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1.
J Infect Dis ; 2024 Feb 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38330324

RESUMO

This study explores the relationship between influenza infection, both clinically diagnosed in primary-care and laboratory confirmed in hospital, and atherothrombotic events (acute myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke) in Spain. A population-based self-controlled case series design was used with individual-level data from electronic registries (n = 2,230,015). The risk of atherothrombotic events in subjects ≥50 years old increased more than 2-fold during the 14 days after the mildest influenza cases in patients with fewer risk factors and more than 4-fold after severe cases in the most vulnerable patients, remaining in them more than 2-fold for 2 months. The transient increase of the association, its gradient after influenza infection and the demonstration by 4 different sensitivity analyses provide further evidence supporting causality. This work reinforces the official recommendations for influenza prevention in at-risk groups and should also increase the awareness of even milder influenza infection and its possible complications in the general population.

2.
J Infect Dis ; 2024 Mar 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38459772

RESUMO

Determining pneumococcal pneumonia (PP) burden in the elderly population is challenging due to limited data on invasive PP (IPP) and, in particular, noninvasive PP (NIPP) incidence. Using retrospective cohorts of adults aged ≥50 years in Denmark (2 782 303) and the Valencia region, Spain (2 283 344), we found higher IPP hospitalization rates in Denmark than Valencia (18.3 vs 9/100 000 person-years [PY], respectively). Conversely, NIPP hospitalization rates were higher in Valencia (48.2 vs 7.2/100 000 PY). IPP and NIPP rates increased with age and comorbidities in both regions, with variations by sex and case characteristics (eg, complications, mortality). The burden of PP in adults is substantial, yet its true magnitude remains elusive. Discrepancies in clinical practices impede international comparisons; for instance, Valencia employed a higher frequency of urinary antigen tests compared to Denmark. Additionally, coding practices and prehospital antibiotic utilization may further influence these variations. These findings could guide policymakers and enhance the understanding of international disparities in disease burden assessments.

3.
Eur J Pediatr ; 183(7): 2843-2853, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38584228

RESUMO

The objective of this study was to estimate, by a novel spatiotemporal approach in an environment of non-funded rotavirus (RV) vaccines, the RV vaccine effectiveness (VE) to prevent acute gastroenteritis primary care (AGE-PC)-attended episodes, demonstrating how indirect protection leads to underestimation of direct VE under high vaccine coverage (VC). This population-based retrospective cohort study used electronic healthcare registries including all children 2 months-5 years old, born from 2009 to 2018 in the Valencia Region (Spain). Direct RV VE preventing AGE-PC episodes was estimated using propensity score matching and Poisson regressions stratified by VC, adjusted by age and calendar season. Indirect VE was estimated by Poisson regression comparing AGE-PC rates in unvaccinated children among the different VC levels. A total of 563,442 children were included for the RV VC estimation; of them, 360,576 were included in the birth-cohort for VE analysis. RV VC showed strong variability among districts and seasons, rising on average from 21% in 2009/2010 to 55% in 2017/2018. The highest direct VE was found in vaccinated children from districts with 0-30% RV VC (16.4%) and the lowest in those from districts with ≥ 70% RV VC (9.7%). The indirect protection in unvaccinated children raised from 6 to 16.6% for those living with 20-30% and ≥ 70% VC, respectively. CONCLUSION: Considering that RV is the causative agent in 20% of AGE cases, a direct effectiveness of 82% preventing AGE-PC episodes due to RV could be deduced using a novel spatiotemporal approach. A reduction of 17% of AGE-PC episodes in unvaccinated was observed in areas with VC over 70% because of indirect protection. WHAT IS KNOWN: • The effectiveness of RV vaccines preventing hospitalizations due to RV-acute gastroenteritis (RV-AGE) has been extensively studied. However, RV also burdens the primary care (PC) setting, and data on vaccine effectiveness (VE) in preventing AGE-PC visits are scarce. • The RV vaccine distribution in Spain (non-funded), with large differences in vaccine coverage (VC) among healthcare districts, provides an ideal scenario to assess the actual VE in preventing AGE-PC consultations, including the direct and indirect protection. WHAT IS NEW: • A direct effectiveness of 82% preventing AGE-PC episodes due to RV could be deduced using a novel spatiotemporal approach. A reduction of 17% of AGE-PC episodes in unvaccinated was observed in areas with high VC because of indirect protection. • These findings, together with existing data on the impact on hospitalizations due to RV-AGE, offer valuable insights for implementing vaccination initiatives in countries that have not yet commenced such programs.


Assuntos
Gastroenterite , Atenção Primária à Saúde , Pontuação de Propensão , Infecções por Rotavirus , Vacinas contra Rotavirus , Humanos , Vacinas contra Rotavirus/administração & dosagem , Vacinas contra Rotavirus/imunologia , Espanha/epidemiologia , Gastroenterite/prevenção & controle , Gastroenterite/virologia , Gastroenterite/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Lactente , Infecções por Rotavirus/prevenção & controle , Pré-Escolar , Masculino , Atenção Primária à Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Eficácia de Vacinas , Doença Aguda , Cobertura Vacinal/estatística & dados numéricos
4.
Euro Surveill ; 29(6)2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38333937

RESUMO

The monoclonal antibody nirsevimab was at least 70% effective in preventing hospitalisations in infants with lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI) positive for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in Spain (Oct 2023-Jan 2024), where a universal immunisation programme began late September (coverage range: 79-99%). High protection was confirmed by two methodological designs (screening and test-negative) in a multicentre active surveillance in nine hospitals in three regions. No protection against RSV-negative LRTI-hospitalisations was shown. These interim results could guide public-health decision-making.


Assuntos
Anticorpos Monoclonais Humanizados , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial , Vírus Sincicial Respiratório Humano , Infecções Respiratórias , Lactente , Humanos , Espanha/epidemiologia , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/prevenção & controle , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/epidemiologia , Hospitalização , Infecções Respiratórias/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções Respiratórias/prevenção & controle , Infecções Respiratórias/epidemiologia , Hospitais
5.
J Infect Dis ; 228(7): 840-850, 2023 10 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37015894

RESUMO

An association exists between severe respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)-bronchiolitis and a subsequent increased risk of recurrent wheezing (RW) and asthma. However, a causal relationship remains unproven. Using a retrospective population-based cohort study (339 814 children), bronchiolitis during the first 2 years of life (regardless of etiology and severity) was associated with at least a 3-fold increased risk of RW/asthma at 2-4 years and an increased prevalence of asthma at ≥5 years of age. The risk was similar in children with mild bronchiolitis as in those with hospitalized RSV-bronchiolitis and was higher in children with hospitalized non-RSV-bronchiolitis. The rate of RW/asthma was higher when bronchiolitis occurred after the first 6 months of life. Our results seem to support the hypothesis of a shared predisposition to bronchiolitis (irrespective of etiology) and RW/asthma. However, 60% of hospitalized bronchiolitis cases in our setting are due to RSV, which should be paramount in decision-making on imminent RSV prevention strategies.


Assuntos
Asma , Bronquiolite , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial , Criança , Humanos , Lactente , Estudos de Coortes , Estudos Retrospectivos , Asma/etiologia , Asma/complicações , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/complicações , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/epidemiologia , Sons Respiratórios/etiologia
7.
BMC Infect Dis ; 21(1): 924, 2021 Sep 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34488668

RESUMO

BACKGROUND:  Several immunisation candidates against RSV are in late-stage clinical trials. To evaluate the benefits of a potential vaccination programme, both economic and health benefits will be needed. Health benefits are usually measured in Health-related Quality of Life (HRQoL) loss using standardised questionnaires. However, there are no RSV-specific questionnaires validated for children under 2 years, in whom most RSV episodes occur. Therefore, HRQoL estimates are taken from literature or inadequate tools. We determined HRQoL loss and direct costs due to an RSV episode in children younger than 2 years and their caregivers during a month of follow up, using a new questionnaire administered online. METHODS:  An observational prospective multicentre surveillance study was conducted in children aged younger than two years. Children were recruited from 8 primary care centres and 1 hospital in the Valencia region and Catalonia (Spain). RSV-positive cases were obtained by immunochromatographic test. HRQoL was assessed using a new ad-hoc 38 item-questionnaire developed. Parents of infected children completed 4 questionnaires at four timepoints (day 0, 7, 14 and 30) after diagnosis. RESULTS:  117 children were enrolled in the study and 86 (73.5%) were RSV + . Median (interquartile range; IQR) scores were 0.52 (0.42-0.68), 0.65 (0.49-0.79), 0.82 (0.68-0.97) and 0.94 (0.81-1), for days 0, 7, 14 and 30, respectively. Compared to total recovery (Q30), HRQoL loss was 37.5%, 31.5% and 8.9% on days 0, 7 and 14 since diagnosis of the disease. The total median cost per patient (including treatments) was €598.8 (IQR: 359.63-2425.85). CONCLUSIONS:  RSV had almost 40% impact on HRQoL during the first week since onset of symptoms and the median cost per episode and patient was about €600. These results represent a substantial input for health-economic evaluations of future RSV-related interventions such as vaccination.


Assuntos
Qualidade de Vida , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial , Criança , Humanos , Lactente , Pais , Estudos Prospectivos , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/epidemiologia , Espanha/epidemiologia
8.
BMC Infect Dis ; 20(1): 905, 2020 Nov 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33256624

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Estimate the incidence of herpes zoster (HZ), its complications and healthcare utilization rates in adults (≥ 18-years-old) with a wide range of immunocompromised (IC) conditions compared to IC-free cohort. METHOD: A population-based retrospective study using the Valencia healthcare Integrated Databases (VID) (2009-2014). HZ and IC were defined using ICD-9 codes in primary care (PC) and hospitalization registers. Incidence rates (IR), risk of HZ, HZ-recurrence, HZ-complications and healthcare utilization rates were estimated in the IC-cohort compared to IC-free. RESULTS: The study population consisted of 4,382,590 subjects, of which 578,873 were IC (13%). IR (in 1000 persons-year) of HZ overall, in IC and in IC-free cohort was 5.02, 9.15 and 4.65, respectively. IR of HZ increased with age in both cohorts and it was higher for all IC conditions studied, reaching up to twelvefold in subjects with stem cell transplantation. IC subjects had 51% higher risk of developing HZ, 25% higher HZ-recurrence and the risk of HZ-complications was 2.37 times higher than in IC-free. HZ-related healthcare utilization was higher in the IC-cohort than in IC-free (number of hospitalizations 2.93 times greater, hospital stays 12% longer, 66% more HZ-specialist visits, 2% more PC visits, sick leaves 18% longer and 20% higher antiviral dispensation). CONCLUSIONS: Patients suffering from all the IC conditions studied are at higher risk of developing HZ, HZ-recurrence and post-herpetic complications, which implies a substantial morbidity and a high consumption of resources. These results should be considered for vaccine policy implementation.


Assuntos
Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Herpes Zoster/epidemiologia , Herpesvirus Humano 3 , Hospedeiro Imunocomprometido , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Recursos em Saúde , Herpes Zoster/complicações , Herpes Zoster/virologia , Humanos , Incidência , Classificação Internacional de Doenças , Tempo de Internação , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neuralgia Pós-Herpética/etiologia , Aceitação pelo Paciente de Cuidados de Saúde , Recidiva , Estudos Retrospectivos , Risco , Espanha/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
9.
BMC Infect Dis ; 20(1): 656, 2020 Sep 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32894071

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Several studies have shown a substantial impact of Rotavirus (RV) vaccination on the burden of RV and all-cause acute gastroenteritis (AGE). However, the results of most impact studies could be confused by a dynamic and complex space-time process. Therefore, there is a need to analyse the impact of RV vaccination on RV and AGE hospitalisations in a space-time framework to detect geographical-time patterns while avoiding the potential confusion caused by population inequalities in the impact estimations. METHODS: A retrospective population-based study using real-world data from the Valencia Region was performed among children aged less than 3 years old in the period 2005-2016. A Bayesian spatio-temporal model was constructed to analyse RV and AGE hospitalisations and to estimate the vaccination impact measured in averted hospitalisations. RESULTS: We found important spatio-temporal patterns in RV and AGE hospitalisations, RV vaccination coverage and in their associated adverted hospitalisations. Overall, ~ 1866 hospital admissions for RV were averted by RV vaccination during 2007-2016. Despite the low-medium vaccine coverage (~ 50%) in 2015-2016, relevant 36 and 20% reductions were estimated in RV and AGE hospitalisations respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The introduction of the RV vaccines has substantially reduced the number of RV hospitalisations, averting ~ 1866 admissions during 2007-2016 which were space and time dependent. This study improves the methodologies commonly used to estimate the RV vaccine impact and their interpretation.


Assuntos
Gastroenterite/epidemiologia , Hospitalização , Infecções por Rotavirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por Rotavirus/prevenção & controle , Vacinas contra Rotavirus/economia , Rotavirus/imunologia , Vacinação , Doença Aguda , Teorema de Bayes , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Vacinas contra Rotavirus/imunologia , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Espanha/epidemiologia , Fatores de Tempo , Cobertura Vacinal
10.
BMC Infect Dis ; 18(1): 203, 2018 05 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29724175

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to assess the incidence of Herpes Zoster (HZ) among patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and the impact of HZ on the underlying COPD. METHODS: A retrospective cohort of all subjects older than 49 years was followed up between 2009 and 2014 using population and health databases of Valencia Region (Spain). HZ and COPD were identified using ICD-9 codes, differentiating COPD patients with inhaled corticosteroids prescriptions (COPD-ICS). The incidence of HZ was compared among 3 groups [non-COPD, COPD and COPD-ICS populations] and use of healthcare resource due to HZ for 6 months following HZ diagnosis through different statistical generalized linear models (GLM). We also compared resources consumption due to COPD before and after HZ. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 2,289,485 subjects, including 161,317 COPD patients of which 29,708 were COPD-ICS. HZ incidence rates were 11 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 10.7-11.4) and 13 (95% CI: 12.3-13.8) cases/1000 persons-year for COPD and COPD-ICS populations respectively. Incidence increased with age in all groups. The risk of HZ rose by 45 and 61% among COPD and COPD-ICS patients respectively compared to non-COPD (95% credible intervals [CrI]: 1.41-1.5 and 1.52-1.71 respectively). COPD patients consumed more resources due to their HZ than non-COPD. There was no statistically significant impact of the HZ on the resources consumed due to COPD during the 6 months post-HZ compared to the 6 months pre-HZ. CONCLUSIONS: The presence of COPD increases the risk, severity and impact of zoster episodes.


Assuntos
Herpes Zoster/epidemiologia , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/epidemiologia , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/virologia , Corticosteroides/uso terapêutico , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Herpes Zoster/complicações , Herpes Zoster/tratamento farmacológico , Herpes Zoster/economia , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/economia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Espanha/epidemiologia
11.
BMC Infect Dis ; 17(1): 267, 2017 04 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28399824

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Rotavirus vaccines are available in Spain from 2007. They are recommended by the Spanish Pediatric Association, but not funded by the National Health System (NHS) and its coverage rate reached 40-50%. The hospitalization rate reduction of rotavirus caused gastroenteritis (RVAGE) directly attributable to vaccination remains unclear due to the large differences described in published studies, ranging from 14 to 44.5% in children <5 years of age, even with similar vaccination coverage. These results could be partly explained by variability in hospitalization policies, different study designs and the timeframe of observation. In addition, the direct economic impact of the reduction of hospitalizations has never been estimated. Therefore, there is a need to analyze the long-term impact of rotavirus vaccines on RVAGE and all cause gastroenteritis (AGE) hospitalizations and the national health system associated costs, minimizing potential confounders or biases. METHODS: A population-based, ecological study using the hospital discharge registry's Minimum Basic Data Set (MBDS) and the vaccine register (SIV) was performed, among Valencia Region's children <5 years old, during 2002 - 2015. RVAGE and AGE hospitalization risk was analyzed by vaccine coverage and adjusted by the total hospitalization rate for all causes to avoid external biases. The impact of AGE-associated health care utilization in prevaccine (2003-2006) versus postvaccine (2008-2014) years was also assessed. RESULTS: After vaccines licensure, the incidence of RVAGE-associated hospitalizations decreased markedly. A general vaccine coverage-related reduction in RVAGE or AGE-hospitalizations risk was observed in all age groups. Compared with unvaccinated children, RVAGE hospitalization risk decreased by 67% (95% CI: 55-67), 71% (95% CI: 58-81) and 68% (95% CI: 18-92) in children 0, 1 and 4 years of age, respectively, with a vaccination coverage between 40 and 42%. Overall, the hospital related costs were reduced around EUR 6 Mill per 105 children in 7 years. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the low-medium vaccine coverage, the introduction of rotavirus vaccines had a specific coverage-related response impact in the hospitalizations for RVAGE and AGE in children <5 years and their use substantially reduced hospital related costs. The model used reassures that the estimated impact is due to the vaccination and not to other external factors.


Assuntos
Gastroenterite/virologia , Hospitalização , Infecções por Rotavirus/prevenção & controle , Vacinas contra Rotavirus/administração & dosagem , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Gastroenterite/economia , Gastroenterite/epidemiologia , Gastroenterite/prevenção & controle , Custos Hospitalares , Hospitalização/economia , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Masculino , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Aceitação pelo Paciente de Cuidados de Saúde , Alta do Paciente , Sistema de Registros , Rotavirus/imunologia , Infecções por Rotavirus/economia , Infecções por Rotavirus/epidemiologia , Vacinas contra Rotavirus/economia , Vacinas contra Rotavirus/imunologia , Espanha/epidemiologia
12.
BMC Infect Dis ; 15: 92, 2015 Feb 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25872565

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Although rotavirus vaccines have been licensed in Spain for over 8 years, they are not funded by its public health systems. The analysis of their effectiveness in the Valencia Region could better inform decisions about potential inclusion in the official immunization schedule. Our aim was to assess the effectiveness of Rotarix® (RV1) and RotaTeq® (RV5) against rotavirus hospitalizations. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the region's health care databases, among resident children aged <3 years covered by the National Health System, during January 2007-June 2012. We compared two cohorts of vaccinated children: the first included children who received at least one dose of a rotavirus vaccine, and the second included children who were not vaccinated with rotavirus vaccines but received at least one dose of a pneumococcal vaccine, another licensed but non-funded vaccine. The main outcome was rotavirus hospitalization, either laboratory-confirmed (confirmed) or codified as rotavirus (probable). Rotavirus vaccine effectiveness (RVE) by vaccine brand was assessed using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: The study included 78,281 rotavirus and 96,643 pneumococcal vaccinees. Adjusted RVE against probable or confirmed rotavirus hospitalizations was 86% (95% CI: 78-91%) and 88% (95% CI: 81-92%) for a complete series of RV1 and RV5 respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Both rotavirus vaccines were over 85% effective against rotavirus hospitalization among young children. The high effectiveness shown argues in favor of their inclusion in the official schedule. Additional information on rotavirus vaccine safety, duration of protection, and benefit-risk will also be needed to inform such deliberations.


Assuntos
Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Infecções por Rotavirus/prevenção & controle , Vacinas contra Rotavirus/uso terapêutico , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Pré-Escolar , Estudos de Coortes , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Humanos , Esquemas de Imunização , Lactente , Masculino , Infecções Pneumocócicas/prevenção & controle , Vacinas Pneumocócicas/uso terapêutico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Vacinas contra Rotavirus/economia , Espanha , Resultado do Tratamento , Vacinas Atenuadas/economia , Vacinas Atenuadas/uso terapêutico
13.
Int J Infect Dis ; 143: 107037, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38575055

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to compare the risk of herpes zoster (HZ) in adults with and without laboratory-confirmed severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. METHODS: This retrospective dynamic cohort study analyzed data from a public healthcare database in Spain between November 2020 and October 2021. The main outcome was incident cases of HZ in individuals ≥18-year-old. Relative risk (RR) of HZ in SARS-CoV-2-confirmed versus SARS-CoV-2-free individuals was estimated by a multivariable negative binomial regression adjusted by age, sex, and comorbidities. RESULTS: Data from 4,085,590 adults were analyzed. The overall HZ incidence rate in adults was 5.76 (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.66-5.85) cases per 1000 person-years. Individuals ≥18-year-old with SARS-CoV-2-confirmed infection had a 19% higher risk of developing HZ versus SARS-CoV-2-free ≥18-year-olds (adjusted RR = 1.19; 95% CI, 1.09-1.29); this percentage was 16% (adjusted RR = 1.16; 95% CI, 1.05-1.29) in ≥50-year-olds. Severe (hospitalized) cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection had a 64% (if ≥18 years old) or 44% (if ≥50 years old) higher risk of HZ versus nonhospitalized cases. CONCLUSION: These results support an association between SARS-CoV-2 infection and HZ, with a greater HZ risk in severe cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Herpes Zoster , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Espanha/epidemiologia , Herpes Zoster/epidemiologia , Masculino , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto , Idoso , Incidência , Adulto Jovem , Adolescente , Fatores de Risco , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Comorbidade
14.
J Infect Public Health ; 17(8): 102492, 2024 Jul 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39002465

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: A new monoclonal antibody (nirsevimab; Beyfortus®) and a bivalent prefusion RSV vaccine (Abrysvo®) for maternal immunization have been approved recently. This is a modelling study to estimate the potential impact of different immunization programs with these products on RSV-bronchiolitis. METHODS: Population-based real-world data from primary care and hospitalizations were considered. RSV bronchiolitis dynamics in absence of these immunization scenarios were explained by a multivariate age-structured Bayesian model. Then, the potential impact was simulated under different assumptions including the most recent clinical trial data. Differences in endpoints, populations, and timeframes between trials make the two products' efficacy difficult to compare. RESULTS: A seasonal with catch-up program, assuming a constant effectiveness of 79.5 % during the first 5 months followed by a linear decay to 0 by month 10 with nirsevimab, would prevent between 5121 and 8,846RSV bronchiolitis per 100,000 infants-years. Assuming 77.3 % effectiveness with the same decay, between 976and 16,86RSV-hospitalizations per 100,000 infants-years could be prevented depending on the uptake. A year-round maternal immunization program, with 51 % of effectiveness during the first 6 months followed by a linear decay to 0 by month 10 would prevent between 3,246and 5,606RSV bronchiolitis cases per 100,000 infants-years. Assuming 56.9 % effectiveness with the same decay, between 713 and 1231 RSV-hospitalizations per 100,000 infants-years could be prevented. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that each strategy would effectively reduce RSV-bronchiolitis.

15.
Vaccine ; 40(47): 6711-6721, 2022 11 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36280558

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Previous studies found conflicting results about the effect of rotavirus (RV) vaccination on seizure hospitalizations in children younger than 5 years old. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the evidence of the impact of RV vaccination on the prevention of seizure hospitalizations in children. METHODS: A systematic review was conducted in the electronic database MEDLINE of all observational studies in children younger than 5 years old published since 2006. Two reviewers performed title/abstract, full-text review, and data extraction. RESULTS: Thirteen studies met eligibility criteria. Nine studies reported a significant reduction in seizure hospitalizations upon RV vaccine introduction, three studies reported an absence of significant impact, and one study reported a significant rise in seizure hospitalization after the introduction of RV vaccines. LIMITATIONS: The great variability between study designs, case definitions and potential biases prevent quantifying the impact of RV vaccination against seizure hospitalizations. CONCLUSIONS: RV vaccination might prevent seizure hospitalizations in children; however, robust, and well-designed studies are needed to better determine the strength of this association.


Assuntos
Infecções por Rotavirus , Vacinas contra Rotavirus , Rotavirus , Criança , Humanos , Lactente , Pré-Escolar , Infecções por Rotavirus/prevenção & controle , Hospitalização , Vacinação , Convulsões/prevenção & controle
16.
Vaccine ; 40(2): 316-324, 2022 01 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34865874

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To assess the effectiveness of the HPV vaccines in preventing genital warts (GW) in women aged 14-23 years and to estimate the incidence of GW in the whole population aged from 14 to 65. DESIGN: Population-based retrospective cohort study using real-world data from the Valencia health system Integrated Databases (VID). STUDY POPULATION: All subjects aged 14-65 years residing in the Valencia Region during 2009-2017 (n = 4,492,724), including a cohort of 563,240 females aged 14-23 years followed-up for the vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimations. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incident cases of GW defined as the first activation of GW-related codes (ICD-9-CM 078.11 or ICD-10-CM A63.0) in hospital, primary and specialized care during the study period. Adjusted VE was estimated as (1-Relative Risk (RR)) × 100 by a negative binomial Bayesian model. RESULTS: There were 23,049 cases of GW in the overall population and 2,565 in the females' cohort 14-23 years old. The incidence rate (IR) (in 100,000 persons-year) was 69.1 (95% CI 68.21-69.99) in the population overall, being higher in men (72.73; 95% CI 71.45-74.04). The IR of GW was 104.08 (95% CI 100.79-108.94) in the cohort of young women. The RR of GW increased with age from 14 to 21 years, reaching a plateau from 21 to 23. The VE of a complete schedule was 74% (95% CrI 68-79) for quadrivalent HPV vaccine (HPV4v). No effectiveness was seen with a full vaccination course with the bivalent HPV vaccine (HPV2v) in girls up to 21 years old. GW IR tends to be higher in unvaccinated cohorts covered by HPV4v vaccine than in unvaccinated cohorts not covered by HPV4v vaccine. CONCLUSIONS: A complete HPV4v vaccination schedule was 74% effective in reducing GW in our population. Our results also suggest an indirect protection to unvaccinated and HPV2v vaccinated girls.


Assuntos
Condiloma Acuminado , Infecções por Papillomavirus , Vacinas contra Papillomavirus , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero , Adolescente , Adulto , Teorema de Bayes , Condiloma Acuminado/epidemiologia , Condiloma Acuminado/prevenção & controle , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Infecções por Papillomavirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por Papillomavirus/prevenção & controle , Estudos Retrospectivos , Vacinação , Eficácia de Vacinas , Adulto Jovem
17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34300058

RESUMO

Bronchiolitis has a high morbidity in children under 2 years old. Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the most common pathogen causing the disease. At present, there is only a costly humanized monoclonal RSV-specific antibody to prevent RSV. However, different immunization strategies are being developed. Hence, evaluation and comparison of their impact is important for policymakers. The analysis of the disease with a Bayesian stochastic compartmental model provided an improved and more natural description of its dynamics. However, the consideration of different age groups is still needed, since disease transmission greatly varies with age. In this work, we propose a multivariate age-structured stochastic model to understand bronchiolitis dynamics in children younger than 2 years of age considering high-quality data from the Valencia health system integrated database. Our modeling approach combines ideas from compartmental models and Bayesian hierarchical Poisson models in a novel way. Finally, we develop an extension of the model that simulates the effect of potential newborn immunization scenarios on the burden of disease. We provide an app tool that estimates the expected reduction in bronchiolitis episodes for a range of different values of uptake and effectiveness.


Assuntos
Bronquiolite , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial , Teorema de Bayes , Bronquiolite/epidemiologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Humanos , Imunização , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/epidemiologia , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/prevenção & controle , Vírus Sinciciais Respiratórios
18.
Pediatrics ; 148(6)2021 12 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34814193

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: We previously demonstrated that a hand hygiene program, including hand sanitizer and educational measures, for day care center (DCC) staff, children, and parents was more effective than a soap-and-water program, with initial observation, in preventing respiratory infections (RIs) in children attending DCCs. We analyzed the cost-effectiveness of these programs in preventing RIs. METHODS: A cluster, randomized, controlled and open study of 911 children aged 0 to 3 years, attending 24 DCCs in Almeria. Two intervention groups of DCC-families performed educational measures and hand hygiene, one with soap-and-water (SWG) and another with hand sanitizer (HSG). The control group (CG) followed usual hand-washing procedures. RI episodes, including symptoms, treatments, medical contacts, complementary analyses, and DCC absenteeism days, were reported by parents. A Bayesian cost-effectiveness model was developed. RESULTS: There were 5201 RI episodes registered. The adjusted mean societal costs of RIs per child per study period were CG: €522.25 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 437.10 to 622.46); HSG: €374.53 (95% CI: 314.90 to 443.07); SWG: €494.51 (95% CI: 419.21 to 585.27). The indirect costs constituted between 35.7% to 43.6% of the total costs. Children belonging to the HSG had an average of 1.39 fewer RI episodes than the CG and 0.93 less than the SWG. It represents a saving of societal cost mean per child per study period of €147.72 and €119.15, respectively. The HSG intervention was dominant versus SWG and CG. CONCLUSIONS: Hand hygiene programs that include hand sanitizer and educational measures for DCC staff, children, and parents are more effective and cost less than a program with soap and water and initial observation in children attending DCCs.


Assuntos
Creches , Higiene das Mãos/economia , Higienizadores de Mão/administração & dosagem , Infecções Respiratórias/prevenção & controle , Sabões/administração & dosagem , Absenteísmo , Teorema de Bayes , Pré-Escolar , Intervalos de Confiança , Análise Custo-Benefício , Desinfecção das Mãos/economia , Desinfecção das Mãos/métodos , Higiene das Mãos/métodos , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Pais , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde , Infecções Respiratórias/epidemiologia , Professores Escolares , Espanha , Água
19.
Hum Vaccin Immunother ; 14(6): 1534-1538, 2018 06 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29393748

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Up to date the impact of rotavirus (RV) vaccines on seizures has been poorly evaluated, with some studies but not all, showing different degrees of protection. OBJECTIVES: To assess the impact of RV vaccines on convulsions-related hospitalizations among children under 5 years of age residing in the Region of Valencia, Spain. METHODS: A population-based, ecological study using the hospital discharge record (MBDS), the population-based administrative database (SIP) and the vaccine register (SIV), among Valencia Region's children <5 years old, during 2003 - 2015. Impact of vaccination on seizures-related hospitalization rates (780.3* ICD-9-MC code) was estimated by a multivariate Bayesian mixed Poisson regression model. RESULTS: Since RV vaccines licensure in 2007, its coverage rate increased up to around 42%. When the impact of vaccination against seizures was controlled for potential confounders in the multivariate analysis, there was a non-statistically significant protective effect. CONCLUSIONS: We could not find any impact of RV vaccine coverage on seizure-related hospitalizations in children <5 years.


Assuntos
Hospitalização , Infecções por Rotavirus/complicações , Vacinas contra Rotavirus/administração & dosagem , Convulsões/epidemiologia , Convulsões/prevenção & controle , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Espanha/epidemiologia
20.
Hum Vaccin Immunother ; 14(4): 906-908, 2018 04 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29244612

RESUMO

The objective of the study was to evaluate the role of age and sex and their combined effect in the development of post-herpetic neuralgia (PHN) in a large population-based study, in order to confirm the results published previously by Amicizia et al. Data were extracted from population and healthcare databases from the Valencia Region (2009-2014). Logistic regressions were implemented to estimate the effect of increasing age on the probability of developing PHN stratified by sex. From a cohort of 2,289,485 subjects ≥ 50 years, 87,086 cases of HZ were registered and 13,658 (15.7%) of them developed PHN. In our population, PHN cases were more common in women and rose with increasing age independently of the sex.


Assuntos
Herpes Zoster , Neuralgia Pós-Herpética , Estudos de Coortes , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Humanos , Projetos de Pesquisa
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