PNPLA3 rs738409, age, diabetes, sex, and advanced fibrosis jointly contribute to the risk of major adverse liver outcomes in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing protein 3 ( PNPLA3 ) rs738409 variant is associated with steatotic liver disease and its progression. We examined the association between PNPLA3 and the development of major adverse liver outcomes (MALOs) and how nonmodifiable and modifiable conditions modify this relationship. APPROACH AND RESULTS: A total of 2075 adults with biopsy-confirmed metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) were enrolled in the metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis Clinical Research Network (MASH CRN) studies and followed prospectively until death, transplant, or withdrawal of consent. One hundred four MALOs were recorded during an average of 4.3 years. PNPLA3 G-allele (Adj. sub-hazard ratio (sHR): 1.4, 95% CI: 1.07-1.8), advanced fibrosis (AF) (Adj. sHR: 7.8, 95% CI: 4.4-13.8), age >60 years (Adj. sHR: 2.9, 95% CI: 1.3-6.8), and type 2 diabetes mellitus (Adj. sHR: 2.8, 95% CI: 1.8-4.2) were associated with MALO. Among participants with AF, those carrying the G-allele displayed the highest cumulative incidence of MALO (85%) versus noncarriers (53%), p =0.03, and p -value for interaction <0.01. The strength of the association between PNPLA3 and MALO was statistically significantly greater among older than 60 years (sHR: 2.1, 95% CI: 1.5-2.8), women (sHR: 1.4, 95% CI: 1.1-1.9), and those with AF (sHR: 1.9, 95% CI: 1.5-2.4) or type 2 diabetes mellitus (sHR: 2.1, 95% CI: 1.5-2.8) as compared with their counterparts, p -value for interaction between PNPLA3 and each factor<0.01. CONCLUSIONS: The deleterious effects of PNPLA3 rs738409 on the risk of MALO are significantly worsened by AF, age, type 2 diabetes mellitus, and sex.

Liver stiffness progression in biopsy-proven metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic disease among people with diabetes versus people without diabetes: A prospective multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: There are limited data on the progression of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) in people with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) versus those without T2DM in biopsy-proven metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). We examined LSM progression in participants with T2DM versus those without T2DM in a large, prospective, multicenter cohort study. APPROACH AND RESULTS: This study included 1,231 adult participants (62% female) with biopsy-proven MASLD who had VCTEs at least one year apart. LSM progression and regression were defined by a ≥ 20% increase and an upward or downward change, respectively, in the LSM category in the Baveno VII categories for compensated advanced chronic liver disease, compared between participants with T2DM (n=680) versus no T2DM (n=551) at baseline. The mean (±SD) age and BMI were 51.8 (±12.0) years and 34.0 (±6.5) kg/m2, respectively. The median (IQR) time between the first and last VCTE measurements was 4.1(2.5-6.5) years. Participants with T2DM had higher LSM progression at 4-years (12% vs. 10%), 6-years (23% vs. 16%), and 8-years (50% vs. 39%), p=0.04. Using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for multiple confounders, the presence of T2DM remained an independent predictor of LSM progression (adjusted HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.01-1.81, p=0.04). T2DM was not associated with LSM regression (p=0.71). Mean HbA1c was significantly associated with LSM progression (p=0.003) and regression (p=0.02). CONCLUSION: Utilizing serial VCTE data from a multicenter study of participants with biopsy-proven MASLD, we demonstrate that T2DM and HbA1c are associated with LSM progression.

Increases and decreases in liver stiffness measurement are independently associated with the risk of liver-related events in NAFLD.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The clinical significance of change in liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is not well-understood. We prospectively defined rates of progression to and regression from LSM-defined compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) and their associations with liver-related events (LREs). METHODS: Participants in the NASH Clinical Research Network-led NAFLD Database 2 and 3 studies were included. Progression to cACLD was defined as reaching LSM ≥10 kPa in participants with LSM <10 kPa on initial VCTE; regression from cACLD was defined as reaching LSM <10 kPa in participants with baseline LSM ≥10 kPa. LREs were defined as liver-related death, liver transplant, hepatocellular carcinoma, MELD >15, development of varices, or hepatic decompensation. Univariate and multivariable interval-censored Cox regression analyses were used to compare the cumulative LRE probability by LSM progression and regression status. RESULTS: In 1,403 participants, 89 LREs developed over a mean follow-up of 4.4 years, with an annual incidence rate for LREs of 1.5 (95% CI 1.2-1.8). In participants at risk, progression to LSM ≥10 or ≥15 kPa occurred in 29% and 17%, respectively, whereas regression to LSM <10 or <15 kPa occurred in 44% and 49%, respectively. Progressors to cACLD (≥10 kPa) experienced a higher cumulative LRE rate vs. non-progressors (16% vs. 4%, adjusted hazard ratio 4.0; 95% (1.8-8.9); p <0.01). Regressors from cACLD (to LSM <10 kPa) experienced a lower LRE rate than non-regressors (7% vs. 32%, adjusted hazard ratio 0.25; 95% CI 0.10-0.61; p <0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Change in LSM over time is independently and bi-directionally associated with risk of LRE and is a non-invasive surrogate for clinical outcomes in patients with NAFLD. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: The prognostic value of change in LSM in patients with NAFLD is not well understood. In this large prospective study of patients with NAFLD and serial vibration-controlled transient elastography exams, baseline and dynamic changes in LSM were associated with the risk of developing liver-related events. LSM is a useful non-invasive surrogate of clinical outcomes in patients with NAFLD.

Prospective Study of Outcomes in Adults with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND: The prognoses with respect to mortality and hepatic and nonhepatic outcomes across the histologic spectrum of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are not well defined. METHODS: We prospectively followed a multicenter patient population that included the full histologic spectrum of NAFLD. The incidences of death and other outcomes were compared across baseline histologic characteristics. RESULTS: A total of 1773 adults with NAFLD were followed for a median of 4 years. All-cause mortality increased with increasing fibrosis stages (0.32 deaths per 100 person-years for stage F0 to F2 [no, mild, or moderate fibrosis], 0.89 deaths per 100 persons-years for stage F3 [bridging fibrosis], and 1.76 deaths per 100 person-years for stage F4 [cirrhosis]). The incidence of liver-related complications per 100 person-years increased with fibrosis stage (F0 to F2 vs. F3 vs. F4) as follows: variceal hemorrhage (0.00 vs. 0.06 vs. 0.70), ascites (0.04 vs. 0.52 vs. 1.20), encephalopathy (0.02 vs. 0.75 vs. 2.39), and hepatocellular cancer (0.04 vs. 0.34 vs. 0.14). As compared with patients with stage F0 to F2 fibrosis, patients with stage F4 fibrosis also had a higher incidence of type 2 diabetes (7.53 vs. 4.45 events per 100 person-years) and a decrease of more than 40% in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (2.98 vs. 0.97 events per 100 person-years). The incidence of cardiac events and nonhepatic cancers were similar across fibrosis stages. After adjustment for age, sex, race, diabetes status, and baseline histologic severity, the incidence of any hepatic decompensation event (variceal hemorrhage, ascites, or encephalopathy) was associated with increased all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 6.8; 95% confidence interval, 2.2 to 21.3). CONCLUSIONS: In this prospective study involving patients with NAFLD, fibrosis stages F3 and F4 were associated with increased risks of liver-related complications and death. (Funded by the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases and others; NAFLD DB2 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01030484.).

Antimullerian Hormone, a Marker of Ovarian Reserve, Is Protective Against Presence and Severity of NASH in Premenopausal Women.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Antimüllerian hormone (AMH) is a marker of ovarian reserve with emerging data linking lower levels to some metabolic and inflammatory diseases in women. Whether AMH levels influence nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is unknown. METHODS: Leveraging the NASH Clinical Research Network we determined the association of AMH levels within 6 months of liver biopsy with presence and severity of histologic measures of NAFLD in premenopausal women. Outcomes included presence of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), presence and severity of fibrosis, and NAFLD Activity Score and its components. Logistic and ordinal logistic regression models were adjusted for age, race/ethnicity, homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance, body mass index, dyslipidemia, polycystic ovary syndrome, estrogen-progestin use, and menstrual cyclicity. RESULTS: Median cohort age was 35 years; 73% were white and 24% Hispanic. Thirty-three percent had diabetes, 81% had obesity, and 95% had dyslipidemia. On biopsy 71% had NASH, 68% had any fibrosis, and 15% had advanced fibrosis. On adjusted analysis (n = 205), higher AMH quartiles were inversely associated with NAFLD histology including prevalent NASH (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 0.64; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.41-1.00), NAFLD Activity Score ≥5 (AOR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.35-0.77), Mallory hyaline (AOR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.35-0.82), and higher fibrosis stage (AOR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.51-0.98). The protective effects of AMH were more pronounced among women without polycystic ovary syndrome (n = 164), including lower odds of NASH (AOR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.32-0.90) and any NASH fibrosis (AOR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.32-0.93). CONCLUSIONS: AMH may reflect a unique biomarker of NASH in premenopausal women and findings suggest a novel link between reproductive aging and histologic severity of NAFLD in women.

Age, BMI, and Type 2 Diabetes Modify the Relationship Between PNPLA3 and Advanced Fibrosis in Children and Adults With NAFLD.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: PNPLA3 G-allele is an important determinant of disease severity in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Here, we investigated the effect of age, body mass index (BMI), and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) on the relationship between PNPLA3 G-allele and advanced fibrosis in adults and children with histologically characterized NAFLD. METHODS: A total of 1047 children and 2057 adults were included. DNA was genotyped for rs738409 in duplicate. Primary outcome of interest was advanced fibrosis (fibrosis stage ≥3). Regression analyses were performed after controlling for relevant covariates. An additive model was used to assess the effect of PNPLA3 G-allele (CC vs CG vs GG). RESULTS: PNPLA3 G-allele was significantly associated with advanced fibrosis in children (odds ratio [OR], 1.55; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.16-2.09) and adults (OR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.16-1.54). Across the cohort, older age significantly increased the risk for advanced fibrosis for PNPLA3 CC (OR, 1.019; 95% CI, 1.013-1.026), CG (OR, 1.024; 95% CI, 1.018-1.030), and GG (OR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.023-1.037) genotypes. BMI significantly increased the relationship between PNPLA3 genotypes and advanced fibrosis in children and adults. A BMI of 30 kg/m2 was the cutoff beyond which PNPLA3 G-allele had exponential effect on the risk for advanced fibrosis in children and adults. T2DM significantly worsened the relationship between PNPLA3 G-allele and advanced fibrosis in children and adults (interaction P < .01 for both). CONCLUSIONS: Age, BMI, and T2DM modify the risk of advanced fibrosis associated with PNPLA3 G-allele. Preventing or reversing T2DM and obesity in persons carrying PNPLA3 G-allele may lower the risk for advanced fibrosis in NAFLD.

Fibrosis Progression Rate in Biopsy-Proven Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Among People With Diabetes Versus People Without Diabetes: A Multicenter Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: There are limited data regarding fibrosis progression in biopsy-proven nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in people with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) compared with people without T2DM. We assessed the time to fibrosis progression in people with T2DM compared with people without T2DM in a large, multicenter, study of people with NAFLD who had paired liver biopsies. METHODS: This study included 447 adult participants (64% were female) with NAFLD who had paired liver biopsies more than 1 year apart. Liver histology was systematically assessed by a central pathology committee blinded to clinical data. The primary outcome was the cumulative incidence of a ≥1-stage increase in fibrosis in participants with T2DM compared with participants without T2DM. RESULTS: The mean (SD) age and body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters) were 50.9 (11.5) years and 34.7 (6.3), respectively. The median time between biopsies was 3.3 years (interquartile range, 1.8-6.1 years). Participants with T2DM had a significantly higher cumulative incidence of fibrosis progression at 4 years (24% vs 20%), 8 years (60% vs 50%), and 12 years (93% vs 76%) (P = .005). Using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for multiple confounders, T2DM remained an independent predictor of fibrosis progression (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.17-2.43; P = .005). The cumulative incidence of fibrosis regression by ≥1 stage was similar in participants with T2DM compared with participants without T2DM (P = .24). CONCLUSIONS: In this large, multicenter cohort study of well-characterized participants with NAFLD and paired liver biopsies, we found that fibrosis progressed faster in participants with T2DM compared with participants without T2DM. These data have important implications for clinical practice and trial design.

Effects of Food Insecurity on Hepatic Steatosis and Fibrosis in People With HIV.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Food insecurity (FI) is a risk factor for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and advanced fibrosis in the general population, but its impact on liver disease in people with HIV (PWH) is unknown. METHODS: We examined the association of FI with prevalence of NAFLD and fibrosis in a diverse cohort of PWH. PWH aged ≥ 18 years on antiretroviral therapy, HIV RNA <200 copies/mL, and without other known liver diseases were screened for NAFLD (controlled attenuated parameter ≥263 decibels/meter) and advanced fibrosis (liver stiffness measurement ≥11 kilopascals) by vibration controlled transient elastography at 8 U.S. CENTERS: Participants were categorized as food insecure using the Six-Item Short Form Household Food Security Survey. We used multivariable logistic regression to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of NAFLD and advanced fibrosis by FI status. RESULTS: Among 654 PWH, NAFLD was present in 348 (53%) and advanced fibrosis in 41 (6%). FI was present in 203 of participants (31%), including 97/348 with NAFLD (28%) and 18/41 with advanced fibrosis (44%). In multivariable analysis, FI was associated with lower odds of NAFLD (OR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.37-0.88) and a greater, but nonsignificant, odds of advanced fibrosis (OR, 1.38; 95% CI, 0.65-2.90). We identified a significant interaction between FI and diabetes (P = .02) on fibrosis risk, with greater odds of fibrosis among food insecure PWH and diabetes (OR, 3.83; 95% CI, 1.15-12.73) but not among food insecure nondiabetics (OR, 1.12; 95% CI, 0.47-2.98). CONCLUSIONS: FI is highly prevalent among PWH and associated with lower odds of NAFLD, and among PWH with diabetes, there is greater odds of advanced fibrosis. FI may contribute to hepatic fibrosis through mechanisms other than steatosis in PWH.

Non-Hispanic Black Persons With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Have Lower Rates of Advanced Fibrosis, Cirrhosis, and Liver-Related Events Even After Controlling for Clinical Risk Factors and PNPLA3 Genotype.

INTRODUCTION: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is less frequent in non-Hispanic persons (NHB), but there are knowledge gaps in our understanding of disease severity and outcomes of NAFLD in NHB. We compared liver histology and clinical outcomes of NAFLD in non-Hispanic Black persons (NHB) and non-Hispanic White persons (NHW). METHODS: We compared liver histology and outcomes of 109 NHB and 1,910 NHW adults with biopsy-proven NAFLD participating in the Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Clinical Research Network observational studies. The relationship between self-reported NHB race/ethnicity and advanced fibrosis was assessed through multivariable logistic regression after controlling for clinical covariates and PNPLA3 genotype. RESULTS: NHB and NHW with NAFLD had similar NAFLD activity scores (NAS, 4.4 vs 4.3, P = 0.87) and proportions with definite metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (59% vs 58%, P = 1.0), but NHB had significantly lower rates of advanced fibrosis (22% vs 34%, P = 0.01) or cirrhosis (4.6% vs 12.1%, P = 0.010). Compared with NHW, NHB had significantly lower frequency of advanced fibrosis (Odds Ratio: 0.48, 95% Confidence Interval: 27-0.86, P = 0.01). In a comparison between 24 NHB and 655 NHW with advanced fibrosis, the NAS (5.6 vs 4.9, P = 0.01) and lobular inflammation grade (2.2 vs 1.7, P < 0.002) were significantly higher among NHB with advanced fibrosis. One NHB and 23 NHW died during follow-up (0.30 vs 0.28 per 100 person-year follow-up). Seven and zero liver-related deaths occurred in NHW and NHB with NAFLD, respectively. DISCUSSION: The risk of advanced fibrosis in NHB with NAFLD is significantly lower, after controlling for clinical risk factors and PNPLA3 genotype. Although their risk of advanced fibrosis was low, NHB with NAFLD and advanced fibrosis had higher NAS and lobular inflammation, indicating a difference in their relationship between necroinflammation and fibrosis.

Diagnostic Ability of Simple Noninvasive Blood Tests to Predict Increased Liver Stiffness in People Living With HIV and Steatotic Liver Disease.

INTRODUCTION: Steatotic liver disease is common in people with HIV (PWH). Identifying those with advanced fibrosis (AF, bridging fibrosis or cirrhosis), F3-4, is important. We aimed to examine the performance of FIB-4 and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) fibrosis score (NFS) in PWH to identify those with AF assessed by liver stiffness measurement (LSM). METHODS: We prospectively collected data on adults participating in 2 National Institute of Health-sponsored HIV NAFLD networks. All had HIV on antiretroviral therapy (ART) ≥6 months with HIV RNA <200 copies/mL. Those with viral hepatitis, other liver disease, excessive alcohol use, or hepatic decompensation were excluded. Vibration-controlled transient elastrography for LSM was performed, and AF defined as ≥11 kPa was compared with FIB-4 and NFS at predefined thresholds (<1.3 and >2.67 for FIB-4 and <-1.455 and >0.675 for NFS). RESULTS: A total of 1,065 participants were analyzed: mean age 51.6 years, 74% male, 28% White, 46% Black, 22% Hispanic, with 34% overweight (body mass index 25-29 kg/m 2 ) and 43% obese (body mass index ≥30 kg/m 2 ). Features of the metabolic syndrome were common: hyperlipidemia 35%, type 2 diabetes 17%, and hypertension 48%. The median CD4 + T-cell count was 666 cells/mm 3 , 74% had undetectable HIV RNA, and duration of HIV-1 was 17 years with most taking a nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (92%) and an integrase inhibitor (83%). The mean LSM was 6.3 kPa, and 6.3% had AF. The area under the receiver characteristic curve for FIB-4 and NFS to identify AF were 0.70 and 0.75, respectively. While both had high negative predictive values (97%-98%), the sensitivity at low thresholds and specificity at high thresholds were 64% and 97% for FIB-4 and 80% and 96% for NFS, respectively. Neither FIB-4 nor NFS at either threshold had good positive predictive value to detect AF. DISCUSSION: FIB-4 and NFS have excellent specificity and negative predictive value for detecting AF, and thus can be used as screening tools in PWH to exclude those with AF who do not need further testing (LSM) or referral to hepatologist.

Development of Fibro-PeN, a clinical prediction model for moderate-to-severe fibrosis in children with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Liver fibrosis is common in children with NAFLD and is an important determinant of outcomes. High-performing noninvasive models to assess fibrosis in children are needed. The objectives of this study were to evaluate the performance of existing pediatric and adult fibrosis prediction models and to develop a clinical prediction rule for identifying moderate-to-severe fibrosis in children with NAFLD. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We enrolled children with biopsy-proven NAFLD in the Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Clinical Research Network within 90 days of liver biopsy. We staged liver fibrosis in consensus using the Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Clinical Research Network scoring system. We evaluated existing pediatric and adult models for fibrosis and developed a new pediatric model using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator with linear and spline terms for discriminating moderate-to-severe fibrosis from none or mild fibrosis. The model was internally validated with 10-fold cross-validation. We evaluated 1055 children with NAFLD, of whom 26% had moderate-to-severe fibrosis. Existing models performed poorly in classifying fibrosis in children, with area under the receiver operator curves (AUC) ranging from 0.57 to 0.64. In contrast, our new model, fibrosis in pediatric NAFLD was derived from fourteen common clinical variables and had an AUC of 0.79 (95% CI: 0.77-0.81) with 72% sensitivity and 76% specificity for identifying moderate-to-severe fibrosis. CONCLUSION: Existing fibrosis prediction models have limited clinical utility in children with NAFLD. Fibrosis in pediatric NAFLD offers improved performance characteristics for risk stratification by identifying moderate-to-severe fibrosis in children with NAFLD.

Sex differences in patellar facet shape among healthy and osteoarthritic cohorts.

OBJECTIVE: Patellofemoral osteoarthritis (OA) may be more common in females than males. Reasons for this are not fully understood, but sex differences in patellar morphology may help explain this phenomenon. We quantified differences in patellar morphology between males and females in healthy and patellofemoral OA populations. DESIGN: A total of 97 (50F, 47M) healthy and 67 (40F, 27M) OA knees were scanned via computed tomography. OA individuals were on a waitlist for total knee replacement. Patella 3D models were segmented and 2D measurements were recorded: patellar width and height, lateral and medial facet width, and surface area. Medial and lateral facet surface topography was mapped using 81 points to describe 3D articular surface shape. Sex and group differences were assessed using Procrustes analysis of variance (ANOVA). Data were ordinated using Principal Component Analysis. RESULTS: Differences in patellar 2D measurements between healthy and OA individuals were smaller than were differences between males and females from healthy and OA groups. Sex and healthy/OA differences were most pronounced for medial facet shape, which featured a posteriorly-curving facet and taller, narrower facet shape in males compared to females. Lateral facet shape variance was higher in OA cohorts compared to healthy groups. CONCLUSIONS: Medial and lateral facet shapes showed different patterning of variation by sex and healthy/OA status. Lateral facet shape may be of interest in future models of OA risk in the patellofemoral joint, here showing increased magnitudes of variance associated with increased severity of disease (patellofemoral Kellgren and Lawrence score).

What's luck got to do with it? A generative model for examining the role of stochasticity in age-at-death, with implications for bioarchaeology.

INTRODUCTION: The role of "luck" in determining individual exposure to health insults is a critical component of the processes that shape age-at-death distributions in mortality samples but is difficult to address using traditional bioarcheological analysis of skeletal materials. The present study introduces a computer simulation approach to modeling stochasticity's contribution to the mortality schedule of a simulated cohort. METHODS: The present study employs an agent-based model of 15,100 individuals across a 120 year period to examine the predictive value of birth frailty on age-at-death when varying the likelihood of exposure to health insults. RESULTS: Birth frailty, when accounting for varying exposure likelihood scenarios, was found to account for 18.7% of the observed variation in individual age-at-death. Analysis stratified by exposure likelihood demonstrated that birth frailty alone explains 10.2%-12.1% of the variation observed across exposure likelihood scenarios, with the stochasticity associated with exposure to health insults (i.e., severity of health insult) and mortality likelihood driving the majority of variation observed. CONCLUSIONS: Stochasticity of stressor exposure and intrinsic stressor severity are underappreciated but powerful drivers of mortality in this simulation. This study demonstrates the potential value of simulation modeling for bioarchaeological research.

Relationships among intragastric meal distribution during gastric emptying scintigraphy, water consumption during water load satiety testing, and symptoms of gastroparesis.

Gastric emptying scintigraphy (GES) measures total gastric retention after a solid meal and can assess intragastric meal distribution (IMD). Water load satiety test (WLST) measures gastric capacity. Both IMD immediately after meal ingestion [ratio of proximal gastric counts after meal ingestion to total gastric counts at time 0 (IMD0)] and WLST (volume of water ingested over 5 min) are indirect measures of gastric accommodation. In this study, IMD0 and WLST were compared with each other and to symptoms of gastroparesis to gauge their clinical utility for assessing patients with symptoms of gastroparesis. Patients with symptoms of gastroparesis underwent GES to obtain gastric retention and IMD0, WLST, and filled out patient assessment of upper GI symptoms. A total of 234 patients with symptoms of gastroparesis were assessed (86 patients with diabetes, 130 idiopathic, 18 postfundoplication) and 175 (75%) delayed gastric emptying. Low IMD0 <0.568 suggesting initial rapid transit to the distal stomach was present in 8% and correlated with lower gastric retention, less heartburn, and lower volumes consumed during WLST. Low WLST volume (<238 mL) was present in 20% and associated with increased severity of early satiety, postprandial fullness, loss of appetite, and nausea. Low IMD0 is associated with less gastric retention and less heartburn. Volume of water consumed during WLST, while associated with IMD0, has associations with early satiety, postprandial fullness, loss of appetite, and nausea. Thus, IMD0 and WLST appear to overlap somewhat in their assessment of gastric physiology in adults with symptoms of gastroparesis but relate to different dyspeptic symptoms.NEW & NOTEWORTHY IMD0 and WLST were assessed for their clinical utility in assessing patients with symptoms of gastroparesis. Low IMD0 is associated with less gastric retention and less heartburn. Volume of water consumed during WLST, while associated with IMD0, has associations with early satiety, postprandial fullness, loss of appetite, and nausea. IMD0 and WLST appear to overlap somewhat in their assessment of gastric physiology in adults with symptoms of gastroparesis but relate to different dyspeptic symptoms.

Incidence of Type 2 Diabetes in Children With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a growing problem in children. Children with NAFLD are at potentially high risk for developing T2D; however, the incidence of T2D in this population is unknown. This study aimed to determine the incidence of T2D in children with NAFLD and identify associated risk factors. METHODS: Children with NAFLD enrolled in the Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Clinical Research Network were followed longitudinally. Incidence of T2D was determined by using clinical history and fasting laboratory values. Cumulative incidence curves were developed for time to T2D. A Cox regression multivariable model was constructed using best subsets Akaike's Information Criteria selection. RESULTS: This study included 892 children with NAFLD and with a mean age of 12.8 years (2.7) followed for 3.8 years (2.3) with a total 3234 person-years at risk. The incidence rate of T2D was 3000 new cases per 100,000 person-years at risk. At baseline, 63 children had T2D, and during follow-up, an additional 97 children developed incident T2D, resulting in a period prevalence of 16.8%. Incident T2D was significantly higher in females versus males (hazard ratio [HR], 1.8 [1.0-2.8]), associated with BMI z-score (HR, 1.8 [1.0-3.0]), and more severe liver histology including steatosis grade (HR, 1.3 [1.0-1.7]), and fibrosis stage (HR, 1.3 [1.0-1.5]). CONCLUSIONS: Children with NAFLD are at high risk for existing and incident T2D. In addition to known risk factors for T2D (female and BMI z-score), severity of liver histology at the time of NAFLD diagnosis was independently associated with T2D development. Targeted strategies to prevent T2D in children with NAFLD are needed.

Shared reproductive disruption, not neural crest or tameness, explains the domestication syndrome.

Altered neural crest cell (NCC) behaviour is an increasingly cited explanation for the domestication syndrome in animals. However, recent authors have questioned this explanation, while others cast doubt on whether domestication syndrome even exists. Here, we review published literature concerning this syndrome and the NCC hypothesis, together with recent critiques of both. We synthesize these contributions and propose a novel interpretation, arguing shared trait changes under ancient domestication resulted primarily from shared disruption of wild reproductive regimes. We detail four primary selective pathways for 'reproductive disruption' under domestication and contrast these succinct and demonstrable mechanisms with cryptic genetic associations posited by the NCC hypothesis. In support of our perspective, we illustrate numerous important ways in which NCCs contribute to vertebrate reproductive phenotypes, and argue it is not surprising that features derived from these cells would be coincidentally altered under major selective regime changes, as occur in domestication. We then illustrate several pertinent examples of Darwin's 'unconscious selection' in action, and compare applied selection and phenotypic responses in each case. Lastly, we explore the ramifications of reproductive disruption for wider evolutionary discourse, including links to wild 'self-domestication' and 'island effect', and discuss outstanding questions.

PNPLA3 rs738409 and risk of fibrosis in NAFLD: Exploring mediation pathways through intermediate histological features.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: It is unclear whether rs738409 (p.I148M) missense variant in patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing 3 rs738409 promotes fibrosis development by triggering specific fibrogenic pathways or by creating an unfavorable microenvironment by promoting steatosis, inflammation, and ultimately fibrosis. We tested the hypothesis that intermediate histologic traits, including steatosis, lobular and portal inflammation, and ballooning may determine the effect of rs738409 on liver fibrosis among individuals with biopsy-proven NAFLD. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Causal mediation models including multiple mediators in parallel or sequentially were performed to examine the effect of rs738409, by decomposing its total effect on fibrosis severity into direct and indirect effects, mediated by histology traits in 1153 non-Hispanic White patients. Total effect of rs738409 on fibrosis was ß = 0.19 (95% CI: 0.09-0.29). The direct effect of rs738409 on fibrosis after removing mediators' effects was ß = 0.09 (95% CI: 0.01-0.17) and the indirect effect of rs738409 on fibrosis through all mediators' effects were ß = 0.010 (95% CI: 0.04-0.15). Among all mediators, the greatest estimated effect size was displayed by portal inflammation (ß = 0.09, 95% CI: 0.05-0.12). Among different sequential combinations of histology traits, the path including lobular inflammation followed by ballooning degeneration displayed the most significant indirect effect (ß = 0.023, 95% CI: 0.011-0.037). Mediation analysis in a separate group of 404 individuals with biopsy-proven NAFLD from other races and ethnicity showed similar results. CONCLUSIONS: In NAFLD, nearly half of the total effect of the rs738409 G allele on fibrosis severity could be explained by a direct pathway, suggesting that rs738409 may promote fibrosis development by activating specific fibrogenic pathways. A large proportion of the indirect effect of rs738409 on fibrosis severity is mediated through portal inflammation.

Randomized placebo-controlled trial of losartan for pediatric NAFLD.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: To date, no pharmacotherapy exists for pediatric NAFLD. Losartan, an angiotensin II receptor blocker, has been proposed as a treatment due to its antifibrotic effects. APPROACH AND RESULTS: The Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Clinical Research Network conducted a multicenter, double-masked, placebo-controlled, randomized clinical trial in children with histologically confirmed NAFLD at 10 sites (September 2018 to April 2020). Inclusion criteria were age 8-17 years, histologic NAFLD activity score ≥ 3, and serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ≥ 50 U/l. Children received 100 mg of losartan or placebo orally once daily for 24 weeks. The primary outcome was change in ALT levels from baseline to 24 weeks, and the preset sample size was n = 110. Treatment effects were assessed using linear regression of change in treatment group adjusted for baseline value. Eighty-three participants (81% male, 80% Hispanic) were randomized to losartan (n = 43) or placebo (n = 40). During an enrollment pause, necessitated by the 2019 coronavirus pandemic, an unplanned interim analysis showed low probability (7%) of significant group difference. The Data and Safety Monitoring Board recommended early study termination. Baseline characteristics were similar between groups. The 24-week change in ALT did not differ significantly between losartan versus placebo groups (adjusted mean difference: 1.1 U/l; 95% CI = -30.6, 32.7; p = 0.95), although alkaline phosphatase decreased significantly in the losartan group (adjusted mean difference: -23.4 U/l; 95% CI = -41.5, -5.3; p = 0.01). Systolic blood pressure decreased in the losartan group but increased in placebo (adjusted mean difference: -7.5 mm Hg; 95% CI = -12.2, -2.8; p = 0.002). Compliance by pill counts and numbers and types of adverse events did not differ by group. CONCLUSIONS: Losartan did not significantly reduce ALT in children with NAFLD when compared with placebo.

Progress in Gastroparesis - A Narrative Review of the Work of the Gastroparesis Clinical Research Consortium.

The Gastroparesis Clinical Research Consortium is a multicenter coalition created and funded by the National Institutes of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Disorders, with a mission to advance understanding of the pathophysiology of gastroparesis and develop an effective treatment for patients with symptomatic gastroparesis. In this review, we summarize the results of the published Gastroparesis Clinical Research Consortium studies as a ready and convenient resource for gastroenterologists and others to provide a clear understanding of the consortium's experience and perspective on gastroparesis and related disorders.

Developmental instability in domesticated mammals.

Measures of fluctuating asymmetry (FA) have been adopted widely as an estimate of developmental instability. Arising from various sources of stress, developmental instability is associated with an organism's capacity to maintain fitness. The process of domestication has been framed as an environmental stress with human-specified parameters, suggesting that FA may manifest to a larger degree among domesticates compared to their wild relatives. This study used three-dimensional geometric morphometric landmark data to (a) quantify the amount of FA in the cranium of six domestic mammal species and their wild relatives and, (b) provide novel assessment of the commonalities and differences across domestic/wild pairs concerning the extent to which random variation arising from the developmental system assimilates into within-population variation. The majority of domestic mammals showed greater disparity for asymmetric shape, however, only two forms (Pig, Dog) showed significantly higher disparity as well as a higher degree of asymmetry compared to their wild counterparts (Wild Boar, Wolf). Contra to predictions, most domestic and wild forms did not show a statistically significant correspondence between symmetric shape variation and FA, however, a moderate correlation value was recorded for most pairs (r-partial least squares >0.5). Within pairs, domestic and wild forms showed similar correlation magnitudes for the relationship between the asymmetric and symmetric components. In domesticates, new variation may therefore retain a general, conserved pattern in the gross structuring of the cranium, whilst also being a source for response to selection on specific features.