Clinical predictors of premature radiotherapy terminations in senior adults with oral cavity and laryngeal carcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: The underlying factors that contribute to early radiotherapy (RT) termination are understudied, especially in the era of hypofractionated treatment regimens. In this retrospective investigation, we examined the characteristics and causes of premature RT terminations in senior adults (>70 years old) with oral cavity (OC) and laryngeal carcinomas. METHODS: Hundred and eighty-eight patients treated with RT ± systemic therapy for OC and laryngeal cancer from 2017 to 2022 were identified. Premature termination was defined as completion of less than 95% of the prescribed RT. Logistic regression analysis was performed to examine factors predictive of premature termination, and survival was determined using the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: Twenty patients (10.6%) experienced premature RT terminations. On regression analysis, ECOG score at initiation of RT was the only covariate studied to be independently associated with premature termination (OR 2.00, 95%CI: [1.21, 3.30], p = 0.007). Three-year overall survival (49.1% vs. 77.3%) was significantly reduced in the termination cohort (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: This analysis demonstrated over 1 in 10 patients had premature RT termination, which prognosticated inferior survival outcomes. Poor performance status may highlight patients at risk for premature termination and thus identify good candidates for hypofractionated protocols.

Rates of Occult Invasive Disease in Patients With Biopsy-Proven Oral Cavity Squamous Cell Carcinoma in Situ.

Importance: The likelihood that an oral cavity lesion harbors occult invasive disease after biopsy demonstrating carcinoma in situ (CIS) is unknown. While de-escalated treatment strategies may be appealing in the setting of CIS, knowing whether occult invasive disease may be present and its association with survival outcomes would lead to more informed management decisions. Objective: To evaluate rate of occult invasive disease and clinical outcomes in patients with oral cavity CIS. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a retrospective population-based cohort study using the National Cancer Database and included adults with biopsy-proven oral cavity CIS as the first diagnosis of cancer between 2004 and 2020. Data were analyzed from October 10, 2022, to June 25, 2023. Exposures: Surgical resection vs no surgery. Main Outcomes and Measures: Analyses calculated the rate of occult invasive disease identified on resection of a biopsy-proven CIS lesion. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression with odds ratios and 95% CIs were used to identify significant demographic and clinical characteristics associated with risk of occult invasion (age, year of diagnosis, sex, race and ethnicity, oral cavity subsite, and comorbidity status). Kaplan-Meier curves for overall survival (OS) were calculated for both unresected and resected cohorts (stratified by presence of occult invasive disease). Results: A total of 1856 patients with oral cavity CIS were identified, with 122 who did not undergo surgery (median [range] age, 65 [26-90] years; 48 female individuals [39.3%] and 74 male individuals [60.7%]) and 1458 who underwent surgical resection and had documented pathology (median [range] age, 62 [21-90] years; 490 female individuals [33.6%] and 968 male individuals [66.4%]). Of the 1580 patients overall, 52 (3.3%) were Black; 39 (2.5%), Hispanic; 1365 (86.4%), White; and 124 (7.8%), other, not specified. Among those who proceeded with surgery with documented pathology, 408 patients (28.0%) were found to have occult invasive disease. Higher-risk features were present in 45 patients (11.0%) for final margin positivity, 16 patients (3.9%) for lymphovascular invasion, 13 patients (3.2%) for high-grade invasive disease, and 14 patients (3.4%) for nodal involvement. For those patients with occult disease, staging according to the American Joint Committee on Cancer's AJCC Cancer Staging Manual, eighth edition, was pT1 in 341 patients (83.6%), pT2 in 41 (10.0%), and pT3 or pT4 disease in 26 (6.4%). Factors associated with greater odds of occult invasive disease at resection were female sex, Black race, and alveolar ridge, vestibule, and retromolar subsite. With median 66-month follow-up, 5-year OS was 85.9% in patients who proceeded with surgical resection vs 59.7% in patients who did not undergo surgery (difference, 26.2%; 95% CI, 19.0%-33.4%). Conclusions and Relevance: This cohort study assessed the risk of concurrent occult invasion with biopsy-proven CIS of the oral cavity, demonstrating that 28.0% had invasive disease at resection. Reassuringly, even in the setting of occult invasion, high-risk disease features were rare, and 5-year OS was nearly 80% with resection. The findings support the practice of definitive resection if feasible following biopsy demonstrating oral cavity CIS.

Aging a Decade in a Day: Age Cutoff Bias in Adjuvant Therapy Allocation for Early-Stage Breast Cancer.

PURPOSE: Physicians may expedite interpretation of data presented as a continuous variable by binning the data into "high" and "low" subgroups (cutoff heuristic). Use of this cognitive shortcut with age may lead to fewer nuanced or inappropriate decisions. We hypothesized an age cutoff heuristic may lead to non-evidence-based adjuvant treatment allocation among patients with early-stage breast cancer. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Two cohorts with strong indications for adjuvant treatment regardless of age that underwent lumpectomy for early-stage breast cancer between 2004 and 2017 were identified in the National Cancer Database. Cohort 1 had higher-risk features (estrogen receptor negative, endocrine therapy not planned, final margins positive, or size >3 cm; n = 160,990) and was appropriate for radiation. Cohort 2 had hormone receptor positivity with tumors >5 mm (n = 394,946) and was appropriate for endocrine therapy. Multivariable logistic regressions with odds ratios (ORs) and 99.8% confidence intervals (CIs) were performed to determine whether any single year-over-year age difference was independently associated with a difference in likelihood of adjuvant therapy recommendation. RESULTS: In cohort 1, radiation recommendation decreased sharply at age 70, ranging from 90% to 92% between the ages of 50 and 69 years to 81% for those aged 70 years. Multivariable logistic regressions showed year-over-year age difference was an independent predictor for adjuvant radiation recommendation at only age 70 versus 69 (OR, 0.47; CI, 0.39-0.57; P < .001). For cohort 2, endocrine therapy recommendation showed a small decline at age 70, and year-over-year age difference was a predictor of endocrine therapy recommendation at only age 70 versus 69 (OR, 0.86; CI, 0.74-0.99; P = .001). CONCLUSIONS: We observed a unique decline in appropriate adjuvant therapy recommendation between ages 69 and 70. This suggests use of an age cutoff heuristic to process patient age in this population as a categorical, binary variable. This is a previously undescribed phenomenon in early-stage breast cancer.

Self-Reported COVID-19 Infections and Social Mixing Behavior at Oncology Meetings.

PURPOSE: The COVID-19 pandemic largely suspended in-person scientific meetings because of risk of disease spread. In the era of vaccination and social distancing practices, meetings have begun returning to in-person formats. We surveyed attendees and potential attendees of 2 oncology meetings in the United States to identify rates of mixing behavior and the subsequent rate of self-reported COVID-19 infection. METHODS AND MATERIALS: We collected via survey reported social mixing behavior and COVID-19 positivity (within 21 days of meeting conclusion) of actual and potential in-person attendees of the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) Quality Care Symposium held September 24 to 25, 2021, and the American Society for Radiation Oncology (ASTRO) Annual Meeting held October 24 to 27, 2021. Conference speakers and other participants were identified through publicly available meeting materials and targeted via e-mail when possible. Recruitment of additional attendees and potential attendees was also conducted through a sharable link promoted via oncology newsletters and social media. Descriptive statistics alone were performed owing to low COVID-19 event rates. RESULTS: Response rates from targeted conference participants with publicly available e-mails were 27.4% for the ASCO and 14.3% for the ASTRO meetings. The ASCO survey produced 94 responses (48 in-person attendees). The ASTRO survey produced 370 responses (267 in-person attendees). Across both meetings, 3 of 308 (1.0%) in-person attendees versus 2 of 141 (1.4%) nonattendees tested positive for COVID-19. Low COVID-19 positivity rates were reported among in-person attendees spending more (>20) versus fewer (≤20) hours attending live sessions (2.2% vs 0%) and among indoor social event participants versus nonparticipants (0.8% vs 1.9%). Attendees largely felt comfortable attending additional in-person meetings after experiencing ASCO (87.5%) or ASTRO (91.9%) and felt mask compliance was good or excellent at ASCO (100%) and ASTRO (94.6%) meetings. CONCLUSIONS: In-person meetings do not seem to be contributing to high rates of new COVID-19 infections in the setting of vaccine and social distancing mandates, supporting paths forward for at least partially in-person conferences as COVID-19 becomes endemic.

Quantifying treatment selection bias effect on survival in comparative effectiveness research: findings from low-risk prostate cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: Comparative effectiveness research (CER) using national registries influences cancer clinical trial design, treatment guidelines, and patient management. However, the extent to which treatment selection bias (TSB) affects overall survival (OS) in cancer CER remains poorly defined. We sought to quantify the TSB effect on OS in the setting of low-risk prostate cancer, where 10-year prostate cancer-specific survival (PCSS) approaches 100% regardless of treatment modality. METHODS: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database was queried for patients with low-risk prostate cancer (cT1-T2a, PSA < 10, and Gleason 6) who received radical prostatectomy (RP), brachytherapy (BT), or external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) from 2005 to 2015. The TSB effect was defined as the unadjusted 10-year OS difference between modalities that was not due to differences in PCSS. Propensity score matching was used to estimate the TSB effect on OS due to measured confounders (variables present in the database and associated with OS) and unmeasured confounders. RESULTS: A total of 50,804 patients were included (8845 RP; 18,252 BT; 23,707 EBRT) with a median follow-up of 7.4 years. The 10-year PCSS for the entire cohort was 99%. The 10-year OS was 92.9% for RP, 83.6% for BT, and 76.9% for EBRT (p < 0.001). OS differences persisted after propensity score matching of RP vs. EBRT (7.4%), RP vs. BT (4.6%), and BT vs. EBRT (3.7%) (all p < 0.001). The TSB effect on 10-year OS was estimated to be 15.0% for RP vs. EBRT (8.6% measured, 6.4% unmeasured), 8.5% for RP vs. BT (4.8% measured, 3.7% unmeasured), and 6.5% for BT vs. EBRT (3.1% measured, 3.4% unmeasured). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with low-risk prostate cancer selected for RP exhibited large OS differences despite similar PCSS compared to radiotherapy, suggesting OS differences are almost entirely driven by TSB. The quantities of these effects are important to consider when interpreting prostate cancer CER using national registries.

Rates of invasive disease and outcomes in NSCLC patients with biopsy suggestive of carcinoma in situ.

INTRODUCTION: Carcinoma in situ is a rare non-invasive histology of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with excellent survival outcomes with resection. However, management of lung biopsy suggestive of in situ disease remains unclear. To inform decision-making in this scenario, we determined the rate of invasive disease presence upon resection of lesions with an initial biopsy suggestive of purely in situ disease. METHODS: The study included 960 patients diagnosed with NSCLC from 2003 to 2017 in the National Cancer Database whose workup included a lung biopsy suggestive of in situ disease. Among the cohort who proceeded to resection, we identified the rate of invasive disease discovered on surgical pathology along with significant demographic and clinical contributors to invasion risk. Survival outcomes were measured for the observed cohort that did not receive local therapy after biopsy. RESULTS: Invasive disease was identified at resection in 49.3 % of patients. Lesion size was associated with risk of invasive disease: 35.7 % for ≤1 cm, 45.2 % for 1-2 cm, 55.7 % for 2-3 cm, and 87.5 % for 3-5 cm (p < 0.001). Of patients with squamous histology, 61.5 % had invasive disease versus 46.5 % with adenocarcinoma histology (p = 0.026). On multivariable logistic regression, invasive disease remained associated with tumor size (OR 1.9 per cm, 95 % CI 1.5-2.4, p < 0.001), and squamous histology (OR 1.8, 95 % CI 1.1-3.2, p = 0.028). Overall survival at 3 years was 51.5 % in the observed cohort. CONCLUSION: Nearly half of patients with biopsy suggestive of in situ disease had invasive disease at resection. Tumor size and histology are strong predictors of invasive disease and may be used for risk stratification. However, the findings support the practice of definitive therapy whenever feasible.

Margin negative resection and pathologic downstaging with multiagent chemotherapy with or without radiotherapy in patients with localized pancreas cancer: A national cancer database analysis.

PURPOSE: Margin-negative (R0) resection is the only potentially curative treatment for patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Pre-operative multi-agent chemotherapy alone (MAC) or MAC followed by pre-operative radiotherapy (MAC + RT) may be used to improve resectability and potentially survival. However, the optimal pre-operative regimen is unknown. METHODS: Patients with non-metastatic PDAC from 2006 to 2016 who received pre-operative MAC or MAC + RT before oncologic resection were identified in the National Cancer Database. Univariable and multivariable (MVA) associates with R0 resection were identified with logistic regression, and survival was analyzed secondarily with the Kaplan Meier method and Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: 4,599 patients were identified (MAC: 3,109, MAC + RT: 1,490). Compared to those receiving MAC, patients receiving MAC + RT were more likely to have cT3-4 disease (76% vs 64%, p < 0.001) and cN + disease (33% vs 29%, p = 0.010), but were less likely to have ypT3-4 disease (59% vs 74%, p < 0.001) and ypN + disease (32% vs 55%, p < 0.001) and more likely to have a pathologic complete response (5% vs 2%, p < 0.001) and R0 resection (86% vs 80%, p < 0.001). On MVA, MAC + RT (OR 1.58, 95% CI 1.33-1.89, p < 0.001), evaluation at an academic center (OR 1.33, 95% CI 1.14-1.56, p < 0.001), and female sex (OR 1.43, 95% CI 1.23-1.67, p < 0.001) were associated with higher odds of R0 resection, while cT3-4 disease (OR 0.81, 95% CI 0.68-0.96, p = 0.013) was associated with lower odds of R0 resection. CONCLUSION: For patients with localized PDAC who receive pre-operative MAC, the addition of pre-operative RT was associated with improved rates of R0 resection and pathologic response.

A Blinded, Prospective Study of Error Detection During Physician Chart Rounds in Radiation Oncology.

PURPOSE: Peer review during physician chart rounds is a major quality assurance and patient safety step in radiation oncology. However, the effectiveness of chart rounds in detecting problematic treatment plans is unknown. We performed a prospective blinded study of error detection at chart rounds to clarify the effectiveness of this quality assurance step. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Radiation Oncology Incident Learning System publications were queried for problematic plans approved for treatment that would be detectable at chart rounds. A resident physician, physicist, and dosimetrist collaboratively generated 20 treatment plans with simulated errors identical in nature to those reported to the Radiation Oncology Incident Learning System. These were inserted randomly into weekly chart rounds over 9 weeks, with a median of 2 problematic plans presented per chart rounds (range, 1-4). Data were collected on detection, attendance, length, and number of cases presented at chart rounds. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and univariable logistic regression with odds ratios. RESULTS: The median length of chart rounds over the study period was 60 minutes (range, 42-79); median number of cases presented per chart rounds was 45 (range, 38-50). The overall detection rate was 55% (11 of 20). Detection rates were higher for cases presented earlier in chart rounds: 75% versus 25% of problematic plans were detected within 30 minutes of start of chart rounds versus after 30 minutes (odds ratio, 0.11; 95% confidence interval, 0.01-0.88; P = .037). Detection rates showed a trend toward increase during the study period but this was not significant: 33% in weeks 1 to 5 and 73% during weeks 6 to 9 (5.3; 95% confidence interval, 0.78-36; P = .08). CONCLUSIONS: The detection of clinically significant problematic plans during chart rounds could be significantly improved. Problematic plans are more frequently detected earlier in chart rounds and inserting such plans into chart rounds may enhance detection; however, larger studies are needed to confirm these findings. A multi-institutional study is planned.