Ten-year distant-recurrence risk prediction in breast cancer by CanAssist Breast (CAB) in Dutch sub-cohort of the randomized TEAM trial.

BACKGROUND: Hormone receptor (HR)-positive, HER2/neu-negative breast cancers have a sustained risk of recurrence up to 20 years from diagnosis. TEAM (Tamoxifen, Exemestane Adjuvant Multinational) is a large, multi-country, phase III trial that randomized 9776 women for the use of hormonal therapy. Of these 2754 were Dutch patients. The current study aims for the first time to correlate the ten-year clinical outcomes with predictions by CanAssist Breast (CAB)-a prognostic test developed in South East Asia, on a Dutch sub-cohort that participated in the TEAM. The total Dutch TEAM cohort and the current Dutch sub-cohort were almost similar with respect to patient age and tumor anatomical features. METHODS: Of the 2754 patients from the Netherlands, which are part of the original TEAM trial, 592 patients' samples were available with Leiden University Medical Center (LUMC). The risk stratification of CAB was correlated with outcomes of patients using logistic regression approaches entailing Kaplan-Meier survival curves, univariate and multivariate cox-regression hazards model. We used hazard ratios (HRs), the cumulative incidence of distant metastasis/death due to breast cancer (DM), and distant recurrence-free interval (DRFi) for assessment. RESULTS: Out of 433 patients finally included, the majority, 68.4% had lymph node-positive disease, while only a minority received chemotherapy (20.8%) in addition to endocrine therapy. CAB stratified 67.5% of the total cohort as low-risk [DM = 11.5% (95% CI, 7.6-15.2)] and 32.5% as high-risk [DM = 30.2% (95% CI, 21.9-37.6)] with an HR of 2.90 (95% CI, 1.75-4.80; P < 0.001) at ten years. CAB risk score was an independent prognostic factor in the consideration of clinical parameters in multivariate analysis. At ten years, CAB high-risk had the worst DRFi of 69.8%, CAB low-risk in the exemestane monotherapy arm had the best DRFi of 92.7% [vs CAB high-risk, HR, 0.21 (95% CI, 0.11-0.43), P < 0.001], and CAB low-risk in the sequential arm had a DRFi of 84.2% [vs CAB high-risk, HR, 0.48 (95% CI, 0.28-0.82), P = 0.009]. CONCLUSIONS: Cost-effective CAB is a statistically robust prognostic and predictive tool for ten-year DM for postmenopausal women with HR+/HER2-, early breast cancer. CAB low-risk patients who received exemestane monotherapy had an excellent ten-year DRFi.

A comparative analysis of recurrence risk predictions in ER+/HER2- early breast cancer using NHS Nottingham Prognostic Index, PREDICT, and CanAssist Breast.

AIMS: Clinicians use multi-gene/biomarker prognostic tests and free online tools to optimize treatment in early ER+/HER2- breast cancer. Here we report the comparison of recurrence risk predictions by CanAssist Breast (CAB), Nottingham Prognostic Index (NPI), and PREDICT along with the differences in the performance of these tests across Indian and European cohorts. METHODS: Current study used a retrospective cohort of 1474 patients from Europe, India, and USA. NPI risk groups were categorized into three prognostic groups, good (GPG-NPI index ≤ 3.4) moderate (MPG 3.41-5.4), and poor (PPG > 5.4). Patients with chemotherapy benefit of < 2% were low-risk and ≥ 2% high-risk by PREDICT. We assessed the agreement between the CAB and NPI/PREDICT risk groups by kappa coefficient. RESULTS: Risk proportions generated by all tools were: CAB low:high 74:26; NPI good:moderate:poor prognostic group- 38:55:7; PREDICT low:high 63:37. Overall, there was a fair agreement between CAB and NPI[κ = 0.31(0.278-0.346)]/PREDICT [κ = 0.398 (0.35-0.446)], with a concordance of 97%/88% between CAB and NPI/PREDICT low-risk categories. 65% of NPI-MPG patients were called low-risk by CAB. From PREDICT high-risk patients CAB segregated 51% as low-risk, thus preventing over-treatment in these patients. In cohorts (European) with a higher number of T1N0 patients, NPI/PREDICT segregated more as LR compared to CAB, suggesting that T1N0 patients with aggressive biology are missed out by online tools but not by the CAB. CONCLUSION: Data shows the use of CAB in early breast cancer overall and specifically in NPI-MPG and PREDICT high-risk patients for making accurate decisions on chemotherapy use. CAB provided unbiased risk stratification across cohorts of various geographies with minimal impact by clinical parameters.

Analytical validation of CanAssist-Breast: an immunohistochemistry based prognostic test for hormone receptor positive breast cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: CanAssist-Breast is an immunohistochemistry based test that predicts risk of distant recurrence in early-stage hormone receptor positive breast cancer patients within first five years of diagnosis. Immunohistochemistry gradings for 5 biomarkers (CD44, ABCC4, ABCC11, N-Cadherin and pan-Cadherins) and 3 clinical parameters (tumor size, tumor grade and node status) of 298 patient cohort were used to develop a machine learning based statistical algorithm. The algorithm generates a risk score based on which patients are stratified into two groups, low- or high-risk for recurrence. The aim of the current study is to demonstrate the analytical performance with respect to repeatability and reproducibility of CanAssist-Breast. METHODS: All potential sources of variation in CanAssist-Breast testing involving operator, run and observer that could affect the immunohistochemistry performance were tested using appropriate statistical analysis methods for each of the CanAssist-Breast biomarkers using a total 309 samples. The cumulative effect of these variations in the immunohistochemistry gradings on the generation of CanAssist-Breast risk score and risk category were also evaluated. Intra-class Correlation Coefficient, Bland Altman plots and pair-wise agreement were performed to establish concordance on IHC gradings, risk score and risk categorization respectively. RESULTS: CanAssist-Breast test exhibited high levels of concordance on immunohistochemistry gradings for all biomarkers with Intra-class Correlation Coefficient of ≥0.75 across all reproducibility and repeatability experiments. Bland-Altman plots demonstrated that agreement on risk scores between the comparators was within acceptable limits. We also observed > 90% agreement on risk categorization (low- or high-risk) across all variables tested. CONCLUSIONS: The extensive analytical validation data for the CanAssist-Breast test, evaluating immunohistochemistry performance, risk score generation and risk categorization showed excellent agreement across variables, demonstrating that the test is robust.

The usefulness of CanAssist Breast over Ki67 in breast cancer recurrence risk assessment.

BACKGROUND: Assessment of Ki67 by immunohistochemistry (IHC) has limited utility in clinical practice owing to analytical validity issues. According to International Ki67 Working Group (IKWG) guidelines, treatment should be guided by a prognostic test in patients expressing intermediate Ki67 range, >5%-<30%. The objective of the study is to compare the prognostic performance of CanAssist Breast (CAB) with that of Ki67 across various Ki67 prognostic groups. METHODS: The cohort had 1701 patients. Various risk groups were compared for the distant relapse-free interval (DRFi) derived from Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. As per IKWG, patients are categorized into three risk groups: low-risk (<5%), intermediate risk (>5%-<30%), and high-risk (>30%). CAB generates two risk groups, low and high risk based on a predefined cutoff. RESULTS: In the total cohort, 76% of the patients were low risk (LR) by CAB as against 46% by Ki67 with a similar DRFi of 94%. In the node-negative sub-cohort, 87% were LR by CAB with a DRFi of 97% against 49% by Ki67 with a DRFi of 96%. In subgroups of patients with T1 or N1 or G2 tumors, Ki67-based risk stratification was not significant while it was significant by CAB. In the intermediate Ki67 (>5%-<30%) category up to 89% (N0 sub-cohort) were LR by CAB and the percentage of LR patients was 25% (p < 0.0001) higher compared to NPI or mAOL. In the low Ki67 (≤5%) group, up to 19% were segregated as high-risk by CAB with 86% DRFi suggesting the requirement of chemotherapy in these low Ki67 patients. CONCLUSION: CAB provided superior prognostic information in various Ki67 subgroups, especially in the intermediate Ki67 group.

A retrospective validation of CanAssist Breast in European early-stage breast cancer patient cohort.

CanAssist Breast (CAB), a prognostic test uses immunohistochemistry (IHC) approach coupled with artificial intelligence-based machine learning algorithm for prognosis of early-stage hormone-receptor positive, HER2/neu negative breast cancer patients. It was developed and validated in an Indian cohort. Here we report the first blinded validation of CAB in a multi-country European patient cohort. FFPE tumor samples from 864 patients were obtained from-Spain, Italy, Austria, and Germany. IHC was performed on these samples, followed by recurrence risk score prediction. The outcomes were obtained from medical records. The performance of CAB was analyzed by hazard ratios (HR) and Kaplan Meier curves. CAB stratified European cohort (n = 864) into distinct low- and high-risk groups for recurrence (P < 0.0001) with HR of 3.32 (1.85-5.93) like that of mixed (India, USA, and Europe) (n = 1974), 3.43 (2.34-4.93) and Indian cohort (n = 925), 3.09 (1.83-5.21). CAB provided significant prognostic information (P < 0.0001) in women aged ≤ 50 (HR: 4.42 (1.58-12.3), P < 0.0001) and >50 years (HR: 2.93 (1.44-5.96), P = 0.0002). CAB had an HR of 2.57 (1.26-5.26), P = 0.01) in women with N1 disease. CAB stratified significantly higher proportions (77%) as low-risk over IHC4 (55%) (P < 0.0001). Additionally, 82% of IHC4 intermediate-risk patients were stratified as low-risk by CAB. Accurate risk stratification of European patients by CAB coupled with its similar performance inIndian patients shows that CAB is robust and functions independent of ethnic differences. CAB can potentially prevent overtreatment in a greater number of patients compared to IHC4 demonstrating its usefulness for adjuvant systemic therapy planning in European breast cancer patients.

The usefulness of CanAssist breast in the assessment of recurrence risk in patients of ethnic Indian origin.

Accurate recurrence risk assessment in hormone receptor positive, HER2/neu negative breast cancer is critical to plan precise therapy. CanAssist Breast (CAB) assesses recurrence risk based on tumor biology using artificial intelligence-based approach. We report CAB risk assessment correlating with disease outcomes in multiple clinically high- and low-risk subgroups. In this retrospective cohort of 925 patients [median age-54 (22-86)] CAB had hazard ratio (HR) of 3 (1.83-5.21) and 2.5 (1.45-4.29), P = 0.0009) in univariate and multivariate analysis. CAB's HR in sub-groups with the other determinants of outcome, T2 (HR: 2.79 (1.49-5.25), P = 0.0001); age [< 50 (HR: 3.14 (1.39-7), P = 0.0008)]. Besides application in node-negative patients, CAB's HR was 2.45 (1.34-4.47), P = 0.0023) in node-positive patients. In clinically low-risk patients (N0 tumors up to 5 cms) (HR: 2.48 (0.79-7.8), P = 0.03) and with luminal-A characteristics (HR: 4.54 (1-19.75), P = 0.004), CAB identified >16% as high-risk with recurrence rates of up to 12%. In clinically high-risk patients (T2N1 tumors (HR: 2.65 (1.31-5.36), P = 0.003; low-risk DMFS: 92.66 ± 1.88) and in women with luminal-B characteristics (HR: 3.24; (1.69-6.22), P < 0.0001; low-risk DMFS: 93.34 ± 1.34)), CAB identified >64% as low-risk. Thus, CAB prognostication was significant in women with clinically low- and high-risk disease. The data imply the use of CAB for providing helpful information to stratify tumors based on biology incorporated with clinical features for Indian patients, which can be extrapolated to regions with similarly characterized patients, South-East Asia.

Comparison of breast cancer prognostic tests CanAssist Breast and Oncotype DX.

BACKGROUND: CanAssist Breast (CAB) is a prognostic test for early stage hormone receptor-positive (HR+), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative (HER2-) breast cancer patients, validated on Indian and Caucasian patients. The 21-gene signature Oncotype DX (ODX) is the most widely used commercially available breast cancer prognostic test. In the current study, risk stratification of CAB is compared with that done with ODX along with the respective outcomes of these patients. METHODS: A cohort of 109 early stage breast cancer patients who had previously taken the ODX test were retested with CAB, and the results respectively compared with old cut-offs of ODX as well as cut-offs suggested by TAILORx, a prospective randomized trial of ODX. Distant metastasis-free survival after 5 years was taken as the end point. RESULTS: CanAssist Breast stratified 83.5% of the cohort into low-risk and 16.5% into high-risk. With the TAILORx cut-offs, ODX stratified the cohort into 89.9% low-risk and 10.1% into high-risk. The low, intermediate, and high-risk groups with ODX old cut-offs were 62.4%, 31.2%, and 6.4%, respectively. The overall concordance of CAB with ODX using both cut-offs is 75%-76%, with ~82%-83% concordance in the low-risk category of these tests. The NPV of the low-risk category of CAB was 93.4%, and of ODX with TAILORx cut-offs was 91.8% and 89.7% with old cut-offs. CONCLUSIONS: Compared to the concordance reported for other tests, CAB shows high concordance with ODX, and in addition shows comparable performance in the patient outcomes in this cohort. CAB is thus an excellent and cost-effective alternative to ODX.