Multimorbidity associated with urinary incontinence among older women and men with complex needs in Aotearoa | New Zealand.

AIMS: To investigate the association between multimorbidity and urinary incontinence (UI) among community living older adults with complex needs in sex-specific crude and adjusted analyses. METHODS: Since 2012 in Aotearoa | New Zealand (NZ) all community-living older people with complex needs who require publicly funded assistance undergo a comprehensive standardized geriatric needs assessment using the interRAI-HC instrument. Consenting adults aged ≥65 years who undertook this assessment between July 5, 2012 and December 31, 2020 were investigated. Multimorbidity was defined as having ≥2 chronic conditions. Recent bladder incontinence episodes were elicited and UI dichotomized into continent and incontinent groups. RESULTS: The study included 140 401 participants with an average age of 82.0 years (range: 65-107 years), of whom 85 746 (61.1%) were female. Overall, 36 185 (42.2%) females and 17 988 (32.9%) males reported UI. Participants had a median of 3 (range: 0-12) chronic conditions, with 109 135 (77.9%) classified as having multimorbidity. In adjusted modified Poisson regression analyses, the prevalence ratio for UI was 1.21 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.19, 1.24) times higher in females and 1.18 (95% CI: 1.14, 1.22) times higher for males with multimorbidity compared to those without multimorbidity. CONCLUSIONS: Although significant, the estimated sex-specific effect sizes were modest for the association between multimorbidity and UI in this population. However, despite using the comprehensive interRAI-HC instrument, several potentially core chronic conditions were not adequately captured. Although increasingly recognized as an important and growing public health issue, capturing all relevant chronic conditions challenges many epidemiological investigations into multimorbidity.

The association between anticholinergic burden and mobility: a systematic review and meta-analyses.

BACKGROUND: As people age, they accumulate several health conditions, requiring the use of multiple medications (polypharmacy) to treat them. One of the challenges with polypharmacy is the associated increase in anticholinergic exposure to older adults. In addition, several studies suggest an association between anticholinergic burden and declining physical function in older adults. OBJECTIVE/PURPOSE: This systematic review aimed to synthesise data from published studies regarding the association between anticholinergic burden and mobility. The studies were critically appraised for the strength of their evidence. METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted across five electronic databases, EMBASE, CINAHL, PSYCHINFO, Cochrane CENTRAL and MEDLINE, from inception to December 2021, to identify studies on the association of anticholinergic burden with mobility. The search was performed following a strategy that converted concepts in the PECO elements into search terms, focusing on terms most likely to be found in the title and abstracts of the studies. For observational studies, the risk of bias was assessed using the Newcastle Ottawa Scale, and the Cochrane risk of bias tool was used for randomised trials. The GRADE criteria was used to rate confidence in evidence and conclusions. For the meta-analyses, we explored the heterogeneity using the Q test and I2 test and the publication bias using the funnel plot and Egger's regression test. The meta-analyses were performed using Jeffreys's Amazing Statistics Program (JASP). RESULTS: Sixteen studies satisfied the inclusion criteria from an initial 496 studies. Fifteen studies identified a significant negative association of anticholinergic burden with mobility measures. One study did not find an association between anticholinergic intervention and mobility measures. Five studies included in the meta-analyses showed that anticholinergic burden significantly decreased walking speed (0.079 m/s ± 0.035 MD ± SE,95% CI: 0.010 to 0.149, p = 0.026), whilst a meta-analysis of four studies showed that anticholinergic burden significantly decreased physical function as measured by three variations of the Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL) instrument 0.27 ± 0.12 (SMD ± SE,95% CI: 0.03 to 0.52), p = 0.027. The results of both meta-analyses had an I2 statistic of 99% for study heterogeneity. Egger's test did not reveal publication bias. CONCLUSION: There is consensus in published literature suggesting a clear association between anticholinergic burden and mobility. Consideration of cognitive anticholinergic effects may be important in interpreting results regarding the association of anticholinergic burden and mobility as anticholinergic drugs may affect mobility through cognitive effects.

Chronic health conditions and mortality among older adults with complex care needs in Aotearoa New Zealand.

BACKGROUND: Older people have more comorbidities than younger groups and multimorbidity will increase. Often chronic conditions affect quality of life, functional ability and social participation. Our study aim was to quantify the prevalence of chronic conditions over a three-year period and their association with mortality after accounting for demographics. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using routinely collected health data including community-dwelling older adults in New Zealand who had an interRAI Home Care assessment between 1 January 2017 and 31 December 2017. Descriptive statistics and differences between variables of interest among ethnic groups were reported. Cumulative density plots of mortality were developed. Logistic regression models adjusted for age and sex to estimate mortality were created independently for each combination of ethnicity and disease diagnosis. RESULTS: The study cohort consisted of 31,704 people with a mean (SD) age of 82.3 years (8.0), and of whom 18,997 (59.9%) were female. Participants were followed for a median 1.1 (range 0 to 3) years. By the end of the follow-up period 15,678 (49.5%) people had died. Nearly 62% of Maori and Pacific older adults and 57% of other ethnicities had cognitive impairment. Diabetes the next most prevalent amongst Maori and Pacific peoples, and coronary heart disease amongst Non-Maori/Non-Pacific individuals. Of the 5,184 (16.3%) who had congestive heart failure (CHF), 3,450 (66.6%) died. This was the highest mortality rate of any of the diseases. There was a decrease in mortality rate with age for both sexes and all ethnicities for those with cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Cognitive impairment was the most common condition in community dwelling older adults who had an interRAI assessment. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) has the highest mortality risk for all ethnic groups, and in non-Maori/non-Pacific group of advanced age, risk of mortality with cognitive impairment is as high as CVD risk. We observed an inverse for cancer mortality risk with age. Important differences between ethnic groups are reported.

Risk factors for injuries in New Zealand older adults with complex needs: a national population retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Falls and falls-related injuries are common among older adults. Injuries in older adults lead to poor outcomes and lower quality of life. The objective of our study was to identify factors associated with fall-related injuries among home care clients in New Zealand. METHODS: The study cohort consisted of 75,484 community-dwelling people aged 65 years or older who underwent an interRAI home care assessment between June 2012 and June 2018 in New Zealand. The injuries included for analysis were fracture of the distal radius, hip fracture, pelvic fracture, proximal humerus fracture, subarachnoid haemorrhage, traumatic subdural haematoma, and vertebral fracture. Unadjusted and adjusted competing risk regression models were used to identify factors associated with fall-related injuries. RESULTS: A total of 7414 (9.8%) people sustained a falls-related injury over the 6-year period, and most injuries sustained were hip fractures (4735 63.9%). The rate of injurious falls was 47 per 1000 person-years. The factors associated with injury were female sex, older age, living alone, Parkinson's disease, stroke/CVA, falls, unsteady gait, tobacco use, and being underweight. Cancer, dyspnoea, high BMI, and a decrease in the amount of food or fluid usually consumed, were associated with a reduced risk of sustaining an injury. After censoring hip fractures the risks associated with other types of injury were sex, age, previous falls, dyspnoea, tobacco use, and BMI. CONCLUSIONS: While it is important to reduce the risk of falls, it is especially important to reduce the risk of falls-related injuries. Knowledge of risk factors associated with these types of injuries can help to develop focused intervention programmes and development of a predictive model to identify those who would benefit from intervention programmes.

Urinary and fecal incontinence are independently associated with falls risk among older women and men with complex needs: A national population study.

AIMS: To determine the relationships between urinary incontinence (UI), fecal incontinence (FI), and falls risk among community-dwelling older women and men with complex needs, after controlling for confounders. METHODS: All community care recipients in New Zealand undergo standardized needs assessments, using the Home Care International Residential Assessment Instrument (interRAI-HC), which elicits information over multiple domains, including UI and FI frequency and falls. Consenting women and men aged greater than or equal to 65 years with at least one interRAI-HC assessment undertaken between 1 July 2012 and 1 June 2018 were investigated using multilevel mixed effects ordinal regression models, stratified by sex. RESULTS: Overall, 57 781 (61.8%) women and 35 681 (38.2%) men were eligible, contributing 138 302 interRAI-HC assessments. At first assessment, the average age was 82.0 years (range: 65-109 years); high falls risk was common, found among 8.8% of women and 12.4% of men; and 43.7% of women and 33.7% of men reported some incontinence. For women, the adjusted odds of increasing falls risk was 1.24 (95% CI: 1.18, 1.30) for those with occasional UI, 1.36 (95% CI: 1.29, 1.43) for those with frequent UI, and 1.19 (95% CI: 1.13, 1.26) for those with any FI compared with their continent counterparts. Among men, the adjusted odds were 1.49 (95% CI: 1.41, 1.58) for any UI and 1.18 (95% CI: 1.10, 1.27) for any FI. CONCLUSION: UI and FI are common, have separate associations with falls risk among women and men, and would benefit from routine screening in primary health care for older adults.

Examining the Risks of Major Bleeding Events in Older People Using Antithrombotics.

BACKGROUND: Real-world evidence for the safety of using antithrombotics in older people with multimorbidity is limited. We investigated the risks of gastrointestinal bleeding (GI-bleeding) and intracranial (IC-bleeding) associated with antithrombotics either as monotherapy, dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) or as triple therapy (TT) [DAPT plus anticoagulant] in older individuals aged 65 years and above. METHODS: We identified all individuals, 65 years and above, who had a first-time event of either IC- or GI-bleeding event from the hospital discharge data. We employed a case-crossover design and conditional logistic regression analyses to estimate the adjusted relative risks (ARR) of bleeding. RESULTS: We found 66,500 individuals with at least one event of IC- or GI-bleeding between 01/01/2005 and 31/12/2014. DAPT use was associated with an increased risk relative to non-use of any antithrombotics in IC-bleeding (ARR = 3.13, 95% CI = [2.64, 3.72]) and GI-bleeding (ARR = 1.34, 95% CI = [1.14, 1.57]). The increased bleeding risk relative to non-use of any antithrombotics was highest with TT use (IC-bleeding, ARR = 17.28, 95% CI = [6.69, 44.61]; GI-bleeding, ARR = 4.85, 95% CI = [1.51, 15.57]). CONCLUSIONS: Using population-level data, we were able to obtain estimates on the bleeding risks associated with antithrombotic agents in older people often excluded from clinical trials because of either age or comorbidities.

Determinants of prescribing potentially inappropriate medications in a nationwide cohort of community dwellers with dementia receiving a comprehensive geriatric assessment.

OBJECTIVE: To identify the prevalence and predictors of prescribing potentially inappropriate medications (PIMs) in a nationwide cohort of community dwellers with dementia requiring complex care needs. METHODS: A cross-matched data of the International Resident Assessment Instrument-Home Care (9.1) (interRAI-HC) and prescribing data obtained from the Pharmaceutical Claims Data Mart (Pharms) extract files for older adults (≥65 y) requiring complex care needs were utilized for this study. The 2015 Beers criteria were applied to identify the prevalence of PIMs in older adults with dementia. Sociodemographic and clinical predictors of PIMs were analysed using a logistic regression model. RESULTS: The study population consisted of 16 568 individuals who had their first interRAI assessment from 1 January 2015 to 31 December 2015. The estimated prevalence of dementia was 13.2% (2190/16 568). 66.9% (1465/2190) of the older adults diagnosed with dementia were prescribed PIMs, of which anticholinergic medications constituted 59.6% (873/1465). Males and individuals who were prescribed a greater number of medications were more likely to be prescribed PIMs. Individuals over 85 years of age, Maori ethnic group of individuals, older adults who were being supervised with respect to their activities of daily living, and individuals who reported good or excellent self-reported health had a lesser likelihood of being prescribed PIMs. CONCLUSION: We found that PIMs are prescribed frequently in older adults with dementia. Comprehensive geriatric assessments can serve as a potential tool to decrease the occurrence of PIMs in vulnerable groups with poor functional and cognitive status.

Risk factors for hip fracture in New Zealand older adults seeking home care services: a national population cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Hip fractures are a common injury in older people. Many studies worldwide have identified various risk factors for hip fracture. However, risk factors for hip fracture have not been studied extensively in New Zealand. The interRAI home care assessment consists of 236 health questions and some of these may be related to hip fracture risk. METHODS: The cohort consisted of 45,046 home care clients aged 65 years and older, in New Zealand. Assessments ranged from September 2012 to October 2015. Hip fracture diagnosis was identified by linking ICD (International Classification of Diseases) codes from hospital admissions data (September 2012 to December 2015) to the interRAI home care data. Unadjusted and adjusted competing risk regressions, using the Fine and Gray method were used to identify risk factors for hip fracture. Mortality was the competing event. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 61% female with a mean age of 82.7 years. A total of 3010 (6.7%) of the cohort sustained a hip fracture after assessment. After adjusting for sociodemographic and potentially confounding variables falls (SHR (Subhazard Ratio) = 1.17, 95% CI (Confidence interval): 1.05-1.31), previous hip fracture (SHR = 4.16, 95% CI: 2.93-5.89), female gender (SHR = 1.38, 95% CI: 1.22-1.55), underweight (SHR = 1.67, 95% CI = 1.39-2.02), tobacco use (SHR = 1.56, 95% CI = 1.25-1.96), Parkinson's disease (SHR = 1.45, 95% CI: 1.14-1.84), and Wandering (SHR = 1.36, 95% CI: 1.07-1.72) were identified as risk factors for hip fracture. Shortness of breath (SHR = 0.80, 95% CI: 0.71-0.90), was identified as being protective against hip fracture risk. Males and females had different significant risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Risk factors for hip fracture similar to international work on risk factors for hip fracture, can be identified using the New Zealand version of the interRAI home care assessment.

Sociodemographic, environmental characteristics and comorbidities of older adults with schizophrenia who access community health service support: A national cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVES: Schizophrenia is a serious and chronic mental illness known to have broad ranging impacts for individuals across the lifespan, yet research on the disease in older adults is sparse. This study provides a profile of the sociodemographic, environmental and diagnostic characteristics of older community residents with schizophrenia using a national database. METHODS: A cross-sectional sample of individuals who underwent community needs assessment using the standardised Home Care International Residential Assessment Instrument between 1 September 2012 and 31 January 2016 was utilised. Sociodemographic, diagnostic, and social and environmental variables were measured for individuals with a diagnosis of schizophrenia and compared to those without a diagnosis of schizophrenia. Statistical investigations employed bivariable and multivariable logistic regression models. RESULTS: A total sample of 71,859 was eligible and 517 (0.7%) had a diagnosis of schizophrenia. The majority of the sociodemographic variables were statistically associated with schizophrenia in the adjusted analysis, except for ethnicity ( p = 0.35). Nearly all the measured social and environmental variables were adversely associated with having a diagnosis of schizophrenia, such as living in squalid conditions (adjusted odds ratio = 2.16; 95% confidence interval = [1.42, 3.28]). Participants with schizophrenia were significantly more likely to be diagnosed with all assessed psychiatric comorbidities ( p < 0.001) and diabetes mellitus ( p = 0.002), whereas coronary heart disease ( p = 0.001) and other physical comorbidities ( p = 0.001) were found at significantly lower rates. CONCLUSION: The profile of schizophrenia found here suggests some subtle differences in the demographic profile and distribution of medical comorbidities in the older population with schizophrenia. The results also suggest that this group continues to experience social disadvantage into old age. This requires the attention of policy-makers to ensure that services are tailored to the high social needs of these individuals.

Falls and hip fractures associated with urinary incontinence among older men and women with complex needs: A national population study.

AIMS: To determine if urinary incontinence (UI) was an independent risk factor for falls and hip fractures in community-dwelling older men and women with complex needs, after controlling for confounders. METHODS: Since 2012, all community care recipients in New Zealand have undergone standardized needs assessments using the Home Care International Residential Assessment Instrument (interRAI-HC). The interRAI-HC elicits information over multiple domains, including UI frequency and falls. Those aged 65+ years with assessment between July 1, 2012 and May 31, 2014 without collection devices or indwelling catheters were matched to hospital, mortality, and pharmaceutical databases, and apposite regression models applied. RESULTS: Overall, 25 257 (37.5%) men and 42 032 (62.5%) women were eligible, with average age of 82.7 years (range: 65, 106 years). Incontinence was reported by 34.3% of men and 42.6% of women, falls within 90 days by 42.7% of men and 39.1% of women; and fractures recorded for 2.5% of men and 3.7% of women. In multivariable analysis, UI was significantly associated with falls (P < 0.001), and differentially related by sex (P < 0.001). Compared to continent participants, the odds of increasing falls risk was 1.69 (95% CI: 1.57, 1.82) for men with frequent incontinence and 1.53 (95% CI: 1.43, 1.64) for men with occasional continence; higher than the 1.39 (95% CI: 1.32, 1.46) and 1.33 (95% CI: 1.26, 1.39), respectively, for women. UI was not associated with hip fractures. CONCLUSION: UI is a common independent risk factor for falls but not hip fractures. Patterns are different between men and women with complex needs.

A frailty index derived from a standardized comprehensive geriatric assessment predicts mortality and aged residential care admission.

BACKGROUND: Frailty in older adults is a condition characterised by a loss or reduction in physiological reserve resulting in increased clinical vulnerability. However, evidence suggests that frailty may be modifiable, and identifying frail older people could help better target specific health care interventions and services. METHODS: This was a regional longitudinal study to develop a frailty index for older adults living in Canterbury New Zealand. Participants included 5586 community dwelling older people that had an interRAI Minimum Data Set (MDS-HC) Home Care assessment completed between 2008 and 2012. The outcome measures were mortality and entry into aged residential care (ARC), after five years. RESULTS: Participants were aged between 65 and 101 (mean age was 82 years). The five-year mortality rate, including those who entered ARC, for this cohort was 67.1% (n = 3747). The relationship between the frailty index and both mortality and entry into ARC was significant (P < 0.001). At five years, 25.1% (n = 98) of people with a baseline frailty of < 0.1 had died compared with 28.2% (n = 22) of those with a frailty index of ≥0.5 (FS 5). Furthermore, 43.7% (n = 171) of people with a frailty index of < 0.1 were still living at home compared to 2.6% (n = 2) of those with a frailty index of ≥0.5. CONCLUSION: A frailty index was created that predicts mortality, and admission into ARC. This index could help healthcare professionals and clinicians identify older people at risk of health decline and mortality, so that appropriate services and interventions may be put in place.

Fecal Incontinence Is Associated With Mortality Among Older Adults With Complex Needs: An Observational Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: Fecal incontinence (FI) is a problem in growing older populations. Validating a suspected association between FI and mortality in community dwelling older adults could lead to improved planning for and management of the increasing complex older population. In a large cohort of New Zealand older adults, we assessed the prevalence of FI, urinary incontinence (UI), combined FI and UI, and their associations with mortality. METHODS: This study consisted of a retrospective analysis of international standardized geriatric assessment-home care (InterRAI-HC) data from community-dwelling adults aged 65 years or older, who met the criteria required for the InterRAI-HC, having complex needs and being under consideration for residential care. The prevalence of UI and FI was analyzed. Data were adjusted for demography and 25 confounding factors. Mortality was the primary outcome measure. RESULTS: The total cohort consisted of 41,932 older adults. Both UI and FI were associated with mortality (P<0.001), and risk of mortality increased with increased frequency of incontinence. In the adjusted model, FI remained significantly related to survival (P<0.001), whereas UI did not (P=0.31). Increased frequency of FI was associated with an increased likelihood of death (hazard ratio 1.28). CONCLUSIONS: This large national study is the first study to prove a statistically significant relationship between FI and mortality in a large, old and functionally impaired community. These findings will help improve the management of increasingly complex older populations.

An epidemiological profile of bipolar disorder among older adults with complex needs: A national cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVES: Research on bipolar disorder (BD) among community-living older adults is scant and often suffers from important methodological limitations. Using a national database, this study presents an epidemiological profile of BD in older community residents within New Zealand. METHODS: Since 2012, all New Zealand community care recipients have undergone a standardized needs assessment using the Home Care International Residential Assessment Instrument (interRAI-HC). The interRAI-HC elicits information using 236 questions over 20 domains, including BD diagnosis. Those who were assessed between 1 September 2012 and 31 January 2016, who were aged ≥65 years, and who provided consent were included. Statistical investigations employed bivariable and multivariable logistic regression models. RESULTS: Overall, 71 859 people were eligible; their average age was 82.7 years (range 65-105 years), with 43 802 (61.0%) being female and 798 (1.1%) having a BD diagnosis. Participants' sex, age and ethnic identification were significantly related to BD (all P<.001). Participants with a higher number of comorbidities had greater odds of BD; for those with at least six comorbidities, the adjusted odds ratio (AOR) was 2.32 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.37-3.92). Almost all considered social and environmental variables were significantly and detrimentally associated with BD, such as living in squalid conditions (2.7% for those with DB vs 1.1% for those without DB; AOR=1.60 [95% CI 1.06-2.42]). CONCLUSIONS: BD among older adults is not uncommon, and numbers will increase as populations age. Increasingly, health services are moving to home-based integrated models of care. Clinicians and decision-makers need to be aware in their planning and service delivery that significant deficits in environment quality and exposure to stressful living circumstances remain for older adults with BD.

Evaluation of the National Minimum Data Set for Neurological Conditions in Older Adults.

AIM: To evaluate the National Minimum Data Set (NMDS) against the International Resident Assessment Instrument-Home Care (interRAI-HC) in diagnosing dementia or Parkinson disease (PD). METHOD: The NMDS data were matched with interRAI-HC for all older individuals in New Zealand. Dementia or PD was compared within 90 and 180 days and 1 to 4 years preceding and subsequent to the date of diagnosis in interRAI-HC. Consistency was measured through sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), weighted kappa (κ), and McNemar test. RESULTS: For a diagnosis within 90 days, dementia showed 60.77% sensitivity, 95.33% specificity, 68.46% PPV, and 93.58% NPV. The PD showed 65.74% sensitivity, 99.52% specificity, 80.43% PPV, and 98.98% NPV. κ for dementia (κ = 0.59), PD (κ = 0.720), and McNemar test was significant ( P < .001) for all lengths of follow-up. CONCLUSION: Substantial agreement between multiple sources of health data can be a valuable resource for decision-making in older people with neurological conditions.

Urinary incontinence, but not fecal incontinence, is a risk factor for admission to aged residential care of older persons in New Zealand.

AIMS: To determine if urinary incontinence (UI) and fecal incontinence (FI) were independent risk factors for aged resident care (ARC) admissions for older people, after controlling for confounders and applying apposite statistical methods. METHODS: Since 2012, all community care recipients in New Zealand have undergone a standardized needs assessment using the Home Care International Residential Assessment Instrument (interRAI-HC). The interRAI-HC instrument elicits information on 236 questions over 20 domains, including UI and FI frequency within the last 3 days. Those aged 65+ years with an interRAI-HC assessment between July 1, 2012 and May 31, 2014 were matched to national mortality and ARC databases, and competing-risk regression models applied to those without collection devices or indwelling catheters who were admitted to ARC or alive 30+ days after their interRAI-HC assessment. RESULTS: Overall, 32 285 people were eligible, with average age of 82.1 years (range 65, 105 years) of whom 20 627 (63.9%) were female. UI and FI was reported by 36.4% and 12.9% of people, respectively. By June 30, 2014, 5993 (18.6%) had an ARC admission and 5443 (16.9%) had died before any such admission. In the multivariable analysis, the subhazard ratio (SHR) for ARC admission was significant for UI (SHR = 1.11, 95%CI: 1.05, 1.18) but not for FI (SHR = 1.07, 95%CI: 0.99, 1.16). CONCLUSIONS: UI is a common, independent risk factor for ARC admissions. Identifying the extent of incontinence and its impact on ARC admissions is the first vital step in addressing the burgeoning need for better community continence services.

Drug Burden Index Is a Modifiable Predictor of 30-Day Hospitalization in Community-Dwelling Older Adults With Complex Care Needs: Machine Learning Analysis of InterRAI Data.

BACKGROUND: Older adults (≥65 years) account for a disproportionately high proportion of hospitalization and in-hospital mortality, some of which may be avoidable. Although machine learning (ML) models have already been built and validated for predicting hospitalization and mortality, there remains a significant need to optimize ML models further. Accurately predicting hospitalization may tremendously affect the clinical care of older adults as preventative measures can be implemented to improve clinical outcomes for the patient. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, a data set of 14 198 community-dwelling older adults (≥65 years) with complex care needs from the International Resident Assessment Instrument-Home Care database was used to develop and optimize 3 ML models to predict 30-day hospitalization. The models developed and optimized were Random Forest (RF), XGBoost (XGB), and Logistic Regression (LR). Variable importance plots were generated for all 3 models to identify key predictors of 30-day hospitalization. RESULTS: The area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve for the RF, XGB, and LR models were 0.97, 0.90, and 0.72, respectively. Variable importance plots identified the Drug Burden Index and alcohol consumption as important, immediately potentially modifiable variables in predicting 30-day hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: Identifying immediately potentially modifiable risk factors such as the Drug Burden Index and alcohol consumption is of high clinical relevance. If clinicians can influence these variables, they could proactively lower the risk of 30-day hospitalization. ML holds promise to improve the clinical care of older adults. It is crucial that these models undergo extensive validation through large-scale clinical studies before being utilized in the clinical setting.

Changes in indicators of well-being on moving from home to long-term care for Maori in Aotearoa New Zealand: A retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate changes in well-being measures for older Maori after moving from community to long-term care (LTC). METHODS: We undertook a retrospective cohort study of older Maori in New Zealand (NZ) who had received assessments for their health needs whilst living at home (interRAI-HC assessment) as well as a subsequent assessment after moving into a care facility (interRAI-LTCF). All interRAI-HC assessments from 01 July 2013 to 21 December 2018 were identified and matched to LTCF assessments that were undertaken at least 6 months later. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated to determine the difference in proportion of variables of interest (indicative of movement, socialising, sleep and nutrition, alongside general physical and mental health status) between participants' HC and subsequent LTCF assessments. RESULTS: Changes in well-being measures were investigated among 1531 Maori (mean age 76.2 years, 61% female). Odds of having a fall (OR: 0.40 [95% CI 0.34, 0.48]), being lonely (OR: 0.13 [95% CI 0.09, 0.18]), sleeping difficulty (OR: 0.74 [95% CI 0.60, 0.91]) and fatigue (OR: 0.18 [95% CI 0.14, 0.23]) reduced on moving to LTC. However, the presence of depression (OR 3.96 [95% CI 2.58, 6.09]) and dependence with locomotion (OR 1.56 [95% CI 1.23, 1.97]) significantly increased when moving from home to LTC. CONCLUSION: Despite some indicators of functional and health-related decline, significant improvements are also apparent across multiple domains of well-being. Further investigation of resident and family perceptions of well-being in association with a move to LTC is warranted.

Using interRAI Assessment for Research: Developing a National Research Agenda in Aotearoa New Zealand.

interRAI provides a suite of standardized, validated instruments used to assess health and psychosocial well-being, and to inform person-centered care planning. Data obtained from these standardized tools can also be used at a population level for research and to inform policy, and interRAI is currently used in more than 40 countries globally. We present a brief overview of the use of interRAI internationally within research and policy settings, and then introduce how interRAI is used within the universal public health system in Aotearoa New Zealand (NZ), including considerations relating to Maori, the Indigenous people of NZ. In NZ, improvement in interRAI data utilization for research purposes was called for from aged care, health providers, and researchers, to better use these data for quality improvement and health advancement for New Zealanders. A national research network has been established, providing a medium for researchers to form relationships and collaborate on interRAI research with a goal of translating routinely collected interRAI data to improve clinical care, patient experience, service development, and quality improvement. In 2023, the network members met (hybrid: in-person and online) and identified research priorities. These were collated and developed into a national interRAI research agenda by the NZ interRAI Research Network Working Group. Research priorities included reviewing the interRAI assessment processes, improving methods for data linkage to national data sets, exploring how Indigenous Data Sovereignty can be upheld, as well as a variety of clinically focused research topics. Implications for Practice, Policy, and Research: This appears to be the first time national interRAI research priorities have been formally identified. Priorities identified have the potential to inform quality and clinical improvement activities and are likely of international relevance. The methodology described to cocreate the research priorities will also be of wider significance for those looking to do so in other countries.

Utility of Big Data to Explore Medication Adherence in Maori and Non-Maori Community-Dwelling Older Adults with Heart Failure in Aotearoa New Zealand: A Cross-sectional Study.

BACKGROUND: Medication adherence improves morbidity and mortality-related outcomes in heart failure, and knowledge of patterns of medication adherence supports patient and clinician decision-making. Routinely collected national data facilitate the exploration of medication adherence and associated factors in older adults with heart failure, including the association between ethnicity and adherence. There are known inequities in access to medicines between Maori (Indigenous People of Aotearoa New Zealand) and non-Maori, yet ethnic variation in medicines adherence in community-dwelling older adults with heart failure has not been explored. OBJECTIVE: Here we identify medication adherence rates for community-dwelling older adults diagnosed with heart failure and differences in adherence rates between Maori and non-Maori. METHODS: Cross-sectional analysis of interRAI (comprehensive standardised assessment) data in a continuously recruited national cohort from 2012 to 2019. RESULTS: Overall, 13,743 assessments (Maori N = 1526) for older community-dwelling adults with heart failure diagnoses were included. The mean age of participants was 74.5 years [standard deviation (SD) 9.1 years] for Maori and 82.3 years (SD 7.8 years) non-Maori. In the Maori cohort, 21.8% did not adhere fully to their medication regimen, whereas in the non-Maori cohort, this figure was 12.8%. After adjusting for confounders, the Maori cohort were more likely to be medication non-adherent than non-Maori [prevalence ratio 1.53, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.36-1.73]. CONCLUSIONS: There was a significant disparity between Maori and non-Maori concerning medication adherence. Given the international use of the interRAI-HC assessment tool, these results have significant transferability to other countries and allow the identification of underserved ethnic groups for which culturally appropriate interventions can be targeted.