Do the New Rural Pension Scheme promote the health status of chronic patients in old age? -Evidence from CHARLS 2018 in China.

BACKGROUND: Many researchers have examined the impact of social insurance on health in elderly. However, in most cases, they have only demonstrated correlational results and have not been able to determine causal effects, possibly because confounding biases have not been fully addressed. In this study, we investigated the health effects of the New Rural Pension Scheme (NRPS) on the elderly (age≥60 years old) with chronic diseases in rural areas, and to explore the causal relationship and effects of NRPS and health status. METHODS: This paper used data from the 2018 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) and applied Bayesian networks and fuzzy regression discontinuity design to conduct causal analysis. Bayesian networks were used to explore the causal directed acyclic graphs of factors related to NRPS and health status. Based on the results of Bayesian network, a fuzzy regression discontinuity design was employed to estimate the causal effect of NRPS on health status. RESULTS: Among rural elderly with chronic diseases, Bayesian network mapping of causal relationships among NRPS, health status and covariates showed that age was a common cause of NRPS receipt and satisfaction with health. The results of the fuzzy regression discontinuity analysis showed that the effect of receiving NRPS on the health status was positive, but there was no statistically significant difference concerning the interval estimates. The results of the subgroup analysis with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and asthma indicated that the effect of NRPS receipt on the health status of elderly people with COPD was positive. There was a statistically significant effect of receiving NRPS on self-rated health description ([Formula: see text]) and health satisfaction ([Formula: see text]) in COPD population and a statistically significant effect of receiving NRPS on health satisfaction in asthma population ([Formula: see text]). CONCLUSION: This paper has confirmed the contribution and positive causal effect of NRPS on health status in a subgroup of older adults with COPD and asthma, using the CHARLS database as evidence. Thus, Chinese government should increase the take-up rate of the NRPS to enhance their positive impact on health status of elderly people with chronic diseases in rural areas.

Downregulated Expression of USP18 Is Associated with a Higher Recurrence Risk of Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma.

As a member of the deubiquitinating protease family, ubiquitin specific peptidase 18 (USP18) is well acknowledged for its roles in stabilizing downstream protein substrates and inhibiting type I interferon signaling. USP18 has been reported to exert distinct roles in different cancer types. However, its expression and function in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) remain unknown. Here we collected 156 PTC patients and retrospectively retrieved their clinicopathological characteristics as well as their survival data. Among them, USP18 was hypoexpressed in 47 PTC samples (30.1%) and significantly correlated with oncogenic characteristics. According to univariate and multivariate analyses, low USP18 can act as an independent prognostic indicator for unfavorable progression-free survival of PTC patients. Ectopic overexpression and knockdown assays indicated that USP18 can negatively regulate the proliferation of PTC cell lines. The anti-tumor effect of USP18 was finally validated by xenografts results from nude mice. Taken together, PTC patients with low level of USP18 have worse survival compared to those possess high USP18 expression. Downregulated USP18 may be involved in the proliferation of PTC, and USP18 expression can serve as an independent survival predictor.

Lower serum chloride concentrations are associated with an increased risk of death in ICU patients with acute kidney injury: an analysis of the MIMIC-IV database.

BACKGROUND: The association between baseline serum chloride levels and mortality in patients with severe acute kidney injury (AKI) is unknown. Our aim was to investigate the relationship between baseline blood chloride levels and 28-day mortality in patients with AKI admitted to the ICU and to detect possible effect modifiers in this population. METHODS: AKI patients with severe critical illness were extracted from the MIMIC-IV. During ICU admission, chloride levels were measured for the first time. Our primary outcome was 28-day mortality in patients with AKI after 24 hours in the ICU. Multivariable logistic regression was used to examine the association between three groups of chloride levels and 28-day mortality, and logistic regression with restricted cubic spline was applied to detect the non-linear trendy. RESULTS: A total of 24,166 patients with critically ill AKI were included in this retrospective cohort study. The total 28-day mortality rate in the ICU was 15.9%. Overall, there was a U-shaped relationship between baseline serum chloride levels and 28-day mortality (non-linear P<0.001). Accordingly, patients with low serum chloride (<96 mEq/L) had a significantly increased risk of death compared to patients with normal serum chloride (96-108 meq/L) (adjusted OR=1.94, 95% CI: 1.68-2.24, P<0.001). None of the variables, including age, gender, 24-hour fluid intake, continuous renal replacement therapy, ventilation, Atrial fibrillation, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, whether to measure lactate and AKI stage, significantly modified the association between lower chloride levels and 28-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Low serum chloride levels at baseline were associated with death at 28 days in intensive illnesses with AKI.

Effect of Esmolol on Clinical Outcomes in Critically Ill Patients: Data from the MIMIC-IV Database.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Esmolol is a common short-acting drug to control ventricular rate. This study aimed to evaluate the association between use of esmolol and mortality in critically ill patients. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study from MIMIC-IV database containing adult patients with a heart rate of over 100 beats/min during the intensive care unit (ICU) stay. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models and logistic regression were used to explore the association between esmolol and mortality and adjust confounders. A 1:1 nearest neighbor propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to minimize potential cofounding bias. The comparison for secondary outcomes was performed at different points of time using an independent t-test. RESULTS: A total of 30,332 patients were reviewed and identified as critically ill. There was no significant difference in 28-day mortality between two groups before (HR = 0.90, 95% CI = 0.73-1.12, p = 0.343) and after PSM (HR = 0.84, 95% CI = 0.65-1.08, p = 0.167). Similar results were shown in 90-day mortality before (HR = 0.93, 95% CI = 0.75-1.14, p = 0.484) and after PSM (HR = 0.85, 95% CI = 0.67-1.09, p = 0.193). However, esmolol treatment was associated with higher requirement of vasopressor use before (HR = 2.89, 95% CI = 2.18-3.82, p < 0.001) and after PSM (HR = 2.66, 95% CI = 2.06-3.45, p < 0.001). Esmolol treatment statistically reduced diastolic blood pressure (DBP), mean arterial pressure (MAP), and heart rate (all p < 0.001) and increased fluid balance at 24 hours (p < 0.05) but did not significantly lower SBP (p = 0.721). Patients in esmolol group showed no significant difference in lactate levels and daily urine output when compared with those in non-esmolol group when adjusted for confounders (all p > 0.05). CONCLUSION: Esmolol treatment was associated with reduced heart rate and lowered DBP and MAP, which may increase vasopressor use and fluid balance at the timepoint of 24 hours in critically ill patients during ICU stay. However, after adjusting for confounders, esmolol treatment was not associated with 28-day and 90-day mortality.

Early pulmonary artery catheterization is not associated with survival benefits in critically ill patients with cardiac disease: An analysis of the MIMIC-IV database.

BACKGROUND: Many studies demonstrated no improved survival in patients with pulmonary artery catheter placement. However, no consistent conclusions have been drawn regarding the impact of pulmonary artery catheter in critically ill patients with heart disease. This study aimed to investigate the association of early pulmonary artery catheter use with 28-day mortality in that population. METHODS: The Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database, a single-center critical care database, was employed to investigate this issue. This study enrolled a total of 11,887 critically ill patients with cardiac disease with or without pulmonary artery catheter insertion. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality. The multivariate regression was modeled to examine the association between pulmonary artery catheter and outcomes. Additionally, we examined the effect modification by cardiac surgeries. Propensity score matching was conducted to validate our findings. RESULTS: No improvement in 28-day mortality was observed among the pulmonary artery catheter group compared to the non-pulmonary artery catheter group (odds ratio 95% confidence interval: 1.18 [1.00-1.38], P = .049). When stratified by cardiac surgeries, the results were consistent. The patients in the pulmonary artery catheter group had fewer ventilation-free days and vasopressor-free days than those in the nonpulmonary artery catheter group after surgery stratification. In the surgical patients, pulmonary artery catheter insertion was not associated with the occurrence of acute kidney injury, and it was associated with a higher daily fluid input (mean difference 95% confidence interval: 0.13 [0.05-0.20], P = .001). In nonsurgical patients, the pulmonary artery catheter group had a higher risk of acute kidney injury occurrence (odds ratio 95% confidence interval: 1.94 [1.32-2.84], P = .001). CONCLUSION: Early pulmonary artery catheter placement is not associated with survival benefits in critically ill patients with cardiac diseases, either in surgical or nonsurgical patients.

[Influence of group sample size on statistical power of tests for quantitative data with an imbalanced design].

OBJECTIVE: To explore the relationship between sample size in the groups and statistical power of ANOVA and Kruskal-Wallis H test with an imbalanced design. METHODS: The sample sizes of the two tests were estimated by SAS program with given parameter settings, and Monte Carlo simulation was used to examine the changes in power when the total sample size varied or remained fixed. RESULTS: In ANOVA, when the total sample size was fixed, increasing the sample size in the group with a larger mean square error improved the statistical power, but an excessively large difference in the sample sizes between groups led to reduced power. When the total sample size was not fixed, a larger mean square error in the group with increased sample size was associated with a greater increase of the statistical power. In Kruskal-wallis H test, when the total sample size was fixed, increasing the sample size in groups with large mean square errors increased the statistical power irrespective of the sample size difference between the groups; when total sample size was not fixed, a larger mean square error in the group with increased sample size resulted in an increased statistical power, and the increment was similar to that for a fixed total sample size. CONCLUSIONS: The relationship between statistical power and sample size in groups is affected by the mean square error, and increasing the sample size in a group with a large mean square error increases the statistical power. In Kruskal-Wallis H test, increasing the sample size in a group with a large mean square error is more cost- effective than increasing the total sample size to improve the statistical power.