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J Surg Oncol ; 114(6): 736-742, 2016 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27511902

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Pancreatic Cancer (PC) is a lethal malignancy that accounts for about 4% of cancer-related deaths worldwide. The aim of this study is to describe the influence of geography (based on WHO regions), socio-economic development (based on Human Development Index [HDI]) and demographic shift on the temporal trends in global incidence and mortality of PC. METHODS: Data (2012-2030) relating to the incidence, mortality of PC and demographic shifts based on WHO regions and HDI areas were extracted from GLOBOCAN 2012. Linear regression was used to evaluate trends in total incidence and mortality. RESULTS: We noted a definite association between PC and higher socio-economic status. Advanced age (age ≥65) contributed to the rising burden in all socio-economic regions of the world except in the Low Human Development (LHD) countries where the disease predominantly affected population <65 years of age. CONCLUSIONS: The global burden of PC is expected to rise significantly over the next few decades regardless of geographic location, socio-economic development, age and gender. Advance knowledge of this data can help formulate strategies to specifically target countries and populations that promote public health policy to tackle this lethal disease on the global stage. J. Surg. Oncol. 2016;114:736-742. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.


Assuntos
Saúde Global/tendências , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/epidemiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Bases de Dados Factuais , Países Desenvolvidos/estatística & dados numéricos , Países em Desenvolvimento/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Saúde Global/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Incidência , Modelos Lineares , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/etiologia , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/mortalidade , Dinâmica Populacional , Fatores de Risco , Classe Social
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