RESUMO
BACKGROUND: To validate and recalibrate the CR- POSSUM model and compared its discriminatory capacity with other European models such as POSSUM, P-POSSUM, AFC or IRCS to predict operative mortality in surgery for colorectal cancer. METHODS: Prospective multicenter cohort study from 22 hospitals in Spain. We included patients undergoing planned or urgent surgery for primary invasive colorectal cancers between June 2010 and December 2012 (N = 2749). Clinical data were gathered through medical chart review. We validated and recalibrated the predictive models using logistic regression techniques. To calculate the discriminatory power of each model, we estimated the areas under the curve - AUC (95% CI). We also assessed the calibration of the models by applying the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. RESULTS: In-hospital mortality was 1.5% and 30-day mortality, 1.7%. In the validation process, the discriminatory power of the CR-POSSUM for predicting in-hospital mortality was 73.6%. However, in the recalibration process, the AUCs improved slightly: the CR-POSSUM reached 75.5% (95% CI: 67.3-83.7). The discriminatory power of the CR-POSSUM for predicting 30-day mortality was 74.2% (95% CI: 67.1-81.2) after recalibration; among the other models the POSSUM had the greatest discriminatory power, with an AUC of 77.0% (95% CI: 68.9-85.2). The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed good fit for all the recalibrated models. CONCLUSION: The CR-POSSUM and the other models showed moderate capacity to discriminate the risk of operative mortality in our context, where the actual operative mortality is low. Nevertheless the IRCS might better predict in-hospital mortality, with fewer variables, while the CR-POSSUM could be slightly better for predicting 30-day mortality. TRAIL REGISTRATION: Registered at: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02488161.
Assuntos
Neoplasias Colorretais/mortalidade , Neoplasias Colorretais/cirurgia , Mortalidade Hospitalar/tendências , Hospitais , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Hospitais/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Estudos Prospectivos , Curva ROC , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Medição de Risco , Espanha/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The impact of hospital emergency care and inward admission for acute exacerbations of COPD on inhaled maintenance treatment is not well known. OBJECTIVE: Therefore, we evaluated the impact of short-stay emergency hospital care and inward admission for acute exacerbation of COPD (eCOPD) on inhaled maintenance treatment prescribed at discharge. DESIGN: Prospective observational cohort study of patients presenting with eCOPD at emergency departments in 16 hospitals of the Spanish healthcare system. The ethics committee at each hospital approved the study and patients provided an informed consent before inclusion. We classified the patients according to the severity of COPD: mild/moderate (FEV1 ≥ 50% predicted) or severe/very severe (FEV1 < 50% predicted) and need of inward hospitalisation. We analysed changes to maintenance treatment on discharge according to GOLD strategy. RESULTS: 1559 patients, 65% required hospitalisation. The most common maintenance treatment was inhaled corticoids (ICS) (80.9%) followed by long-acting beta-agonists (LABA) (75.4%). The most common combination was triple therapy (LABA+ LAMA+ICS) (56.2%) followed by LABA+ICS dual therapy (18.2%) regardless of the severity of COPD. In more than 60% of patients treatment was not changed at discharge. The most common change in treatment was a reduction when discharge was from emergency care and an increase after hospitalisation (-21.6% and +19.5% in severe/very severe COPD, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Emergency hospital care for eCOPD does not usually induce changes in inhaled maintenance treatment for COPD regardless of the duration of the hospital stay.
Assuntos
Agonistas Adrenérgicos beta/uso terapêutico , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Glucocorticoides/uso terapêutico , Hospitalização , Antagonistas Muscarínicos/uso terapêutico , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/tratamento farmacológico , Administração por Inalação , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Progressão da Doença , Emergências , Feminino , Volume Expiratório Forçado , Hospitais Públicos , Humanos , Tempo de Internação , Quimioterapia de Manutenção , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Alta do Paciente , Estudos Prospectivos , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/fisiopatologia , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , EspanhaRESUMO
The study objective was to measure and compare the presence of childhood trauma and dissociative symptoms in a convenience sample of healthy controls and a probabilistic sample of outpatients with a diagnosis of schizophrenia. Patients reported more childhood trauma and more polytraumatization than the controls, and had a higher average dissociation score. In both cases and controls, the presence of childhood trauma was related to the intensity of the dissociation observed. Childhood trauma, clinical dissociation and schizophrenia are closely related, particularly when the patient has been the victim of more than one type of abuse.
Assuntos
Sobreviventes Adultos de Maus-Tratos Infantis/psicologia , Transtornos Dissociativos/epidemiologia , Transtornos Dissociativos/psicologia , Esquizofrenia/epidemiologia , Psicologia do Esquizofrênico , Adulto , Sobreviventes Adultos de Maus-Tratos Infantis/estatística & dados numéricos , Análise de Variância , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Transtornos Dissociativos/diagnóstico , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Esquizofrenia/etiologia , Espanha/epidemiologia , Inquéritos e QuestionáriosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: We hypothesized that patients undergoing surgery for colorectal cancer (CRC) with COPD as a comorbidity would consume more resources and have worse in-hospital outcomes than similar patients without COPD. Therefore, we compared different aspects of the care process and short-term outcomes in patients undergoing surgery for CRC, with and without COPD. METHODS: This was a prospective study and it included patients from 22 hospitals located in Spain - 472 patients with COPD and 2,276 patients without COPD undergoing surgery for CRC. Clinical variables, postintervention intensive care unit (ICU) admission, use of invasive mechanical ventilation, and postintervention antibiotic treatment or blood transfusion were compared between the two groups. The reintervention rate, presence and type of complications, length of stay, and in-hospital mortality were also estimated. Hazard ratio (HR) for hospital mortality was estimated by Cox regression models. RESULTS: COPD was associated with higher rates of in-hospital complications, ICU admission, antibiotic treatment, reinterventions, and mortality. Moreover, after adjusting for other factors, COPD remained clearly associated with higher and earlier in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSION: To reduce in-hospital morbidity and mortality in patients undergoing surgery for CRC and with COPD as a comorbidity, several aspects of perioperative management should be optimized and attention should be given to the usual comorbidities in these patients.