Modeling spatial pattern of dengue in North Central Mexico using survey data and logistic regression.

Dengue is a major public health concern mainly in tropical and subtropical environments worldwide. Despite several attempts to prevent this disease occurring in tropical regions of Mexico, it has not yet been controlled. This work focused on spatial modeling of confirmed dengue fever cases that occurred during the period 2010-2014 in the Huasteca Potosina region of Mexico. Multivariable Logistic Regression Modeling (MLRM) was used to determine the relationship between explanatory variables and the presence/absence of dengue. Model performance was evaluated using the area under curve (AUC) of the relative operating characteristic (ROC); AUC > 0.95. A high spatial resolution map was created to reveal the most probable patterns of dengue risk. Our results can be used for targeted control and prevention programs at local and regional levels. This methodology can be applied to other major diseases that are spatially distributed in accordance with environmental factors.

[Geographic distribution of birds in the Sierra Madre Oriental of San Luis Potosi, Mexico: a regional analysis of conservation status]. / Distribución geográfica de la avifauna en la Sierra Madre Oriental de San Luis Potosí, México: un análisis regional de su estado de conservación.

The Sierra Madre Oriental region in the mexican state of San Luis Potosi is a relevant place for bird conservation at a country level. Therefore the main goal of this study was to analyze the geographic patterns of distribution and the conservation current state of the birds, to support the needs to expand the conservation areas in the future. Data was collected from various databases of zoological museums and collections, and field sampling methods conducted from January 2009 to May 2011. Potential distributions were modeled for 284 species using GARP software and then a map was developed to determine areas with favorable environmental characteristics for the distribution of species richness. Finally, the importance of conservation areas for the potential distribution of birds in the region was evaluated. A total of 359 species were recorded of which 71.4% are permanent residents, 19% are winter migrants and 4% are summer residents. From this total, 41 species were endemic, 47 were species at risk and 149 were neotropical migrants. The largest species richness correspond to oak forests, cloud forests, and tropical moist forests located at altitudes from 100m to 1 500m. Their potential distribution was concentrated towards the center and Southeast of the study area. Only 10% of areas with a high potential conservation was included in areas of priority for bird conservation (AICA) and just 3% of all potential areas were under some governmental category of protection. However, no conservation area has a management plan currently applied and monitored. The information generated is important for the development of management proposals for birds conservation in the region.

Spatial configuration of land-use/land-cover in the Pujal-Coy project area, Huasteca Potosina region, Mexico.

This article analyzes the relationship between the configuration and spatial reorganization of land-use and land-cover in the Pujal-Coy project area, Huasteca Potosina region, eastern San Luis Potosí, Mexico, as well as the relationship between these changes and the environmental conditions prevailing in the area. Land-use and land-cover changes were determined through the analysis and interpretation of satellite images from different dates. The changes identified in the different study periods were correlated with the prevailing physical factors. The results show that the spatial configuration of farming activities, initially induced by the implementation of a regional development project, is highly correlated to the presence of limiting factors such as soil type, slope, and climate. Particularly, the former represents the element that has led to the establishment of the current distribution pattern of farming activities.

Efecto de extractos orgánicos naturales sobre la micropropagación in vitro de Vanilla planifolia Jacks. ex Andrews (Orchidaceae) / Effect of natural extracts on the micropropagation of Vanilla planifolia Jacks. ex Andrews (Orchidaceae)

Vanilla planifolia Jacks. ex Andrews es una orquídea de gran importancia económica, que presenta problemas de sobreexplotación y amenaza en su hábitat original. Por lo cual, el objetivo de esta investigación fue establecer un protocolo de micropropagación in vitro evaluando el efecto diferentes extractos orgánicos. El cultivo in vitro se inició a través de la germinación de semillas que dieron lugar a la formación de protocormos. Los protocormos se cultivaron en medios MS suplementados con extractos naturales: MPL (plátano), MPI (piña), MCO (agua de coco) y medio control, para promover la morfogénesis. Posteriormente, para inducir la rizogénesis de los brotes y la aclimatación, se utilizaron tratamientos con auxinas (AIA y AIB). Los resultados mostraron que la germinación inició a los 60 días de cultivo in vitro, y que la adición de los extractos orgánicos promovió la diferenciación de los brotes, resultando más eficiente el tratamiento MPI. Además, la adición de 0.5 mg L-1 de AIA promovió el enraizamiento y la pre aclimatación in vitro. Estos resultados sugieren que los extractos orgánicos promueven la morfogénesis de vainilla, sin necesidad de emplear reguladores de crecimiento sintéticos en las primeras etapas de la micropropagación in vitro.

Impactos por cambio de uso de suelo en las áreas naturales protegidas de la región central de la Sierra Madre Oriental, México / Impact of land use cover change on protected natural areas in central region of Sierra Madre Oriental, Mexico

Resumen Los cambios en el uso de suelo y la cubierta vegetal, derivados de la expansión y extensión de асtividades antrópicas, generan impactos negativos en la biodiversidad y la provisión de servicios ecosistémicos, y contribuyen significativamente en los procesos de cambio climatico a nivel regional. Las Áreas Naturales Protegidas (ANP) representan un instrumento de política pública para hacer frente a las tendencias de cambio y transformación de los ecosistemas, además de permitir la conservación de los recursos. El objetivo de este estudio fue determinar el impacto potencial del cambio en el uso de suelo y la cobertura vegetal de las ANP de la región сеntral de la Sierra Madre Orientai (SMO), en México, a través del análisis espacial y la simulación de escenarios de cambio potencial. Se usaron imágenes satelitales para elaborar mapas de cambio en coberturas vegetales, entre los años 1989, 2000 y 2005, y con base en un conjunto de variables biofísicas y socioeconómicas, se simuló un escenario de cambio al 2025. Se determinó que la tasa de cambio de las cubiertas vegetales de la SMO en el periodo estudiado fue de 0.54 % en selvas, 0.22 % en bosques y 0.23 % en matorrales; y en las ANP fue de 0.34 % y 0.60 % para selvas y bosques, respectivamente. En este lapso se perdieron 1 578.26 ha de selvas, bosques y matorrales, al interior de las ANP. De mantenerse las tendencias actuales de cambio en el uso de la tierra, otras 4 542.17 ha estarán en riesgo de perderse en un futuro cercano. Los resultados indican que las ANP estudiadas están sometidas a presiones de cambio en el uso de la tierra, que amenazan la conservación del patrimonio natural que resguardan, por 10 que deberían rediseñarse las estrategias de manejo y monito reo a corto y mediano plazo.

Abstract Land use cover change, resulting from the expansion and extension of human activities, generates negative impact on biodiversity and the provision of ecosystem services, as well as contributing significantly to climate change processes at a regional level. Natural Protected Areas (NPA) represent a public policy instrument to address the trends of change and ecosystem transformation, while allowing the conservation of resources. The objective of this study was to determine the potential impact of the processes involved in land use cover change on the NPA as part of the central region at the Sierra Madre Oriental (SMO) in Mexico by using the special analysis and the scenery simulation of potential change. Satellite imagery was used to determine the changes in natural vegetation cover between 1989, 2000 and 2005 and, using a set of biophysical and socioeconomic variables, a change scenario was simulated for 2025. This study found that the rate of change of vegetation cover at the SMO over the research period was 0.54 % in tropical forests, 0.22 % in forests and 0.23 % in scrublands, while those in NPA were 0.34 % and 0.60 % in tropical forests and forests respectively; 1 578.26 ha of tropical semi-deciduous temperate forest and scrublands were lost from the NPA. If the current land use trends change continues, another 4 542.17 ha are likely to be modified in the future. These results indicate that NPA under study are subject to the pressures of land use change that threaten the natural heritage under protection and that, therefore, management strategies and monitoring need to be redesigned in the short and medium term.

Distribución geográfica de la avifauna en la Sierra Madre Oriental de San Luis Potosí, México: un análisis regional de su estado de conservación / Geographic distribution of birds in the Sierra Madre Oriental of San Luis Potosí, México: a regional analysis of conservation status

The Sierra Madre Oriental region in the mexican state of San Luis Potosí is a relevant place for bird conservation at a country level. Therefore the main goal of this study was to analyze the geographic patterns of distribution and the conservation current state of the birds, to support the needs to expand the conservation areas in the future. Data was collected from various databases of zoological museums and collections, and field sampling methods conducted from January 2009 to May 2011. Potential distributions were modeled for 284 species using GARP software and then a map was developed to determine areas with favorable environmental characteristics for the distribution of species richness. Finally, the importance of conservation areas for the potential distribution of birds in the region was evaluated. A total of 359 species were recorded of which 71.4% are permanent residents, 19% are winter migrants and 4% are summer residents. From this total, 41 species were endemic, 47 were species at risk and 149 were neotropical migrants. The largest species richness correspond to oak forests, cloud forests, and tropical moist forests located at altitudes from 100m to 1 500m. Their potential distribution was concentrated towards the center and Southeast of the study area. Only 10% of areas with a high potential conservation was included in areas of priority for bird conservation (AICA) and just 3% of all potential areas were under some governmental category of protection. However, no conservation area has a management plan currently applied and monitored. The information generated is important for the development of management proposals for birds conservation in the region.

La región de la Sierra Madre Oriental (SMO) en el estado de San Luis Potosí en México es considerada un sitio de relevancia para la conservación de la avifauna a nivel nacional. Por lo anterior, el objetivo de este estudio fue analizar la distribución geográfica de las aves en la zona para identificar las áreas con mayor concentración de la riqueza y evaluar su estado actual de conservación para fundamentar la necesidad de incrementar la superficie dedicada a las áreas naturales protegidas en el futuro. Se recolectó información proveniente de diversas bases de datos de colecciones y museos, además de realizar trabajo de campo en el periodo de enero 2009 a Mayo 2011. Se modelaron las distribuciones potenciales para 284 especies con el programa GARP y se elaboró un mapa de consenso para determinar la ubicación espacial de las áreas con condiciones ambientales para soportar el mayor número de especies. Finalmente, se evaluó la representatividad de las zonas dedicadas a la conservación para las aves. Se registraron 357 especies, de las cuales el 71.4% son residentes permanentes, 19% son migratorias de invierno y 3.9% residentes de verano. Del total, 41 especies son endémicas y 48 se encuentran en alguna categoría de riesgo; la mayor concentración de especies se presentó en las coberturas de bosques de encino, bosques mesófilos y selvas medianas y bajas caducifolias, en un intervalo altitudinal entre 100-1 500m con una más alta cantidad de nichos en la parte centro y hacia el sur y este de la región. Sólo el 10% de las zonas con alto potencial de número de especies está incluido como área de importancia para la conservación de las aves y el 3% del total de áreas potenciales está bajo alguna categoría estatal de protección; sin embargo, ninguna de las áreas tiene un plan de manejo que esté siendo aplicado y monitoreado. La información generada es importante para el desarrollo de propuestas de conservación para las aves en la región.