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Climate change has led to concerns about increasing river floods resulting from the greater water-holding capacity of a warmer atmosphere1. These concerns are reinforced by evidence of increasing economic losses associated with flooding in many parts of the world, including Europe2. Any changes in river floods would have lasting implications for the design of flood protection measures and flood risk zoning. However, existing studies have been unable to identify a consistent continental-scale climatic-change signal in flood discharge observations in Europe3, because of the limited spatial coverage and number of hydrometric stations. Here we demonstrate clear regional patterns of both increases and decreases in observed river flood discharges in the past five decades in Europe, which are manifestations of a changing climate. Our results-arising from the most complete database of European flooding so far-suggest that: increasing autumn and winter rainfall has resulted in increasing floods in northwestern Europe; decreasing precipitation and increasing evaporation have led to decreasing floods in medium and large catchments in southern Europe; and decreasing snow cover and snowmelt, resulting from warmer temperatures, have led to decreasing floods in eastern Europe. Regional flood discharge trends in Europe range from an increase of about 11 per cent per decade to a decrease of 23 per cent. Notwithstanding the spatial and temporal heterogeneity of the observational record, the flood changes identified here are broadly consistent with climate model projections for the next century4,5, suggesting that climate-driven changes are already happening and supporting calls for the consideration of climate change in flood risk management.
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Mudança Climática/estatística & dados numéricos , Inundações/estatística & dados numéricos , Rios , Mudança Climática/história , Europa (Continente) , Inundações/história , Inundações/prevenção & controle , Mapeamento Geográfico , História do Século XX , História do Século XXI , Chuva , Estações do Ano , Fatores de TempoRESUMO
Laser cooling of solids currently has a temperature floor of 50-100 K. We propose a method that could overcome this using defects, such as diamond color centers, with narrow electronic manifolds and bright optical transitions. It exploits the dressed states formed in strong fields which extend the set of phonon transitions and have tunable energies. This allows an enhancement of the cooling power and diminishes the effect of inhomogeneous broadening. We demonstrate these effects theoretically for the silicon vacancy and the germanium vacancy, and discuss the role of background absorption, phonon-assisted emission, and nonradiative decay.
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Several technologies, including photodetection, imaging, and data communication, could greatly benefit from the availability of fast and controllable conversion of terahertz (THz) light to visible light. Here, we demonstrate that the exceptional properties and dynamics of electronic heat in graphene allow for a THz-to-visible conversion, which is switchable at a sub-nanosecond time scale. We show a tunable on/off ratio of more than 30 for the emitted visible light, achieved through electrical gating using a gate voltage on the order of 1 V. We also demonstrate that a grating-graphene metamaterial leads to an increase in THz-induced emitted power in the visible range by 2 orders of magnitude. The experimental results are in agreement with a thermodynamic model that describes blackbody radiation from the electron system heated through intraband Drude absorption of THz light. These results provide a promising route toward novel functionalities of optoelectronic technologies in the THz regime.
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PURPOSE: The posterior orbit is a confined space, harbouring neurovascular structures, frequently distorted by tumours. Image-guided navigation (IGN) has the potential to allow accurate localisation of these lesions and structures, reducing collateral damage whilst achieving surgical objectives. METHODS: We assessed the feasibility, effectiveness and safety of using an electromagnetic IGN for posterior orbital tumour surgery via a comparative cohort study. Outcomes from cases performed with IGN were compared with a retrospective cohort of similar cases performed without IGN, presenting a descriptive and statistical comparative analysis. RESULTS: Both groups were similar in mean age, gender and tumour characteristics. IGN set-up and registration were consistently achieved without significant workflow disruption. In the IGN group, fewer lateral orbitotomies (6.7% IGN, 46% non-IGN), and more transcutaneous lid and transconjunctival incisions (93% IGN, 53% non-IGN) were performed (p = .009). The surgical objective was achieved in 100% of IGN cases, with no need for revision surgery (vs 23% revision surgery in non-IGN, p = .005). There was no statistically significant difference in surgical complications. CONCLUSION: The use of IGN was feasible and integrated into the orbital surgery workflow to achieve surgical objectives more consistently and allowed the use of minimal access approaches. Future multicentre comparative studies are needed to explore the potential of this technology further.
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BACKGROUND: Sjögren's ('SHOW-grins') is a chronic debilitating autoimmune disease characterised by dry eyes and dry mouth, secondary to reduced exocrine function of both the lacrimal and salivary glands. The persistent, severe and serious systemic complications of Sjögren's are poorly understood and often unappreciated, resulting in significant morbidity and treatment burden. This study aimed to explore the experiences of those living with Sjögren's, specifically access to healthcare and attitude towards telemedicine. Additionally, we sought to collect information regarding the impact of the pandemic on their quality of life (QoL). METHODS: One hundred and ninety-four individuals attended an Irish Sjögren's Webinar. Attendees were invited to participate in two online surveys after the webinar. The first survey gathered information related to demographics, disease and experiences during the COVID-19 pandemic. A combination of bespoke items and validated questionnaires (EULAR Sjögren's Syndrome Patient Reported Index [ESSPRI], COVID-19 Impact on Quality of Life [COV19-QoL]) was used. The second survey consisted of a shortened Telehealth Usability Questionnaire. Both were prepared in collaboration with a patient advocate. RESULTS: Survey 1: n = 76; response rate = 39.2%. Thirty-one respondents (41.4%) to survey 1 reported a delay of ≥5 years between the onset of symptoms and diagnosis. Dry mouth was the most common symptom experienced (76.8%, n = 63), followed by dry eye (74.4%, n = 61), fatigue (57.3%, n = 47) and joint pain (53.7%, n = 44), but a range of other symptoms were also reported. COV19-QoL results indicated that the pandemic had a detrimental effect on participants' overall QoL (4.0 ± 1.0) and physical health (4.0 ± 0.8) in particular. COV19-QoL and ESSPRI scores were moderately correlated (0.36, p = .002). Over 70% of respondents had a medical appointment cancelled, delayed or rescheduled (n = 60). Survey 2: n = 57; response rate = 29.4%. Those that had interacted with telemedicine reported largely positive experiences with the virtual model. CONCLUSION: Clinicians should be aware of the range of symptoms experienced by patients with Sjögren's beyond those of sicca (dry eye and dry mouth) and fatigue. COVID-19 has negatively influenced the self-reported health and well-being of those with Sjögren's, particularly those with higher symptom scores. It is vital that optimised telemedicine models are implemented to ensure continuity in the provision of healthcare for those with chronic illness such as Sjögren's and in preparation for possible future pandemics. PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION: A group of people living with Sjögren's co-designed the structure and content of the webinar where the survey was shared. A public and patient involvement (PPI) contributor also collaborated in the selection of questionnaires used in the study, ensuring that the questions asked would best reflect the priorities of patients. They contributed to the writing of this manuscript as co-authors. Additionally, the research team and Sjögren's patients who contributed to this work have gone on to establish Sjögren's Research Ireland, a collaboration between patient advocates, researchers and PPI facilitators.
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COVID-19 , Síndromes do Olho Seco , Síndrome de Sjogren , Telemedicina , Xerostomia , Humanos , Síndrome de Sjogren/complicações , Síndrome de Sjogren/diagnóstico , Qualidade de Vida , Pandemias , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/complicações , Síndromes do Olho Seco/complicações , Xerostomia/complicações , Xerostomia/diagnóstico , FadigaRESUMO
Sleep disturbances are common in athletes with a cervical spinal cord injury (cSCI) and may be associated with circadian alterations. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to compare physiological circadian outputs between athletes with a cSCI and non-disabled controls (CON). Eight male wheelchair athletes with a cSCI and eight male CON (30±4 and 30±6 yrs, respectively) had their core body temperature (Tcore), skin temperature (Tskin), and salivary melatonin measured during a 24 h period. In the cSCI group, daytime Tcore was significantly lower (36.5 (0.2) vs 36.9 (0.3)°C; p=0.02) and time of the Tcore sleep minimum was significantly earlier (23:56±00:46 vs 02:39 ± 02:57; p=0.04). The athletes with a cSCI had significantly lower Tcore values during the beginning of the night compared with the CON group, but their Tcore increased at a greater rate, thereafter, indicated by a significant time/group interaction (p=0.04). Moreover, the cSCI group did not display a salivary melatonin response and exhibited significantly lower concentrations at 22:00 (p=0.01) and 07:00 (p=0.01) compared with the CON group. Under natural living conditions, athletes with a cSCI displayed circadian changes in the Tcore rhythm and nocturnal melatonin production.
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Medula Cervical , Melatonina , Traumatismos da Medula Espinal , Humanos , Masculino , Temperatura , Temperatura Corporal/fisiologia , Atletas , Ritmo Circadiano/fisiologiaRESUMO
The 2018-2019 Central European drought was probably the most extreme in Germany since the early sixteenth century. We assess the multiple consequences of the drought for natural systems, the economy and human health in the German part of the Elbe River basin, an area of 97,175 km2 including the cities of Berlin and Hamburg and contributing about 18% to the German GDP. We employ meteorological, hydrological and socio-economic data to build a comprehensive picture of the drought severity, its multiple effects and cross-sectoral consequences in the basin. Time series of different drought indices illustrate the severity of the 2018-2019 drought and how it progressed from meteorological water deficits via soil water depletion towards low groundwater levels and river runoff, and losses in vegetation productivity. The event resulted in severe production losses in agriculture (minus 20-40% for staple crops) and forestry (especially through forced logging of damaged wood: 25.1 million tons in 2018-2020 compared to only 3.4 million tons in 2015-2017), while other economic sectors remained largely unaffected. However, there is no guarantee that this socio-economic stability will be sustained in future drought events; this is discussed in the light of 2022, another dry year holding the potential for a compound crisis. Given the increased probability for more intense and long-lasting droughts in most parts of Europe, this example of actual cross-sectoral drought impacts will be relevant for drought awareness and preparation planning in other regions. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10113-023-02032-3.
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Acute rejection (AR) of corneal transplants (CT) has a profound effect on subsequent graft survival but detailed immunological studies in human CT recipients are lacking. In this multi-site, cross-sectional study, clinical details and blood samples were collected from adults with clinically diagnosed AR of full-thickness (FT)-CT (n = 35) and posterior lamellar (PL)-CT (n = 21) along with Stable CT recipients (n = 177) and adults with non-transplanted corneal disease (n = 40). For those with AR, additional samples were collected 3 months later. Immune cell analysis was performed by whole-genome microarrays (whole blood) and high-dimensional multi-color flow cytometry (peripheral blood mononuclear cells). For both, no activation signature was identified within the B cell and T cell repertoire at the time of AR diagnosis. Nonetheless, in FT- but not PL-CT recipients, AR was associated with differences in B cell maturity and regulatory CD4+ T cell frequency compared to stable allografts. These data suggest that circulating B cell and T cell subpopulations may provide insights into the regulation of anti-donor immune response in human CT recipients with differing AR risk. Our results suggest that, in contrast to solid organ transplants, genetic or cellular assays of peripheral blood are unlikely to be clinically exploitable for prediction or diagnosis of AR.
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Transplante de Córnea , Leucócitos Mononucleares , Adulto , Estudos Transversais , Rejeição de Enxerto/diagnóstico , Rejeição de Enxerto/etiologia , Sobrevivência de Enxerto , HumanosRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To analyze the spectrum of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)-defined pneumonia after esophageal cancer surgery. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Pneumonia is commonly documented after esophageal cancer surgery, and reducing its incidence is central to both ERAS development and to the evidence-base for minimally invasive approaches. The existing definitions of pneumonia based on hospital acquired pneumonia classifications may be suboptimal in this context and merits strict academic scrutiny. METHODS: Patients (2013-2018) treated with curative intent by open surgery were studied. Pneumonia was defined per the CDC definition. Risk factors and associations were analyzed, as was the implications of positive cultures. Multivariable logistic regression examined independently predictive factors of pneumonia and oncologic outcomes. RESULTS: Of 343 patients, 56 (16%) had defined pneumonia, 22 (39%) with positive cultures. Preoperative respiratory disease predicted pneumonia ( P = 0.043). Neoadjuvant therapy was significantly ( P = 0.004) associated with culture negative pneumonia, and age ( P = 0.001) with culture positive pneumonia. In multivariable analysis, pneumonia was associated ( P < 0.05) with respiratory comorbidity, tumor site, and neoadjuvant chemoradiation. Pneumonia did not impact on overall survival (P = 0.807). DISCUSSION: CDC-defined pneumonia occurred in 16% of cases. Culture-negative pneumonia accounted for 61% of cases and was significantly associated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation. Pneumonia as currently defined seems to represent a spectrum of etiology and severity in the post-esoph-agectomy patient, with infection per se rarely proven, suggesting a need to reevaluate its definition, severity classification, and preventive and treatment strategies.
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Carcinoma de Células Escamosas , Neoplasias Esofágicas , Lesão Pulmonar , Pneumonia , Esofagectomia/efeitos adversos , Humanos , Pneumonia/epidemiologia , Pneumonia/etiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To determine the incidence, risk factors, and consequences of AKI in patients undergoing surgery for esophageal cancer. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Esophageal cancer surgery is an exemplar of major operative trauma, with well-defined risks of respiratory, cardiac, anastomotic, and septic complications. However, there is a paucity of literature regarding AKI. METHODS: consecutive patients undergoing curative-intent surgery for esophageal cancer from 2011 to 2017 in 3 high-volume centers were studied. AKI was defined according to the AKI Network criteria. AKI occurred if, within 48âhours postoperatively, serum creatinine rose by 50% or by 0.3âmg/dL (26.5âµmol/L) from preoperative baseline. Complications were recorded prospectively. Multivariable logistic regression determined factors independently predictive of AKI. RESULTS: A total of 1135 patients (24.7%:75.3% female:male, with a mean age of 64, a baseline BMI of 27âkgâm-2, and dyslipidemia in 10.2%), underwent esophageal cancer surgery, 85% having an open thoracotomy. Overall in-hospital mortality was 2.1%. Postoperative AKI was observed in 208 (18.3%) patients, with AKI Network 1, 2, and 3 in 173 (15.2%), 28 (2.5%), and 7 (0.6%), respectively. Of these, 70.3% experienced improved renal function within 48âhours. Preoperative factors independently predictive of AKI were age [P = 0.027, odds ratio (OR) 1.02 (1.00-1.04)], male sex [P = 0.015, OR 1.77 (1.10-2.81)], BMI at diagnosis [P < 0.001, OR 1.10 (1.07-1.14)], and dyslipidemia [P = 0.002, OR 2.14 (1.34-3.44)]. Postoperatively, AKI was associated with atrial fibrillation (P = 0.013) and pneumonia (P = 0.005). Postoperative AKI did not impact survival outcomes. CONCLUSION: AKI is common but mostly self-limiting after esophageal cancer surgery. It is associated with age, male sex, increased BMI, dyslipidemia, and postoperative morbidity.
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Injúria Renal Aguda , Neoplasias Esofágicas , Injúria Renal Aguda/epidemiologia , Injúria Renal Aguda/etiologia , Neoplasias Esofágicas/complicações , Neoplasias Esofágicas/cirurgia , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To identify the most prevalent symptoms and those with greatest impact upon health-related quality of life (HRQOL) among esophageal cancer survivors. BACKGROUND: Long-term symptom burden after esophagectomy, and associations with HRQOL, are poorly understood. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between 2010 and 2016, patients from 20 European Centers who underwent esophageal cancer surgery, and were disease-free at least 1 year postoperatively were asked to complete LASER, EORTC-QLQ-C30, and QLQ-OG25 questionnaires. Specific symptom questionnaire items that were associated with poor HRQOL as identified by EORTC QLQ-C30 and QLQ-OG25 were identified by multivariable regression analysis and combined to form a tool. RESULTS: A total of 876 of 1081 invited patients responded to the questionnaire, giving a response rate of 81%. Of these, 66.9% stated in the last 6 months they had symptoms associated with their esophagectomy. Ongoing weight loss was reported by 10.4% of patients, and only 13.8% returned to work with the same activities.Three LASER symptoms were correlated with poor HRQOL on multivariable analysis; pain on scars on chest (odds ratio (OR) 1.27; 95% CI 0.97-1.65), low mood (OR 1.42; 95% CI 1.15-1.77) and reduced energy or activity tolerance (OR 1.37; 95% CI 1.18-1.59). The areas under the curves for the development and validation datasets were 0.81â±â0.02 and 0.82â±â0.09 respectively. CONCLUSION: Two-thirds of patients experience significant symptoms more than 1 year after surgery. The 3 key symptoms associated with poor HRQOL identified in this study should be further validated, and could be used in clinical practice to identify patients who require increased support.
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Neoplasias Esofágicas/cirurgia , Esofagectomia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Qualidade de Vida , Idoso , Estudos Transversais , Europa (Continente) , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Autorrelato , Avaliação de SintomasRESUMO
Introduction: During the COVID-19 pandemic, keratoconus patient care moved from in-person clinics to virtual care. We surveyed patient satisfaction with the new virtual clinic model. Methods: We assessed the views of keratoconus patients enrolled in the novel virtual service between June 1 and July 31, 2020, in individual structured telephone interviews using Likert questions. Results: Of the 88 patients enrolled, the opinions of 69 patients could be evaluated (78.4%). Compared with previous in-person visits, mean waiting times for diagnostic examinations dropped from 43 (±32) min to 4 (±3) min (p < 0.001). The majority of patients (68; 99%) were satisfied or very satisfied with the overall service irrespective of the communication channel (telephone or video). A majority also indicated a desire to continue attending the virtual keratoconus clinic after the pandemic and supported the idea of decentralized sites for future diagnostic measurements. Discussion: A novel virtual service to monitor keratoconus progression was well received and was associated with shorter waiting times. There was a strong interest on the part of patients to further develop the virtual keratoconus clinic. Conclusions: This study demonstrates that keratoconus patients managed very well the conversion from in-person to virtual care. A solid majority of keratoconus patients also supported further expansion of the virtual consultations to a completely decentralized telemedicine model.
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SSIs represent common infection-related morbidity following major surgery. Modern care bundles have been established as prophylactic measures aimed at preventing SSI occurring postoperatively. SSI incidence and data on common culprit pathogens post-esophagectomy for cancer have not been previously reported. Patients (2013-2018) treated with curative intent were studied. SSI was defined as per the Center for Disease Control (CDC) definition. A care bundle pathway following the National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE) guidelines for prevention of SSIs was introduced in 2013 and was audited quarterly. Risk factors and associations of SSIs were analyzed, as was the prevalence of isolated pathogens. Multivariable logistic regression examined independently predictive factors of SSIs and oncologic outcomes. Of 343 patients, 34 (9.9%) developed a postoperative SSI, with a median (range) of 8 (6-17). Quarterly audit carried out over 6 years showed no significant annual variance or trend. The most prevalent pathogen cultured was Methicillin-sensitive Staphylococcus aureus (MSSA) in nine patients (32%) followed by Candida albicans (29%), Escherichia coli (14%), and Enterococcus faecium (11%). SSI was significantly associated with pneumonia (P = 0.001), respiratory failure (P = 0.014), atrial fibrillation (P = 0.004), anastomotic leak (P < 0.001), and in-hospital blood transfusions (P = 0.031). SSI did not impact the overall survival (P = 0.951). SSI rates can be maintained at less than 10% using strict care bundles and regular audit. The most common culprit pathogen is gram-positive MSSA representing 32% of cases. These data are novel and may represent a modern benchmark for SSI post-open esophagectomy for cancer. This study highlights the incidence and associations of SSI post-esophageal cancer surgery.
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Neoplasias Esofágicas , Pacotes de Assistência ao Paciente , Infecções Estafilocócicas , Neoplasias Esofágicas/cirurgia , Humanos , Incidência , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/epidemiologia , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/etiologiaRESUMO
Improved cure rates in esophageal cancer care have increased focus on health-related quality of life (HRQL) in survivorship. To optimize recovery after esophagectomy, particularly nutritional well-being, a personalized multidisciplinary survivorship clinic was established at this center. Assessments at 6 and 12 months postoperatively include validated European Organization for the Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) symptom and health-related quality of life (HRQL) questionnaires, functional status review, anthropometry, and biochemical screening for micronutrient deficiencies. 75 patients, at a mean age of 63 years, 84% male, 85% with adenocarcinoma, and 73% receiving multimodal therapy were included. Mean preoperative body mass index (BMI) was 27.5 (4.3) kg m -2. 6- and 12-month assessments were completed by 66 (88%) and 37 (93%) recurrence-free patients, respectively. Mean body weight loss at 6 months was 8.5 ± 6.6% and at 12 months 8.8 ± 7.3%. Of the 12-month cohort, micronutrient deficiency was present in 27 (79.4%) preoperatively and 29 (80.6%) after 1 year (P = 0.727), most commonly iron deficiency (preoperative: 16 [43.2%] and postoperative: 17 [45.9%] patients, P = 0.100). 26 (70.3%) of these patients also had clinically significant dumping syndrome persisting to 12 months after surgery. We describe a novel follow-up support structure for esophageal cancer patients in the first year of survivorship. This may serve as an exemplar model with parallel application across oncological care.
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Neoplasias Esofágicas , Esofagectomia , Distúrbios Nutricionais/terapia , Qualidade de Vida , Idoso , Neoplasias Esofágicas/complicações , Neoplasias Esofágicas/mortalidade , Neoplasias Esofágicas/patologia , Neoplasias Esofágicas/cirurgia , Esofagectomia/mortalidade , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Distúrbios Nutricionais/etiologia , Estado Nutricional , SobrevivênciaRESUMO
ABSTRACT: Murphy, CJ, Mason, BS, and Goosey-Tolfrey, VL. Exercise recovery practices of wheelchair court sports athletes. J Strength Cond Res 35(2): 366-372, 2021-Research that describes the recovery practices of Para-athletes around training and competition is limited. This study investigated if and why athletes in wheelchair court sports (basketball, rugby, and tennis) use recovery strategies, what type of strategies are used, and whether the period of the season influences the prevalence of use. A cross-sectional questionnaire was developed to acquire data pertaining to individual characteristics, recovery habits, reasons for use/nonuse, the use of specific recovery strategies, and lifestyle habits. One hundred forty-four athletes (92 = international and 52 = national/club) completed the questionnaire online. In total, 85% (n = 122) of athletes reported using at least one type of recovery strategy, yet most specific types of recovery strategies were not popular (<34% of recovery strategy users). The most commonly used type of recovery strategy was stretching (n = 117), whereas both stretching and heat-related recovery were the most highly rated types of recovery strategies (µ = 4.2/5). The 3 most prevalent reasons for use across all strategies were "reduces muscle soreness," "reduces muscle tightness," and "reduces muscle spasms." The prevalence of sleep complaints was apparent with 38% (n = 55) of respondents reporting difficulties sleeping. This study highlights that although the frequent use of well-known recovery practices is positive, the lack of diversity in strategies implemented may have implications due to the specific requirements of exercise recovery. Therefore, strength and conditioning professionals should educate wheelchair athletes further around this area and increase the range of recovery-specific and impairment-specific strategies used.
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Paratletas , Esportes para Pessoas com Deficiência , Cadeiras de Rodas , Atletas , Estudos Transversais , HumanosRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to propose and test a novel adverse pathology classification in AEG. BACKGROUND: Recent scientific advances show genomic and molecular concordance across all AEG types, suggesting a rationale for a biologic classification. We tested a 3-dimension adverse pathology classification across the entire junction and per Siewert anatomic subtype. METHODS: Of 1625 patients with AEG, 650 underwent radical surgery, 55% post-neoadjuvant therapy (NeoT). Adverse features defined a priori were poor differentiation (PD), lymphatic invasion (LI), vascular invasion (VI), and perineural invasion (PN), with 3 groupings: 0 (no adverse feature), 1 to 2, and 3 to 4. Multivariable logistic and Cox proportional hazards regression were applied. RESULTS: For adverse pathology, 31%, 46%, and 23% had 0, 1 to 2, and 3 to 4, respectively. Fifty percent of cases were AEG I, 25% AEG II, and 25% AEG III. Median survival was not reached, 49 and 17 months for 0, 1 to 2, and 3 to 4 adverse pathology, respectively (P < 0.001), and 76, 51, and 34 months for AEG I, II, and III, respectively (P < 0.001); AEG I was significantly (P< 0.001) associated with lower c (y)pT and c (y)pN stages, and LI, VI, PN, and PD (poor vs other). The pathology model was significant for survival along with (y)pT and (y)pN, and predicted response to chemotherapy and chemoradiation irrespective of anatomic subtype (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: A novel classification using standard pathology as proxy for poor biology is associated with survival and response to therapy. This effect is observed across the entire AEG spectrum, highlighting how biology should be aligned with anatomy in the modern paradigm of AEG management and design of clinical trials.
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Adenocarcinoma/patologia , Neoplasias Esofágicas/patologia , Junção Esofagogástrica/patologia , Adenocarcinoma/mortalidade , Adenocarcinoma/terapia , Adulto , Idoso , Neoplasias Esofágicas/mortalidade , Neoplasias Esofágicas/terapia , Esofagectomia , Feminino , Humanos , Irlanda , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Terapia Neoadjuvante , Invasividade Neoplásica/patologia , Taxa de SobrevidaRESUMO
In December of 2015, the international community pledged to limit global warming to below 2 °C above preindustrial (PI) to prevent dangerous climate change. However, to what extent, and for whom, is danger avoided if this ambitious target is realized? We address these questions by scrutinizing heat stress, because the frequency of extremely hot weather is expected to continue to rise in the approach to the 2 °C limit. We use analogs and the extreme South Asian heat of 2015 as a focusing event to help interpret the increasing frequency of deadly heat under specified amounts of global warming. Using a large ensemble of climate models, our results confirm that global mean air temperature is nonlinearly related to heat stress, meaning that the same future warming as realized to date could trigger larger increases in societal impacts than historically experienced. This nonlinearity is higher for heat stress metrics that integrate the effect of rising humidity. We show that, even in a climate held to 2 °C above PI, Karachi (Pakistan) and Kolkata (India) could expect conditions equivalent to their deadly 2015 heatwaves every year. With only 1.5 °C of global warming, twice as many megacities (such as Lagos, Nigeria, and Shanghai, China) could become heat stressed, exposing more than 350 million more people to deadly heat by 2050 under a midrange population growth scenario. The results underscore that, even if the Paris targets are realized, there could still be a significant adaptation imperative for vulnerable urban populations.
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Aquecimento Global , Transtornos de Estresse por Calor , Saúde Pública , China , Transtornos de Estresse por Calor/etiologia , Humanos , Índia , Nigéria , Paquistão , Saúde da População Urbana , População UrbanaRESUMO
Carrier interactions in 2D nanostructures are of central importance not only in condensed-matter physics but also for a wide range of optoelectronic and photonic applications. Here, new insights into the behavior of photoinduced carriers in layered platinum diselenide (PtSe2 ) through ultrafast time-resolved pump-probe and nonlinear optical measurements are presented. The measurements reveal the temporal evolution of carrier relaxation, chemical potential and bandgap renormalization in PtSe2 . These results imply that few-layer PtSe2 has a semiconductor-like carrier relaxation instead of a metal-like one. The relaxation follows a triple-exponential decay process and exhibits thickness-dependent relaxation times. This occurs along with a band-filling effect, which can be controlled based on the number of layers and may be applied in saturable absorption for generating ultrafast laser pulses. The findings may provide means to study many-body physics in 2D materials as well as potentially leading to applications in the field of optoelectronics and ultrafast photonics.
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OBJECTIVES: The diagnosis of giant cell arteritis (GCA) is primarily a clinical one. Temporal artery (TA) ultrasound (US) has been proposed as a new diagnostic tool. We aimed to assess the performance characteristics of TA US in routine clinical practice. METHODS: All patients presenting with suspected GCA to our institution are recruited to a prospective registry. Patients who had both a TA US and biopsy (TAB) performed at the time of presentation were included in the current study. The performance characteristics of TA US was compared to physician diagnosis at six months following presentation. Predictive factors for a positive TA US were explored in univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: 162 patients were included, 123 (76%) with GCA. Mean (SD) duration of glucocorticoid therapy was 6.6 days (19.4) at the time of TA US. TA US had a sensitivity of 52.8% (95%CI 43.7, 61.9) and specificity of 71.8% (95%CI 54.9, 84.5) for the diagnosis of GCA. Glucocorticoid duration did not significantly impact the results. A sequential strategy of TA US followed by TAB in the case of a negative US had a sensitivity of 78.9% (95%CI 70.1, 85.5) and specificity of 71.8% (95%CI 54.9, 84.5), equivalent to a simultaneous testing strategy. The only factor independently predictive of a positive TA US was male sex (OR 5.53, 95% CI 2.72 to 11.22, p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: TA US is potentially useful in the diagnosis of GCA; however, interpretation of its results requires knowledge of the performance characteristics in the target population.