A systematic review to assess the utility of genomic autopsy using exome or genome sequencing in cases of congenital anomalies and perinatal death.

PURPOSE: Exome or genome sequencing (ES or GS) can identify genetic causes of otherwise unexplained congenital anomaly and perinatal death (PND) but is not routine practice. The evidence base for "genomic autopsy" after termination of pregnancy for fetal anomaly (TOPFA) and PND has been synthesized to determine the value of this investigation. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies meeting prespecified inclusion criteria and containing ≥10 cases of TOPFA or PND (with or without major congenital abnormality), in which ES or GS was conducted. We determined test performance, including diagnostic yield, accuracy, and reliability. We also reported outcomes associated with clinical utility and harms, where described. RESULTS: From 2245 potentially eligible studies, 32 publications were eligible and had data extracted, representing 2120 cases that could be meta-analyzed. No diagnostic accuracy or comparative studies were identified, although some analysis of concordance between different ES/GS methodologies could be performed. Studies reporting parent-related outcomes or long-term follow-up did not do so in a systematic or quantifiable manner. CONCLUSION: Evidence suggests that approximately one-fourth to one-third of fetal losses associated with TOPFA or unexplained PND are associated with a genetic cause identifiable on ES or GS-albeit this estimate varies depending on phenotypic and background risk factors. Despite the large body of evidence on ES and GS, little research has attempted to validate the accuracy of testing, nor measure the clinical or societal outcomes in families that follow the diagnostic investigation in this context.

Discrete Event Simulation to Incorporate Infusion Wait-Time When Assessing Cost-Effectiveness of a Chimeric-Antigen Receptor T Cell Therapy.

OBJECTIVES: The main objective was to use discrete event simulation to model the impact of wait-time, defined as the time between leukapheresis and chimeric antigen receptor (CAR-T) infusion, when assessing the cost-effectiveness of tisagenlecleucel in young patients with relapsed/refractory acute lymphoblastic leukemia. METHODS: The movement of patients through the model was determined by parametric time-to-event distributions, with the competing risk of an event determining the costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) assigned. Cost-effectiveness was expressed using the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for tisagenlecleucel compared with chemotherapy over the lifetime. RESULTS: The base case generated a total of 5.79 QALYs and $622 872 for tisagenlecleucel and 1.19 QALYs and $181 219 for blinatumomab, resulting in an ICER of $96 074 per QALY. An increase in mean CAR-T wait-time to 6.20 months reduced the benefit and costs of tisagenlecleucel to 2.78 QALYs and $294 478 because of fewer patients proceeding to infusion, reducing the ICER to $71 112 per QALY. Alternatively, when the cost of tisagenlecleucel was assigned pre-infusion in sensitivity analysis, the ICER increased with increasing wait-time. CONCLUSIONS: Under a payment arrangement where CAR-T cost is incurred post-infusion, the loss of benefit to patients is not reflected in the ICER. This may be misguiding to decision makers, where cost-effectiveness ratios are used to guide resource allocation. discrete event simulation is an important tool for economic modeling of CAR-T as it is amenable to capturing the impact of wait-time, facilitating better understanding of factors affecting service delivery and consequently informed decision making to deliver faster access to CAR-T for patients.

A systematic review of economic evaluations for RPE65-mediated inherited retinal disease including HTA assessment of broader value.

OBJECTIVE: To summarize the key methodological challenges identified by health technology assessment (HTA) agencies assessing gene therapy (GT) and consideration of broad elements of value. METHOD: Economic evaluations (EEs) of voretigene neparvovec (VN) in RPE65-mediated inherited retinal disease (IRD) published in English were selected. HTA evaluations from Australia, Canada, Ireland, Scotland, England, and the United States were reviewed. An existing methodological framework was used to identify the challenges and considerations. RESULTS: Eight unique EEs were identified of which six were evaluated by HTA agencies. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios ranged from $68,951 to $643,813 per quality-adjusted life-years (QALY) gained (healthcare perspective) and dominant to $480,130 per QALY gained (societal perspective). The key challenges were the lack of validated surrogate outcome, utility values and indirect costs from IRD patients, and limited evidence of the long-term treatment effect. Two HTA agencies reviewed a range of novel broader elements of value and whether they were associated with VN while other agencies discussed some elements of broader value. Caregiver disutility was included in some, but not all, evaluations. CONCLUSION: The methodological challenges were consistent with innovative interventions for rare diseases and managed using standard methods. Broader value was important to decision-makers but inconsistently applied across agencies. Possible reasons are limitations in the evidence available of the broader benefits that VN offers and how to incorporate these within an EE. A need exists for greater guidance and consistency across jurisdictions regarding the consideration of broader value that considers latest best practice.

A Systematic Review of Health Technology Assessments of Chimeric Antigen Receptor T-Cell Therapies in Young Compared With Older Patients.

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this review was to identify sources of variability in cost-effectiveness analyses of chimeric antigen receptor T-cell (CAR-T) therapies, tisagenlecleucel and axicabtagene ciloleucel, evaluated by health technology assessment (HTA) agencies, focusing on young compared with older patients. METHODS: HTA evaluations in pediatric acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) and adult diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) were included from Australia, Canada, England, Norway, and the United States. Key clinical evidence, economic approach, and outcomes (costs, quality-adjusted life-years [QALYs] and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios) were summarized. RESULTS: Fourteen HTA evaluations were identified (5 ALL, 9 DLBCL [4 tisagenlecleucel, 5 axicabtagene]). Analyses were naive comparisons of prospective single-arm studies for the CAR-Ts with retrospective cohort studies for the comparators. Key clinical evidence and economic model approaches were generally consistent by CAR-T and indication, although outcomes varied. Notably, incremental QALYs varied substantially in ALL (3.67-10.6 QALYs gained), whereas variation in DLBCL was less (1.21-1.97 [tisagenlecleucel], 1.97-3.40 [axicabtagene]). Discounting of costs and outcomes varied, with the highest QALYs generated for tisagenlecleucel in ALL (10.95) associated with the lowest discount rate (1.5%) and vice versa (4.97 QALYs; 5% discount rate). The approach to extrapolation of overall survival data varied, even where the same empirical data were used. CONCLUSION: Modeled, long-term treatment benefit in young patients may be associated with greater uncertainty compared with adults because of potential life-long benefits with cell and gene therapies. This reflects the methodological challenges identified by HTA agencies associated with single-arm, short-term studies.

Facilitated case conferences on end-of-life care for persons with advanced dementia-a qualitative study of interactions between long-term care clinicians and family members.

BACKGROUND: Prognostic uncertainty and the need for proxy decision-making owing to cognitive impairment in advanced dementia, adds complexity to end-of-life care planning within the long-term care setting. Case conferences provide a structure to facilitate difficult conversations and an opportunity for family and clinicians to engage in prospective planning, and reach agreement on goals of end-of-life care. OBJECTIVE: To explore interactions between multidisciplinary healthcare clinicians and families during facilitated case conferences on end-of-life care for residents with advanced dementia. METHODS: A qualitative approach was used. Transcripts of audio-recorded case conferences facilitated by a trained registered nurse were coded by two independent researchers and analysed inductively. Transcripts were selected from an available pool until thematic saturation was reached. Emerging themes were confirmed with the wider research group. RESULTS: Thematic saturation was reached after 25 transcripts. An overarching theme concerned the ways in which clinicians and families bridged medical and person-centred perspectives. Subthemes included: details of day-to-day care versus establishing overall goals of care; expression of emotion versus retreat from emotion; and missed opportunities versus expressed cues. Successful facilitation served to 'bridge the gap' between family and clinicians. CONCLUSION: Facilitation of case conferences for residents with advanced dementia should focus on ensuring that: clinicians do not miss opportunities to discuss end-of-life care; discussions on the minutiae of care regularly return to the resident's broader goals of care; and information on dementia and treatments provided by clinicians is integrated with advice by family members regarding the resident's premorbid values and likely preferences.

Current Issues in Health Technology Assessment of Cancer Therapies: A Survey of Stakeholders and Opinion Leaders in Australia.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to find ways of bridging the gap in opinions concerning health technology assessment (HTA) in reimbursement submission between manufacturers and payers to avoid access delays for patients of vital medicines such as oncology drugs. This was done by investigating differences and similarities of opinion among key stakeholders in Australia. METHODS: The survey comprised of nine sections: background demographics, general statements on HTA, clinical claim, extrapolations, quality of life, costs and health resource utilization, agreements, decision making, and capability/capacity. Responses to each question were summarized using descriptive statistics and comparisons were made using chi-square statistics. RESULTS: There were ninety-seven respondents in total, thirty-seven from the public sector (academia/government) and sixty from the private sector (industry/consultancies). Private and public sector respondents had similar views on clinical claims. They were divided when it came to extrapolation of survival data and costs and health resource utilization. However, they generally agreed that rebates are useful, outcomes-based agreements are difficult to implement, managed entry schemes are required when data are limited, and willingness to pay is higher in cancer compared to other therapeutic areas. They also agreed that training mostly takes place through on the job training and that guideline updates were a least favored opportunity for continued training. CONCLUSIONS: Private sector respondents favor methods that reduce the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio when compared to the public sector respondents. There still exist a number of challenges for HTA in oncology and many research opportunities as a result of this study.

Effect of Graded Sensorimotor Retraining on Pain Intensity in Patients With Chronic Low Back Pain: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: The effects of altered neural processing, defined as altering neural networks responsible for perceptions of pain and function, on chronic pain remains unclear. Objective: To estimate the effect of a graded sensorimotor retraining intervention (RESOLVE) on pain intensity in people with chronic low back pain. Design, Setting, and Participants: This parallel, 2-group, randomized clinical trial recruited participants with chronic (>3 months) nonspecific low back pain from primary care and community settings. A total of 276 adults were randomized (in a 1:1 ratio) to the intervention or sham procedure and attention control groups delivered by clinicians at a medical research institute in Sydney, Australia. The first participant was randomized on December 10, 2015, and the last was randomized on July 25, 2019. Follow-up was completed on February 3, 2020. Interventions: Participants randomized to the intervention group (n = 138) were asked to participate in 12 weekly clinical sessions and home training designed to educate them about and assist them with movement and physical activity while experiencing lower back pain. Participants randomized to the control group (n = 138) were asked to participate in 12 weekly clinical sessions and home training that required similar time as the intervention but did not focus on education, movement, and physical activity. The control group included sham laser and shortwave diathermy applied to the back and sham noninvasive brain stimulation. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was pain intensity at 18 weeks, measured on an 11-point numerical rating scale (range, 0 [no pain] to 10 [worst pain imaginable]) for which the between-group minimum clinically important difference is 1.0 point. Results: Among 276 randomized patients (mean [SD] age, 46 [14.3] years; 138 [50%] women), 261 (95%) completed follow-up at 18 weeks. The mean pain intensity was 5.6 at baseline and 3.1 at 18 weeks in the intervention group and 5.8 at baseline and 4.0 at 18 weeks in the control group, with an estimated between-group mean difference at 18 weeks of -1.0 point ([95% CI, -1.5 to -0.4]; P = .001), favoring the intervention group. Conclusions and Relevance: In this randomized clinical trial conducted at a single center among patients with chronic low back pain, graded sensorimotor retraining, compared with a sham procedure and attention control, significantly improved pain intensity at 18 weeks. The improvements in pain intensity were small, and further research is needed to understand the generalizability of the findings. Trial Registration: ANZCTR Identifier: ACTRN12615000610538.

Responses to direct-to-consumer advertising in Australia: Comparing experience.

AbsractThis paper examines the potential effect of Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) advertising on consumers' behavioral intentions in relation to a medical issue. Using an online experiment, 1295 people were randomized to two information conditions. One group watched an advertisement for a hypothetical cold sore medicine, while a second (control) group did not view the advertisement, before both groups answered questions on symptoms. The responses were analyzed based on group allocation and the respondents' experience with cold sores. Results indicate that those who viewed the advertisement were more likely to choose the product, and the advertisement had larger effects based on consumer experience.

Clinical assessment of chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy: a discrete choice experiment of patient preferences.

PURPOSE: Up to 40% of cancer patients treated with neurotoxic chemotherapies experience chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy (CIPN). Currently, there is no gold standard assessment tool for CIPN and there is little information in the literature on patient preferences for such assessments. This study aims to address this gap by identifying the features of a CIPN assessment tool that cancer patients value. METHODS: An online discrete choice experiment (DCE) survey of neurotoxic chemotherapy-treated patients was implemented. Respondents completed 8 choice questions each. In each choice question, they chose between two hypothetical CIPN assessment tools, each described by six attributes: impact on quality of life; level of nerve damage detected; questionnaire length; physical tests involved; impact on clinic time; impact on care. RESULTS: The survey was completed by 117 respondents who had a range of cancers of which breast cancer was the most common. Respondents favoured an assessment tool that includes a physical test and that asks about impact on quality of life. Respondents were strongly opposed to clinicians, alone, deciding how the results of a CIPN assessment might influence their care especially their chemotherapy treatment. They were concerned about small changes in their CIPN, independent of clinical relevance. Respondents were willing to add half an hour to the usual clinic time to accommodate the CIPN assessment. CONCLUSION: The findings of this DCE will assist clinicians in choosing an assessment tool for CIPN that is satisfactory to both clinician and patient.

Discrepancies between proxy estimates and patient reported, health related, quality of life: minding the gap between patient and clinician perceptions in heart failure.

PURPOSE: Health related quality of life (HRQoL) is rarely routinely measured in the clinical setting. In the absence of patient reported data, clinicians rely on proxy and informal estimates to support clinical decisions. This study compares clinician estimates (proxy) with patient reported HRQoL in patients with advanced heart failure and examines factors influencing discrepancies. METHODS: Seventy-five patients with heart failure, (22 females, 53 males) completed the EQ-5D-5L questionnaire. Thirty-nine clinicians (11 medical, 23 nursing, 5 allied health) completed the proxy version (V1) producing 194 dyads. Correlation was assessed using Spearman's rank tests, systematic bias was examined with Bland-Altman analyses. Inter-rater agreement at the domain level, was investigated using linear weighted Kappa statistics while factors influencing the IRG were explored using independent student t-tests, analysis of variance and regression. RESULTS: There was a moderate positive correlation between clinician HRQoL estimates and patient reported utility (r = 0.38; p < .0005). Mean clinician estimates were higher than patient reported utility (0.60 vs 0.54; p = 0.008), with significant underestimation of reported problems apparent in three of the five EQ-5D-5L domains. Patient sex (female), depressed mood and frailty were all associated with an increased inter-rater gap. CONCLUSION: Clinicians in this sample overestimated HRQoL. Factors affecting the inter-rater gap, including sex and depression, support formal HRQoL screening to enhance clinical conversations and decision making. The discrepancy also supports regulatory restriction on the use of expert opinion in the development of QALYs in health economic analysis.

Cost-effectiveness and financial risks associated with immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy.

The reimbursement of immune checkpoint inhibitors is challenging. Funding these technologies involves the careful balance between awarding innovation and ensuring affordability as increases in drug spending compete directly with other health care and social expenditure. This narrative review examines the recommendations of 2 health technology assessment agencies-the Australian Pharmaceutical Benefits Advisory Committee and the British National Institute of Clinical Excellence-to determine the factors that contribute to the approval and rejection of immune checkpoint inhibitors as well as the use of manage entry schemes and risk management strategies to control expenditure. Reimbursement decisions from 6 immune checkpoint inhibitor drugs (ipilimumab, pembrolizumab, nivolumab, durvalumab, atezolizumab, avelumab) covering 10 different cancers were examined. The extrapolation of survival beyond the clinical trial and lack of head-to-head evidence are some of the main issues relating to cost effectiveness. Payers managed financial risks using different mechanisms such as risk share agreements and financial caps. This review of the reimbursement decisions and subsequent financial impact in Australia and the UK suggests budgets for immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy have been well managed so far. Through risk agreements and managed entry programmes, the example of immune checkpoint inhibitor therapies illustrates that industry and payers can effectively collaborate to ensure that innovative, but expensive, drugs can be made readily available to patients.

Assessing the capacity of Ghana to introduce health technology assessment: a systematic review of economic evaluations conducted in Ghana.

OBJECTIVES: Ghana is in the process of formally introducing health technology assessment (HTA) for health decision making. Similar to other low- and middle-income countries, evidence suggests that the lack of data and human capacity is a major barrier to the conduct and use of HTA. This study assessed the current human and data capacity available in Ghana to undertake HTA. METHODS: As economic evaluation (EE) forms an integral part of HTA, a systematic review of EE studies undertaken in Ghana was conducted to identify the quality and number of studies available, methods and source of data used, and local persons involved. The literature search was undertaken in EMBASE (including MEDLINE), PUBMED, and Google Scholar. The quality of studies was evaluated using the Consolidated Health Economics Evaluation Reporting Standards. The number of local Ghanaians who contributed to authorship were used as a proxy for assessing human capacity for HTA. RESULTS: Thirty-one studies were included in the final review. Overall, studies were of good quality. Studies derived their effectiveness, resource utilization and cost data mainly from Ghana. The most common source of cost data was from the National Health Insurance Scheme pricing list for medicines and tariffs. Effectiveness data were mostly derived from either single study or intervention programs. Sixty out of 199 authors were Ghanaians (30 percent); these authors were mostly involved in data collection and study conceptualization. CONCLUSIONS: Human capacity for HTA in Ghana is limited. To introduce HTA successfully in Ghana, policy makers would need to develop more local capacity to undertake Ghanaian-specific HTA.

Academic achievement and productivity losses associated with speech, language and communication needs.

BACKGROUND: Childhood speech, language and communication needs (SLCN) impose a significant burden on individuals, families and society. There are explicit costs related to increased health utilization and expenditure. Additionally, there may be indirect costs associated with a child's employment prospects in the long term because of the child's low literacy and numeracy, which in turn affects adult labour force participation (LFP). Several reviews have identified that there is paucity of published evidence on the costs of SLCN. Motivated by broad policy implications, and the lack of prior research in this area, this paper calculates the indirect costs and workplace productivity losses of children with SLCN. AIMS: To estimate the indirect costs of SLCN associated with a child's reduced long-term productivity. METHODS & PROCEDURES: Using 12 years of data from a longitudinal study of Australian children, we employed a panel fixed-effects model to estimate academic achievement at 14-15 years of age. Using these estimates, we employed a human capital approach (HCA) to estimate the projected LFP for children with SLCN, measured by workforce participation and foregone wages. LFP is estimated by extrapolating a child's academic achievement at 14-15 years of age to adulthood outcomes. OUTCOMES & RESULTS: The results showed that a 1 SD (standard deviation) decrease in SLCN is equivalent to 0.19 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.09, 0.30) SD decrease in academic achievement at 14-15 years, 0.79% (95% CI = 0.37, 1.21) decrease in work participation and A$453 (95% CI = A$207, A$674) per annum in lost wages. The average work participation penalty across all level of SLCN (-3, -2, -1) is A$628 (95% CI = A$236, A$894) per person per year. Based on the prevalence of 8.3% from our sample, this equates to lifetime costs of A$21.677 billion (US$14.28 billion, €13.08 billion, £11.66 billion) for children with SLCN in Australia. Speech pathology treatment appears to have a positive impact on work participation and wages. On average A$355 (95% CI = A$346, A$355) per person per year could be saved through treatment or identification (the difference in lost wages for children with and without speech pathology treatment at each SLCN level (-1, -2 ,-3) calculated as a weighted average). This equates to lifetime savings of A$5.22 billion (US$3.44 billion, €3.15 billion, £2.81 billion) for children with SLCN in Australia. CONCLUSIONS & IMPLICATIONS: Overall, the findings showed that SLCN are associated with increased indirect costs through reduced workforce participation. The evidence from this study can be used to inform policies on the societal costs of SLCN. What this paper adds What is already known on this subject Childhood SLCN impose significant burden on individuals, families and society. There are explicit costs related to increased health utilization and expenditure. Additionally, there may be indirect costs associated with a child's employment prospects in the long term because of the child's low literacy and numeracy, which in turn affects adult LFP. Several reviews have identified that there is paucity of published evidence on the costs of SLCN. Motivated by broad policy implications, and the lack of prior research in this area, this paper calculates the indirect costs and workplace productivity losses of children with SLCN. What this paper adds to existing knowledge This study estimates the academic achievement and indirect costs of SLCN associated with a child's reduced long-term productivity. Using 12 years of data from a longitudinal study of Australian children, we employed a panel fixed-effects model to estimate academic achievement at 14-15 years of age. Using these estimates, we used a human capital approach to estimate the projected LFP for children with SLCN, measured by workforce participation and foregone wages. LFP is estimated by extrapolating a child's academic achievement at 14-15 years of age to adulthood outcomes. What are the potential or actual clinical implications of this work? SLCN are associated with increased indirect costs through reduced workforce participation. The evidence from this study provides one of the first indirect cost estimates of how SLCN impacts LFP through educational achievement. Early identification, intervention and screening for SLCN may be useful offsets to reduce the economic effects identified here.

Costs Before and After Left Ventricular Assist Device Implant and Preceding Heart Transplant: A Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Up to 50% of heart transplant candidates require bridging with left ventricular assist devices (VAD). This study describes hospital activity and cost 1 year preceding and 1 year following VAD implant (pre-VAD) and for the year before transplant (pre-HTX). The sample comprises an Australian cohort and is the first study to investigate costs using both institutional and linked administrative data. METHODS: Institutional activity was established for 77 consecutive patients actively listed for transplant between 2009 and 2012. Costs were sourced from the institution or Australian refined diagnosis groups (arDRGs) and the National Efficient Price for admissions to other public and private institutions. Data from 25/77 VAD recipients were analysed and compared with data from 52/77 pre-transplant patients. Total and per day at risk costs were assessed, as well as totals per resource. RESULTS: Fifty per cent (50%) of the hospital costs in the pre-VAD year occurred during admission of VAD implant. Sixty-four per cent (64%) of costs in the pre-HTX and 38% in the pre-VAD period occurred outside the implanting centre. Costs in the year prior to VAD, $97,565 (IQR $86,907-$153,916), were significantly higher than costs accrued in the year prior to transplant, $40,250 ($13,493-$81,260), p < 0.0001. Once discharged, costs per day at risk for post-VAD patients approximated those from the pre-admission period, p = 0.16 and in the more clinically stable pre-HTX cohort, p = 0.08. CONCLUSION: Compared with the year prior, VAD implant stabilised hospital cost in patients discharged home. A high proportion of the hospital costs in the pre-implant year occur outside the implanting centre and should be considered in economic models assessing the impact of VAD implant.

The Chest Australia Trial: a randomised controlled trial of an intervention to increase consultation rates in smokers at risk of lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: International research has focused on screening and mass media campaigns to promote earlier patient presentation and detect lung cancer earlier. This trial tested the effect of a behavioural intervention in people at increased risk of lung cancer on help-seeking for respiratory symptoms. METHODS: Parallel, individually randomised controlled trial. Eligible participants were long-term smokers with at least 20 pack-years, aged 55 and above. The CHEST intervention entailed a consultation to discuss and implement a self-help manual, followed by self-monitoring reminders to encourage help-seeking for respiratory symptoms. The control group received a brief discussion about lung health. Both groups had baseline spirometry. Telephone randomisation was conducted, 1:1, stratified Medical Research Council (MRC) dyspnoea score and general practice. Participants could not be blinded; data extraction and statistical analyses were performed blinded to group assignment. The primary outcome was respiratory consultation rates. RESULTS: We randomised 551 participants (274 intervention, 277 control) from whom the primary outcome was determined for 542 (269 intervention, 273 control). There was a 40% relative increase in respiratory consultations in the intervention group: (adjusted rates (95% CI) intervention 0.57 (0.47 to 0.70), control 0.41 (0.32 to 0.52), relative rate 1.40 (1.08 to 1.82); p=0.0123). There were no significant differences in time to first respiratory consultation, total consultation rates or measures of psychological harm. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $A1289 per additional respiratory consultation. CONCLUSIONS: A behavioural intervention can significantly increase consulting for respiratory symptoms in patients at increased risk of lung cancer. This intervention could have an important role in primary care as part of a broader approach to improve respiratory health in patients at higher risk. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Australian New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry (1261300039 3752). This was registered pre-results.

Health Technology Assessment Challenges in Oncology: 20 Years of Value in Health.

BACKGROUND: Oncology treatments have changed from chemotherapies to targeted therapies and more recently immuno-oncology. This has posed special challenges in the field of health technology assessment (HTA): capturing quality of life (QOL) associated with toxicity due to chemotherapy, crossover upon progression in targeted therapy trials, and survival extrapolation for immuno-oncology drugs. OBJECTIVES: To showcase 20 years of Value in Health (ViH) publications in oncology. METHODS: A review was undertaken of oncology articles published in ViH from May 1998 to August 2018. Full-length articles published in ViH with the keywords "oncology," "cancer," "h(a)ematology," and "malignancy" were included for review. Conference abstracts were excluded. RESULTS: Four major themes were identified: (1) QOL and the development of multiple functional assessment of cancer therapy tools and mapping instruments; (2) analysis of clinical evidence using indirect comparisons, network analyses, and adjustment for crossovers; (3) modeling, Markov models, partitioned survival models, and extrapolation methods; and (4) financial implications and how to deal with uncertainty, introduction of conditional reimbursement, managed entry, and risk share agreements. DISCUSSION: This review article highlights the important role ViH has played in disseminating HTA research in oncology. A few key issues loom on the horizon: precision medicine, further development and practical application of new QOL measures, methods for translating clinical evidence, and exploration of modeling techniques. For a better understanding of the complex interplay between access and financial risk management, ViH will no doubt continue to promote pioneering research in HTA and oncology.

Determining the Comparative Value of Pharmaceutical Risk-Sharing Policies in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Using Real-World Data.

BACKGROUND: Risk-sharing arrangements (RSAs) can be used to mitigate uncertainty about the value of a drug by sharing the financial risk between payer and pharmaceutical company. We evaluated the projected impact of alternative RSAs for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) therapies based on real-world data. METHODS: Data on treatment patterns of Dutch NSCLC patients from four different hospitals were used to perform "what-if" analyses, evaluating the costs and benefits likely associated with various RSAs. In the scenarios, drug costs or refunds were based on response evaluation criteria in solid tumors (RECIST) response, survival compared to the pivotal trial, treatment duration, or a fixed cost per patient. Analyses were done for erlotinib, gemcitabine/cisplatin, and pemetrexed/platinum for metastatic NSCLC, and gemcitabine/cisplatin, pemetrexed/cisplatin, and vinorelbine/cisplatin for nonmetastatic NSCLC. RESULTS: Money-back guarantees led to moderate cost reductions to the payer. For conditional treatment continuation schemes, costs and outcomes associated with the different treatments were dispersed. When price was linked to the outcome, the payer's drug costs reduced by 2.5% to 26.7%. Discounted treatment initiation schemes yielded large cost reductions. Utilization caps mainly reduced the costs of erlotinib treatment (by 16%). Given a fixed cost per patient based on projected average use of the drug, risk sharing was unfavorable to the payer because of the lower than projected use. The impact of RSAs on a national scale was dispersed. CONCLUSIONS: For erlotinib and pemetrexed/platinum, large cost reductions were observed with risk sharing. RSAs can mitigate uncertainty around the incremental cost-effectiveness or budget impact of drugs, but only when the type of arrangement matches the setting and type of uncertainty.

Health-related quality of life in people with advanced dementia: a comparison of EQ-5D-5L and QUALID instruments.

BACKGROUND: Assessing health-related quality of life (HRQOL) in people with advanced dementia is challenging but important for informed decision-making. Proxy measurement of this construct is difficult and is often rated lower than self-report. Accurate proxy rating of quality of life in dementia is related to identification of concepts important to the person themselves, as well as the sensitivity of the measures used. The main aim of this study was to compare the performance of two instruments-QUALID and EQ-5D-5L-on measuring HRQOL in people with advanced dementia. METHODS: In a sub-study nested within a cluster-RCT we collected proxy(nurse)-completed EQ-5D-5L and QUALID measures at baseline, 3, 6, 9 and 12 months' follow-up for people with advanced dementia, residing in 20 nursing homes across Australia. Spearman's rank correlations, partial correlations and linear regressions were used to assess the relationship between the HRQOL instrument scores and their changes over time. RESULTS: The mean weight from 284 people for the EQ-5D-5L and QUALID at baseline were 0.004 (95% CI - 0.026, 0.033) and 24.98 (95% CI 24.13, 25.82), respectively. At 12 months' follow-up, 115 participants remained alive. EQ-5D-5L weights and QUALID scores at baseline and at follow-up were moderately correlated (r = - 0.437; p < 0.001 at 12 months). Changes within QUALID and EQ-5D-5L across the same follow-up periods were also correlated (r = - 0.266; p = 0.005). The regression analyses support these findings. CONCLUSION: Whilst these quality of life instruments demonstrated moderate correlation, the EQ-5D-5L does not appear to capture all aspects of quality of life that are relevant to people with advanced dementia and we cannot recommend the use of this instrument for use within this population. The QUALID appears to be a more suitable instrument for measuring HRQOL in people with severe dementia, but is not preference-based, which limits its application in economic evaluations of dementia care.

An economic evaluation of the SUNBEAM programme: a falls-prevention randomized controlled trial in residential aged care.

OBJECTIVE:: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of a strength and balance exercise programme (SUNBEAM) which has been shown to be clinically effective in reducing the rate of falls in residents of aged care facilities. DESIGN:: An economic evaluation was conducted alongside a pragmatic cluster randomized controlled trial that included 16 residential care facilities and 221 participants. Mean participant age was 86 years, 65% were female and 78% relied on a mobility aide. A cost-effectiveness analysis examined the costs of providing the exercise programme and costs of health service use arising from falls in each arm (intervention and usual care) over 12 months. MAIN MEASURES:: Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated for the cost per fall avoided. Costs were bootstrapped to obtain adjusted confidence intervals for the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. RESULTS:: Of 63 facilities contacted, 16 met the eligibility criteria and were randomized to the intervention or usual care (1:1). There were 142 falls in the intervention group and 277 in the usual care group. 72 injurious falls occurred in the intervention group versus 157 with usual care. Delivery of the SUNBEAM programme cost $463 per participant. The mean total cost of each fall (regardless of group) was $400.09 and the mean cost of each injurious fall was $708.27. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $22 per fall per person avoided with the mean bootstrapped incremental cost-effectiveness ratio $18 per fall avoided (95% CI: -$380.34 to $417.85). CONCLUSION:: The SUNBEAM programme can be considered cost-effective, relative to other fall-prevention interventions in older adults.

Probiotics [LGG-BB12 or RC14-GR1] versus placebo as prophylaxis for urinary tract infection in persons with spinal cord injury [ProSCIUTTU]: a randomised controlled trial.

STUDY DESIGN: Randomised double-blind factorial-design placebo-controlled trial. OBJECTIVE: Urinary tract infections (UTIs) are common in people with spinal cord injury (SCI). UTIs are increasingly difficult to treat due to emergence of multi-resistant organisms. Probiotics are efficacious in preventing UTIs in post-menopausal women. We aimed to determine whether probiotic therapy with Lactobacillus reuteri RC-14+Lactobacillus GR-1 (RC14-GR1) and/or Lactobacillus rhamnosus GG+Bifidobacterium BB-12 (LGG-BB12) are effective in preventing UTI in people with SCI. SETTING: Spinal units in New South Wales, Australia with their rural affiliations. METHODS: We recruited 207 eligible participants with SCI and stable neurogenic bladder management. They were randomised to one of four arms: RC14-GR1+LGG-BB12, RC14-GR1+placebo, LGG-BB12+ placebo or double placebos for 6 months. Randomisation was stratified by bladder management type and inpatient or outpatient status. The primary outcome was time to occurrence of symptomatic UTI. RESULTS: Analysis was based on intention to treat. Participants randomised to RC14-GR1 had a similar risk of UTI as those not on RC14-GR1 (HR 0.67; 95% CI: 0.39-1.18; P = 0.17) after allowing for pre-specified covariates. Participants randomised to LGG-BB12 also had a similar risk of UTI as those not on LGG-BB12 (HR 1.29; 95% CI: 0.74-2.25; P = 0.37). Multivariable post hoc survival analysis for RC14-GR1 only vs. the other three groups showed a potential protective effect (HR 0.46; 95% CI: 0.21-0.99; P = 0.03), but this result would need to be confirmed before clinical application. CONCLUSION: In this RCT, there was no effect of RC14-GR1 or LGG-BB12 in preventing UTI in people with SCI.