Mortality Outcomes by Fibrosis Stage in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Fibrosis is a key determinant of clinical outcomes in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), but time-dependent risk of mortality has not been reported in previous meta-analyses. We performed an updated time-to-event meta-analysis to provide robust estimates for all-cause and liver-related mortality in biopsy-confirmed NAFLD with comparisons between fibrosis stages. METHODS: Medline and Embase databases were searched to include cohort studies reporting survival outcomes by fibrosis stage in biopsy-proven NAFLD. Survival estimates were pooled using reconstructed individual participant data. Conventional meta-analysis was conducted to pool adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) using DerSimonian and Laird random effects model. RESULTS: A total of 14 articles involving 17,301 patients with NAFLD were included. All-cause mortality at 1, 5, and 10 years for stage 0 to 2 fibrosis was 0.1%, 3.3%, and 7.7% vs 0.3%, 20.6%, and 41.5% for stage 4 fibrosis. Compared with stage 0 fibrosis, all-cause mortality increased with fibrosis stage: stage 2; HR, 1.46 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08-1.98), stage 3; HR, 1.96 (95% CI, 1.41-2.72), and stage 4; HR, 3.66 (95% CI, 2.65-5.05). Risk for liver-related mortality increased exponentially as fibrosis stage increased: stage 2; HR, 4.07 (95% CI, 1.44-11.5), stage 3; HR, 7.59 (95% CI, 2.80-20.5), and stage 4; HR, 15.1 (95% CI, 5.27-43.4). Stage 3 to 4 fibrosis had a higher all-cause (HR, 3.32) and liver-related mortality (HR, 10.40) compared with stage 0 to 2 fibrosis, whereas stage 4 fibrosis had higher all-cause (HR, 2.67; 95% CI, 1.47-4.83) and liver-related mortality (HR, 2.57; 95% CI, 1.22-5.42) vs stage 3 fibrosis. CONCLUSIONS: Risk of all-cause and liver-related mortality increases substantially with fibrosis stage. These data have important implications for prognostication and trial design.

Antidiabetic Medications for Type 2 Diabetics with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Evidence From a Network Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials.

OBJECTIVE: Type 2 diabetes mellitus and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are closely related, and antidiabetic medications have been shown to be potential therapeutics in NAFLD. Using a network meta-analysis, we sought to examine the effectiveness of antidiabetic agents for the treatment of NAFLD in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. METHODS: Medline and Embase were searched for randomized controlled trials relating to the use of antidiabetic agents, including sodium-glucose transport protein 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors, glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists, and peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor gamma (PPARγ) agonists, biguanides, sulfonylureas and insulin, on NAFLD in patients with diabetes. The p-score was used as a surrogate marker of effectiveness. RESULTS: A total of 14 articles were included in the analysis. PPARγ agonists were ranked as the best treatment in steatosis reduction, resulting in the greatest reduction of steatosis. There was statistical significance between PPARγ agonists [mean difference (MD): -6.02%, confidence interval (CI): -10.37% to -1.67%] and SGLT2 inhibitors (MD: -2.60%, CI: -4.87% to -0.33%) compared with standard of care for steatosis reduction. Compared with PPARγ agonists, SGLT2 inhibitors resulted in a statistical significant reduction in fibrosis (MD: -0.06, CI: -0.10 to -0.02). Body mass index reduction was highest in SGLT2 inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists. Additionally, SGLT2 inhibitors were ranked as the best treatment for increasing high-density lipoprotein and reducing low-density lipoprotein. CONCLUSION: Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and SGLT2 inhibitors were suitable alternatives for the treatment of NAFLD in those with type 2 diabetes mellitus with a reduction in body mass index, fibrosis, and steatosis. SGLT2 inhibitors also have the added benefit of lipid modulation.