Validation of MELD 3.0 in patients with alcoholic liver cirrhosis using prospective KACLiF cohort.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) is a reliable prognostic tool for short-term outcome prediction in patients with end-stage liver disease. MELD 3.0 was introduced to enhance the predictive accuracy. This study assessed the performance of MELD 3.0, in comparison to MELD and MELD-Na, in patients with alcoholic liver cirrhosis. METHODS: This multicenter prospective cohort study comprised patients with alcoholic cirrhosis admitted for acute deterioration of liver function in the Republic of Korea between 2015 and 2019. This study compared the predictive abilities of MELD, MELD-Na, and MELD 3.0, for 30-day and 90-day outcomes, specifically death or liver transplantation, and explored the factors influencing these outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 1096 patients were included in the study, with a mean age of 53.3 ± 10.4 years, and 82.0% were male. The mean scores for MELD, MELD-Na, and MELD 3.0 at the time of admission were 18.7 ± 7.2, 20.6 ± 7.7, and 21.0 ± 7.8, respectively. At 30 and 90 days, 7.2% and 14.1% of patients experienced mortality or liver transplantation. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves for MELD, MELD-Na, and MELD 3.0 at 30 days were 0.823, 0.820, and 0.828; and at 90 days were 0.765, 0.772, and 0.776, respectively. Factors associated with the 90-day outcome included concomitant chronic viral hepatitis, prolonged prothrombin time, elevated levels of aspartate transaminase, bilirubin, and creatinine, and low albumin levels. CONCLUSION: MELD 3.0 demonstrated improved performance compared to previous models, although the differences were not statistically significant.

Hemostatic powder with argon plasma coagulation in the management of gastric antral vascular ectasia after failure of APC therapy alone.

A 62-year-old woman with a medical history of cirrhosis due to advanced primary biliary cholangitis was referred for recurrent severe anemia. Upper GI endoscopy revealed a gastric antral vascular ectasia (GAVE). The hemoglobin levels were measured between 3 and 6 mg/dl for 10 years, and she received blood transfusion 2-3 times a year and continued endoscopic treatment. In particular, for 2 years from 2018, the decrease in hemoglobin level continued to be more severe, and endoscopic hemostasis using argon plasma coagulation (APC) was performed 11 times in total, but there was no significant clinical improvement.

Improving the Prediction of Relapse After Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Discontinuation in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND: Current guidelines recommend rules for stopping nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB), but off-therapy relapse is still high. This study aimed to identify predictors of off-therapy relapse and improve existing stopping rules. METHODS: This retrospective study included 488 patients with CHB (262 hepatitis B e antigen [HBeAg]-positive and 226 HBeAg-negative) who discontinued NAs. Posttreatment relapse was investigated. RESULTS: During the median follow-up period of 73.3 months, the cumulative 5-year and 10-year virologic relapse (VR) rates were 73.5% and 76.1%, respectively. In HBeAg-positive patients, end-of-therapy hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) levels (hazard ratio [HR], 1.93 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 1.42-2.61]) and consolidation duration ≥2 years (HR, 0.31 [95% CI: .17-.58]) were independent predictors of VR. Consolidation ≥2 years and low HBsAg levels (≤560 IU/mL) significantly lowered VR rates. In HBeAg-negative patients, only the HBsAg level (HR, 1.61 [95% CI: 1.24-2.11]) was independently predictive of VR. Cirrhosis was significantly associated with higher VR rates in HBeAg-negative patients with low HBsAg levels (≤800 IU/mL). Combining end-of-therapy HBsAg levels with current stopping rules or consolidation duration further reduced off-therapy relapse, with 2-year VR rates of approximately 15%-25% in HBeAg-positive patients and 35% in HBeAg-negative patients. CONCLUSIONS: End-of-therapy HBsAg levels, consolidation duration, and cirrhosis are key determinants of off-therapy relapse. Together with low HBsAg levels, extended consolidation therapy for ≥2 years should be ensured, and cirrhotic patients should continue NAs even if low HBsAg levels are achieved. A combination of these parameters will help identify individuals at low risk of relapse and significantly improve the predictive ability of the existing stopping rules.

Empirical Treatment With Carbapenem vs Third-generation Cephalosporin for Treatment of Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Third-generation cephalosporins (TGCs) are recommended as first-line antibiotics for treatment of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP). However, antibiotics against multidrug-resistant organisms (such as carbapenems) might be necessary. We aimed to evaluate whether carbapenems are superior to TGC for treatment of SBP. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study of 865 consecutive patients with a first presentation of SBP (275 culture positive; 103 with TGC-resistant bacterial infections) treated at 7 referral centers in Korea, from September 2013 through January 2018. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. We made all comparisons using data from patients whose baseline characteristics were balanced by inverse probability of treatment weighting. RESULTS: Of patients who initially received empirical treatment with antibiotics, 95 (11.0%) received carbapenems and 655 (75.7%) received TGCs. Among the entire study cohort, there was no significant difference in in-hospital mortality between the carbapenem (25.8%) and TGC (25.3%) groups (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.97; 95% CI, 0.85-1.11; P = .66). In the subgroup of patients with high chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (CLIF-SOFA) scores (score of 7 or greater, n = 314), carbapenem treatment was associated with lower in-hospital mortality (23.1%) than in the TGC group (38.8%) (aOR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.75-0.94; P=.002). In contrast, among patients with lower CLIF-SOFA scores (n = 436), in-hospital mortality did not differ significantly between the carbapenem group (24.7%) and the TGC group (16.0%) (aOR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.85-1.32; P = .58). CONCLUSIONS: For patients with a first presentation of SBP, empirical treatment with carbapenem does not reduce in-hospital mortality compared to treatment with TGCs. However, among critically ill patients (CLIF-SOFA scores ≥7), empirical carbapenem treatment was significantly associated with lower in-hospital mortality than TGCs.

Prediction of Hepatocellular Carcinoma by On-Therapy Response of Noninvasive Fibrosis Markers in Chronic Hepatitis B.

INTRODUCTION: Antiviral therapy improves hepatic fibrosis and reduces hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence. This study aimed to evaluate whether on-therapy changes in scores for fibrosis index based on 4 factors and aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index are associated with HCC development and establish an HCC risk score model incorporating noninvasive fibrosis marker (NFM) response. METHODS: This multicenter study recruited 5,147 patients with chronic hepatitis B (4,028 for derivation cohort and 1,119 for validation cohort) who were given entecavir/tenofovir for >12 months between 2007 and 2018. A risk prediction model for HCC was developed using predictors based on multivariable Cox models, and bootstrapping was performed for validation. RESULTS: The 10-year cumulative HCC incidence rates were 12.6% and 13.7% in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. The risk of HCC significantly differed with early NFM response, with a marked reduction in HCC risk in patients achieving a significant decrease in NFM by 12 months (P < 0.001). NFM response, sex, age, and cirrhosis were independently predictive of HCC. We developed the Fibrosis marker response, Sex, Age, and Cirrhosis (FSAC) score based on regression coefficients of each variable. For the 10-year prediction of HCC, FSAC showed higher C-index values than PAGE-B, modified PAGE-B, CU-HCC, and REACH-B (0.84 vs 0.77, 0.80, 0.77, and 0.67, respectively; all P < 0.005). The predictive performance of FSAC was corroborated in the validation cohort, with higher C-index than other models (all P < 0.050). DISCUSSION: On-therapy changes in NFM are an independent indicator of HCC risk. FSAC incorporating NFM response is a reliable risk score for risk estimation for HCC with better performance than other models.

Effectiveness of sorafenib dose modifications on treatment outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma: Analysis in real-life settings.

Controlling adverse events (AEs) through dose reduction can enhance drug adherence and treatment response. Currently, there is no guide for sorafenib dosing. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether sorafenib dosing could affect treatment outcomes. A total of 782 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with sorafenib were evaluated for sorafenib dosing and its modifications via medical records at baseline and regular follow-up. Study outcomes included progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), sorafenib duration, cumulative dose, AEs and drug discontinuation. The median patient survival was 7.7 months. Overall, 242 (30.9%) patients underwent dose reduction and 121 (17.5%) discontinued sorafenib due to AEs. In multivariate analysis, dose reduction was identified to be independently predictive of PFS and OS. The 800-to-400 mg/day group provided significantly better PFS than the 800 mg/day-maintained group or the 800-to-600 mg/day group. Likewise, the 800-to-400 mg/day group resulted in a significantly better OS than other dosing. However, dose reduction to 200 mg/day led to significantly worse PFS and OS. Hand-foot skin reaction and drug discontinuation due to AEs were higher in the 800-to-600 mg/day group than the 800-to-400 mg/day group. The 800-to-400 mg/day group had significantly longer treatment duration and higher cumulative dose than the 800 mg/day-maintained group. Sorafenib dose reduction can improve HCC survival and increase patient tolerance and adherence coupled with longer duration and higher cumulative dose. Dose reduction from 800 to 400 mg/day than to 600 mg/day is recommended when clinically warranted. However, dose reduction to 200 mg/day is not recommendable.

Clinical outcomes after the introduction of direct antiviral agents for patients infected with genotype 1b hepatitis C virus depending on the regimens: A multicenter study in Korea.

BACKGROUND: A real-life study is essential outside clinical trials. The aim is to evaluate the clinical outcomes of direct acting agents (DAA) for patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) in real practice. METHODS: We analyzed 590 consecutively enrolled patients with CHC-1b who received DAAs since 2015, when DAAs were introduced in Korea. The patients were checked for resistance-associated variants (RAV) against nonstructural protein 5A inhibitors and then daclatasvir/asunaprevir or sofosbuvir based regimens were chosen. RESULTS: The frequency of patients with cirrhosis and prior hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was 29.2% and 4.7%, respectively. For the RAV test, 10% were positive and in 3.6% the result was "indeterminate." Overall, 518 patients were treated with a 24-week regimen of daclatasvir/asunaprevir, 72 patients (RAV positive 75%) were treated with 12 weeks regimen of ledipasvir/sofosbuvir or daclatasvir/sofosbuvir. The SVR12 was 94.0% in the daclatasvir/asunaprevir, 98.2% in the ledipasvir/sofosbuvir, and 100% in the daclatasvir/sofosbuvir group. A total of 93.3% of SVR12 in the RAV-"indeterminate" patients was not difference 95.0% in the RAV-negative patients. Up to 1 year, de novo HCC occurrence and recurrence developed in 2.6% and 17.8%, respectively. HCC was more frequent in cirrhotic patients than in noncirrhotic patients (P = 0.000). α Fetoprotein (AFP) level at the end of treatment was a predicting factor for de novo HCC. CONCLUSIONS: Optimizing the choice of DAAs according to RAV test resulted in high SVR among CHC-1b Korean patients. This real practice multicenter cohort study suggests the importance of AFP and HCC surveillance in cirrhotic patients even after successful HCV therapy.

Long-term Prognosis of Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure Survivors.

GOALS: We aimed to investigate significant factors influencing the long-term prognosis of patients who survived acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). BACKGROUND: The mortality of ACLF is predominantly affected by the organ failure severity. However, long-term outcomes of patients who survive ACLF are not known. STUDY: A cohort of 1084 cirrhotic patients who survived for more than 3 months following acute deterioration of liver function was prospectively followed. ACLF was defined by the European Association for the Study of the Liver Chronic Liver Failure Consortium definition. RESULTS: The mean follow-up duration was 19.4±9.9 months. In the subgroup of patients without previous acute decompensation (AD), ACLF occurrence did not affect long-term outcomes. However, in patients with previous AD, ACLF negatively affected long-term transplant-free survival even after overcoming ACLF (hazard ratio, 2.00, P=0.012). Previous AD was the significant predictive factor of long-term mortality and was independent of the Model for End-stage Liver Disease score in these ACLF-surviving patients. Organ failure severity did not affect transplant-free survival in patients who survived an ACLF episode. CONCLUSIONS: A prior history of AD is the most important factor affecting long-term outcomes following an ACLF episode regardless of Model for End-stage Liver Disease score. Prevention of a first AD episode may improve the long-term transplant-free survival of liver cirrhosis patients.

Efficacy and Safety of Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate in Treatment-Naïve Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B in Korea.

AIMS: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of 144-week tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) therapy in treatment-naïve chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients in Korean. METHODS: In total, 579 treatment-naïve CHB patients at 11 medical centers were enrolled retrospective and prospective from September 2015 to January 2016 by design (NCT02533544). We evaluated the complete virologic response (CVR) rate and the renal safety of TDF. RESULTS: The overall CVR rate was 69.4%, 87.0%, and 89.7% at weeks 48, 96, and 144, respectively. In the HBeAg-positive CHB patients, the CVR rate at weeks 48, 96, and 144 was 61.4%, 83.1%, and 89.6%, respectively. The rates of HBeAg loss and seroconversion at weeks 48, 96, and 144 were 16.6%, 23.5%, 34.1%, and 7.6%, 8.9%, 13.3%, respectively. In HBeAg-negative CHB patients, the CVR rate at weeks 48, 96, and 144 was 82.5%, 93.2%, and 90.0%, respectively. The rate of alanine aminotransferase normalization was 36.9%, 45.4%, and 46.8% at weeks 48, 96, and 144, respectively. Of the CHB patients, 0.9% showed an elevated creatinine (> 0.5 mg/dL from baseline). Age (≥ 60 years) was significantly associated with a decline in renal function at week 144 (P < 0.0001). Comorbidities (diabetes or hypertension) showed the tendency to reduce renal function (P = 0.0624). Hepatocellular carcinoma developed in 10 (1.7%) patients and was related to cirrhosis. CONCLUSIONS: TDF therapy induced sustained viral suppression and had a favorable safety profile over a 3-year period. However, close monitoring of renal function should be mandatory in treating CHB patients receiving TDF, particularly older patients.

Control of intracranial disease is associated with improved survival in patients with brain metastasis from hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Brain metastasis is a rare event in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This retrospective study aimed to identify the prognostic factors and determine the outcomes of patients with brain metastases from HCC. METHODS: About 86 patients with brain metastases (0.6%) from HCC were identified from two institutions; of them, 32 underwent tumor-removing surgery or stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) with or without adjuvant whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT) (group 1), 30 had WBRT alone (group 2), and 24 received conservative treatment (group 3). Estimates for overall survival (OS) after brain metastases were determined, and clinical prognostic factors were identified. RESULTS: The median OS after development of brain metastases was 50 days. About 75 (87.2%) patients had lung metastases at the time of brain metastasis diagnosis. Group 1 showed better OS, followed by group 2 and group 3, sequentially (p < 0.001). Univariate analyses showed that treatment with curative intent (surgery or SRS), Child-Pugh class A, alpha-fetoprotein level < 400 ng/ml, and recursive partitioning analysis classification I or II were associated with improved survival (p < 0.001, 0.002, 0.029, and 0.012, respectively). Multivariate analysis showed that treatment with curative intent and Child-Pugh class A was associated with improved OS (p < 0.001 and 0.009, respectively). CONCLUSION: Although the overall prognosis of patients with brain metastases from HCC is extremely poor, patients actively treated with surgery or radiosurgery have prolonged survival, suggesting that interventions to control intracranial disease are important in these patients.

The characteristics of small intestinal bacterial overgrowth in patients with gallstone diseases.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Small intestinal bacterial overgrowth (SIBO) might be prevalent in gallstone disease, including cases involving cholecystectomy and gallstones. The study aimed to investigate the prevalence and characteristics of SIBO in patients with gallstone disease. METHODS: This prospective study evaluated 265 patients for gallstone disease (200, gallstones; 65, cholecystectomy) and 39 healthy controls. Laboratory data, abdominal ultrasonography, and glucose breath test (GBT) with bowel symptom questionnaire were performed. RESULTS: Glucose breath test positivity (+) in patients with gallstone disease (36.6%) was significantly higher than that in controls (20.5%). GBT+ in the gallstone group (40.5%) was significantly higher than that in the control or cholecystectomy group (24.6%). The number of patients with gallstone, tend to be higher in the GBT (H2 )+, (CH4 )+, and (mixed)+ groups (56 [28.0%], 11 [5.5%], and 14 [7.00%]), respectively. Gallbladder disease was independently associated with fatty liver, metabolic syndrome, and SIBO. Of 97 GBT+ patients, 70 (72.1%), 12 (12.4%), and 15 (15.5%) were in the GBT (H2 )+, (CH4 )+, and (mixed)+ groups, respectively. GBT (CH4 )+ or GBT (mixed)+ were significantly associated with the gallstone group compared with the cholecystectomy group. The GBT (mixed)+ group had higher total symptom scores than the GBT- group for hard stool and urgency tendency, or the GBT (H2 )+ group in hard stool and loose stool tendency. Gallstone was the only independent factor for SIBO in patients with gallstone diseases. CONCLUSIONS: Small intestinal bacterial overgrowth is common among patients with gallstone. Especially, CH4 or mixed-type SIBO seems to be prevalent and to worsen intestinal symptoms.

Validation of prognostic scores to predict short-term mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The aim of this study was to validate the chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment score (CLIF-SOFAs), CLIF consortium organ failure score (CLIF-C OFs), CLIF-C acute-on-chronic liver failure score (CLIF-C ACLFs), and CLIF-C acute decompensation score in Korean chronic liver disease patients with acute deterioration. METHODS: Acute-on-chronic liver failure was defined by either the Asian Pacific Association for the study of the Liver ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) or CLIF-C criteria. The diagnostic performances for short-term mortality were compared by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS: Among a total of 1470 patients, 252 patients were diagnosed with ACLF according to the CLIF-C (197 patients) or AARC definition (95 patients). As the ACLF grades increased, the survival rates became significantly lower. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic of the CLIF-SOFAs, CLIF-C OFs, and CLIF-C ACLFs were significantly higher than those of the Child-Pugh, model for end-stage liver disease, and model for end-stage liver disease-Na scores in ACLF patients according to the CLIF-C definition (all P < 0.05), but there were no significant differences in patients without ACLF or in patients with ACLF according to the AARC definition. The CLIF-SOFAs, CLIF-C OFs, and CLIF-C ACLFs had higher specificities with a fixed sensitivity than liver specific scores in ACLF patients according to the CLIF-C definition, but not in ACLF patients according to the AARC definition. CONCLUSIONS: The CLIF-SOFAs, CLIF-C OFs, and CLIF-C ACLFs are useful scoring systems that provide accurate information on prognosis in patients with ACLF according to the CLIF-C definition, but not the AARC definition.

Validation of a Paper and Pencil Test Battery for the Diagnosis of Minimal Hepatic Encephalopathy in Korea.

The aim of this study was to validate a new paper and pencil test battery to diagnose minimal hepatic encephalopathy (MHE) in Korea. A new paper and pencil test battery was composed of number connection test-A (NCT-A), number connection test-B (NCT-B), digit span test (DST), and symbol digit modality test (SDMT). The norm of the new test was based on 315 healthy individuals between the ages of 20 and 70 years old. Another 63 healthy subjects (n = 31) and cirrhosis patients (n = 32) were included as a validation cohort. All participants completed the new paper and pencil test, a critical flicker frequency (CFF) test and computerized cognitive function test (visual continuous performance test [CPT]). The scores on the NCT-A and NCT-B increased but those of DST and SDMT decreased according to age. Twelve of the cirrhotic patients (37.5%) were diagnosed with MHE based on the new paper and pencil test battery. The total score of the paper and pencil test battery showed good positive correlation with the CFF (r = 0.551, P < 0.001) and computerized cognitive function test. Also, this score was lower in patients with MHE compared to those without MHE (P < 0.001). Scores on the CFF (32.0 vs. 28.7 Hz, P = 0.028) and the computer base cognitive test decreased significantly in patients with MHE compared to those without MHE. Test-retest reliability was comparable. In conclusion, the new paper and pencil test battery including NCT-A, NCT-B, DST, and SDMT showed good correlation with neuropsychological tests. This new paper and pencil test battery could help to discriminate patients with impaired cognitive function in cirrhosis (registered at Clinical Research Information Service [CRIS], https://cris.nih.go.kr/cris, KCT0000955).

Effect of Trimebutine and Rifaximin on Breath Hydrogen and Methane by Glucose Breath Test in Patients With Functional Bloating: A Randomized Double-blind Clinical Trial.

Background/Aims: Drugs that stabilize intestinal motility may improve the efficacy of nonabsorbable antibiotics, such as rifaximin, against small intestinal bacterial overgrowth (SIBO). We compared the efficacy of rifaximin alone with that of its combination with trimebutine maleate against SIBO. Methods: We performed a randomized double-blind placebo-controlled trial (https://cris.nih.go.kr, no. KCT0004836) that included patients with functional bloating, no constipation, and SIBO using the hydrogen (H2)-methane (CH4) glucose breath test (GBT). Patients were randomized into 2 groups in a 1:1 ratio, namely rifaximin (1200 mg/day) + trimebutine maleate (600 mg/day) group and rifaximin + placebo group, for 2 weeks. Patients completed a symptom questionnaire and underwent a GBT at baseline and at 1 month after treatment withdrawal. The primary outcome was SIBO eradication. The secondary outcomes included changes in the concentrations of exhaled gases, symptoms, and presence of adverse events. Results: The complete eradication rate of SIBO was 35.9% (14/39) in the rifaximin group, and 34.1% (14/41) in the combined group with no significant differences. In both groups, no significant differences were observed in GBT profiles before and after the treatment, respectively. However total breath H2 and CH4 concentration were conspicuously decreased in the combined group after treatment. The combined group exhibited substantial relief of bloating. The adverse events were similar in the 2 groups. Conclusion: While the combination therapy was not superior over rifaximin alone for SIBO eradication, it improves the symptom of bloating with numerically reducing the concentration of breath H2/CH4.

Prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in pediatrics and adolescents: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: As childhood obesity escalates worldwide, the prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in pediatric and adolescent populations is also increasing. However, systematic studies and meta-analyses evaluating the prevalence of pediatric NAFLD remain limited. METHODS: The MEDLINE, Korean Medical Database (KMBASE), Embase, Global Health, and Cochrane Library databases were searched from January 1997 to April 2023. Search terms included NAFLD or steatosis; nonalcoholic or steatohepatitis; child(ren), adolescent, or teenager; and prevalence, incidence, or epidemiology. A random-effects meta-analysis model was used to estimate the prevalence of pediatric NAFLD. RESULTS: A total of 2116 publications were found, of which 62 were included in the meta-analysis. Among them, 27 reported the prevalence in the general population and 39 in the obese population. The worldwide pooled prevalence of pediatric NAFLD was 13% [95% confidence interval (CI) 9-18%] in the general population and 47% (95% CI 41%-53%) in the obese population. Among 16 studies in the general population and 18 in the obese population, NAFLD prevalence varied by gender. In the general population, the prevalence of NAFLD was 15% (95% CI 8%-23%) in males and 10% (95% CI 6%-15%) in females. In the obese population, it was 54% (95% CI 46%-61%) in males and 39% (95% CI 30%-49%) in females. CONCLUSIONS: The global prevalence of pediatric NAFLD is rising in both the general and obese populations. Given the increasing rates of childhood obesity, epidemiological studies on the prevalence and incidence of NAFLD are needed.

New prognostic model for hospitalized patients with alcoholic cirrhosis and Maddrey's discriminant function <32.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Few studies have investigated the prognosis of patients with non-severe alcoholic hepatitis (Non-SAH). The study aimed to develop a new prognostic model for patients with especially Non-SAH. METHODS: We extracted 316 hospitalized patients with alcoholic cirrhosis without severe alcoholic hepatitis, defined as Maddrey's discriminant function score lower than 32, from the retrospective Korean Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure (KACLiF) cohort to develop a new prognostic model (training set), and validated it in 419 patients from the prospective KACLiF cohort (validation set). Prognostic factors for death and liver transplantation were analyzed to construct a prognostic model. RESULTS: Twenty-one and 24 patients died within 6 months in both sets, respectively. In the training set, the highest area under the curve (AUC) of conventional prognostic models was 0.765, 0.732, and 0.684 for 1-, 3-, and 6-month mortality, respectively. Refractory ascites, vasopressor use, and hyponatremia were independently associated with mortality of cirrhotic patients with Non-SAH. The new model consisted of four variables: past deterioration, neutrophil proportion > 70%, Na < 128 mmol/L, and vasopressor use. It showed the highest accuracy for short-term mortality in the training and validation sets (0.803 and 0.786; 0.797 and 0.776; and 0.789 and 0.721 for 1-, 3-, and 6-month mortality, respectively). CONCLUSION: There is a group of patients with high risk among those classified as Non-SAH. The new model will help stratifying cirrhotic patients with Non-SAH more accurately in terms of prognosis. The patients with high Non-SAH score need to monitor closely and might be considered for preemptive liver transplantation. TRIAL REGESTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02650011.

Dynamic Assessment of Modified Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment in Acutely Deteriorated Patients with Chronic Liver Disease.

Background/Aims: Quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) has been suggested to identify those who have poor outcomes in patients with suspected infection. We aimed to evaluate the ability of the modified qSOFA (m-qSOFA) to identify high-risk patients in acutely deteriorated patients with chronic liver disease (CLD), especially acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Methods: We used the data of both Korean Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure (KACLiF) and Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) cohorts. qSOFA was modified by replacing the Glasgow Coma Scale with hepatic encephalopathy, and m-qSOFA≥2 was considered high. Results: Patients with high m-qSOFA had a significantly lower 1-month transplant-free survival (TFS) in both cohorts and higher organ failure development in KACLiF than patients with low m-qSOFA (Ps<0.05). Subgroup analysis by ACLF showed that patients with high m-qSOFA had lower TFS than patients with low m-qSOFA. m-qSOFA was an independent prognostic factor (hazard ratios (HR)=2.604, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.353-5.013, P=0.004 in KACLiF and HR=1.904, 95% CI 1.484-2.442, P<0.001 in AARC). The patients with low m-qSOFA at baseline but high m-qSOFA on the 7th day had a significantly lower 1-month TFS than the patients with high m-qSOFA at baseline but low m-qSOFA on the 7th day (52.6% vs. 89.4%, P<0.001 in KACLiF and 26.9% vs. 61.5%, P<0.001 in AARC). Conclusion: Baseline and dynamic changes in m-qSOFA were useful to identify patients with a high risk of organ failure development and short-term mortality among CLD patients with acute deterioration.

Differential liver function at cessation of atezolizumab-bevacizumab versus lenvatinib in HCC: a multicenter, propensity-score matched comparative study.

Background: Atezolizumab+bevacizumab (AB) and lenvatinib have been proposed as first-line treatment options for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but comparative efficacy and associated factors are controversial. Materials and methods: This real-world multicenter study analysed patients with HCC who received AB (n=169) or lenvatinib (n=177). Results: First, 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) was performed, resulting in 141 patients in both the AB and lenvatinib groups. After PSM, overall survival (OS) was better in the AB group than in the lenvatinib group [hazard ratio (HR)=0.642, P=0.009], but progression-free survival (PFS) did not vary between the two groups (HR=0.817, P=0.132). Objective response rate (ORR) was also similar between AB and lenvatinib (34.8% vs. 30.8%, P=0.581). In a subgroup of patients with objective responses (OR, n=78), OS (HR=0.364, P=0.012) and PFS (HR=0.536, P=0.019) were better in the AB group (n=41) than in the lenvatinib group (n=37). Time-to-progression from time of OR was also better in the AB group (HR=0.465, P=0.012). Importantly, residual liver function was a significant factor related to OS in both treatments. Child-Pugh score following cessation of the respective treatments was better in the AB group (n=105) than in the lenvatinib group (n=126) (median 6 versus 7, P=0.008), and proportion of salvage treatment was also higher in the AB group (52.4% versus 38.9%, P=0.047). When we adjusted for residual liver function or salvage treatment, there was no difference in OS between the two treatments. Conclusion: Our study suggests that residual liver function and subsequent salvage treatments are major determinants of clinical outcomes in patients treated with AB and lenvatinib; these factors should be considered in future comparative studies.

Effect of direct-acting antivirals on disease burden of hepatitis C virus infection in South Korea in 2007-2021: a nationwide, multicentre, retrospective cohort study.

Background: It is unclear whether direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) treatment improves the disease burden in hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. This study aimed to investigate the effect of DAA treatment on the reduction of disease burden in patients with HCV infection using individual participant data. Methods: This nationwide multicentre retrospective cohort study recruited patients with HCV infection from 29 tertiary institutions in South Korea. The data collection was done from medical records in each institution. The study included the untreated patients and the DAAs-treated patients and excluded those with a history of interferon-based treatments. Disease burden was the primary outcome, as represented by disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Improvement in fibrosis after DAA treatment was assessed using APRI, FIB-4 index, and liver stiffness (LS) as assessed by transient elastography. Clinical outcomes were hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), decompensation, and mortality. Findings: Between January 1, 2007, and February 17, 2022, data from 11,725 patients with HCV infection, 8464 (72%) of whom were treated with DAAs, were analysed. DAA treatment significantly improved APRI- (median 0.64 [interquartile range (IQR), 0.35-1.31]-0.33 [0.23-0.52], p < 0.0001), FIB-4- (median 2.42 [IQR, 1.48-4.40]-1.93 [1.31-2.97], p < 0.0001), and liver LS-based fibrosis (median 7.4 [IQR, 5.3-12.3]-6.2 [4.6-10.2] kPa, p < 0.0001). During the median follow-up period of 27.5 months (IQR, 10.6-52.4), 469 patients died (4.0%), 586 (5.0%) developed HCC, and 580 (4.9%) developed decompensation. The APRI-based DALY estimate was significantly lower in the DAA group than in the untreated group (median 4.55 vs. 5.14 years, p < 0.0001), as was the FIB-4-based DALY estimate (median 5.43 [IQR, 3.00-6.44] vs. 5.79 [3.85-8.07] years, p < 0.0001). The differences between the untreated and DAA groups were greatest in patients aged 40-60 years. In multivariable analyses, the DAA group had a significantly reduced risk of HCC, decompensation, and mortality compared with the untreated group (hazard ratios: 0.41 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.34-0.48], 0.31 [95% CI, 0.30-0.38], and 0.22 [95% CI, 0.17-0.27], respectively; p < 0.0001). Interpretation: Our findings suggest that DAA treatment is associated with the improvement of liver-related outcomes and a reduction of liver fibrosis-based disease burden in patients with HCV infection. However, further studies using liver biopsy are needed to clarify the effect of DAA treatment on the reduction in the exact fibrosis-based disease burden beyond noninvasive tests. Funding: The Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency.

Change in skeletal muscle mass is associated with hepatic steatosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

The association between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and sarcopenia is known. We aimed to determine the association between skeletal muscle mass changes and NAFLD status. This retrospective single-center study analyzed patients who underwent health screening twice between November 2009 and December 2017, with a temporal gap of 6 ± 0.5 years. The degree of sarcopenia was assessed using appendicular skeletal muscle mass (ASM) adjusted for weight and body mass index (BMI). Changes in hepatic steatosis and fibrosis status were evaluated using noninvasive serum markers. Patients with a decrease in ASM/BMI (n = 353) had increased hepatic steatosis index (HSI) and fatty liver index (FLI) scores during 6 years (p < 0.05). The baseline sarcopenia group had a greater elevation in NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) over 6 years than those without baseline sarcopenia. ASM changes over 6 years showed a negative correlation with variations in HSI (ß = - 0.96 in ASM/Weight and -28.93 in ASM/BMI) and FLI (ß = - 5.44 in ASM/Weight and - 167.12 in ASM/BMI). Subgroup analyses showed similar results according to sex and age. Sarcopenia may worsen steatosis and vice versa. Skeletal muscle status can be used to predict the course of NAFLD and establish individualized treatment strategies.