Comparative analysis of anthropometric indices with serum uric acid in Iranian healthy population.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between elevated serum uric acid (SUA) levels and hypertension, metabolic syndrome and cardiovascular disease has been established. In this study, the relation of SUA levels to anthropometric indices, blood cell count and lipid profile was examined. METHODS: Anthropometric parameters including body-mass index, waist circumference, waist to height ratio, waist to hip ratio, waist to pelvic ratio, neck circumference (NC), body fat mass (BFM), basal metabolic rate (BMR), visceral fat level (VFL) and percent body fat (PBF), along with complete blood cell count, lipid profile and SUA were obtained from 2921 young and middle-aged Iranian healthy subjects. To assess the normality of data, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was used. Mann-Whitney, Kruskal-Wallis, Chi-square and Spearman correlation tests were used for evaluating the association between variables. Simple and multiple regression analyses were also performed. RESULTS: The results of data analysis showed all studied factors were correlated with SUA level except VFL, BFM, and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio. The highest correlation was with NC, BMR, hematocrits (HCT) and triglycerides (TG). The backward method revealed that TG, LDL, HDL, neutrophil, lymphocyte, platelet, HCT, BMR and skinfold fat thickness were factors related to SUA. CONCLUSIONS: According to the finding of this study, SUA level is related to anthropometric indices, lipid profile and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio in healthy population. SUA measurement might be advisable to identify those at increased risk of health problems whom might benefit from further evaluation.

Novel Anthropometric Indices as Screening Tools for Obesity: A Study on Healthy Iranians.

Background and Aims: Upper body fat distribution is more related to cardiometabolic diseases than central obesity. Neck circumference (NC) and neck-to-height ratio (NHtR) are two indicators of upper body obesity that are affordable, easy to obtain, highly reproducible, and more practical in the crowded health centers than the classic anthropometric indices. Methods: 18-65-year-old individuals with no past medical history were included. After obtaining written informed consent, they were screened for hypertension, high blood glucose, and other abnormal laboratory results. Data were analyzed using SPSS and Mann-Whitney U test, Chi square test, Spearman's correlation coefficient, and ROC curve. Results: In our 2,812 participants, NC had the lowest area under the curve (AUC) in both male and female obese and overweight subjects. NHtR and hip circumference (HC) had the highest AUC in men and women with obesity, respectively. The highest sensitivity for overweight men and women belonged to waist circumference (WC) and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), respectively, and for both males and females with obesity, NHtR had the highest sensitivity. The cutoff point of NHtR had the same value for males and females. HC and NHtR had the highest positive likelihood ratio (PLR) for obesity in men. In addition, HC and WC had the highest PLR for obesity in women. Conclusion: In this study, we revealed that NC had the lowest and NHtR and HC had the highest predictive value for obesity. Furthermore, for both males and females with obesity, NHtR had the highest sensitivity. HC had the highest PLR for obesity in both genders. Our results warrant prospective studies to evaluate the role of NHtR and other novel anthropometric indices in the risk of cardiometabolic diseases.

Clinical decision rules in predicting computed tomography scan findings and need for neurosurgical intervention in mild traumatic brain injury: a prospective observational study.

PURPOSE: In this study, we will compare the diagnostic values of head CT decision rules in predicting the findings of CT scans in a prospective multicenter study in university emergency departments in Iran. METHODS: The primary outcome was any traumatic lesion findings in brain CT scans, and the secondary outcomes were death, the need for mechanical ventilation, and neurosurgical intervention. Decision rules including the Canadian CT Head Rule (CCHR), New Orleans Criteria (NOC), National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE), National Emergency X-Radiography Utilization Study (NEXUS), and Neurotraumatology Committee of the World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (NCWFNS) were compared for the main outcomes. RESULTS: In total, 434 mild TBI patients were enrolled in the study. The NCWFNS had the highest sensitivity (91.14%) and the lowest specificity (39.42%) for predicting abnormal finding in CT scan compared to other models. While the NICE obtained the lowest sensitivity (79.75%), it was associated with the highest specificity (66.67%). All model performances were improved when administered to predict neurosurgical intervention among patients with GCS 13-15. NEXUS (AUC 0.862, 95% CI 0.799-0.924) and NCWFNS (AUC 0.813, 95% CI 0.723-0.903) had the best performance among all evaluated models. CONCLUSION: The NCWFNS and the NEXUS decision rules performed better than the CCHR and NICE guidelines for predicting any lesion in the CT imaging and neurosurgical intervention among patients with mTBI with GCS 13-15. For a subset of mTBI patients with GCS 15, the NOC criteria have higher sensitivity for abnormal CT imaging, but lower specificity and more requested CTs.

A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis on the Association between Inflammatory Bowel Disease Family History and Colorectal Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) are closely interrelated. However, the effect of having a family history of one disease on the risk of another remains undetermined. AIM: The purpose of this meta-analysis was to estimate the prevalence of a family history of CRC among patients with IBD, as well as the prevalence of a family history of IBD among patients with CRC. METHODS: PubMed, Scopus, Embase, Web of Science, and Google Scholar were searched to identify studies reporting the prevalence of family history of IBD among patients with CRC, in addition to the prevalence of family history of CRC among IBD patients. Criteria for study inclusion consisted of the following: (1) studies that evaluated either IBD or CRC and dysplasia, (2) included all age groups, and (3) evaluated the family history effects for IBD or CRC. The total number of IBD patients and IBD patients with a family history of CRC and the total number of CRC patients and CRC patients with a family history of IBD were reviewed. The pooled prevalence of diseases was also estimated according to degree of relatives and geographical area. Random-effects models were used for estimating pooled prevalence. RESULTS: A total of 27 studies were included with 26,576 IBD and 9,181 CRC or dysplasia patients. Eligible studies included 13 case-control, 10 cohort, and 4 cross-sectional types. The pooled prevalence of a family history of CRC among patients with IBD was 6% (95% CI: 4-9%). The pooled prevalence for first- and second-degree relatives (11%, 95% CI: 0-37%) was more than that for the other relative subgroups of relatedness degree. The prevalence in the American regions (8% (95% CI: 5-13%)) was higher than that in the others. The pooled prevalence for a family history of IBD among CRC or dysplasia patients was 11% (95% CI: 6-16%). The pooled prevalence for first-degree relatives (13% (95% CI: 3-28%) was higher than that for the other relative subgroups of relatedness degree; it was also greater in American countries (15%, 95% CI: 8-23%). CONCLUSION: This study emphasizes the relationship between a family history of IBD and CRC development. Additionally, there was notable prevalence for a family history of CRC among IBD patients. American countries and first-degree relatives were identified to have a higher prevalence for both disease processes.

Effect of COPD on Health-Related Quality of Life; Results from the BOLD Study in Iran.

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) has been the third leading cause of morbidity and the sixth leading cause of mortality in 2020. This chronic disease usually impairs health status and is an independent predictor of morbidity and mortality. The main objective of this study was to assess health-Related quality of life (HRQL) in a large sample of participants with and without COPD. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The present study was based on the data obtained from the population-based BOLD study in Iran. The sampling frame in this study included the whole population of 31 provinces of Iran. Participants were recruited using a stratified cluster sampling strategy with proportional allocations within strata. All the participants were requested to fill the Short Form 12 (SF-12) Health Survey Questionnaire, an abbreviated version of the SF-36. RESULTS: A total of 1062 subjects, including 479 (45%) males and 583 (54.7%) females, were enrolled in the study. The mean age of the participants was 40±15.04 years. The overall COPD prevalence based on the post-bronchodilator spirometry functional criteria was 5.0%. The mean PCS- 12 and MCS- 12 for all the subjects were 66.61±22.72 and 60.79±23.52, respectively. The mean scores of PCS and MCS were significantly lower in patients with COPD than those without COPD (P<0.001). CONCLUSION: The findings of this study demonstrated that COPD, female gender, and an age above 40 years influenced HRQL, especially the physical dimension, as shown by the SF-12 instrument.

Prevalence of celiac disease in low and high risk population in Asia-Pacific region: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

This systematic review and meta-analysis study was conducted to estimate the pooled prevalence of CD in low and high risk groups in this region. Following keywords were searched in the Medline, PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science and Cochrane database according to the MeSH terms; celiac disease, prevalence, high risk population and Asian-Pacific region. Prevalence studies published from January 1991 to March 2018 were selected. Prevalence of CD with 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated using STATA software, version 14. The pooled sero-prevalence of CD among low risk group in Asia-Pacific region was 1.2% (95% CI 0.8-1.7%) in 96,099 individuals based on positive anti-tissue transglutaminase (anti-t-TG Ab) and/or anti-endomysial antibodies (EMA). The pooled prevalence of biopsy proven CD in Asia-Pacific among high and low risk groups was 4.3% (95% CI 3.3-5.5%) and 0.61% (95% CI 0.4-0.8%) in 10,719 and 70,344 subjects, respectively. In addition, the pooled sero-prevalence and prevalence of CD in general population was significantly higher in children compared with adults and it was significantly greater in female vs. male (P < 0.05). Our results suggest high risk individuals of CD are key group that should be specifically targeted for prevention and control measures, and screening may prove to have an optimal cost-benefit ratio.

The spatial distribution of colorectal cancer relative risk in Iran: a nationwide spatial study.

AIM: The aim of this study was to estimate the standardized incidence rate (SIR) and also the relative risk (RR) of colorectal cancer (CRC) in Iran and to determine the distribution of CRC risk in a map after adjusting socioeconomic risk factors. BACKGROUND: The growth of CRC incidence rate in Iran is a major public health problem and identifying high-risk regions is essential for further intervention. METHODS: For this cross-sectional study, all CRC cases that occurred in 30 Iranian provinces between 2005 and 2008 were collected according to the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10). In addition, socioeconomic information was extracted from statistical center of Iran. Bayesian and Poison regression models were fitted to identify significant covariates. For RR estimating, the spatial analysis using GIS technique was carried out. RESULTS: The Bayesian method with increasing precision of the parameter estimates had a better fit. According to spatial model, East Azerbaijan province had a high (11.14) and South Khorasan province had a low (0.22) risk of CRC in the period of study. SIR for the male population was 1.92 ± 3.25, and for the female population it was 1.85 ± 3.37. CONCLUSION: There is a non-uniform spatial pattern of CRC risk in Iran. According to the results, North, Northwest and some parts of West and Central provinces of Iran are identified as high-risk areas; thus, it is recommended that health policymakers, especially in these areas, have more intervention measures. Further studies are needed to map the RR adjusted for nutrition factors.

Burden of Obstructive Lung Disease in Iran: Prevalence and Risk Factors for COPD in North of Iran.

BACKGROUND: Globally chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) was reported as the fourth leading cause of death (5.1%) in 2004 and is projected to occupy the third position (8.6%) in 2030. The goal of the present project is to describe the prevalence and risk factors of COPD in a province in the north of Iran. METHODS: This study followed a stratified cluster sampling strategy with proportional allocation within strata. The stratification of the sample according to the 31 provinces of Iran is incorporated in the sampling process. The single most important outcome measure obtained as part of this protocol was spirometry before and after the administration of 200 mg (2 puffs) of salbutamol. The descriptive statistics for categorical variables included the number and percent and for continues variables included the mean ± SD. RESULTS: A total of 1007 subjects were included in the study. Among all participants, 46 (5%) subjects had COPD on the basis of symptoms and 43 (8.3%) subjects had COPD on the basis of spirometry criteria. In univariate analysis, urban inhabitants in comparison with rural inhabitants had lower COPD risk (OR: 0.48; 95% CI: 0.24-0.95), smoker had higher risk compared with nonsmokers (OR: 1.97; 95% CI: 1.01-3.82), and subjects with exposure to dust (OR: 2.07; 95% CI: 1.09-3.94) had higher risk compared with contrary status. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that occupational and environmental smoke exposure was associated with COPD. A new design of preventive measures must be taken to control cooking energy and cooking stoves, particularly in rural areas.

The role of Human leukocyte antigen class I on patient survival in Gastrointestinal cancers: a systematic review and meta- analysis.

The prognostic role of Human leukocyte antigen class I (HLA- I) in gastrointestinal cancers has been remained controversial. We performed a meta-analysis to determine the role of classical HLA-I in predicting survival of patients. In addition, the relationship between HLA- I and some clinicopathological factors was evaluated. Published studies investigated HLA-I expression effect on gastrointestinal cancers were evaluated to determine association between HLA- I and overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients. The used effect sizes were hazard ratio (HR) and Odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). A total of ten studies included 1307 patients were analyzed. The pooled results revealed that HLA- I overexpression was positively related to OS (HR: 0.72; 95% CI: 0.53-0.96) and demonstrated little association for RFS (HR: 0.70; 95% CI: 0.46-1.08). HLA-I overexpression is negative associated with poorer differentiation of tumor (OR: 0.53; 95% CI (0.43-0.81) and also higher stages of cancer (OR: 0.29; 95% CI (0.13-0.64). HLA- I overexpression was related to a better prognosis on OS and probably had little impact on RFS.

Trend of Gastric Cancer after Bayesian Correction of Misclassification Error in Neighboring Provinces of Iran.

BACKGROUND: Some errors may occur in the disease registry system. One of them is misclassification error in cancer registration. It occurs because some of the patients from deprived provinces travel to their adjacent provinces to receive better healthcare without mentioning their permanent residence. The aim of this study was to re-estimate the incidence of gastric cancer using the Bayesian correction for misclassification across Iranian provinces. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data of gastric cancer incidence were adapted from the Iranian national cancer registration reports from 2004 to 2008. Bayesian analysis was performed to estimate the misclassification rate with a beta prior distribution for misclassification parameter. Parameters of beta distribution were selected according to the expected coverage of new cancer cases in each medical university of the country. RESULTS: There was a remarkable misclassification with reference to the registration of cancer cases across the provinces of the country. The average estimated misclassification rate was between 15% and 68%, and higher rates were estimated for more deprived provinces. CONCLUSION: Misclassification error reduces the accuracy of the registry data, in turn causing underestimation and overestimation in the assessment of the risk of cancer in different areas. In conclusion, correcting the regional misclassification in cancer registry data is essential for discerning high-risk regions and making plans for cancer control and prevention.

Prevalence of Asthma and Asthma-like Symptoms: a Study in Five Provinces of Iran.

BACKGROUND: Asthma is a complex chronic inflammatory airway disease affecting millions of people worldwide. The prevalence of asthma attacks in most regions of the world, including the developing countries, increases due to urbanization, industrialization, and lifestyle. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The present study aimed at investigating the prevalence of asthma and asthma symptoms in five provinces of Iran using the stratified cluster sampling method and the European Community Respiratory Health Survey (ECRHS) questionnaire. RESULTS: A total of 4918 subjects were enrolled in the study. The prevalence of nocturnal cough was 27.4% (95% confidence interval (CI): 26%-28%); it was the most common asthma symptom followed by nocturnal shortness of breath (19.6%; 95%CI: 18-21%). For participants aged 20-44 years, the most prevalent symptoms were coughing attacks (37.7%), shortness of breath (26.5%), and nasal allergies (22.7%), respectively. CONCLUSION: There was a significant association among gender, age, and nasal allergy. Relevant studies should be conducted to figure out the countrywide distribution and the real burden of the disease.

The effect of working in an auto factory on functional constipation and bowel habits.

AIM: The aim of the present study was to evaluate the factors associated with functional constipation (FC) and to determine a normal range of bowel movement (BM) in an Iranian Auto factory's workers. BACKGROUND: The digestive system may be affected by workplace conditions. Some occupational conditions can affect the bowel habit and FC. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, 3590 workers who worked in Tehran suburb in 2017 were evaluated. The workers worked in morning or rotatory shifts and in the official and non-official sections. In addition to demographic and stool frequency questions, workers were asked to complete the Rome IV Questionnaire. RESULTS: The normal range of BM frequency was determined between one and three per day. The BM frequency had a significant association with age (P=0.002), marital status (P=0.024), education (P=0.011), exposure to chemical materials (P<0.001), and work section (P<0.001). The total prevalence of FC was 9.7% which was greater among rotatory shift working than among only morning shift workers (10% vs 6%; P=0.02). Independent factors associated with FC were found as age (for 30- 40 years old: OR=1.88; 95% CI (1.20, 3.03) and for ≥41 years old: OR=1.91; 95% CI (1.12,3.17)), smoking (OR=1.52; 95% CI (1.20,1.93)) and work section (for Paint section: OR=0.33; 95% CI (0.12,0.87), for montage section: OR=0.44; 95% CI (0.18,1.10), for press & platform section: OR=0.12; 95% CI (0.05,0.37)). CONCLUSION: Occupational condition may make a difference in bowel habit. Rotatory shift, official working, and smoking may increase the risk of constipation.

Iranian high risk regions due to esophageal cancer: spatial analysis of cancer registry data.

AIM: The aim of this study was to identify the esophageal cancer (EC) high risk regions to evaluate changes of relative risks (RRs) for both genders by time in Iranian provinces. BACKGROUND: EC is one of the public health problems in Iran. In spite of this fact, there is not comprehensive study estimating RRs across the Iranian provinces. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study the data for EC cases were extracted from Ministry of Health and Medical Education (MOHME) including 30 provinces from 2004 to 2010. For estimating the model parameters, we used Bayesian approach by regarding spatial correlations of adjacent provinces. RESULTS: The Northern half of Iran has high risk and other half has low risk. During the time, the range of RRs has decreased for both gender and also the dispersion of EC is decreasing for women but nearly is fixed for men. CONCLUSION: While RR has declined during the study, focusing on the Northern half of Iran as high risk regions is a considerable fact for policymakers.

Application of a non-parametric non-mixture cure rate model for analyzing the survival of patients with colorectal cancer in Iran.

OBJECTIVES: Colorectal cancer (CRC) patients are considered to have been cured when the mortality rate of individuals with the disease returns to the same level as expected in the general population. This study aimed to assess the impact of various risk factors on the cure fraction of CRC patients using a real dataset of Iranian CRC patients with a non-mixture non-parametric cure model. METHODS: This study was conducted on the medical records of 512 patients who were definitively diagnosed with CRC at Taleghani Hospital, Tehran, Iran from 2001 to 2007. A non-mixture non-parametric cure rate model was applied to the data after using stepwise selection to identify the risk factors of CRC. RESULTS: For non-cured cases, the mean survival time was 1,243.83 days (95% confidence interval [CI], 1,174.65 to 1,313.00) and the median survival time was 1,493.00 days (95% CI, 1,398.67 to 1,587.33). The 1- and 3-year survival rates were 92.9% (95% CI, 91.0 to 95.0) and 73.4% (95% CI, 68.0 to 79.0), respectively. Pathologic stage T1 of the primary tumor (estimate=0.58; p=0.013), a poorly differentiated tumor (estimate=1.17; p<0.001), a body mass index (BMI) between 18.6 and 24.9 kg/m2 (estimate=-0.60; p=0.04), and a BMI between 25.0 and 29.9 kg/m2 (estimate=-1.43; p<0.001) had significant impacts on the cure fraction of CRC in the multivariate analysis. The proportion of cured patients was 64.1% (95% CI, 56.7 to 72.4). CONCLUSIONS: This study found that the pathologic stage of the primary tumor, tumor grade, and BMI were potential risk factors that had an impact on the cure fraction. A non-mixture non-parametric cure rate model provides a flexible framework for accurately determining the impact of risk factors on the long-term survival of patients with CRC.

Bayesian adjustment for trend of colorectal cancer incidence in misclassified registering across Iranian provinces.

Misclassification error is a common problem of cancer registries in developing countries that leads to biased cancer rates. The purpose of this research is to use Bayesian method for correcting misclassification in registered cancer incidence of eighteen provinces in Iran. Incidence data of patients with colorectal cancer were extracted from Iranian annual of national cancer registration reports from 2005 to 2008. A province with proper medical facilities can always be compared to its neighbors. Almost 28% of the misclassification was estimated between the province of East Azarbaijan and West Azarbaijan, 56% between Fars and Hormozgan, 43% between Isfahan and Charmahal and Bakhtyari, 46% between Isfahan and Lorestan, 58% between Razavi Khorasan and North Khorasan, 50% between Razavi Khorasan and South Khorasan, 74% between Razavi Khorasan and Sistan and Balochestan, 43% between Mazandaran and Golestan, 37% between Tehran and Qazvin, 45% between Tehran and Markazi, 42% between Tehran and Qom, 47% between Tehran and Zanjan. Correcting the regional misclassification and obtaining the correct rates of cancer incidence in different regions is necessary for making cancer control and prevention programs and in healthcare resource allocation.

Influence of working in auto factory on gastroesophageal reflux disease.

AIM: Present study aimed to evaluate association between job -related factors and gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) among Iranian auto factory's workers. BACKGROUND: Many of the gastrointestinal disorders may be caused as the result of stress-related occupations and biorhythm disruption. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study on 3590 Iranian Auto factory employees. GERD symptoms, demographic information, work shift, work section and history of some gastrointestinal disease were asked from all employees by physician. Logistic regression was used to estimate the odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for GERD symptoms according to the potential risk factors. RESULTS: The prevalence of GERD was 25.57%, which was higher in rotatory shift (91.6%) than the fixed shift (8.4%) (P-value = 0.009). Smoking (OR: 1.31; 95% CI: (1.09, 1.57)), working in official section (P-value < 0.001), history of GERD (OR: 8.63; 95 % CI (6.53, 11.40)), history of peptic ulcer (OR: 2.96; 95 % CI (2.08, 4.20)), family history of gastrointestinal cancers (OR: 1.47; 95 % CI (1.19, 1.81)) were the factors associated with GERD symptoms. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of GERD in the rotatory shift was more than the fixed shift. Smoking, family history of gastrointestinal cancers and peptic ulcer could be associated with GERD symptoms. Working in the special job with high activity, may probably lead to decrease in the risk of reflux.

Diabetes mellitus and hypertension increase the risk of colorectal cancer mortality; a robust Bayesian adjustment analysis.

AIM: The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of diabetes and hypertension on colorectal cancer (CRC) mortality. BACKGROUND: One of the methodology in epidemiological studies is to use self-report questionnaires to gather data, this is the easiest and cheapest method but involves with misclassification bias. We use robust Bayesian adjustment to correct this bias. METHODS: One of the methodology in epidemiological studies is to use self-report questionnaires to gather data, this is the easiest and cheapest method but involves with misclassification bias. We use robust Bayesian adjustment to correct this bias. RESULTS: The effect size with ignorance misclassification bias was 0.78 for diabetes and 0.94 for hypertension respectively which both of them were not significant. After adjusting the misclassification and performing the robust Bayesian analysis, we arrived at region (0.27, 3.4) for OR of diabetes and (0.21, 2.31) for hypertension. CONCLUSION: our study demonstrated that diabetes and hypertension increase the risk of mortality in CRC patients, using robust Bayesian analysis and misclassification in diagnosis these two exposure could change or confound the results of this association.

Bayesian correction model for over-estimation and under-estimation of liver cancer incidence in Iranian neighboring provinces.

AIM: The aim of this study was to obtain more accurate estimates of the liver cancer incidence rate after correcting for misclassification error in cancer registry across Iranian provinces. BACKGROUND: Nowadays having a thorough knowledge of geographic distribution of disease incidence has become essential for identifying the influential factors on cancer incidence. METHODS: Data of liver cancer incidence was extracted from Iranian annual of national cancer registration report 2008. Expected coverage of cancer cases for each province was calculated. Patients of each province that had covered fewer cancer cases than 100% of its expectation, were supposed to be registered at an adjacent province which had observed more cancer cases than 100% of its expected coverage. For estimating the rate of misclassification in registering cancer incidence, a Bayesian method was implemented. Beta distribution was considered for misclassified parameter since its expectation converges to the misclassification rate. Parameters of beta distribution were selected based on the expected coverage of cancer cases in each province. After obtaining the misclassification rate, the incidence rates were re-estimated. RESULTS: There was misclassification error in registering new cancer cases across the provinces of Iran. Provinces with more medical facilities such as Tehran which is the capital of the country, Mazandaran in north of the Iran, East Azerbaijan in north-west, Razavi Khorasan in north-east, Isfahan in central part, and Fars and Khozestan in south of Iran had significantly higher rates of liver cancer than their neighboring provinces. On the other hand, their neighboring provinces with low medical facilities such as Ardebil, West Azerbaijan, Golestan, South and north Khorasans, Qazvin, Markazi, Arak, Sistan & balouchestan, Kigilouye & boyerahmad, Bushehr, Ilam and Hormozgan, had observed fewer cancer cases than their expectation. CONCLUSION: Accounting and correcting the regional misclassification are necessary for identifying high risk areas of the country and effective policy making to cope with cancer.

Spatial analysis of Relative Risks for skin cancer morbidity and mortality in Iran, 2008-2010.

BACKGROUND: One of the most prevalent cancers in whole world is skin cancer and its prevalence is growing. The present research sought to estimate relative risk of morbidity and mortality due to skin cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this cross-sectional study. The required data were gathered from the registered cancer reports of Cancer Control Office in the Center for Non Communicable Disease of the Iranian Ministry of Health (MOH). The data were extracted at province level in the time span of 2008-10. WINBUGS software was used to analyze the data and to identify high risk regions. ArcGIS10 was utilized to map the distribution of skin cancer and to demonstrate high risk provinces by using classic and fully Bayesian models taking into account spatial correlations of adjacent regions separately for men and women. RESULTS: Relative risk of morbidity for women in Yazd and for men in Kurdistan and relative risk of mortality for women in Bushehr and for men in Kohgiluyeh were found to be the highest. Bayesian model due to regarding adjacent regions correlation, have precise estimation in comparing to classical model. More frequent epidemiological studies to enact skin cancer prevention programs. CONCLUSIONS: High risk regions in Iran include central and highland regions. Therefore it is suggested that health decision makers enact public education, using anti UV creams and sunglasses for those parts as a short preventing program.