-sectional survey of patients from a large commercial health plan. PARTICIPANTS: Adults receiving generic versions of lisinopril, fluoxetine, lamotrigine, or simvastatin who experienced a change in the color or shape of their pills between March 2014 and November 2015. MAIN MEASURES: Likert-scale responses to questions concerning perceptions of generic drug safety and effectiveness, reliance on and preferences for pill appearance, and responses to pill appearance changes. Multivariable logistic regression-modeled predictors of seeking advice and adjusting use following a pill appearance change. KEY RESULTS: Of 814 respondents (response rate = 41%), 72% relied on pill appearance to ensure they took the correct medication. A similar percentage wanted their pills to remain the same color (72%), shape (71%), and size (75%) upon refill, but 58% would not have paid a $1 premium on a $5 co-pay to ensure such consistency. Most respondents (86%) wanted their pharmacists to notify them about pill appearance changes, but only 37% recalled such notification; 21% thought they received the wrong medication, and 8% adjusted medication use. Younger respondents (18-33 vs. 50-57 years) were more likely to seek advice (odds ratio [OR] = 1.91; 95% confidence interval [CI],1.02-3.59), and respondents with lower household income (< $30,000 vs. > $100,000) were more likely to adjust medication use (OR = 3.40; 95% CI,1.09-10.67). CONCLUSIONS: Requiring uniform pill appearance may help increase adherence but presents challenges. Standardized pharmacy notification and education policies may be a more feasible short-term solution.

Validating an algorithm for multiple myeloma based on administrative data using a SEER tumor registry and medical record review.

PURPOSE: Large numbers of multiple myeloma patients can be studied in real-world clinical settings using administrative databases. The validity of these studies is contingent upon accurate case identification. Our objective was to develop and evaluate algorithms to use with administrative data to identify multiple myeloma cases. METHODS: Patients aged ≥18 years with ≥1 International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) code for multiple myeloma (203.0x) were identified at two study sites. At site 1, several algorithms were developed and validated by comparing results to tumor registry cases. An algorithm with a reasonable positive predictive value (PPV) (0.81) and sensitivity (0.73) was selected and then validated at site 2 where results were compared with medical chart data. The algorithm required that ICD-9-CM codes 203.0x occur before and after the diagnostic procedure codes for multiple myeloma. RESULTS: At site 1, we identified 1432 patients. The PPVs of algorithms tested ranged from 0.54 to 0.88. Sensitivities ranged from 0.30 to 0.88. At site 2, a random sample (n = 400) was selected from 3866 patients, and medical charts were reviewed by a clinician for 105 patients. Algorithm PPV was 0.86 (95% CI, 0.79-0.92). CONCLUSIONS: We identified cases of multiple myeloma with adequate validity for claims database analyses. At least two ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes 203.0x preceding diagnostic procedure codes for multiple myeloma followed by ICD-9-CM codes within a specific time window after diagnostic procedure codes were required to achieve reasonable algorithm performance.

Identifying and classifying opioid-related overdoses: A validation study.

PURPOSE: The study aims to develop and validate algorithms to identify and classify opioid overdoses using claims and other coded data, and clinical text extracted from electronic health records using natural language processing (NLP). METHODS: Primary data were derived from Kaiser Permanente Northwest (2008-2014), an integrated health care system (~n > 475 000 unique individuals per year). Data included International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9) codes for nonfatal diagnoses, International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) codes for fatal events, clinical notes, and prescription medication records. We assessed sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for algorithms relative to medical chart review and conducted assessments of algorithm portability in Kaiser Permanente Washington, Tennessee State Medicaid, and Optum. RESULTS: Code-based algorithm performance was excellent for opioid-related overdoses (sensitivity = 97.2%, specificity = 84.6%) and classification of heroin-involved overdoses (sensitivity = 91.8%, specificity = 99.0%). Performance was acceptable for code-based suicide/suicide attempt classifications (sensitivity = 70.7%, specificity = 90.5%); sensitivity improved with NLP (sensitivity = 78.7%, specificity = 91.0%). Performance was acceptable for the code-based substance abuse-involved classification (sensitivity = 75.3%, specificity = 79.5%); sensitivity improved with the NLP-enhanced algorithm (sensitivity = 80.5%, specificity = 76.3%). The opioid-related overdose algorithm performed well across portability assessment sites, with sensitivity greater than 96% and specificity greater than 84%. Cross-site sensitivity for heroin-involved overdose was greater than 87%, specificity greater than or equal to 99%. CONCLUSIONS: Code-based algorithms developed to detect opioid-related overdoses and classify them according to heroin involvement perform well. Algorithms for classifying suicides/attempts and abuse-related opioid overdoses perform adequately for use for research, particularly given the complexity of classifying such overdoses. The NLP-enhanced algorithms for suicides/suicide attempts and abuse-related overdoses perform significantly better than code-based algorithms and are appropriate for use in settings that have data and capacity to use NLP.

Characterizing idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis patients using US Medicare-advantage health plan claims data.

BACKGROUND: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a rare life-threating interstitial lung disease (ILD). This study characterizes demographics, health care utilization, and comorbidities among elderly IPF patients and estimates prevalence and incidence rates for selected outcomes. METHODS: Cohort study using a large US health insurance database (Optum's Medicare Advantage plan). INCLUSION CRITERIA: ≥ 1 diagnosis code for IPF (2008 - 2014), age ≥65 years, no diagnosis of IPF or other ILD in prior 12 months. Demographics, health care utilization, comorbidities and incidence rates for various outcomes were estimated. Follow-up continued until the earliest of: health plan disenrollment, death, a claim for another known cause of ILD, or end of the study period. RESULTS: 4,716 patients were eligible; 53.4% had IPF diagnostic testing. Median age was 77.5 years, 50.3% were male, median follow-up time was 0.8 years. Incidence rates ranged from 1.0/1,000 person-years (lung transplantation) to 374.3/1,000 person-years (arterial hypertension). Baseline characteristics and incidence rates were similar for cohorts of patients with and without IPF diagnostic testing. CONCLUSIONS: Elderly IPF patients experience a variety of comorbidities before and after IPF diagnosis. Therapies for IPF and for the associated comorbidities may reduce morbidity and associated health care utilization of these patients.

Assessment of Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategies (REMS) for varenicline (Chantix): A multistage patient survey.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategies (REMS) for varenicline by assessing patients' understanding of the varenicline medication guide (MG) at pre-specified time points: 18 months, 3 years, and 7 years after the REMS approval. METHODS: Self-administered surveys were mailed to people who received varenicline based on a pharmacy dispensing. Survey questions assessed understanding of potential risks outlined in the MG: neuropsychiatric symptoms, skin reactions, allergic reactions, and cardiovascular risks. Crude and weighted analyses were conducted. RESULTS: The response to the survey overall was between 18% and 19%. Among responders, approximately 90% recalled receiving the MG, and at least 80% read all or part of it. At least 88% correctly identified neuropsychiatric symptoms as potential medication effects, while 41% did so for skin reactions, 53% for allergic reactions, and 82% for cardiovascular risks. Patients who read the MG had a high proportion of correct responses to the risk comprehension questions. CONCLUSIONS: A large majority of patients who were dispensed varenicline recalled receiving the MG and were able to correctly recall neuropsychiatric and cardiovascular risks in all 3 surveys. The varenicline MG may be an effective tool for patient education.

Pregnancy and infant outcomes including major congenital malformations among women with chronic inflammatory arthritis or psoriasis, with and without etanercept use.

PURPOSE: Objectives were to quantify prevalence estimates of pregnancy and infant outcomes including major congenital malformations (MCMs) by etanercept (ETN) exposure among infants born to women with chronic inflammatory arthritis (cIA) or psoriasis (PsO). METHODS: Claims-based data delineated pregnancy exposures and outcomes of live or nonlive births among women with cIA and PsO (ETN exposed, unexposed) and general population (GP) comparators. Infant outcomes were determined for live-born infants covered by the mother's insurer. Medical records were obtained from all accessible mother-infant pairs with claims for MCMs and a random sample of mothers. Multivariable logistic regression estimated the odds ratios (ORs) of having at least one algorithm-defined MCM in the ETN-exposed cohorts versus unexposed comparators. RESULTS: Prevalence estimates for pregnancy outcomes were comparable across cIA and PsO cohorts. Algorithm-defined prevalence estimates of having at least one MCM were 6.1% (ETN exposed), 5.5% (unexposed), and 5.7% (GP cohort) for the cIA cohort; PsO cohort estimates were 2.0%, 4.2%, and 4.7%, respectively. The ETN-exposure ORs for having at least one algorithm-defined MCM among infants of cIA mothers was 1.03 (95%CI: 0.51-2.10) and 0.39 (95%CI: 0.05-2.98) among infants of PsO mothers. Logistic regression with inverse probability of treatment weighting that included disease state resulted in an OR of 0.65 (0.24, 1.72). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, this study did not identify any new safety concerns associated with the use of etanercept during pregnancy. Etanercept, along with the other TNFis, remains a treatment without well-controlled clinical trials in pregnant women. Patients should continue to consult their doctor regarding benefit risk decisions of TNFi therapy during pregnancy.

The treatment patterns, efficacy, and safety of nab (®)-paclitaxel for the treatment of metastatic breast cancer in the United States: results from health insurance claims analysis.

BACKGROUND: nab-Paclitaxel is an albumin-bound formulation of paclitaxel approved for the treatment of metastatic breast cancer (MBC). This analysis was designed to characterize the treatment patterns, efficacy, and safety of nab-paclitaxel for MBC treatment using health claims data from US health plans associated with Optum. METHODS: Women aged ≥ 18 years who initiated nab-paclitaxel for MBC treatment from January 1, 2005, to September 30, 2012, and who met eligibility criteria were selected from the Optum Research Database for this analysis. Patients were required to have complete medical coverage and pharmacy benefits, ≥ 6 months of continuous enrollment, and a diagnosis of MBC prior to nab-paclitaxel initiation. The pattern of use for nab-paclitaxel (eg, regimen, schedule, duration, and administration) and claims-captured toxicities were characterized by line of therapy. Overall survival (OS) and time to next therapy or death (TNTD) were described by line of therapy, regimen, and schedule. RESULTS: Of the 664 nab-paclitaxel patients, 172 (25.9%) received it as first-line therapy, 211 (31.8%) as second-line therapy, and 281 (42.3%) as third-line or later therapy. Overall, the majority of patients received monotherapy (61%) and followed a weekly (71%) rather than an every 3 weeks treatment schedule. nab-Paclitaxel was often (31.7%) combined with targeted therapy (57.5% with bevacizumab and 23.9% with trastuzumab or lapatinib). The median duration of therapy was 128 days (4.2 months). For the overall population, median OS was 17.4 months (22.7, 17.4, and 15.1 months in first-, second-, and third-line or later therapy, respectively). Median TNTD was 6.1 months (7.1, 6.6, and 5.3 months in first-, second-, and third-line or later therapy, respectively). For patients aged ≤ 50 years or with ≥ 3 metastatic sites, median OS was 15.6 months. No new safety signal was identified. CONCLUSIONS: In this US healthcare system, the majority of patients received nab-paclitaxel as second-line or later therapy, monotherapy, and weekly treatment. The efficacy and safety outcomes of nab-paclitaxel observed in this real-world setting appear consistent with those from clinical trial data.

Development and evaluation of an algorithm to identify users of Prolia(®) during the early postmarketing period using health insurance claims data.

PURPOSE: The goal of this study is to develop and validate an algorithm to identify Prolia(®) users within a health insurance claims database. METHODS: Patients with a denosumab-specific or nonspecific administration claim during the early period of Prolia availability in the USA (June 1, 2010 to March 31, 2012) were classified as definite, probable, possible, and nonusers of Prolia using an algorithm consisting of nine different components based on claims patterns consistent with Prolia use. Medical record review confirmed a sample of definite, probable, and possible users and the positive predictive value (PPV) was estimated. RESULTS: The PPV of the claims-based algorithm components varied (17.8-95.8%). Requiring claims for a bone or cartilage disorder or osteoporotic fracture after excluding claims for cancer prior to a denosumab-specific administration code gave the highest PPV (95.8%), followed by requiring a Prolia National Drug Code on the same claim as a denosumab-specific or nonspecific administration code (88.2%). Among the 87 confirmed Prolia users, osteoporosis diagnoses were seen more frequently in the medical record than in claims (83% vs 62%). CONCLUSIONS: Prolia users are most accurately identified with administration code claims in conjunction with claims for Prolia National Drug Code and bone disorder treatment and diagnosis codes. Osteoporosis diagnoses may be under-recorded in claims data. The algorithm may require reassessment as uptake for more recently approved indications increases.

The effectiveness of varenicline medication guide for conveying safety information to patients: a REMS assessment survey.

PURPOSE: Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategies (REMS) include various mechanisms to enhance safe use of medications, including a patient medication guide (MG) that provides key information regarding the potential risks associated with the medication. To evaluate the effectiveness of the varenicline MG as a REMS tool for educating patients, we undertook a survey among patients who were dispensed varenicline. METHODS: Varenicline recipients within the Optum Research Database, a large U.S. administrative claims database, were invited to participate in a self-administered survey. Survey questions were general (receipt and reading of the MG) and specific regarding patient's understanding of the potential varenicline risks outlined in the MG (neuropsychiatric symptoms, skin reactions, and allergic reactions). RESULTS: From 3568 varenicline recipients invited, 640 (18%) responded, with 633 completing at least one of three risk-comprehension questions. The majority (93%) indicated receiving the MG, and 86% read all or part of it. Ninety-one percent, 41%, and 53% correctly answered at least one question on neuropsychiatric symptoms, skin reactions, and allergic reactions, respectively. A higher proportion who read the MG had correct responses to the risk-comprehension questions than those who did not read it. CONCLUSIONS: The varenicline MG was widely received and read among survey respondents, and the information conveyed was generally well understood regarding potential risk of neuropsychiatric symptoms. This study provides an assessment of the effectiveness of the varenicline MG in communicating information about potential risks associated with varenicline. This assessment method may apply to the evaluation of the effectiveness of other MGs.

Risk of developing diabetes and dyslipidemia among adolescents with bipolar disorder or schizophrenia.

UNLABELLED: The risks of developing diabetes and dyslipidemia among adolescents with schizophrenia and bipolar disorder have not been well-characterized. This study was designed to characterize these risks and compare them among adolescents in the general population. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used claims data from a large U.S. health insurer to identify adolescents (13-17 years) with claims for schizophrenia or bipolar disorder from 1997 to 2006. Adolescents without evidence of schizophrenia or bipolar disorder were randomly selected for comparison. Study outcomes were new diagnoses of diabetes and dyslipidemia. RESULTS: We identified 17,884 adolescents with schizophrenia or bipolar disorder and 188,059 for the general population cohort. The incidence rate per 100,000 person-years of diabetes was higher in the schizophrenia or bipolar disorder cohort [424.3 (95% CI: 344.5-517.3)] than in the general population cohort (90.0 [95% CI: 79.6-101.3]). The incidence rate per 100,000 person-years of dyslipidemia was 346.4 (95% CI: 274.9-431.0) in the schizophrenia or bipolar disorder cohort and 86.6 (95% CI: 76.4-97.7) in the general population cohort. The adjusted hazard ratios of developing diabetes and dyslipidemia in the schizophrenia or bipolar disorder cohort relative to the general population cohort were 1.76 (95% CI: 1.15-2.72) and 1.66 (95% CI: 1.22-2.28), respectively. Adolescents with schizophrenia or bipolar disorder treated with antipsychotics had a higher risk of developing diabetes and dyslipidemia than those who were untreated. CONCLUSIONS: Adolescents with schizophrenia or bipolar disorder had significantly increased risks of developing diabetes and dyslipidemia compared to adolescents without these disorders.

Development and Validation of ICD-10-CM-based Algorithms for Date of Last Menstrual Period, Pregnancy Outcomes, and Infant Outcomes.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVE: Validation studies of algorithms for pregnancy outcomes based on International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) codes are important for conducting drug safety research using administrative claims databases. To facilitate the conduct of pregnancy safety studies, this exploratory study aimed to develop and validate ICD-10-CM-based claims algorithms for date of last menstrual period (LMP) and pregnancy outcomes using medical records. METHODS: Using a mother-infant-linked claims database, the study included women with a pregnancy between 2016-2017 and their infants. Claims-based algorithms for LMP date utilized codes for gestational age (Z3A codes). The primary outcomes were major congenital malformations (MCMs) and spontaneous abortion; additional secondary outcomes were also evaluated. Each pregnancy outcome was identified using a claims-based simple algorithm, defined as presence of ≥ 1 claim for the outcome. Positive predictive values (PPV) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated. RESULTS: Overall, 586 medical records were sought and 365 (62.3%) were adjudicated, including 125 records each for MCMs and spontaneous abortion. Last menstrual period date was validated among maternal charts procured for pregnancy outcomes and fewer charts were adjudicated for the secondary outcomes. The median difference in days between LMP date based on Z3A codes and adjudicated LMP date was 4.0 (interquartile range: 2.0-10.0). The PPV of the simple algorithm for spontaneous abortion was 84.7% (95% CI 78.3, 91.2). The PPV for the MCM algorithm was < 70%. The algorithms for the secondary outcomes pre-eclampsia, premature delivery, and low birthweight performed well, with PPVs > 70%. CONCLUSIONS: The ICD-10-CM claims-based algorithm for spontaneous abortion performed well and may be used in pregnancy studies. Further algorithm refinement for MCMs is needed. The algorithms for LMP date and the secondary outcomes would benefit from additional validation in a larger sample.

Trends in COVID-19 patient characteristics in a large electronic health record database in the United States: A cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Electronic health record (EHR) databases provide an opportunity to facilitate characterization and trends in patients with COVID-19. METHODS: Patients with COVID-19 were identified based on an ICD-10 diagnosis code for COVID-19 (U07.1) and/or a positive SARS-CoV-2 viral lab result from January 2020 to November 2020. Patients were characterized in terms of demographics, healthcare utilization, clinical comorbidities, therapies, laboratory results, and procedures/care received, including critical care, intubation/ventilation, and occurrence of death were described, overall and by month. RESULTS: There were 393,773 patients with COVID-19 and 56,996 with a COVID-19 associated hospitalization. A greater percentage of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 relative to all COVID-19 cases were older, male, African American, and lived in the Northeast and South. The most common comorbidities before admission/infection date were hypertension (40.8%), diabetes (29.5%), and obesity (23.8%), and the most common diagnoses during hospitalization were pneumonia (59.6%), acute respiratory failure (44.8%), and dyspnea (28.0%). A total of 85.7% of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 had CRP values > 10 mg/L, 75.5% had fibrinogen values > 400 mg/dL, and 76.8% had D-dimer values > 250 ng/mL. Median values for platelets, CRP, lactate dehydrogenase, D-dimer, and fibrinogen tended to decrease from January-March to November. The use of chloroquine/hydroxychloroquine during hospitalization peaked by March (71.2%) and was used rarely by May (5.1%) and less than 1% afterwards, while the use of remdesivir had increased by May (10.0%) followed by dexamethasone by June (27.7%). All-cause mortality was 3.2% overall and 15.0% among those hospitalized; 21.0% received critical care and 16.0% received intubation/ventilation/ECMO. CONCLUSIONS: This study characterizes US patients with COVID-19 and their management during hospitalization over the first eleven months of this disease pandemic.

Hepatobiliary laboratory abnormalities among patients with chronic or persistent immune thrombocytopenia (ITP).

Therapies for immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) may be associated with abnormal hepatobiliary laboratory (HBL) values, but the epidemiology of these abnormalities is unknown in the ITP population. The study aim was to provide prevalence and incidence rates, as well as risk factors for abnormal HBL values among a cohort of patients with chronic or persistent primary ITP. Health insurance claims data from 3,244 patients with chronic or persistent ITP was examined to estimate the prevalence of abnormal HBL values: elevated levels of Alanine Aminotransferase (ALT), Aspartate Aminotransferase (AST), total bilirubin, and Alkaline Phosphatase (ALP). Incidence of abnormal HBL values was estimated in a sub cohort of 2557 (79%) patients without evidence of comorbidities related to secondary thrombocytopenia, liver disease, or abnormal HBL values during the 12-month baseline period. The baseline prevalence of ALT and AST > 3x the upper limit of normal (ULN) was 4.6 and 3.7%, respectively. The baseline prevalence of total bilirubin and ALP >1.5x ULN was 4.2 and 3.2%, respectively. The incidence rate of new HBL abnormalities (HBLA) was 1.24/1,000 person-years (95% CI: 0.52-2.56) for ALT>3x ULN and 0.41/1,000 person-years (95% CI: 0.08-1.32) for AST>3x ULN. HBLAs were significantly associated with male gender, liver disease, diabetes, congestive heart failure, lupus, hematological cancers, and HIV infection. In conclusion, the prevalence of HBLA, specifically ALT>3x ULN, among the ITP population is relatively high compared with atrial fibrillation, though within the confidence interval for that estimate. HBLAs were significantly associated with male gender, liver disease, and several other comorbidities, thus, distinguishing drug-induced liver injury in this population is clinically challenging.

Cardiovascular Risk in Users of Mirabegron Compared with Users of Antimuscarinic Treatments for Overactive Bladder: Findings from a Non-Interventional, Multinational, Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: During clinical trials, mirabegron, a ß3-adrenoreceptor agonist, was associated with increased vital signs vs placebo in patients with overactive bladder. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to compare incidence rates of adverse cardiovascular (CV) outcomes following mirabegron or antimuscarinic use. METHODS: We conducted an observational post-marketing safety study utilising real-world data. The study population was identified within five sources: Danish and Swedish National Registers, Clinical Practice Research Datalink (UK), Optum (USA) and Humana (USA). Episodes of time when patients were new users of mirabegron or antimuscarinics (October 2012-December 2018) were sourced from prescriptions and matched on propensity scores. Occurrences of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), acute myocardial infarction (AMI), stroke, CV mortality and all-cause mortality were identified. Outcome incidence rates and hazard ratios from Cox models were estimated. RESULTS: Overall, 152,026 mirabegron and 152,026 antimuscarinic episodes were matched. The population consisted of 63.1% women and 72.6% were ≥ 65 years old. There were no appreciable differences in the incidence rates of MACE, AMI or stroke between users of mirabegron and antimuscarinics. Incidence rates of CV mortality (hazard ratio 0.83, 95% confidence interval 0.73-0.95) and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 0.80, 95% confidence interval 0.76-0.84) were no higher with mirabegron vs antimuscarinics. Results restricted to episodes at high risk for CV events or stratified by age (< 65 years, ≥ 65 years) or prior overactive bladder medication use were consistent with overall findings. CONCLUSIONS: This large, multinational study found no higher risk of MACE, AMI, stroke, CV mortality or all-cause mortality among users of mirabegron relative to users of antimuscarinics.

During clinical trials, mirabegron, which is a treatment for overactive bladder, was associated with small increases in heart rate and blood pressure. This study was conducted to compare the frequency of cardiac events following the use of mirabegron or antimuscarinics, a group of treatments also used to treat overactive bladder. We obtained the data for this study from four countries: Denmark, Sweden, the UK and the USA. We identified people who were new users of mirabegron or antimuscarinics from 2012 to 2018 using prescription or dispensing records. Occurrences of major cardiac events, heart attack, stroke, death due to cardiac events and death from any cause were evaluated. Overall, we identified 152,026 times when mirabegron or antimuscarinics were each used as new treatments. Most of the people in the study were women (63.1%) and at least 65 years old (72.6%). There were no notable differences between the treatment groups with regard to how often major cardiac events, heart attack or stroke occurred. Further, death due to cardiac events and death from any cause were no higher with mirabegron compared with antimuscarinics. We obtained similar results when the data were assessed for patients who were at high risk for cardiac events or split by age (less than 65 years or at least 65 years) or a history of overactive bladder medication use. In conclusion, this large study involving data from several countries found no higher risk of major cardiac events, heart attack, stroke or death among people prescribed mirabegron compared with antimuscarinics.

A study of cancer occurrence in users of mirabegron and antimuscarinic treatments for overactive bladder.

OBJECTIVE: This post-authorization safety study (EU PAS Register Number: EUPAS16088) was designed to compare the incidence of cancer outcomes in patients treated with mirabegron versus antimuscarinic medications. METHODS: Cohorts of mirabegron initiators during 2012-2018 were propensity-score matched to antimuscarinic medication initiators within real-world data sources (Danish National Registers, Swedish National Registers, Clinical Practice Research Datalink [UK], Optum [US], and Humana [US]). Incident cancer cases were identified during follow-up from direct linkage to cancer registers or validated through medical record review or through physician questionnaires. Comparisons of sex-specific composite cancer outcomes (cancer of the lung/bronchus, colon/rectum, melanoma of skin, urinary bladder, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, kidney/renal pelvis, pancreas, prostate in men and breast and uterus in women) were made overall and for person-time in the first year and after the first year following start of treatment, for all ages and for the subgroup ≥65 years. RESULTS: Among the 80,637 mirabegron initiators matched to 169,885 antimuscarinic medication initiators, 68% were at least 65 years of age and 66% were women. Over 5000 incident cancer cases were observed overall. Incidence rates were higher for men than women for composite and individual cancer outcomes. The pooled fixed effects hazard ratios for composite cancer outcomes (all ages) were 1.05 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.98-1.14) for women and 1.06 (95% CI: 0.98-1.14) for men. Results were similar in persons ≥65 years. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest no association between mirabegron use and risk of cancer, compared with antimuscarinic medications, in either men or women. Registration: EU PAS Register Number: EUPAS16088.

Measuring problem prescription opioid use among patients receiving long-term opioid analgesic treatment: development and evaluation of an algorithm for use in EHR and claims data.

Objective: Opioid surveillance in response to the opioid epidemic will benefit from scalable, automated algorithms for identifying patients with clinically documented signs of problem prescription opioid use. Existing algorithms lack accuracy. We sought to develop a high-sensitivity, high-specificity classification algorithm based on widely available structured health data to identify patients receiving chronic extended-release/long-acting (ER/LA) therapy with evidence of problem use to support subsequent epidemiologic investigations. Methods: Outpatient medical records of a probability sample of 2,000 Kaiser Permanente Washington patients receiving ≥60 days' supply of ER/LA opioids in a 90-day period from 1 January 2006 to 30 June 2015 were manually reviewed to determine the presence of clinically documented signs of problem use and used as a reference standard for algorithm development. Using 1,400 patients as training data, we constructed candidate predictors from demographic, enrollment, encounter, diagnosis, procedure, and medication data extracted from medical claims records or the equivalent from electronic health record (EHR) systems, and we used adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression to develop a model. We evaluated this model in a comparable 600-patient validation set. We compared this model to ICD-9 diagnostic codes for opioid abuse, dependence, and poisoning. This study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov as study NCT02667262 on 28 January 2016. Results: We operationalized 1,126 potential predictors characterizing patient demographics, procedures, diagnoses, timing, dose, and location of medication dispensing. The final model incorporating 53 predictors had a sensitivity of 0.582 at positive predictive value (PPV) of 0.572. ICD-9 codes for opioid abuse, dependence, and poisoning had a sensitivity of 0.390 at PPV of 0.599 in the same cohort. Conclusions: Scalable methods using widely available structured EHR/claims data to accurately identify problem opioid use among patients receiving long-term ER/LA therapy were unsuccessful. This approach may be useful for identifying patients needing clinical evaluation.