RESUMO
Normothermic regional perfusion (NRP) is a promising technology to improve organ transplantation outcomes by reversing ischemic injury caused by controlled donation after circulatory determination of death. However, it has not yet been implemented in Canada due to ethical questions. These issues must be resolved to preserve public trust in organ donation and transplantation. This qualitative, constructivist grounded theory study sought to understand how those most impacted by NRP perceived the ethical implications. We interviewed 29 participants across stakeholder groups of donor families, organ recipients, donation and transplantation system leaders, and care providers. The interview protocol included a short presentation about the purpose of NRP and procedures in abdomen versus chest and abdomen NRP, followed by questions probing potential violations of the dead donor rule and concerns regarding brain reperfusion. The results present a grounded theory placing NRP within a trust-building continuum of care for the donor, their family, and organ recipients. Stakeholders consistently described both forms of NRP as an ethical intervention, but their rationales were predicated on assumptions that neurologic criteria for death had been met following circulatory death determination. Empirical validation of these assumptions will help ground the implementation of NRP in a trust-preserving way.
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Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the second most common cause of cancer mortality, with mismatch repair proficient (pMMR) and/or microsatellite stable (MSS) CRC making up more than 80% of metastatic CRC. Programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) and programmed death 1 (PD-1) immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are approved as monotherapy in many cancers including a subset of advanced or metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC) with deficiency in mismatch repair (dMMR) and/or high microsatellite instability (MSI-H). However, proficient mismatch repair and microsatellite stable (pMMR/MSS) cold CRCs have not shown clinical response to ICIs alone. To potentiate the anti-tumor response of PD-L1/PD-1 inhibitors in patients with MSS cold cancer, combination strategies currently being investigated include dual ICI, and PD-L1/PD-1 inhibitors in combination with chemotherapy, radiotherapy, vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) /VEGF receptor (VEGFR) inhibitors, mitogen-activated protein kinase (MEK) inhibitors, and signal transducer and activation of transcription 3 (STAT3) inhibitors. This paper will review the mechanisms of PD-1/PD-L1 ICI resistance in pMMR/MSS CRC and potential combination strategies to overcome this resistance, summarize the published clinical experience with different combination therapies, and make recommendations for future avenues of research.
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Neoplasias do Colo , Neoplasias Colorretais , Neoplasias Retais , Humanos , Antígeno B7-H1 , Inibidores de Checkpoint Imunológico/farmacologia , Inibidores de Checkpoint Imunológico/uso terapêutico , Receptor de Morte Celular Programada 1 , Fator A de Crescimento do Endotélio Vascular , Neoplasias Colorretais/tratamento farmacológico , Neoplasias Colorretais/genética , Instabilidade de MicrossatélitesRESUMO
Medical assistance in dying (MAiD) has been a legally approved practice in Canada since 2016. Only recently have patients undergoing MAiD also been considered as donors for liver transplantation (LT). This study aimed to evaluate a case series of LT outcomes for recipients with MAiD donors and was paired with a systematic literature review of studies assessing the efficacy of MAiD-associated liver donation. A retrospective chart review of patients registered within the LT Registry at London Health Sciences Centre (LHSC) in London, Ontario, Canada, that had received MAiD donor LT was conducted to develop a case series. Descriptive statistics were produced based on available patient outcomes information. The systematic review included euthanasia due to MAiD being a term exclusive to Canada. Case series had a 100% 1-year graft survival rate, with 50% of patients experiencing early allograft dysfunction but having no significant clinical outcome. A single case of postoperative biliary complication was reported. Median warm ischemic time ranged from 7.8-13 minutes among case series and literature reviews. Utilization of donation after circulatory death allografts procured after MAiD appears to be promising. Mechanisms associated with potential impact in postoperative outcomes include relatively lower warm ischemic time relative to donation after circulatory death Maastricht III graft recipients.
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Transplante de Fígado , Suicídio Assistido , Humanos , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Doadores de Tecidos , OntárioRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Transplantation offers the best survival for patients with end stage organ disease. Transplant of hepatitis C virus (HCV) nucleic acid test (NAT) positive organs into negative recipients is a novel strategy that can expand the donor pool. We aim to evaluate our centre's experience. METHODS: We preformed a retrospective review of anti-HCV NAT positive and negative organs into negative recipients transplanted over 27 months. Primary outcome was the success rate of eradication of HCV post-transplant. Secondary outcomes were rate of transmission of HCV, treatment adverse events, and graft failure. RESULTS: 33 anti-HCV positive organs were transplanted into negative recipients. 22 (66.7%) were NAT positive. Median recipients age was 49 years (interquartile range [IQR] 44.5-62.0) with the majority being males (57.6%). NAT positive organ transplantations included 16 kidneys, 3 livers, 1 kidney-pancreas, 1 liver-kidney, and 1 heart. The most common HCV genotype was 1a (59.1%). The median time to initiating therapy was 41.5 days. SVR12 was 100% in patients who finished therapy. There were no adverse events with therapy and no graft failure. CONCLUSIONS: Anti-HCV NAT positive organ transplantation into negative recipients is safe with excellent eradication rates and no significant adverse events or graft failure. This would expand donor pool to close the gap between supply and demand.
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Hepatite C , Transplante de Órgãos , Canadá , Hepacivirus/genética , Hepatite C/tratamento farmacológico , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Transplante de Órgãos/efeitos adversos , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Post-operative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is the most significant cause of morbidity following distal pancreatectomy. Hemopatch™ is a thin, bovine collagen-based hemostatic sealant. We hypothesized that application of Hemopatch™ to the pancreatic stump following distal pancreatectomy would decrease the incidence of clinically-significant POPF. METHODS: We conducted a prospective, single-arm, multicentre phase II study of application of Hemopatch™ to the pancreatic stump following distal pancreatectomy. The primary outcome was clinically-significant POPF within 90 days of surgery. A sample size of 52 patients was required to demonstrate a 50% relative reduction in Grade B/C POPF from a baseline incidence of 20%, with a type I error of 0.2 and power of 0.75. Secondary outcomes included incidence of POPF (all grades), 90-day mortality, 90-day morbidity, re-interventions, and length of stay. RESULTS: Adequate fixation Hemopatch™ to the pancreatic stump was successful in all cases. The rate of grade B/C POPF was 25% (95%CI: 14.0-39.0%). There was no significant difference in the incidence of grade B/C POPF compared to the historical baseline (p = 0.46). The 90-day incidence of Clavien-Dindo grade ≥3 complications was 26.9% (95%CI: 15.6-41.0%). CONCLUSION: The use of Hemopatch™ was not associated with a decreased incidence of clinically-significant POPF compared to historical rates. (NCT03410914).
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Pancreatectomia , Fístula Pancreática , Animais , Bovinos , Humanos , Pâncreas , Pancreatectomia/efeitos adversos , Fístula Pancreática/epidemiologia , Fístula Pancreática/etiologia , Fístula Pancreática/prevenção & controle , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/prevenção & controle , Estudos Prospectivos , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Liver transplantation (LT) remains the curative treatment for symptomatic Polycystic Liver Disease (PCLD) patients and is associated with excellent survival rates. The aim of the study is to review the Ontario experience in LT for PCLD. METHODS: A retrospective study was performed from pre-existing LT databases from the LT Units at Toronto General Hospital and London Health Sciences Center, which are the two LT programs in Ontario, Canada. This database contains demographic, clinical parameters and follow-up of all patients transplanted for PCLD. Data was extracted for patients who underwent LT between January 2000-April 2017 and included follow up until December 31st, 2018. RESULTS: A total of 3560 patients underwent LT, of whom 51 (1.4%) had PCLD and met inclusion criteria. 43 (84%) of these patients were female. The median physiologic Model for End Stage Liver Disease (MELD-Na) score at time of referral was 13 (IQR = 7-22), however all patients required MELD-Na exception points to receive LT. The median age of transplant was 62 years (IQR = 59-64) for male vs. 52 (IQR = 45-56) for female patients. 33 (65%) of our cohort had PCLD while 9 (17.5%) had ADPKD and 9 (17.5%) had both diseases. 39 (76%) had LT due to symptoms of mass effect, while 8 (16%) had portal hypertensive complications. After a median follow-up of 6.3 (IQR = 2.9-12.5) years, the probability of survival was 96% (95% CI: 90%, 100%). Log-rank test, comparing survival analysis between males and females did not show a statistically significant difference (p = 0.26). CONCLUSION: Most patients underwent LT for PCLD due to symptoms of mass effect with women being more likely than men to undergo LT. LT for PCLD had excellent long-term survival.
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Doença Hepática Terminal , Transplante de Fígado , Adulto , Cistos , Feminino , Humanos , Hepatopatias , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Ontário/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Historically, pre-operative biliary stenting has been associated with higher infectious complication rates following pancreatoduodenectomy. However, alleviation of biliary obstruction is necessary for consideration of pre-operative chemotherapy, which may improve disease-free survival, or for mitigation of symptoms while awaiting surgery. Our aim is to compare contemporary post-operative complication risk among patients with pre-operative endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) stenting compared to those without. METHODS: Patients who underwent a pancreatoduodenectomy for pancreatic cancer with biliary obstruction within the ACS-NSQIP registry from 2014 to 2017 were identified. The primary outcome was to compare the risk of 30-day complication (composite outcome) between patients with and without pre-operative ERCP stenting. Propensity score matching was used to ensure balanced baseline characteristics and log-binomial regression models were used to estimate risk ratios for overall perioperative complication between groups. RESULTS: From 6073 patients with obstructive jaundice undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy for pancreatic cancer, 92% (5564) were eligible for the study. After performing a propensity score matching on 20 baseline characteristics, 952 patients without stenting were matched to up to four patients who received pre-operative ERCP stenting (n = 3467) for a matched cohort of 4419. A total of 1901 (55%) patients with pre-operative ERCP stenting experienced a post-operative complication compared to 501 (53%) patients without stenting (risk ratio 1.04, 95% CI 0.97-1.11, p = 0.23). CONCLUSION: Pre-operative ERCP stenting was not associated with an increased risk of post-operative complication in patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy with obstructive jaundice. Biliary stenting may be safely considered for symptom relief and to potentially facilitate pre-operative chemotherapy for pancreatic cancer.
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Neoplasias Pancreáticas , Pancreaticoduodenectomia , Colangiopancreatografia Retrógrada Endoscópica/efeitos adversos , Humanos , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/cirurgia , Pancreaticoduodenectomia/efeitos adversos , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Sistema de Registros , Stents/efeitos adversosRESUMO
Angiotensin II type I receptor (AT1R) agonistic autoantibodies (AT1R-AA) are detrimental to kidney transplantation. Early studies suggested a similar negative effect in primary liver transplantation. Here, we studied AT1R-AA in a retrospective cohort of 94 patients who received a second liver transplant to determine their prevalence and effects. The concentrations of preformed AT1R-AA before transplantation were higher (P = .019) in the 48 patients who lost their liver grafts than in the 46 patients whose grafts survived. About half (48/94, 51.1%) of the patients were positive for AT1R-AA >17 U/mL before the second liver transplantation. In 22 (23.4%) patients, strong positive AT1R-AA (defined as >40 U/mL) were detected, of whom 16 (72.7%) patients lost their grafts. Based on Kaplan-Meier analysis, patients with strong positive AT1R-AA had significantly worse graft survival than those with AT1R-AA <40 U/mL (P = .035). In multivariate Cox models that included confounders such as sex and age, either AT1R-AA >40 U/mL (HR = 1.999 [1.085-3.682], P = .026) or increased concentrations of AT1R-AA (HR = 1.003 [1.001-1.006] per incremental U/mL, P = .019) were significantly associated with elevated risk for graft loss. In conclusion, our data indicate that there is a high prevalence of AT1R-AA in candidates for second liver transplantation and that their presence is associated with inferior long-term outcomes of the second graft.
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Autoanticorpos/efeitos adversos , Rejeição de Enxerto/mortalidade , Sobrevivência de Enxerto , Hepatopatias/mortalidade , Transplante de Fígado/mortalidade , Receptor Tipo 1 de Angiotensina/imunologia , Adulto , Feminino , Seguimentos , Rejeição de Enxerto/etiologia , Rejeição de Enxerto/patologia , Humanos , Hepatopatias/cirurgia , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Masculino , Prognóstico , Receptor Tipo 1 de Angiotensina/agonistas , Reoperação , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Taxa de Sobrevida , Transplante HomólogoRESUMO
Data for liver transplant recipients (LTRs) regarding the benefit of care concordant with clinical practice guidelines for management of blood pressure (BP) are sparse. This paper reports on clinician adherence with BP clinical practice guideline recommendations and whether BP control is associated with mortality and cardiovascular events (CVEs) among LTRs. We conducted a longitudinal cohort study of adult LTRs who survived to hospital discharge at a large tertiary care network between 2010 and 2016. The primary exposure was a BP of <140/<90 mm Hg within year 1 of LT. Among 602 LTRs (mean age 56.7 years, 64% men), 92% had hypertension and 38% had new onset hypertension. Less than 30% of LTRs achieved a BP of <140/<90 mm Hg over a mean of 43.2 months. In multivariable models, adjusted for key confounders, BP control post-LT compared with lack of control was associated with a significantly lower hazard of mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 0.48, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.39, 0.87) and of CVEs (HR 0.65, 95% CI 0.43, 0.97). The association between BP control of <140/<90 mm Hg with improved survival and decreased CVEs in LTRs suggests that efforts to improve clinician adherence to BP clinical practice recommendations should be intensified.
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Doenças Cardiovasculares , Hipertensão , Transplante de Fígado , Adulto , Pressão Sanguínea , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-IdadeRESUMO
Liver transplant tourism is travel for transplantation involving organ trafficking and/or transplant commercialism. Various medical, financial, and organizational factors play a role in transplant care including waiting lists, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease scores, and financial aid. We outline the international experiences with transplant tourism (TT) and its effect on their medical communities and patients. For clinicians providing care to patients involved in TT, we also discuss pretransplant counseling and posttransplant care.
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Doença Hepática Terminal , Transplante de Fígado , Turismo Médico , Obtenção de Tecidos e Órgãos , Doença Hepática Terminal/cirurgia , Humanos , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Doadores Vivos , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Turismo , Listas de EsperaRESUMO
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) complications are important causes of morbidity and mortality after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). There is currently no preoperative risk-assessment tool that allows physicians to estimate the risk for CVD events following OLT. We sought to develop a point-based prediction model (risk score) for CVD complications after OLT, the Cardiovascular Risk in Orthotopic Liver Transplantation risk score, among a cohort of 1,024 consecutive patients aged 18-75 years who underwent first OLT in a tertiary-care teaching hospital (2002-2011). The main outcome measures were major 1-year CVD complications, defined as death from a CVD cause or hospitalization for a major CVD event (myocardial infarction, revascularization, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, cardiac arrest, pulmonary embolism, and/or stroke). The bootstrap method yielded bias-corrected 95% confidence intervals for the regression coefficients of the final model. Among 1,024 first OLT recipients, major CVD complications occurred in 329 (32.1%). Variables selected for inclusion in the model (using model optimization strategies) included preoperative recipient age, sex, race, employment status, education status, history of hepatocellular carcinoma, diabetes, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, pulmonary or systemic hypertension, and respiratory failure. The discriminative performance of the point-based score (C statistic = 0.78, bias-corrected C statistic = 0.77) was superior to other published risk models for postoperative CVD morbidity and mortality, and it had appropriate calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow P = 0.33). CONCLUSION: The point-based risk score can identify patients at risk for CVD complications after OLT surgery (available at www.carolt.us); this score may be useful for identification of candidates for further risk stratification or other management strategies to improve CVD outcomes after OLT. (Hepatology 2017;66:1968-1979).
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Doenças Cardiovasculares , Transplante de Fígado , Complicações Pós-Operatórias , Adulto , Idoso , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Medição de RiscoRESUMO
Mucosa-associated invariant T (MAIT) cells are innate-like T lymphocytes that are unusually abundant in the human liver, a common site of colorectal carcinoma (CRC) metastasis. However, whether they contribute to immune surveillance against colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) is essentially unexplored. In addition, whether MAIT cell functions can be impacted by chemotherapy is unclear. These are important questions given MAIT cells' potent immunomodulatory and inflammatory properties. Herein, we examined the frequencies and functions of peripheral blood, healthy liver tissue, tumor-margin and tumor-infiltrating MAIT cells in 21 CRLM patients who received no chemotherapy, FOLFOX, or a combination of FOLFOX and Avastin before they underwent liver resection. We found that MAIT cells, defined as CD3ε+Vα7.2+CD161++ or CD3ε+MR1 tetramer+ cells, were present within both healthy and tumor-afflicted hepatic tissues. Paired and grouped analyses of samples revealed the physical proximity of MAIT cells to metastatic lesions to drastically influence their functional competence. Accordingly, unlike those residing in the healthy liver compartment, tumor-infiltrating MAIT cells failed to produce IFN-γ in response to a panel of TCR and cytokine receptor ligands, and tumor-margin MAIT cells were only partially active. Furthermore, chemotherapy did not account for intratumoral MAIT cell insufficiencies. Our findings demonstrate for the first time that CRLM-penetrating MAIT cells exhibit wide-ranging functional impairments, which are dictated by their physical location but not by preoperative chemotherapy. Therefore, we propose that MAIT cells may provide an attractive therapeutic target in CRC and that their ligands may be combined with chemotherapeutic agents to treat CRLM.
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Neoplasias Colorretais/imunologia , Neoplasias Colorretais/patologia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/imunologia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/secundário , Células T Invariantes Associadas à Mucosa/imunologia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Humanos , Imunidade nas Mucosas , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Células T Invariantes Associadas à Mucosa/patologia , Metástase Neoplásica , Microambiente TumoralRESUMO
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Adult-to-adult live donor liver transplantation (LDLT) poses serious health risks and no direct health benefits to donors. Ensuring live donors' autonomy through informed consent is critical. We assessed live liver donors' (LD) comprehension, information needs, risk perceptions, and demographics. METHODS: Semi-structured interviews were prospectively conducted with LDs after completing donor evaluation and informed consent at our transplant center. Likert scales measured informed consent domains. Open-ended responses underwent thematic analysis. RESULTS: Thirty LDs participated (100% participation rate). Although 90% of LDs reported being informed about donation 'a great deal', only 66% reported understanding information about donation 'a great deal.' Many (40%) reported difficulty understanding medical terminology. Information LDs most desired to feel comfortable with their decision included: incidence and type of donor complications (67%), description of donation procedure (57%), and the process of donor preparation (43%). Most (83%) LDs rated risks to themselves as 'not at all' to 'somewhat' risky, and minimized these risks. CONCLUSIONS: Although LDs perceived that they were adequately informed, their actual comprehension about donation was inadequate. Findings suggest the value of informed consent for preparation for the procedure and potential periprocedural risks rather than for decision-making. More comprehensible information disclosure may optimize informed consent.
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Tomada de Decisões/ética , Consentimento Livre e Esclarecido/psicologia , Transplante de Fígado/psicologia , Doadores Vivos/psicologia , Autonomia Pessoal , Melhoria de Qualidade , Adolescente , Adulto , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Consentimento Livre e Esclarecido/normas , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Educação de Pacientes como Assunto , Estudos Prospectivos , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD) morbidity after liver transplantation, but its impact on CVD mortality is unknown. We sought to assess the impact of NASH on CVD mortality after liver transplantation and to predict which NASH recipients are at highest risk of a CVD-related death following a liver transplant. METHODS: Using the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network database, we examined associations between NASH and post-liver transplant CVD mortality, defined as primary cause of death from thromboembolism, arrhythmia, heart failure, myocardial infarction or stroke. A physician panel reviewed cause of death. RESULTS: Of 48 360 liver transplants (2/2002-12/2011), 5057 (10.5%) were performed for NASH cirrhosis. NASH recipients were more likely to be older, female, obese, diabetic and have history of renal failure or prior CVD vs. non-NASH (P < 0.001 for all). Although there was no difference in overall all-cause mortality (log-rank P = 0.96), both early (30-day) and long-term CVD-specific mortality was increased among NASH recipients (Odds ratio = 1.30, 95% Confidence interval (CI): 1.02-1.66; Hazard ratio = 1.42, 95% CI: 1.07-1.41 respectively). These associations were no longer significant after adjustment for pre-transplant diabetes, renal impairment or CVD. A risk score comprising age ≥55, male sex, diabetes and renal impairment was developed for prediction of post-liver transplant CVD mortality (c-statistic 0.60). CONCLUSION: NASH recipients have an increased risk of CVD mortality after liver transplantation explained by a high prevalence of comorbid cardiometabolic risk factors that in aggregate identify those at highest risk of post-transplant CVD mortality.
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Doenças Cardiovasculares , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/cirurgia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias , Insuficiência Renal/epidemiologia , Fatores Etários , Doenças Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Causas de Morte , Comorbidade , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Transplante de Fígado/métodos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Obesidade/epidemiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/diagnóstico , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/mortalidade , Prevalência , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Sexuais , Estados UnidosRESUMO
There are complex risk-benefit tradeoffs with different transplantation strategies for end-stage liver disease patients on renal support. Using a Markov discrete-time state transition model, we compared survival for this group with 3 strategies: simultaneous liver-kidney (SLK) transplantation, liver transplantation alone (LTA) followed by immediate kidney transplantation if renal function did not recover, and LTA followed by placement on the kidney transplant wait list. Patients were followed for 30 years from the age of 50 years. The probabilities of events were synthesized from population data and clinical trials according to Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores (21-30 and >30) to estimate input parameters. Sensitivity analyses tested the impact of uncertainty on survival. Overall, the highest survival rates were seen with SLK transplantation for both MELD score groups (82.8% for MELD scores of 21-30 and 82.5% for MELD scores > 30 at 1 year), albeit at the cost of using kidneys that might not be needed. Liver transplantation followed by kidney transplantation led to higher survival rates (77.3% and 76.4%, respectively, at 1 year) than placement on the kidney transplant wait list (75.1% and 74.3%, respectively, at 1 year). When uncertainty was considered, the results indicated that the waiting time and renal recovery affected conclusions about survival after SLK transplantation and liver transplantation, respectively. The subgroups with the longest durations of pretransplant renal replacement therapy and highest MELD scores had the largest absolute increases in survival with SLK transplantation versus sequential transplantation. In conclusion, the findings demonstrate the inherent tension in choices about the use of available kidneys and suggest that performing liver transplantation and using renal transplantation only for those who fail to recover their native renal function could free up available donor kidneys. These results could inform discussions about transplantation policy.
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Doença Hepática Terminal/cirurgia , Nefropatias/terapia , Transplante de Rim/métodos , Transplante de Fígado/métodos , Pesquisa Comparativa da Efetividade , Simulação por Computador , Doença Hepática Terminal/complicações , Doença Hepática Terminal/diagnóstico , Doença Hepática Terminal/mortalidade , Feminino , Humanos , Nefropatias/complicações , Nefropatias/diagnóstico , Nefropatias/mortalidade , Transplante de Rim/efeitos adversos , Transplante de Rim/mortalidade , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Transplante de Fígado/mortalidade , Masculino , Cadeias de Markov , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Tempo para o Tratamento , Doadores de Tecidos/provisão & distribuição , Resultado do Tratamento , Listas de EsperaRESUMO
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) contributes to excessive long-term mortality after liver transplantation (LT); however, little is known about early postoperative CVD mortality in the current era. In addition, there is no model for predicting early postoperative CVD mortality across centers. We analyzed adult recipients of primary LT in the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN) database between February 2002 and December 2012 to assess the prevalence and predictors of early (30-day) CVD mortality, which was defined as death from arrhythmia, heart failure, myocardial infarction, cardiac arrest, thromboembolism, and/or stroke. We performed logistic regression with stepwise selection to develop a predictive model of early CVD mortality. Sex and center volume were forced into the final model, which was validated with bootstrapping techniques. Among 54,697 LT recipients, there were 1576 deaths (2.9%) within 30 days. CVD death was the leading cause of 30-day mortality (40.2%), and it was followed by infection (27.9%) and graft failure (12.2%). In a multivariate analysis, 9 significant covariates (6 recipient covariates, 2 donor covariates, and 1 operative covariate) were identified: age, preoperative hospitalization, intensive care unit status, ventilator status, calculated Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score, portal vein thrombosis, national organ sharing, donor body mass index, and cold ischemia time. The model showed moderate discrimination (C statistic = 0.66, 95% confidence interval = 0.63-0.68). In conclusion, we provide the first multicenter prognostic model for the prediction of early post-LT CVD death, the most common cause of early post-LT mortality in the current transplant era. However, evaluations of additional CVD-related variables not collected by the OPTN are needed in order to improve the model's accuracy and potential clinical utility.
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Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Transplante de Fígado , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/mortalidade , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Teóricos , Medição de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: Survivors of pediatric liver transplantation are at risk for developing complications related to posttransplant immunosuppressive medications. Withdrawal is possible in selected patients but carries the risk of graft rejection and loss. We modeled the effect of withdrawing immunosuppressive medications on survival, cost, and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) in a hypothetical cohort of pediatric patients who received transplantation for biliary atresia with stable liver enzymes and no recent episodes of rejection, and who were free from immunosuppression-related adverse effects. METHODS: A decision analysis tree was developed, and Monte Carlo simulations were used to track patients through the model during a 10-year time course with 1-year cycles. Data from the literature were used to assign probabilities to major clinical events and preference-based utility scores to the values of health outcomes. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were used to evaluate the impact of uncertainty. RESULTS: Patients following the withdrawal strategy had a 10-year survival rate of 95.8% and experienced 8.61 QALYs versus 88.6% survival and 8.01 QALYs for those taking immunosuppressive medications. Each additional QALY is attained at a cost of -$18,992.41 and was therefore cost saving. CONCLUSIONS: Patients in our model who had their immunosuppression withdrawn had improved survival and QALYs with lower costs. Although every effort was made to validate the model, it is limited by the accuracy of the underlying assumptions. Therefore, clinical trials are needed to determine predictors of successful immunosuppression withdrawal to allow for personalization of medication regimens.
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Análise Custo-Benefício , Terapia de Imunossupressão , Imunossupressores , Transplante de Fígado , Qualidade de Vida , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Taxa de Sobrevida , Atresia Biliar/cirurgia , Criança , Tomada de Decisões , Rejeição de Enxerto/prevenção & controle , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Humanos , Tolerância Imunológica , Imunossupressores/efeitos adversos , Imunossupressores/uso terapêutico , Cadeias de Markov , Método de Monte CarloRESUMO
Backgrounds/Aims: While patients with borderline resectable pancreatic cancer (BRPC) are a target population for neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC), formal guidelines for neoadjuvant therapy are lacking. We assessed the perioperative and oncological outcomes in patients with BRPC undergoing NAC with FOLFIRINOX for patients undergoing upfront surgery (US). Methods: The AHPBA criteria for borderline resectability and/or a CA19-9 level > 100 µ/mL defined borderline resectable tumors retrieved from a prospectively populated institutional registry from 2007 to 2020. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS) at 1 and 3 years. A Cox Proportional Hazard model based on intention to treat was used. A receiver-operator characteristics (ROC) curve was constructed to assess the discriminatory capability of the use of CA19-9 > 100 µ/mL to predict resectability and mortality. Results: Forty BRPC patients underwent NAC, while 46 underwent US. The median OS with NAC was 19.8 months (interquartile range [IQR], 10.3-44.24) vs. 10.6 months (IQR, 6.37-17.6) with US. At 1 year, 70% of the NAC group and 41.3% of the US group survived (p = 0.008). At 3 years, 42.5 % of the NAC group and 10.9% of the US group survived (p = 0.001). NAC significantly reduced the hazard of death (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.20; 95% confidence interval, 0.07-0.54; p = 0.001). CA19-9 > 100 µ/mL showed poor discrimination in predicting mortality, but was a moderate predictor of resectability. Conclusions: We found a survival benefit of NAC with FOLFIRINOX for BRPC. Greater pre-treatment of CA19-9 and multivessel involvement on initial imaging were associated with progression of the disease following NAC.