Use of Immune Profiling Panel to assess the immune response of septic patients for prediction of worsening as a composite endpoint.

Sepsis induces intense, dynamic and heterogeneous host response modulations. Despite improvement of patient management, the risk of mortality and healthcare-associated infections remains high. Treatments to counterbalance immune response are under evaluation, but effective biomarkers are still lacking to perform patient stratification. The design of the present study was defined to alleviate the limitations of existing literature: we selected patients who survived the initial hyperinflammatory response and are still hospitalized at day 5-7 after ICU admission. Using the Immune Profiling Panel (IPP), a fully automated RT-qPCR multiplex prototype, we optimized a machine learning model combining the IPP gene expression levels for the identification of patients at high risk of worsening, a composite endpoint defined as death or secondary infection, within one week after sampling. This was done on 332 sepsis patients selected from two retrospective studies. The IPP model identified a high-risk group comprising 30% of patients, with a significant increased proportion of worsening events at day 28 compared to the low-risk group (49% vs. 28%, respectively). These preliminary results underline the potential clinical application of IPP for sepsis patient stratification in a personalized medicine perspective, that will be confirmed in a larger prospective multicenter study.

Mortality Prediction in Sepsis With an Immune-Related Transcriptomics Signature: A Multi-Cohort Analysis.

Background: Novel biomarkers are needed to progress toward individualized patient care in sepsis. The immune profiling panel (IPP) prototype has been designed as a fully-automated multiplex tool measuring expression levels of 26 genes in sepsis patients to explore immune functions, determine sepsis endotypes and guide personalized clinical management. The performance of the IPP gene set to predict 30-day mortality has not been extensively characterized in heterogeneous cohorts of sepsis patients. Methods: Publicly available microarray data of sepsis patients with widely variable demographics, clinical characteristics and ethnical background were co-normalized, and the performance of the IPP gene set to predict 30-day mortality was assessed using a combination of machine learning algorithms. Results: We collected data from 1,801 arrays sampled on sepsis patients and 598 sampled on controls in 17 studies. When gene expression was assayed at day 1 following admission (1,437 arrays sampled on sepsis patients, of whom 1,161 were alive and 276 (19.2%) were dead at day 30), the IPP gene set showed good performance to predict 30-day mortality, with an area under the receiving operating characteristics curve (AUROC) of 0.710 (CI 0.652-0.768). Importantly, there was no statistically significant improvement in predictive performance when training the same models with all genes common to the 17 microarray studies (n = 7,122 genes), with an AUROC = 0.755 (CI 0.697-0.813, p = 0.286). In patients with gene expression data sampled at day 3 following admission or later, the IPP gene set had higher performance, with an AUROC = 0.804 (CI 0.643-0.964), while the total gene pool had an AUROC = 0.787 (CI 0.610-0.965, p = 0.811). Conclusion: Using pooled publicly-available gene expression data from multiple cohorts, we showed that the IPP gene set, an immune-related transcriptomics signature conveys relevant information to predict 30-day mortality when sampled at day 1 following admission. Our data also suggests that higher predictive performance could be obtained when assaying gene expression at later time points during the course of sepsis. Prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings using the IPP gene set on its dedicated measurement platform.

A 9-mRNA signature measured from whole blood by a prototype PCR panel predicts 28-day mortality upon admission of critically ill COVID-19 patients.

Immune responses affiliated with COVID-19 severity have been characterized and associated with deleterious outcomes. These approaches were mainly based on research tools not usable in routine clinical practice at the bedside. We observed that a multiplex transcriptomic panel prototype termed Immune Profiling Panel (IPP) could capture the dysregulation of immune responses of ICU COVID-19 patients at admission. Nine transcripts were associated with mortality in univariate analysis and this 9-mRNA signature remained significantly associated with mortality in a multivariate analysis that included age, SOFA and Charlson scores. Using a machine learning model with these 9 mRNA, we could predict the 28-day survival status with an Area Under the Receiver Operating Curve (AUROC) of 0.764. Interestingly, adding patients' age to the model resulted in increased performance to predict the 28-day mortality (AUROC reaching 0.839). This prototype IPP demonstrated that such a tool, upon clinical/analytical validation and clearance by regulatory agencies could be used in clinical routine settings to quickly identify patients with higher risk of death requiring thus early aggressive intensive care.