Development and validation of machine learning model for predicting treatment responders in patients with primary biliary cholangitis.

AIMS: Ursodeoxycholic acid is the first-line treatment for primary biliary cholangitis, and treatment response is one of the factors predicting the outcome. To prescribe alternative therapies, clinicians might need additional information before deciphering the treatment response to ursodeoxycholic acid, contributing to a better patient prognosis. In this study, we developed and validated machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict treatment responses using pretreatment data. METHODS: This multicenter cohort study included collecting datasets from two data samples. Data 1 included 245 patients from 18 hospitals for ML development, and was divided into (i) training and (ii) development sets. Data 2 (iii: test set) included 51 patients from our hospital for validation. An extreme gradient boosted tree predicted the treatment response in the ML model. The area under the curve was used to evaluate the efficacy of the algorithm. RESULTS: Data 1 showed that patients complying with the Paris II treatment response had significantly lower serum alkaline phosphatase and total bilirubin levels than those who did not respond. Three factors, total bilirubin, total protein, and alanine aminotransferase levels were selected as essential variables for prediction. Data 2 showed that patients complying with the Paris II criteria had significantly high prothrombin time and low total bilirubin levels. The area under the curve of extreme gradient boosted tree was good for (ii) (0.811) and (iii) (0.856). CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated the efficacy of ML in predicting the treatment response for patients with primary biliary cholangitis. Early identification of cases requiring additional treatment with our novel ML model may improve prognosis.

Navitoclax improves acute-on-chronic liver failure by eliminating senescent cells in mice.

AIM: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), a disease with poor prognosis, is reportedly caused by cellular senescence due to mitochondrial dysfunction. In this study, we described and analyzed the underlying mechanism of a novel approach for ACLF using ABT263/navitoclax (Navi) that selectively eliminates senescent cells. METHODS: Irradiation-induced senescent hepatocytes were used for in vitro evaluation of the effects of Navi on ACLF (n = 6 for each group). Lipopolysaccharide- and carbon tetrachloride-induced ACLF mouse model was used for in vivo evaluation of the effects of Navi administration compared with the control using one-way or two-way analysis of variance, followed by Student's t-test or Kruskal-Wallis test. The effects on the senescence-associated secretory phenotype (n = 8 for each group) and mitochondrial functions, including adenosine triphosphate concentration and membrane potential (n = 8 for each group), were investigated using real-time polymerase chain reaction, immunohistochemistry, and enzyme analysis. RESULTS: Navi eliminated irradiation-induced senescent hepatocytes in vitro, leading to non-senescent hepatocyte proliferation. Navi eliminated senescent cells in the liver in vivo, resulting in downregulation of mRNA expression of senescence-associated secretory phenotype factors, a decrease of liver enzymes, and upregulated proliferation of non-senescent cells in the liver. Regarding mitochondrial functional assessment in the liver, adenosine triphosphate concentration and membrane potential were upregulated after Navi administration in vitro and in vivo. CONCLUSIONS: Navi may ameliorate ACLF damage by eliminating senescent cells in the liver, downregulating senescence-associated secretory phenotype factors, and upregulating mitochondrial functions. We believe that this novel approach using Navi will pave the way for ACLF treatment.

Cell-free and concentrated ascites reinfusion therapy versus large-volume paracentesis for the treatment of cirrhotic patients with refractory ascites: A multicenter prospective observational study.

AIM: Cell-free and concentrated ascites reinfusion therapy (CART) and large-volume paracentesis (LVP) with albumin infusion are useful for managing refractory ascites (RA). However, it remains unclear which therapy is more effective in patients with cirrhosis with RA. METHODS: From June 2018 to March 2022, 25 patients with RA treated with CART or LVP with albumin infusion were enrolled in this multicenter prospective observational study to investigate the number of abdominal paracenteses, albumin preparations used, and drainage volume during an 8-week observation period. RESULTS: Among all patients at entry (median age, 63 years; 52% men; 60% Child-Pugh B and 40% Child-Pugh C), 92% were treated with furosemide (median, 20 mg/day), 92% with spironolactone (25 mg/day), and all with tolvaptan (7.5 mg/day). Patients with RA had a poor health-related quality of life (HRQOL) and prominent ascites-related symptoms. Four of the 20 eligible patients were treated with CART, 11 with LVP with albumin infusion, and five with their combination. The median number of paracenteses, total drainage volume, and albumin infusions were 1.5, 7.4 L, and 0, respectively, in the CART group; 5.0, 22.0 L, and 5.0, respectively, in the LVP group; and 5.0, 30.0 L, and 5.0, respectively in their combination group. The treatment effects did not differ significantly among the three groups regarding weight loss, liver function, renal function, electrolytes, and HRQOL. However, patients treated with CART had fewer paracenteses and albumin infusions than those treated with LVP. CONCLUSIONS: CART and LVP have comparable therapeutic efficacy for RA in patients with cirrhosis.

Effects of a selective PPARα modulator, sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor, and statin on the myocardial morphology of medaka nonalcoholic fatty liver disease model.

OBJECTIVE: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with metabolic dysregulation and is linked with various cardiovascular complications, which often lead to poor prognostic outcomes. To develop a standard therapy for NAFLD and to urgently address its complications, the current study aimed to investigate the mechanisms of NAFLD-related heart disease and the therapeutic effects of drugs targeting various metabolic pathways. METHODS: To explore the mechanism of NAFLD-related heart disease, a medaka model of high-fat diet-induced NAFLD was utilized. The gross structural, histological, and inflammatory changes in the myocardium were evaluated in a time-dependent manner. In addition, the therapeutic effects of medicines used for NAFLD treatment including, selective peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor α modulator (SPPARMα, pemafibrate), sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitor (tofogliflozin), and statin (pitavastatin), and their combinations on heart pathology were evaluated. To determine the mechanisms underlying the therapeutic effects, the expression of genes related to liver inflammation was assessed via whole transcriptome sequencing analysis. RESULTS: The fish with NAFLD-related heart injury presented with cardiomyocyte hypertrophy, which led to cardiac hypertrophy. This morphological change was caused by the infiltration of inflammatory cells, including macrophages and CD4- and CD8-positive lymphocytes, in the cardiac wall and the expression of transforming growth factor beta 1 in the cardiomyocytes. Further, the livers of the fish had upregulated expressions of senescence-associated secretory phenotype-related genes. Treatment with pemafibrate, tofogliflozin, and pitavastatin reduced these changes and, consequently, cardiomyopathy. CONCLUSION: Our results demonstrated that NAFLD-related heart disease was attributed to the senescence-associated secretory phenotype-induced inflammatory activity in the cardiac wall, which resulted in myocardial hypertrophy. Moreover, the effects of SPPARMα, SGLT2 inhibitor, and statin on NAFLD-related heart disease were evident in the medaka NAFLD model.

Effects of a novel selective PPARα modulator, statin, sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor, and combinatorial therapy on the liver and vasculature of medaka nonalcoholic steatohepatitis model.

OBJECTIVE: Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is a disease entity with an increasing incidence, with involvement of several metabolic pathways. Various organs, including the liver, kidneys, and the vasculature, are damaged in NASH, indicating the urgent need to develop a standard therapy. Therefore, this study was conducted to investigate the effects of drugs targeting various metabolic pathways and their combinations on a high-fat diet (HFD)-induced NASH medaka model. METHODS: To investigate the effects of drugs on vascular structures, the NASH animal model was developed using the fli::GFP transgenic medaka fed with HFD at 20 mg/fish daily. The physiological changes, histological changes in the liver, vascular structures in the fin, and serum biochemical markers were evaluated in a time-dependent manner after treatment with selective peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor α modulator (pemafibrate), statin (pitavastatin), sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor (tofogliflozin), and their combinations. Furthermore, to determine the mechanisms underlying the effects, whole transcriptome sequencing was conducted using medaka liver samples. RESULTS: Histological analyses revealed significant suppression of fat accumulation and fibrotic changes in the liver after treatment with drugs and their combinations. The expression levels of steatosis- and fibrosis-related genes were modified by the treatments. Moreover, the HFD-induced vascular damages in the fin exhibited milder changes after treatment with the drugs. CONCLUSION: The effects of treating various metabolic pathways on the medaka body, liver, and vascular structures of the NASH medaka model were evidenced. Moreover, to our knowledge, this study is the first to report whole genome sequence and gene expression evaluation of medaka livers, which could be helpful in clarifying the molecular mechanisms of drugs.

Daily Monitoring of Serum Wisteria floribunda Agglutinin-Positive Mac-2 Binding Protein Is Useful for Predicting Therapeutic Effect of Tolvaptan in Cirrhotic Ascites.

Wisteria floribunda agglutinin (WFA) is a lectin that binds to the sugar chain of Mac-2 binding protein (M2BP), and WFA-positive M2BP (WFA+-M2BP) has been reported as a useful marker for assessing liver fibrosis in chronic liver disease. Tolvaptan (TLV), a selective vasopressin V2 receptor antagonist, is used for cirrhotic ascites in Japan, but good predictors of treatment efficacy remain to be established. Our aim was to investigate whether WFA+-M2BP monitoring before and after TLV administration can predict treatment efficacy in patients with cirrhotic ascites. Twenty patients (10 men), with a median age of 72 years, were enrolled. Cirrhosis was caused by hepatitis B virus (n = 3), hepatitis C virus (n = 4), alcohol (n = 8), and others (n = 5). Responders were defined as having a body weight loss of ≥ 1.5 kg/week after TLV administration. Serum WFA+-M2BP levels were measured at baseline and days 1, 3, and 7 after TLV treatment. Twelve patients (60%) were responders. Baseline WFA+-M2BP levels were correlated with serum albumin levels (r = -0.544, P = 0.013). The baseline furosemide dose was lower and platelet count was higher in responders than in non-responders (P < 0.05). The ratio of WFA+-M2BP levels on day 1 after TLV administration to baseline was lower in responders than in non-responders (P < 0.05). The decrease in the ratio discriminated responders from non-responders (AUC = 0.844, P < 0.05). In conclusion, monitoring serum WFA+-M2BP is helpful for predicting the efficacy of TLV treatment in patients with cirrhotic ascites.

A case report of psychiatric symptoms following direct-acting antiviral and ribavirin combination therapy for chronic hepatitis C in a patient with innate anxiety.

BACKGROUND: Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) result in a highly sustained virological response rate and better patient tolerance. However, this therapeutic approach may, on rare occasions, give rise to psychiatric symptoms. We describe a case requiring discontinuation of DAA and ribavirin combination therapy due to psychiatric symptoms in a patient with congenital anxious personality traits. The information summarized here will be helpful to physicians treating chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in patients with underlying psychiatric problems. CASE PRESENTATION: A 57-year-old Japanese woman diagnosed with chronic HCV infection was prescribed DAA and ribavirin combination therapy. She had a history of mild innate anxiety and development of psychiatric symptoms due to interferon (IFN) therapy 8 years prior, which subsided with discontinuation of the therapy. Similar psychiatric symptoms such as enervation, palpitations, an episode of hyperventilation, and consciousness disturbances with myotonia were observed after the administration of the antiviral agents. No abnormal findings related to her symptoms were observed on laboratory or imaging results. Psychiatrists diagnosed the patient as having a somatization disorder induced by the antiviral agents on the basis of innate anxiety. After the discontinuation of therapy, her symptoms gradually improved. CONCLUSIONS: Although DAAs were not causative factors for psychiatric symptoms in phase 3 studies, a post-marketing study reported psychiatric symptoms such as depression in patients with underlying psychiatric problems. Our case suggests psychiatric symptoms might worsen after DAA and ribavirin administration in patients with underlying psychiatric disorders, and therefore, close monitoring is necessary for these patients, especially if they have a history of psychiatric symptoms after IFN.

Effect of histidine on sorafenib-induced vascular damage: Analysis using novel medaka fish model.

BACKGROUND: Sorafenib (SFN) is an anti-angiogenic chemotherapeutic that prolongs survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); its side effects, including vascular damages such as hand-foot syndrome (HFS), are a major cause of therapy discontinuation. We previously reported that maintenance of peripheral blood flow by intake of dried bonito broth (DBB) significantly prevented HFS and prolonged the administration period. The amino acids contained in DBB probably contribute to its effects, but the mechanism has not been clarified. We hypothesized that histidine, the largest component among the amino acids contained in DBB, has effects on SFN-induced vascular damage, and evaluated this possibility using a novel medaka fish model. METHODS: The fli::GFP transgenic medaka fish model has a fluorescently visible systemic vasculature. We fed the fish with SFN with and without histidine to compare blood flow and vascular structure among the differently fed models. The vascular cross-sectional area of each fish was measured to determine vascular diameter changes. RESULTS: Our results demonstrated that SFN-fed medaka developed a narrower vascular diameter. In addition, this narrowing was counteracted by addition of histidine to the medaka diet. We observed no positive effect of histidine on regeneration of cut vessels or on cell growth of endothelial cells and HCC cell lines. CONCLUSION: We proved the efficacy of the medaka model to assess vascular changes after administration of specific chemicals. And our results suggest that SFN causes vascular damage by narrowing peripheral vessel diameter, and that histidine effectively counteracts these changes to maintain blood flow.

Rapidly declining skeletal muscle mass predicts poor prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma treated with transcatheter intra-arterial therapies.

BACKGROUND: The impact of sarcopenia on the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who receive transcatheter intra-arterial therapies, including transcatheter arterial chemoembolization and transcatheter arterial infusion chemotherapy, remains unclear. We investigated the prognostic value of skeletal muscle loss (SML) stratified by cutoffs for sarcopenia and rate of change in skeletal muscle mass over 6 months. METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated 102 patients with HCC treated with transcatheter intra-arterial therapies between 2005 and 2015. Computed tomography images of the third lumbar vertebra (L3) were analyzed to obtain the skeletal muscle area normalized for the height squared, defined as the skeletal muscle index at L3 (L3 SMI), before and 6 months after treatment. Low or high SMI was defined using cutoff values of 42 cm2/m2 in men and 38 cm2/m2 in women. The rate of change in skeletal muscle mass (ΔL3 SMI) over 6 months was calculated. Overall survival (OS) was compared in groups classified by baseline L3 SMI and ΔL3 SMI; prognostic significance was assessed with univariate and multivariate analyses, using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: OS did not differ significantly between groups with low (n = 31) and high (n = 71) SMI at baseline (P = 0.172), but OS was significantly poorer in patients with SML (n = 41), defined as ΔL3 SMI < - 4.6% over 6 months than in those without SML (n = 61, P = 0.018). On multivariate analysis, SML (hazard ratio [HR], 1.675; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.031-2.721; P = 0.037), serum alpha-fetoprotein ≥20 ng/mL (HR, 2.550; 95% CI, 1.440-4.515; P = 0.001), and maximum tumor diameter ≥ 30 mm (HR, 1.925; 95% CI, 1.166-3.179; P = 0.010) were independent predictors of poor OS. Baseline L3 SMI was not significantly associated with OS (HR, 1.405; 95% CI, 0.861-2.293; P = 0.174). CONCLUSIONS: ΔL3 SMI was an independent prognostic factor in patients with HCC treated with transcatheter intra-arterial therapies. Further study is required to reveal whether prevention of skeletal muscle depletion might be a new therapeutic strategy to contribute to improved clinical outcomes in patients with HCC.

A diagnostic marker for superficial urothelial bladder carcinoma: lack of nuclear ATBF1 (ZFHX3) by immunohistochemistry suggests malignant progression.

BACKGROUND: Pathological stage and grade have limited ability to predict the outcomes of superficial urothelial bladder carcinoma at initial transurethral resection (TUR). AT-motif binding factor 1 (ATBF1) is a tumor suppressive transcription factor that is normally localized to the nucleus but has been detected in the cytoplasm in several cancers. Here, we examined the diagnostic value of the intracellular localization of ATBF1 as a marker for the identification of high risk urothelial bladder carcinoma. METHODS: Seven anti-ATBF1 antibodies were generated to cover the entire ATBF1 sequence. Four human influenza hemagglutinin-derived amino acid sequence-tagged expression vectors with truncated ATBF1 cDNA were constructed to map the functional domains of nuclear localization signals (NLSs) with the consensus sequence KR[X10-12]K. A total of 117 samples from initial TUR of human bladder carcinomas were analyzed. None of the patients had received chemotherapy or radiotherapy before pathological evaluation. RESULTS: ATBF1 nuclear localization was regulated synergistically by three NLSs on ATBF1. The cytoplasmic fragments of ATBF1 lacked NLSs. Patients were divided into two groups according to positive nuclear staining of ATBF1, and significant differences in overall survival (P = 0.021) and intravesical recurrence-free survival (P = 0.013) were detected between ATBF1+ (n = 110) and ATBF1- (n = 7) cases. Multivariate analysis revealed that ATBF1 staining was an independent prognostic factor for intravesical recurrence-free survival after adjusting for cellular grading and pathological staging (P = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: Cleavage of ATBF1 leads to the cytoplasmic localization of ATBF1 fragments and downregulates nuclear ATBF1. Alterations in the subcellular localization of ATBF1 due to fragmentation of the protein are related to the malignant character of urothelial carcinoma. Pathological evaluation using anti-ATBF1 antibodies enabled the identification of highly malignant cases that had been overlooked at initial TUR. Nuclear localization of ATBF1 indicates better prognosis of urothelial carcinoma.

Bcl11b SWI/SNF-complex subunit modulates intestinal adenoma and regeneration after γ-irradiation through Wnt/ß-catenin pathway.

SWI/SNF chromatin remodeling complexes constitute a highly related family of multi-subunit complexes to modulate transcription, and SWI/SNF subunit genes are collectively mutated in 20% of all human cancers. Bcl11b is a SWI/SNF subunit and acts as a haploinsufficient tumor suppressor in leukemia/lymphomas. Here, we show expression of Bcl11b in intestinal crypt cells and promotion of intestinal tumorigenesis by Bcl11b attenuation in Apc (min/+) mice. Of importance, mutations or allelic loss of BCL11B was detected in one-third of human colon cancers. We also show that attenuated Bcl11b activity in the crypt base columnar (CBC) cells expressing the Lgr5 stem cell marker enhanced regeneration of intestinal epithelial cells after the radiation-induced injury. Interestingly, BCL11B introduction in human cell lines downregulated transcription of ß-catenin target genes, whereas Bcl11b attenuation in Lgr5(+) CBCs increased expression of ß-catenin targets including c-Myc and cyclin D1. Together, our results argue that Bcl11b impairment promotes tumor development in mouse and human intestine at least in part through deregulation of ß-catenin pathway.

[Use of dexmedetomidine hydrochloride as a sedative during local therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma].

Sedation using dexmedetomidine hydrochloride (DEX) was administered to patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prior to local therapy. Case 1 was a 58-year-old man undergoing radiofrequency ablation in combination with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization for HCC in S3. In accordance with the package insert, the initial loading dose was set at 6 µg/kg/hour. Although a favorable sedative effect was achieved, his blood pressure and pulse rate decreased. Case 2 was a 79-year-old woman undergoing percutaneous ethanol injection therapy for HCC in S6. Half the initial loading dose indicated in the package insert (3 µg/kg/hour) was administered, but the sedative effect was appreciable. No marked blood pressure or pulse rate decreases were observed. We believe that the use of DEX as a sedative agent in local therapy for HCC can be expected to increase. However, the optimal dose setting for DEX requires further examination.

Granulocytapheresis for the treatment of severe alcoholic hepatitis: a case series and literature review.

Severe alcoholic hepatitis has a high mortality rate due to limited therapeutic methods. Although corticosteroids have been used to control the inflammatory response, the outcomes vary and no standardized therapy has been established. Novel therapeutic approaches, such as anti-TNF-α, pentoxifilline, and others have been tested clinically on the basis of their cytokinemic pathophysiology with limited success. However, treatment of leukocytosis that causes cytokinemia and hepatic inflammation in patients via granulocytapheresis and leukocytapheresis showed promising results in a number of reports. Here, we report two cases of severe alcoholic hepatitis treated with granulocytapheresis. The liver function and inflammation recovered after the therapy. A review of 35 cases treated with granulocytapheresis and leukocytapheresis demonstrated their efficacy in treating alcoholic hepatitis by controlling leukocytosis as well as cytokines such as IL-8. Multidisciplinary treatment for severe alcoholic hepatitis should be considered case by case on the basis of the complexity and severity of the condition.

Complementary role of peripheral and central autonomic nervous system on insulin-like growth factor-1 activation to prevent fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND: Insulin-like growth factor-1 (IGF-1) is involved in the pathology of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and ameliorates fatty infiltration in the liver. It is activated by growth hormone (GH); however, the role of GH-IGF-1 axis in NAFLD developmental phase has not been well identified. Therefore, in this study, we focused on the effect of IGF-1 in NAFLD pathology and GH excretion activation from the pituitary gland by peripheral autonomic neural pathways relaying liver-brain-gut pathway and by central neuropeptides. METHODS: GH and IGF-1 levels were assessed in wild-type and melanocortin-4 receptor knockout mice upon the development of diet-induced NAFLD. The contribution of the peripheral autonomic nervous system connecting the liver-brain-gut axis was assessed by its blockade using capsaicin and that of the central nervous system was assessed by the expression of hypothalamic brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) and corticotropin-releasing factor (CRH), which activates GH release from the pituitary gland. RESULTS: In the NAFLD mouse models, the levels of GH and IGF-1 increased (p < .05). Further, hepatic fatty infiltration was suppressed even under peripheral autonomic nervous system blockade (p < .001), which inhibited gastric ghrelin expression. In mice with peripheral autonomic nervous blockade, hypothalamic BDNF and CRH were inhibited (p < .05), resulting in GH and IGF-1 excretion, whereas other neuropeptides of somatostatin and cortistatin showed no changes. These complementary effects were canceled in melanocortin-4 receptor knockout mice, which diminished BDNF and CRH release control. CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrates that the release of IGF-1 by the nervous system is a key factor in maintaining the pathological homeostasis of NAFLD, suggesting its therapeutic potential.

Portal venous gas caused by barium swallow examination: An extremely rare clinical finding.

We found an extremely rare case of PVG after a barium swallow examination. This may be related to vulnerable intestinal mucosa in the patient undergoing prednisolone treatment. Conservative therapy should be considered for patients with PVG without bowel ischemia or perforation. Caution should be exercised during barium examination undergoing prednisolone treatment.

Solid pseudopapillary neoplasm in a woman presenting with acute pancreatitis: a case report and review of literature.

Solid pseudopapillary neoplasm (SPN) is a rare pancreatic tumor that typically affects young women in the body and tail of the pancreas. SPN is often asymptomatic in the early stages, so it is initially discovered as a large tumor. In this report, we experienced a case of a relatively small SPN discovered in the setting of acute pancreatitis. Because there have been few reports of SPN being discovered in the situation like our case, we report this case based on a review of the literature.

Letrozole ameliorates liver fibrosis through the inhibition of the CTGF pathway and 17ß-hydroxysteroid dehydrogenase 13 expression.

BACKGROUND: To establish a treatment option for liver fibrosis, the possibility of the drug repurposing theory was investigated, with a focus on the off-target effects of active pharmaceutical ingredients. METHODS: First, several active pharmaceutical ingredients were screened for their effects on the gene expression in the hepatocytes using chimeric mice with humanized hepatocytes. As per the gene expression-based screening assay for 36 medications, we assessed the mechanism of the antifibrotic effect of letrozole, a third-generation aromatase inhibitor, in mouse models of liver fibrosis induced by carbon tetrachloride (CCl4) and a methionine choline-deficient (MCD) diet. We assessed liver histology, serum biochemical markers, and fibrosis-related gene and protein expressions in the hepatocytes. RESULTS: A gene expression-based screening assay revealed that letrozole had a modifying effect on fibrosis-related gene expression in the hepatocytes, including YAP, CTGF, TGF-ß, and CYP26A1. Letrozole was administered to mouse models of CCl4- and MCD-induced liver fibrosis and it ameliorated the liver fibrosis. The mechanisms involved the inhibition of the Yap-Ctgf profibrotic pathway following a decrease in retinoic acid levels in the hepatocytes caused by suppression of the hepatic retinol dehydrogenase, Hsd17b13 and activation of the retinoic acid hydrogenase, Cyp26a1. CONCLUSIONS: Letrozole slowed the progression of liver fibrosis by inhibiting the Yap-Ctgf pathway. The mechanisms involved the modification of the Hsd17b13 and Cyp26a1 expressions led to the suppression of retinoic acid in the hepatocytes, which contributed to the activation of Yap-Ctgf pathway. Because of its off-target effect, letrozole could be repurposed for the treatment of liver fibrosis. The third-generation aromatase inhibitor letrozole ameliorated liver fibrosis by suppressing the Yap-Ctgf pathway by partially modifying the Hsd17b13 and Cyp26a1 expressions, which reduced the retinoic acid level in the hepatocytes. The gene expression analysis using chimeric mice with humanized liver revealed that the mechanisms are letrozole specific and, therefore, may be repurposed for the treatment of liver fibrosis.

Machine learning prediction model for treatment responders in patients with primary biliary cholangitis.

Background and Aim: Treatment response to ursodeoxycholic acid may predict the prognosis of patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC). Recent studies have suggested the benefits of using machine learning (ML) to forecast complex medical predictions. We aimed to predict treatment response in patients with PBC using ML and pretreatment data. Methods: We conducted a single-center retrospective study and collected data from 194 patients with PBC who were followed up for at least 12 months after treatment initiation. Patient data were analyzed with five ML models, namely random forest, extreme gradient boosting (XGB), decision tree, naïve Bayes, or logistic regression, to predict treatment response using the Paris II criteria. The established models were assessed using an out-of-sample validation. The area under the curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the efficacy of each algorithm. Overall survival and liver-related deaths were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Results: Compared to logistic regression (AUC = 0.595, P = 0.0219, 0.031 models), ML analyses showed significantly high AUC in the random forest (AUC = 0.84) and XGB (AUC = 0.83) models; however, the AUC was not significantly high for decision tree (AUC = 0.633) or naïve Bayes (AUC = 0.584) models. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed significantly improved prognoses in patients predicted to achieve the Paris II criteria by XGB (log-rank = 0.005 and 0.007). Conclusion: ML algorithms could improve treatment response prediction using pretreatment data, which could lead to better prognoses. In addition, the ML model using XGB could predict the prognosis of patients before treatment initiation.