Decision making under uncertainty, therapeutic inertia, and physicians' risk preferences in the management of multiple sclerosis (DIScUTIR MS).

BACKGROUND: The management of multiple sclerosis (MS) is rapidly changing by the introduction of new and more effective disease-modifying agents. The importance of risk stratification was confirmed by results on disease progression predicted by different risk score systems. Despite these advances, we know very little about medical decisions under uncertainty in the management of MS. The goal of this study is to i) identify whether overconfidence, tolerance to risk/uncertainty, herding influence medical decisions, and ii) to evaluate the frequency of therapeutic inertia (defined as lack of treatment initiation or intensification in patients not at goals of care) and its predisposing factors in the management of MS. METHODS/DESIGN: This is a prospective study comprising a combination of case-vignettes and surveys and experiments from Neuroeconomics/behavioral economics to identify cognitive distortions associated with medical decisions and therapeutic inertia. Participants include MS fellows and MS experts from across Spain. Each participant will receive an individual link using Qualtrics platform(©) that includes 20 case-vignettes, 3 surveys, and 4 behavioral experiments. The total time for completing the study is approximately 30-35 min. Case vignettes were selected to be representative of common clinical encounters in MS practice. Surveys and experiments include standardized test to measure overconfidence, aversion to risk and ambiguity, herding (following colleague's suggestions even when not supported by the evidence), physicians' reactions to uncertainty, and questions from the Socio-Economic Panel Study (SOEP) related to risk preferences in different domains. By applying three different MS score criteria (modified Rio, EMA, Prosperini's scheme) we take into account physicians' differences in escalating therapy when evaluating medical decisions across case-vignettes. CONCLUSIONS: The present study applies an innovative approach by combining tools to assess medical decisions with experiments from Neuroeconomics that applies to common scenarios in MS care. Our results will help advance the field by providing a better understanding on the influence of cognitive factors (e.g., overconfidence, aversion to risk and uncertainty, herding) on medical decisions and therapeutic inertia in the management of MS which could lead to better outcomes.

Examining the environmental risk factors of progressive-onset and relapsing-onset multiple sclerosis: recruitment challenges, potential bias, and statistical strategies.

It is unknown whether the currently known risk factors of multiple sclerosis reflect the etiology of progressive-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) as observational studies rarely included analysis by type of onset. We designed a case-control study to examine associations between environmental factors and POMS and compared effect sizes to relapse-onset MS (ROMS), which will offer insights into the etiology of POMS and potentially contribute to prevention and intervention practice. This study utilizes data from the Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Study and the Australian Multi-center Study of Environment and Immune Function (the AusImmune Study). This report outlines the conduct of the PPMS Study, whether the POMS sample is representative, and the planned analysis methods. The study includes 155 POMS, 204 ROMS, and 558 controls. The distributions of the POMS were largely similar to Australian POMS patients in the MSBase Study, with 54.8% female, 85.8% POMS born before 1970, mean age of onset of 41.44 ± 8.38 years old, and 67.1% living between 28.9 and 39.4° S. The POMS were representative of the Australian POMS population. There are some differences between POMS and ROMS/controls (mean age at interview: POMS 55 years vs. controls 40 years; sex: POMS 53% female vs. controls 78% female; location of residence: 14.3% of POMS at a latitude ≤ 28.9°S vs. 32.8% in controls), which will be taken into account in the analysis. We discuss the methodological issues considered in the study design, including prevalence-incidence bias, cohort effects, interview bias and recall bias, and present strategies to account for it. Associations between exposures of interest and POMS/ROMS will be presented in subsequent publications.

Seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in Patients with Multiple Sclerosis under Disease-Modifying Therapies: A Multi-Centre Study.

BACKGROUND: The EMCOVID project conducted a multi-centre cohort study to investigate the impact of COVID-19 on patients with Multiple Sclerosis (pwMS) receiving disease-modifying therapies (DMTs). The study aimed to evaluate the seroprevalence and persistence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in MS patients enrolled in the EMCOVID database. The DMTs were used to manage MS by reducing relapses, lesion accumulation, and disability progression. However, concerns arose regarding the susceptibility of pwMS to COVID-19 due to potential interactions between SARS-CoV-2 and the immune system, as well as the immunomodulatory effects of DMTs. METHODS: This prospective observational study utilized data from a Multiple Sclerosis and COVID-19 (EMCOVID-19) study. Demographic characteristics, MS history, laboratory data, SARS-CoV-2 serology, and symptoms of COVID-19 were extracted for pwMS receiving any type of DMT. The relationship between demographics, MS phenotype, DMTs, and COVID-19 was evaluated. The evolution of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies over a 6-month period was also assessed. RESULTS: The study included 709 pwMS, with 376 patients providing samples at the 6-month follow-up visit. The seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies was higher among pwMS than the general population, with Interferon treatment being significantly associated with greater seroprevalence (16.9% vs. 8.4%; p 0.003). However, no other specific DMT showed a significant association with antibody presence. A total of 32 patients (8.5%) tested positive for IgG, IgM, or IgA antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 at baseline, but then tested negative at 6 months. Most of the pwMS in the cohort were asymptomatic for COVID-19 and, even among symptomatic cases, the prognosis was generally favourable. CONCLUSION: pwMS undergoing DMTs exhibited a higher seroprevalence of COVID-19 than the general population. Interferon treatment was associated with a higher seroprevalence, suggesting a more robust humoral response. This study provides valuable insights into the seroprevalence and persistence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in pwMS and contributes to our understanding of the impact of COVID-19 amongst this population.

Effectiveness of rituximab vs. ocrelizumab for the treatment of primary progressive multiple sclerosis: a real-world observational study.

INTRODUCTION: Ocrelizumab, an antiCD-20 antibody, is the only drug approved to treat patients with primary progressive multiple sclerosis (pwPPMS). Not all candidates receive this treatment due to prescription limitations. Rituximab, another antiCD-20 antibody, has been used off-label in pwPPMS before and after ocrelizumab approval. However, studies comparing effectiveness of both drugs are lacking. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate effectiveness of rituximab and ocrelizumab in pwPPMS under real-life conditions. METHODS: We conducted a multicentric observational study of pwPPMS that started ocrelizumab or rituximab according to clinical practice, with a minimum follow-up of 1 year. Data was collected prospectively and retrospectively. Primary outcome was time to confirmed disability progression at 3 months (CDW). Secondary outcome was serum neurofilament light chain levels (sNFL) at the end of follow-up. RESULTS: 95 out 111 pwPPMS fulfilled inclusion criteria and follow-up data availability: 49 (51.6%) received rituximab and 46 (48.4%) ocrelizumab. Rituximab-treated patients had significantly higher baseline EDSS, disease duration and history of previous disease-modifying treatment (DMT) than ocrelizumab-treated patients. After a mean follow-up of 18.3 months (SD 5.9), 26 patients experienced CDW (21.4%); 15 (30.6%) in the rituximab group; and 11 (23.9%) in the ocrelizumab group. Survival analysis revealed no differences in time to CDW. sNFL were measured in 60 patients and no differences between groups were found. INTERPRETATION: We provide real-world evidence of effectiveness of ocrelizumab and rituximab in pwPPMS. No differences in time to CDW were found between treatments. However, this study cannot establish equivalence of treatments and warrant clinical trial to confirm our findings.

Disease modifying therapy switching in relapsing multiple sclerosis: A Delphi consensus of the demyelinating expert group of the Spanish society of neurology.

BACKGROUND: The increase in available disease modifying therapies (DMTs) for multiple sclerosis has led to greater emphasis on improving treatment sequencing paradigms. This article summarises the opinions from a panel of 25 experts on treatment switching approaches in relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS). METHODS: A modified Delphi consensus process was carried out to develop clinically relevant statements for aiding treatment decisions in patients with RMS between the 16th January and the 9th October 2019. A sub-group of two experts (core group) carried out an extensive review of the literature and formulated 106 statements for the expert panel to evaluate. RESULTS: From a total number of 106 statements that were submitted to the expert panel for critical evaluation, consensus (at least 80% of the panelists agreed) was reached on 99 of them. These statements cover treatment objectives, reasons for DMT switching, suboptimal response criteria, strategies for treatment change and washout periods. CONCLUSION: The agreed statements provide up-to-date guidance on DMT sequencing for optimal patient management.

Relapses and obstetric outcomes in women with multiple sclerosis planning pregnancy.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect of discontinuation of different disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) before pregnancy with respect to the occurrence of relapses and pregnancy outcomes. METHODS: Women with multiple sclerosis who desire to bear children were followed prospectively. Demographic data, clinical characteristics, and the information on the use of DMTs were collected. A multivariate analysis was used to assess the relationship between relapses and the prior use of different DMTs. RESULTS: The present study assessed 75 consecutive pregnancy plans (66 women), 65 of which resulted in pregnancy. The mean age of the participants was 32.1 ± 4.2 years, and the mean disease duration was 6.1 ± 4.2 years. No relapses before pregnancy were reported in the group of women who maintained their DMT until pregnancy confirmation, while 14 relapses were reported in 12/42 women (29%) who discontinued DMT before pregnancy. During pregnancy, patients on natalizumab or fingolimod before pregnancy had a higher rate of relapses. Most women restarted their previous DMT after delivery within the first trimester. The relapse rate in postpartum was 0.07. CONCLUSIONS: Disease-modifying therapies received influences the risk of relapse and disease progression from women who are planning pregnancy. The risk of relapse during pregnancy was significantly higher in the group of women treated with natalizumab or fingolimod compared to the group of women treated with interferon beta or glatiramer acetate. The postpartum risk of relapses was lower than that found in previous reports.

Using a multidimensional unfolding approach to assess multiple sclerosis patient preferences for disease-modifying therapy: a pilot study.

PURPOSE: Multidimensional unfolding is a multivariate method to assess preferences using a small sample size, a geometric model locating individuals and alternatives as points in a joint space. The objective was to evaluate relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patient preferences toward key disease-modifying therapy (DMT) attributes using multidimensional unfolding. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A cross-sectional pilot study in RRMS patients was conducted. Drug attributes included relapse prevention, disease progression prevention, side-effect risk and route and schedule of administration. Assessment of preferences was performed through a five-card game. Patients were asked to value attributes from 1 (most preferred) to 5 (least preferred). RESULTS: A total of 37 patients were included; the mean age was 38.6 years, and 78.4% were female. Disease progression prevention was the most important factor (51.4%), followed by relapse prevention (40.5%). The frequency of administration had the lowest preference rating for 56.8% of patients. Finally, 19.6% valued the side-effect risk attribute as having low/very low importance. CONCLUSION: Patients' perspective for DMT attributes may provide valuable information to facilitate shared decision-making. Efficacy attributes were the most important drug characteristics for RRMS patients. Multidimensional unfolding seems to be a feasible approach to assess preferences in multiple sclerosis patients. Further elicitation studies using multidimensional unfolding with other stated choice methods are necessary to confirm these findings.

[Aetiological analysis of 425 patients referred to an outpatient neurology service due to tremor or Parkinsonism]. / Análisis etiológico de 425 pacientes remitidos a una consulta extrahospitalaria de neurología por temblor o parkinsonismo.

INTRODUCTION: Movement disorders are a common reason for visits to outpatient neurology departments. This study has two objectives. The first is to analyse the diagnoses of patients referred to the neurology service due to tremor or Parkinsonism. The second aim is to analyse whether such patients are referred from primary care correctly or incorrectly. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The study examines patients referred from primary care to the neurology service in a medical specialty centre because of tremor or Parkinsonism. The final diagnoses established by the neurologist were analysed and patient referral was also analysed using a set of previously agreed criteria. RESULTS: The sample consisted of 425 consecutive patients who were referred from primary care due to tremor (n = 294) or Parkinsonism (n = 131). The most common diagnoses were Parkinson's disease (n = 211; 50%), essential tremor (n = 157; 37%) and pharmacological Parkinsonism (n = 23; 5%). Referral was considered to be incorrect in 39 patients and correct in 388 cases (91%). The causes of incorrect referrals were: pharmacological Parkinsonism (n = 23), anxiety that was not treated in primary care (n = 12) and hypothyroidism that went undiagnosed in primary care (n = 4). CONCLUSIONS: Parkinson's disease, essential tremor and pharmacological Parkinsonism are the most frequent diagnoses in patients who are referred from primary care because of tremor and Parkinsonism. Referral to a neurology service is correct in most cases, but there is still room for improvement.