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Physica D ; 411: 132633, 2020 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32834248

RESUMO

An analytic solution is obtained to the SEIR Epidemic Model. The solution is created by constructing a single second-order nonlinear differential equation in ln S and analytically continuing its divergent power series solution such that it matches the correct long-time exponential damping of the epidemic model. This is achieved through an asymptotic approximant (Barlow et al., 2017) in the form of a modified symmetric Padé approximant that incorporates this damping. The utility of the analytical form is demonstrated through its application to the COVID-19 pandemic.

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