A comprehensive economic assessment of the health effects of tobacco use and implications for tobacco control in Bangladesh.

BACKGROUND: Despite modest progress in reducing tobacco use, tobacco remains one of the major risk factors for non-communicable diseases in Bangladesh. METHODS: Using disease-specific, prevalence-based, cost-of-illness approach, this research estimated the economic costs of tobacco use and exposure to secondhand smoke based on data collected from a nationally representative survey of 10 119 households in 2018. RESULTS: The study estimated that 1.5 million adults were suffering from tobacco-attributable diseases and 61 000 children were suffering from diseases due to exposure to secondhand smoke in Bangladesh in 2018. Tobacco use caused 125 718 deaths in that year, accounting for 13.5% of all-cause deaths. The total economic cost was 305.6 billion Bangladeshi taka (BDT) (equivalent to 1.4% of gross domestic product or US$3.61 billion), including direct costs (private and public health expenditures) of BDT83.9 billion and indirect costs (productivity loss due to morbidity and premature mortality) of BDT221.7 billion. The total economic cost of tobacco more than doubled since 2004. CONCLUSION: Tobacco use imposes a significant and increasing disease and financial burden on society. The enormous tobacco-attributable healthcare costs and productivity loss underscore the need to strengthen the implementation of tobacco control policies to curb the epidemic.

A decade of cigarette taxation in Bangladesh: lessons learnt for tobacco control.

Bangladesh has achieved a high share of tax in the price of cigarettes (greater than the 75% benchmark), but has not achieved the expected health benefits from reduction in cigarette consumption. In this paper we explore why cigarette taxation has not succeeded in reducing cigarette smoking in Bangladesh. Using government records over 2006-2017, we link trends in tax-paid cigarette sales to cigarette excise tax structure and changes in cigarette taxes and prices. We analysed data on smoking prevalence from Bangladesh Global Adult Tobacco Surveys to study consumption of different tobacco products in 2009 and 2017. Drawing on annual reports from tobacco manufacturers and other literature, we examine demand- and supply-side factors in the cigarette market. In addition to a growing affordability of cigarettes, three factors appear to have undermined the effectiveness of tax and price increases in reducing cigarette consumption in Bangladesh. First, the multitiered excise tax structure widened the price differential between brands and incentivized downward substitution by smokers from higher-price to lower-price cigarettes. Second, income growth and shifting preferences of smokers for better quality products encouraged upward substitution from hand-rolled local cigarettes (bidi) to machine-made low-price cigarettes. Third, the tobacco industry's market expansion and differential pricing strategy changed the relative price to keep low-price cigarettes inexpensive. A high tax share alone may prove inadequate as a barometer of effective tobacco taxation in lower-middle income countries, particularly where the tobacco tax structure is complex, tobacco products prices are relatively low, and the affordability of tobacco products is increasing.

Le Bangladesh applique un fort pourcentage de taxe sur les prix du tabac (au-delà du référent habituel de 75% du prix de détail) sans pour autant avoir atteint le bénéfice sanitaire attendu de réduction du tabagisme. Cet article se penche sur les raisons pour lesquelles la taxation du tabac n'est pas parvenue à réduire le tabagisme au Bangladesh. En utilisant les données gouvernementales couvrant la période comprise en 2006 et 2017, nous avons relié les tendances de vente des produits du tabac taxés avec la structure des droits d'accise sur le tabac et avec l'évolution des prix et des taxes sur le tabac. Nous avons analysé les données relatives à la prévalence du tabagisme à partir des enquêtes sur le tabagisme des adultes (GATS) réalisées en 2009 et 2017 au Bangladesh afin d'étudier la consommation des différents produits du tabac. À partir des rapports annuels des fabricants de tabac et d'autres ressources, nous avons examiné l'évolution du marché du tabac, côté demande et côté offre. Outre le fait que les cigarettes sont devenues plus abordables au fil du temps, trois facteurs semblent avoir sapé l'efficacité de l'augmentation des prix et des taxes dans l'objectif de réduction de la consommation de tabac au Bangladesh. Premièrement, la structure multi-niveau des droits d'accise sur le tabac a eu pour effet d'augmenter le différentiel de prix entre les marques, ce qui a poussé les consommateurs à opter pour des cigarettes moins chères. Deuxièmement, l'augmentation des revenus et le changement de préférence des consommateurs en faveur de produits de meilleure qualité ont fait que les consommateurs ont délaissé le tabac à rouler local (« bidi ¼) pour se tourner vers les cigarettes industrielles les moins chères. Troisièmement, du fait de l'expansion de ses marchés et de sa stratégie de différenciation des prix, l'industrie du tabac a fait évoluer les prix relatifs afin que les cigarettes les moins chères restent abordables. Un fort pourcentage de taxation peut s'avérer inapproprié, à lui seul, en tant que baromètre de l'efficacité des mesures de taxation du tabac dans les pays à revenu faible ou intermédiaire, notamment lorsque la structure de taxation du tabac est complexe, que les prix des produits du tabac sont relativement bas et qu'ils deviennent plus abordables au fil du temps.

Bangladesh ha alcanzado una elevada cuota de impuestos en el precio de los cigarrillos (superior al 75 % de referencia), pero no ha logrado los beneficios para la salud esperados de la reducción del consumo de cigarrillos. En este artículo exploramos por qué los impuestos sobre los cigarrillos no han logrado reducir el consumo de cigarrillos en Bangladesh. Utilizando los registros del gobierno entre 2006 y 2017, vinculamos las tendencias de las ventas de cigarrillos pagados con la estructura de los impuestos al consumo de cigarrillos y los cambios en los impuestos y precios de los cigarrillos. Se analizaron los datos sobre la prevalencia del tabaquismo de la Encuesta Mundial del Tabaco en Adultos de Bangladesh para estudiar el consumo de diferentes productos de tabaco en 2009 y 2017. Basándonos en los informes anuales de los fabricantes de tabaco y otras publicaciones, examinamos los factores de la demanda y la oferta en el mercado de cigarrillos. Además de la creciente asequibilidad de los cigarrillos, tres factores parecen haber socavado la eficacia de los aumentos de impuestos y precios en la reducción del consumo de cigarrillos en Bangladesh. En primer lugar, la estructura del impuesto especial de varios niveles amplió la diferencia de precios entre las marcas e incentivó la sustitución a la baja por parte de los fumadores, que pasaron de los cigarrillos de precio más alto a los de precio más bajo. En segundo lugar, el crecimiento de los ingresos y el cambio de las preferencias de los fumadores por productos de mejor calidad fomentaron la sustitución de los cigarrillos locales enrollados a mano (bidi) por cigarrillos de bajo precio hechos a máquina. Tercero, la expansión del mercado de la industria tabacalera y la estrategia de precios diferenciales cambiaron el precio relativo para mantener los cigarrillos de bajo precio baratos. Una elevada cuota de impuestos por sí sola puede resultar inadecuada como barómetro de los impuestos efectivos sobre el tabaco en los países de ingresos medios-bajos, en particular cuando la estructura de los impuestos sobre el tabaco es compleja, los precios de los productos del tabaco son relativamente bajos y la asequibilidad de los productos del tabaco está aumentando.

The Impact of Income and Taxation in a Price-Tiered Cigarette Market: findings from the ITC Bangladesh Surveys.

BACKGROUND: Taxing tobacco is among the most effective measures of tobacco control. However, in a tiered market structure where multiple tiers of taxes coexist, the anticipated impact of tobacco taxes on consumption is complex. This paper investigates changing smoking behaviour in lieu of changing prices and changing income. The objective of the paper is to evaluate the effectiveness of change in prices (through taxes) and change in income in a price-tiered cigarette market. METHOD: A panel dataset from the International Tobacco Control Bangladesh surveys is used for analysis. For preliminary analysis transition matrices are developed. Next, probit and multinomial logit regression models are used to identify the effects of changes in prices and changes in income along with other control variables. FINDINGS: Transition matrices show significant movement of smokers across price tiers from one wave to another. Regression results show that higher income raises the probability to up-trade and decreases the probability to down-trade. Results also show that higher prices raises the probability to up-trade and reduces the probability to down-trade. Although not significant, there exists a negative relationship between the probability to down-trade and the probability to intend to quit. CONCLUSION: It is evident from the results that a price-tiered market provides smokers more opportunities to accommodate their smoking behaviour when faced with price and income change. Therefore, tiered structure of the tax system should be replaced with uniform taxes. Moreover, overall cigarette taxes need to be raised to an extent so that it off-sets any positive effects of income growth.

Perceived effectiveness of text and pictorial health warnings for smokeless tobacco packages in Navi Mumbai, India, and Dhaka, Bangladesh: findings from an experimental study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the perceived effectiveness of text and pictorial smokeless tobacco health warnings in India and Bangladesh, including different types of message content. METHODS: An experimental study was conducted in Navi Mumbai, India (n=1002), and Dhaka, Bangladesh (n=1081). Face-to-face interviews were conducted on tablets with adult (≥19 years) smokeless tobacco users and youth (16-18 years) users and non-users. Respondents viewed warnings depicting five health effects, within one of the four randomly assigned warning label conditions (or message themes): (1) text-only, (2) symbolic pictorial, (3) graphic pictorial or (4) personal testimonial pictorial messages. RESULTS: Text-only warnings were perceived as less effective than all of the pictorial styles (p<0.001 for all). Graphic warnings were given higher effectiveness ratings than symbolic or testimonial warnings (p<0.001). No differences were observed in levels of agreement with negative attitudes and beliefs across message themes, after respondents had viewed warnings. CONCLUSIONS: Pictorial warnings are more effective than text-only messages. Pictorial warnings depicting graphic health effects may have the greatest impact, consistent with research from high-income countries on cigarette warnings.

The Economic Cost of Tobacco Farming in Bangladesh.

The extent of tobacco cultivation remains substantially high in Bangladesh, which is the 12th largest tobacco producer in the world. Using data from a household survey of current, former, and never tobacco farmers, based on a multi-stage stratified sampling design with a mix of purposive and random sampling of households, this study estimated the financial and economic profitability per acre of land used for tobacco cultivation. The environmental effects of tobacco cultivation on land and water resources were estimated using laboratory tests of sample water and soil collected from tobacco-cultivating and non-tobacco cultivating areas. The study finds that tobacco cultivation turns into a losing concern when the opportunity costs of unpaid family labour and other owned resources, and the health effects of tobacco cultivation are included. Tobacco cultivation poses a significantly high environmental cost that causes a net loss to society. Nevertheless, the availability of unpaid family labour and the options of advanced credit as well as a buy back guarantee from the tobacco companies attract farmers to engage in and continue tobacco cultivation. Therefore, supply side interventions to curb the tobacco epidemic in Bangladesh need to address major drivers of tobacco cultivation to correct the wrong incentives and motivate tobacco farmers to switch to alternative livelihood options.

Patterns of Use and Perceptions of Harm of Smokeless Tobacco in Navi Mumbai, India and Dhaka, Bangladesh.

BACKGROUND: Globally, smokeless tobacco use is disproportionately concentrated in low-income and middle-income countries like India and Bangladesh. OBJECTIVES: The current study examined comparative patterns of use and perceptions of harm for different smokeless tobacco products among adults and youth in Navi Mumbai, India, and Dhaka, Bangladesh. METHODS: Face-to-face interviews were conducted on tablets with adult (19 years and older) smokeless tobacco users and youth (16-18 years) users and non-users in Navi Mumbai (n = 1002), and Dhaka (n = 1081). RESULTS: A majority (88.9%) of smokeless tobacco users reported daily use. Approximately one-fifth (20.4%) of the sample were mixed-users (used both smoked and smokeless tobacco), of which about half (54.4%) reported that they primarily used smokeless over smoked forms like cigarettes or bidis. The proportion of users planning to quit was higher in India than in Bangladesh (75.7% vs. 49.8%, p < 0.001). Gutkha was the most commonly used smokeless product in India, and pan masala in Bangladesh. Among users in Bangladesh, the most commonly reported reason for using their usual product was the belief that it was "less harmful" than other types. Perceptions of harm also differed with respect to a respondent's usual product. Bangladeshi respondents reported more negative attitudes toward smokeless tobacco compared to Indian respondents. CONCLUSIONS: The findings highlight the high daily use of smokeless tobacco, and the high prevalence of false beliefs about its harms. This set of findings reinforces the need to implement effective tobacco control strategies in low and middle-income countries like India and Bangladesh.