Covid-19 vaccines and investment performance: Evidence from equity funds in European Union.

In this paper, we analyze the impact of the marketing authorization of EMA-approved vaccines on the returns of equity funds in the EU. Using the event study methodology, we report that the introduction of all vaccines had a positive impact on the funds' returns. Higher abnormal returns were associated with the earlier vaccines, indicating the first-mover advantage and the abnormal returns were persistent across several event windows. The findings imply that equity markets welcomed the vaccine administration as an important pharmaceutical intervention to support the quasi-revival of business activities. Consequently, there was a significant uplift in the economic bottom line.

Impact of Covid-19 on corporate solvency and possible policy responses in the EU.

The massive contagion of new coronavirus (Covid-19) has disrupted many businesses across the European Union. This has resulted in an immense drag on the revenues and cash flows that may lead to a significant increase in corporate bankruptcies. In this paper, we investigate the impact of Covid-19 on the solvency profile of the firms in the EU member states. We introduce multiple stress scenarios on the non-financial listed firms and report a progressive increase in the probability of default, an increase of debt payback, and declining coverages. Our results indicate that the solvency profile of all firms deteriorates. The manufacturing, mining, and retail sector are most vulnerable to a decline in market capitalization and a reduction in sales revenues. The paper also examines the possible policy interventions to sustain solvency at a pre Covid-19 level. Our findings suggest that for a moderate deterioration in economic conditions, a tax deferral is sufficient. However, in the event of exacerbating business shocks, there should be hybrid support through debt and equity to avoid a meltdown. This study has important implications for policymakers, corporate managers, and creditors.

Are sustainable investments interdependent? The international evidence.

The rising concerns about climate change and environmental degradation have urged various stakeholder to focus on sustainable investments that are facing a drag from the Covid-19 pandemic. Since environmental and Covid-19 challenges are global, it is critical to assess the interlinkages of sustainable investments. In this research, we employ the dependence, centrality, and dynamic network approach to examine the interdependence and its determinants across multiple countries between January 2009 and March 2021. The findings indicate France as the lead risk transmitter while Japan and Taiwan show risk reception among international markets. We observe an increase in dependence during economic turmoil notably in Covid-19 episode. The centrality network revealed the prominent significance of sustainable investments in the European countries that can be attributed to their exceptional efforts to combat the climate change. Finally, our results suggest that the volatility in gold prices is the key driver of interdependence of sustainable investments.

COVID19: A blessing in disguise for European stock markets?

This study aims to bridge the gap that has remained unfilled after the initial scrutiny and reporting of the damaging effects of Covid-19 on financial markets. The study analyzes 10 European stock markets and compares their pre and post covid return dynamics. Our findings are surprisingly pleasant, albeit counterintuitive to some. We observe a quick and unprecedented recovery in the European stock market, yielding significantly higher returns post covid, given a reasonably large holding period. We also observe an alteration and change in the status quo of countries while transmitting or receiving cross-market spillovers.

Carbon neutrality, bank lending, and credit risk: Evidence from the Eurozone.

The development of a green financial intermediation channel is imperative to achieve zero-carbon economies. In this study, we assess the impact of carbon-neutral lending on the credit risk in the Eurozone. We employ quarterly data for a sample of 344 lending institutions of 19 member states spanning over ten years from 2011 to 2020. Using two specific credit risk measures, the findings show that the exposure to carbon-neutral lending is negatively related to the default risk. The results remain consistent for the various size sorts, depicting that regardless of the bank size, the impact of green financing on the credit risk is the same. We attribute the credit risk reduction to the lower volatility of the borrowers' earnings and cash flows emanating from their sustainable business model. As a consequence of lower credit risk, financial institutions can benefit from lower loan loss provisions and economic capital requirements. This incentive is vital to increase the carbon neutral credit and contribute towards pro-environmental goals.

The impact of carbon neutrality on the investment performance: Evidence from the equity mutual funds in BRICS.

The promotion of carbon-neutral investments is among the primary constituents of developing a carbon-neutral economy. This is even more important for emerging economies that have constrained financial markets. In this paper, using monthly data between 2011 and 2019, we study 6519 actively managed mutual funds in BRICS after sorting them into black, brown, and green categories based on their investment holdings. Our comparative performance shows that green funds outperform their counterparts for the entire sample and within-country assessment. We also document the volatility and market timing ability of green funds, mainly absent in high emission funds. The results remained robust for various definitions of performance. Our findings also indicate Chinese green funds perform better than those of other countries. This is attributed to the multiple ecologically friendly economic policies that China has adopted over the years. Based on the results, we propose various interventions that could foster the adaptability of a carbon-neutral investment landscape.

The nexus of carbon emissions, financial development, renewable energy consumption, and technological innovation: What should be the priorities in light of COP 21 Agreements?

This study analyses the dynamics of carbon emissions for N-11 countries from 1990 to 2017. We introduce some innovative factors such as financial development, human capital, renewable energy consumption, and gross domestic product as determinants of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. The empirical estimations are based on Pesaran (2007) unit root test, common correlated effect mean group, and augmented mean group. The findings reveal a positive relationship between carbon emissions and financial development as well as a gross domestic product. In contrast, technological innovation and renewable energy consumption are adversely related to carbon emissions. These findings have important implications, and we recommend the promotion of technological innovation and the use of renewable energy consumption. This will help in achieving the goals set by COP21.

Price reaction, volatility timing and funds' performance during Covid-19.

In this paper we assess the price reaction, performance and volatility timing of European investment funds during the outbreak of Covid-19. We analyze the time period between January and June 2020 and demonstrate that while most of the investment funds exhibit stressed performance, social entrepreneurship funds endured resilience. This performance remained robust during the various stages of evolution of this contagion. The social funds also demonstrated volatility timing that was absent for most of their counterparts. We attribute the overall stability of these funds to their niche investments in social enterprises that specialize in providing innovative solutions for social issues.

Green Banking-Can Financial Institutions support green recovery?

The outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic has impeded the transition to sustainability and net-zero targets. The immediate focus on health-related issues limits the progress of the pro-ecological initiatives. Financial institutions can play a pivotal role in supporting green recovery, notably in emerging markets. This paper evaluates the incentives of sustainable financing for banking firms in member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council. Using a comprehensive sample of banks between 2011 and 2021, we report that increasing green exposure will improve the intermediation spread. Similarly, when banks have environmental considerations for extending loans, their risk of default will reduce. The impact of green financing is more profound for smaller banks indicating that responsible lending provides them with new earning avenues while mitigating the risk. The findings are reassurance for green recovery, and because of the explicit benefits, banks can play a critical role in helping in achieving sustainable development goals. The results have important implications for regulators, monetary authorities, and the banking sector since green financing can lead to more efficient and resilient financial systems.

Is green investment different from grey? Return and volatility spillovers between green and grey energy ETFs.

Investment in Green energy is becoming a popular alternative asset class for investors, primarily due to its environment-friendly attributes. However, there is a dire need for subjective evaluation of this emerging asset class based on the risk-return dynamics to which investors are exposed. To respond to this call, in this study, we conduct this evaluation utilizing a unique and rich data set consisting of daily prices of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) established on different asset classes. We use Vector autoregression and Baba-Engle-Kraft-Kroner parameterization of multivariate GARCH models and assess the relative strength of return and volatility spillovers from the Green and Grey energy markets. Our results reveal the return shocks originated in the Green energy market and transmitted to other markets are more pronounced. It is also observed that the potential to earn high returns and the weak correlation of Green energy ETFs with the traditional asset classes are the crucial factors helpful in inviting attention and investment of investors after 2015. Although our results further suggest that the role of Grey energy is diminishing, as shown by the Impulse response functions and the coefficients of multivariate ARCH and GARCH. Nonetheless, for some asset classes, e.g., Bonds, the volatility spillovers that originated in the Grey energy market are still prominent and robust.

The impact of COVID-19 on the valuations of non-financial European firms.

This paper assesses the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on non-financial firms' valuations in the European Union (EU) using a stress testing approach. Notably, the paper investigates the extent to which the COVID-19 may deteriorate non-financial firms' value in the ten EU countries to provide a robust anchor to policymakers in formulating strategic government interventions. We employ a sample of 5342 listed non-financial firms across the selected member states that have consistent analyst coverage from 2010 to 2019. First, we estimate the input sensitivities of free cash flow and residual income models using a random effect panel employed to in-sample data. Second, based on these sensitivities, we compute the model-driven ex-post valuations and compare their robustness with actual price and analyst forecasts for the same period. Finally, we introduce multiple stress scenarios that may emanate from COVID-19, i.e., a decline in expected sales and an increase/decrease in equity cost. Our findings show a significant loss in valuations across all sectors due to a possible reduction in sales and an increase in equity cost. In extreme cases, average firms in some industries may lose up to 60% of their intrinsic value in one year. The results remained consistent regardless of the cash flow or residual income-driven valuation.

The impact of human capital efficiency on Latin American mutual funds during Covid-19 outbreak.

The mutual funds' returns, inter alia, are dependent on fund managers' performance. This makes human capital efficiency very central for consistent risk-adjusted performance. The persistence in performance becomes more critical during periods of high turbulence, like the one we are experiencing amidst the outbreak of Covid-19. In this research, we attempt to evaluate the performance of equity funds in massively impacted Latin American countries. These equity funds, with 95% of their investment in the infected region, are ranked as per their human capital efficiency using 2019 as the base year. Our findings demonstrate that funds with higher human capital efficiency significantly outperform their counterparts that rank lower on human capital efficiency. These findings remained consistent for the sub-periods that we specify to map the evolution of Covid-19. We conclude that equity funds should enhance their human capital efficiency to endure resilience amid macroeconomic shocks.