Individual treatment effects of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors on the risk of chronic kidney disease in patients with type 2 diabetes: A counterfactual prediction model based on real-world data.

AIM: To estimate individual treatment effects (ITEs) of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) on lowering the risk of developing chronic kidney disease (CKD) in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and to identify those most probable to benefit from treatment. METHODS: This study followed a T2D cohort from Ramathibodi Hospital, Thailand, from 2015 to 2022. A counterfactual model was constructed to predict factual and counterfactual risks of CKD if patients did/did not receive SGLT2is. ITEs were estimated by subtracting the factual risk from the counterfactual risk of CKD. RESULTS: There were 1619 and 15 879 patients included in the SGLT2i and non-SGLT2i groups, respectively. The estimated ITEs varied from -1.19% to -17.51% with a median of -4.49%, that is, 50% of patients had a 4.49% or greater lower CKD risk if they received an SGLT2i. Patients who gained the greatest benefit from SGLT2is were more probable to be male, aged at least 60 years, with a history of diabetes duration of at least 3 months, hypertension, peripheral arterial disease, diabetic retinopathy and low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol. CONCLUSIONS: Our prediction model provides individualized information that helps target T2D patients who may benefit more from SGLT2is. This could help clinical decision making and implementation of personalized medicine in clinical practice, especially in resource-limited settings.

Effects of second-line antihyperglycemic drugs on the risk of chronic kidney disease: applying a target trial approach to a hospital-based cohort of Thai patients with type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: The reno-protective effect of second-line treatments in type 2 diabetes has been assessed by clinical trials but generalizability to routine clinical practice is still uncertain. We aimed to assess the effectiveness of these treatments, when added to metformin, on the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD). METHODS: A real-world, hospital-based, type 2 diabetes cohort was retrospectively assembled at Ramathibodi Hospital from 2010 to 2019. Patients who received sulfonylureas (SU), thiazolidinediones (TZD), dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4i), or sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i), as second-line antihyperglycemic treatment were included. Treatment effect models with inverse probability weighting and regression adjustment were used to estimate CKD risk according to treatment. RESULTS: CKD was identified in 4,132 of the 24,777 patients with type 2 diabetes (16.7%). The CKD incidence (95% CI) was 4.1% (2.2%, 6.9%), 13.5% (12.5%, 14.6%), 14.8% (13.5%, 16.1%), and 18.0% (17.4%, 18.5%) for patients receiving SGLT2i, DPP4i, TZD, and SU treatment, respectively. The average treatment effects (i.e., the difference in CKD risk) for SGLT2i, DPP4i, and TZD compared to SU were - 0.142 (- 0.167, - 0.116), - 0.046 (- 0.059, - 0.034), and - 0.004 (- 0.023, 0.014), respectively, indicating a significant reduction in CKD risk of 14.2% and 4.6% in the SGLT2i and DPP4i groups, respectively, compared to the SU group. Furthermore, SGLT2i significantly reduced CKD risk by 13.7% (10.6%, 16.8%) and 9.5% (6.8%, 12.2%) when compared to TZD and DPP4i, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our study identified 14.2%, 13.7%, and 9.5% reduced CKD risk in Thai patients with type 2 diabetes who were treated with SGLT2i compared to those treated with SU, TZD, and DPP4i, respectively, in real-world clinical data. Previous evidence of a reno-protective effect of SGLT2i reported in other populations is consistent with our observations in this Southeast Asian cohort.

A systematic review and meta-analysis of genotype-based and individualized data analysis of SLCO1B1 gene and statin-induced myopathy.

This meta-analysis was conducted to determine the genotypic effects of rs4149056 and rs2306283 polymorphism in SLCO1B1 gene on myopathy in patients with statin. Studies were searched using multiple databases and selected following inclusion criteria. Two reviewers independently performed data extraction and assessments for risk of bias. Fixed-or-random-effect was applied to pool allele frequency/effects. Mixed-effect logit model was used to pool genotypic effects using individual patient data. Heterogeneity and publication bias were explored. Fourteen studies were pooled for rs4149056; the minor C allele frequency were 15% in Caucasians and 14% in Asians. Six studies were pooled for rs2306283; the minor G allele frequency was 34% in Caucasian and 75% in Asians. Genotypic effects of rs4149056 polymorphism in Caucasians indicated that statin users who carried CC and TC genotypes had a significantly higher risk of myopathy than those who carried TT genotype, with a pooled odds ratio (OR) of 2.9 (95% confidence interval, 1.59, 5.34) and 1.6 (1.20, 2.16), respectively. For subgroup analysis, CC and TC genotypes also suggested a higher risk of myopathy in simvastatin users [OR = 2.8 (1.17, 6.77) and OR = 1.8 (1.15, 2.77), respectively] and in atorvastatin users [OR = 4.0 (1.23, 12.63) and OR = 2.0 (1.11, 3.52), respectively] than those who carried TT genotype. There was no significant association between rs2306283 polymorphism and myopathy in Caucasians and Asians. There was no evidence of publication bias for both polymorphisms.

The association between genetic polymorphisms in ABCG2 and SLC2A9 and urate: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Replication studies showed conflicting effects of ABCG2 and SLC2A9 polymorphisms on gout and serum urate. This meta-analysis therefore aimed to pool their effects across studies. METHODS: Studies were located from MEDLINE and Scopus from inception to 17th June 2018. Observational studies in adults with any polymorphism in ABCG2 or SLC2A9, and outcome including gout, hyperuricemia, and serum urate were included for pooling. Data extractions were performed by two independent reviewers. Genotype effects were pooled stratified by ethnicity using a mixed-effect logistic model and a multivariate meta-analysis for dichotomous and continuous outcomes. RESULTS: Fifty-two studies were included in the analysis. For ABCG2 polymorphisms, mainly studied in Asians, carrying 1-2 minor-allele-genotypes of rs2231142 and rs72552713 were respectively about 2.1-4.5 and 2.5-3.9 times higher odds of gout than non-minor-allele-genotypes. The two rs2231142-risk-genotypes also had higher serum urate about 11-18 µmol/l. Conversely, carrying 1-2 minor alleles of rs2231137 was about 36-57% significantly lower odds of gout. For SLC2A9 polymorphisms, mainly studied in Caucasians, carrying 1-2 minor alleles of rs1014290, rs6449213, rs6855911, and rs7442295 were about 25-43%, 31-62%, 33-64%, and 35-65% significantly lower odds of gout than non-minor-allele-genotypes. In addition, 1-2 minor-allele-genotypes of the latter three polymorphisms had significantly lower serum urate about 20-49, 21-51, and 18-54 µmol/l than non-minor-allele-genotypes. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings should be useful in identifying patients at risk for gout and high serum urate and these polymorphisms may be useful in personalized risk scores. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO registration number: CRD42018105275 .

An updated meta-analysis of effects of curcumin on metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease based on available evidence from Iran and Thailand.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is a common cause of chronic liver disease and can progress to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and cirrhosis. This study aims to summarize the evidence for the effects of curcumin on MAFLD progression. Studies were identified from Medline and Scopus databases until April 2022. Systematic reviews and meta-analyses (SRMA) and randomized controlled trials (RCT) were selected based on pre-specified criteria. Three reviewers independently extracted data and assessed quality of included studies. Of the 427 identified records, 6 SRMAs and 16 RCTs were included in the analysis. Very high overlap was observed among SRMAs with corrected covered area of 21.9%. From an updated meta-analysis, curcumin demonstrated significant improvement in aspartate and alanine aminotransferase with pooled mean difference [95% confidence interval (CI)] of -3.90 (-5.97, -1.82) and -5.61 (-9.37, -1.85) units/L, respectively. Resolution and improvement of hepatic steatosis was higher in curcumin than control group with pooled relative risk (95% CI) of 3.53 (2.01, 6.22) and 3.41 (1.36, 8.56), respectively. Curcumin supplementation also led to lower fasting blood sugar, body mass index, and total cholesterol. Further trials should be conducted to assess the effect of curcumin on liver histology, especially regarding non-invasive hepatic fibrosis and steatosis.

Clinical effectiveness of second-line antihyperglycemic drugs on major adverse cardiovascular events: An emulation of a target trial.

Introduction: The cardiovascular benefits of multiple antihyperglycemic drugs as add-on therapies to metformin in the real-practice are unclear. This study aimed to directly compare major adverse cardiovascular events (CVE) associated with these multiple drugs. Methods: An emulation of a target trial was conducted using a retrospective-cohort data of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) prescribed with second-line drugs on top of metformin, including sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i), dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4i), thiazolidinediones (TZD) and sulfonylureas (SUs). We applied inverse probability weighting and regression adjustment using intention-to-treat (ITT), per-protocol analysis (PPA) and modified ITT. Average treatment effects (ATE) were estimated using SUs as the reference. Results and Discussion: Among 25,498 patients with T2DM, 17,586 (69.0%), 3,261 (12.8%), 4,399 (17.3%), and 252 (1.0%) received SUs, TZD, DPP4i, and SGLT2i. Median follow-up time was 3.56 (1.36-7.00) years. CVE was identified in 963 patients. The ITT and modified ITT approaches showed similar results; the ATE (i.e., the difference of CVE risks) for SGLT2i, TZD, and DPP4i compared to SUs were -0.020(-0.040, -0.0002), -0.010(-0.017, -0.003), and -0.004(-0.010, 0.002), respectively, indicating 2% and 1% significant absolute risk reduction in CVE in SGLT2i and TZD compared to SUs. These corresponding effects were also significant in the PPA with ATEs of -0.045(-0.060, -0.031), -0.015(-0.026, -0.004), and -0.012(-0.020, -0.004). In addition, SGLT2i had 3.3% significant absolute risk reduction in CVE relative to DPP4i. Our study demonstrated benefits of SGLT2i and TZD in reducing CVE in T2DM patients compared to SUs when added to metformin.

Causal Associations of Urate With Cardiovascular Risk Factors: Two-Sample Mendelian Randomization.

BACKGROUND: Mendelian Randomization (MR) studies show conflicting causal associations of genetically predicted serum urate with cardiovascular risk factors (i.e., hypertension, diabetes, lipid profile, and kidney function). This study aimed to robustly investigate a causal relationship between urate and cardiovascular risk factors considering single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) as instrumental variables using two-sample MR and various sensitivity analyses. METHODS: Data on SNP-urate associations were taken from the Global Urate Genetics Consortium and data on SNP-cardiovascular risk factor associations were taken from various consortia/UK Biobank. SNPs were selected by statistically and biologically driven approaches as instrumental variables. Various sensitivity analyses were performed using different MR methods including inverse variance weighted, MR-Egger, weighted median/mode, MR-PRESSO, and the contamination mixture method. RESULTS: The statistically driven approach showed significant causal effects of urate on HDL-C and triglycerides using four of the six MR methods, i.e., every 1 mg/dl increase in genetically predicted urate was associated with 0.047 to 0.103 SD decrease in HDL-C and 0.034 to 0.207 SD increase in triglycerides. The biologically driven approach to selection of SNPs from ABCG2, SLC2A9, SLC17A1, SLC22A11, and SLC22A12 showed consistent causal effects of urate on HDL-C from all methods with 0.038 to 0.057 SD decrease in HDL-C per 1 mg/dl increase of urate, and no evidence of horizontal pleiotropy was detected. CONCLUSION: Our study suggests a significant and robust causal effect of genetically predicted urate on HDL-C. This finding may explain a small proportion (7%) of the association between increased urate and cardiovascular disease but points to urate being a novel cardiac risk factor.