Clinical Remission of Chronic Spontaneous Urticaria (CSU): A Targeted Literature Review.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic spontaneous (previously known as idiopathic) urticaria (CSU) is a chronic skin disease with the potential for natural remission. The objectives of this targeted literature review were to identify evidence on the clinical course of CSU, including remission rates, and to estimate cumulative remission rates for different time points. METHODS: Electronic databases (MEDLINE, MEDLINE-In Process, Embase, Web of Science, BIOSIS Previews and the Cochrane Library) and relevant conference proceedings were searched to identify studies involving patients with CSU aged ≥ 12 years that provide data on remission rates and disease duration. Observational studies with patient follow-ups of ≥ 1 year or review articles were included. Data extracted from five selected studies were used to run Kaplan-Meier (KM) analyses and best-fit distributions to calculate remission rates per 4-week period and weighted averages. RESULTS: Ten publications were included in this review. The proportion of patients achieving remission within year 1 ranged from 21 to 47%, while reported remission rate estimates at year 5 were 34% and 45%. Based on calculated 4-weekly remission rates, cumulative remission estimates ranged from 9 to 38% at year 1, from 29 to 71% at year 5 and from 52 to 93% at year 20. Cumulative weighted average estimates for the proportion of patients remitting at years 1, 5 and 20 were 17%, 45% and 73%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Published evidence suggests that CSU is a self-limiting condition with variable disease severity and duration, apparently dependent on multiple factors. However, data sources differed in terms of definitions of disease severity and remission, as well as in conclusions on influencing factors. Further studies and uniform definitions are required.

Cost Effectiveness of Secukinumab for the Treatment of Active Psoriatic Arthritis in the UK.

OBJECTIVE: The aim was to determine the cost effectiveness of secukinumab, a fully human interleukin-17A inhibitor, for adults in the UK with active psoriatic arthritis (PsA) who are tumour necrosis factor inhibitor (TNFi) naïve and without concomitant moderate-to-severe psoriasis, and who have responded inadequately to conventional systemic disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (csDMARDs). PERSPECTIVE AND SETTING: The study took the perspective and setting of the UK National Health Service (NHS). METHODS: The model structure was a 3-month decision tree leading into a Markov model. Separate analyses based on the number of prior csDMARDs (one and two or more) were conducted, with secukinumab 150 mg compared to standard of care (SoC) and TNFis, respectively, for each subpopulation. Clinical parameters, including response at 3 months, were from the FUTURE 2 trial and a network meta-analysis. Outcomes included total costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) over the 40-year time horizon (3.5% annual discount for both outcomes; cost year 2017), and incremental cost effectiveness ratios (ICERs). RESULTS: The ICER for secukinumab 150 mg versus SoC was £28,748 per QALY gained (one prior csDMARD). Secukinumab 150 mg dominated golimumab, certolizumab pegol and etanercept, and had an ICER of £5680 per QALY gained versus adalimumab and > £1 million saved per QALY foregone versus infliximab (two or more prior csDMARDs). Valuing one QALY at between £20,000 and £30,000, the probability of secukinumab having the highest net monetary benefit was 48.9% (one prior csDMARD) and 88.9% (two or more prior csDMARDs). Parameters related to Health Assessment Questionnaire scores were most influential. CONCLUSIONS: Secukinumab 150 mg at list price appears to represent a cost-effective use of NHS resources for adults with PsA who have responded inadequately to one or two or more prior csDMARDs.

Cost Effectiveness of Secukinumab for the Treatment of Active Ankylosing Spondylitis in the UK.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the cost effectiveness of secukinumab, a fully human interleukin-17A inhibitor, for adults in the UK with active ankylosing spondylitis (AS) who have not responded adequately to previous treatment with conventional care (CC; biologic-naïve population) or previous biologic therapy (biologic-experienced population). PERSPECTIVE AND SETTING: UK National Health Service (NHS). METHODS: The model was structured as a 3-month decision tree leading into a Markov model. Comparators were licensed tumour necrosis factor inhibitors (including available biosimilars) and CC in the biologic-naïve and biologic-experienced populations, respectively. Clinical parameters captured treatment response, short-term disease activity and patient functioning, as well as long-term structural disease progression. Utilities were derived from secukinumab trial data. List prices were used for all drugs. The cost year was 2017 and costs and outcomes were discounted at 3.5%. RESULTS: In the biologic-naïve population, secukinumab dominated adalimumab and certolizumab pegol. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) versus other comparators were either below £10,000 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained or south-west ICERs that implied cost effectiveness of secukinumab. In biologic-experienced patients, the ICER for secukinumab versus CC was £4927 per QALY gained. Treatment response rates, short-term treatment effects, long-term radiographic progression and biologic acquisition costs were key model drivers. Scenario analysis found results to be robust to changes in model structural assumptions. Probabilistic analysis identified greater uncertainty in results in the biologic-naïve population. CONCLUSIONS: Even at list price, secukinumab appears to represent a cost-effective use of NHS resources for biologic-naïve and biologic-experienced patients with active AS. Further research on long-term radiographic progression outcomes would be valuable for future cost-effectiveness analyses in AS.

EQ-5D Utilities in Chronic Spontaneous/Idiopathic Urticaria.

OBJECTIVES: To obtain utility estimates suitable for use in economic models for chronic spontaneous (idiopathic) urticaria (CSU). METHODS: Patient-level data from three randomized clinical trials-ASTERIA I, ASTERIA II and GLACIAL-were analysed. Health states were derived from the Urticaria Activity Score over 7 days (UAS7); higher scores denote greater activity. The health state score ranges were urticaria free: 0; well-controlled urticaria: 1-6; mild urticaria: 7-15; moderate urticaria: 16-27; and severe urticaria: 28-42. The mean EQ-5D utilities were calculated for each health state. A mixed model was used to predict the EQ-5D according to UAS7 health states in a pooled data set containing all treatment arms and time points from the three trials. Pooled trial data were validated through visual comparisons and interaction terms. Fixed and random effects for trials and patients were included, along with the following covariates: UAS7 health state at baseline (moderate or severe); presence of angioedema at baseline and during follow-up; duration of CSU; number of previous CSU medications; visit; current treatment; and patient age and sex. RESULTS: There was a consistent improvement in EQ-5D utilities as urticaria activity decreased. The mean utilities ranged from 0.710 (severe urticaria) to 0.780 (moderate urticaria), 0.829 (mild urticaria), 0.862 (well-controlled urticaria) and 0.894 (urticaria free). Sensitivity and subgroup analyses confirmed the robustness of the results. CONCLUSION: The results suggest that EQ-5D utility scores increase with decreasing urticaria activity. EQ-5D utility scores enable the health-related quality of life of CSU patients to be compared with that of patients with other diseases.

Cost Utility of Omalizumab Compared with Standard of Care for the Treatment of Chronic Spontaneous Urticaria.

BACKGROUND: Chronic spontaneous urticaria (CSU) negatively impacts patient quality of life and productivity and is associated with considerable indirect costs to society. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to assess the cost utility of add-on omalizumab treatment compared with standard of care (SOC) in moderate or severe CSU patients with inadequate response to SOC, from the UK societal perspective. METHODS: A Markov model was developed, consisting of health states based on Urticaria Activity Score over 7 days (UAS7) and additional states for relapse, spontaneous remission and death. Model cycle length was 4 weeks, and total model time horizon was 20 years in the base case. The model considered early discontinuation of non-responders (response: UAS7 ≤6) and retreatment upon relapse (relapse: UAS7 ≥16) for responders. Clinical and cost inputs were derived from omalizumab trials and published sources, and cost utility was expressed as incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Scenario analyses included no early discontinuation of non-responders and an altered definition of response (UAS7 <16). RESULTS: With a deterministic ICER of £3183 in the base case, omalizumab was associated with increased costs and benefits relative to SOC. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis supported this result. Productivity inputs were key model drivers, and individual scenarios without early discontinuation of non-responders and adjusted response definitions had little impact on results. ICERs were generally robust to changes in key model parameters and inputs. CONCLUSIONS: In this, the first economic evaluation of omalizumab in CSU from a UK societal perspective, omalizumab consistently represented a treatment option with societal benefit for CSU in the UK across a range of scenarios.