Dynamics of a fractional COVID-19 model with immunity using harmonic incidence mean-type.

The transmission dynamics of COVID-19 is investigated through the prism of the Atangana-Baleanu fractional model with acquired immunity. Harmonic incidence mean-type aims to drive exposed and infected populations towards extinction in a finite time frame. The reproduction number is calculated based on the next-generation matrix. A disease-free equilibrium point can be achieved globally using the Castillo-Chavez approach. Using the additive compound matrix approach, the global stability of endemic equilibrium can be demonstrated. Utilizing Pontryagin's maximum principle, we introduce three control variables to obtain the optimal control strategies. Laplace transform allows simulating the fractional-order derivatives analytically. Analysis of the graphical results led to a better understanding of the transmission dynamics.

Study of atrial arrhythmias after surgical or device closure of atrial septal defect.

Background Device closure of atrial septal defect (ASD) has emerged as a treatment modality for the past 3 decades and has changed the natural history of ASD compared to that of surgical closure. Early intervention in ASD retards the geometrical and electrical remodelling of the atrium that contributes to the development of atrial tachyarrhythmias. We studied the incidence of atrial arrhythmias in patients undergoing surgical and device closure of ASD. Methods We did this retrospective observational study at a tertiary referral centre, Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology, Thiruvananthapuram, Kerala. Patients of all age groups undergoing surgical and device closure of ASD between 1 January 2003 and 31 December 2008 were included to compare the incidence and nature of atrial arrhythmias and also analyse the difference in new-onset atrial arrhythmias between the two arms. Results Of 277 patients, 144 with surgical closure and 133 with device closure were followed up for 10-15 years. A larger number of men underwent surgical closure (41.7%) compared to device closure (25.6%). The mean (SD) follow-up was 12.6 (3.7) years in the surgical closure group and 10.9 (2.6) years in the device closure arm. There were a larger number of patients with atrial tachyarrhythmias in the surgical closure group (6.3%) compared to the device closure group (0.8%) at baseline (p=0.02). A significantly larger number of patients had atrial fibrillation in the surgical closure group (5.6%) compared to the device closure group (0.7%) at baseline (p=0.003). Pulmonary hypertension at baseline was present in 38.9% of patients in the surgical closure group and in 23.3% of patients in the device closure group (p=0.006). New-onset atrial arrhythmias occurred in patients ≥30 years of age (p=0.006) and exclusively in patients with pulmonary hypertension in the surgical group (3.7%) and in the device closure group (6.6%). This was statistically significant in the device closure group (p=0.05) but not in the surgical closure group (p=0.13). The incidence of new-onset arrhythmias was not statistically significant in both groups. Conclusions Atrial arrhythmias were significantly more common in patients who underwent surgical or device closure at ≥ 30 years of age and in patients with pulmonary hypertension. There was no difference in new-onset atrial arrhythmias between the surgical and device closure groups. Our study results suggest that surgical or device closure before 30 years of age and before the development of atrial arrhythmias may be beneficial with respect to the development of atrial arrhythmias.

Optimal control for co-infection with COVID-19-Associated Pulmonary Aspergillosis in ICU patients with environmental contamination.

In this paper, we propose a mathematical model for COVID-19-Associated Pulmonary Aspergillosis (CAPA) co-infection, that enables the study of relationship between prevention and treatment. The next generation matrix is employed to find the reproduction number. We enhanced the co-infection model by incorporating time-dependent controls as interventions based on Pontryagin's maximum principle in obtaining the necessary conditions for optimal control. Finally, we perform numerical experiments with different control groups to assess the elimination of infection. In numerical results, transmission prevention control, treatment controls, and environmental disinfection control provide the best chance of preventing the spread of diseases more rapidly than any other combination of controls.

Study of atrial arrhythmias after surgical or device closure of atrial septal defect

BACKGROUND Device closure of atrial septal defect (ASD) has emerged as a treatment modality for the past 3 decades and has changed the natural history of ASD compared to that of surgical closure. Early intervention in ASD retards the geometrical and electrical remodelling of the atrium that contributes to the development of atrial tachyarrhythmias. We studied the incidence of atrial arrhythmias in patients undergoing surgical and device closure of ASD. METHODS We did this retrospective observational study at a tertiary referral centre, Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology, Thiruvananthapuram, Kerala. Patients of all age groups undergoing surgical and device closure of ASD between 1 January 2003 and 31 December 2008 were included to compare the incidence and nature of atrial arrhythmias and also analyse the difference in new-onset atrial arrhythmias between the two arms. RESULTS Of 277 patients, 144 with surgical closure and 133 with device closure were followed up for 10–15 years. A larger number of men underwent surgical closure (41.7%) compared to device closure (25.6%). The mean (SD) follow-up was 12.6 (3.7) years in the surgical closure group and 10.9 (2.6) years in the device closure arm. There were a larger number of patients with atrial tachyarrhythmias in the surgical closure group (6.3%) compared to the device closure group (0.8%) at baseline (p=0.02). A significantly larger number of patients had atrial fibrillation in the surgical closure group (5.6%) compared to the device closure group (0.7%) at baseline (p=0.003). Pulmonary hypertension at baseline was present in 38.9% of patients in the surgical closure group and in 23.3% of patients in the device closure group (p=0.006). New-onset atrial arrhythmias occurred in patients ?30 years of age (p=0.006) and exclusively in patients with pulmonary hypertension in the surgical group (3.7%) and in the device closure group (6.6%). This was statistically significant in the device closure group (p=0.05) but not in the surgical closure group (p=0.13). The incidence of new-onset arrhythmias was not statistically significant in both groups. CONCLUSIONS Atrial arrhythmias were significantly more common in patients who underwent surgical or device closure at ? 30 years of age and in patients with pulmonary hypertension. There was no difference in new-onset atrial arrhythmias between the surgical and device closure groups. Our study results suggest that surgical or device closure before 30 years of age and before the development of atrial arrhythmias may be beneficial with respect to the development of atrial arrhythmias.

Drug-induced liver injury: Diagnosing (and treating) it early.

Drug-induced liver injury can have an insidious--and unpredictable--course. Left unchecked, it can progress to liver failure. This article and algorithm can facilitate prompt diagnosis and treatment.