Fuzzy Cognitive Map-Driven Comprehensive Time-Series Classification.

This article presents a comprehensive approach for time-series classification. The proposed model employs a fuzzy cognitive map (FCM) as a classification engine. Preprocessed input data feed the employed FCM. Map responses, after a postprocessing procedure, are used in the calculation of the final classification decision. The time-series data are staged using the moving-window technique to capture the time flow in the training procedure. We use a backward error propagation algorithm to compute the required model hyperparameters. Four model hyperparameters require tuning. Two are crucial for the model construction: 1) FCM size (number of concepts) and 2) window size (for the moving-window technique). Other two are important for training the model: 1) the number of epochs and 2) the learning rate (for training). Two distinguishing aspects of the proposed model are worth noting: 1) the separation of the classification engine from pre- and post-processing and 2) the time flow capture for data from concept space. The proposed classifier joins the key advantage of the FCM model, which is the interpretability of the model, with the superior classification performance attributed to the specially designed pre- and postprocessing stages. This article presents the experiments performed, demonstrating that the proposed model performs well against a wide range of state-of-the-art time-series classification algorithms.

Training Novel Adaptive Fuzzy Cognitive Map by Knowledge-Guidance Learning Mechanism for Large-Scale Time-Series Forecasting.

A fuzzy cognitive map (FCM) is a graph-based knowledge representation model wherein the connections of the nodes (edges) represent casual relationships between the knowledge items associated with the nodes. This model has been applied to solve various modeling tasks including forecasting time series. In the original FCM-based forecasting model, causal relationships among concepts of the FCM remain unchanged. However, causal relationships may change in time. Therefore, we propose a new learning method for training an FCM resulting in an adaptive FCM which consists of several sub-FCMs. It can select different sub-FCMs at different moments. In an active processing scenario, in which we deal with a large-scale time series with new data being continuously generated, a forecasting model built on the old data should be updated when the new data arrive. Furthermore, retraining an FCM from scratch entails increasing computing overhead that will become a serious obstacle in many practical scenarios. To overcome the above-mentioned shortcomings, this study offers an original design setting in which the FCM is updated by knowledge-guidance learning mechanism for the first time. Compared with the existing classical forecasting models, the proposed model shows higher accuracy and efficiency. Its increased performance is demonstrated through a series of reported experimental studies.

Deterministic learning of hybrid Fuzzy Cognitive Maps and network reduction approaches.

Hybrid artificial intelligence deals with the construction of intelligent systems by relying on both human knowledge and historical data records. In this paper, we approach this problem from a neural perspective, particularly when modeling and simulating dynamic systems. Firstly, we propose a Fuzzy Cognitive Map architecture in which experts are requested to define the interaction among the input neurons. As a second contribution, we introduce a fast and deterministic learning rule to compute the weights among input and output neurons. This parameterless learning method is based on the Moore-Penrose inverse and it can be performed in a single step. In addition, we discuss a model to determine the relevance of weights, which allows us to better understand the system. Last but not least, we introduce two calibration methods to adjust the model after the removal of potentially superfluous weights.