Comparative Proteomic Analysis of HPV(+) Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Recurrence.

Deintensification therapy for human papillomavirus-related oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (HPV(+) OPSCC) is under active investigation. An adaptive treatment approach based on molecular stratification could identify high-risk patients predisposed to recurrence and better select for appropriate treatment regimens. Collectively, 40 HPV(+) OPSCC FFPE samples (20 disease-free, 20 recurrent) were surveyed using mass spectrometry-based proteomic analysis via data-independent acquisition to obtain fold change and false discovery differences. Ten-year overall survival was 100.0 and 27.7% for HPV(+) disease-free and recurrent cohorts, respectively. Of 1414 quantified proteins, 77 demonstrated significant differential expression. Top enriched functional pathways included those involved in programmed cell death (73 proteins, p = 7.43 × 10-30), apoptosis (73 proteins, p = 5.56 × 10-9), ß-catenin independent WNT signaling (47 proteins, p = 1.45 × 10-15), and Rho GTPase signaling (69 proteins, p = 1.09 × 10-5). PFN1 (p = 1.0 × 10-3), RAD23B (p = 2.9 × 10-4), LDHB (p = 1.0 × 10-3), and HINT1 (p = 3.8 × 10-3) pathways were significantly downregulated in the recurrent cohort. On functional validation via immunohistochemistry (IHC) staining, 46.9% (PFN1), 71.9% (RAD23B), 59.4% (LDHB), and 84.4% (HINT1) of cases were corroborated with mass spectrometry findings. Development of a multilateral molecular signature incorporating these targets may characterize high-risk disease, predict treatment response, and augment current management paradigms in head and neck cancer.

Nodal staging convergence for HPV- and HPV+ oropharyngeal carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Modern disease staging systems have restructured human papillomavirus (HPV)-negative (HPV-) and HPV-positive (HPV+) oropharyngeal carcinoma (OPC) into distinct pathologic nodal systems. Given that quantitative lymph node (LN) burden is the dominant prognostic factor in most head and neck cancers, we investigated whether HPV- and HPV+ OPC warrant divergent pathologic nodal classification. METHODS: Multivariable Cox regression models of OPC surgical patients identified via U.S. cancer registry data were constructed to determine associations between survival and nodal characteristics. Nonlinear associations between metastatic LN number and survival were modeled with restricted cubic splines. Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was used to derive unbiased nodal schema. RESULTS: Mortality risk escalated continuously with each successive positive LN in both OPC subtypes, with analogous slope. Survival hazard increased by 18.5% (hazard ratio [HR], 1.19 [95% CI, 1.16-1.21]; P < .001) and 19.1% (HR, 1.19 [95% CI, 1.17-1.21]; P < .001), with each added positive LN for HPV- and HPV+ OPC, respectively, up to identical change points of 5 positive LNs. Extranodal extension (ENE) was an independent predictor of HPV- OPC (HR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.20-1.99]; P < .001) and HPV+ OPC (HR 1.73 [95% CI, 1.36-2.20]; P < .001) mortality. In RPA for both diseases, metastatic LN was the principal nodal covariate driving survival, with ENE as a secondary determinant. Given the similarities across analyses, we propose a concise, unifying HPV-/HPV+ OPC pathologic nodal classification schema: N1, 1-5 LN+/ENE-; N2, 1-5 LN+/ENE+; N3, >5 LN+. CONCLUSION: HPV- and HPV+ OPC exhibit parallel relationships between nodal characteristics and relative mortality. In both diseases, metastatic LN number represents the principal nodal covariate governing survival, with ENE being an influential secondary element. A consolidated OPC pathologic nodal staging system that is based on these covariates may best convey prognosis. LAY SUMMARY: The current nodal staging system for oropharyngeal carcinoma (OPC) has divided human papillomavirus (HPV)-negative (HPV-) and HPV-positive (HPV+) OPC into distinct systems that rely upon criteria that establish them as separate entities, a complexity that may undermine the core objective of staging schema to clearly communicate prognosis. Our large-scale analysis revealed that HPV- and HPV+ pathologic nodal staging systems in fact mirror each other. Multiple analyses produced conspicuously similar nodal staging systems, with metastatic lymph node number and extranodal extension delineating the highest risk groups that shape prognosis. We propose unifying HPV- and HPV+ nodal systems to best streamline prognostication and maximize staging accuracy.

Prognostic Impact of Histologic Grade for Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: While numerous factors affect prognosis in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), the comparative impact of histologic grade has not been well described. Moreover, indications for external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) remain imprecise. We evaluate clinicopathologic characteristics and outcomes for PTC stratified by grade. METHODS: We profiled histologic grade for PTC (well differentiated, moderately differentiated, poorly differentiated) via hospital (National Cancer Database) and population-based (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) registries. Cox regression was used to adjust for clinicopathologic covariates. Statistical interactions between subtypes and the effect of EBRT on survival were assessed. RESULTS: Collectively, worsening clinicopathologic factors (age, tumor size, extrathyroidal extension, nodal spread, M1 disease) and outcomes (disease-free survival, overall survival) correlated with less differentiated state, across all histologic grades (p < 0.001). Multivariable analysis showed escalating hazard with loss of differentiation relative to well-differentiated PTC (moderately differentiated hazard ratio [HR] 1.21, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.41, p = 0.02; poorly differentiated HR 2.62, 95% CI 2.23-3.08, p < 0.001). Correspondingly, greater survival benefit was associated with EBRT for poorly differentiated cases (HR 0.36, 95% CI 0.18-0.72, p = 0.004). This finding was upheld after landmark analysis to address potential immortal time bias (HR 0.37, 95% CI 0.17-0.80, p = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Worsening histologic grade in PTC is independently associated with parallel escalation in mortality risk, on a scale approximating or surpassing established thyroid cancer risk factors. On preliminary analysis, EBRT was associated with improved survival in the most aggressive or least differentiated subvariants. Further investigation is warranted to examine the efficacy of EBRT for select poorly differentiated thyroid carcinomas.

Quantitative metastatic lymph node burden and survival in Merkel cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Current lymph node (LN) staging for Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) does not account for the number of metastatic LNs, which is a primary driver of survival in multiple cancers. OBJECTIVE: To determine the impact of the number of metastatic LNs on survival in MCC. METHODS: Patients with MCC undergoing surgery were identified from the National Cancer Database (NCDB). The association between metastatic LN number and survival was modeled with restricted cubic splines. A novel nodal classification system was derived by using recursive partitioning analysis. MCC patients undergoing surgery in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program were used as validation cohort. RESULTS: Among 3670 patients in the NCDB, increasing metastatic LN number was associated with decreased survival (P < .001). Mortality risk increased continuously with each additional positive LN when using multivariable, nonlinear modeling. According to a novel staging system derived via recursive partitioning analysis, the hazard ratio for death in multivariable regression compared with patients without LN involvement was 1.24 (P = .049), 2.08 (P < .001), 3.24 (P < .001), and 6.13 (P < .001) for the proposed N1a (1-3 metastatic LNs with microscopic detection), N1b (1-3 metastatic LNs with macroscopic detection), N2 (4-8 metastatic LNs), and N3 (≥9 metastatic LNs), respectively. This system was validated in the SEER cohort and showed improved concordance compared with the American Joint Committee on Cancer, Eighth Edition. LIMITATIONS: Retrospective design. CONCLUSIONS: Number of metastatic LNs is the dominant nodal factor driving survival in patients with MCC.

Stage I HPV-positive oropharyngeal cancer: Should all patients receive similar treatments?

BACKGROUND: Patients with clinical stage I human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell cancer (OPSCC) according to the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) eighth edition classification comprise a heterogeneous group formerly classified as stage I to stage IVA according to the seventh edition of the AJCC classification. These patients historically were treated with disparate treatment regimens, particularly with respect to the use of concurrent chemotherapy. METHODS: The National Cancer Data Base was queried for patients with AJCC eighth edition clinical stage I HPV-positive OPSCC (AJCC seventh edition stage T1-2N0-2bM0) who were diagnosed from 2010 to 2014 and underwent definitive radiotherapy. Concurrent chemotherapy with definitive radiotherapy was defined as chemotherapy administered within 7 days of the initiation of radiotherapy. RESULTS: The current analysis included 4473 patients with HPV-positive stage I OPSCC with a median follow-up of 36.3 months. A total of 3127 patients (69.9%) received concurrent chemotherapy. Concurrent chemotherapy was found to be associated with improved overall survival on multivariable analyses (hazard ratio [HR], 0.782; 95% CI, 0.645-0.948 [P = .012]). The effect of chemotherapy on survival varied based on lymph node involvement (P for interaction = .001). Specifically, chemotherapy was associated with improved survival for patients with lymph node-positive stage I disease (stage III-IVA according to the AJCC seventh edition: HR, 0.682; 95% CI, 0.557-0.835 [P < .001]), but not for patients with N0 disease (stage I-II according to the AJCC seventh edition: HR, 1.646; 95% CI, 1.011-2.681 [P = .05]). Similar results were noted among propensity score-matched cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with concurrent chemotherapy was associated with improved overall survival for patients with lymph node-positive, but not lymph node-negative, AJCC eighth edition stage I HPV-positive OPSCC undergoing definitive radiotherapy, thereby supporting different treatment paradigms for these patients.

The association between facility volume and overall survival in patients with Merkel cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Merkel cell carcinoma is an uncommon malignancy often requiring multidisciplinary management. The purpose of this study was to determine whether high-volume facilities have improved outcomes in patients with Merkel cell carcinoma relative to lower-volume facilities. METHODS: A total of 5304 patients from the National Cancer Database with stage I-III Merkel cell carcinoma undergoing surgery were analyzed. High-volume facilities were the top 1% by case volume. Multivariable Cox regression and propensity score-matching were performed to account for imbalances between groups. RESULTS: Treatment at high-volume facilities (hazard ratio: 0.74; 95% confidence interval: 0.65-0.84, P < .001) was independently associated with improved overall survival (OS) in multivariable analyses. In propensity score-matched cohorts, 5-year OS was 62.3% at high-volume facilities vs 56.8% at lower-volume facilities (P < .001). Median OS was 111 months at high-volume facilities vs 79 months at lower-volume facilities. CONCLUSION: Treatment at high-volume facilities is associated with improved OS in Merkel cell carcinoma. Given the impracticality of referring all elderly patients with Merkel cell carcinoma to a small number of facilities, methods to mitigate this disparity should be explored.

EZH2 couples pancreatic regeneration to neoplastic progression.

Although the polycomb group protein Enhancer of Zeste Homolog 2 (EZH2) is well recognized for its role as a key regulator of cell differentiation, its involvement in tissue regeneration is largely unknown. Here we show that EZH2 is up-regulated following cerulein-induced pancreatic injury and is required for tissue repair by promoting the regenerative proliferation of progenitor cells. Loss of EZH2 results in impaired pancreatic regeneration and accelerates KRas(G12D)-driven neoplasia. Our findings implicate EZH2 in constraining neoplastic progression through homeostatic mechanisms that control pancreatic regeneration and provide insights into the documented link between chronic pancreatic injury and an increased risk for pancreatic cancer.

Impact of insurance on survival in patients < 65 with head & neck cancer treated with radiotherapy.

OBJECTIVES: The United States has a heterogenous health insurance landscape for patients <65 years. We sought to characterise the impact of primary payer on overall survival (OS) in insured patients younger than 65 with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) treated with definitive radiotherapy. DESIGN/STUDY/PARTICIPANTS: The National Cancer Database was queried for patients <65 years old diagnosed from 2004 to 2014 undergoing definitive radiotherapy ± chemotherapy for cancers of the nasopharynx, oropharynx, hypopharynx and larynx. Uninsured patients and oropharyngeal cancers without known HPV status were excluded. MAIN OUTCOME: Overall survival. RESULTS: Overall, 27 292 insured patients were identified, including 17 060 (62.5%) with private insurance. Median follow-up was 52.1 months. In multivariable models, patients receiving Medicaid (HR = 1.66, 95% CI 1.57-1.75, P < .001), Medicare (HR = 1.64, 95% CI 1.55-1.73, P < .001) and other government insurance (HR = 1.44, 95% CI 1.29-1., P < .001) had independently increased mortality in comparison to those with private insurance. In propensity score-matched cohorts, 5-year OS was 65.5% vs 50.6% for privately vs government-insured patients, respectively (P < .001). In multivariable subgroup analysis, private insurance was associated with improved survival in all subgroups. However, the magnitude of this effect was most pronounced in patients with HPV-positive oropharyngeal cancer vs non-HPV-related cancer (interaction P < .001), younger patients (interaction P = .001), and those without comorbidity (interaction P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Patients <65 with HNSCC undergoing definitive radiation with private health insurance have markedly longer survival relative to patients with government-sponsored insurance. This illustrates that increasing access to care may be necessary, but is not sufficient, to mitigate the significant disparities in the US healthcare system.

Human papillomavirus in oropharyngeal cancer: The changing face of a disease.

The last decade has brought about an unexpected rise in oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) primarily in white males from the ages of 40-55years, with limited exposure to alcohol and tobacco. This subset of squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) has been found to be associated with human papillomavirus infection (HPV). Other Head and Neck Squamous Cell carcinoma (HNSCC) subtypes include oral cavity, hypopharyngeal, nasopharyngeal, and laryngeal SCC which tend to be HPV negative. HPV associated oropharyngeal cancer has proven to differ from alcohol and tobacco associated oropharyngeal carcinoma in regards to the molecular pathophysiology, presentation, epidemiology, prognosis, and improved response to chemoradiation therapy. Given the improved survival of patients with HPV associated SCC, efforts to de-intensify treatment to decrease treatment related morbidity are at the forefront of clinical research. This review will focus on the important differences between HPV and tobacco related oropharyngeal cancer. We will review the molecular pathogenesis of HPV related oropharyngeal cancer with an emphasis on new paradigms for screening and treating this disease.

Mast cells promote atherosclerosis by releasing proinflammatory cytokines.

Mast cells contribute importantly to allergic and innate immune responses by releasing various preformed and newly synthesized mediators. Previous studies have shown mast cell accumulation in human atherosclerotic lesions. This report establishes the direct participation of mast cells in atherogenesis in low-density lipoprotein receptor-deficient (Ldlr(-/-)) mice. Atheromata from compound mutant Ldlr(-/-) Kit(W-sh)(/W-sh) mice showed decreased lesion size, lipid deposition, T-cell and macrophage numbers, cell proliferation and apoptosis, but increased collagen content and fibrous cap development. In vivo, adoptive transfer of syngeneic wild-type or tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-alpha-deficient mast cells restored atherogenesis to Ldlr(-/-)Kit(W-sh/W-sh) mice. Notably, neither interleukin (IL)-6- nor interferon (IFN)-gamma-deficient mast cells did so, indicating that the inhibition of atherogenesis in Ldlr(-/-)Kit(W-sh/W-sh) mice resulted from the absence of mast cells and mast cell-derived IL-6 and IFN-gamma. Compared with wild-type or TNF-alpha-deficient mast cells, those lacking IL-6 or IFN-gamma did not induce expression of proatherogenic cysteine proteinase cathepsins from vascular cells in vitro or affect cathepsin and matrix metalloproteinase activities in atherosclerotic lesions, implying that mast cell-derived IL-6 and IFN-gamma promote atherogenesis by augmenting the expression of matrix-degrading proteases. These observations establish direct participation of mast cells and mast cell-derived IL-6 and IFN-gamma in mouse atherogenesis and provide new mechanistic insight into the pathogenesis of this common disease.

Re-examining predictors of pathologic lymph node positivity in clinically node negative oral cavity cancer.

BACKGROUND: Elective lymph node dissection (ELND) is performed for many early-stage oral cavity squamous cell carcinomas (OCSCC) with clinically negative necks (cN0), often guided by depth of invasion (DOI). However, DOI is less validated in non-tongue OC sites, and often correlates with other adverse features. We sought to evaluate the utility of DOI versus other factors for independently predicting pathologic lymph node positivity (pN+) in patients with cN0 OCSCC. METHODS: Patients with cN0 OCSCC diagnosed from 2010 to 2015 undergoing primary surgery were identified in the National Cancer Data Base. RESULTS: 5060 cN0 OCSCC patients met inclusion criteria. The presence of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) was the strongest independent predictor of pN+ (odds ratio [OR] = 4.27, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.36-5.42, P < 0.001). High histologic grade also strongly predicted pN+ (OR 3.33, 95% CI 2.20-4.60, P < 0.001). DOI had no association with the likelihood of pN+ among all OCSCC patients, but was predictive among patients within the oral tongue subset (OR 2.01, 95% CI 1.08-3.73, P = 0.03 for DOI > 20 mm vs. DOI: 2.0-3.99 mm). CONCLUSION: LVI and grade are the strongest independent predictors of pN+ in cN0 OCSCC. Contrary to prior studies, DOI was not found to be a predictor of pN+ among patients with cN0 OCSCC. However, DOI was a predictor of pN+ or the oral tongue subset, albeit still less strongly than LVI or grade. These findings could potentially be used to better identify a subset of cN0 OCSCC patients who could be considered for omission of ELND in future studies.

EGFR pathway targeting drugs in head and neck cancer in the era of immunotherapy.

Receptor tyrosine kinases (RTKs) are cell surface receptors that bind growth factor ligands and initiate cellular signaling. Of the 20 classes of RTKs, 7 classes, I-V, VIII, and X, are linked to head and neck cancers (HNCs). We focus on the first class of RTK, epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), as it is the most thoroughly studied class. EGFR overexpression is observed in 20% of tumors, and expression of EGFR variant III is seen in 15% of aggressive chemoradiotherapy resistant HNCs. Currently, the EGFR monoclonal antibody (mAb) cetuximab is the only FDA approved RTK-targeting drug for the treatment of HNCs. Clinical trials have also included EGFR mAbs, with tyrosine kinase inhibitors, and small molecule inhibitors targeting the EGFR, MAPK, and mTOR pathways. Additionally, Immunotherapy has been found to be effective in 15 to 20% of patients with recurrent or metastatic HNC as a monotherapy. Thus, attempts are underway for the combinatorial treatment of immunotherapy and EGFR mAbs to determine if the recruitment of immune cells in the tumor microenvironment can overcome EGFR resistance.

Predicting Pathologic Lymph Node Positivity in cN0 Pharynx and Larynx Cancers.

BACKGROUND: Elective neck dissection is a standard of care for pharynx and most larynx cancer patients undergoing surgery, based largely on historical series. It is unclear if this is necessary for all patients in the modern era. METHODS: Patients with cN0 oropharynx, larynx, and hypopharynx cancers diagnosed from 2010-2015 undergoing primary surgery were identified in the National Cancer Data Base. RESULTS: Inclusion criteria were met by 4117 cN0 patients. The presence of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) was the strongest independent predictor of pN+ (odds ratio [OR] = 4.19, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.56-4.93, p < 0.001). Histologic grade strongly predicted pN+ (OR 2.58, 95% CI 1.88-3.59, p < 0.001). A nomogram predicted less than 10% of cN0 patients had pN+ risk <15%. CONCLUSION: LVI and grade are the strongest predictors of pN+ among patients with cN0 pharynx and larynx cancer. Even in the modern era, pN+ rates warrant neck dissection for cN0 patients. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3 Laryngoscope, 133:1660-1666, 2023.

Comparative impact of grade on mortality across salivary cancers: A novel, unifying staging system.

BACKGROUND: The comparative impact of histologic variants and grade has not been well described. METHODS: Salivary cancer histologies were profiled using hospital and population-based cancer registries. Multivariable models were employed to assess relationships between histology, grade, and survival. RESULTS: On univariate analysis, histologic variants exhibited a wide spectrum of mortality risk (5-year overall survival (OS): 86% (acinic cell carcinoma), 78% (mucoepidermoid carcinoma), 72% (adenoid cystic carcinoma), 64% (carcinoma ex-pleomorphic adenoma), 52% (adenocarcinoma NOS), and 47% (salivary duct carcinoma) (p < 0.001). However, on multivariable analysis these differences largely vanished. Worsening grade corresponded with deteriorating survival (5-year OS: 89% [low-grade], 81% [intermediate-grade], 45% [high-grade]; p < 0.001), which was upheld on multivariable analysis and propensity score matching. Recursive partitioning analysis generated TNM + G schema (c-index 0.75) superior to the existing system (c-index 0.73). CONCLUSION: Grade represents a primary determinant of salivary cancer prognosis. Integrating grade into stage strengthens current staging systems.

Jaw-in-a-Riley-Day: Mandibular Free Flap Reconstruction With Virtual Surgical Planning in a Patient With Familial Dysautonomia.

We present a unique case of mandibular reconstruction using virtual surgical planning (VSP) of a post-traumatic mandibular non-union defect for a patient with familial dysautonomia (FD), also known as Riley-Day Syndrome. In this case, the complexity related to perioperative and surgical challenges illustrates the utility of VSP and the importance of multi-disciplinary collaboration in jaw-free flap reconstructive surgery. We highlight our experience with the "Jaw-In-A-Day" approach in conjunction with tailored preoperative planning and perioperative care resulting in successful mandibular free flap reconstruction.

Financial Hardship in Patients With Head and Neck Cancer.

PURPOSE: Financial hardship is a growing concern for patients with cancer. Patients with head and neck cancer (HNC) are particularly vulnerable, given that a third leave the workforce following treatment. The goal of our study was to characterize financial hardship in the psychologic response (response to increased expenses) and coping behaviors (behaviors patients adopt to manage their care in the setting of increased expenses) domains in patients with HNC compared with patients with other cancers. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of nationally representative public survey data from 2013 to 2018 in the National Health Interviews Survey, an annual cross-sectional household survey. We included respondents age ≥ 18 years who reported a diagnosis of cancer and identified a subset of patients with HNC. Our main outcomes were financial hardship in the psychologic response and coping behaviors domains. RESULTS: Our sample included a weighted population of 357,052 patients with HNC and 21.4 million patients with other cancers. Compared with patients with other cancers, patients with HNC reported greater levels of coping behaviors hardship (31% v 23%, P = .015), but similar levels of psychologic financial hardship (73% v 72%, P = .787). Medicaid or uninsured patients more often reported coping behaviors hardship. On multivariable analysis, HNC (odds ratio, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.01 to 2.24) was independently associated with coping behaviors hardship. CONCLUSION: To our knowledge, this is the first study to evaluate financial hardship in patients with HNC compared with patients with other cancers that includes Medicaid and uninsured patients, who are more often to have financial hardship. Patients with HNC have greater levels of hardship in the coping behaviors domain compared with patients with other cancers, but similar levels in the psychologic response domain.

Expanded Parameters in Active Surveillance for Low-risk Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: A Nonrandomized Controlled Trial.

Importance: Unlike for prostate cancer, active surveillance for thyroid cancer has not achieved wide adoption. The parameters by which this approach is feasible are also not well defined, nor is the effect of patient anxiety. Objective: To determine if expanded size/growth parameters for patients with low-risk thyroid cancer are viable, as well as to assess for cohort differences in anxiety. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective nonrandomized controlled trial was conducted at a US academic medical center from 2014 to 2021, with mean [SD] 37.1 [23.3]-month follow-up. Of 257 patients with 20-mm or smaller Bethesda 5 to 6 thyroid nodules, 222 (86.3%) enrolled and selected treatment with either active surveillance or immediate surgery. Delayed surgery was recommended for size growth larger than 5 mm or more than 100% volume growth. Patients completed the 18-item Thyroid Cancer Modified Anxiety Scale over time. Interventions: Active surveillance. Main Outcomes and Measures: Cumulative incidence and rate of size/volume growth. Results: Of the 222 patients enrolled, the median (IQR) age for the study population was 46.8 (36.6-58) years, and 76.1% were female. Overall, 112 patients (50.5%) underwent treatment with active surveillance. Median tumor size was 11.0 mm (IQR, 9-15), and larger tumors (10.1-20.0 mm) comprised 67 cases (59.8%). One hundred one (90.1%) continued to receive treatment with active surveillance, 46 (41.0%) had their tumors shrink, and 0 developed regional/distant metastases. Size growth of more than 5 mm was observed in 3.6% of cases, with cumulative incidence of 1.2% at 2 years and 10.8% at 5 years. Volumetric growth of more than 100% was observed in 7.1% of cases, with cumulative incidence of 2.2% at 2 years and 13.7% at 5 years. Of 110 patients who elected to undergo immediate surgery, 21 (19.1%) had equivocal-risk features discovered on final pathology. Disease severity for all such patients remained classified as stage I. Disease-specific and overall survival rates in both cohorts were 100%. On multivariable analysis, immediate surgery patients exhibited significantly higher baseline anxiety levels compared with active surveillance patients (estimated difference in anxiety scores between groups at baseline, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.22-0.55; P < .001). This difference endured over time, even after intervention (estimated difference at 4-year follow-up, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.21-0.79; P = .001). Conclusions and Relevance: The results of this nonrandomized controlled trial suggest that a more permissive active surveillance strategy encompassing most diagnosed thyroid cancers appears viable. Equivocal-risk pathologic features exist in a subset of cases that can be safely treated, but suggest the need for more granular risk stratification. Surgery and surveillance cohorts possess oppositional levels of worry, elevating the importance of shared decision-making when patients face treatment equivalence. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02609685.

Development and Validation of a Modified Pathologic Nodal Classification System for Cutaneous Melanoma.

Importance: Given the evolving patterns of lymph node evaluation for cutaneous melanoma, it is unclear whether the current nodal classification system will continue to accurately reflect prognosis in the modern era. Existing nodal staging for cutaneous melanoma was developed primarily for patients undergoing completion lymph node dissection (CLND) for node-positive disease and does not produce groups with continuously increasing mortality. Objective: To develop and validate a modified nodal classification system for cutaneous melanoma. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort analysis included 105 785 patients with cutaneous melanoma undergoing surgery and nodal evaluation from January 1, 2004, to December 31, 2015, in the National Cancer Database. Extent of lymph node dissection was available for patients diagnosed in 2012 and onward. Multivariable models were generated with number of positive lymph nodes modeled using restricted cubic splines. A modified nodal classification system was derived using recursive partitioning analysis (RPA). The proposed lymph node classification system was validated in 85 499 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER-18) database. Data were analyzed from April 9, 2020, to May 28, 2021. Main Outcomes and Measures: Overall survival. Results: Among the 105 785 patients included in the analysis (62 496 men [59.1%]; mean [SD] age, 59.9 [15.5] years), number of positive lymph nodes (hazard ratio [HR] per lymph node for 0 to 2 positive lymph nodes, 2.48 [95% CI, 2.37-2-61; P < .001]; HR per lymph node for ≥3 positive lymph nodes, 1.10 [95% CI 1.07-1.13; P < .001]), clinically detected metastases (HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.27-1.42; P < .001), and in-transit metastases (HR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.34-1.65; P < .001) were independently associated with mortality. An RPA-derived system using these variables demonstrated continuously increasing mortality for each proposed lymph node classification group, with HRs of 1.83 (95% CI, 1.76-1.91) for N1a, 2.72 (95% CI, 2.58-2.86) for N1b, 3.79 (95% CI, 3.51-4.08) for N2a, 4.56 (95% CI, 4.22-4.92) for N2b, 6.15 (95% CI, 5.59-6.76) for N3a, and 8.25 (95% CI, 7.64-8.91) for N3b in the proposed system (P < .001). By contrast, the current American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) nodal classification system produced a more haphazard mortality profile, with HRs of 1.83 (95% CI, 1.76-1.91) for N1a, 3.81 (95% CI, 3.53-4.12) for N1b, 2.59 (95% CI, 2.30-2.93) for N1c, 2.71 (95% CI, 2.56-2.87) for N2a, 4.51 (95% CI, 4.17-4.87) for N2b, 3.44 (95% CI, 2.60-4.55) for N2c, 6.06 (95% CI, 5.51-6.67) for N3a, 8.15 (95% CI, 7.54-8.81) for N3b, and 6.90 (95% CI, 5.60-8.49) for N3c. As a sensitivity analysis, the proposed system continued to accurately stratify patients when excluding those undergoing CLND for microscopic lymph node metastases. This system was validated for overall survival and cause-specific mortality in SEER-18. Last, a new overall staging system for node-positive patients was developed by RPA and demonstrated improved concordance vs the AJCC, 8th edition system (C statistic, 0.690 [95% CI, 0.689-0.691] vs 0.666 [95% CI, 0.666-0.668]). Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cohort study suggest that a modified nodal classification system can accurately stratify mortality risk in cutaneous melanoma in an era of increasing use of sentinel lymph node biopsy without CLND and should be considered for future staging systems.

A Clinical Decision Analysis for Use of Antibiotic Prophylaxis for Nonabsorbable Nasal Packing.

OBJECTIVE: Nonabsorbable nasal packing is often placed for the treatment of epistaxis or after sinonasal or skull base surgery. Antibiotics are often prescribed to prevent toxic shock syndrome (TSS), a rare, potentially fatal occurrence. However, the risk of TSS must be balanced against the major risk of antibiotic use, specifically Clostridium difficile colitis (CDC). The purpose of this study is to evaluate in terms of cost-effectiveness whether antibiotics should be prescribed when nasal packing is placed. STUDY DESIGN: A clinical decision analysis was performed using a Markov model to evaluate whether antibiotics should be given. SETTING: Patients with nonabsorbable nasal packing placed. METHODS: Utility scores, probabilities, and costs were obtained from the literature. We assess the cost-effectiveness of antibiotic use when the risk of community-acquired CDC is balanced against the risk of TSS from nasal packing. Sensitivity analysis was performed for assumptions used in the model. RESULTS: The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for antibiotic use was 334,493 US dollars (USD)/quality-adjusted life year (QALY). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that not prescribing antibiotics was cost-effective in 98.0% of iterations at a willingness to pay of 50,000 USD/QALY. Sensitivity analysis showed that when the risk of CDC from antibiotics was greater than 910/100,000 or when the incidence of TSS after nasal packing was less than 49/100,000 cases, the decision to withhold antibiotics was cost-effective. CONCLUSIONS: Routine antibiotic prophylaxis in the setting of nasal packing is not cost-effective and should be reconsidered. Even if antibiotics are assumed to prevent TSS, the risk of complications from antibiotic use is of greater consequence. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3a.

Incidental parathyroidectomy in thyroidectomy and central neck dissection.

BACKGROUND: Although higher thyroidectomy volume has been linked with lower complication rates, its association with incidental parathyroidectomy remains less studied. The volume relationship is even less clear for central neck dissection, where individual parathyroid glands are at greater risk. METHODS: Patients undergoing thyroidectomy with or without central neck dissection were evaluated for incidental parathyroidectomy, hypoparathyroidism, and hypocalcemia. Univariate and multivariable analyses were performed using binary logistic regression. RESULTS: Overall, 1,114 thyroidectomies and 396 concurrent central neck dissections were performed across 7 surgeons. Incidental parathyroidectomy occurred in 22.4% of surgeries (range, 16.9%-43.6%), affecting 7.1% of parathyroids at risk (range, 5.8%-14.5%). When stratified by surgeon, lower incidental parathyroidectomy rates were associated with higher thyroidectomy volumes (R2 = 0.77, P = .008) and higher central neck dissection volumes (R2 = 0.93, P < .001). On multivariable analysis, low-volume surgeon (odds ratio 2.94, 95% confidence interval 2.06-4.19, P < .001), extrathyroidal extension (odds ratio 3.13, 95% confidence interval 1.24-7.87, P = .016), prophylactic central neck dissection (odds ratio 2.68, 95% confidence interval 1.65-4.35, P <.001), and therapeutic central neck dissection (odds ratio 4.44, 95% confidence interval 1.98-9.96, P < .001) were the most significant factors associated with incidental parathyroidectomy. In addition, incidental parathyroidectomy was associated with a higher likelihood of temporary hypoparathyroidism (odds ratio 2.79, 95% confidence interval 1.45-5.38, P = .002) and permanent hypoparathyroidism (odds ratio 4.62, 95% confidence interval 1.41-5.96, P = .025), but not permanent hypocalcemia (odds ratio 1.27, 95% confidence interval 0.48-3.35, P = .63). Higher lymph node yield in central neck dissection was not associated with higher incidental parathyroidectomy rates (odds ratio 1.13, 95% confidence interval 0.85-8.81, P = .82). CONCLUSION: Higher surgical volume conferred a lower rate of incidental parathyroidectomy. Nonetheless, greater lymph node yield in central neck dissections did not result in greater parathyroid-related morbidity. Such findings support the value of leveraging surgical volume to both optimize oncologic resection and minimize complication rates.