Gender aspects on heart failure incidence and mortality in a middle-aged, urban, community-based population sample: the Malmö preventive project.

UNLABELLED: There is little epidemiological data on heart failure (HF) in the younger age groups dominating clinical HF trials. We assessed gender-specific long-term HF incidence and mortality in an urban community-based sample of middle-aged subjects. Between 1974 and 1992, 33,342 HF-free subjects (10,900 [32.7%] women, mean age 45.7 +/- 7.4 years) were included in the Malmö Preventive Project, on average 21.7 +/- 4.3 years before study end. Patients hospitalised for or dying of HF were categorised as HF patients, and 120 (1.1%) women versus 644 (2.9%) men experienced HF: 6.0 vs. 12.3 cases per 10,000 person years; hazard ratio [HR] 0.61, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.50-0.74, P < 0.0001. Among all subjects, women compared with men had lower all-cause (49.3 vs. 84.0 cases per 10,000 person years; HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.64-0.73, P < 0.0001) and HF-related (2.6 vs. 7.4 cases per 10,000 person years; HR 0.50, 95% CI 0.37-0.67, P < 0.0001) mortality risk. Female and male HF patients had similar age-adjusted mortality risk: 1,314 vs. 1,602 cases per 10,000 patient years; HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.58-1.07, P = 0.12. Among HF patients, 55.3% of deaths in women and 40.6% in men were non-cardiovascular, and only 7.9% deaths were due to HF. IN CONCLUSION: In a middle-aged, urban, community-based sample, women had lower risk of HF, all-cause death and HF-related death over two decades of follow-up. Female and male HF patients had similar mortality risk after the diagnosis of HF. In these comparatively young HF patients, few deaths were due to HF and more than 4 out of 10 deaths were non-cardiovascular.

Gender aspects on survival among patients admitted to hospital with suspected or diagnosed heart failure.

OBJECTIVES AND DESIGN: There are conflicting data on gender differences in survival among heart failure (HF) patients. We prospectively assessed gender differences in survival among 930 consecutive patients (464 [49.9%] women, mean age 76.1+/-10.1 years), admitted to hospital with suspected or diagnosed HF. RESULTS: Overall, women had lower unadjusted mortality hazard ratio (HR) than men: HR 0.827; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.690-0.992; p=0.040. Adjusted HR was 0.786; 95% CI 0.601-1.028; p=0.079. Unadjusted mortality was significantly higher among patients with a discharge HF diagnosis, compared to those without: HR 1.330; 95% CI 1.107-1.597; p=0.002; adjusted p=0.289. Women and men with a discharge HF diagnosis had similar survival: unadjusted HR 1.052; 95% CI 0.829-1.336; p=0.674; adjusted HR 0.875; 95% CI 0.625-1.225; p=0.437. Women had lower mortality risk among patients without a discharge HF diagnosis: HR 0.630, 95% CI 0.476-0.833, p=0.001; adjusted HR 0.611, p=0.036. CONCLUSION: Prognosis was poor among patients hospitalised with suspected or diagnosed HF. Among all patients, women had better survival, whereas both sexes had similar survival when the HF diagnosis was certified.

Real-time perfusion adenosine stress echocardiography versus myocardial perfusion adenosine scintigraphy for the detection of myocardial ischaemia in patients with stable coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Real-time perfusion (RTP) contrast echocardiography using low mechanical index power modulation technique allows for simultaneous myocardial perfusion and wall motion analysis. RTP-adenosine stress echocardiography (ASE) could be an alternative to dobutamine-atropine stress echocardiography; more tolerable for the patients and possibly similarly accurate. We aimed to evaluate RTP-ASE for the detection of myocardial ischaemia, compared to 99mTc-sestamibi single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT). METHODS: Patients with suspected coronary artery disease, admitted to SPECT evaluation, were prospectively invited to participate. Patients underwent RTP imaging (SONOS 5500) using infusion of Sonovue (Bracco, Milano, Italy) before and during ASE. Two separate readers performed off-line analysis of myocardial perfusion and wall motion by RTP-ASE. A perfusion defect was the principal marker of ischaemia. Wall motion assessment was used to evaluate ischaemia in segments with perfusion artefacts. Each segment was attributed to one of the three main coronary vessel areas of interest: the left anterior descending (LAD); the left circumflex (LCx) and the right posterior descending (RPD). Normal SPECT at stress was judged normal at rest. RESULTS: In 33 patients, 99 coronary territories were analysed by SPECT and RTP-ASE. SPECT showed evidence of ischaemia in 9 of 33 patients. For the detection of ischaemia, the overall level of agreement between RTP-ASE and SPECT was 92% in all segments. The level of agreement was 88% in LAD, 97% in LCx and 91% in RPD segments. CONCLUSION: Real-time perfusion-adenosine stress echocardiography using power modulation could be an accurate and feasible tool for evaluation of ischaemia in patients with suspected coronary artery disease. The results from this study need confirmation by a study of a larger patient sample.

Comparison of the effects of losartan and enalapril on clinical status and exercise performance in patients with moderate or severe chronic heart failure.

OBJECTIVES: This study assessed the feasibility of an efficacy trial comparing angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibition and angiotensin II receptor antagonism in heart failure. Patients with moderate or severe heart failure whose condition had previously been stabilized by treatment with a converting enzyme inhibitor were randomly assigned to receive enalapril or losartan. The study was designed to detect any signs of clinical deterioration during double-blind treatment. BACKGROUND: Losartan is a specific, nonpeptide angiotensin II receptor-1 antagonist with a vasodilator hemodynamic profile similar to that of converting enzyme inhibitors. Although therapy with specific receptor blockade has certain theoretic advantages over nonspecific converting enzyme inhibition, demonstration of a comparable therapeutic effect in patients with congestive heart failure will require a major effort comparing two active agents. METHODS: One hundred sixty-six patients with stable heart failure in New York Heart Association functional class III or IV and an ejection fraction < or = 35% were included in a multicenter, double-blind, parallel, enalapril-controlled trial. After a 3-week stabilization period with optimal therapy, including digitalis, diuretic drugs and a converting enzyme inhibitor, patients were randomly assigned to 8 weeks of therapy with losartan, 25 mg/day (n = 52); losartan, 50 mg/day (n = 56); or enalapril, 20 mg/day (n = 58). Patients were assessed with frequent clinical and laboratory evaluation and exercise testing. RESULTS: No significant differences between groups in terms of changes in exercise capacity (6-min walk test), clinical status (dyspnea-fatigue index), neurohumoral activation (norepinephrine, N-terminal atrial natriuretic factor), laboratory evaluation or incidence of adverse experience were observed. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that losartan and enalapril are of comparable efficacy and tolerability in the short-term treatment of moderate or severe congestive heart failure. A trial designed to compare the efficacy, tolerability and effect on mortality of long-term angiotensin II receptor blockade with converting enzyme inhibition is both feasible and ethically responsible.

Non-compliance and knowledge of prescribed medication in elderly patients with heart failure.

AIMS: To determine the extent of non-compliance to prescribed medication in elderly patients with heart failure and to determine to what extent patients recall information given regarding their medication. METHODS AND RESULTS: Non-compliance and knowledge of prescribed medication was studied in 22 elderly heart failure patients [mean age 79 +/- 6 (range 70-97); 14 (64%) male], using in-depth interviews performed 30 days after having been prescribed medication. All patients received standardised verbal and written information regarding their medication. Only 12 (55%) patients could correctly name what medication had been prescribed, 11 (50%) were unable to state the prescribed doses and 14 (64%) could not account for when the medication was to be taken, i.e. at what time of day and when in relation to meals the medication was to be taken. In the overall assessment six (27%) patients were found non-compliant and 16 (73%) patients were considered as possibly being compliant with their prescribed medication. CONCLUSIONS: Non-compliance was common in elderly heart failure patients, as were shortcomings in patients knowledge regarding prescribed medication, despite efforts to give adequate information. There exists a need for alternative strategies to improve compliance in these patients.

Left ventricular atrioventricular plane displacement: an echocardiographic technique for rapid assessment of prognosis in heart failure.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the prognostic value of atrioventricular plane displacement in heart failure patients. DESIGN: Patients were followed prospectively for one year after atrioventricular plane displacement determination. SETTING: Malmö University Hospital, with a primary catchment area of 250,000 inhabitants. PATIENTS: 181 patients with a clinical diagnosis of heart failure; age 75.7 (SD 5.2) years, duration of heart failure 2.7 (5.7) years; 100 men, 81 women. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Mortality in relation to atrioventricular plane displacement. RESULTS: Total mortality was 22.7% (41/181), and was highly significantly (P = 0.001) related to atrioventricular plane displacement. Mortality within prospectively defined categories of displacement was: > or = 10.0 mm, 0% (0/19); 8.2 to 9.9 mm, 10.3% (3/29); 6.4 to 8.1 mm, 19.4% (12/62); and < 6.4 mm, 36.6% (26/71). The groups were similar in age, sex, angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor and beta blocker treatment, and cause and duration of heart failure. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality in heart failure is strongly related to atrioventricular plane displacement.

Cost effective management programme for heart failure reduces hospitalisation.

OBJECTIVE: To study the effects of a management programme on hospitalisation and health care costs one year after admission for heart failure. DESIGN: Prospective, randomised trial. SETTING: University hospital with a primary catchment area of 250,000 inhabitants. PATIENTS: 190 patients (aged 65-84 years, 52.3% men) hospitalised because of heart failure. INTERVENTION: Two types of patient management were compared. The intervention group received education on heart failure and self management, with follow up at an easy access, nurse directed outpatient clinic for one year after discharge. The control group was managed according to routine clinical practice. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Time to readmission, days in hospital, and health care costs during one year. RESULTS: The one year survival rate was 71.8% (n = 79) in the control group and 70.0% (n = 56) in the intervention group (NS). The mean time to readmission was longer in the intervention group than in the control group (141 (87) v 106 (101); p < 0.05) and number of days in hospital tended to be fewer (4.2 (7.8) v 8.2 (14.3); p = 0.07). There was a trend towards a mean annual reduction in health care costs per patient of US$1300 (US $1 = SEK 7.76) in the intervention group compared with costs in the controls (US$3594 v 2294; p = 0.07). CONCLUSIONS: A management programme for patients with heart failure discharged after hospitalisation reduces health care costs and the need for readmission.

Prognostic significance of changes in left ventricular systolic function in elderly patients with congestive heart failure.

BACKGROUND AND DESIGN: The prognostic significance of changes in left ventricular systolic function over time is unknown in elderly patients with heart failure. We prospectively examined the relation between 1-year changes in left ventricular systolic function by echocardiographic determination of atrioventricular plane displacement (AVPD), and subsequent 2-year mortality and morbidity in elderly patients with heart failure. AVPD determination allows for left ventricular function to be adequately assessed even when image quality is poor, as is common in the elderly. METHODS: AVPD was measured at baseline and 1 year in 123 patients with heart failure (age 76.0 +/- 5.4 years). An AVPD change of 1 mm or more (corresponding to an ejection fraction change of 0.05) was considered significant. RESULTS: AVPD decreased in 26 patients (21%), increased in 46 (37%), and was unchanged in 51 (42%). During a 2-year follow-up (from the 1-year examination) mortality, total hospitalizations, and hospitalizations for heart failure (35% of all hospitalizations) did not differ significantly between the three groups. Patients (n = 80) with AVPD of 8.2 mm or less (corresponding to left ventricular ejection fraction of 0.40 or less) at the 1-year examination demonstrated a higher mortality than patients with AVPD greater than 8.2 mm (43.8 versus 23.3%; P = 0.031), and also had more hospitalizations and days in hospital due to heart failure (1.0 +/- 1.5 versus 0.4 +/- 0.8, P = 0.020 and 10.4 +/- 15.6 versus 4.6 +/- 10.6, P = 0.033, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Left ventricular function was readily assessed in all patients by determination of AVPD. Our results indicate that single but not serial assessment of left ventricular systolic function by determination of AVPD is of value in assessing the prognosis in elderly patients with heart failure.

Left ventricular remodelling and dysfunction. Can the process be prevented?

Due to continuous remodelling myocardial dysfunction is a progressive condition. Even if the initial event is so mild that it causes no immediate cardiac dysfunction (e.g. a small myocardial infarction), the remodelling process is triggered. Although the remodelling process can be adaptive, the process becomes maladaptive when the stimuli are continuous and pathological. A similar remodelling process is seen in most primary myocardial disorders, suggesting common mechanisms for the development of heart failure. Although clinical heart failure may develop acutely, for example, after an acute myocardial infarction, the progressive changes in myocardial structure and deterioration of myocardial function can go on silently for a very long time and overt heart failure may develop several years after an initial insult, even if there are no further events. In order to fundamentally improve prognosis in cardiac failure it is necessary to identify patients with an ongoing remodelling process and to effectively counteract this process as early as possible.

Left atrioventricular plane displacement at rest is reduced in relation to severity of coronary artery disease irrespective of prior myocardial infarction.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether left atrioventricular plane displacement (AVPD) at rest was related to severity of coronary atherosclerosis. DESIGN AND PATIENTS: Global and regional left AVPD was evaluated by echocardiography in 159 consecutive patients with significant stenoses at coronary angiography and in 15 age-matched healthy controls. The setting was the University hospital with a primary catchment area of 250,000 inhabitants. RESULTS: Mean AVPD in controls, patients with one-, two-, and three-vessel disease was 13.5+/-1.1, 12.4+/-1.5, 11.3+/-2.2 and 10.9+/-2.1 mm, respectively (P<0.0001). Similar significant differences were found both in those with (n=69) and without (n=90) a diagnosis of prior myocardial infarction. Regional AVPD did not correspond to the localization of infarction or coronary atherosclerosis. CONCLUSION: Irrespective of a diagnosis of prior myocardial infarction, left AVPD was related to the degree and extent of coronary artery disease. It was significantly decreased compared to controls in patients with one-vessel disease, and was further decreased with increasing extent of coronary atherosclerosis. Determination of regional left AVPD could not be used to identify regions perfused by stenotic coronary arteries or regions affected by prior myocardial infarction.

Effects on quality of life, symptoms and daily activity 6 months after termination of an exercise training programme in heart failure patients.

BACKGROUND: Exercise training in heart failure patients improves exercise capacity, physical function, and quality-of-life. Prior studies indicate a rapid loss of these effects following termination of the training. We wanted to assess any sustained post-training effects on patients global assessment of change in quality-of-life (PGACQoL) and physical function. METHODS: Fifty-four stable heart failure patients were randomised to exercise or control. The 4-month exercise programme consisted of bicycle training at 80% of maximal intensity three times/week, and 49 patients completed the active study period. At 10 months (6 months post training) 37 patients were assessed regarding PGACQoL, habitual physical activity, and dyspnea-fatigue-index. RESULTS: Both post-training patients (n=17) and controls (n=20) deteriorated PGACQoL during the 6-month extended follow-up, although insignificantly. However, post-training patients improved PGACQoL slightly but significantly from baseline to 10 months (P=0.006), differing significantly (P=0.023) from controls who were unchanged. Regarding dyspnea-fatigue-index, post-training patients were largely unchanged and controls deteriorated insignificantly, during the extended follow-up as well as from baseline to 10 months. Both groups decreased physical activity insignificantly during the extended follow-up, and from baseline to 10 months post-training patients tended to decrease whereas controls significantly (P=0.007) decreased physical activity. CONCLUSION: There was no important sustained benefit 6 months after termination of an exercise training programme in heart failure patients. A small, probably clinically insignificant sustained improvement in PGACQoL was seen in post-training patients. Controls significantly decreased the habitual physical activity over 10 months and post-training patients showed a similar trend. Exercise training obviously has to be continuing to result in sustained benefit.

[Heart failure after myocardial infarction: diagnosis, treatment, prevention. Echocardiography should be a routine procedure in myocardial infarction]. / Hjartsvikt efter infarkt: diagnostik, behandling, förebyggande. Ekokardiografi bör bli rutin vid hjrtinfarkt.

Post-infarction prognosis is considerably impaired if left ventricular systolic dysfunction and/or symptomatic heart failure develops. As the symptoms of left ventricular dysfunction are often subtle or completely lacking, such patients can be identified only by objective evaluation of left ventricular function. However, as symptoms of heart failure may develop despite normal left ventricular function, objective evaluation of left ventricular function is also important in symptomatic patients, since prognosis is especially poor in the presence of systolic dysfunction. As echocardiography is the most suitable and accessible method in the context, also allowing assessment of cardiac dimensions and valvular function, its extended use in post-infarction patients is imperative. Left ventricular dysfunction should be prevented by adequate measures to limit the extent of infarction and prevent its recurrence. To improve prognosis, the use of ACE (angiotensin converting enzyme) inhibitors should be considered whenever left ventricular dysfunction is present, irrespective of symptomatology. Treatment with amiodarone has recently been shown to reduce mortality among patients with post-infarction heart failure, and should also be considered in such cases, especially if there is a need of antiarrhythmic therapy. Although beta-receptor blockers have well-documented beneficial effects in myocardial infarction, their effect on patients with latent or overt heart failure has not been specifically studied. The use of angiotensin II antagonists in patients with post-infarction heart failure or left ventricular dysfunction is currently under investigation.

Gender differences in variables related to B-natriuretic peptide, left ventricular ejection fraction and mass, and peak oxygen consumption, in patients with heart failure.

AIM AND METHODS: We assessed gender differences in variables related to B-natriuretic peptide (BNP), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), peak oxygen consumption (peak-VO2), and LV mass (LVM), among patients recently hospitalized for suspected heart failure (HF). RESULTS: Of 930 consecutive patients, 409 accepted follow-up after discharge, 221 of these had definite HF (90 women, mean age 74.5 [9.8]years). In 141 HF patients (61 women) with BNP data, women had lower BNP than men (43.9 [38.1] versus 76.3 [88.9]pmol/L, P=0.0193). LVEF (all HF patients) was higher in women (49.8 [13.4] versus 42.4 [13.9]%, P=0.0004). Peak-VO2 (147 HF patients, 48 women) was lower in women (13.9 [4.3] versus 16.3 [4.2]mL/kg/min, P=0.0093). LVM index (200 HF patients, 78 women) was lower in women (130.4 [46.5] versus 171.7 [57.6]g/m(2), P<0.0001). Among HF patients, variables independently related to BNP were body mass index (BMI) and peak-VO2 exclusively among men, mitral regurgitation, respiratory disease and angiotensin receptor blocker treatment only among women. Variables independently related to LVEF were resting heart rate, acetylic salicylic acid use and BNP exclusively among men. No variable was exclusive for women. Variables independently related to peak-VO2 were right ventricular size, BNP, resting and peak heart rate solely among men, BMI and stable angina pectoris exclusively among women. Variables independently related to LVM were left atrial diameter only among men, BMI exclusively among women. CONCLUSION: Among elderly HF patients, there were some important gender differences in BNP, LVEF, peak-VO2 and LVM, and in variables independently related to these factors.

Parametric quantification of myocardial ischaemia using real-time perfusion adenosine stress echocardiography images, with SPECT as reference method.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND: Real-time perfusion (RTP) adenosine stress echocardiography (ASE) can be used to visually evaluate myocardial ischaemia. The RTP power modulation technique, provides images for off-line parametric perfusion quantification using Qontrast software. From replenishment curves, this generates parametric images of peak signal intensity (A), myocardial blood flow velocity (beta) and myocardial blood flow (Axbeta) at rest and stress. This may be a tool for objective myocardial ischaemia evaluation. We assessed myocardial ischaemia by RTP-ASE Qontrast((R))-generated images, using 99mTc-tetrofosmin single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) as reference. METHODS: Sixty-seven patients admitted to SPECT underwent RTP-ASE (SONOS 5500) during Sonovue infusion, before and throughout adenosine stress, also used for SPECT. Quantitative off-line analyses of myocardial perfusion by RTP-ASE Qontrast-generated A, beta and Axbeta images, at different time points during rest and stress, were blindly compared to SPECT. RESULTS: We analysed 201 coronary territories [corresponding to the left anterior descendent (LAD), left circumflex (LCx) and right coronary (RCA) arteries] from 67 patients. SPECT showed ischaemia in 18 patients. Receiver operator characteristics and kappa values showed that A, beta and Axbeta image interpretation significantly identified ischaemia in all territories (area under the curve 0.66-0.80, P = 0.001-0.05). Combined A, beta and Axbeta image interpretation gave the best results and the closest agreement was seen in the LAD territory: 89% accuracy; kappa 0.63; P<0.001. CONCLUSION: Myocardial isachemia can be evaluated in the LAD territory using RTP-ASE Qontrast-generated images, especially by combined A, beta and Axbeta image interpretation. However, the technique needs improvements regarding the LCx and RCA territories.

Self-rated health and classical risk factors for coronary heart disease predict development of erectile dysfunction 25 years later.

AIM: To investigate the impact of classical coronary heart disease (CHD) risk factors on the development of future erectile dysfunction (ED). METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 830 randomly selected subjects were included. Baseline CHD risk factors were evaluated in relation to ED (evaluated by the International Index of Erectile Function-5 questionnaire) 25 years later. At follow-up, 499 men (60%) had some degree of ED. In age-adjusted logistic regression analysis, self-rated health [odds ratio (OR) 1.59, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.09-2.31], family history of CHD (OR 1.75, CI: 1.17-2.61), fasting blood glucose (OR 1.52, CI: 1.14-2.02), triglycerides (OR 1.25, CI: 1.01-1.54), systolic blood pressure (SBP) (OR 1.19, CI: 1.04-1.35), body mass index (OR 1.08, CI: 1.03-1.13) and serum glutamyl transferase (GT) (OR 1.81, CI: 1.23-2.68), predicted ED. Independent predictors were higher age, low self-rated health, higher blood glucose, higher GT and a family history of CHD. Higher SBP was borderline significantly independent (p=0.05). Furthermore, baseline age-adjusted Framingham risk score for CHD, also predicted future ED (OR 1.20, CI: 1.03-1.38). CONCLUSIONS: Our study supports and expands previous findings that ED and CHD share many risk factors, further underscoring the close link between ED and CHD. Men presenting with ED should be evaluated for the presence of other CHD risk factors.

Assessment of left ventricular dysfunction and remodeling by determination of atrioventricular plane displacement and simplified echocardiography.

Heart failure is a common disease characterised by poor prognosis and frequent hospitalisations, constituting a major economic burden to society. Mortality and morbidity can be reduced by optimal treatment, requiring objective evaluation of cardiac function and anatomy. The development of symptomatic HF can be prevented by initiating adequate treatment in early stages when LVD is still asymptomatic. Asymptomatic patients can be identified only by screening for LVD among patients at risk of developing HF, such as those with IHD, HT, and diabetes. However, there is a severe lack of resources to assess cardiac function and anatomy in all patients at risk. Consequently, many patients with latent HF will remain undetected, and in patients with symptomatic HF treatment will not be optimal. Simplified echocardiography, a 5-minute echocardiogram based on visual estimation of cardiac function and anatomy, is an inexpensive and accurate method for diagnosis and screening for latent and symptomatic HF. The long axis shortening of the LV is related to LV function and can be measured by AVPD. Determination of left AVPD is a reliable, reproducible, readily mastered, quickly performed and, therefore, inexpensive method that can be used in almost all patients for evaluation of LV function, as well as for prognostication in HF. Left AVPD reflects both systolic and diastolic LV function. Simplified echocardiography is useful for screening of asymptomatic patients at risk of developing HF, and for routine diagnostic purposes in patients with symptoms suggestive of HF. In patients with LVSD, simplified echocardiography may be combined with a determination of left AVPD for prognostication and for optimal detection of changes in LV function over time.

Statistical significance versus clinical relevance in cardiovascular medicine.

Evidence-based medicine is the foundation of everyday clinical practices and large clinical trials investigating the effects of various interventions on morbidity and survival and generally provide the most robust evidence. Cardiovascular medicine is considered one of the most evidence-based disciplines of medicine. However, there are a number of limitations to the general applicability of clinical trial results in cardiovascular medicine. Although generally useful to the clinician, clinical trials have often been suboptimally designed from 1 or several points of view. As a consequence of flaws in the design and the execution of the trials, statistical significance is quite often not equal to clinical relevance. This article outlines some of the shortcomings of designing and carrying out clinical trials, as well as inadequacies concerning the publication, interpretation, and implementation of the trial results. Evidence-based medicine is obviously not always as solid as one might think.

Left atrioventricular plane displacement determined by echocardiography: a clinically useful, independent predictor of mortality in patients with stable coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Echocardiographically determined left atrioventricular plane displacement (AVPD) is strongly related to prognosis in patients with chronic heart failure and in postmyocardial infarction patients. We aimed at exploring whether AVPD, unlike ejection fraction, is related to mortality in patients with stable coronary artery disease (CAD). METHODS AND RESULTS: Atrioventricular plane displacement was assessed by two dimensionally guided M-mode echocardiography in the four and two chamber views, in 333 consecutive patients with stable CAD and an abnormal coronary angiogram. Patients were followed up for an average of 41 months. AVPD was lower in patients who died (n= 30, 9.0 %) compared with survivors (9.0 +/- 2.2 vs. 11.5 +/- 2.1 mm, P<0.0001). Amongst patients with prior myocardial infarction (n=184) AVPD was 8.7 +/- 2.3 mm in those who died (n=17) and 11.2 +/- 2.3 mm in the survivors (P<0.0001). In patients without prior myocardial infarction (n=149), AVPD was 9.4 +/- 2.1 (n=13) and 11.8 +/- 1.8 mm, respectively (P<0.0001). Age, AVPD and four other echocardiographical variables correlated significantly with prognosis in univariate logistic regression analysis. In multiple logistic regression analysis only AVPD (P<0.0001) correlated independently with mortality. CONCLUSION: Echocardiographically determined AVPDis a clinically useful, independent prognostic tool in patients with stable CAD. The presence of a documented previous myocardial infarction does not influence this observation.