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2.
Preprint em Inglês | PREPRINT-MEDRXIV | ID: ppmedrxiv-21263419

RESUMO

BackgroundPolicymakers need robust data to respond to the COVID-19 pandemic. We describe demographic features, treatments and clinical outcomes in the International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) COVID-19 cohort, the worlds largest international, standardised cohort of hospitalised patients. MethodsThe dataset analysed includes COVID-19 patients hospitalised between January 2020 and May 2021. We investigated how symptoms on admission, comorbidities, risk factors, and treatments varied by age, sex, and other characteristics. We used Cox proportional hazards models to investigate associations between demographics, symptoms, comorbidities, and other factors with risk of death, admission to intensive care unit (ICU), and invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). Findings439,922 patients with laboratory-confirmed (91.7%) or clinically-diagnosed (8.3%) SARS-CoV-2 infection from 49 countries were enrolled. Age (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] per 10 years 1.49 [95% CI 1.49-1.50]) and male sex (1.26 [1.24-1.28]) were associated with a higher risk of death. Rates of admission to ICU and use of IMV increased with age up to age 60, then dropped. Symptoms, comorbidities, and treatments varied by age and had varied associations with clinical outcomes. Tuberculosis was associated with an 86% higher risk of death, and HIV with an 87% higher risk of death. Case fatality ratio varied by country partly due to differences in the clinical characteristics of recruited patients. InterpretationThe size of our international database and the standardized data collection method makes this study a reliable and comprehensive international description of COVID-19 clinical features. This is a viable model to be applied to future epidemics. FundingUK Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and Wellcome. See acknowledgements section for funders of sites that contributed data. Research in contextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSTo identify large, international analyses of hospitalised COVID-19 patients that used standardised data collection, we conducted a systematic review of the literature from 1 Jan 2020 to 28 Apr 2020. We identified 78 studies, with data from 77,443 people (1) predominantly from China. We could not find any studies including data from low and middle-income countries. We repeated our search on 18 Aug 2021 but could not identify any further studies that met our inclusion criteria. Added value of this studyOur study uses standardised clinical data collection to collect data from a vast number of patients across the world, including patients from low-, middle-, and high-income countries. The size of our database gives us great confidence in the accuracy of our descriptions of the global impact of COVID-19. We can confirm findings reported by smaller, country-specific studies and compare clinical data between countries. We have demonstrated that it is possible to collect large volumes of standardised clinical data during a pandemic of a novel acute respiratory infection. The results provide a valuable resource for present policymakers and future global health researchers. Implications of all the available evidencePresenting symptoms of SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients requiring hospitalisation are now well-described globally, with the most common being fever, cough, and shortness of breath. Other symptoms also commonly occur, including altered consciousness in older adults and gastrointestinal symptoms in younger patients, and age can influence the likelihood of a patient having symptoms that match one or more case definitions. There are geographic and temporal variations in the case fatality rate (CFR), but overall, CFR was 20.6% in this large international cohort of hospitalised patients with a median age of 60 years (IQR: 45 to 74 years).

3.
Preprint em Inglês | PREPRINT-MEDRXIV | ID: ppmedrxiv-21258150

RESUMO

BackgroundThere is potentially considerable variation in the nature and duration of the care provided to hospitalised patients during an ongoing infectious disease epidemic or pandemic. Improvements in care and clinician confidence may shorten the time spent as an inpatient, or the need for admission to an intensive care unit (ICU) or high density unit (HDU), while novel treatment modalities may reduce the time course of illness. On the other hand, limited resources at times of high demand may lead to rationing of resources, with less beneficial consequences. Despite little evidence on how the values of such variables change over the course of a crisis (such as the current COVID-19 pandemic), they may nevertheless be used as proxies for disease severity, outcome measures for clinical trials, and to inform planning and logistics. We hypothesise that variation of this kind has been present over the first year of the pandemic. Methods and FindingsWe investigate such time trends in an extremely large international cohort of 142,540 patients with symptom onset of, or hospital admission for, COVID-19 during 2020. The variables investigated are time from symptom onset to hospital admission, probability of ICU/HDU admission, time from hospital admission to ICU/HDU admission, case fatality ratio (CFR) and total length of hospital stay. Time from hospital symptom onset to hospital admission showed a rapid decline during the first months of the pandemic followed by peaks during August/September and December. ICU/HDU admission was more frequent from June to August, while there were only modest time trends in time from hospital admission to ICU/HDU. The CFR was lowest from June to August, a trend mostly driven by patients with no ICU/HDU admission. Raw numbers for overall hospital stay showed little overall variation over the time period, but further examination reveals a clear decline in time to discharge for ICU/HDU survivors. The main limitations are that these are predominantly severe COVID-19 cases, and that there are temporal, spatial and demographic biases present in an observational study of this kind. ConclusionsOur results establish that variables of these kinds have limitations when used as outcome measures in a rapidly-evolving situation.

4.
Preprint em Inglês | PREPRINT-MEDRXIV | ID: ppmedrxiv-20219519

RESUMO

BackgroundThe ISARIC prospective multinational observational study is the largest cohort of hospitalized patients with COVID-19. We present relationships of age, sex, and nationality to presenting symptoms. MethodsInternational, prospective observational study of 60109 hospitalized symptomatic patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 recruited from 43 countries between 30 January and 3 August 2020. Logistic regression was performed to evaluate relationships of age and sex to published COVID-19 case definitions and the most commonly reported symptoms. Results Typical symptoms of fever (69%), cough (68%) and shortness of breath (66%) were the most commonly reported. 92% of patients experienced at least one of these. Prevalence of typical symptoms was greatest in 30-to 60-year-olds (respectively 80%, 79%, 69%; at least one 95%). They were reported less frequently in children ([≤]18 years: 69%, 48%, 23%; 85%), older adults ([≥]70 years: 61%, 62%, 65%; 90%), and women (66%, 66%, 64%; 90%; vs men 71%, 70%, 67%; 93%). The most common atypical presentation under 60 years of age was nausea and vomiting, and over 60 years was confusion. Regression models showed significant differences in symptoms with sex, age and country. InterpretationAdults over 60 and children admitted to hospital with COVID-19 are less likely to present with typical symptoms. Nausea and vomiting are common atypical presentations under 30 years. Confusion is a frequent atypical presentation of COVID-19 in adults over 60 years. Women are less likely to experience typical symptoms than men. SummaryAdults over 60 and children admitted to hospital with COVID-19 are less likely to have typical symptoms. Nausea and vomiting are common atypical presentations under 30 and confusion over 60. Women are less likely to experience typical symptoms than men.

5.
Preprint em Inglês | PREPRINT-MEDRXIV | ID: ppmedrxiv-22282006

RESUMO

BackgroundUsing a large dataset, we evaluated prevalence and severity of alterations in liver enzymes in COVID-19 and association with patient-centred outcomes. MethodsWe included hospitalized patients with confirmed or suspected SARS-CoV-2 infection from the International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) database. Key exposure was baseline liver enzymes (AST, ALT, bilirubin). Patients were assigned Liver Injury Classification score based on 3 components of enzymes at admission: Normal; Stage I) Liver injury: any component between 1-3x upper limit of normal (ULN); Stage II) Severe liver injury: any component >= 3x ULN. Outcomes were hospital mortality, utilization of selected resources, complications, and durations of hospital and ICU stay. Analyses used logistic regression with associations expressed as adjusted odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). ResultsOf 17,531 included patients, 46.2% (8099) and 8.2% (1430) of patients had stage 1 and 2 liver injury respectively. Compared to normal, stages 1 and 2 were associated with higher odds of mortality (OR 1.53 [1.37-1.71]; OR 2.50 [2.10-2.96]), ICU admission (OR 1.63 [1.48-1.79]; OR 1.90 [1.62-2.23]) and invasive mechanical ventilation (OR 1.43 [1.27-1.70]; OR 1.95 (1.55-2.45).Stages 1 and 2 were also associated with higher odds of developing sepsis (OR 1.38 [1.27-1.50]; OR 1.46 [1.25-1.70]), acute kidney injury (OR 1.13 [1.00-1.27]; OR 1.59 [1.32-1.91]), and acute respiratory distress syndrome (OR 1.38 [1.22-1.55]; OR 1.80 [1.49-2.17]). ConclusionsLiver enzyme abnormalities are common among COVID-19 patients and associated with worse outcomes. Study HighlightsO_ST_ABSWhat is known?C_ST_ABSO_LIAbnormalities in liver enzymes in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 have been described in small, predominantly single-centre studies. C_LIO_LIImpact of such derangements on clinical outcomes are unclear. C_LI What is new here?O_LIIn this large international study, we found that close to 50% of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 have abnormal liver enzymes at admission. C_LIO_LISuch derangements in liver enzymes are associated with worse clinical outcomes (survival, Intensive Care Unit admission and need for invasive mechanical ventilation). C_LIO_LIThey are also associated with the development of complications such as Acute Kidney Injury, Sepsis and Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome. C_LI

6.
Preprint em Inglês | PREPRINT-MEDRXIV | ID: ppmedrxiv-20155218

RESUMO

ISARIC (International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infections Consortium) partnerships and outbreak preparedness initiatives enabled the rapid launch of standardised clinical data collection on COVID-19 in Jan 2020. Extensive global participation has resulted in a large, standardised collection of comprehensive clinical data from hundreds of sites across dozens of countries. Data are analysed regularly and reported publicly to inform patient care and public health response. This report, our 17th report, is a part of a series published over the past 2 years. Data have been entered for 800,459 individuals from 1701 partner institutions and networks across 60 countries. The comprehensive analyses detailed in this report includes hospitalised individuals of all ages for whom data collection occurred between 30 January 2020 and up to and including 5 January 2022, AND who have laboratory-confirmed SARS-COV-2 infection or clinically diagnosed COVID-19. For the 699,014 cases who meet eligibility criteria for this report, selected findings include: O_LImedian age of 58 years, with an approximately equal (50/50) male:female sex distribution C_LIO_LI29% of the cohort are at least 70 years of age, whereas 4% are 0-19 years of age C_LIO_LIthe most common symptom combination in this hospitalised cohort is shortness of breath, cough, and history of fever, which has remained constant over time C_LIO_LIthe five most common symptoms at admission were shortness of breath, cough, history of fever, fatigue/malaise, and altered consciousness/confusion, which is unchanged from the previous reports C_LIO_LIage-associated differences in symptoms are evident, including the frequency of altered consciousness increasing with age, and fever, respiratory and constitutional symptoms being present mostly in those 40 years and above C_LIO_LI16% of patients with relevant data available were admitted at some point during their illness into an intensive care unit (ICU), which is slightly lower than previously reported (19%) C_LIO_LIantibiotic agents were used in 35% of patients for whom relevant data are available (669,630), a significant reduction from our previous reports (80%) which reflects a shifting proportion of data contributed by different institutions; in ICU/HDU admitted patients with data available (50,560), 91% received antibiotics C_LIO_LIuse of corticosteroids was reported in 24% of all patients for whom data were available (677,012); in ICU/HDU admitted patients with data available (50,646), 69% received corticosteroids C_LIO_LIoutcomes are known for 632,518 patients and the overall estimated case fatality ratio (CFR) is 23.9% (95%CI 23.8-24.1), rising to 37.1% (95%CI 36.8-37.4) for patients who were admitted to ICU/HDU, demonstrating worse outcomes in those with the most severe disease C_LI To access previous versions of ISARIC COVID-19 Clinical Data Report please use the link below: https://isaric.org/research/covid-19-clinical-research-resources/evidence-reports/

7.
Preprint em Inglês | PREPRINT-MEDRXIV | ID: ppmedrxiv-22276764

RESUMO

BackgroundWhilst timely clinical characterisation of infections caused by novel SARS-CoV-2 variants is necessary for evidence-based policy response, individual-level data on infecting variants are typically only available for a minority of patients and settings. MethodsHere, we propose an innovative approach to study changes in COVID-19 hospital presentation and outcomes after the Omicron variant emergence using publicly available population-level data on variant relative frequency to infer SARS-CoV-2 variants likely responsible for clinical cases. We apply this method to data collected by a large international clinical consortium before and after the emergence of the Omicron variant in different countries. ResultsOur analysis, that includes more than 100,000 patients from 28 countries, suggests that in many settings patients hospitalised with Omicron variant infection less often presented with commonly reported symptoms compared to patients infected with pre-Omicron variants. Patients with COVID-19 admitted to hospital after Omicron variant emergence had lower mortality compared to patients admitted during the period when Omicron variant was responsible for only a minority of infections (odds ratio in a mixed-effects logistic regression adjusted for likely confounders, 0.67 [95% confidence interval 0.61 - 0.75]). Qualitatively similar findings were observed in sensitivity analyses with different assumptions on population-level Omicron variant relative frequencies, and in analyses using available individual-level data on infecting variant for a subset of the study population. ConclusionsAlthough clinical studies with matching viral genomic information should remain a priority, our approach combining publicly available data on variant frequency and a multi-country clinical characterisation dataset with more than 100,000 records allowed analysis of data from a wide range of settings and novel insights on real-world heterogeneity of COVID-19 presentation and clinical outcome.

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