Regional deep hyperthermia: quantitative evaluation of predicted and direct measured temperature distributions in patients with high-risk extremity soft-tissue sarcoma.

BACKGROUND: Temperature distributions resulting from hyperthermia treatment of patients with high-risk soft-tissue sarcoma (STS) were quantitatively evaluated and globally compared with thermal simulations performed by a treatment planning system. The aim was to test whether the treatment planning system was able to predict correct temperature distributions. METHODS: Five patients underwent computed tomography (CT) fluoroscopy-guided placement of tumor catheters used for the interstitial temperature measurements. For the simulations, five 3 D patient models were reconstructed by segmenting the patient CT datasets into different tissues. The measured and simulated data were evaluated by calculating the temperature change ( ΔT ), T90, T50, T20, Tmean, Tmin and Tmax, as well as the 90th percentile thermal dose (CEM43T90). In order to measure the agreement between both methods quantitatively, the Bland-Altman analysis was applied. RESULTS: The absolute difference between measured and simulated temperatures were found to be 2°, 6°, 1°, 4°, 5° and 4 °C on average for Tmin, Tmax, T90, T50, T20 and Tmean, respectively. Furthermore, the thermal simulations exhibited relatively higher thermal dose compared to those that were measured. Finally, the results of the Bland-Altman analysis showed that the mean difference between both methods was above 2 °C which is considered to be clinically unacceptable. CONCLUSION: Given the current practical limitations on resolution of calculation grid, tissue properties, and perfusion information, the software SigmaHyperPlan™ is incapable to produce thermal simulations with sufficient correlation to typically heterogeneous tissue temperatures to be useful for clinical treatment planning.

The JAK1/2 inhibitor ruxolitinib in patients with COVID-19 triggered hyperinflammation: the RuxCoFlam trial.

Dysregulated hyperinflammatory response is key in the pathogenesis in patients with severe COVID-19 leading to acute respiratory distress syndrome and multiorgan failure. Whilst immunosuppression has been proven to be effective, potential biological targets and optimal timing of treatment are still conflicting. We sought to evaluate efficacy and safety of the Janus Kinase 1/2 inhibitor ruxolitinib, employing the previously developed COVID-19 Inflammation Score (CIS) in a prospective multicenter open label phase II trial (NCT04338958). Primary objective was reversal of hyperinflammation (CIS reduction of ≥25% at day 7 in ≥20% of patients). In 184 patients with a CIS of ≥10 (median 12) ruxolitinib was commenced at an initial dose of 10 mg twice daily and applied over a median of 14 days (range, 2-31). On day 7, median CIS declined to 6 (range, 1-13); 71% of patients (CI 64-77%) achieved a ≥25% CIS reduction accompanied by a reduction of markers of inflammation. Median cumulative dose was 272.5 mg/d. Treatment was well tolerated without any grade 3-5 adverse events related to ruxolitinib. Forty-four patients (23.9%) died, all without reported association to study drug. In conclusion, ruxolitinib proved to be safe and effective in a cohort of COVID-19 patients with defined hyperinflammation.

A MDR1 (ABCB1) gene single nucleotide polymorphism predicts outcome of temozolomide treatment in glioblastoma patients.

BACKGROUND: Some patients with glioblastoma multiform do not respond to temozolomide even though they have aberrant promoter methylation of the DNA repair enzyme O(6)-methylguanine methyltransferase (MGMT). This suggests that additional factors hamper temozolomide cytotoxicity. We aimed to confirm first that temozolomide is a target for the multidrug resistance transporter MDR1/ABCB1 and second to investigate whether genetic variants of the MDR1 gene are associated with the survival of glioblastoma patients treated with temozolomide. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Temozolomide-mediated cytotoxicity was determined by the colorimetric methyl-thiazol-tetrazolium assay in MDR-expressing and MDR-nonexpressing cell lines. Genotypes of three single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of the MDR1 gene (C1236T, G2677T, and C3435T), MDR1 mRNA expression levels, and the MGMT promoter methylation status were analyzed in 112 glioblastoma patients who had been treated either by surgery plus radiotherapy alone or by additional temozolomide chemotherapy. RESULTS: In vitro analysis revealed that temozolomide-mediated cytotoxicity is dependent on MDR1 expression. Multivariate analysis of MDR1 genotypes showed that the C/C variant of the exon12 C1236T SNP is predictive for survival of patients treated with temozolomide. This effect was independent of the MGMT methylation status. Patients with the C/C genotype had a 2-year overall survival of 37% compared with 8% and 10% for patients with C/T and T/T genotypes, respectively (P=0.02). No influence was seen in the group of patients with radiotherapy only. CONCLUSION: The genotype of the MDR1 exon12 C1236T SNP is a novel independent predictive factor for outcome of temozolomide treatment in glioblastoma patients.

Diagnostic value of cerebrospinal fluid CXCL13 for acute Lyme neuroborreliosis. A systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: The utility of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) CXCL13 for diagnosis of acute Lyme neuroborreliosis (LNB) has been debated and the test is not yet routinely performed. This study's aim was to evaluate its overall diagnostic accuracy through meta-analysis. METHODS: Electronic searches in PubMed MEDLINE and Web of Science were performed to identify relevant articles published before January 2018. A summary receiver operating characteristic curve and an optimal cut-off were estimated modelling multiple cut-offs. Publication bias was evaluated using a funnel plot and the associated regression test. RESULTS: A total of 18 studies involving 618 individuals with acute LNB and 2326 individuals with other neurological disorders meeting the eligibility criteria were identified. The pooled sensitivity for CSF CXCL13 was 89% (95% CI 85%-93%) and the pooled specificity was 96% (95% CI 92%-98%), using the identified optimal cut-off value of 162 pg/mL. There was marked heterogeneity between studies, caused by differences in the designs of the study populations and age distribution. The optimal cut-off in the seven studies with a cross-sectional design was 91 pg/mL (sensitivity 96%, 95% CI 92%-98%; specificity 94%, 95% CI 86%-97%) and in the 11 case-control studies it was 164 pg/mL (sensitivity 85%, 95% CI 78%-91%; specificity 95%, 95% CI 90%-98%). CSF CXCL13 values above the optimal cut-off level (determined in this meta-analysis) were also detectable in some other central nervous system disorders, namely neurosyphilis and central nervous system lymphoma. CONCLUSIONS: Our meta-analysis shows that CSF CXCL13 has the potential to become a useful adjunct in the diagnosis of acute LNB.

Expression of the CTLA-4 ligand CD86 on plasmacytoid dendritic cells (pDC) predicts risk of disease recurrence after treatment discontinuation in CML.

This corrects the article DOI: 10.1038/leu.2017.9.

Cytogenetic response to prior treatment with interferon-alpha is predictive for survival after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation in chronic myeloid leukemia.

We investigated the impact of a cytogenetic response (CyR) to IFN prior to and at the time of allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) on transplant-related mortality (TRM), relapse rate and survival probability after HSCT in 162 transplanted patients with chronic myeloid leukemia. One-hundred-one patients (62.3%) achieved a CyR prior to HSCT. Survival probabilities were higher in patients, who achieved any CyR prior to HSCT than in patients without CyR (63.6 vs 49.2%: P = 0.019). Survival probabilities in patients, who achieved a major CyR were better than in patients with minimal and minor CyR or in patients with no CyR (69.4 vs 58.8% vs 49.2%: P = 0.040). TRM and survival of chronic phase patients without CyR at the time of HSCT were similar to that of patients transplanted in advanced phase. Both groups combined had an outcome inferior to patients with at least minimal CyR (TRM, Gray test: P = 0.016, survival, log-rank test: P = 0.002). Univariate and multivariate analyses identified CyR prior to or at HSCT as a strong and independently favorable prognostic factor. We therefore conclude that allogeneic HSCT in CyR should be investigated prospectively as an alternative treatment option in defined patient groups.

Expression of the CTLA-4 ligand CD86 on plasmacytoid dendritic cells (pDC) predicts risk of disease recurrence after treatment discontinuation in CML.

It is unknown, why only a minority of chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) patients sustains treatment free remission (TFR) after discontinuation of tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) therapy in deep molecular remission (MR). Here we studied, whether expression of the T-cell inhibitory receptor (CTLA-4)-ligand CD86 (B7.2) on plasmacytoid dendritic cells (pDC) affects relapse risk after TKI cessation. CML patients in MR displayed significantly higher CD86+pDC frequencies than normal donors (P<0.0024), whereas TFR patients had consistently low CD86+pDC (n=12). This suggested that low CD86+pDC might be predictive of TFR. Indeed, in a prospective analysis of 122 patients discontinuing their TKI within the EURO-SKI trial, the one-year relapse-free survival (RFS) was 30.1% (95% CI 15.6-47.9) for patients with >95 CD86+pDC per 105 lymphocytes, but 70.0% (95% CI 59.3-78.3) for patients with <95 CD86+pDC (hazard ratio (HR) 3.4, 95%-CI: 1.9-6.0; P<0.0001). Moreover, only patients with <95 CD86+pDC derived a significant benefit from longer (>8 years) TKI exposure before discontinuation (HR 0.3, 95% CI 0.1-0.8; P=0.0263). High CD86+pDC counts significantly correlated with leukemia-specific CD8+ T-cell exhaustion (Spearman correlation: 0.74, 95%-CI: 0.21-0.92; P=0.0098). Our data demonstrate that CML patients with high CD86+pDC counts have a higher risk of relapse after TKI discontinuation.

Assessment of imatinib as first-line treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia: 10-year survival results of the randomized CML study IV and impact of non-CML determinants.

Chronic myeloid leukemia (CML)-study IV was designed to explore whether treatment with imatinib (IM) at 400 mg/day (n=400) could be optimized by doubling the dose (n=420), adding interferon (IFN) (n=430) or cytarabine (n=158) or using IM after IFN-failure (n=128). From July 2002 to March 2012, 1551 newly diagnosed patients in chronic phase were randomized into a 5-arm study. The study was powered to detect a survival difference of 5% at 5 years. After a median observation time of 9.5 years, 10-year overall survival was 82%, 10-year progression-free survival was 80% and 10-year relative survival was 92%. Survival between IM400 mg and any experimental arm was not different. In a multivariate analysis, risk group, major-route chromosomal aberrations, comorbidities, smoking and treatment center (academic vs other) influenced survival significantly, but not any form of treatment optimization. Patients reaching the molecular response milestones at 3, 6 and 12 months had a significant survival advantage. For responders, monotherapy with IM400 mg provides a close to normal life expectancy independent of the time to response. Survival is more determined by patients' and disease factors than by initial treatment selection. Although improvements are also needed for refractory disease, more life-time can currently be gained by carefully addressing non-CML determinants of survival.

Gender aspects in chronic myeloid leukemia: long-term results from randomized studies.

Gender-related aspects in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) have not been studied well. We therefore analyzed 856 patients with Ph/BCR-ABL-positive CML from the German randomized CML-studies I (interferon alpha (IFN) vs hydroxyurea (HU) vs busulfan) and II (IFN+HU vs HU alone). The median observation time was 8.6 years. A total of 503 patients (59%) were male. Female patients were older (51 vs 46 years; P<0.0001), presented with lower hemoglobin (11.7 vs 12.5 g/dl; P<0.0001), higher platelet counts (459 vs 355 x 10(9)/l; P<0.0001), smaller spleen size (3 vs 4 cm below costal margin; P=0.0097), a lower rate of additional cytogenetic aberrations (9 vs 15%; P=0.018) and a less favorable risk profile (P=0.036). The transplantation rate was 14% for female (n=48) and 22% for male patients (n=113). Median survival was longer in female patients (58 vs 49 months; P=0.035) mainly attributable to better survival in the low- and intermediate-risk groups and, independent from risk groups, in the HU group. These results were confirmed by matched-pair analyses based on German population data (n=496, 59 vs 45 months; P=0.0006). This is the first analysis of gender aspects in CML using randomized trials. It demonstrates the relevance of analyses of gender differences in CML and in malignant disease at large.

A new prognostic score for survival of patients with chronic myeloid leukemia treated with interferon alfa. Writing Committee for the Collaborative CML Prognostic Factors Project Group.

BACKGROUND: Interferon alfa is a conservative and widely used alternative to bone marrow transplantation in treatment of patients with early chronic myeloid leukemia (CML). A meta-analysis was conducted to develop a reliable prognostic scoring system for estimation of survival of patients with CML treated with interferon alfa. METHODS: Patients treated in prospective studies, including major randomized trials, were separated into learning and validation samples. Cox regression analysis and the minimum P-value approach were used to identify prognostic factors for patient survival and to discover groups in the learning sample with the greatest differences in survival. These findings were then validated by applying the new scoring system to patients in the validation sample. RESULTS: We collected data on 1573 patients who were participants in 14 studies involving 12 institutions; 1303 patients (learning sample, n = 981; validation sample, n = 322) were eligible for inclusion in this analysis, and their median survival time was 69 months (range, 1-117 months). Because two previously described prognostic scoring systems failed to discriminate risk groups satisfactorily, we developed a new scoring system that utilizes the following covariates: age, spleen size, blast count, platelet count, eosinophil count, and basophil count. Among 908 patients with complete data in the learning sample, three distinct risk groups were identified (median survival times of 98 months [n = 369; 40.6%], 65 months [n = 406; 44.7%], or 42 months [n = 133;14.6%]; two-sided logrank test, P< or =.0001). The ability of the new scoring system to discriminate these risk groups was confirmed by analysis of 285 patients with complete data in the validation sample (two-sided logrank test, P = .0002). CONCLUSIONS: A new prognostic scoring system for estimating survival of patients with CML treated with interferon alfa has been developed and validated through use of a large dataset.

Prognosis of long-term survival considering disease-specific death in patients with chronic myeloid leukemia.

In patients with chronic myeloid leukemia (CML), first-line imatinib treatment leads to 8-year overall survival (OS) probabilities above 80%. Many patients die of reasons unrelated to CML. This work tackled the reassessment of prognosis under particular consideration of the probabilities of dying of CML. Analyses were based on 2290 patients with chronic phase CML treated with imatinib in six clinical trials. 'Death due to CML' was defined by death after disease progression. At 8 years, OS was 89%. Of 208 deceased patients, 44% died of CML. Higher age, more peripheral blasts, bigger spleen and low platelet counts were significantly associated with increased probabilities of dying of CML and determined a new long-term survival score with three prognostic groups. Compared with the low-risk group, the patients of the intermediate- and the high-risk group had significantly higher probabilities of dying of CML. The score was successfully validated in an independent sample of 1120 patients. In both samples, the new score differentiated probabilities of dying of CML better than the Sokal, Euro and the European Treatment and Outcome Study (EUTOS) score. The new score identified 61% low-risk patients with excellent long-term outcome and 12% high-risk patients. The new score supports the prospective assessment of long-term antileukemic efficacy and risk-adapted treatment.

Additional mutations in SRSF2, ASXL1 and/or RUNX1 identify a high-risk group of patients with KIT D816V(+) advanced systemic mastocytosis.

Most patients with KIT D816V(+) advanced systemic mastocytosis (SM) are characterized by somatic mutations in additional genes. We sought to clarify the prognostic impact of such mutations. Genotype and clinical characteristics of 70 multi-mutated KIT D816V(+) advanced SM patients were included in univariate and multivariate analyses. The most frequently identified mutated genes were TET2 (n=33 of 70 patients), SRSF2 (n=30), ASXL1 (n=20), RUNX1 (n=16) and JAK2 (n=11). In univariate analysis, overall survival (OS) was adversely influenced by mutations in SRSF2 (P<0.0001), ASXL1 (P=0.002) and RUNX1 (P=0.03), but was not influenced by mutations in TET2 or JAK2. In multivariate analysis, SRSF2 and ASXL1 remained the most predictive adverse indicators concerning OS. Furthermore, we found that inferior OS and adverse clinical characteristics were significantly influenced by the number of mutated genes in the SRSF2/ASXL1/RUNX1 (S/A/R) panel (P<0.0001). In conclusion, the presence and number of mutated genes within the S/A/R panel are adversely associated with advanced disease and poor survival in KIT D816V(+) SM. On the basis of these findings, inclusion of molecular markers should be considered in upcoming prognostic scoring systems for patients with SM.

Secondary malignancies in chronic myeloid leukemia patients after imatinib-based treatment: long-term observation in CML Study IV.

Treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) has been profoundly improved by the introduction of tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs). Long-term survival with imatinib is excellent with a 8-year survival rate of ∼88%. Long-term toxicity of TKI treatment, especially carcinogenicity, has become a concern. We analyzed data of the CML study IV for the development of secondary malignancies. In total, 67 secondary malignancies were found in 64 of 1525 CML patients in chronic phase treated with TKI (n=61) and interferon-α only (n=3). The most common malignancies (n⩾4) were prostate, colorectal and lung cancer, non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL), malignant melanoma, non-melanoma skin tumors and breast cancer. The standardized incidence ratio (SIR) for all malignancies excluding non-melanoma skin tumors was 0.88 (95% confidence interval (0.63-1.20)) for men and 1.06 (95% CI 0.69-1.55) for women. SIRs were between 0.49 (95% CI 0.13-1.34) for colorectal cancer in men and 4.29 (95% CI 1.09-11.66) for NHL in women. The SIR for NHL was significantly increased for men and women. An increase in the incidence of secondary malignancies could not be ascertained. The increased SIR for NHL has to be considered and long-term follow-up of CML patients is warranted, as the rate of secondary malignancies may increase over time.

Long-term outcome of patients with newly diagnosed chronic myeloid leukemia: a randomized comparison of stem cell transplantation with drug treatment.

Tyrosine kinase inhibitors represent today's treatment of choice in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML). Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) is regarded as salvage therapy. This prospective randomized CML-study IIIA recruited 669 patients with newly diagnosed CML between July 1997 and January 2004 from 143 centers. Of these, 427 patients were considered eligible for HSCT and were randomized by availability of a matched family donor between primary HSCT (group A; N=166 patients) and best available drug treatment (group B; N=261). Primary end point was long-term survival. Survival probabilities were not different between groups A and B (10-year survival: 0.76 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.69-0.82) vs 0.69 (95% CI: 0.61-0.76)), but influenced by disease and transplant risk. Patients with a low transplant risk showed superior survival compared with patients with high- (P<0.001) and non-high-risk disease (P=0.047) in group B; after entering blast crisis, survival was not different with or without HSCT. Significantly more patients in group A were in molecular remission (56% vs 39%; P=0.005) and free of drug treatment (56% vs 6%; P<0.001). Differences in symptoms and Karnofsky score were not significant. In the era of tyrosine kinase inhibitors, HSCT remains a valid option when both disease and transplant risk are considered.

Marrow fibrosis, indicator of therapy failure in chronic myeloid leukemia - prospective long-term results from a randomized-controlled trial.

Marrow fibrosis (MF) has rarely been considered in therapy studies on chronic myeloid leukemia (CML), and there is a lack of long-term observations on the basis of sequential bone marrow biopsies (BMBs) taken prospectively during the course of disease. A total of 848 BMBs from 400 patients with Ph(+) CML recruited in the German randomized CML study I were examined for MF before and during therapy. In total, 110 patients had been randomized to receive interferon (IFN)-alpha, and 290 to receive chemotherapy (hydroxyurea (HU): 154, busulfan: 136). During IFN-alpha and HU medication, MF was reduced or did not increase for about 2 years. Evolving or progressive MF was an independent and early predictor of therapy failure about 2 years earlier than indicated by changes in the peripheral blood, spleen size, marrow blast count and cytogenetics (P<0.00005), resulting in a significant shortening of the survival times of patients independent of the type of therapy applied including allografting (multivariate analyses; P<0.00005). The analyzed long-term observations strongly indicate that MF is an independent poor prognostic complication of CML, allowing an early prediction of therapy failure. Consideration of the fiber content in marrow may therefore significantly improve the prediction of therapy efficacy and outcome of disease.

Treatment intensity significantly influencing fibrosis in bone marrow independently of the cytogenetic response: meta-analysis of the long-term results from two prospective controlled trials on chronic myeloid leukemia.

Bone marrow fibrosis (MF) has been shown to indicate therapy failure in Ph(+) chronic myeloid leukemia (CML). However, the results on the development of MF during interferon-alpha therapy of CML are controversial. The significance of the interferon dose has not been considered as yet. In total, 627 bone marrow biopsies taken prospectively from 200 patients with CML recruited in two studies using different doses of interferon-alpha +/- low-dose cytosine arabinoside were examined for MF before and during therapy. The results showed that the risk of MF depended significantly on the interferon-alpha dose applied (P<0.000005). MF progressed during low-dose therapy (3 x 5 x 10(6) IU/week), but was prevented from progression when applying high dose (5 x 10(6) IU/m(2)/per day). MF disappeared when high-dose interferon-alpha was combined with low-dose cytosine arabinoside (P<0.000005). The risk of death markedly increased when MF occurred or progressed (P<0.0009), independent of all other prognostic factors evaluated including the cytogenetic response. In conclusion, the effectiveness of interferon-alpha on MF depends on the treatment intensity. MF reverses when combining high-dose interferon-alpha with low-dose cytosine arabinoside, but progresses when applying low-dose interferon-alpha. MF appears to be a significant early indicator of ineffective therapy in CML.

Chronic myeloid leukemia in the elderly: long-term results from randomized trials with interferon alpha.

Chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) in older patients has not been studied well. To assess the long-term outcome of older patients with Philadelphia- and/or BCR-ABL-positive CML, 199 patients aged >/=60 years representing 23% of 856 patients enrolled in the German randomized CML-studies I (interferon alpha (IFN) vs hydroxyurea (HU) vs busulfan (BU) and II (IFN+HU vs HU alone) were analyzed after a median observation time of 7 years. In all, 45 patients were treated with Bu, 63 with HU, and 91 with IFN. The 5-year survival was 38% in patients >/=60 years and 47% in patients <60 years (P<0.001). Whereas 5-year survival in chemotherapy-treated older patients was inferior to that in younger patients (33 vs 46%, P=0.006 for HU and 29 vs 38%, P=0.042 for Bu), no significant survival difference could be verified in IFN-treated patients (46 vs 53%, P=0.077). Calculation of age-adjusted, relative survival confirmed these results. Adverse effects of IFN were similar in both age groups, but IFN dosage to achieve treatment goals was lower in older patients. We conclude that the course of CML is not different in the elderly. They require lower IFN doses, achieve the same hematologic and cytogenetic response rates and the same survival advantage at comparable toxicity.

Randomized comparison of interferon alpha and hydroxyurea with hydroxyurea monotherapy in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML-study II): prolongation of survival by the combination of interferon alpha and hydroxyurea.

The optimum treatment conditions of interferon (IFN) alpha therapy in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) are still controversial. To evaluate the role of hydroxyurea (HU) for the outcome of IFN therapy, we conducted a randomized trial to compare the combination of IFN and HU vs HU monotherapy (CML-study II). From February 1991 to December 1994, 376 patients with newly diagnosed CML in chronic phase were randomized. In all, 340 patients were Ph/BCR-ABL positive and evaluable. Randomization was unbalanced 1:2 in favor of the combination therapy, since study conditions were identical to the previous CML-study I and it had been planned in advance to add the HU patients of study I (n=194) to the HU control group. Therefore, a total of 534 patients were evaluable (226 patients with IFN/HU and 308 patients with HU). Analyses were according to intention-to-treat. Median observation time of nontransplanted living patients was 7.6 years (7.9 years for IFN/HU and 7.3 years for HU). The risk profile (new CML score) was available for 532 patients: 200 patients (38%) were low, 239 patients (45%) intermediate, and 93 patients (17%) high risk. Complete hematologic response rates were higher in IFN/HU-treated patients (59 vs 32%). Of 169 evaluable IFN/HU-treated patients (75%), 104 patients (62%) achieved a cytogenetic response that was complete in 12% (n=21), major in 14% (n=24), and at least minimal in 35% (n=59). Of the 534 patients, 105 (20%) underwent allogeneic stem cell transplantation in first chronic phase. In the low-risk group, 65 of 200 patients were transplanted (33%), 30 (13%) in the intermediate-risk group, and nine (10%) in the high-risk group. Duration of chronic phase was 55 months for IFN/HU and 41 months for HU (P<0.0001). Median survival was 64 months for IFN/HU and 53 months for HU-treated patients (P=0.0063). We conclude that IFN in combination with HU achieves a significant long-term survival advantage over HU monotherapy. In view of the data of CML-study I, these results suggest that IFN/HU is also superior to IFN alone. HU should be combined with IFN in IFN-based therapies and for comparisons with new therapies.

A simulation study using validated prognostic factors to assess expected long-term survival.

OBJECTIVES: In chronic myeloid leukemia, after promising results in major cytogenetic remission (MCR), long-term survival data on imatinib treatment is of particular interest, especially in relation to former standard treatment based on interferon-alpha. However, data is still unavailable and due to high remission rates, most patients randomized to interferon-alpha in a clinical trial crossed over to imatinib. Therefore, to assess the expected long-term survival advantage with imatinib, a simulation study based on prognostic factors validated for interferon-alpha treatment was performed. METHODS: In interferon-alpha-treated patients with intermediate-risk and low-risk according to the established New CML score, survival probabilities of patients with MCR were significantly higher than those of patients without MCR. Three samples with simulated survival data for imatinib-treated intermediate-risk patients were constituted by randomly drawing varying percentages of their survival times from interferon-alpha-treated intermediate-risk patients with MCR and the remaining data from intermediate-risk patients without MCR. The same procedure was applied to low-risk patients. RESULTS: The 10-year survival probabilities of inter-feron-alpha-treated intermediate-risk and low-risk patients were 0.22 and 0.37. In the simulated samples, when 80%, 65%, and 50% of survival times were as favorable as for interferon-alpha-treated patients with MCR, respectively, the corresponding survival probabilities were 0.43 and 0.57, 0.36 and 0.49, and 0.30 and 0.42. CONCLUSIONS: In all simulation samples, increments of survival probabilities by imatinib were predicted, although survival probabilities of patients with MCR were assumed to be lower than with interferon-alpha. Prognosticated survival advantage with imatinib is backed by increasing observation time of imatinib-treated patients in real studies.

Safety and efficacy of imatinib in CML over a period of 10 years: data from the randomized CML-study IV.

Tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) have changed the natural course of chronic myeloid leukemia (CML). With the advent of second-generation TKI safety and efficacy issues have gained interest. The randomized CML - Study IV was used for a long-term evaluation of imatinib (IM). 1503 patients have received IM, 1379 IM monotherapy. After a median observation of 7.1 years, 965 patients (64%) still received IM. At 10 years, progression-free survival was 82%, overall survival 84%, 59% achieved MR(5), 72% MR(4.5), 81% MR(4), 89% major molecular remission and 92% MR(2) (molecular equivalent to complete cytogenetic remission). All response levels were reached faster with IM800 mg except MR(5). Eight-year probabilities of adverse drug reactions (ADR) were 76%, of grades 3-4 22%, of non-hematologic 73%, and of hematologic 28%. More ADR were observed with IM800 mg and IM400 mg plus interferon α (IFN). Most patients had their first ADR early with decreasing frequency later on. No new late toxicity was observed. ADR to IM are frequent, but mostly mild and manageable, also with IM 800 mg and IM 400 mg+IFN. The deep molecular response rates indicate that most patients are candidates for IM discontinuation. After 10 years, IM continues to be an excellent initial choice for most patients with CML.