The impacts of precipitation patterns on dengue epidemics in Guangzhou city.

Some studies have demonstrated that precipitation is an important risk factor of dengue epidemics. However, current studies mostly focused on a single precipitation variable, and few studies focused on the impact of precipitation patterns on dengue epidemics. This study aims to explore optimal precipitation patterns for dengue epidemics. Weekly dengue case counts and meteorological data from 2006 to 2018 in Guangzhou of China were collected. A generalized additive model with Poisson distribution was used to investigate the association between precipitation patterns and dengue. Precipitation patterns were defined as the combinations of three weekly precipitation variables: accumulative precipitation (Pre_A), the number of days with light or moderate precipitation (Pre_LMD), and the coefficient of precipitation variation (Pre_CV). We explored to identify optimal precipitation patterns for dengue epidemics. With a lead time of 10 weeks, minimum temperature, relative humidity, Pre_A, and Pre_LMD were positively associated with dengue, while Pre_CV was negatively associated with dengue. A precipitation pattern with Pre_A of 20.67-55.50 mm per week, Pre_LMD of 3-4 days per week, and Pre_CV less than 1.41 per week might be an optimal precipitation pattern for dengue epidemics in Guangzhou. The finding may be used for climate-smart early warning and decision-making of dengue prevention and control.

Urban-rural differences in the association between long-term exposure to ambient particulate matter (PM) and malnutrition status among children under five years old: A cross-sectional study in China.

Background: The evidence regarding the relationship between postnatal exposure of air pollution and child malnutrition indicators, as well as the corresponding urban-rural disparities, is limited, especially in low-pollution area of low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Therefore, our aim was to contrast the effect estimates of varying ambient particulate matter (PM) on malnutrition indicators between urban and rural areas in Tibet, China. Methods: Six malnutrition indicators were evaluated in this study, namely, Z-scores of height for age (HFA), Z-scores of weight for age (WFA), Z-scores of weight for height (WFH), stunting, underweight, and wasting. Exposure to particles with an aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 micron (µm) (PM2.5), particles with an aerodynamic diameter ≤10 µm (PM10) and particles with an aerodynamic diameter between 2.5 and 10 µm (PMc) was estimated using satellite-based random forest models. Linear regression and logistic regression models were used to assess the associations between PM and the above malnutrition indicators. Furthermore, the effect estimates of different PM were contrasted between urban and rural areas. Results: A total of 2511 children under five years old were included in this study. We found long-term exposure to PM2.5, PMc, and PM10 was associated with an increased risk of stunting and a decreased risk of underweight. Of these air pollutants, PMc had the strongest association for Z-scores of HFA and stunting, while PM2.5 had the strongest association for underweight. The results showed that the odds ratio (OR) for stunting were 1.36 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.06 to 1.75) per interquartile range (IQR) microgrammes per cubic metre (µg/m3) increase in PM2.5, 1.80 (95% CI = 1.30 to 2.50) per IQR µg/m3 increase in PMc and 1.55 (95% CI = 1.17 to 2.05) per IQR µg/m3 increase in PM10. The concentrations of PM were higher in urban areas, and the effects of PM on malnutrition indicators among urban children were higher than those of rural children. Conclusions: Our results suggested that PM exposure might be an important trigger of child malnutrition. Further prospective researches are needed to provide important scientific literature for understanding child malnutrition risk concerning postnatal exposure of air pollutants and formulating synthetically social and environmental policies for malnutrition prevention.

The impact of ambient air pollution on hospital admissions, length of stay and hospital costs for patients with diabetes mellitus and comorbid respiratory diseases in Panzhihua, Southwest China.

Background: There is limited evidence on association between air pollutants and hospital admissions, hospital cost and length of stay (LOS) among patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) and comorbid respiratory diseases (RD), especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) with low levels of air pollution. Methods: Daily data on RD-DM patients were collected in Panzhihua from 2016 to 2020. A generalised additive model (GAM) was used to explore the effect of air pollutants on daily hospital admissions, LOS and hospital cost. Attributable risk was employed to estimate RD-DM's burden due to exceeding air pollution exposure, using both 0 microgrammes per cubic metre (µg/m3) and WHO's 2021 air quality guidelines as reference. Results: For each 10 ug/m3 increase of particles with an aerodynamic diameter <2.5 micron (µm) (PM2.5), particles with an aerodynamic diameter <10 µm (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and ozone (O3), the admissions of RD-DM patients increased by 7.25% (95% CI = 4.26 to 10.33), 5.59% (95% CI = 3.79 to 7.42), 10.10% (95% CI = 7.29 to 12.98), 12.33% (95% CI = 8.82 to 15.95) and -2.99% (95% CI = -4.08 to -1.90); per 1 milligramme per cubic metre (mg/m3) increase of carbon monoxide (CO) corresponded to a 25.77% (95% CI = 17.88 to 34.19) increment for admissions of RD-DM patients. For LOS and hospital cost, the six air pollutants showed similar effect. Given 0 µg/m3 as the reference, NO2 showed the maximum attributable fraction of 32.68% (95% CI = 25.12 to 39.42%), corresponding to an avoidable burden of 5661 (95% CI = 3611 to 5860) patients with RD-DM. Conclusions: There is an association between PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, and CO with increased hospital admissions, LOS and hospital cost in patients with RD-DM. Disease burden of RD-DM may be improved by formulating policies related to air pollutants exposure reduction, especially in LMICs with low levels of air pollution.

Urban-rural disparity of the short-term association of PM2.5 with mortality and its attributable burden.

Although studies have investigated the associations between PM2.5 and mortality risk, evidence from rural areas is scarce. We aimed to compare the PM2.5-mortality associations between urban cities and rural areas in China. Daily mortality and air pollution data were collected from 215 locations during 2014-2017 in China. A two-stage approach was employed to estimate the location-specific and combined cumulative associations between short-term exposure to PM2.5 (lag 0-3 days) and mortality risks. The excess risks (ER) of all-cause, respiratory disease (RESP), cardiovascular disease (CVD), and cerebrovascular disease (CED) mortality for each 10 µg/m3 increment in PM2.5 across all locations were 0.54% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.38%, 0.70%), 0.51% (0.10%, 0.93%), 0.74% (0.50%, 0.97%), and 0.52% (0.20%, 0.83%), respectively. Slightly stronger associations for CVD (0.80% versus 0.60%) and CED (0.61% versus 0.26%) mortality were observed in urban cities than in rural areas, and slightly greater associations for RESP mortality (0.51% versus 0.43%) were found in rural areas than in urban cities. A mean of 2.11% (attributable fraction [AF], 95% CI: 1.48%, 2.76%) of all-cause mortality was attributable to PM2.5 exposure in China, with a larger AF in urban cities (2.89% [2.12%, 3.67%]) than in rural areas (0.61% [-0.60%, 1.84%]). Disparities in PM2.5-mortality associations between urban cities and rural areas were also found in some subgroups classified by sex and age. This study provided robust evidence on the associations of PM2.5 with mortality risks in China and demonstrated urban-rural disparities of PM2.5-mortality associations for various causes of death.